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Serco Group PLC
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Serco together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Serco Group PLC. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Serco Group PLC. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Serco (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Serco? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.15
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
70.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$0.92
Expected worth in 1 year
$1.19
How sure are you?
80.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$0.42
Return On Investment
18.6%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$2.27
Expected price per share
$2.27 - $2.38
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Serco (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$2.27

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$2.52 - $6.85

Total Value Per Share

$3.43 - $7.76

2. Growth of Serco (5 min.)




Is Serco growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1b$1b$4.2m0.4%

How much money is Serco making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$251.7m$193.2m$58.4m23.2%
Net Profit Margin4.1%3.4%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Serco (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Specialty Business Services industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Specialty Business Services)  


Richest
#30 / 210

Most Revenue
#8 / 210

Most Profit
#13 / 210

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Serco? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Serco's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Serco.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Serco?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Serco. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Serco is $2.27. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Serco.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Serco, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $0.92. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.07 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.04 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.04 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Serco.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.229.8%0.229.8%0.167.0%0.177.7%-0.08-3.5%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.073.0%0.073.0%0.041.6%0.115.0%-0.01-0.4%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.041.6%0.041.6%0.031.4%0.031.3%0.021.1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.114.7%0.114.7%0.073.0%0.146.4%0.010.6%
Usd Price Per Share2.03-2.03-1.87-1.90-1.59-
Price to Earnings Ratio9.10-9.10-11.75-16.02--5.88-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio19.22-19.22-27.47-16.12-8.73-
Price to Book Ratio2.22-2.22-2.20-2.85--1.30-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio19.22-19.22-27.47-16.12-8.73-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share2.27
Number of shares440
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.040.03
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.070.11
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.110.14
Gains per Quarter (440 shares)46.4663.43
Gains per Year (440 shares)185.85253.72
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
16512017652201244
2131241362104403498
3196361548157604752
42614827342098061006
532760292026110071260
6392723110631312091514
7457843129236614101768
8523964147841816122022
95881084166447018132276
106541205185052220152530

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%6.04.00.060.0%29.04.00.087.9%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%27.06.00.081.8%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%7.00.03.070.0%19.00.014.057.6%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%28.05.00.084.8%

Fundamentals of Serco

About Serco Group PLC

Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It offers service design and advisory, resourcing, programmes management, systems integration, case management, engineering, and assets and facilities management services. The company also provides administrative and back office, asylum seeker accommodation or passenger transport services; supports in the decarbonization journeys of customers and society, including installation of ground source heat pumps, solar panels, and energy efficiency upgrades; ecosystem restoration and biodiversity services comprising plantation; reforestation services; and a rage of support services for environmental protection. In addition, it offers marine environmental monitoring as well as a host of other earth observation solutions; a suite of sustainable mobility services in tourism destinations; delivers maritime services that supports pollution response; behavioral and cultural change support services; and performs analysis to complete assessments of contaminated sites. The company serves the United Kingdom and Canadian governments, devolved authorities, and other public sector customers; and federal and civilian agencies, and various state and municipal governments in citizen services, defense, health and other facilities management, justice and immigration, and transport sectors. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-03 13:50:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.

1.1. Profitability of Serco Group PLC.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Serco earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 4.1% means that $0.04 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 4.1%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 4.1%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.1%TTM4.1%0.0%
TTM4.1%YOY3.4%+0.7%
TTM4.1%5Y3.9%+0.2%
5Y3.9%10Y-1.7%+5.6%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.1%2.7%+1.4%
TTM4.1%2.9%+1.2%
YOY3.4%3.3%+0.1%
5Y3.9%2.1%+1.8%
10Y-1.7%3.2%-4.9%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Serco is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • 9.6% Return on Assets means that Serco generated $0.10 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 9.6%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 9.6%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ9.6%TTM9.6%0.0%
TTM9.6%YOY7.0%+2.6%
TTM9.6%5Y8.1%+1.6%
5Y8.1%10Y-4.0%+12.1%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ9.6%0.9%+8.7%
TTM9.6%1.0%+8.6%
YOY7.0%1.4%+5.6%
5Y8.1%1.0%+7.1%
10Y-4.0%1.4%-5.4%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Serco is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • 24.3% Return on Equity means Serco generated $0.24 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 24.3%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 24.3%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ24.3%TTM24.3%0.0%
TTM24.3%YOY18.8%+5.5%
TTM24.3%5Y23.1%+1.2%
5Y23.1%10Y6.9%+16.2%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ24.3%2.4%+21.9%
TTM24.3%2.7%+21.6%
YOY18.8%3.9%+14.9%
5Y23.1%2.2%+20.9%
10Y6.9%3.0%+3.9%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Serco Group PLC.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Serco is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Serco makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 4.5% means the company generated $0.05  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 4.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 4.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.5%TTM4.5%0.0%
TTM4.5%YOY4.9%-0.4%
TTM4.5%5Y4.6%-0.1%
5Y4.6%10Y0.3%+4.3%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.5%6.7%-2.2%
TTM4.5%5.3%-0.8%
YOY4.9%5.0%-0.1%
5Y4.6%4.3%+0.3%
10Y0.3%5.3%-5.0%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Serco is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Business Services industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.95 means that the operating costs are $0.95 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 0.955. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.955. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.955TTM0.9550.000
TTM0.955YOY0.954+0.001
TTM0.9555Y0.957-0.002
5Y0.95710Y0.989-0.032
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9551.079-0.124
TTM0.9551.097-0.142
YOY0.9541.022-0.068
5Y0.9571.073-0.116
10Y0.9891.045-0.056

1.3. Liquidity of Serco Group PLC.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Serco is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Business Services industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.87 means the company has $0.87 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 0.872. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
  • The TTM is 0.872. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.872TTM0.8720.000
TTM0.872YOY0.795+0.077
TTM0.8725Y0.940-0.068
5Y0.94010Y0.984-0.045
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8721.417-0.545
TTM0.8721.398-0.526
YOY0.7951.393-0.598
5Y0.9401.419-0.479
10Y0.9841.443-0.459
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Serco is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.83 means the company can pay off $0.83 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 0.828. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.828. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.828TTM0.8280.000
TTM0.828YOY0.683+0.146
TTM0.8285Y0.845-0.017
5Y0.84510Y0.799+0.047
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8280.854-0.026
TTM0.8280.877-0.049
YOY0.6830.918-0.235
5Y0.8450.999-0.154
10Y0.7991.028-0.229

1.4. Solvency of Serco Group PLC.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Serco assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Serco to Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.60 means that Serco assets are financed with 60.4% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 60.4%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 0.604. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.604. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.604TTM0.6040.000
TTM0.604YOY0.626-0.022
TTM0.6045Y0.661-0.057
5Y0.66110Y0.750-0.090
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6040.572+0.032
TTM0.6040.568+0.036
YOY0.6260.571+0.055
5Y0.6610.561+0.100
10Y0.7500.559+0.191
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Serco is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 152.5% means that company has $1.52 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The MRQ is 1.525. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.525. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.525TTM1.5250.000
TTM1.525YOY1.673-0.149
TTM1.5255Y2.025-0.501
5Y2.02510Y2.608-0.583
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.5251.198+0.327
TTM1.5251.234+0.291
YOY1.6731.288+0.385
5Y2.0251.290+0.735
10Y2.6081.291+1.317

2. Market Valuation of Serco Group PLC

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Serco generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 9.10 means the investor is paying $9.10 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The EOD is 10.178. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 9.102. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 9.102. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD10.178MRQ9.102+1.076
MRQ9.102TTM9.1020.000
TTM9.102YOY11.748-2.646
TTM9.1025Y16.021-6.919
5Y16.02110Y-5.881+21.902
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD10.17811.522-1.344
MRQ9.10211.529-2.427
TTM9.10210.938-1.836
YOY11.74812.920-1.172
5Y16.02116.0210.000
10Y-5.88114.353-20.234
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The EOD is 5.675. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 5.075. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 5.075. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD5.675MRQ5.075+0.600
MRQ5.075TTM5.0750.000
TTM5.075YOY5.932-0.856
TTM5.0755Y10.102-5.027
5Y10.10210Y8.802+1.300
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD5.6754.796+0.879
MRQ5.0754.962+0.113
TTM5.0753.480+1.595
YOY5.9325.357+0.575
5Y10.1023.590+6.512
10Y8.8024.880+3.922
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Serco is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Business Services industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 2.22 means the investor is paying $2.22 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Serco Group PLC:

  • The EOD is 2.478. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 2.216. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 2.216. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.478MRQ2.216+0.262
MRQ2.216TTM2.2160.000
TTM2.216YOY2.205+0.011
TTM2.2165Y2.852-0.636
5Y2.85210Y-1.304+4.156
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.4781.688+0.790
MRQ2.2161.909+0.307
TTM2.2161.874+0.342
YOY2.2051.962+0.243
5Y2.8522.046+0.806
10Y-1.3042.202-3.506
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Serco Group PLC compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.0680.0680%0.037+85%0.114-40%-0.009+114%
Book Value Per Share--0.9160.9160%0.848+8%0.719+27%0.476+92%
Current Ratio--0.8720.8720%0.795+10%0.940-7%0.984-11%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6040.6040%0.626-3%0.661-9%0.750-19%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.5251.5250%1.673-9%2.025-25%2.608-42%
Dividend Per Share--0.0370.0370%0.031+20%0.030+25%0.024+56%
Eps--0.2230.2230%0.159+40%0.174+28%-0.079+135%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.4000.4000%0.315+27%0.266+50%0.107+274%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0500.0500%-0.132+363%0.076-34%-0.010+120%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--6.847--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--2.515--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.419--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.145--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.462--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--0.531--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--2.751--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--1.019--------
Market Cap2466241608.960+7%2291058000.0002291058000.0000%2270461200.000+1%2287279080.000+0%1855443333.715+23%
Net Profit Margin--0.0410.0410%0.034+20%0.039+6%-0.017+142%
Operating Margin--0.0450.0450%0.049-8%0.046-2%0.003+1401%
Operating Ratio--0.9550.9550%0.954+0%0.9570%0.989-3%
Pb Ratio2.478+11%2.2162.2160%2.205+0%2.852-22%-1.304+159%
Pe Ratio10.178+11%9.1029.1020%11.748-23%16.021-43%-5.881+165%
Price Per Share2.270+11%2.0302.0300%1.869+9%1.898+7%1.594+27%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio5.675+11%5.0755.0750%5.932-14%10.102-50%8.802-42%
Price To Total Gains Ratio21.497+11%19.22419.2240%27.470-30%16.120+19%8.729+120%
Quick Ratio--0.8280.8280%0.683+21%0.845-2%0.799+4%
Return On Assets--0.0960.0960%0.070+37%0.081+19%-0.040+141%
Return On Equity--0.2430.2430%0.188+30%0.231+5%0.069+252%
Total Gains Per Share--0.1060.1060%0.068+55%0.144-27%0.015+624%
Usd Book Value--1033900000.0001033900000.0000%1029700000.000+0%865980000.000+19%563860000.000+83%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.0680.0680%0.037+85%0.114-40%-0.009+114%
Usd Book Value Per Share--0.9160.9160%0.848+8%0.719+27%0.476+92%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.0370.0370%0.031+20%0.030+25%0.024+56%
Usd Eps--0.2230.2230%0.159+40%0.174+28%-0.079+135%
Usd Free Cash Flow--451426800.000451426800.0000%382780080.000+18%319754432.000+41%130801848.000+245%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.4000.4000%0.315+27%0.266+50%0.107+274%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0500.0500%-0.132+363%0.076-34%-0.010+120%
Usd Market Cap2466241608.960+7%2291058000.0002291058000.0000%2270461200.000+1%2287279080.000+0%1855443333.715+23%
Usd Price Per Share2.270+11%2.0302.0300%1.869+9%1.898+7%1.594+27%
Usd Profit--251704640.000251704640.0000%193255440.000+30%210392248.000+20%-73123680.000+129%
Usd Revenue--6101474680.0006101474680.0000%5638482400.000+8%5222647432.000+17%4592801340.000+33%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.1060.1060%0.068+55%0.144-27%0.015+624%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+30 -55Y+25 -1010Y+31 -4

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Serco Group PLC based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1510.178
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-12.478
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.041
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.045
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.828
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.872
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.604
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.525
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.243
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.096
Total6/10 (60.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Serco Group PLC based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5036.192
Ma 20Greater thanMa 502.358
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1002.312
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2002.162
OpenGreater thanClose2.270
Total3/5 (60.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets2,610,300
Total Liabilities1,576,400
Total Stockholder Equity1,034,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,576,400
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,034,000
Total Assets = 2,610,300

Assets

Total Assets2,610,300
Total Current Assets782,800
Long-term Assets1,827,500
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 94,400
Net Receivables 649,400
Inventory 24,100
Other Current Assets 14,900
Total Current Assets  (as reported)782,800
Total Current Assets  (calculated)782,800
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 485,200
Goodwill 906,700
Intangible Assets 115,600
Long-term Assets Other 37,400
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,827,500
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,544,900
+/- 282,600

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities897,800
Long-term Liabilities678,600
Total Stockholder Equity1,034,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 191,000
Short Long Term Debt 51,000
Accounts payable 558,000
Other Current Liabilities 113,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)897,800
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)913,000
+/- 15,200
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 155,200
Capital Lease Obligations 453,700
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)678,600
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)608,900
+/- 69,700
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock22,100
Retained Earnings 659,100
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -110,300
Other Stockholders Equity 463,100
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,034,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)1,034,000
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock22,100
Cash and Short Term Investments 94,400
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 1,128,600
Current Deferred Revenue35,800
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 2,610,300
Net Debt 565,500
Net Invested Capital 1,240,200
Net Working Capital -115,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 996,300
Short Long Term Debt Total 659,900



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-312000-12-311999-12-311998-12-311997-12-311996-12-311995-12-311994-12-311993-12-311992-12-311991-12-311990-12-311989-12-311988-12-311987-12-311986-12-311985-12-31
> Total Assets 
11,263
13,518
17,621
20,582
24,535
31,186
50,353
71,041
98,235
107,378
140,552
144,327
202,038
277,877
368,893
443,068
585,847
703,534
1,234,185
1,420,500
2,112,200
1,665,300
1,740,400
2,512,100
2,531,500
2,517,000
3,182,100
3,247,100
2,808,900
2,223,900
1,839,500
1,764,600
1,512,800
1,553,600
2,079,400
2,410,300
2,734,000
2,750,200
2,610,300
2,610,3002,750,2002,734,0002,410,3002,079,4001,553,6001,512,8001,764,6001,839,5002,223,9002,808,9003,247,1003,182,1002,517,0002,531,5002,512,1001,740,4001,665,3002,112,2001,420,5001,234,185703,534585,847443,068368,893277,877202,038144,327140,552107,37898,23571,04150,35331,18624,53520,58217,62113,51811,263
   > Total Current Assets 
10,016
11,516
13,741
14,731
17,553
21,920
40,449
52,523
79,068
86,751
112,408
111,605
164,231
219,966
247,509
296,769
346,460
439,492
908,951
617,500
805,900
732,900
806,400
1,031,700
1,107,600
1,138,800
1,129,000
1,143,700
967,100
1,297,200
925,500
759,600
657,500
644,200
726,800
976,100
850,800
814,000
782,800
782,800814,000850,800976,100726,800644,200657,500759,600925,5001,297,200967,1001,143,7001,129,0001,138,8001,107,6001,031,700806,400732,900805,900617,500908,951439,492346,460296,769247,509219,966164,231111,605112,40886,75179,06852,52340,44921,92017,55314,73113,74111,51610,016
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
3,909
1,546
1,845
979
12,767
6,255
23,332
11,768
22,211
10,862
19,618
53,474
58,779
80,098
34,812
71,774
170,888
200,500
240,700
217,900
185,000
250,800
319,400
279,300
254,800
198,600
125,100
180,100
323,600
177,800
112,100
62,500
89,500
335,700
198,400
57,200
94,400
94,40057,200198,400335,70089,50062,500112,100177,800323,600180,100125,100198,600254,800279,300319,400250,800185,000217,900240,700200,500170,88871,77434,81280,09858,77953,47419,61810,86222,21111,76823,3326,25512,7679791,8451,5463,90900
       Short-term Investments 
3,649
2,305
2,438
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
71,774
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-600
-3,900
9,400
4,900
10,300
-30,400
-25,700
-23,100
-13,200
-25,100
0
0-25,100-13,200-23,100-25,700-30,40010,3004,9009,400-3,900-600000000000071,774000000000000002,4382,3053,649
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
157,488
495,563
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
219,000
152,500
468,500
498,100
474,800
499,900
572,100
569,000
587,300
667,300
649,400
649,400667,300587,300569,000572,100499,900474,800498,100468,500152,500219,000000000000495,563157,48800000000000000000
       Inventory 
1,607
2,472
2,700
2,390
1,979
3,920
5,288
8,153
3,935
4,559
4,009
4,393
8,099
9,127
26,830
25,942
35,838
38,744
39,543
26,900
36,400
51,700
46,300
50,200
65,900
65,400
58,800
64,400
49,400
31,200
26,400
22,400
17,400
22,900
18,300
21,400
19,600
22,400
24,100
24,10022,40019,60021,40018,30022,90017,40022,40026,40031,20049,40064,40058,80065,40065,90050,20046,30051,70036,40026,90039,54338,74435,83825,94226,8309,1278,0994,3934,0094,5593,9358,1535,2883,9201,9792,3902,7002,4721,607
   > Long-term Assets 
1,247
2,002
3,880
5,851
6,982
9,266
9,904
18,518
19,167
20,627
28,144
32,722
37,807
57,911
121,384
146,299
239,387
264,042
325,234
803,000
1,306,300
932,400
934,000
1,480,400
1,423,900
1,378,200
2,053,100
2,103,400
1,841,800
926,700
914,000
1,005,000
855,300
909,400
1,352,600
1,434,200
1,883,200
1,936,200
1,827,500
1,827,5001,936,2001,883,2001,434,2001,352,600909,400855,3001,005,000914,000926,7001,841,8002,103,4002,053,1001,378,2001,423,9001,480,400934,000932,4001,306,300803,000325,234264,042239,387146,299121,38457,91137,80732,72228,14420,62719,16718,5189,9049,2666,9825,8513,8802,0021,247
       Property Plant Equipment 
1,247
2,002
3,880
5,838
6,962
9,118
9,151
15,625
17,377
18,162
24,829
27,974
28,994
23,962
36,508
40,269
48,724
14,141
77,398
96,200
103,000
93,600
95,100
115,400
129,200
135,400
194,800
190,600
176,800
38,400
73,200
69,300
65,200
64,800
392,600
441,700
472,200
482,300
485,200
485,200482,300472,200441,700392,60064,80065,20069,30073,20038,400176,800190,600194,800135,400129,200115,40095,10093,600103,00096,20077,39814,14148,72440,26936,50823,96228,99427,97424,82918,16217,37715,6259,1519,1186,9625,8383,8802,0021,247
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
165,515
0
0
544,500
528,500
542,100
963,200
898,400
899,500
1,259,000
1,312,300
1,270,800
541,500
509,900
577,900
551,300
579,600
671,200
669,600
852,700
945,000
906,700
906,700945,000852,700669,600671,200579,600551,300577,900509,900541,5001,270,8001,312,3001,259,000899,500898,400963,200542,100528,500544,50000165,51500000000000000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,700
5,532
17,200
15,000
29,700
30,500
33,000
0
0
0
0
000033,00030,50029,70015,00017,2005,5328,7000000000000000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
23,332
66,854
68,662
141,170
-18,042
222,950
252,400
107,800
126,100
139,400
192,700
164,400
145,000
184,900
226,900
185,700
118,800
89,800
83,600
66,700
67,300
96,500
80,600
144,000
158,000
115,600
115,600158,000144,00080,60096,50067,30066,70083,60089,800118,800185,700226,900184,900145,000164,400192,700139,400126,100107,800252,400222,950-18,042141,17068,66266,85423,3320000000000000
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
245,400
255,657
247,500
276,600
165,500
174,600
162,400
214,200
396,700
329,200
0
0329,200396,700214,200162,400174,600165,500276,600247,500255,657245,4000000000000000000000000000000
> Total Liabilities 
6,154
7,485
15,545
15,328
17,987
26,062
37,195
59,134
87,880
95,016
123,034
118,052
175,358
205,684
277,265
334,143
456,776
435,677
953,375
1,251,300
1,852,200
1,305,400
1,241,900
1,826,800
1,839,400
1,675,700
2,178,300
2,118,200
1,713,000
2,290,100
1,557,400
1,365,800
1,205,600
1,166,800
1,536,500
1,695,300
1,725,600
1,720,500
1,576,400
1,576,4001,720,5001,725,6001,695,3001,536,5001,166,8001,205,6001,365,8001,557,4002,290,1001,713,0002,118,2002,178,3001,675,7001,839,4001,826,8001,241,9001,305,4001,852,2001,251,300953,375435,677456,776334,143277,265205,684175,358118,052123,03495,01687,88059,13437,19526,06217,98715,32815,5457,4856,154
   > Total Current Liabilities 
4,947
5,915
8,034
13,128
14,497
20,546
30,189
45,354
75,804
79,688
105,632
101,848
121,616
153,001
204,127
260,944
362,957
313,556
357,051
477,300
628,500
631,700
708,100
821,200
907,900
994,000
1,061,600
997,800
768,000
1,091,300
914,500
745,300
678,100
674,600
775,500
868,200
877,300
1,024,200
897,800
897,8001,024,200877,300868,200775,500674,600678,100745,300914,5001,091,300768,000997,8001,061,600994,000907,900821,200708,100631,700628,500477,300357,051313,556362,957260,944204,127153,001121,616101,848105,63279,68875,80445,35430,18920,54614,49713,1288,0345,9154,947
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
218
2,360
2,415
674
1,945
6,325
10,085
2,366
3,844
9,889
4,694
12,144
25,913
36,982
73,833
7,594
10,371
54,500
73,000
66,200
21,200
41,300
116,700
166,600
216,900
75,400
67,100
53,500
148,000
22,000
40,300
27,600
140,700
199,000
191,200
188,900
191,000
191,000188,900191,200199,000140,70027,60040,30022,000148,00053,50067,10075,400216,900166,600116,70041,30021,20066,20073,00054,50010,3717,59473,83336,98225,91312,1444,6949,8893,8442,36610,0856,3251,9456742,4152,36021800
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
876,400
44,152
132,200
9,700
31,800
21,900
56,100
89,700
64,900
44,500
51,000
51,00044,50064,90089,70056,10021,90031,8009,700132,20044,152876,4000000000000000000000000000000
       Accounts payable 
347
544
752
1,385
2,301
6,370
8,954
11,065
25,999
26,173
33,009
32,654
42,708
48,768
48,178
56,902
58,034
74,377
81,335
417,000
531,100
541,900
670,000
756,200
771,600
805,500
804,200
883,100
644,100
581,900
548,800
524,500
462,900
419,700
489,000
99,600
89,200
108,300
558,000
558,000108,30089,20099,600489,000419,700462,900524,500548,800581,900644,100883,100804,200805,500771,600756,200670,000541,900531,100417,00081,33574,37758,03456,90248,17848,76842,70832,65433,00926,17325,99911,0658,9546,3702,3011,385752544347
       Other Current Liabilities 
4,600
5,371
7,064
9,383
9,781
13,502
19,290
27,964
39,720
51,149
68,779
59,305
74,214
92,089
130,036
167,060
231,090
16,974
90,892
5,800
24,400
23,600
16,900
23,700
19,600
21,900
40,500
39,300
56,800
455,900
162,000
144,100
110,600
153,000
79,000
527,300
535,600
666,500
113,000
113,000666,500535,600527,30079,000153,000110,600144,100162,000455,90056,80039,30040,50021,90019,60023,70016,90023,60024,4005,80090,89216,974231,090167,060130,03692,08974,21459,30568,77951,14939,72027,96419,29013,5029,7819,3837,0645,3714,600
   > Long-term Liabilities 
1,207
1,570
7,511
2,200
3,490
5,516
7,006
13,780
12,076
15,328
17,402
16,204
53,742
52,683
73,138
73,199
93,819
122,121
596,324
774,000
1,223,700
673,700
533,800
1,005,600
931,500
681,700
1,116,700
1,120,400
945,000
1,198,800
642,900
620,500
527,500
492,200
761,000
827,100
848,300
696,300
678,600
678,600696,300848,300827,100761,000492,200527,500620,500642,9001,198,800945,0001,120,4001,116,700681,700931,5001,005,600533,800673,7001,223,700774,000596,324122,12193,81973,19973,13852,68353,74216,20417,40215,32812,07613,7807,0065,5163,4902,2007,5111,5701,207
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
135,700
430,956
365,200
314,400
321,900
265,500
226,800
234,700
232,200
176,300
0
0176,300232,200234,700226,800265,500321,900314,400365,200430,956135,7000000000000000000000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
44,600
31,882
23,600
17,400
13,000
7,400
2,600
500
0
1,600
0
01,60005002,6007,40013,00017,40023,60031,88244,6000000000000000000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
5,109
6,033
2,076
5,254
6,548
4,910
13,158
11,907
10,355
12,362
17,518
26,275
26,680
72,193
91,628
108,925
129,071
267,857
280,810
167,500
257,900
358,000
497,200
685,200
692,000
841,300
1,003,800
1,127,600
1,095,200
-68,000
280,600
397,400
305,900
385,400
541,400
713,300
1,006,700
1,028,200
1,034,000
1,034,0001,028,2001,006,700713,300541,400385,400305,900397,400280,600-68,0001,095,2001,127,6001,003,800841,300692,000685,200497,200358,000257,900167,500280,810267,857129,071108,92591,62872,19326,68026,27517,51812,36210,35511,90713,1584,9106,5485,2542,0766,0335,109
   Common Stock
0
0
169
169
169
169
229
230
236
1,184
1,188
1,216
1,224
1,285
1,307
7,877
7,903
8,697
8,697
8,700
9,400
9,500
9,700
9,700
9,800
9,900
9,900
10,000
10,000
11,000
22,000
22,000
22,000
22,000
24,500
24,700
24,400
24,400
22,100
22,10024,40024,40024,70024,50022,00022,00022,00022,00011,00010,00010,0009,9009,9009,8009,7009,7009,5009,4008,7008,6978,6977,9037,8771,3071,2851,2241,2161,1881,18423623022916916916916900
   Retained Earnings 
5,109
6,033
1,281
2,847
4,211
5,727
7,329
10,201
13,742
18,552
24,926
31,699
-1,742
10,492
20,661
30,784
47,369
68,226
98,128
104,400
132,800
196,600
260,600
339,800
444,100
568,500
706,300
909,700
946,700
-306,000
68,500
83,100
83,700
111,100
165,900
302,400
542,800
670,600
659,100
659,100670,600542,800302,400165,900111,10083,70083,10068,500-306,000946,700909,700706,300568,500444,100339,800260,600196,600132,800104,40098,12868,22647,36930,78420,66110,492-1,74231,69924,92618,55213,74210,2017,3295,7274,2112,8471,2816,0335,109
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000000000000000000000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
626
2,238
2,168
-986
5,600
1,476
-3,623
-7,374
-8,596
-6,640
27,198
60,416
69,660
70,264
73,799
190,934
173,985
54,400
115,700
151,900
226,900
335,700
238,100
262,900
287,600
207,900
138,500
227,000
268,100
275,800
281,800
252,300
351,000
386,200
439,500
333,200
463,100
463,100333,200439,500386,200351,000252,300281,800275,800268,100227,000138,500207,900287,600262,900238,100335,700226,900151,900115,70054,400173,985190,93473,79970,26469,66060,41627,198-6,640-8,596-7,374-3,6231,4765,600-9862,1682,23862600



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue4,906,300
Cost of Revenue-4,408,800
Gross Profit497,500497,500
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit497,500
Operating Expense-275,800
Operating Income221,700221,700
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development2,900
Selling General Administrative275,800
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense275,800278,700
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income7,000
Interest Expense-31,600
Other Finance Cost-800
Net Interest Income-23,800
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income221,700
Net Interest Income-23,800
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)218,000225,400
EBIT - interestExpense = 190,100
247,000
234,000
Interest Expense31,600
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)221,700249,600
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)396,200
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax218,000
Tax Provision-44,600
Net Income From Continuing Ops202,400173,400
Net Income202,400
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses4,684,600
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-3,70023,800
 

Technical Analysis of Serco
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Serco. The general trend of Serco is BULLISH with 57.1% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Serco's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (57.1%) Bearish trend (-57.1%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Serco Group PLC.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 2.3795 < 2.38 < 2.38.

The bearish price targets are: 2.27 > 2.27 > 2.27.

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Serco Group PLC Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Serco Group PLC. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 11/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 8/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Serco Group PLC Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Serco Group PLC. The current macd is 0.01476105.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 1/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Serco price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Serco. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Serco price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Serco Group PLC. The current adx is 21.61.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Serco shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bearish trend could be forming. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Serco Group PLC. The current sar is 2.4.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Serco Group PLC. The current rsi is 36.19. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bull market: Moderate price decline, potential pause in the uptrend. Reassess the market, wait for signs of stabilization.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Serco Group PLC. The current phase is Oversold in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -6/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Serco price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Serco Group PLC. The current cci is -153.62318841.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Serco Group PLC. The current cmo is -54.50211005.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Serco Group PLC. The current willr is -100.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Williams %R ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Serco Group PLC.

Serco Group PLC Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Serco Group PLC. The current atr is 0.02011514.

Serco Group PLC Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Serco Group PLC. The current obv is 64,450.

Serco Group PLC Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Serco Group PLC. The current mfi is 0.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -2/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
  • MFI < 20: -1
Serco Group PLC Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartSerco Group PLC Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Serco Group PLC.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-24DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-11-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-13WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-14MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-12-18SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2023-12-21MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-28ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-02ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-03MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-01-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-17MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-01-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-24MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-25MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-26RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-29BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-31DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-01MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-02-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-02-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-16MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-21RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-27MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-03-01DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-03-04MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-03-05CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-11DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-03-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-14ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-03-21MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-26DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-03-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-03-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-01MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-04-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-04-11MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-04-15WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-16DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Serco Group PLC Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Serco Group PLC based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5036.192
Ma 20Greater thanMa 502.358
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1002.312
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2002.162
OpenGreater thanClose2.270
Total3/5 (60.0%)
Penke

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