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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
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Let's analyse First Watch Restaurant Group Inc together

PenkeI guess you are interested in First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$9.10
Expected worth in 1 year
$9.53
How sure are you?
75.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$0.43
Return On Investment
1.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$23.00
Expected price per share
$18.12 - $25.88
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$23.00

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$-3.62 - $-4.45

Total Value Per Share

$5.48 - $4.65

2. Growth of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (5 min.)




Is First Watch Restaurant Group Inc growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$561.2m$517.9m$31.7m5.8%

How much money is First Watch Restaurant Group Inc making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$6.3m$1.7m$4.6m72.8%
Net Profit Margin2.9%1.0%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Restaurants industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Restaurants)  


Richest
#23 / 182

Most Revenue
#56 / 182

Most Profit
#57 / 182

What can you expect buying and holding a share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is $23.00. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in First Watch Restaurant Group Inc, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $9.10. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.11 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.08 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.040.2%0.100.5%0.030.1%-0.03-0.1%-0.03-0.1%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.050.2%0.110.5%0.080.3%0.572.5%0.572.5%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.050.2%0.110.5%0.080.3%0.572.5%0.572.5%
Usd Price Per Share20.10-17.59-13.87-10.04-10.04-
Price to Earnings Ratio117.06-56.13-1,115.23-311.13-311.13-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio406.58-205.18-214.68-258.09-258.09-
Price to Book Ratio2.21-1.96-1.62-1.23-1.23-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio406.58-205.18-214.68-258.09-258.09-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share23
Number of shares43
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.110.57
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.110.57
Gains per Quarter (43 shares)4.6624.45
Gains per Year (43 shares)18.6497.81
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1019909888
2037280196186
3056470293284
4075660391382
5093850489480
601121040587578
701301230685676
801491420782774
901681610880872
1001861800978970

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%9.03.00.075.0%9.07.00.056.3%9.07.00.056.3%9.07.00.056.3%
Book Value Change Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.00.01.091.7%12.00.04.075.0%12.00.04.075.0%12.00.04.075.0%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%0.00.016.00.0%0.00.016.00.0%0.00.016.00.0%
Total Gains per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.00.01.091.7%12.00.04.075.0%12.00.04.075.0%12.00.04.075.0%

Fundamentals of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

About First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Bradenton, Florida.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-21 23:16:04.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit First Watch Restaurant Group Inc earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 1.1% means that $0.01 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.1%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 2.9%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.1%TTM2.9%-1.8%
TTM2.9%YOY1.0%+1.9%
TTM2.9%5Y-3.2%+6.1%
5Y-3.2%10Y-3.2%0.0%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1%2.1%-1.0%
TTM2.9%2.6%+0.3%
YOY1.0%1.5%-0.5%
5Y-3.2%-0.6%-2.6%
10Y-3.2%0.5%-3.7%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • 0.2% Return on Assets means that First Watch Restaurant Group Inc generated $0.00 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.2%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 0.5%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.2%TTM0.5%-0.3%
TTM0.5%YOY0.2%+0.4%
TTM0.5%5Y0.1%+0.4%
5Y0.1%10Y0.1%0.0%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2%0.8%-0.6%
TTM0.5%1.0%-0.5%
YOY0.2%0.7%-0.5%
5Y0.1%0.2%-0.1%
10Y0.1%0.7%-0.6%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • 0.5% Return on Equity means First Watch Restaurant Group Inc generated $0.00 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.5%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 1.2%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.5%TTM1.2%-0.7%
TTM1.2%YOY0.3%+0.8%
TTM1.2%5Y-0.6%+1.7%
5Y-0.6%10Y-0.6%0.0%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5%2.3%-1.8%
TTM1.2%3.1%-1.9%
YOY0.3%1.9%-1.6%
5Y-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%
10Y-0.6%1.5%-2.1%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is operating .

  • Measures how much profit First Watch Restaurant Group Inc makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 3.7% means the company generated $0.04  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 3.7%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 5.2%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.7%TTM5.2%-1.5%
TTM5.2%YOY2.8%+2.4%
TTM5.2%5Y-0.8%+6.0%
5Y-0.8%10Y-0.8%0.0%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ3.7%4.4%-0.7%
TTM5.2%4.0%+1.2%
YOY2.8%2.8%0.0%
5Y-0.8%1.8%-2.6%
10Y-0.8%2.9%-3.7%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.97 means that the operating costs are $0.97 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.966. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.950. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.966TTM0.950+0.017
TTM0.950YOY0.972-0.022
TTM0.9505Y1.011-0.062
5Y1.01110Y1.0110.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9661.261-0.295
TTM0.9501.234-0.284
YOY0.9721.210-0.238
5Y1.0111.169-0.158
10Y1.0111.082-0.071

1.3. Liquidity of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.62 means the company has $0.62 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.619. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
  • The TTM is 0.674. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.619TTM0.674-0.055
TTM0.674YOY0.717-0.043
TTM0.6745Y0.595+0.079
5Y0.59510Y0.5950.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6190.758-0.139
TTM0.6740.759-0.085
YOY0.7170.916-0.199
5Y0.5950.928-0.333
10Y0.5951.020-0.425
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.48 means the company can pay off $0.48 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.479. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.544. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.479TTM0.544-0.064
TTM0.544YOY0.586-0.042
TTM0.5445Y0.525+0.018
5Y0.52510Y0.5250.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.4790.348+0.131
TTM0.5440.346+0.198
YOY0.5860.484+0.102
5Y0.5250.523+0.002
10Y0.5250.561-0.036

1.4. Solvency of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.56 means that First Watch Restaurant Group Inc assets are financed with 55.7% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 55.7%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.557. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.537. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.557TTM0.537+0.020
TTM0.537YOY0.521+0.016
TTM0.5375Y0.468+0.069
5Y0.46810Y0.4680.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5570.700-0.143
TTM0.5370.699-0.162
YOY0.5210.679-0.158
5Y0.4680.666-0.198
10Y0.4680.604-0.136
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 125.7% means that company has $1.26 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.257. The company is able to pay all its debts with equity. +1
  • The TTM is 1.159. The company is able to pay all its debts with equity. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.257TTM1.159+0.098
TTM1.159YOY1.087+0.072
TTM1.1595Y1.172-0.012
5Y1.17210Y1.1720.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.2571.865-0.608
TTM1.1591.905-0.746
YOY1.0871.766-0.679
5Y1.1721.876-0.704
10Y1.1721.641-0.469

2. Market Valuation of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings First Watch Restaurant Group Inc generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare First Watch Restaurant Group Inc to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 117.06 means the investor is paying $117.06 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 133.954. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 117.064. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 56.131. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD133.954MRQ117.064+16.890
MRQ117.064TTM56.131+60.933
TTM56.131YOY1,115.231-1,059.099
TTM56.1315Y311.128-254.997
5Y311.12810Y311.1280.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD133.95410.572+123.382
MRQ117.06411.305+105.759
TTM56.13112.420+43.711
YOY1,115.23110.177+1,105.054
5Y311.12811.849+299.279
10Y311.12818.799+292.329
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The EOD is -37.181. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -32.493. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -7.291. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-37.181MRQ-32.493-4.688
MRQ-32.493TTM-7.291-25.202
TTM-7.291YOY-59.800+52.509
TTM-7.2915Y-12.400+5.109
5Y-12.40010Y-12.4000.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-37.1816.312-43.493
MRQ-32.4937.398-39.891
TTM-7.2917.696-14.987
YOY-59.8004.061-63.861
5Y-12.4004.166-16.566
10Y-12.4003.972-16.372
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 2.21 means the investor is paying $2.21 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 2.528. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 2.209. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.957. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.528MRQ2.209+0.319
MRQ2.209TTM1.957+0.252
TTM1.957YOY1.617+0.340
TTM1.9575Y1.228+0.728
5Y1.22810Y1.2280.000
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.5281.833+0.695
MRQ2.2092.184+0.025
TTM1.9572.187-0.230
YOY1.6172.511-0.894
5Y1.2282.281-1.053
10Y1.2283.111-1.883
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

3.1. Institutions holding First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

Institutions are holding 90.686% of the shares of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Advent International LP56.46579.18463408978400
2023-12-31Federated Hermes Inc2.94890.0888178030000
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc2.77350.00091674434723514.5161
2023-12-31Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2.44880.0418147840764940.4412
2023-12-31Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2.33290.0169140845417507414.1947
2023-12-31Vanguard Group Inc2.24630.00061356145442403.3722
2023-12-31Gilder Gagnon Howe & CO LLC1.780.29641074612939319.5781
2023-12-31Foxhaven Asset Management, LP1.73320.6035104636232137544.3284
2023-12-31Macquarie Group Ltd1.61770.0227976618-2799-0.2858
2023-12-31Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.1.52680.005492177725700138.6598
2023-12-31Granahan Investment Management Inc..1.22720.4919740907-25470-3.3234
2023-12-31Lord, Abbett & Co LLC1.20810.0527729387612289.1637
2023-12-31Neuberger Berman Group LLC1.13890.0121687563-63088-8.4044
2023-12-31GW&K Investment Management, LLC1.12950.1278681888-29933-4.2051
2023-12-31Capital Research Global Investors1.09820.003366299000
2023-12-31Driehaus Capital Management LLC1.05020.1535634015-6638-1.0361
2023-12-31Kornitzer Capital Management Inc0.98340.232259371700
2023-12-31Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC0.97930.0197591207-180620-23.4016
2023-12-31FMR Inc0.93120.0009562182293048108.8855
2023-12-31Putnam Investments, LLC., a Franklin Templeton company0.92060.0148555793-19952-3.4654
Total 86.540411.370552246542+996242+1.9%

3.2. Funds holding First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Federated Hermes Kaufmann Small Cap Grow2.94890.8509178030000
2023-12-31Federated Hermes Kaufmann Small Cap A2.94890.8509178030000
2023-12-31UBS: US Equity Small Cap Growth2.53831.2648153244515324450
2024-02-29JHancock Small Cap Core NAV1.671.27711008247-281303-21.814
2024-03-31SRH Total Return Fund1.49071.172190000029258448.1686
2024-02-29Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv1.22610.001274019800
2024-03-31American Funds SMALLCAP World A1.11110.022567082011355520.3772
2023-12-31Delaware Ivy Small Cap Growth C1.05730.932663834800
2023-12-31Buffalo Small Cap0.98341.673659371700
2023-12-31Kornitzer Small Cap Equity0.98341.730959371700
2024-02-29Fidelity VIP Mid Cap Initial0.88820.18385362006077012.7821
2024-03-28iShares Russell 2000 ETF0.86950.01975249662520.048
2024-03-31Brown Advisory Small-Cap Growth Inv0.85140.5522514014-17501-3.2927
2024-03-31Stephens Small Cap Growth0.74490.54594497429670127.3909
2024-03-31Neuberger Berman Long Short Instl0.70040.2011422858-23087-5.1771
2024-01-31Fidelity Small Cap Growth0.64740.1463390854316545425.9847
2024-03-31Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr0.60920.008636781265181.8041
2023-12-31Putnam U.S. Core Equity Concentrated0.49250.165829734847211.6133
2024-03-31Putnam Core Equity Fund Y0.49250.165229734800
2024-02-29Heptagon Driehaus US Micro Cap Eq C$ Acc0.42030.781425377200
Total 23.674412.546614293006+2102200+14.7%

3.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 1.342% of the shares of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-03-14Matthew EisenacherSELL377024.28
2024-03-12Christopher Anthony TomassoSELL12199524.45
2024-03-12H Melville Hope IiiSELL450224.43
2024-03-12Tricia GlynnSELL690000023.99
2024-03-11Matthew EisenacherSELL4500024.46
2024-03-06Eric Richard HartmanSELL147425.03
2024-01-22William A KussellSELL1500020.53
2023-12-21William A KussellSELL500020
2023-11-03Christopher Anthony TomassoSELL4000017.1
2023-08-28William A KussellSELL1000019.38
2023-07-03David PareskySELL45000016.42
2023-06-13David PareskySELL300000016.42
2023-05-18David PareskySELL402500015.47

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.0490.108-54%0.077-36%0.569-91%0.569-91%
Book Value Per Share--9.0998.981+1%8.576+6%6.246+46%6.246+46%
Current Ratio--0.6190.674-8%0.717-14%0.595+4%0.595+4%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.5570.537+4%0.521+7%0.468+19%0.468+19%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.2571.159+8%1.087+16%1.172+7%1.172+7%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Eps--0.0430.104-59%0.029+50%-0.026+160%-0.026+160%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.1550.045-447%-0.002-99%-0.008-95%-0.008-95%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.3020.158+91%-0.010+103%0.080+279%0.080+279%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---4.452--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---3.619--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.113--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.112--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---0.086--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---0.073--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---0.799--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---0.705--------
Market Cap1388567500.000+11%1239946307.1001076882400.800+15%837698029.440+48%609804363.810+103%609804363.810+103%
Net Profit Margin--0.0110.029-63%0.010+11%-0.032+393%-0.032+393%
Operating Margin--0.0370.052-29%0.028+33%-0.008+121%-0.008+121%
Operating Ratio--0.9660.950+2%0.972-1%1.011-4%1.011-4%
Pb Ratio2.528+13%2.2091.957+13%1.617+37%1.228+80%1.228+80%
Pe Ratio133.954+13%117.06456.131+109%1115.231-90%311.128-62%311.128-62%
Price Per Share23.000+13%20.10017.588+14%13.870+45%10.037+100%10.037+100%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-37.181-14%-32.493-7.291-78%-59.800+84%-12.400-62%-12.400-62%
Price To Total Gains Ratio465.246+13%406.585205.176+98%214.677+89%258.091+58%258.091+58%
Quick Ratio--0.4790.544-12%0.586-18%0.525-9%0.525-9%
Return On Assets--0.0020.005-62%0.002+28%0.001+74%0.001+74%
Return On Equity--0.0050.012-59%0.003+40%-0.006+223%-0.006+223%
Total Gains Per Share--0.0490.108-54%0.077-36%0.569-91%0.569-91%
Usd Book Value--561284000.000549692250.000+2%517972750.000+8%378995250.000+48%378995250.000+48%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.0490.108-54%0.077-36%0.569-91%0.569-91%
Usd Book Value Per Share--9.0998.981+1%8.576+6%6.246+46%6.246+46%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Eps--0.0430.104-59%0.029+50%-0.026+160%-0.026+160%
Usd Free Cash Flow---9540000.0002662500.000-458%-98250.000-99%-479687.500-95%-479687.500-95%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.1550.045-447%-0.002-99%-0.008-95%-0.008-95%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.3020.158+91%-0.010+103%0.080+279%0.080+279%
Usd Market Cap1388567500.000+11%1239946307.1001076882400.800+15%837698029.440+48%609804363.810+103%609804363.810+103%
Usd Price Per Share23.000+13%20.10017.588+14%13.870+45%10.037+100%10.037+100%
Usd Profit--2648000.0006346250.000-58%1726750.000+53%-1218500.000+146%-1218500.000+146%
Usd Revenue--244633000.000222887750.000+10%182540500.000+34%160330875.000+53%160330875.000+53%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.0490.108-54%0.077-36%0.569-91%0.569-91%
 EOD+5 -3MRQTTM+11 -22YOY+19 -145Y+21 -1210Y+21 -12

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15133.954
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-12.528
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.011
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.037
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.479
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.619
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.557
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.257
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.005
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.002
Total3/10 (30.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5048.614
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5023.080
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10023.884
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20022.025
OpenGreater thanClose22.670
Total2/5 (40.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets1,267,045
Total Liabilities705,761
Total Stockholder Equity561,284
 As reported
Total Liabilities 705,761
Total Stockholder Equity+ 561,284
Total Assets = 1,267,045

Assets

Total Assets1,267,045
Total Current Assets71,190
Long-term Assets1,195,855
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 49,632
Net Receivables 5,532
Inventory 5,381
Other Current Assets 2,365
Total Current Assets  (as reported)71,190
Total Current Assets  (calculated)62,910
+/- 8,280
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 683,083
Goodwill 359,883
Intangible Assets 151,186
Long-term Assets Other 1,703
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,195,855
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,195,855
+/-0

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities115,073
Long-term Liabilities590,688
Total Stockholder Equity561,284
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 45,909
Short Long Term Debt 5,628
Accounts payable 6,324
Other Current Liabilities 57,341
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)115,073
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)115,202
+/- 129
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 119,767
Capital Lease Obligations 481,571
Long-term Liabilities Other 2,954
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)590,688
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)604,292
+/- 13,604
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock599
Retained Earnings -72,747
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -667
Other Stockholders Equity 634,099
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)561,284
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)561,284
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock599
Cash and Short Term Investments 49,632
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 61,689
Current Deferred Revenue5,499
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 1,267,045
Net Debt 557,334
Net Invested Capital 686,679
Net Working Capital -43,883
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 864,564
Short Long Term Debt Total 606,966



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-31
> Total Assets 
0
0
0
1,007,512
0
1,033,695
1,038,835
1,046,917
1,049,336
1,080,248
1,090,478
1,104,446
1,115,052
1,162,618
1,205,846
1,267,045
1,267,0451,205,8461,162,6181,115,0521,104,4461,090,4781,080,2481,049,3361,046,9171,038,8351,033,69501,007,512000
   > Total Current Assets 
11,121
0
49,038
49,038
38,846
60,361
66,721
67,697
61,251
70,031
65,225
67,288
70,159
85,043
58,565
71,190
71,19058,56585,04370,15967,28865,22570,03161,25167,69766,72160,36138,84649,03849,038011,121
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
-11,121
0
0
38,846
-38,846
48,033
51,851
51,864
46,521
53,566
49,371
49,672
54,416
66,765
39,923
49,632
49,63239,92366,76554,41649,67249,37153,56646,52151,86451,85148,033-38,84638,84600-11,121
       Short-term Investments 
22,242
0
0
0
77,692
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000000077,69200022,242
       Net Receivables 
0
0
3,915
3,915
2,950
2,950
2,901
4,450
3,027
3,869
3,432
6,164
3,828
4,466
4,990
5,532
5,5324,9904,4663,8286,1643,4323,8693,0274,4502,9012,9502,9503,9153,91500
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
872
621
2,268
968
1,232
1,432
1,410
2,837
3,724
373
585
1,982
3,005
2,365
2,3653,0051,9825853733,7242,8371,4101,4321,2329682,26862187200
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
958,474
0
973,334
972,114
979,220
988,085
1,010,217
1,025,253
1,037,158
1,044,893
1,077,575
1,147,281
1,195,855
1,195,8551,147,2811,077,5751,044,8931,037,1581,025,2531,010,217988,085979,220972,114973,3340958,474000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
468,302
468,302
483,305
483,305
482,335
489,690
498,687
520,822
535,851
547,490
555,389
581,769
638,291
683,083
683,083638,291581,769555,389547,490535,851520,822498,687489,690482,335483,305483,305468,302468,30200
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
345,219
0
345,219
345,219
345,219
345,219
345,219
345,219
345,219
345,219
350,491
356,969
359,883
359,883356,969350,491345,219345,219345,219345,219345,219345,219345,219345,2190345,219000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
143,662
0
143,499
143,241
143,000
142,859
142,894
142,988
143,151
143,025
144,083
150,280
151,186
151,186150,280144,083143,025143,151142,988142,894142,859143,000143,241143,4990143,662000
       Other Assets 
0
0
1,291
1,291
1,311
1,311
1,319
1,311
1,320
1,282
1,195
1,298
0
1,232
1,741
0
01,7411,23201,2981,1951,2821,3201,3111,3191,3111,3111,2911,29100
> Total Liabilities 
0
0
0
686,646
0
710,750
714,677
542,488
537,973
563,126
570,207
581,311
580,495
616,781
648,755
705,761
705,761648,755616,781580,495581,311570,207563,126537,973542,488714,677710,7500686,646000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
76,532
76,532
83,068
83,068
85,024
96,523
83,247
92,882
92,544
99,980
91,661
109,161
110,050
115,073
115,073110,050109,16191,66199,98092,54492,88283,24796,52385,02483,06883,06876,53276,53200
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
43,701
0
41,841
43,259
43,724
42,779
42,509
43,667
46,569
46,961
46,959
49,747
45,909
45,90949,74746,95946,96146,56943,66742,50942,77943,72443,25941,841043,701000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
3,590
0
3,619
3,626
5,538
5,090
4,918
5,628
7,633
6,487
7,225
6,891
5,628
5,6286,8917,2256,4877,6335,6284,9185,0905,5383,6263,61903,590000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
4,220
4,220
6,367
6,367
6,977
11,060
7,965
6,986
7,500
7,590
5,223
5,514
5,550
6,324
6,3245,5505,5145,2237,5907,5006,9867,96511,0606,9776,3676,3674,2204,22000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
8,808
24,338
7,112
31,976
32,537
37,085
29,501
40,321
38,990
40,628
36,252
53,216
52,098
57,341
57,34152,09853,21636,25240,62838,99040,32129,50137,08532,53731,9767,11224,3388,80800
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
610,114
0
627,682
629,653
445,965
454,726
470,244
477,663
481,331
488,834
507,620
538,705
590,688
590,688538,705507,620488,834481,331477,663470,244454,726445,965629,653627,6820610,114000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
15,912
15,912
18,529
18,529
19,477
15,717
17,813
19,287
20,583
20,550
0
0
0
0
000020,55020,58319,28717,81315,71719,47718,52918,52915,91215,91200
> Total Stockholder Equity
329,797
0
0
320,866
320,866
322,945
324,158
504,429
511,363
517,122
520,271
523,135
534,557
545,837
557,091
561,284
561,284557,091545,837534,557523,135520,271517,122511,363504,429324,158322,945320,866320,86600329,797
   Common Stock
0
0
38
450
38
450
450
590
590
591
591
592
593
594
597
599
599597594593592591591590590450450384503800
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-160
825
-667
-667825-1600000000000000
   Capital Surplus 0000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
423,345
320,863
423,661
424,091
608,878
611,172
614,223
617,326
620,675
622,736
626,216
631,064
634,099
634,099631,064626,216622,736620,675617,326614,223611,172608,878424,091423,661320,863423,345000



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue891,551
Cost of Revenue-701,434
Gross Profit190,117190,117
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit190,117
Operating Expense-144,344
Operating Income41,26745,773
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative103,121
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense144,344103,121
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-8,063
Other Finance Cost-533
Net Interest Income-7,530
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income41,267
Net Interest Income-7,530
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)36,07542,902
EBIT - interestExpense = 40,581
36,075
33,448
Interest Expense8,063
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)48,64444,138
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)89,867
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax36,075
Tax Provision-8,575
Net Income From Continuing Ops22,25127,500
Net Income25,385
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses845,778
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-1,6357,530
 

Technical Analysis of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The general trend of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is BULLISH with 28.6% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (28.6%) Bearish trend (-28.6%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 23.49 < 25.53 < 25.88.

The bearish price targets are: 21.81 > 20.95 > 18.12.

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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 9/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 4/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current macd is -0.37264995.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 3/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the First Watch Restaurant Group Inc price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the First Watch Restaurant Group Inc price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current adx is 22.67.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell First Watch Restaurant Group Inc shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current sar is 21.83.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current rsi is 48.61. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -2/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bull market: Moderate price decline, potential pause in the uptrend. Reassess the market, wait for signs of stabilization.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the First Watch Restaurant Group Inc price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current cci is -16.02126407.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current cmo is 5.06381415.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current willr is -30.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Williams %R ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current atr is 0.66159224.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current obv is 3,242,089.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. The current mfi is 58.12.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-08BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-12RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2023-12-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-21BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-26MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-27RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2023-12-28SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-02MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-03WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-04DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-10DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-11SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-19WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-22MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-24MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-01-25RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-01-26MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-01-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-30MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-01-31RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-02RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-08CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-09BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-13RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-02-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-26SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-27CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-06SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-03-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-13CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-20CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-27SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-01CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-02SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-03CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-04DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-04-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-23SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-04-24MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5048.614
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5023.080
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10023.884
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20022.025
OpenGreater thanClose22.670
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke

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