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Cerence Inc
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Cerence together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Cerence Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Cerence Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Cerence (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Cerence? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$5.69
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
50.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$14.84
Expected worth in 1 year
$12.41
How sure are you?
68.2%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$3.26
Return On Investment
31.5%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$10.35
Expected price per share
$0 - $14.14
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Cerence (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$10.35

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$-10.59 - $-12.88

Total Value Per Share

$4.25 - $1.96

2. Growth of Cerence (5 min.)




Is Cerence growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$731.1m$859.7m-$150.2m-21.2%

How much money is Cerence making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$7.5m-$83m$75.4m998.0%
Net Profit Margin-15.5%-127.6%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Cerence (5 min.)




What can you expect buying and holding a share of Cerence? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Cerence's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Cerence.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Cerence?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Cerence. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Cerence is $10.35. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Cerence.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Cerence, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $14.84. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.61 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-1.60 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $1.42 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Cerence.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.484.7%-0.20-2.0%-1.99-19.2%-0.27-2.6%-0.24-2.3%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-1.83-17.7%-0.61-5.9%-1.60-15.4%-0.45-4.4%0.676.5%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%1.4213.7%0.020.2%1.0310.0%0.949.1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-1.83-17.7%0.817.9%-1.58-15.3%0.585.6%1.6215.6%
Usd Price Per Share19.66-24.34-23.90-40.37-36.70-
Price to Earnings Ratio10.15--9.49--220.74--18.55--16.86-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-10.74--20.04-30.14-6.74-6.74-
Price to Book Ratio1.32-1.48-1.13-1.82-1.65-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-10.74--20.04-30.14-6.74-6.74-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share10.35
Number of shares96
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share1.421.03
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.61-0.45
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.810.58
Gains per Quarter (96 shares)78.2455.76
Gains per Year (96 shares)312.94223.05
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1546-233303397-174213
21092-466616795-349436
31638-7009291192-523659
42185-93312421589-697882
52731-116615551987-8711105
63277-139918682384-10461328
73823-163221812781-12201551
84369-186624943179-13941774
94915-209928073576-15691997
105462-233231203973-17432220

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.03.00.025.0%5.07.00.041.7%11.09.00.055.0%13.09.00.059.1%13.09.00.059.1%
Book Value Change Per Share0.04.00.00.0%5.07.00.041.7%9.011.00.045.0%11.011.00.050.0%11.011.00.050.0%
Dividend per Share3.00.01.075.0%7.00.05.058.3%11.00.09.055.0%11.00.011.050.0%11.00.011.050.0%
Total Gains per Share2.02.00.050.0%7.05.00.058.3%13.07.00.065.0%15.07.00.068.2%15.07.00.068.2%

Fundamentals of Cerence

About Cerence Inc

Cerence Inc. provides AI powered virtual assistants for the mobility/transportation market in United States, Other Americas, Germany, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Japan, and Other Asia-Pacific. The company offers edge software components, cloud-connected components, virtual assistant coexistence, and professional services. It also provides conversational artificial intelligence-based solutions, including speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling technology. Cerence Inc. is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-11 05:05:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Cerence Inc.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Cerence earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 17.2% means that $0.17 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 17.2%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is -15.5%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ17.2%TTM-15.5%+32.7%
TTM-15.5%YOY-127.6%+112.1%
TTM-15.5%5Y-20.9%+5.4%
5Y-20.9%10Y-18.3%-2.6%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Cerence is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • 1.9% Return on Assets means that Cerence generated $0.02 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.9%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is -0.6%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.9%TTM-0.6%+2.4%
TTM-0.6%YOY-6.0%+5.4%
TTM-0.6%5Y-0.9%+0.3%
5Y-0.9%10Y-0.7%-0.1%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Cerence is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • 3.3% Return on Equity means Cerence generated $0.03 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 3.3%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is -1.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.3%TTM-1.1%+4.4%
TTM-1.1%YOY-10.8%+9.7%
TTM-1.1%5Y-1.7%+0.6%
5Y-1.7%10Y-1.5%-0.2%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Cerence Inc.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Cerence is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Cerence makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 44.9% means the company generated $0.45  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 44.9%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
  • The TTM is 3.8%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ44.9%TTM3.8%+41.1%
TTM3.8%YOY2.6%+1.2%
TTM3.8%5Y9.3%-5.5%
5Y9.3%10Y9.9%-0.6%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Cerence is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Application industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.57 means that the operating costs are $0.57 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.571. The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low. +2
  • The TTM is 0.962. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.571TTM0.962-0.391
TTM0.962YOY0.983-0.021
TTM0.9625Y0.899+0.063
5Y0.89910Y0.896+0.003

1.3. Liquidity of Cerence Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Cerence is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Application industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.90 means the company has $1.90 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.903. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.531. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.903TTM1.531+0.372
TTM1.531YOY1.591-0.060
TTM1.5315Y1.387+0.144
5Y1.38710Y1.326+0.061
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Cerence is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.48 means the company can pay off $1.48 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.475. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +1
  • The TTM is 1.207. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.475TTM1.207+0.268
TTM1.207YOY1.283-0.076
TTM1.2075Y1.123+0.084
5Y1.12310Y1.079+0.044

1.4. Solvency of Cerence Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Cerence assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.42 means that Cerence assets are financed with 42.2% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 42.2%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.422. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.455. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.422TTM0.455-0.033
TTM0.455YOY0.426+0.029
TTM0.4555Y0.407+0.048
5Y0.40710Y0.396+0.011
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Cerence is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 73.0% means that company has $0.73 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.730. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.837. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.730TTM0.837-0.107
TTM0.837YOY0.748+0.088
TTM0.8375Y0.700+0.137
5Y0.70010Y0.672+0.028

2. Market Valuation of Cerence Inc

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Cerence generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Cerence to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 10.15 means the investor is paying $10.15 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The EOD is 5.342. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 10.147. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is -9.487. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD5.342MRQ10.147-4.805
MRQ10.147TTM-9.487+19.635
TTM-9.487YOY-220.744+211.257
TTM-9.4875Y-18.551+9.063
5Y-18.55110Y-16.864-1.686
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The EOD is -34.022. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -64.626. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -4.363. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-34.022MRQ-64.626+30.604
MRQ-64.626TTM-4.363-60.263
TTM-4.363YOY-53.874+49.511
TTM-4.3635Y66.064-70.427
5Y66.06410Y60.059+6.006
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Cerence is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Application industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.32 means the investor is paying $1.32 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Cerence Inc:

  • The EOD is 0.697. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 1.324. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.482. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.697MRQ1.324-0.627
MRQ1.324TTM1.482-0.158
TTM1.482YOY1.131+0.351
TTM1.4825Y1.818-0.335
5Y1.81810Y1.652+0.165
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Cerence Inc.

3.1. Institutions holding Cerence Inc

Institutions are holding 94.98% of the shares of Cerence Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc16.43640.003468498282040993.0711
2023-12-31Vanguard Group Inc12.47370.0022519834935570.0685
2023-12-31Van Berkom and Associates Inc9.48282.26395190981974926.172
2023-12-31Ameriprise Financial Inc7.8010.01913251034-701306-17.7441
2023-12-31Amvescap Plc.4.12630.00817196031242901260.7291
2023-12-31State Street Corporation4.11860.00161716422989926.1203
2023-12-31Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.3.27610.00781365282-95924-6.5647
2023-09-30American Capital Management Inc2.46620.8071102778813792715.4998
2023-12-31Geode Capital Management, LLC2.13280.0018888835380654.4742
2023-12-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts1.51610.001163181215594632.771
2023-12-31Paradigm Capital Management, Inc.1.47310.6278613900314800105.2491
2023-12-31Aristotle Capital Boston, LLC1.4050.351958551211809225.2646
2023-12-31Nuveen Asset Management, LLC1.38920.0037578959-177099-23.424
2023-12-31Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.34890.001562152422578302.7627
2023-12-31Great West Life Assurance Co1.34170.02415591305832311.6458
2023-12-31Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc1.23650.002651530110540.205
2023-12-31First Trust Advisors L.P.1.13170.010147161217346058.1784
2023-12-31Millennium Management LLC1.12480.004468762371972384.3083
2023-12-31Pinnacle Associates Inc1.09580.1511456656-5690-1.2307
2023-12-31Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.08880.0018453746-3036-0.6646
Total 76.46554.290231866592+3178460+10.0%

3.2. Funds holding Cerence Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-02-29iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF6.57360.0527273952244280.1619
2023-12-31Columbia Seligman Tech & Inf SMA Cmp4.60010.3275191707419170304356886.3636
2023-12-31Columbia Seligman Technology Growth4.60010.3275191707400
2024-02-29Columbia Seligman Tech & Info A4.60010.2358191707400
2024-01-31Invesco Small Cap Value A3.59670.7913149890000
2024-02-29Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv2.88260.0012120132400
2024-02-29iShares Russell 2000 ETF2.38560.0238994184-162-0.0163
2024-02-29Vanguard Small Cap Index2.36970.010598757490910.9291
2024-02-29Vanguard Information Technology ETF2.160.0176900184292383.357
2024-02-29Vanguard Small Cap Value Index Inv1.61940.018967488727840.4142
2024-02-29Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr1.42290.00875929703710.0626
2024-02-29WisdomTree Art Intelligence ETF USD Acc1.29460.998453951939110.7302
2024-02-29iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF1.21960.107650824614040.277
2024-02-29FT Nasdaq Artfcl Intllgnc and Rbtc ETF1.21341.39450568342680.8512
2024-01-31DFA US Targeted Value I1.03760.067143243600
2024-02-29Global X Robotics & Artfcl Intllgnc ETF0.98030.22974085514900.1201
2023-12-31Fidelity Small Cap Index0.96160.03140073955411.4021
2024-02-01iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF0.92270.06573845424860.1265
2023-11-30Belfius Equities Rob&InnovTech C$ Cap0.870.5306362565-6428-1.742
2024-02-29SPDR® Portfolio S&P 600 Sm Cap ETF0.86120.0521358917740.0206
Total 46.17185.291719241965+1972526+10.3%

3.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 1.889% of the shares of Cerence Inc.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-04-01Thomas L BeaudoinSELL500015.35
2024-03-22Stefan OrtmannsSELL1538914.82
2024-03-21Thomas L BeaudoinSELL500014.99
2024-01-12Stefan OrtmannsSELL1194219.26
2024-01-09Iqbal ArshadSELL518818.79
2024-01-09Thomas L BeaudoinSELL518518.79
2023-10-13Stefan OrtmannsSELL5421217.97
2023-10-06Iqbal ArshadSELL604119.15
2023-10-06Thomas L BeaudoinSELL1279519.15

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Cerence Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---1.830-0.607-67%-1.595-13%-0.454-75%0.675-371%
Book Value Per Share--14.84416.351-9%20.631-28%21.521-31%21.735-32%
Current Ratio--1.9031.531+24%1.591+20%1.387+37%1.326+44%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.4220.455-7%0.426-1%0.407+4%0.396+7%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.7300.837-13%0.748-2%0.700+4%0.672+9%
Dividend Per Share---1.422-100%0.016-100%1.035-100%0.941-100%
Eps--0.484-0.203+142%-1.992+511%-0.270+156%-0.236+149%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.0760.012-732%-0.139+82%0.162-147%0.215-135%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.079-0.002-97%-0.190+141%0.149-153%0.136-158%
Gross Profit Margin--0.7461.207-38%6.456-88%0.545+37%0.352+112%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---12.880--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---10.592--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.042--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.042--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---0.889--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---0.828--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---3.045--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---2.739--------
Market Cap431332110.000-125%968353300.0001051513243.500-8%996127126.500-3%1708812290.700-43%1553465718.818-38%
Net Profit Margin--0.172-0.155+190%-1.276+840%-0.209+221%-0.183+206%
Operating Margin--0.4490.038+1078%0.026+1635%0.093+381%0.099+353%
Operating Ratio--0.5710.962-41%0.983-42%0.899-36%0.896-36%
Pb Ratio0.697-90%1.3241.482-11%1.131+17%1.818-27%1.652-20%
Pe Ratio5.342-90%10.147-9.487+193%-220.744+2275%-18.551+283%-16.864+266%
Price Per Share10.350-90%19.66024.338-19%23.903-18%40.374-51%36.703-46%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-34.022+47%-64.626-4.363-93%-53.874-17%66.064-198%60.059-208%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-5.656+47%-10.743-20.045+87%30.137-136%6.741-259%6.741-259%
Quick Ratio--1.4751.207+22%1.283+15%1.123+31%1.079+37%
Return On Assets--0.019-0.006+129%-0.060+417%-0.009+145%-0.007+139%
Return On Equity--0.033-0.011+134%-0.108+430%-0.017+152%-0.015+146%
Total Gains Per Share---1.8300.815-325%-1.579-14%0.581-415%1.615-213%
Usd Book Value--731133000.000709561250.000+3%859774750.000-15%907622050.000-19%915576545.455-20%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---1.830-0.607-67%-1.595-13%-0.454-75%0.675-371%
Usd Book Value Per Share--14.84416.351-9%20.631-28%21.521-31%21.735-32%
Usd Dividend Per Share---1.422-100%0.016-100%1.035-100%0.941-100%
Usd Eps--0.484-0.203+142%-1.992+511%-0.270+156%-0.236+149%
Usd Free Cash Flow---3746000.000357250.000-1149%-5780000.000+54%6725750.000-156%8958681.818-142%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.0760.012-732%-0.139+82%0.162-147%0.215-135%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.079-0.002-97%-0.190+141%0.149-153%0.136-158%
Usd Market Cap431332110.000-125%968353300.0001051513243.500-8%996127126.500-3%1708812290.700-43%1553465718.818-38%
Usd Price Per Share10.350-90%19.66024.338-19%23.903-18%40.374-51%36.703-46%
Usd Profit--23857000.000-7559750.000+132%-83007000.000+448%-11036150.000+146%-9538363.636+140%
Usd Revenue--138335000.00087288000.000+58%79280750.000+74%85460650.000+62%84411500.000+64%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---1.8300.815-325%-1.579-14%0.581-415%1.615-213%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+18 -18YOY+20 -165Y+15 -2110Y+15 -21

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Cerence Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-155.342
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.697
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.172
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.449
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.475
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.903
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.422
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.730
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.033
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.019
Total8/10 (80.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Cerence Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5023.134
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5013.826
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10014.517
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20016.635
OpenGreater thanClose10.770
Total1/5 (20.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2022-12-312023-03-312023-06-302023-09-302023-12-31
Net Income  -2,158-23,931-26,0899,634-16,4554,903-11,55235,40923,857
Total Other Income Expense Net -7,703223-7,4804,278-3,202711-2,4913,208717
Net Income from Continuing Operations  -2,158-23,931-26,0899,634-16,4554,903-11,55235,40923,857



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets1,264,908
Total Liabilities533,775
Total Stockholder Equity731,133
 As reported
Total Liabilities 533,775
Total Stockholder Equity+ 731,133
Total Assets = 1,264,908

Assets

Total Assets1,264,908
Total Current Assets228,361
Long-term Assets1,036,547
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 98,736
Short-term Investments 9,784
Net Receivables 58,693
Inventory 5,568
Other Current Assets 55,580
Total Current Assets  (as reported)228,361
Total Current Assets  (calculated)228,361
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 44,972
Goodwill 906,396
Long Term Investments 7,755
Intangible Assets 3,374
Long-term Assets Other 57,443
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,036,547
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,019,940
+/- 16,607

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities119,979
Long-term Liabilities413,796
Total Stockholder Equity731,133
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 5,676
Accounts payable 19,179
Other Current Liabilities 51,732
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)119,979
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)76,587
+/- 43,392
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 277,419
Capital Lease Obligations 13,742
Long-term Liabilities Other 27,398
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)413,796
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)318,559
+/- 95,237
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock412
Retained Earnings -309,805
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -23,496
Other Stockholders Equity 1,064,022
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)731,133
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)731,133
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock412
Cash and Short Term Investments 108,520
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 49,255
Current Deferred Revenue43,392
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 1,264,908
Net Debt 192,425
Net Invested Capital 1,008,552
Net Working Capital 108,382
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 44,972
Short Long Term Debt Total 291,161



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-30
> Total Assets 
1,397,548
1,382,991
1,378,331
1,383,300
1,483,829
1,661,927
1,653,290
1,669,075
1,687,445
1,700,748
1,689,947
1,709,039
1,705,728
1,692,425
1,702,527
1,576,837
1,318,493
1,348,288
1,335,447
1,312,178
1,297,590
1,264,908
1,264,9081,297,5901,312,1781,335,4471,348,2881,318,4931,576,8371,702,5271,692,4251,705,7281,709,0391,689,9471,700,7481,687,4451,669,0751,653,2901,661,9271,483,8291,383,3001,378,3311,382,9911,397,548
   > Total Current Assets 
82,967
81,179
81,531
92,376
92,325
220,869
222,855
236,478
249,148
239,325
253,969
271,739
287,048
281,152
266,000
255,153
227,519
242,278
231,859
219,134
225,727
228,361
228,361225,727219,134231,859242,278227,519255,153266,000281,152287,048271,739253,969239,325249,148236,478222,855220,86992,32592,37681,53181,17982,967
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
0
0
113,396
95,584
132,844
136,067
110,360
119,546
120,840
128,428
117,236
111,819
108,454
94,847
90,657
95,377
86,100
101,154
98,736
98,736101,15486,10095,37790,65794,847108,454111,819117,236128,428120,840119,546110,360136,067132,84495,584113,39600000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11,662
17,088
17,096
29,100
30,435
27,905
29,810
18,890
20,317
16,515
11,661
16,717
9,211
9,784
9,7849,21116,71711,66116,51520,31718,89029,81027,90530,43529,10017,09617,08811,66200000000
       Net Receivables 
72,084
73,828
72,877
72,780
65,787
64,928
92,272
62,566
49,943
60,426
59,091
53,141
45,560
37,765
48,029
62,698
45,073
66,438
61,449
56,984
61,270
58,693
58,69361,27056,98461,44966,43845,07362,69848,02937,76545,56053,14159,09160,42649,94362,56692,27264,92865,78772,78072,87773,82872,084
       Other Current Assets 
10,883
3,740
4,795
19,596
26,538
42,545
34,999
41,068
51,476
51,451
58,236
68,658
82,625
98,246
76,342
65,111
67,282
60,884
55,663
51,748
47,157
55,580
55,58047,15751,74855,66360,88467,28265,11176,34298,24682,62568,65858,23651,45151,47641,06834,99942,54526,53819,5964,7953,74010,883
   > Long-term Assets 
1,314,581
0
0
1,290,924
1,391,504
1,441,058
1,430,435
1,432,597
1,438,297
1,461,423
1,435,978
1,437,300
1,418,680
1,411,273
1,436,527
1,321,684
1,090,974
1,106,010
1,103,588
1,093,044
1,071,863
1,036,547
1,036,5471,071,8631,093,0441,103,5881,106,0101,090,9741,321,6841,436,5271,411,2731,418,6801,437,3001,435,9781,461,4231,438,2971,432,5971,430,4351,441,0581,391,5041,290,924001,314,581
       Property Plant Equipment 
13,406
12,192
11,244
9,883
20,113
43,751
44,799
47,913
49,625
50,338
48,733
47,560
46,406
50,962
55,838
54,668
52,409
53,131
50,928
48,369
45,974
44,972
44,97245,97448,36950,92853,13152,40954,66855,83850,96246,40647,56048,73350,33849,62547,91344,79943,75120,1139,88311,24412,19213,406
       Goodwill 
1,119,946
1,116,254
1,120,216
1,122,009
1,119,329
1,122,865
1,117,577
1,121,616
1,128,198
1,136,356
1,130,502
1,132,897
1,128,511
1,125,648
1,123,561
1,114,556
890,802
901,963
904,050
904,910
900,342
906,396
906,396900,342904,910904,050901,963890,8021,114,5561,123,5611,125,6481,128,5111,132,8971,130,5021,136,3561,128,1981,121,6161,117,5771,122,8651,119,3291,122,0091,120,2161,116,2541,119,946
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7,348
7,339
7,720
4,457
8,784
11,584
13,066
15,676
13,194
10,607
7,755
7,75510,60713,19415,67613,06611,5848,7844,4577,7207,3397,34800000000000
       Intangible Assets 
84,812
79,629
74,445
69,262
65,561
60,713
55,107
50,152
45,616
41,070
35,536
30,618
25,348
20,138
15,947
12,546
9,700
7,713
5,299
4,644
3,875
3,374
3,3743,8754,6445,2997,7139,70012,54615,94720,13825,34830,61835,53641,07045,61650,15255,10760,71365,56169,26274,44579,62984,812
       Long-term Assets Other 
1,126
0
0
1,956
3,444
13,650
14,867
15,863
41,437
36,405
19,275
53,800
51,783
48,972
80,961
81,350
74,490
76,198
73,248
69,729
64,464
57,443
57,44364,46469,72973,24876,19874,49081,35080,96148,97251,78353,80019,27536,40541,43715,86314,86713,6503,4441,956001,126
       Deferred Long Term Asset Charges 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
36,913
34,668
33,446
31,702
29,882
26,511
24,308
0
21,818
21,207
0
0
0
00021,20721,818024,30826,51129,88231,70233,44634,66836,913000000000
> Total Liabilities 
404,229
386,067
395,145
418,424
415,701
735,712
716,911
730,382
729,689
707,620
686,506
687,190
673,783
642,924
646,341
626,725
605,543
628,437
626,024
609,364
602,715
533,775
533,775602,715609,364626,024628,437605,543626,725646,341642,924673,783687,190686,506707,620729,689730,382716,911735,712415,701418,424395,145386,067404,229
   > Total Current Liabilities 
121,806
108,100
109,734
123,437
129,114
194,477
189,198
195,180
200,774
174,092
161,298
168,882
165,309
141,482
156,485
154,387
147,033
165,340
165,958
168,421
148,093
119,979
119,979148,093168,421165,958165,340147,033154,387156,485141,482165,309168,882161,298174,092200,774195,180189,198194,477129,114123,437109,734108,100121,806
       Short-term Debt 
29,415
0
0
30,565
19,054
14,382
14,720
11,977
11,950
12,509
11,852
11,747
10,812
11,636
13,657
14,861
16,009
18,259
18,503
30,205
5,434
5,676
5,6765,43430,20518,50318,25916,00914,86113,65711,63610,81211,74711,85212,50911,95011,97714,72014,38219,05430,5650029,415
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
9,396
9,450
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
7,813
9,375
10,938
12,500
12,500
24,700
0
0
0024,70012,50012,50010,9389,3757,8136,2506,2506,2506,2506,2506,2506,2509,4509,39600000
       Accounts payable 
6,510
5,396
7,321
13,180
16,687
15,242
18,786
11,637
8,447
4,806
4,002
11,187
11,636
8,322
18,165
15,370
10,372
19,103
18,992
16,118
16,873
19,179
19,17916,87316,11818,99219,10310,37215,37018,1658,32211,63611,1874,0024,8068,44711,63718,78615,24216,68713,1807,3215,3966,510
       Other Current Liabilities 
1,019
83,387
83,457
1,498
5,140
51,033
42,581
54,672
67,857
52,200
55,042
60,955
64,467
50,309
45,768
48,990
47,990
52,156
52,698
46,802
48,718
51,732
51,73248,71846,80252,69852,15647,99048,99045,76850,30964,46760,95555,04252,20067,85754,67242,58151,0335,1401,49883,45783,3871,019
   > Long-term Liabilities 
282,423
0
0
294,987
286,587
541,235
527,713
535,202
528,915
533,528
525,208
518,308
508,474
501,442
489,856
472,338
458,510
463,097
460,066
440,943
454,622
413,796
413,796454,622440,943460,066463,097458,510472,338489,856501,442508,474518,308525,208533,528528,915535,202527,713541,235286,587294,98700282,423
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
239,026
237,925
0
0
266,019
265,681
265,372
265,093
264,831
263,000
261,202
0
267,346
264,687
0
0
0
000264,687267,3460261,202263,000264,831265,093265,372265,681266,01900237,925239,02600000
       Deferred Long Term Asset Charges 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
36,913
34,668
33,446
31,702
29,882
26,511
24,308
0
21,818
21,207
0
0
0
00021,20721,818024,30826,51129,88231,70233,44634,66836,913000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
277,967
285,411
294,987
286,587
285,169
274,119
251,725
243,134
249,358
244,340
238,451
231,165
223,613
211,113
197,216
186,897
183,684
0
176,403
0
0
00176,4030183,684186,897197,216211,113223,613231,165238,451244,340249,358243,134251,725274,119285,169286,587294,987285,411277,9670
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
41,892
38,334
38,606
32,428
36,052
36,142
36,913
38,161
36,913
34,668
33,446
31,702
29,882
26,511
24,308
22,451
21,818
0
20,875
0
0
0020,875021,81822,45124,30826,51129,88231,70233,44634,66836,91338,16136,91336,14236,05232,42838,60638,33441,8920
> Total Stockholder Equity
993,319
996,924
983,186
964,876
1,068,128
926,215
936,379
938,693
957,756
993,128
1,003,441
1,021,849
1,031,945
1,049,501
1,056,186
950,112
712,950
719,851
709,423
702,814
694,875
731,133
731,133694,875702,814709,423719,851712,950950,1121,056,1861,049,5011,031,9451,021,8491,003,441993,128957,756938,693936,379926,2151,068,128964,876983,186996,924993,319
   Common Stock
0
1,024,265
1,009,956
990,016
1,097,127
364
365
366
369
378
379
379
381
392
393
393
394
400
403
403
404
412
4124044034034003943933933923813793793783693663653641,097,127990,0161,009,9561,024,2650
   Retained Earnings Total Equity
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,007
13,788
19,586
27,577
46,621
46,145
-53,122
0
-279,566
-305,655
0
0
0
000-305,655-279,5660-53,12246,14546,62127,57719,58613,7881,007000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
-23,957
0
0
-25,140
-28,999
-7,441
-14,635
-8,237
3,711
17,851
5,634
9,579
1,634
-3,717
-9,083
-21,055
-33,737
-24,450
-23,373
-24,652
-27,966
-23,496
-23,496-27,966-24,652-23,373-24,450-33,737-21,055-9,083-3,7171,6349,5795,63417,8513,711-8,237-14,635-7,441-28,999-25,14000-23,957
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
945,054
949,916
0
0
973,892
983,640
992,305
1,002,353
1,006,205
1,018,731
1,023,896
0
1,023,467
1,038,048
0
0
0
0001,038,0481,023,46701,023,8961,018,7311,006,2051,002,353992,305983,640973,89200949,916945,05400000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
1,017,276
-27,341
-26,770
990,016
1,097,127
945,054
949,916
974,012
974,307
973,892
983,640
992,305
1,002,353
1,006,205
1,018,731
1,023,896
1,029,542
1,023,467
1,038,048
1,049,173
1,056,099
1,064,022
1,064,0221,056,0991,049,1731,038,0481,023,4671,029,5421,023,8961,018,7311,006,2051,002,353992,305983,640973,892974,307974,012949,916945,0541,097,127990,016-26,770-27,3411,017,276



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-09-30)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue294,475
Cost of Revenue-95,163
Gross Profit199,312199,312
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit199,312
Operating Expense-214,594
Operating Income-27,199-15,282
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development123,333
Selling General Administrative57,903
Selling And Marketing Expenses27,504
Operating Expense214,594208,740
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income4,471
Interest Expense-14,769
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-10,298
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-27,199
Net Interest Income-10,298
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)-36,389-16,390
EBIT - interestExpense = -24,472
-36,389
-41,485
Interest Expense14,769
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-9,703-21,620
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)6,335
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-36,389
Tax Provision-19,865
Net Income From Continuing Ops-56,254-56,254
Net Income-56,254
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses309,757
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-10,80910,298
 

Technical Analysis of Cerence
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Cerence. The general trend of Cerence is BEARISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Cerence's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-100.0%) Bearish trend (100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Cerence Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 12.82 < 13.83 < 14.14.

The bearish price targets are: .

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Cerence Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Cerence Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 0/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Cerence Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Cerence Inc. The current macd is -1.0435436.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Cerence price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Cerence. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Cerence price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Cerence Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartCerence Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Cerence Inc. The current adx is 26.23.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Cerence shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bearish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bearish trend is strengthening.
Cerence Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Cerence Inc. The current sar is 13.78.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Cerence Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Cerence Inc. The current rsi is 23.13. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/(-13 +13).

  • Oversold in bear market: Short-term excessive selling, potential for relief rally. Be cautious, consider taking short-term long positions. +1
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Cerence Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartCerence Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Cerence Inc. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Cerence price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Cerence Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartCerence Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Cerence Inc. The current cci is -200.13919803.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Cerence Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartCerence Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Cerence Inc. The current cmo is -64.82642.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Cerence Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartCerence Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Cerence Inc. The current willr is -96.63120567.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Cerence Inc Daily Williams %R ChartCerence Inc Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Cerence Inc.

Cerence Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Cerence Inc. The current atr is 0.70365701.

Cerence Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartCerence Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Cerence Inc. The current obv is -15,333,169.

Cerence Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartCerence Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Cerence Inc. The current mfi is 11.15.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -2/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
  • MFI < 20: -1
Cerence Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartCerence Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Cerence Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-11-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-29DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-11-30DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-12SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-14CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-12-15MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-19DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-20SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2023-12-21CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-22ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-03DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-04CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-05DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-08WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-11MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-16CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-17DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-01-18DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-22SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-23MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-01MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-02-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-06SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-07DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-09RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-26RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-03-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-11SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-12CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-13DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-14DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-19SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-03-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-21CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-27DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-04SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-05CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-10MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-15BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-16ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-17MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-04-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Cerence Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Cerence Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5023.134
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5013.826
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10014.517
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20016.635
OpenGreater thanClose10.770
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke

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