25 XP   0   0   10

Origin Agritech Ltd
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Origin Agritech Ltd together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Origin Agritech Ltd. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Origin Agritech Ltd. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

Get notifications about Origin Agritech Ltd

I send you an email if I find something interesting about Origin Agritech Ltd.

Quick analysis of Origin Agritech Ltd (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Origin Agritech Ltd? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.02
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
30.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$-1.71
Expected worth in 1 year
$6.53
How sure are you?
20.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$8.26
Return On Investment
238.8%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$3.46
Expected price per share
$2.55 - $4.5758
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Origin Agritech Ltd (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$3.46

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$-6.98 - $18.16

Total Value Per Share

$-8.70 - $16.44

2. Growth of Origin Agritech Ltd (5 min.)




Is Origin Agritech Ltd growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?-$11.2m-$23.8m$12.6m112.5%

How much money is Origin Agritech Ltd making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$7.6m$321k$7.3m95.8%
Net Profit Margin59.3%4.4%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Origin Agritech Ltd (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Agricultural Inputs industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Agricultural Inputs)  


Richest
#154 / 157

Most Revenue
#129 / 157

Most Profit
#88 / 157

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Origin Agritech Ltd? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Origin Agritech Ltd's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Origin Agritech Ltd.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Origin Agritech Ltd?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Origin Agritech Ltd. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Origin Agritech Ltd is $3.46. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Origin Agritech Ltd.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Origin Agritech Ltd, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $-1.71. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $2.06 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.28 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Origin Agritech Ltd.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps1.1733.7%1.1733.7%-0.14-4.0%-0.84-24.2%-1.10-31.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share2.0659.6%2.0659.6%0.288.2%-0.24-7.0%-0.87-25.2%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.1%0.000.1%0.051.5%0.010.3%0.030.7%
Usd Total Gains Per Share2.0759.7%2.0759.7%0.349.7%-0.23-6.6%-0.85-24.5%
Usd Price Per Share3.31-3.31-8.66-7.15-4.85-
Price to Earnings Ratio2.84-2.84--63.20--14.81--14.64-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio1.60-1.60-25.73-4.17--5.57-
Price to Book Ratio-1.93--1.93--2.29--4.69--3.21-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio1.60-1.60-25.73-4.17--5.57-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share3.46
Number of shares289
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.01
Usd Book Value Change Per Share2.06-0.24
Usd Total Gains Per Share2.07-0.23
Gains per Quarter (289 shares)596.98-66.25
Gains per Year (289 shares)2,387.92-265.00
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
152383237813-278-275
2104766476627-557-540
3157149715440-835-805
4209532954253-1113-1070
524119151193066-1391-1335
629142981431880-1670-1600
734166811670693-1948-1865
8391906419094106-2226-2130
9442144721482120-2505-2395
10492383023870133-2783-2660

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%1.02.00.033.3%1.04.00.020.0%1.09.00.010.0%7.014.00.033.3%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%2.02.01.040.0%2.07.01.020.0%9.011.01.042.9%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.00.01.066.7%2.00.03.040.0%3.00.07.030.0%10.00.011.047.6%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%2.02.01.040.0%2.07.01.020.0%9.011.01.042.9%

Fundamentals of Origin Agritech Ltd

About Origin Agritech Ltd

Origin Agritech Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agricultural biotechnology in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the development and distribution of seed products; and research on genetically enhanced breeding technologies in agricultural crops. Its products include corn, soybean, canola, and rice seeds. The company is also involved in the development, production, and distribution of hybrid crop seeds, as well as develops hybrid seed technology. In addition, it operates an e-commerce platform. The company has a collaboration agreement with the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the National Maize Improvement Center, Henan Agriculture University, China Agricultural University, and Zhejiang University for seed genetic modifications and biotechnologies. Origin Agritech Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-12 18:02:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very efficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is unable to pay all its debts by selling its assets.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is expensive.
Based on the earnings, the company is cheap.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Origin Agritech Ltd.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Origin Agritech Ltd earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 59.3% means that $0.59 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 59.3%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 59.3%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ59.3%TTM59.3%0.0%
TTM59.3%YOY4.4%+54.9%
TTM59.3%5Y-318.9%+378.2%
5Y-318.9%10Y-280.9%-38.0%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ59.3%4.9%+54.4%
TTM59.3%5.5%+53.8%
YOY4.4%7.9%-3.5%
5Y-318.9%5.4%-324.3%
10Y-280.9%3.9%-284.8%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Origin Agritech Ltd is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • 23.2% Return on Assets means that Origin Agritech Ltd generated $0.23 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 23.2%. Using its assets, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 23.2%. Using its assets, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ23.2%TTM23.2%0.0%
TTM23.2%YOY1.7%+21.5%
TTM23.2%5Y-31.6%+54.8%
5Y-31.6%10Y-22.7%-8.9%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ23.2%3.1%+20.1%
TTM23.2%3.0%+20.2%
YOY1.7%3.6%-1.9%
5Y-31.6%1.8%-33.4%
10Y-22.7%1.5%-24.2%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Origin Agritech Ltd is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • 0.0% Return on Equity means Origin Agritech Ltd generated $0.00 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY-0.0%
TTM-5Y-0.0%
5Y-10Y-11.3%+11.3%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-5.7%-5.7%
TTM-5.7%-5.7%
YOY-7.6%-7.6%
5Y-4.9%-4.9%
10Y-11.3%3.9%-15.2%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Origin Agritech Ltd.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Origin Agritech Ltd is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Origin Agritech Ltd makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 72.3% means the company generated $0.72  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 72.3%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
  • The TTM is 72.3%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ72.3%TTM72.3%0.0%
TTM72.3%YOY25.6%+46.8%
TTM72.3%5Y-88.9%+161.2%
5Y-88.9%10Y-74.3%-14.6%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ72.3%9.2%+63.1%
TTM72.3%7.5%+64.8%
YOY25.6%10.5%+15.1%
5Y-88.9%8.2%-97.1%
10Y-74.3%6.5%-80.8%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Origin Agritech Ltd is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Agricultural Inputs industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.14 means that the operating costs are $1.14 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.137. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.137. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.137TTM1.1370.000
TTM1.137YOY1.245-0.108
TTM1.1375Y2.161-1.024
5Y2.16110Y1.779+0.382
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1371.582-0.445
TTM1.1371.593-0.456
YOY1.2451.459-0.214
5Y2.1611.566+0.595
10Y1.7791.339+0.440

1.3. Liquidity of Origin Agritech Ltd.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Origin Agritech Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Agricultural Inputs industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.45 means the company has $0.45 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.452. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
  • The TTM is 0.452. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.452TTM0.4520.000
TTM0.452YOY0.278+0.174
TTM0.4525Y0.359+0.093
5Y0.35910Y0.548-0.189
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.4521.622-1.170
TTM0.4521.628-1.176
YOY0.2781.688-1.410
5Y0.3591.763-1.404
10Y0.5481.659-1.111
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Origin Agritech Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.17 means the company can pay off $0.17 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.175. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.175. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.175TTM0.1750.000
TTM0.175YOY0.158+0.016
TTM0.1755Y0.213-0.038
5Y0.21310Y0.208+0.005
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.1750.535-0.360
TTM0.1750.612-0.437
YOY0.1580.682-0.524
5Y0.2130.757-0.544
10Y0.2080.793-0.585

1.4. Solvency of Origin Agritech Ltd.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Origin Agritech Ltd assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 1.34 means that Origin Agritech Ltd assets are financed with 134.1% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 134.1%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.341. The company is unable to pay all its debts by selling its assets. -2
  • The TTM is 1.341. The company is unable to pay all its debts by selling its assets. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.341TTM1.3410.000
TTM1.341YOY2.270-0.929
TTM1.3415Y1.712-0.371
5Y1.71210Y1.243+0.469
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.3410.444+0.897
TTM1.3410.450+0.891
YOY2.2700.456+1.814
5Y1.7120.479+1.233
10Y1.2430.496+0.747
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Origin Agritech Ltd is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 0.0% means that company has $0.00 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.000. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.000
TTM-YOY-0.000
TTM-5Y-0.000
5Y-10Y1.139-1.139
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-0.798-0.798
TTM-0.810-0.810
YOY-0.872-0.872
5Y-0.967-0.967
10Y1.1391.065+0.074

2. Market Valuation of Origin Agritech Ltd

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Origin Agritech Ltd generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Origin Agritech Ltd to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 2.84 means the investor is paying $2.84 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The EOD is 2.964. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 2.836. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 2.836. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.964MRQ2.836+0.129
MRQ2.836TTM2.8360.000
TTM2.836YOY-63.203+66.039
TTM2.8365Y-14.815+17.650
5Y-14.81510Y-14.636-0.179
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.9648.650-5.686
MRQ2.8369.363-6.527
TTM2.83610.752-7.916
YOY-63.20311.668-74.871
5Y-14.81515.683-30.498
10Y-14.63619.959-34.595
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The EOD is -9.284. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -8.882. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -8.882. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-9.284MRQ-8.882-0.403
MRQ-8.882TTM-8.8820.000
TTM-8.882YOY148.359-157.241
TTM-8.8825Y5.428-14.310
5Y5.42810Y1.260+4.168
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-9.284-0.156-9.128
MRQ-8.882-0.243-8.639
TTM-8.8820.650-9.532
YOY148.3590.829+147.530
5Y5.4280.582+4.846
10Y1.2600.062+1.198
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Origin Agritech Ltd is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Agricultural Inputs industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of -1.93 means the investor is paying $-1.93 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Origin Agritech Ltd:

  • The EOD is -2.018. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -1.931. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -1.931. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-2.018MRQ-1.931-0.087
MRQ-1.931TTM-1.9310.000
TTM-1.931YOY-2.294+0.363
TTM-1.9315Y-4.690+2.759
5Y-4.69010Y-3.206-1.484
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-2.0181.374-3.392
MRQ-1.9311.559-3.490
TTM-1.9311.666-3.597
YOY-2.2942.402-4.696
5Y-4.6901.951-6.641
10Y-3.2062.656-5.862
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Origin Agritech Ltd.

3.1. Institutions holding Origin Agritech Ltd

Institutions are holding 1.848% of the shares of Origin Agritech Ltd.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts0.56150354569282.6877
2023-12-31Susquehanna International Group, LLP0.34021468214680
2023-12-31First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (CA)0.30880.01421950000
2023-12-31XTX Topco Ltd0.20790.006513127131270
2023-12-31Oppenheimer & Co Inc0.20590.000513000130000
2023-12-31UBS Group AG0.07670484647133543.609
2023-12-31Group One Trading, LP0.0016010000
2023-12-31Bank of America Corp0.000905500
2023-12-31Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC0.000805000
2023-12-31Creative Planning Inc000-100-100
2023-12-31HARBOUR INVESTMENTS, INC.000-200-100
2023-12-31PFG Advisors000-10085-100
2023-12-31Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.000-1700-100
2023-09-30CoreCap Advisors, LLC000-100-100
Total 1.70410.0212107602+41051+38.2%

3.2. Funds holding Origin Agritech Ltd

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-02-29Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index0.14980.0002946200
Total 0.14980.0002946200.0%

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Origin Agritech Ltd compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--2.0612.0610%0.283+628%-0.241+112%-0.872+142%
Book Value Per Share---1.714-1.7140%-3.776+120%-2.386+39%0.794-316%
Current Ratio--0.4520.4520%0.278+62%0.359+26%0.548-17%
Debt To Asset Ratio--1.3411.3410%2.270-41%1.712-22%1.243+8%
Debt To Equity Ratio----0%-0%-0%1.139-100%
Dividend Per Share--0.0040.0040%0.053-92%0.011-63%0.025-83%
Eps--1.1671.1670%-0.137+112%-0.839+172%-1.098+194%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.373-0.3730%0.058-738%-0.262-30%-0.530+42%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.1110.1110%0.051+117%0.054+105%-0.474+526%
Gross Profit Margin--0.8490.8490%-2.155+354%0.357+137%1.646-48%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--18.158--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---6.983--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.188--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---0.579--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.807--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---1.855--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--4.927--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---3.246--------
Market Cap21848100.800+1%21667766.43021667766.4300%54683396.800-60%45327157.446-52%30727169.683-29%
Net Profit Margin--0.5930.5930%0.044+1241%-3.189+638%-2.809+574%
Operating Margin--0.7230.7230%0.256+183%-0.889+223%-0.743+203%
Operating Ratio--1.1371.1370%1.245-9%2.161-47%1.779-36%
Pb Ratio-2.018-5%-1.931-1.9310%-2.294+19%-4.690+143%-3.206+66%
Pe Ratio2.964+4%2.8362.8360%-63.203+2329%-14.815+622%-14.636+616%
Price Per Share3.460+4%3.3103.3100%8.660-62%7.154-54%4.854-32%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-9.284-5%-8.882-8.8820%148.359-106%5.428-264%1.260-805%
Price To Total Gains Ratio1.675+4%1.6021.6020%25.729-94%4.169-62%-5.570+448%
Quick Ratio--0.1750.1750%0.158+10%0.213-18%0.208-16%
Return On Assets--0.2320.2320%0.017+1257%-0.316+236%-0.227+198%
Return On Equity----0%-0%-0%-0.1130%
Total Gains Per Share--2.0662.0660%0.337+514%-0.229+111%-0.846+141%
Usd Book Value---11222006.000-11222006.0000%-23841860.200+112%-15144322.200+35%4973298.630-326%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--2.0612.0610%0.283+628%-0.241+112%-0.872+142%
Usd Book Value Per Share---1.714-1.7140%-3.776+120%-2.386+39%0.794-316%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.0040.0040%0.053-92%0.011-63%0.025-83%
Usd Eps--1.1671.1670%-0.137+112%-0.839+172%-1.098+194%
Usd Free Cash Flow---2439536.500-2439536.5000%368588.900-762%-1669076.600-32%-3358177.700+38%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.373-0.3730%0.058-738%-0.262-30%-0.530+42%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.1110.1110%0.051+117%0.054+105%-0.474+526%
Usd Market Cap21848100.800+1%21667766.43021667766.4300%54683396.800-60%45327157.446-52%30727169.683-29%
Usd Price Per Share3.460+4%3.3103.3100%8.660-62%7.154-54%4.854-32%
Usd Profit--7641349.2007641349.2000%321082.500+2280%-9002158.980+218%-8896111.990+216%
Usd Revenue--12885696.70012885696.7000%7261298.000+77%7119110.240+81%19293550.510-33%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--2.0662.0660%0.337+514%-0.229+111%-0.846+141%
 EOD+6 -2MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+23 -115Y+22 -1210Y+20 -15

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Origin Agritech Ltd based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-152.964
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-1-2.018
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.593
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.723
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.175
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.452
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.341
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.000
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.000
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.232
Total5/10 (50.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Origin Agritech Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.514
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.525
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.146
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2002.538
OpenGreater thanClose3.270
Total3/5 (60.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-09-302020-09-302021-09-302022-09-302023-09-30
Net Debt  10,5295,82316,35296817,321-52616,794-20,035-3,241
Total Other Income Expense Net -13,0497,674-5,376-2,753-8,1286,591-1,53812,11610,578



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-09-30. Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets238,506
Total Liabilities319,766
Total Stockholder Equity-57,398
 As reported
Total Liabilities 319,766
Total Stockholder Equity+ -57,398
Total Assets = 238,506

Assets

Total Assets238,506
Total Current Assets141,782
Long-term Assets96,724
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 23,708
Net Receivables 31,044
Inventory 13,039
Other Current Assets 618
Total Current Assets  (as reported)141,782
Total Current Assets  (calculated)68,409
+/- 73,373
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 21,923
Long Term Investments 66,648
Intangible Assets 3,258
Long-term Assets Other 4,895
Long-term Assets  (as reported)96,724
Long-term Assets  (calculated)96,724
+/-0

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities313,461
Long-term Liabilities6,305
Total Stockholder Equity-57,398
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 113
Accounts payable 4,936
Other Current Liabilities 193,606
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)313,461
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)198,655
+/- 114,806
Long-term Liabilities
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt128
Long-term Liabilities Other 6,177
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)6,305
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)6,305
+/-0
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings -601,566
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -22,988
Other Stockholders Equity 567,156
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)-57,398
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)-57,398
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 23,708
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 6,546
Current Deferred Revenue114,806
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 238,506
Net Debt -23,467
Net Invested Capital -57,398
Net Working Capital -171,679
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 189,717
Short Long Term Debt Total 241



Balance Sheet

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-09-302022-09-302021-09-302020-09-302019-09-302018-09-302017-09-302016-09-302015-09-302014-09-302013-09-302012-09-302011-09-302010-09-302009-09-302008-09-302007-09-302006-09-302005-09-302004-09-302003-09-302002-09-302001-09-30
> Total Assets 
97,434
257,388
704
172,882
799,123
983,277
1,110,983
894,296
824,544
935,011
818,382
975,437
1,158,072
1,064,870
985,829
880,626
324,140
430,101
430,101
254,883
119,038
135,955
238,506
238,506135,955119,038254,883430,101430,101324,140880,626985,8291,064,8701,158,072975,437818,382935,011824,544894,2961,110,983983,277799,123172,882704257,38897,434
   > Total Current Assets 
37,308
78,698
497
172,882
649,505
717,825
794,323
565,542
513,289
664,261
510,818
559,042
684,542
624,951
543,759
478,103
89,059
214,878
214,878
64,398
58,143
81,540
141,782
141,78281,54058,14364,398214,878214,87889,059478,103543,759624,951684,542559,042510,818664,261513,289565,542794,323717,825649,505172,88249778,69837,308
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
37,308
78,698
497
821
237,934
140,833
162,314
102,263
121,755
299,672
129,942
152,789
131,978
46,268
66,025
54,509
3,245
1,990
1,990
22,482
15,351
17,669
23,708
23,70817,66915,35122,4821,9901,9903,24554,50966,02546,268131,978152,789129,942299,672121,755102,263162,314140,833237,93482149778,69837,308
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
146,692
133,968
0
73
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000000730133,968146,69200000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
21,504
11,894
14,841
14,421
17,900
13,954
11,306
6,512
3,767
2,099
539
55,940
129,506
129,506
25,416
29,439
28,746
31,044
31,04428,74629,43925,416129,506129,50655,9405392,0993,7676,51211,30613,95417,90014,42114,84111,89421,50400000
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
1,918
171,650
55,715
63,826
36,940
60,704
35,343
18,838
65,055
16,407
7,000
4,368
4,793
4,753
74
1,435
121
312
3,362
12,997
618
61812,9973,3623121211,435744,7534,7934,3687,00016,40765,05518,83835,34360,70436,94063,82655,715171,6501,91800
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
207
0
149,618
265,452
316,660
328,754
311,255
270,750
307,564
416,395
473,530
439,919
442,070
402,523
235,081
215,223
215,223
190,485
60,895
54,415
96,724
96,72454,41560,895190,485215,223215,223235,081402,523442,070439,919473,530416,395307,564270,750311,255328,754316,660265,452149,618020700
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
6,694
7,974
105,036
125,322
143,043
146,372
152,962
161,681
190,094
317,085
354,735
338,526
324,905
313,749
144,832
172,748
172,748
117,704
50,588
47,944
21,923
21,92347,94450,588117,704172,748172,748144,832313,749324,905338,526354,735317,085190,094161,681152,962146,372143,043125,322105,0367,9746,69400
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
10,890
16,665
16,665
16,665
16,665
11,973
11,973
11,973
11,973
11,973
11,973
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000011,97311,97311,97311,97311,97311,97316,66516,66516,66516,66510,89000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,050
2
18,721
18,721
16,347
16,347
10,353
4,596
1,690
66,648
66,6481,6904,59610,35316,34716,34718,72118,72123,0500000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
1,356
1,713
21,403
46,760
64,611
53,360
57,144
56,251
62,326
57,903
56,322
66,690
63,112
55,670
29,590
24,926
24,926
14,433
5,628
4,781
3,258
3,2584,7815,62814,43324,92624,92629,59055,67063,11266,69056,32257,90362,32656,25157,14453,36064,61146,76021,4031,7131,35600
       Other Assets 
0
257,388
323
125
786
5,525
4,466
6,918
2,787
2,040
3,554
1,114
4,184
653
23,359
195,452
4,196
1,202
8,045
47,995
83
0
0
008347,9958,0451,2024,196195,45223,3596534,1841,1143,5542,0402,7876,9184,4665,525786125323257,3880
> Total Liabilities 
77,212
208,031
501
36,327
504,594
512,053
765,291
591,048
546,822
606,037
532,571
662,005
837,827
755,283
695,051
662,009
211,341
453,449
453,449
340,345
304,636
308,597
319,766
319,766308,597304,636340,345453,449453,449211,341662,009695,051755,283837,827662,005532,571606,037546,822591,048765,291512,053504,59436,327501208,03177,212
   > Total Current Liabilities 
77,212
205,158
501
2,358
499,838
509,171
499,347
487,576
546,822
596,611
532,571
605,195
751,978
704,611
634,140
614,502
134,104
432,171
432,171
176,940
286,367
292,865
313,461
313,461292,865286,367176,940432,171432,171134,104614,502634,140704,611751,978605,195532,571596,611546,822487,576499,347509,171499,8382,358501205,15877,212
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
497
0
63,030
252,785
268,400
163,940
198,186
85,900
20,000
39,000
221,500
258,805
244,000
217,057
58,839
78,235
78,235
559
138,219
137,779
113
113137,779138,21955978,23578,23558,839217,057244,000258,805221,50039,00020,00085,900198,186163,940268,400252,78563,030049700
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,507
2
217,057
58,839
78,235
78,611
0
137,660
137,660
0
0137,660137,660078,61178,23558,839217,05725,5070000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
6,027
12,819
28,839
21,994
14,365
7,924
13,938
8,960
5,740
5,031
4,590
4,525
4,389
4,374
1,454
7,955
7,955
9,597
9,170
10,161
4,936
4,93610,1619,1709,5977,9557,9551,4544,3744,3894,5254,5905,0315,7408,96013,9387,92414,36521,99428,83912,8196,02700
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
130,394
4
2,358
226,308
210,313
111,157
280,864
316,418
478,640
487,019
102,877
132,248
97,607
109,956
177,219
69,029
326,342
331,994
100,401
92,185
83,487
193,606
193,60683,48792,185100,401331,994326,34269,029177,219109,95697,607132,248102,877487,019478,640316,418280,864111,157210,313226,3082,3584130,3940
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
2,873
0
33,969
4,755
2,883
265,944
103,472
0
9,426
0
56,810
85,849
50,672
60,911
47,507
77,237
21,278
21,278
163,405
18,269
15,732
6,305
6,30515,73218,269163,40521,27821,27877,23747,50760,91150,67285,84956,81009,4260103,472265,9442,8834,75533,96902,8730
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
31,023
40,972
20,000
56,769
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000056,76920,00040,97231,0230000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
347
347
356
127
12,064
5,485
0
1,409
0
3,471
3,436
3,201
2
27,507
20,468
21,278
28,785
23,074
15,717
14,231
0
014,23115,71723,07428,78521,27820,46827,50723,2013,4363,47101,40905,48512,06412735634734700
> Total Stockholder Equity
19,712
46,086
203
136,554
291,292
458,186
296,917
264,024
226,333
271,885
259,037
261,047
266,042
255,997
241,194
180,288
112,309
-24,711
-24,711
-77,190
-140,672
-133,872
-57,398
-57,398-133,872-140,672-77,190-24,711-24,711112,309180,288241,194255,997266,042261,047259,037271,885226,333264,024296,917458,186291,292136,55420346,08619,712
   Common Stock
0
0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000000000004100
   Retained Earnings Total Equity00000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -22,988-22,774-23,221-22,405-22,136-3,000-18,821-11,177-7,053-4,446-4,390-6,280-6,397-9,336-10,403-10,769-9,626-4,036-3880000
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
400,888
402,500
411,296
411,981
428,311
494,098
0
0
0
0
0000494,098428,311411,981411,296402,500400,8880000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000-19,163-19,163-22,791-37,445-37,445-37,445-5,827-4,674-4,606-4,391-4,302-4,327-3,921000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
46,086
206
142,082
246,193
340,524
347,947
359,483
362,243
357,675
364,967
368,294
363,905
363,443
365,055
373,851
389,190
-22,136
409,148
504,319
533,182
545,800
567,156
567,156545,800533,182504,319409,148-22,136389,190373,851365,055363,443363,905368,294364,967357,675362,243359,483347,947340,524246,193142,08220646,0860



Balance Sheet

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-09-30)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue93,307
Cost of Revenue-76,060
Gross Profit17,24717,247
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit17,247
Operating Expense-30,034
Operating Income-14,991-12,787
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development7,447
Selling General Administrative14,228
Selling And Marketing Expenses8,359
Operating Expense30,03430,034
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-982
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-982
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-14,991
Net Interest Income-982
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)62,831-91,591
EBIT - interestExpense = 66,525
55,494
56,314
Interest Expense982
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)67,50763,813
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)71,538
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax62,831
Tax Provision-162
Net Income From Continuing Ops62,66962,669
Net Income55,332
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses106,094
Total Other Income/Expenses Net76,600982
 

Technical Analysis of Origin Agritech Ltd
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Origin Agritech Ltd. The general trend of Origin Agritech Ltd is BULLISH with 42.9% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Origin Agritech Ltd's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (42.9%) Bearish trend (-42.9%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Origin Agritech Ltd.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 4.19 < 4.25 < 4.5758.

The bearish price targets are: 2.98 > 2.73 > 2.55.

Tweet this
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 10/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 6/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current macd is 0.01889969.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Origin Agritech Ltd price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Origin Agritech Ltd. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Origin Agritech Ltd price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current adx is 23.33.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Origin Agritech Ltd shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current sar is 3.92950724.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current rsi is 54.51. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Origin Agritech Ltd price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current cci is -37.04198196.

Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current cmo is 11.12.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current willr is -48.3815464.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Origin Agritech Ltd is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Williams %R ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Origin Agritech Ltd.

Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current atr is 0.282852.

Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current obv is 16,995,851.

Origin Agritech Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Origin Agritech Ltd. The current mfi is 25.91.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartOrigin Agritech Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Origin Agritech Ltd.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-11-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-01MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-12-04SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-12-05WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-11CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-12-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-19MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-12-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-22MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-12-26CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-12-27SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-28DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-08SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-18DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-19MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-30CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-01SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-02-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-06MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-08WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-09MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-12CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-13BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-20RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-21BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-22RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-26SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-02-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-07WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-20MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-03-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-03-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-04-01RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-04MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-16WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-04-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Origin Agritech Ltd Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Origin Agritech Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.514
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.525
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.146
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2002.538
OpenGreater thanClose3.270
Total3/5 (60.0%)
Penke

Good job! You gained 25 XP and 0   0   10 . What's next:

  • Share my analysis of Origin Agritech Ltd with someone you think should read this too:
  • Are you bullish or bearish on Origin Agritech Ltd? Let me know what you think in the comments.
  • Do you want an email if I find something interesting about Origin Agritech Ltd? Add an email alert using the form below.
  • Join the community if you want to keep your earnings and track your progress: Join the community
  • Is this analysis useful to you? Support me via But Me a Coffee. I'll analyze the stock market faster for you!

Get notifications about Origin Agritech Ltd

I send you an email if I find something interesting about Origin Agritech Ltd.


Comments

How you think about this?

Leave a comment

Stay informed about Origin Agritech Ltd.

Receive notifications about Origin Agritech Ltd in your mailbox!