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Swatch Group AG
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Let's analyse Swatch Group AG together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Swatch Group AG. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Swatch Group AG. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Swatch Group AG (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Swatch Group AG? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
CHF26.50
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
CHF236.39
Expected worth in 1 year
CHF252.01
How sure are you?
90.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
CHF39.61
Return On Investment
18.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
CHF209.40
Expected price per share
CHF193.80 - CHF222.40
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Swatch Group AG (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

CHF209.40

Intrinsic Value Per Share

CHF-125.94 - CHF20.34

Total Value Per Share

CHF110.45 - CHF256.73

2. Growth of Swatch Group AG (5 min.)




Is Swatch Group AG growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$13.5b$13.3b$228.6m1.7%

How much money is Swatch Group AG making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$959.9m$891.4m$68.4m7.1%
Net Profit Margin11.0%10.8%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Swatch Group AG (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Luxury Goods industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Luxury Goods)  


Richest
#8 / 107

Most Revenue
#10 / 107

Most Profit
#7 / 107

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Swatch Group AG? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Swatch Group AG's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Swatch Group AG.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Swatch Group AG?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Swatch Group AG. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Swatch Group AG is CHF209.40. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Swatch Group AG.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Swatch Group AG, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is CHF236.39. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is CHF3.90 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is CHF8.50 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is CHF6.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Swatch Group AG.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 CHF% of Price per ShareCHF% of Price per ShareCHF% of Price per ShareCHF% of Price per ShareCHF% of Price per Share
Usd Eps18.518.8%18.518.8%17.208.2%13.326.4%16.187.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share4.312.1%4.312.1%9.394.5%4.692.2%6.633.2%
Usd Dividend Per Share6.633.2%6.633.2%6.072.9%6.303.0%7.213.4%
Usd Total Gains Per Share10.945.2%10.945.2%15.467.4%10.995.2%13.846.6%
Usd Price Per Share252.53-252.53-290.54-283.27-339.95-
Price to Earnings Ratio13.64-13.64-16.89--35.27--6.55-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio23.09-23.09-18.79-6.66-17.69-
Price to Book Ratio0.97-0.97-1.13-1.14-1.44-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio23.09-23.09-18.79-6.66-17.69-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share231.32418
Number of shares4
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share6.636.30
Usd Book Value Change Per Share4.314.69
Usd Total Gains Per Share10.9410.99
Gains per Quarter (4 shares)43.7643.95
Gains per Year (4 shares)175.02175.79
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
11066916510175166
2212138340201150342
3318207515302225518
4424276690403300694
5530345865504375870
663641410406044501046
774248312157055251222
884855213908066001398
995462115659076751574
101060690174010077501750

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%9.01.00.090.0%26.01.00.096.3%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%8.02.00.080.0%24.03.00.088.9%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%27.00.00.0100.0%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%9.01.00.090.0%26.01.00.096.3%

Fundamentals of Swatch Group AG

About Swatch Group AG

The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide. The company operates through Watches & Jewelry and Electronic Systems segments. The Watches & Jewelry segment designs, produces, and commercializes watches and jewelry. The Electronic Systems segment engages in the design, production, and commercialization of electronic components, as well as sports timing activities. It is also involved in the provision of assembly, research and development, administration, polishing, logistics and distribution, and customer services; and hard material products, microelectronics, watch cases and crowns, miniature low-frequency quartz crystals, thin wires, miniature batteries, watch dials, watch hands, bracelets, sports timing technology and equipment, precision parts, and assembly electronic components. In addition, the company engages in retail, communication, real estate, real estate management, finance, reinsurance, and art center businesses. It offers its watch and jewelry products primarily under the Breguet, Harry Winston, Blancpain, Glashütte Original, Jaquet Droz, Léon Hatot, Omega, Longines, Rado, Union Glashütte, Tissot, Balmain, Certina, Mido, Hamilton, Swatch, and Flik Flak brands. The Swatch Group AG was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Biel/Bienne, Switzerland.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-03-13 13:36:05.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Swatch Group AG.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Swatch Group AG earns for each CHF1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 11.0% means that CHF0.11 for each CHF1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 11.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 11.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ11.0%TTM11.0%0.0%
TTM11.0%YOY10.8%+0.3%
TTM11.0%5Y8.0%+3.0%
5Y8.0%10Y9.6%-1.5%
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ11.0%5.5%+5.5%
TTM11.0%5.1%+5.9%
YOY10.8%6.2%+4.6%
5Y8.0%3.6%+4.4%
10Y9.6%4.5%+5.1%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Swatch Group AG is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • 6.1% Return on Assets means that Swatch Group AG generated CHF0.06 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 6.1%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 6.1%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ6.1%TTM6.1%0.0%
TTM6.1%YOY5.8%+0.3%
TTM6.1%5Y4.5%+1.6%
5Y4.5%10Y5.8%-1.3%
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ6.1%4.0%+2.1%
TTM6.1%3.9%+2.2%
YOY5.8%3.8%+2.0%
5Y4.5%2.8%+1.7%
10Y5.8%2.8%+3.0%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Swatch Group AG is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • 7.1% Return on Equity means Swatch Group AG generated CHF0.07 for each CHF1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 7.1%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 7.1%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ7.1%TTM7.1%0.0%
TTM7.1%YOY6.7%+0.4%
TTM7.1%5Y5.3%+1.8%
5Y5.3%10Y6.9%-1.6%
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ7.1%7.4%-0.3%
TTM7.1%7.4%-0.3%
YOY6.7%6.7%+0.0%
5Y5.3%5.2%+0.1%
10Y6.9%6.4%+0.5%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Swatch Group AG.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Swatch Group AG is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Swatch Group AG makes for each CHF1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 15.1% means the company generated CHF0.15  for each CHF1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 15.1%. The company is operating efficient. +1
  • The TTM is 15.1%. The company is operating efficient. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ15.1%TTM15.1%0.0%
TTM15.1%YOY13.7%+1.4%
TTM15.1%5Y10.9%+4.2%
5Y10.9%10Y12.8%-1.9%
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ15.1%9.0%+6.1%
TTM15.1%7.1%+8.0%
YOY13.7%7.9%+5.8%
5Y10.9%5.8%+5.1%
10Y12.8%5.3%+7.5%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Swatch Group AG is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Luxury Goods industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.85 means that the operating costs are CHF0.85 for each CHF1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 0.849. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.849. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.849TTM0.8490.000
TTM0.849YOY0.863-0.014
TTM0.8495Y0.891-0.042
5Y0.89110Y0.871+0.020
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8491.048-0.199
TTM0.8491.060-0.211
YOY0.8631.098-0.235
5Y0.8911.201-0.310
10Y0.8711.130-0.259

1.3. Liquidity of Swatch Group AG.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Swatch Group AG is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Luxury Goods industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 8.61 means the company has CHF8.61 in assets for each CHF1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 8.608. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
  • The TTM is 8.608. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.608TTM8.6080.000
TTM8.608YOY9.230-0.622
TTM8.6085Y7.964+0.644
5Y7.96410Y7.473+0.491
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ8.6082.075+6.533
TTM8.6082.247+6.361
YOY9.2301.992+7.238
5Y7.9642.155+5.809
10Y7.4732.144+5.329
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Swatch Group AG is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.55 means the company can pay off CHF2.55 for each CHF1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 2.553. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
  • The TTM is 2.553. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.553TTM2.5530.000
TTM2.553YOY3.177-0.623
TTM2.5535Y2.624-0.071
5Y2.62410Y2.475+0.149
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.5530.734+1.819
TTM2.5530.776+1.777
YOY3.1770.821+2.356
5Y2.6240.899+1.725
10Y2.4750.965+1.510

1.4. Solvency of Swatch Group AG.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Swatch Group AG assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.14 means that Swatch Group AG assets are financed with 13.9% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 13.9%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 0.139. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.139. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.139TTM0.1390.000
TTM0.139YOY0.133+0.006
TTM0.1395Y0.147-0.008
5Y0.14710Y0.154-0.007
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.1390.525-0.386
TTM0.1390.525-0.386
YOY0.1330.525-0.392
5Y0.1470.520-0.373
10Y0.1540.505-0.351
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Swatch Group AG is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 16.2% means that company has CHF0.16 debt for each CHF1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 0.162. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.162. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.162TTM0.1620.000
TTM0.162YOY0.154+0.008
TTM0.1625Y0.173-0.011
5Y0.17310Y0.184-0.011
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.1621.098-0.936
TTM0.1621.076-0.914
YOY0.1541.016-0.862
5Y0.1731.117-0.944
10Y0.1841.158-0.974

2. Market Valuation of Swatch Group AG

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every CHF1 in earnings Swatch Group AG generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Swatch Group AG to the Luxury Goods industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 13.64 means the investor is paying CHF13.64 for every CHF1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The EOD is 12.495. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 13.641. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 13.641. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD12.495MRQ13.641-1.146
MRQ13.641TTM13.6410.000
TTM13.641YOY16.893-3.252
TTM13.6415Y-35.272+48.914
5Y-35.27210Y-6.546-28.727
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD12.4959.894+2.601
MRQ13.6419.949+3.692
TTM13.64112.560+1.081
YOY16.89312.972+3.921
5Y-35.27212.127-47.399
10Y-6.54612.870-19.416
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The EOD is -57.758. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -63.054. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -63.054. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-57.758MRQ-63.054+5.296
MRQ-63.054TTM-63.0540.000
TTM-63.054YOY40.454-103.508
TTM-63.0545Y6.320-69.374
5Y6.32010Y18.268-11.948
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-57.7584.457-62.215
MRQ-63.0544.655-67.709
TTM-63.0544.772-67.826
YOY40.4544.792+35.662
5Y6.3204.205+2.115
10Y18.2685.555+12.713
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Swatch Group AG is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Luxury Goods industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.97 means the investor is paying CHF0.97 for each CHF1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The EOD is 0.886. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.967. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.967. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.886MRQ0.967-0.081
MRQ0.967TTM0.9670.000
TTM0.967YOY1.131-0.164
TTM0.9675Y1.139-0.172
5Y1.13910Y1.437-0.299
Compared to industry (Luxury Goods)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD0.8861.503-0.617
MRQ0.9671.571-0.604
TTM0.9671.547-0.580
YOY1.1311.928-0.797
5Y1.1391.800-0.661
10Y1.4372.004-0.567
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Swatch Group AG compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--3.9053.9050%8.500-54%4.246-8%6.002-35%
Book Value Per Share--236.388236.3880%232.483+2%225.601+5%216.683+9%
Current Ratio--8.6088.6080%9.230-7%7.964+8%7.473+15%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.1390.1390%0.133+4%0.147-6%0.154-10%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.1620.1620%0.154+5%0.173-7%0.184-12%
Dividend Per Share--5.9975.9970%5.498+9%5.700+5%6.527-8%
Eps--16.75816.7580%15.568+8%12.055+39%14.651+14%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---3.625-3.6250%6.501-156%9.672-137%10.942-133%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---9.931-9.9310%0.714-1491%2.992-432%2.149-562%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%-0.341+134%3.226-69%1.353-26%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--20.338--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---125.941--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--9.043--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--2.385--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--21.832--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---5.787--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--28.184--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---28.094--------
Market Cap6048728400.000-96%11854160213.40011854160213.4000%13632868000.000-13%13267882400.780-11%16248542243.630-27%
Net Profit Margin--0.1100.1100%0.108+2%0.080+37%0.096+15%
Operating Margin--0.1510.1510%0.137+10%0.109+38%0.128+18%
Operating Ratio--0.8490.8490%0.863-2%0.891-5%0.871-3%
Pb Ratio0.886-9%0.9670.9670%1.131-15%1.139-15%1.437-33%
Pe Ratio12.495-9%13.64113.6410%16.893-19%-35.272+359%-6.546+148%
Price Per Share209.400-9%228.600228.6000%263.000-13%256.420-11%307.730-26%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-57.758+8%-63.054-63.0540%40.454-256%6.320-1098%18.268-445%
Price To Total Gains Ratio21.147-9%23.08623.0860%18.788+23%6.657+247%17.686+31%
Quick Ratio--2.5532.5530%3.177-20%2.624-3%2.475+3%
Return On Assets--0.0610.0610%0.058+5%0.045+36%0.058+6%
Return On Equity--0.0710.0710%0.067+6%0.053+35%0.069+4%
Total Gains Per Share--9.9029.9020%13.998-29%9.9460%12.529-21%
Usd Book Value--13541412600.00013541412600.0000%13312739700.000+2%12896709680.000+5%12585184280.000+8%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--4.3134.3130%9.390-54%4.690-8%6.630-35%
Usd Book Value Per Share--261.138261.1380%256.824+2%249.222+5%239.369+9%
Usd Dividend Per Share--6.6256.6250%6.074+9%6.296+5%7.211-8%
Usd Eps--18.51318.5130%17.198+8%13.317+39%16.185+14%
Usd Free Cash Flow---207683600.000-207683600.0000%372283900.000-156%552350000.000-138%637411900.000-133%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---4.005-4.0050%7.182-156%10.685-137%12.088-133%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---10.971-10.9710%0.789-1491%3.305-432%2.374-562%
Usd Market Cap6682030263.480-96%13095290787.74313095290787.7430%15060229279.600-13%14657029688.142-11%17949764616.538-27%
Usd Price Per Share231.324-9%252.534252.5340%290.536-13%283.267-11%339.949-26%
Usd Profit--959984300.000959984300.0000%891492900.000+8%689332800.000+39%855590150.000+12%
Usd Revenue--8713873600.0008713873600.0000%8284145300.000+5%8072705720.000+8%8581972420.000+2%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--10.93910.9390%15.464-29%10.9870%13.841-21%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+20 -165Y+21 -1510Y+20 -16

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Swatch Group AG based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1512.495
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.886
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.110
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.151
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than12.553
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than18.608
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.139
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.162
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.071
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.061
Total9/10 (90.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Swatch Group AG based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.363
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50206.690
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100206.886
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200217.819
OpenGreater thanClose211.000
Total2/5 (40.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets14,229,000
Total Liabilities1,971,000
Total Stockholder Equity12,197,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,971,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 12,197,000
Total Assets = 14,229,000

Assets

Total Assets14,229,000
Total Current Assets10,502,000
Long-term Assets3,727,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 1,683,000
Short-term Investments 380,000
Net Receivables 672,000
Inventory 7,309,000
Other Current Assets 458,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)10,502,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)10,502,000
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 3,029,000
Intangible Assets 153,000
Long-term Assets Other 84,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)3,727,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)3,266,000
+/- 461,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities1,220,000
Long-term Liabilities751,000
Total Stockholder Equity12,197,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 75,000
Accounts payable 317,000
Other Current Liabilities 828,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)1,220,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)1,220,000
+/-0
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)751,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 751,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock118,000
Retained Earnings 14,064,000
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -1,871,000
Other Stockholders Equity -114,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)12,197,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)12,197,000
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 2,063,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 51,855
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 14,229,000
Net Debt -1,606,000
Net Working Capital 9,282,000
Short Long Term Debt Total 77,000



Balance Sheet

All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-312000-12-311999-12-311998-12-311997-12-31
> Total Assets 
3,633,000
4,166,000
4,478,000
4,662,000
4,660,000
4,783,000
5,615,000
6,011,000
6,588,000
6,904,000
7,447,000
7,235,000
7,706,000
8,614,000
9,805,000
11,222,000
11,639,000
12,747,000
13,270,000
13,106,000
13,479,000
13,661,000
13,692,000
12,897,000
13,678,000
13,893,000
14,229,000
14,229,00013,893,00013,678,00012,897,00013,692,00013,661,00013,479,00013,106,00013,270,00012,747,00011,639,00011,222,0009,805,0008,614,0007,706,0007,235,0007,447,0006,904,0006,588,0006,011,0005,615,0004,783,0004,660,0004,662,0004,478,0004,166,0003,633,000
   > Total Current Assets 
2,667,000
3,152,000
3,416,000
3,570,000
3,211,000
3,292,000
4,093,000
4,400,000
4,957,000
5,153,000
5,479,000
4,987,000
5,414,000
6,235,000
7,096,000
7,827,000
8,673,000
8,946,000
9,269,000
9,045,000
9,458,000
9,458,000
9,555,000
9,238,000
10,107,000
10,393,000
10,502,000
10,502,00010,393,00010,107,0009,238,0009,555,0009,458,0009,458,0009,045,0009,269,0008,946,0008,673,0007,827,0007,096,0006,235,0005,414,0004,987,0005,479,0005,153,0004,957,0004,400,0004,093,0003,292,0003,211,0003,570,0003,416,0003,152,0002,667,000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
0
286,000
463,000
1,294,000
1,375,000
1,871,000
1,669,000
1,286,000
680,000
1,098,000
1,827,000
1,616,000
1,520,000
908,000
1,202,000
1,280,000
1,136,000
1,291,000
944,000
1,239,000
1,585,000
1,979,000
2,176,000
1,683,000
1,683,0002,176,0001,979,0001,585,0001,239,000944,0001,291,0001,136,0001,280,0001,202,000908,0001,520,0001,616,0001,827,0001,098,000680,0001,286,0001,669,0001,871,0001,375,0001,294,000463,000286,0000000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
584,000
396,000
321,000
426,000
307,000
507,000
656,000
546,000
547,000
542,000
-31,000
447,000
325,000
263,000
376,000
323,000
332,000
291,000
224,000
207,000
677,000
369,000
380,000
380,000369,000677,000207,000224,000291,000332,000323,000376,000263,000325,000447,000-31,000542,000547,000546,000656,000507,000307,000426,000321,000396,000584,0000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
977,000
988,000
996,000
0
0
0
881,000
740,000
785,000
728,000
1,471,000
1,077,000
1,758,000
1,403,000
1,319,000
1,186,000
1,276,000
1,075,000
988,000
897,000
846,000
663,000
672,000
672,000663,000846,000897,000988,0001,075,0001,276,0001,186,0001,319,0001,403,0001,758,0001,077,0001,471,000728,000785,000740,000881,000000996,000988,000977,0000000
       Inventory 
273,000
294,000
285,000
377,000
1,361,000
1,442,000
1,481,000
1,615,000
1,724,000
1,877,000
2,273,000
2,738,000
2,743,000
2,869,000
3,671,000
4,407,000
5,426,000
5,943,000
6,151,000
6,259,000
6,318,000
6,917,000
6,852,000
6,315,000
6,389,000
6,873,000
7,309,000
7,309,0006,873,0006,389,0006,315,0006,852,0006,917,0006,318,0006,259,0006,151,0005,943,0005,426,0004,407,0003,671,0002,869,0002,743,0002,738,0002,273,0001,877,0001,724,0001,615,0001,481,0001,442,0001,361,000377,000285,000294,000273,000
       Other Current Assets 
1,691,000
2,100,000
2,261,000
2,255,000
980,000
3,000
1,000
984,000
1,055,000
1,100,000
383,000
283,000
241,000
269,000
338,000
376,000
256,000
135,000
143,000
141,000
1,517,000
1,306,000
1,240,000
234,000
216,000
975,000
458,000
458,000975,000216,000234,0001,240,0001,306,0001,517,000141,000143,000135,000256,000376,000338,000269,000241,000283,000383,0001,100,0001,055,000984,0001,0003,000980,0002,255,0002,261,0002,100,0001,691,000
   > Long-term Assets 
966,000
1,014,000
1,062,000
1,092,000
1,449,000
1,491,000
1,522,000
1,611,000
1,631,000
1,751,000
1,968,000
2,248,000
2,292,000
2,379,000
2,709,000
3,395,000
2,966,000
3,801,000
4,001,000
4,061,000
4,021,000
4,203,000
4,137,000
3,659,000
3,571,000
3,500,000
3,727,000
3,727,0003,500,0003,571,0003,659,0004,137,0004,203,0004,021,0004,061,0004,001,0003,801,0002,966,0003,395,0002,709,0002,379,0002,292,0002,248,0001,968,0001,751,0001,631,0001,611,0001,522,0001,491,0001,449,0001,092,0001,062,0001,014,000966,000
       Property Plant Equipment 
762,000
879,000
928,000
1,003,000
1,053,000
1,072,000
1,085,000
1,161,000
1,153,000
1,205,000
1,357,000
1,465,000
1,460,000
1,488,000
1,665,000
1,889,000
2,272,000
3,010,000
3,173,000
3,276,000
3,281,000
3,245,000
3,189,000
2,929,000
2,771,000
2,706,000
3,029,000
3,029,0002,706,0002,771,0002,929,0003,189,0003,245,0003,281,0003,276,0003,173,0003,010,0002,272,0001,889,0001,665,0001,488,0001,460,0001,465,0001,357,0001,205,0001,153,0001,161,0001,085,0001,072,0001,053,0001,003,000928,000879,000762,000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
462,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000462,000000000000000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
74,000
71,000
70,000
267,000
45,000
0
0
0
0
000045,000267,00070,00071,00074,000000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
35,000
28,000
43,000
23,000
269,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
320,000
317,000
0
153,000
136,000
150,000
151,000
142,000
147,000
146,000
150,000
144,000
144,000
146,000
153,000
153,000146,000144,000144,000150,000146,000147,000142,000151,000150,000136,000153,0000317,000320,0000000000269,00023,00043,00028,00035,000
       Long-term Assets Other 
169,000
107,000
91,000
66,000
11,000
16,000
16,000
453,000
330,000
532,000
760,000
698,000
711,000
186,000
253,000
736,000
470,000
453,000
581,000
485,000
463,000
419,000
352,000
99,000
87,000
452,000
84,000
84,000452,00087,00099,000352,000419,000463,000485,000581,000453,000470,000736,000253,000186,000711,000698,000760,000532,000330,000453,00016,00016,00011,00066,00091,000107,000169,000
> Total Liabilities 
820,000
1,180,000
1,606,000
1,324,000
1,380,000
1,227,000
1,599,000
1,735,000
1,985,000
1,937,000
2,118,000
1,784,000
1,725,000
1,513,000
1,734,000
1,878,000
2,065,000
2,073,000
2,028,000
2,033,000
2,190,000
2,387,000
2,199,000
1,932,000
2,073,000
1,842,000
1,971,000
1,971,0001,842,0002,073,0001,932,0002,199,0002,387,0002,190,0002,033,0002,028,0002,073,0002,065,0001,878,0001,734,0001,513,0001,725,0001,784,0002,118,0001,937,0001,985,0001,735,0001,599,0001,227,0001,380,0001,324,0001,606,0001,180,000820,000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
537,000
697,000
674,000
846,000
957,000
831,000
831,000
932,000
1,164,000
976,000
1,189,000
902,000
1,241,000
1,020,000
1,151,000
1,204,000
1,338,000
1,308,000
1,222,000
1,207,000
1,373,000
1,549,000
1,361,000
1,212,000
1,377,000
1,126,000
1,220,000
1,220,0001,126,0001,377,0001,212,0001,361,0001,549,0001,373,0001,207,0001,222,0001,308,0001,338,0001,204,0001,151,0001,020,0001,241,000902,0001,189,000976,0001,164,000932,000831,000831,000957,000846,000674,000697,000537,000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
293,000
199,000
204,000
224,000
329,000
72,000
0
0
0
31,000
18,000
73,000
7,000
6,000
6,000
113,000
11,000
202,000
101,000
88,000
97,000
6,000
75,000
75,0006,00097,00088,000101,000202,00011,000113,0006,0006,0007,00073,00018,00031,00000072,000329,000224,000204,000199,000293,0000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7,000
113,000
11,000
202,000
101,000
88,000
97,000
6,000
0
06,00097,00088,000101,000202,00011,000113,0007,000000000000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
240,000
245,000
303,000
246,000
238,000
291,000
400,000
320,000
383,000
371,000
367,000
316,000
354,000
393,000
313,000
281,000
313,000
298,000
317,000
317,000298,000313,000281,000313,000393,000354,000316,000367,000371,000383,000320,000400,000291,000238,000246,000303,000245,000240,00000000000
       Other Current Liabilities 
537,000
697,000
674,000
846,000
664,000
632,000
627,000
708,000
595,000
659,000
886,000
656,000
1,003,000
479,000
545,000
577,000
31,000
36,000
30,000
38,000
128,000
116,000
127,000
770,000
862,000
822,000
828,000
828,000822,000862,000770,000127,000116,000128,00038,00030,00036,00031,000577,000545,000479,0001,003,000656,000886,000659,000595,000708,000627,000632,000664,000846,000674,000697,000537,000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
283,000
483,000
932,000
478,000
423,000
396,000
768,000
803,000
821,000
961,000
929,000
882,000
484,000
493,000
583,000
674,000
727,000
765,000
806,000
826,000
817,000
838,000
838,000
720,000
696,000
716,000
751,000
751,000716,000696,000720,000838,000838,000817,000826,000806,000765,000727,000674,000583,000493,000484,000882,000929,000961,000821,000803,000768,000396,000423,000478,000932,000483,000283,000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
31,000
26,000
22,000
20,000
3,000
2,000
2,000
0
02,0002,0003,00020,00022,00026,00031,0000000000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
772,000
795,000
791,000
816,000
818,000
717,000
694,000
714,000
0
0714,000694,000717,000818,000816,000791,000795,000772,000000000000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
46,000
44,000
43,000
45,000
36,000
49,000
39,000
35,000
0
035,00039,00049,00036,00045,00043,00044,00046,000000000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
2,795,000
2,974,000
2,846,000
3,302,000
3,261,000
3,541,000
4,006,000
4,261,000
4,580,000
4,958,000
5,310,000
5,436,000
5,965,000
7,087,000
8,054,000
9,325,000
9,508,000
10,583,000
11,140,000
10,987,000
11,201,000
11,185,000
11,405,000
10,897,000
11,540,000
11,985,000
12,197,000
12,197,00011,985,00011,540,00010,897,00011,405,00011,185,00011,201,00010,987,00011,140,00010,583,0009,508,0009,325,0008,054,0007,087,0005,965,0005,436,0005,310,0004,958,0004,580,0004,261,0004,006,0003,541,0003,261,0003,302,0002,846,0002,974,0002,795,000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
312,000
140,000
137,000
137,000
137,000
135,000
132,000
129,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
118,000
118,000
118,000
118,000
118,000
118,000118,000118,000118,000118,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000129,000132,000135,000137,000137,000137,000140,000312,000000
   Retained Earnings 
1,587,000
1,208,000
1,551,000
1,806,000
3,436,000
3,580,000
4,060,000
4,549,000
4,838,000
5,279,000
5,812,000
5,844,000
6,389,000
7,328,000
8,556,000
9,863,000
10,828,000
13,174,000
13,856,000
14,027,000
14,403,000
14,854,000
14,087,000
12,380,000
12,966,000
14,858,000
14,064,000
14,064,00014,858,00012,966,00012,380,00014,087,00014,854,00014,403,00014,027,00013,856,00013,174,00010,828,0009,863,0008,556,0007,328,0006,389,0005,844,0005,812,0005,279,0004,838,0004,549,0004,060,0003,580,0003,436,0001,806,0001,551,0001,208,0001,587,000
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock00-131,000-141,000-195,000-1,251,000-863,000-660,0000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
1,208,000
1,766,000
1,295,000
1,184,000
-565,000
-369,000
-369,000
-425,000
-393,000
-453,000
-631,000
-533,000
-549,000
-293,000
-627,000
-663,000
-1,445,000
-2,716,000
-2,841,000
-3,165,000
-3,327,000
-3,794,000
-2,800,000
-141,000
-131,000
-2,991,000
-114,000
-114,000-2,991,000-131,000-141,000-2,800,000-3,794,000-3,327,000-3,165,000-2,841,000-2,716,000-1,445,000-663,000-627,000-293,000-549,000-533,000-631,000-453,000-393,000-425,000-369,000-369,000-565,0001,184,0001,295,0001,766,0001,208,000



Balance Sheet

All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in CHF. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue7,888,000
Cost of Revenue-4,117,000
Gross Profit3,771,0003,771,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit3,771,000
Operating Expense-2,580,000
Operating Income1,191,0001,191,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative0
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense2,580,0000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-4,000
Other Finance Cost-4,000
Net Interest Income0
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income1,191,000
Net Interest Income0
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)1,153,0001,229,000
EBIT - interestExpense = 1,187,000
1,131,000
873,000
Interest Expense4,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)1,191,0001,157,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)1,581,000
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax1,153,000
Tax Provision-0
Net Income From Continuing Ops01,153,000
Net Income869,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses6,697,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-38,0000
 

Technical Analysis of Swatch Group AG
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Swatch Group AG. The general trend of Swatch Group AG is BEARISH with 57.1% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Swatch Group AG's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-57.1%) Bearish trend (57.1%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Swatch Group AG.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 214.90 < 222.30 < 222.40.

The bearish price targets are: 193.95 > 193.80.

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Swatch Group AG Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Swatch Group AG. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 3/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -8/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Swatch Group AG Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Swatch Group AG. The current macd is -1.23443338.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 3/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Swatch Group AG price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Swatch Group AG. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Swatch Group AG price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Swatch Group AG. The current adx is 11.15.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Swatch Group AG shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Swatch Group AG. The current sar is 193.80.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Swatch Group AG. The current rsi is 54.36. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bear market: Extended price decline in a downtrend, significant pullback. Consider reducing exposure, wait for signs of trend reversal.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Swatch Group AG. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Swatch Group AG price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Swatch Group AG. The current cci is 74.63.

Swatch Group AG Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Swatch Group AG. The current cmo is 18.93.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Swatch Group AG. The current willr is -26.06635071.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Swatch Group AG is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Swatch Group AG Daily Williams %R ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Swatch Group AG.

Swatch Group AG Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Swatch Group AG. The current atr is 4.7177589.

Swatch Group AG Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Swatch Group AG. The current obv is -2,139,086.

Swatch Group AG Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Swatch Group AG. The current mfi is 46.28.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Swatch Group AG Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Swatch Group AG.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-10DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-11-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-11-15DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-11-17CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-11-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-11-22CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-23CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-11-24MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-11-27DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2023-11-28CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-11-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-07CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-11CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-12-12CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-14MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-20CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-21DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2023-12-22MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-29DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-03DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-09WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-17MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-24ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-26RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-30SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-02-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-02WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-07MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-08CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-12DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-23SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-26DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-02-27DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-29CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-04DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-06MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-07DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-14DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-18DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-19SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-27DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-28MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Swatch Group AG Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Swatch Group AG based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.363
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50206.690
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100206.886
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200217.819
OpenGreater thanClose211.000
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke

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