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Stitch Fix
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Let's analyse Stitch Fix together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Stitch Fix. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Stitch Fix. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Stitch Fix (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Stitch Fix? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$1.79
Expected worth in 1 year
$1.34
How sure are you?
48.4%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$-0.45
Return On Investment
-21.0%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$2.14
Expected price per share
$0 - $2.74
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Stitch Fix (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$2.14

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$9.46 - $11.43

Total Value Per Share

$11.25 - $13.22

2. Growth of Stitch Fix (5 min.)




Is Stitch Fix growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$213.2m$315.5m-$79.2m-33.6%

How much money is Stitch Fix making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$30.3m-$73.9m$43.5m143.5%
Net Profit Margin-8.4%-16.0%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Stitch Fix (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Apparel Retail industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Apparel Retail)  


Richest
#39 / 89

Most Revenue
#37 / 89

Most Profit
#78 / 89

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Stitch Fix? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Stitch Fix's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Stitch Fix.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Stitch Fix?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Stitch Fix. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Stitch Fix is $2.14. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Stitch Fix.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Stitch Fix, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $1.79. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.11 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.50 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Stitch Fix.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-0.30-13.9%-0.26-12.1%-0.67-31.3%-0.23-10.8%-0.12-5.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.19-8.7%-0.11-5.2%-0.50-23.2%-0.08-3.8%0.062.7%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.19-8.7%-0.11-5.2%-0.50-23.2%-0.08-3.8%0.062.7%
Usd Price Per Share3.20-3.75-6.17-22.73-18.57-
Price to Earnings Ratio-2.68--3.78--2.32--180.12--101.41-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-17.15--45.54--12.45--31.31--5.28-
Price to Book Ratio1.79-1.85-2.13-5.95-5.29-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-17.15--45.54--12.45--31.31--5.28-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share2.14
Number of shares467
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.11-0.08
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.11-0.08
Gains per Quarter (467 shares)-52.44-38.40
Gains per Year (467 shares)-209.76-153.60
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-210-2200-154-164
20-420-4300-307-318
30-629-6400-461-472
40-839-8500-614-626
50-1049-10600-768-780
60-1259-12700-922-934
70-1468-14800-1075-1088
80-1678-16900-1229-1242
90-1888-19000-1382-1396
100-2098-21100-1536-1550

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share0.04.00.00.0%1.011.00.08.3%5.015.00.025.0%15.016.00.048.4%15.016.00.048.4%
Book Value Change Per Share0.04.00.00.0%1.011.00.08.3%7.013.00.035.0%15.014.02.048.4%15.014.02.048.4%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%0.00.020.00.0%0.00.031.00.0%0.00.031.00.0%
Total Gains per Share0.04.00.00.0%1.011.00.08.3%7.013.00.035.0%15.014.02.048.4%15.014.02.048.4%

Fundamentals of Stitch Fix

About Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix, Inc. sells a range of apparel, shoes, and accessories for men, women, and kids through its website and mobile application in the United States and the United Kingdom. It offers denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. The company was formerly known as rack habit inc. and changed its name to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October 2011. Stitch Fix, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-12 18:06:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.

1.1. Profitability of Stitch Fix.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Stitch Fix earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -10.8% means that $-0.11 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is -10.8%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
  • The TTM is -8.4%. The company is making a loss. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-10.8%TTM-8.4%-2.3%
TTM-8.4%YOY-16.0%+7.6%
TTM-8.4%5Y-6.0%-2.4%
5Y-6.0%10Y-3.0%-2.9%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-10.8%3.2%-14.0%
TTM-8.4%3.2%-11.6%
YOY-16.0%4.4%-20.4%
5Y-6.0%0.9%-6.9%
10Y-3.0%2.2%-5.2%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Stitch Fix is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • -6.6% Return on Assets means that Stitch Fix generated $-0.07 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is -6.6%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -5.1%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-6.6%TTM-5.1%-1.5%
TTM-5.1%YOY-9.8%+4.7%
TTM-5.1%5Y-3.5%-1.5%
5Y-3.5%10Y-1.6%-1.9%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-6.6%1.2%-7.8%
TTM-5.1%0.9%-6.0%
YOY-9.8%1.9%-11.7%
5Y-3.5%0.9%-4.4%
10Y-1.6%1.6%-3.2%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Stitch Fix is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • -16.7% Return on Equity means Stitch Fix generated $-0.17 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is -16.7%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -13.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-16.7%TTM-13.1%-3.6%
TTM-13.1%YOY-23.6%+10.6%
TTM-13.1%5Y-8.5%-4.6%
5Y-8.5%10Y-4.4%-4.1%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-16.7%3.8%-20.5%
TTM-13.1%2.5%-15.6%
YOY-23.6%5.0%-28.6%
5Y-8.5%2.1%-10.6%
10Y-4.4%3.0%-7.4%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Stitch Fix.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Stitch Fix is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Stitch Fix makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -9.0% means the company generated $-0.09  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is -9.0%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -7.9%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-9.0%TTM-7.9%-1.1%
TTM-7.9%YOY-16.1%+8.2%
TTM-7.9%5Y-6.6%-1.3%
5Y-6.6%10Y-2.0%-4.6%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-9.0%6.1%-15.1%
TTM-7.9%3.0%-10.9%
YOY-16.1%5.2%-21.3%
5Y-6.6%2.8%-9.4%
10Y-2.0%3.8%-5.8%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Stitch Fix is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Apparel Retail industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.09 means that the operating costs are $1.09 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is 1.090. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.079. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.090TTM1.079+0.011
TTM1.079YOY1.161-0.082
TTM1.0795Y1.065+0.014
5Y1.06510Y1.121-0.056
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0901.075+0.015
TTM1.0791.057+0.022
YOY1.1610.993+0.168
5Y1.0651.033+0.032
10Y1.1211.010+0.111

1.3. Liquidity of Stitch Fix.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Stitch Fix is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Apparel Retail industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.80 means the company has $1.80 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is 1.805. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.735. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.805TTM1.735+0.070
TTM1.735YOY1.614+0.121
TTM1.7355Y1.951-0.216
5Y1.95110Y1.873+0.079
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.8051.695+0.110
TTM1.7351.665+0.070
YOY1.6141.683-0.069
5Y1.9511.705+0.246
10Y1.8731.826+0.047
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Stitch Fix is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.11 means the company can pay off $1.11 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is 1.109. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
  • The TTM is 1.114. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.109TTM1.114-0.005
TTM1.114YOY1.096+0.018
TTM1.1145Y1.527-0.414
5Y1.52710Y1.366+0.162
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1090.567+0.542
TTM1.1140.567+0.547
YOY1.0960.551+0.545
5Y1.5270.660+0.867
10Y1.3660.726+0.640

1.4. Solvency of Stitch Fix.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Stitch Fix assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.60 means that Stitch Fix assets are financed with 60.4% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 60.4%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is 0.604. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.612. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.604TTM0.612-0.008
TTM0.612YOY0.586+0.026
TTM0.6125Y0.515+0.097
5Y0.51510Y0.498+0.017
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6040.563+0.041
TTM0.6120.573+0.039
YOY0.5860.568+0.018
5Y0.5150.568-0.053
10Y0.4980.506-0.008
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Stitch Fix is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 152.4% means that company has $1.52 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The MRQ is 1.524. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.578. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.524TTM1.578-0.054
TTM1.578YOY1.425+0.153
TTM1.5785Y1.116+0.462
5Y1.11610Y1.087+0.030
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.5241.190+0.334
TTM1.5781.185+0.393
YOY1.4251.248+0.177
5Y1.1161.347-0.231
10Y1.0871.140-0.053

2. Market Valuation of Stitch Fix

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Stitch Fix generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Stitch Fix to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -2.68 means the investor is paying $-2.68 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The EOD is -1.793. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -2.681. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -3.775. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-1.793MRQ-2.681+0.888
MRQ-2.681TTM-3.775+1.094
TTM-3.775YOY-2.317-1.458
TTM-3.7755Y-180.125+176.350
5Y-180.12510Y-101.408-78.717
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-1.7934.116-5.909
MRQ-2.6814.950-7.631
TTM-3.7756.824-10.599
YOY-2.3178.474-10.791
5Y-180.1257.107-187.232
10Y-101.4089.677-111.085
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The EOD is -1.535. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -2.295. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 4.876. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-1.535MRQ-2.295+0.760
MRQ-2.295TTM4.876-7.170
TTM4.876YOY-1.877+6.752
TTM4.8765Y9.357-4.482
5Y9.35710Y27.388-18.031
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-1.5354.344-5.879
MRQ-2.2953.850-6.145
TTM4.8762.631+2.245
YOY-1.8770.937-2.814
5Y9.3571.573+7.784
10Y27.3882.465+24.923
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Stitch Fix is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Apparel Retail industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.79 means the investor is paying $1.79 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Stitch Fix:

  • The EOD is 1.195. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.786. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.853. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.195MRQ1.786-0.592
MRQ1.786TTM1.853-0.067
TTM1.853YOY2.129-0.275
TTM1.8535Y5.946-4.093
5Y5.94610Y5.293+0.653
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.1951.327-0.132
MRQ1.7861.363+0.423
TTM1.8531.414+0.439
YOY2.1291.812+0.317
5Y5.9461.917+4.029
10Y5.2931.888+3.405
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Stitch Fix.

3.1. Institutions holding Stitch Fix

Institutions are holding 85.435% of the shares of Stitch Fix.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Working Capital Advisors (UK) Ltd.9.968927.03311197975300
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc8.35830.0009100442967685928.2861
2023-12-31Disciplined Growth Investors Inc5.24820.49166306801986341.5888
2023-12-31Vanguard Group Inc4.97410.000559774211212842.0711
2023-09-30Divisar Capital Management, LLC3.94283.5769473814299925726.7261
2023-12-31Renaissance Technologies Corp3.06850.0204368751791700933.0989
2023-12-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2.65990.0013196463145953284.0294
2023-12-31Potrero Capital Research, LLC1.98934.52422390536-74205-3.0107
2023-12-31Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.1.81630.0023218272522530911.5105
2023-12-31Geode Capital Management, LLC1.74030.000820913271310186.6835
2023-12-31Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc1.68250.00182021885999145.1985
2023-12-31Nuveen Asset Management, LLC1.4930.00211794177-6726-0.3735
2023-12-31State Street Corporation1.47380.0003177103097750.555
2023-12-31Two Sigma Investments LLC0.97930.00971176828612417108.5055
2023-12-31Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC0.94880.197114017700
2023-09-30D. E. Shaw & Co LP0.88180.00381059717-317239-23.0392
2023-12-31Two Sigma Advisers, LLC0.87720.00881054200379003.7292
2023-12-31Goldman Sachs Group Inc0.77250.0003928364602021184.4749
2023-12-31Northern Trust Corp0.66040.0005793563206182.6675
2023-12-31State Treasurer State Of Michigan0.56330.014467698300
Total 54.099235.890465011905+5705110+8.8%

3.2. Funds holding Stitch Fix

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-02-29Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv2.03650.0005244732400
2024-03-28iShares Russell 2000 ETF1.81260.0088217817110500.0482
2023-12-31Disciplined Growth - Small Cap Growth1.471.9805176657417665740
2024-02-29Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr1.16510.00441400159-1945-0.1387
2024-03-29Schwab Fundamental US Small Company ETF0.95450.0363114707600
2024-02-29BlackRock Advantage Small Cap Core Instl0.76310.0844916977-55757-5.732
2024-01-31Fidelity Small Cap Index0.7170.011186157354670.6386
2024-01-31CREF Stock R10.69110.002383050000
2024-01-31TIAA-CREF Quant Sm/Md-Cp Eq Instl0.59370.1831713507173772.4962
2024-02-29State St Russell Sm/Mid Cp® Indx NL Cl C0.42050.003950527249000.9793
2023-12-31Vanguard Strategic Equity Inv0.40580.022448768400
2023-12-31Bridgeway Small-Cap Value0.39080.28946960800
2023-12-31Bridgeway Small Cap Value0.39080.291846960800
2023-12-31Vanguard Explorer Inv0.38870.007846707100
2024-03-29Schwab US Small-Cap ETF™0.35870.006743107200
2024-02-29Fidelity Extended Market Index0.35740.0036429441-69587-13.9445
2024-03-28iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF0.35270.0089423860-269-0.0634
2024-02-29DFA US Small Cap I0.33430.0084401728165594.2992
2024-03-28iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF0.30360.0083364811-424-0.1161
2024-02-29Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF0.28840.017834661834300.9995
Total 14.19532.9817058634+1687375+9.9%

3.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 5.761% of the shares of Stitch Fix.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-03-14Sarah BarkemaSELL163112.24
2024-01-18Casey O'connorSELL46923.24
2023-10-18Casey O'connorSELL46933.42
2023-10-05Sarah BarkemaSELL343093.1
2023-07-20Casey O'connorSELL92624.21

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Stitch Fix compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---0.187-0.112-40%-0.496+166%-0.082-56%0.058-423%
Book Value Per Share--1.7922.020-11%2.853-37%3.391-47%2.849-37%
Current Ratio--1.8051.735+4%1.614+12%1.951-8%1.873-4%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6040.612-1%0.586+3%0.515+17%0.498+21%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.5241.578-3%1.425+7%1.116+37%1.087+40%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Eps---0.298-0.259-13%-0.669+124%-0.232-22%-0.122-59%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.3490.021-1736%-0.198-43%-0.010-97%0.043-918%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.387-0.016-96%-0.278-28%-0.063-84%0.034-1246%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.547-35%1.586-37%1.227-18%1.146-13%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--11.433--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--9.459--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.097--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.095--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.091--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--1.025--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--3.048--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--2.760--------
Market Cap202800301.440-88%380944083.200438778156.670-13%681382495.335-44%2442244211.912-84%2021975396.080-81%
Net Profit Margin---0.108-0.084-22%-0.160+49%-0.060-45%-0.030-72%
Operating Margin---0.090-0.079-13%-0.161+79%-0.066-26%-0.020-77%
Operating Ratio--1.0901.079+1%1.161-6%1.065+2%1.121-3%
Pb Ratio1.195-50%1.7861.853-4%2.129-16%5.946-70%5.293-66%
Pe Ratio-1.793+33%-2.681-3.775+41%-2.317-14%-180.125+6619%-101.408+3683%
Price Per Share2.140-50%3.2003.750-15%6.170-48%22.726-86%18.568-83%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-1.535+33%-2.2954.876-147%-1.877-18%9.357-125%27.388-108%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-11.467+33%-17.147-45.535+166%-12.445-27%-31.307+83%-5.278-69%
Quick Ratio--1.1091.1140%1.096+1%1.527-27%1.366-19%
Return On Assets---0.066-0.051-23%-0.098+48%-0.035-47%-0.016-76%
Return On Equity---0.167-0.131-22%-0.236+42%-0.085-49%-0.044-74%
Total Gains Per Share---0.187-0.112-40%-0.496+166%-0.082-56%0.058-423%
Usd Book Value--213271000.000236275500.000-10%315550250.000-32%367080400.000-42%306725419.355-30%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---0.187-0.112-40%-0.496+166%-0.082-56%0.058-423%
Usd Book Value Per Share--1.7922.020-11%2.853-37%3.391-47%2.849-37%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Eps---0.298-0.259-13%-0.669+124%-0.232-22%-0.122-59%
Usd Free Cash Flow---41499000.0002233000.000-1958%-21453500.000-48%-955300.000-98%4309935.484-1063%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.3490.021-1736%-0.198-43%-0.010-97%0.043-918%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.387-0.016-96%-0.278-28%-0.063-84%0.034-1246%
Usd Market Cap202800301.440-88%380944083.200438778156.670-13%681382495.335-44%2442244211.912-84%2021975396.080-81%
Usd Price Per Share2.140-50%3.2003.750-15%6.170-48%22.726-86%18.568-83%
Usd Profit---35524000.000-30374500.000-14%-73967750.000+108%-25593700.000-28%-14060870.968-60%
Usd Revenue--330402000.000366474750.000-10%460638750.000-28%453022750.000-27%393714741.935-16%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---0.187-0.112-40%-0.496+166%-0.082-56%0.058-423%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+7 -27YOY+18 -165Y+4 -3010Y+4 -30

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Stitch Fix based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-1.793
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.195
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.108
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.090
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.109
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.805
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.604
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.524
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.167
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.066
Total3/10 (30.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Stitch Fix based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5035.951
Ma 20Greater thanMa 502.380
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1002.742
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2003.164
OpenGreater thanClose2.180
Total1/5 (20.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2023-01-312023-04-302023-07-312023-10-312024-01-31
Total Other Income Expense Net 1,3581,9363,294-2,2531,041-630411-5,554-5,143



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-01-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets538,316
Total Liabilities325,045
Total Stockholder Equity213,271
 As reported
Total Liabilities 325,045
Total Stockholder Equity+ 213,271
Total Assets = 538,316

Assets

Total Assets538,316
Total Current Assets377,971
Long-term Assets160,345
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 227,503
Short-term Investments 2,321
Inventory 126,033
Other Current Assets 22,114
Total Current Assets  (as reported)377,971
Total Current Assets  (calculated)377,971
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 157,138
Long-term Assets Other 3,207
Long-term Assets  (as reported)160,345
Long-term Assets  (calculated)160,345
+/-0

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities209,421
Long-term Liabilities115,624
Total Stockholder Equity213,271
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 27,086
Accounts payable 74,303
Other Current Liabilities 86,910
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)209,421
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)188,299
+/- 21,122
Long-term Liabilities
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt111,936
Long-term Liabilities Other 3,688
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)115,624
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)115,624
+/-0
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock2
Retained Earnings -409,427
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -432
Other Stockholders Equity 623,128
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)213,271
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)213,271
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock2
Cash and Short Term Investments 229,824
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 119,045
Current Deferred Revenue21,122
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 538,316
Net Debt -88,481
Net Invested Capital 213,271
Net Working Capital 168,550
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 157,138
Short Long Term Debt Total 139,022



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-01-312023-10-312023-07-312023-04-302023-01-312022-10-312022-07-312022-04-302022-01-312021-10-312021-07-312021-04-302021-01-312020-10-312020-07-312020-04-302020-01-312019-10-312019-07-312019-04-302019-01-312018-10-312018-07-312018-04-302018-01-312017-10-312017-07-312017-04-302017-01-312016-10-312016-07-31
> Total Assets 
191,600
0
0
254,049
257,205
298,711
416,402
449,870
481,585
550,792
557,051
591,482
616,066
797,328
799,728
781,629
769,429
880,224
856,022
833,721
819,149
929,422
898,248
863,646
764,535
744,686
660,598
659,970
614,478
624,038
538,316
538,316624,038614,478659,970660,598744,686764,535863,646898,248929,422819,149833,721856,022880,224769,429781,629799,728797,328616,066591,482557,051550,792481,585449,870416,402298,711257,205254,04900191,600
   > Total Current Assets 
148,272
0
0
200,449
197,762
235,506
358,121
386,723
417,006
398,313
413,436
442,597
482,404
485,487
486,330
458,471
466,310
597,433
539,321
495,416
521,804
572,770
531,452
533,819
477,252
466,566
414,426
455,744
425,461
450,285
377,971
377,971450,285425,461455,744414,426466,566477,252533,819531,452572,770521,804495,416539,321597,433466,310458,471486,330485,487482,404442,597413,436398,313417,006386,723358,121235,506197,762200,44900148,272
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
91,488
0
0
112,040
110,608
131,096
266,374
287,257
297,516
173,341
167,496
143,829
170,932
151,779
165,989
96,840
143,455
200,346
140,031
124,737
129,785
249,677
193,878
137,721
130,935
113,346
138,979
193,575
239,437
256,898
227,503
227,503256,898239,437193,575138,979113,346130,935137,721193,878249,677129,785124,737140,031200,346143,45596,840165,989151,779170,932143,829167,496173,341297,516287,257266,374131,096110,608112,0400091,488
       Short-term Investments 
1,391
0
0
0
250
250
0
0
250
84,985
109,363
147,779
143,276
145,504
134,592
144,744
143,037
187,979
166,957
98,189
101,546
62,438
73,052
97,029
82,049
90,041
82,620
50,139
18,161
5,440
2,321
2,3215,44018,16150,13982,62090,04182,04997,02973,05262,438101,54698,189166,957187,979143,037144,744134,592145,504143,276147,779109,36384,985250002502500001,391
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
700
1,000
700
27,667
27,624
27,624
27,561
27,561
921
921
27,012
673
2,438
0
02,43867327,01292192127,56127,56127,62427,62427,6677001,00070000000000000000000
       Inventory 
44,808
0
0
60,994
67,592
87,576
80,094
82,222
85,092
106,701
103,167
110,100
118,216
148,502
147,236
165,077
124,816
156,786
182,422
215,628
212,294
184,129
183,458
213,004
197,251
220,163
158,927
151,612
137,176
160,720
126,033
126,033160,720137,176151,612158,927220,163197,251213,004183,458184,129212,294215,628182,422156,786124,816165,077147,236148,502118,216110,100103,167106,70185,09282,22280,09487,57667,59260,9940044,808
       Other Current Assets 
10,585
0
0
1,537
19,562
16,834
11,653
17,244
34,398
33,286
33,410
40,889
49,980
39,702
38,513
51,810
55,002
52,322
49,911
56,862
50,512
48,902
53,440
58,504
39,456
42,095
32,979
33,406
30,014
24,789
22,114
22,11424,78930,01433,40632,97942,09539,45658,50453,44048,90250,51256,86249,91152,32255,00251,81038,51339,70249,98040,88933,41033,28634,39817,24411,65316,83419,5621,5370010,585
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
0
59,443
63,205
58,281
63,147
64,579
152,479
143,615
148,885
133,662
311,841
313,398
323,158
303,119
282,791
316,701
338,305
297,345
356,652
366,796
329,827
287,283
278,120
246,172
204,226
189,017
173,753
160,345
160,345173,753189,017204,226246,172278,120287,283329,827366,796356,652297,345338,305316,701282,791303,119323,158313,398311,841133,662148,885143,615152,47964,57963,14758,28163,20559,4430000
       Property Plant Equipment 
19,151
0
0
25,664
26,733
29,545
30,875
32,374
34,169
37,629
44,888
52,715
54,888
194,086
186,648
198,813
202,984
206,836
203,867
205,075
205,524
235,824
249,393
247,770
235,554
240,088
212,265
200,162
185,855
170,135
157,138
157,138170,135185,855200,162212,265240,088235,554247,770249,393235,824205,524205,075203,867206,836202,984198,813186,648194,08654,88852,71544,88837,62934,16932,37430,87529,54526,73325,6640019,151
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
83,870
66,734
62,919
53,372
90,532
96,657
86,919
95,097
41,592
107,291
128,205
59,035
88,420
109,236
74,110
43,804
5,379
26,091
0
0
0
0
000026,0915,37943,80474,110109,23688,42059,035128,205107,29141,59295,09786,91996,65790,53253,37262,91966,73483,870000000000
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
0
12,719
12,303
12,913
16,557
16,303
15,746
15,610
15,815
3,227
3,358
3,046
3,069
4,705
34,363
50,439
53,609
32,786
32,408
35,221
34,038
34,016
32,653
31,619
4,064
3,162
3,618
3,207
3,2073,6183,1624,06431,61932,65334,01634,03835,22132,40832,78653,60950,43934,3634,7053,0693,0463,3583,22715,81515,61015,74616,30316,55712,91312,30312,7190000
> Total Liabilities 
99,431
0
0
147,950
153,122
178,222
145,305
163,129
166,513
217,289
203,762
216,347
220,066
388,714
360,818
359,049
368,392
451,637
422,488
404,339
358,300
450,827
437,166
474,140
441,884
449,919
405,321
406,189
367,168
393,298
325,045
325,045393,298367,168406,189405,321449,919441,884474,140437,166450,827358,300404,339422,488451,637368,392359,049360,818388,714220,066216,347203,762217,289166,513163,129145,305178,222153,122147,9500099,431
   > Total Current Liabilities 
85,073
0
0
130,569
133,918
158,971
129,759
143,688
142,232
191,995
177,159
189,052
182,631
242,894
220,071
203,930
212,155
295,062
274,709
264,194
228,313
298,233
276,641
316,987
295,570
297,375
260,949
270,093
238,111
270,893
209,421
209,421270,893238,111270,093260,949297,375295,570316,987276,641298,233228,313264,194274,709295,062212,155203,930220,071242,894182,631189,052177,159191,995142,232143,688129,759158,971133,918130,5690085,073
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
46,363
64,315
51,077
48,171
43,037
67,098
66,080
66,039
69,734
23,042
23,475
23,066
24,333
25,531
25,718
25,668
25,702
25,881
26,716
27,333
29,014
30,199
32,413
32,704
29,343
27,650
27,086
27,08627,65029,34332,70432,41330,19929,01427,33326,71625,88125,70225,66825,71825,53124,33323,06623,47523,04269,73466,03966,08067,09843,03748,17151,07764,31546,3630000
       Accounts payable 
36,588
0
0
28,366
44,238
58,519
55,145
74,286
79,782
105,662
86,815
99,727
90,883
121,091
86,092
82,890
85,177
129,547
96,788
90,972
73,499
129,229
124,431
145,604
143,934
142,442
104,715
124,932
99,317
131,444
74,303
74,303131,44499,317124,932104,715142,442143,934145,604124,431129,22973,49990,97296,788129,54785,17782,89086,092121,09190,88399,72786,815105,66279,78274,28655,14558,51944,23828,3660036,588
       Other Current Liabilities 
48,485
0
0
39,952
36,167
27,324
13,104
10,963
10,543
8,029
11,768
10,324
10,017
86,785
99,231
83,285
89,586
125,021
137,250
127,569
110,958
126,506
111,049
126,842
108,181
110,977
110,393
98,893
97,900
101,097
86,910
86,910101,09797,90098,893110,393110,977108,181126,842111,049126,506110,958127,569137,250125,02189,58683,28599,23186,78510,01710,32411,7688,02910,54310,96313,10427,32436,16739,9520048,485
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
19,204
19,251
15,546
19,441
24,281
25,294
26,603
27,295
37,435
145,820
140,747
155,119
156,237
156,575
147,779
140,145
129,987
152,594
160,525
157,153
146,314
152,544
144,372
136,096
129,057
122,405
115,624
115,624122,405129,057136,096144,372152,544146,314157,153160,525152,594129,987140,145147,779156,575156,237155,119140,747145,82037,43527,29526,60325,29424,28119,44115,54619,25119,2040000
       Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt
0
0
0
0
-46,363
-64,315
-51,077
-48,171
-43,037
-67,098
-66,080
-66,039
-69,734
131,694
125,925
142,568
140,175
140,298
134,341
127,922
121,623
144,014
151,704
148,695
141,334
147,843
139,644
131,906
125,418
118,741
111,936
111,936118,741125,418131,906139,644147,843141,334148,695151,704144,014121,623127,922134,341140,298140,175142,568125,925131,694-69,734-66,039-66,080-67,098-43,037-48,171-51,077-64,315-46,3630000
       Long-term Liabilities Other 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,183
10,484
12,996
14,126
14,822
12,551
16,062
16,277
147,779
140,145
8,364
8,580
160,525
157,153
146,314
4,701
144,372
4,190
3,639
3,664
3,688
3,6883,6643,6394,190144,3724,701146,314157,153160,5258,5808,364140,145147,77916,27716,06212,55114,82214,12612,99610,48410,1830000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
92,169
0
0
63,877
104,083
120,489
271,097
286,741
315,072
333,503
353,289
375,135
396,000
408,614
438,910
422,580
401,037
428,587
433,534
429,382
460,849
478,595
461,082
389,506
322,651
294,767
255,277
253,781
247,310
230,740
213,271
213,271230,740247,310253,781255,277294,767322,651389,506461,082478,595460,849429,382433,534428,587401,037422,580438,910408,614396,000375,135353,289333,503315,072286,741271,097120,489104,08363,8770092,169
   Common Stock
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2222222222222222222222222110000
   Retained Earnings 
39,009
0
0
39,365
34,858
48,346
51,987
61,474
79,758
90,471
102,447
109,495
116,674
116,496
127,927
94,024
49,557
59,098
38,059
19,213
40,681
38,854
7,942
-70,098
-166,440
-222,358
-287,929
-309,754
-338,413
-373,903
-409,427
-409,427-373,903-338,413-309,754-287,929-222,358-166,440-70,0987,94238,85440,68119,21338,05959,09849,55794,024127,927116,496116,674109,495102,44790,47179,75861,47451,98748,34634,85839,3650039,009
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
250,699
265,547
0
0
308,687
327,039
348,750
0
392,205
406,891
0
437,246
463,143
492,320
522,658
552,490
575,129
594,207
0
0
0
000594,207575,129552,490522,658492,320463,143437,2460406,891392,2050348,750327,039308,68700265,547250,6990000000000
   Treasury Stock000000-30,042-30,042-10,9960000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
0
37,702
29,920
219,108
225,265
235,312
-307,706
250,699
265,547
279,511
290,720
308,687
327,039
348,750
367,760
392,205
406,891
416,755
437,246
452,147
462,278
492,616
522,448
545,087
564,165
585,194
605,122
623,128
623,128605,122585,194564,165545,087522,448492,616462,278452,147437,246416,755406,891392,205367,760348,750327,039308,687290,720279,511265,547250,699-307,706235,312225,265219,10829,92037,7020000



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-07-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue1,638,423
Cost of Revenue-946,902
Gross Profit691,521691,521
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit691,521
Operating Expense-869,318
Operating Income-177,797-177,797
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative749,818
Selling And Marketing Expenses119,500
Operating Expense869,318869,318
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income6,220
Interest Expense-0
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income6,220
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-177,797
Net Interest Income6,220
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)-170,483-178,891
EBIT - interestExpense = -177,797
-170,483
-171,973
Interest Expense0
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-177,797-170,483
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-134,501
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-170,483
Tax Provision-1,490
Net Income From Continuing Ops-171,973-171,973
Net Income-171,973
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-171,973
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses1,816,220
Total Other Income/Expenses Net1,094-6,220
 

Technical Analysis of Stitch Fix
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Stitch Fix. The general trend of Stitch Fix is BEARISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Stitch Fix's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-100.0%) Bearish trend (100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Stitch Fix.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Around resistance: The price is trading arround resistance levels. This can be considered as a potential exit level. -1

The bullish price targets are: 2.155 < 2.25 < 2.74.

The bearish price targets are: .

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Stitch Fix Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Stitch Fix. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 0/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Stitch Fix Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Stitch Fix. The current macd is -0.12995033.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Stitch Fix price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Stitch Fix. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Stitch Fix price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartStitch Fix Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Stitch Fix. The current adx is 11.66.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Stitch Fix shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bearish trend could be forming. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Stitch Fix. The current sar is 2.57740047.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Stitch Fix. The current rsi is 35.95. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartStitch Fix Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Stitch Fix. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Stitch Fix price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Stitch Fix Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartStitch Fix Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Stitch Fix. The current cci is -149.86431516.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartStitch Fix Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Stitch Fix. The current cmo is -34.45069563.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartStitch Fix Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Stitch Fix. The current willr is -94.84536082.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Stitch Fix Daily Williams %R ChartStitch Fix Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Stitch Fix.

Stitch Fix Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Stitch Fix. The current atr is 0.15565164.

Stitch Fix Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartStitch Fix Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Stitch Fix. The current obv is -24,643,531.

Stitch Fix Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartStitch Fix Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Stitch Fix. The current mfi is 27.37.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Stitch Fix Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartStitch Fix Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Stitch Fix.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-29CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-11-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-04MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2023-12-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-11CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-13BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-20MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-27CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-29DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-01-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-12SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-01-16SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-18MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-22DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-25MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-29SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-30CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-31STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-07CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-08SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-09WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-15ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-20CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-22MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-02-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-27DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-02-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-29DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-03-04DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-08RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-03-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-20RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-03-21MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-03-28CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-01DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-04-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-08DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-09CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-12WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-15DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-19MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Stitch Fix Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Stitch Fix based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5035.951
Ma 20Greater thanMa 502.380
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1002.742
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2003.164
OpenGreater thanClose2.180
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke

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