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Absa Group Ltd
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Absa together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Absa Group Ltd. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Absa Group Ltd. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Absa (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Absa? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
R3.15
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
R19,778.27
Expected worth in 1 year
R25,275.20
How sure are you?
100.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
R11,303.47
Return On Investment
76.1%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
R14,851.00
Expected price per share
R13,591 - R16,326
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Absa (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

R14,851.00

Intrinsic Value Per Share

R26,120.49 - R112,236.44

Total Value Per Share

R45,898.76 - R132,014.71

2. Growth of Absa (5 min.)




Is Absa growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$8.9b$8.2b$615.1m6.9%

How much money is Absa making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$1b$1.1b-$68.9m-6.4%
Net Profit Margin9.7%21.4%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Absa (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Banks - Regional industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Banks - Regional)  

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Absa? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Absa's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Absa.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Absa?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Absa. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Absa is R14,851. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Absa.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Absa, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is R19,778.27. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is R1,374.23 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is R690.12 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is R1,451.64 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Absa.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 R% of Price per ShareR% of Price per ShareR% of Price per ShareR% of Price per ShareR% of Price per Share
Usd Eps1.300.0%1.300.0%1.340.0%1.020.0%0.960.0%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.740.0%0.740.0%0.370.0%0.560.0%0.530.0%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.790.0%0.790.0%0.660.0%0.560.0%0.580.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.530.0%1.530.0%1.030.0%1.120.0%1.110.0%
Usd Price Per Share8.87-8.87-10.51-8.45-8.76-
Price to Earnings Ratio6.84-6.84-7.84-9.49-9.77-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio5.79-5.79-10.15-7.88-8.36-
Price to Book Ratio0.83-0.83-1.05-0.89-1.11-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio5.79-5.79-10.15-7.88-8.36-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share8.049242
Number of shares124
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.790.56
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.740.56
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.531.12
Gains per Quarter (124 shares)189.92138.92
Gains per Year (124 shares)759.68555.67
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1390369750278277546
278073915105575551102
31171110822708358321658
4156114783030111411092214
5195118473790139213862770
6234122174550167016643326
7273225865310194919413882
8312229566070222722184438
9351233256830250624954994
10390236947590278427735550

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%20.00.00.0100.0%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%20.00.00.0100.0%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%15.00.05.075.0%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%20.00.00.0100.0%

Fundamentals of Absa

About Absa Group Ltd

Absa Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides retail, business, corporate, investment banking, insurance, financial, and wealth management products and services in South Africa and internationally. It offers retail and business banking products and services; life and non-life insurance products; residential property-related finance solutions; mortgages; vehicle and asset finance products and services; cash, debit, credit and prepaid cards; personal loans; corporate, relationship and transactional banking services; mobile payments; and savings and investment products and services. In addition, it offers insurance and financial advisory, stockbroking and portfolio management, and trust administrative services, as well as operates a digital advice platform and a direct sales service center. Further, the company provides trade and working capital, cash management, payment, and liquidity products and solutions; and investment banking, private equity and infrastructure investment, and commercial property financing services. Additionally, it offers broker-dealer trading in debt and equity securities; and solicitation, syndication, selling, and arranging of equity and debt products, as well as financial, leasing, and management services. The company was formerly known as Barclays Africa Group Limited and changed its name to Absa Group Limited in May 2018. Absa Group Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-05-02 08:48:02.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is cheap.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.

1.1. Profitability of Absa Group Ltd.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Absa earns for each 1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 9.7% means that 0.10 for each 1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 9.7%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 9.7%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ9.7%TTM9.7%0.0%
TTM9.7%YOY21.4%-11.7%
TTM9.7%5Y15.6%-6.0%
5Y15.6%10Y17.8%-2.2%
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ9.7%38.5%-28.8%
TTM9.7%29.6%-19.9%
YOY21.4%26.3%-4.9%
5Y15.6%23.6%-8.0%
10Y17.8%20.4%-2.6%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Absa is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • 1.1% Return on Assets means that Absa generated 0.01 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.1%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 1.1%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.1%TTM1.1%0.0%
TTM1.1%YOY1.2%-0.1%
TTM1.1%5Y1.0%+0.1%
5Y1.0%10Y1.1%-0.1%
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1%0.3%+0.8%
TTM1.1%0.2%+0.9%
YOY1.2%0.2%+1.0%
5Y1.0%0.2%+0.8%
10Y1.1%0.2%+0.9%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Absa is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • 13.8% Return on Equity means Absa generated 0.14 for each 1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 13.8%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 13.8%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ13.8%TTM13.8%0.0%
TTM13.8%YOY14.9%-1.1%
TTM13.8%5Y12.0%+1.7%
5Y12.0%10Y13.4%-1.3%
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ13.8%3.1%+10.7%
TTM13.8%2.5%+11.3%
YOY14.9%2.7%+12.2%
5Y12.0%2.5%+9.5%
10Y13.4%2.8%+10.6%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Absa Group Ltd.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Absa is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Absa makes for each 1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -1.2% means the company generated -0.01  for each 1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is -1.2%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -1.2%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.2%TTM-1.2%0.0%
TTM-1.2%YOY76.0%-77.2%
TTM-1.2%5Y28.2%-29.4%
5Y28.2%10Y56.9%-28.8%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Absa is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Banks - Regional industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.15 means that the operating costs are 0.15 for each 1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.152. The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low. +2
  • The TTM is 0.152. The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.152TTM0.1520.000
TTM0.152YOY0.545-0.393
TTM0.1525Y0.506-0.354
5Y0.50610Y0.549-0.043

1.3. Liquidity of Absa Group Ltd.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Absa is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Banks - Regional industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.42 means the company has 0.42 in assets for each 1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.416. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
  • The TTM is 0.416. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.416TTM0.4160.000
TTM0.416YOY0.091+0.326
TTM0.4165Y2.976-2.560
5Y2.97610Y4.209-1.232
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
TTM0.4160.124+0.292
YOY0.0910.167-0.076
5Y2.9760.207+2.769
10Y4.2090.131+4.078
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Absa is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of -0.12 means the company can pay off -0.12 for each 1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is -0.115. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -2
  • The TTM is -0.115. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-0.115TTM-0.1150.000
TTM-0.115YOY0.111-0.227
TTM-0.1155Y3.451-3.566
5Y3.45110Y5.218-1.767

1.4. Solvency of Absa Group Ltd.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Absa assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Absa to Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.91 means that Absa assets are financed with 91.2% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 91.2%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.912. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
  • The TTM is 0.912. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.912TTM0.9120.000
TTM0.912YOY0.915-0.002
TTM0.9125Y0.912+0.001
5Y0.91210Y0.909+0.003
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9120.915-0.003
TTM0.9120.916-0.004
YOY0.9150.918-0.003
5Y0.9120.919-0.007
10Y0.9090.926-0.017
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Absa is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 1,183.0% means that company has 11.83 debt for each 1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 11.830. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 11.830. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ11.830TTM11.8300.000
TTM11.830YOY11.550+0.280
TTM11.8305Y11.520+0.310
5Y11.52010Y11.125+0.395
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ11.83010.799+1.031
TTM11.83010.909+0.921
YOY11.55011.266+0.284
5Y11.52011.324+0.196
10Y11.12512.886-1.761

2. Market Valuation of Absa Group Ltd

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every 1 in earnings Absa generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Absa to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 6.84 means the investor is paying 6.84 for every 1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The EOD is 6.206. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 6.841. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 6.841. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD6.206MRQ6.841-0.635
MRQ6.841TTM6.8410.000
TTM6.841YOY7.845-1.004
TTM6.8415Y9.486-2.645
5Y9.48610Y9.769-0.283
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD6.2063.554+2.652
MRQ6.8413.418+3.423
TTM6.8414.741+2.100
YOY7.8456.901+0.944
5Y9.4869.496-0.010
10Y9.7699.770-0.001
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The EOD is 2.424. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 2.672. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 2.672. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.424MRQ2.672-0.248
MRQ2.672TTM2.6720.000
TTM2.672YOY8.745-6.073
TTM2.6725Y27.629-24.957
5Y27.62910Y26.227+1.403
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.424-2.455+4.879
MRQ2.672-2.360+5.032
TTM2.672-1.072+3.744
YOY8.7456.461+2.284
5Y27.6290.248+27.381
10Y26.2270.032+26.195
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Absa is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Banks - Regional industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.83 means the investor is paying 0.83 for each 1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Absa Group Ltd:

  • The EOD is 0.751. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.828. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.828. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.751MRQ0.828-0.077
MRQ0.828TTM0.8280.000
TTM0.828YOY1.054-0.226
TTM0.8285Y0.892-0.064
5Y0.89210Y1.114-0.222
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD0.7510.437+0.314
MRQ0.8280.420+0.408
TTM0.8280.439+0.389
YOY1.0540.594+0.460
5Y0.8920.763+0.129
10Y1.1140.991+0.123
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Absa Group Ltd compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--1374.2321374.2320%690.115+99%1031.379+33%973.098+41%
Book Value Per Share--19778.27219778.2720%18404.040+7%17467.224+13%15087.418+31%
Current Ratio--0.4160.4160%0.091+358%2.976-86%4.209-90%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.9120.9120%0.9150%0.912+0%0.909+0%
Debt To Equity Ratio--11.83011.8300%11.550+2%11.520+3%11.125+6%
Dividend Per Share--1451.6361451.6360%1219.456+19%1035.590+40%1069.648+36%
Eps--2393.0462393.0460%2471.741-3%1885.028+27%1777.845+35%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--6126.3236126.3230%2217.292+176%1951.168+214%1304.596+370%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--15778.39315778.3930%700.216+2153%3173.544+397%1549.860+918%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%0.919+9%0.895+12%0.885+13%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--112236.436--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--26120.486--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--4680.517--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--1652.356--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--19067.392--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--5829.968--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--39487.651--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--10923.903--------
Market Cap12312295448576.000-11%13607575200000.00013607575200000.0000%16124724000000.000-16%12953045228467.199+5%13497186514233.600+1%
Net Profit Margin--0.0970.0970%0.214-55%0.156-38%0.178-46%
Operating Margin---0.012-0.0120%0.760-102%0.282-104%0.569-102%
Operating Ratio--0.1520.1520%0.545-72%0.506-70%0.549-72%
Pb Ratio0.751-10%0.8280.8280%1.054-21%0.892-7%1.114-26%
Pe Ratio6.206-10%6.8416.8410%7.845-13%9.486-28%9.769-30%
Price Per Share14851.000-10%16371.00016371.0000%19390.000-16%15586.400+5%16163.800+1%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio2.424-10%2.6722.6720%8.745-69%27.629-90%26.227-90%
Price To Total Gains Ratio5.255-10%5.7935.7930%10.154-43%7.878-26%8.363-31%
Quick Ratio---0.115-0.1150%0.111-203%3.451-103%5.218-102%
Return On Assets--0.0110.0110%0.012-10%0.010+10%0.011-3%
Return On Equity--0.1380.1380%0.149-8%0.120+14%0.134+3%
Total Gains Per Share--2825.8682825.8680%1909.572+48%2066.969+37%2042.747+38%
Usd Book Value--8910317400.0008910317400.0000%8295201600.000+7%7867021600.000+13%6819866760.000+31%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.7450.7450%0.374+99%0.559+33%0.527+41%
Usd Book Value Per Share--10.72010.7200%9.975+7%9.467+13%8.177+31%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.7870.7870%0.661+19%0.561+40%0.580+36%
Usd Eps--1.2971.2970%1.340-3%1.022+27%0.964+35%
Usd Free Cash Flow--2759972400.0002759972400.0000%999393800.000+176%879069800.000+214%590460220.000+367%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--3.3203.3200%1.202+176%1.058+214%0.707+370%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--8.5528.5520%0.380+2153%1.720+397%0.840+918%
Usd Market Cap6673264133.128-11%7375305758.4007375305758.4000%8739600408.000-16%7020550513.829+5%7315475090.715+1%
Usd Price Per Share8.049-10%8.8738.8730%10.509-16%8.448+5%8.761+1%
Usd Profit--1078092200.0001078092200.0000%1147088800.000-6%868587520.000+24%813666660.000+32%
Usd Revenue--11135064800.00011135064800.0000%5361355600.000+108%5981013360.000+86%4899224720.000+127%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--1.5321.5320%1.035+48%1.120+37%1.107+38%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+23 -135Y+28 -810Y+27 -9

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Absa Group Ltd based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-156.206
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.751
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.097
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.012
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than1-0.115
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.416
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.912
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than111.830
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.138
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.011
Total4/10 (40.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Absa Group Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5062.443
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5014,214.713
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10014,571.073
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20014,940.274
OpenGreater thanClose14,907.000
Total2/5 (40.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-31
Cash And Cash Equivalents  5,253,200,000815,000,0006,068,200,000535,900,0006,604,100,000113,800,0006,717,900,000-14,930,100,000-8,212,200,000
Long-term Assets Other  -344,100,000-84,500,000-428,600,000-161,100,000-589,700,000-263,800,000-853,500,000155,385,700,000154,532,200,000
Cash and Short Term Investments  5,253,200,000815,000,0006,068,200,000535,900,0006,604,100,000113,800,0006,717,900,000-14,930,100,000-8,212,200,000
EBIT  2,002,800,000-1,099,200,000903,600,0001,661,100,0002,564,700,0004,949,600,0007,514,300,000-7,761,500,000-247,200,000
Operating Income  2,002,800,000-1,099,200,000903,600,0001,661,100,0002,564,700,0004,949,600,0007,514,300,000-7,761,500,000-247,200,000



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in ZAR. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets1,874,876,000
Total Liabilities1,710,479,000
Total Stockholder Equity144,586,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,710,479,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 144,586,000
Total Assets = 1,874,876,000

Assets

Total Assets1,874,876,000
Total Current Assets296,835,000
Long-term Assets1,578,041,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents -82,122,000
Other Current Assets 296,835,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)296,835,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)214,713,000
+/- 82,122,000
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 16,016,000
Goodwill 769,000
Long Term Investments 456,725,000
Intangible Assets 13,673,000
Long-term Assets Other 1,545,322,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,578,041,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)2,032,505,000
+/- 454,464,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities712,977,000
Long-term Liabilities997,502,000
Total Stockholder Equity144,586,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 135,585,000
Accounts payable 33,885,000
Other Current Liabilities 543,296,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)712,977,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)712,766,000
+/- 211,000
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)997,502,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 997,502,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock1,657,000
Retained Earnings 132,247,000
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 218,000
Other Stockholders Equity 10,464,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)144,586,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)144,586,000
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock1,789,000
Cash and Short Term Investments -82,122,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 831,200
Current Deferred Revenue211,000
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 1,874,876,000
Net Debt 466,104,000
Net Invested Capital 382,478,000
Net Working Capital -416,142,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 36,972,000
Short Long Term Debt Total 383,982,000



Balance Sheet

Currency in ZAR. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312004-12-312003-12-31
> Total Assets 
306,848,000
348,686,000
495,112,000
640,909,000
773,758,000
717,740,000
716,470,000
786,719,000
807,939,000
959,599,000
991,414,000
1,144,604,000
1,101,023,000
1,165,979,000
1,288,744,000
1,399,175,000
1,531,120,000
1,640,833,000
1,793,201,000
1,874,876,000
1,874,876,0001,793,201,0001,640,833,0001,531,120,0001,399,175,0001,288,744,0001,165,979,0001,101,023,0001,144,604,000991,414,000959,599,000807,939,000786,719,000716,470,000717,740,000773,758,000640,909,000495,112,000348,686,000306,848,000
   > Total Current Assets 
26,694,000
29,573,000
16,461,000
606,671,000
25,750,000
21,550,000
25,417,000
28,294,000
34,399,000
61,068,000
62,246,000
62,025,000
67,494,000
62,601,000
59,924,000
65,145,000
72,477,000
80,551,000
67,179,000
296,835,000
296,835,00067,179,00080,551,00072,477,00065,145,00059,924,00062,601,00067,494,00062,025,00062,246,00061,068,00034,399,00028,294,00025,417,00021,550,00025,750,000606,671,00016,461,00029,573,00026,694,000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
26,666,000
29,568,000
16,461,000
0
24,847,000
20,597,000
24,361,000
26,997,000
26,221,000
50,130,000
50,335,000
45,904,000
50,006,000
48,669,000
46,929,000
52,532,000
60,682,000
66,041,000
67,179,000
-82,122,000
-82,122,00067,179,00066,041,00060,682,00052,532,00046,929,00048,669,00050,006,00045,904,00050,335,00050,130,00026,221,00026,997,00024,361,00020,597,00024,847,000016,461,00029,568,00026,666,000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,819,000
20,310,000
16,116,000
19,316,000
29,414,000
43,222,000
0
0
0
0
000043,222,00029,414,00019,316,00016,116,00020,310,0005,819,0000000000000
       Net Receivables 
28,000
5,000
0
0
903,000
953,000
1,056,000
1,297,000
8,178,000
10,938,000
11,911,000
16,121,000
17,488,000
13,932,000
12,995,000
12,613,000
11,795,000
14,510,000
15,276,000
0
015,276,00014,510,00011,795,00012,613,00012,995,00013,932,00017,488,00016,121,00011,911,00010,938,0008,178,0001,297,0001,056,000953,000903,000005,00028,000
       Inventory 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
571,000
-208,227,000
-171,141,000
-192,161,000
-193,518,000
-216,554,000
-275,212,000
-297,747,000
258,000
0
0258,000-297,747,000-275,212,000-216,554,000-193,518,000-192,161,000-171,141,000-208,227,000571,0000000000000
   > Long-term Assets 
50,263,000
41,372,000
17,778,000
34,238,000
69,999,000
135,819,000
148,453,000
178,128,000
187,741,000
200,043,000
213,292,000
277,901,000
250,869,000
287,116,000
310,698,000
329,063,000
429,043,000
446,405,000
476,969,000
1,578,041,000
1,578,041,000476,969,000446,405,000429,043,000329,063,000310,698,000287,116,000250,869,000277,901,000213,292,000200,043,000187,741,000178,128,000148,453,000135,819,00069,999,00034,238,00017,778,00041,372,00050,263,000
       Property Plant Equipment 
2,597,000
2,683,000
3,750,000
4,610,000
6,208,000
6,606,000
7,493,000
7,996,000
8,397,000
10,679,000
11,177,000
13,252,000
14,643,000
15,303,000
15,835,000
18,620,000
17,094,000
15,970,000
15,325,000
16,016,000
16,016,00015,325,00015,970,00017,094,00018,620,00015,835,00015,303,00014,643,00013,252,00011,177,00010,679,0008,397,0007,996,0007,493,0006,606,0006,208,0004,610,0003,750,0002,683,0002,597,000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
553,000
760,000
762,000
948,000
916,000
829,000
855,000
855,000
856,000
754,000
757,000
769,000
769,000757,000754,000856,000855,000855,000829,000916,000948,000762,000760,000553,00000000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
120,610,000
124,868,000
232,177,000
266,436,000
286,191,000
300,143,000
400,899,000
418,532,000
448,743,000
456,725,000
456,725,000448,743,000418,532,000400,899,000300,143,000286,191,000266,436,000232,177,000124,868,000120,610,0000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
230,000
301,000
957,000
0
0
0
2,008,000
2,381,000
2,457,000
2,824,000
3,133,000
4,548,000
7,817,000
9,445,000
10,194,000
11,149,000
12,901,000
13,673,000
13,673,00012,901,00011,149,00010,194,0009,445,0007,817,0004,548,0003,133,0002,824,0002,457,0002,381,0002,008,000000957,000301,000230,00000
       Long-term Assets Other 
-50,263,000
-41,372,000
-17,778,000
-34,238,000
-69,999,000
-135,819,000
-148,453,000
-178,128,000
-187,741,000
-200,043,000
-213,292,000
-1,265,000
-1,328,000
-1,291,000
-3,431,000
-3,441,000
-4,286,000
-5,897,000
-8,535,000
1,545,322,000
1,545,322,000-8,535,000-5,897,000-4,286,000-3,441,000-3,431,000-1,291,000-1,328,000-1,265,000-213,292,000-200,043,000-187,741,000-178,128,000-148,453,000-135,819,000-69,999,000-34,238,000-17,778,000-41,372,000-50,263,000
> Total Liabilities 
287,327,000
324,721,000
460,191,000
598,349,000
720,792,000
661,250,000
654,321,000
718,314,000
735,145,000
874,398,000
900,469,000
1,045,957,000
998,743,000
1,046,919,000
1,167,138,000
1,270,492,000
1,398,817,000
1,493,524,000
1,640,153,000
1,710,479,000
1,710,479,0001,640,153,0001,493,524,0001,398,817,0001,270,492,0001,167,138,0001,046,919,000998,743,0001,045,957,000900,469,000874,398,000735,145,000718,314,000654,321,000661,250,000720,792,000598,349,000460,191,000324,721,000287,327,000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,108,000
9,075,000
10,278,000
10,243,000
12,315,000
13,326,000
12,194,000
14,987,000
14,709,000
15,793,000
739,713,000
712,977,000
712,977,000739,713,00015,793,00014,709,00014,987,00012,194,00013,326,00012,315,00010,243,00010,278,0009,075,0006,108,00000000000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
185,184,000
127,035,000
130,762,000
136,246,000
212,938,000
0
152,893,000
94,262,000
160,702,000
135,585,000
135,585,000160,702,00094,262,000152,893,0000212,938,000136,246,000130,762,000127,035,000185,184,0000000000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
185,184,000
259,475,000
221,451,000
237,258,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000237,258,000221,451,000259,475,000185,184,0000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,108,000
9,075,000
10,278,000
10,243,000
12,315,000
13,326,000
12,194,000
14,987,000
14,709,000
15,793,000
28,569,000
33,885,000
33,885,00028,569,00015,793,00014,709,00014,987,00012,194,00013,326,00012,315,00010,243,00010,278,0009,075,0006,108,00000000000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-6,108,000
-9,075,000
-10,278,000
-127,586,000
-131,317,000
-136,715,000
-213,396,000
-14,987,000
-14,709,000
-94,484,000
550,100,000
543,296,000
543,296,000550,100,000-94,484,000-14,709,000-14,987,000-213,396,000-136,715,000-131,317,000-127,586,000-10,278,000-9,075,000-6,108,00000000000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
287,327,000
324,721,000
460,191,000
598,349,000
720,792,000
661,250,000
654,321,000
718,314,000
123,863,000
113,967,000
116,824,000
141,834,000
155,387,000
153,843,000
181,224,000
185,147,000
170,406,000
161,431,000
1,640,153,000
997,502,000
997,502,0001,640,153,000161,431,000170,406,000185,147,000181,224,000153,843,000155,387,000141,834,000116,824,000113,967,000123,863,000718,314,000654,321,000661,250,000720,792,000598,349,000460,191,000324,721,000287,327,000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
153,843,000
181,224,000
174,246,000
98,678,000
98,372,000
97,668,000
0
097,668,00098,372,00098,678,000174,246,000181,224,000153,843,0000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40,236,000
45,536,000
51,296,000
73,962,000
74,881,000
84,677,000
33,693,000
51,055,000
36,449,000
0
036,449,00051,055,00033,693,00084,677,00074,881,00073,962,00051,296,00045,536,00040,236,0000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
342,000
436,000
553,000
483,000
0
0
238,000
238,000
258,000
0
0258,000238,000238,00000483,000553,000436,000342,0000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
19,350,000
23,737,000
34,921,000
42,560,000
47,280,000
50,547,000
62,149,000
62,308,000
66,883,000
77,317,000
82,690,000
89,292,000
93,057,000
108,416,000
109,484,000
113,278,000
115,671,000
136,867,000
141,999,000
144,586,000
144,586,000141,999,000136,867,000115,671,000113,278,000109,484,000108,416,00093,057,00089,292,00082,690,00077,317,00066,883,00062,308,00062,149,00050,547,00047,280,00042,560,00034,921,00023,737,00019,350,000
   Common Stock
1,291,000
1,310,000
1,338,000
1,350,000
1,354,000
1,432,000
1,433,000
1,434,000
1,436,000
1,696,000
1,696,000
1,694,000
1,696,000
1,696,000
1,696,000
1,696,000
1,696,000
1,696,000
1,654,000
1,657,000
1,657,0001,654,0001,696,0001,696,0001,696,0001,696,0001,696,0001,696,0001,694,0001,696,0001,696,0001,436,0001,434,0001,433,0001,432,0001,354,0001,350,0001,338,0001,310,0001,291,000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity00000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
16,750,000
20,816,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,171,000
4,241,000
3,148,000
5,090,000
4,289,000
6,626,000
5,101,000
-849,000
218,000
218,000-849,0005,101,0006,626,0004,289,0005,090,0003,148,0004,241,0005,171,00000000000020,816,00016,750,000
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,498,000
10,205,000
10,428,000
10,561,000
10,644,000
10,191,000
0
010,191,00010,644,00010,561,00010,428,00010,205,00010,498,0000000000000000
   Treasury Stock00000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
1,309,000
1,611,000
33,583,000
7,683,000
5,261,000
5,962,000
12,758,000
7,061,000
8,544,000
10,920,000
10,757,000
6,642,000
5,516,000
11,690,000
11,461,000
11,907,000
12,004,000
19,211,000
18,581,000
10,464,000
10,464,00018,581,00019,211,00012,004,00011,907,00011,461,00011,690,0005,516,0006,642,00010,757,00010,920,0008,544,0007,061,00012,758,0005,962,0005,261,0007,683,00033,583,0001,611,0001,309,000



Balance Sheet

Currency in ZAR. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in ZAR. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in ZAR. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue205,444,000
Cost of Revenue-0
Gross Profit205,444,000205,444,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit205,444,000
Operating Expense-31,326,000
Operating Income-2,472,000174,118,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative5,726,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense31,326,0005,726,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income153,502,000
Interest Expense-15,403,000
Other Finance Cost-70,044,000
Net Interest Income68,055,000
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-2,472,000
Net Interest Income68,055,000
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)30,050,000-32,522,000
EBIT - interestExpense = -17,875,000
27,578,000
35,294,000
Interest Expense15,403,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-2,472,00045,453,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)3,460,000
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax30,050,000
Tax Provision-7,687,000
Net Income From Continuing Ops22,563,00022,363,000
Net Income19,891,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses174,417,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net30,050,000-68,055,000
 

Technical Analysis of Absa
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Absa. The general trend of Absa is BEARISH with 57.1% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Absa's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-57.1%) Bearish trend (57.1%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Absa Group Ltd.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 15,262 < 16,049 < 16,326.

The bearish price targets are: 14,557 > 13,607 > 13,591.

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Absa Group Ltd Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Absa Group Ltd. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 3/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -8/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Absa Group Ltd Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Absa Group Ltd. The current macd is 103.44.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Absa price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Absa. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Absa price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Absa Group Ltd. The current adx is 20.80.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Absa shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Absa Group Ltd. The current sar is 13,986.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Absa Group Ltd. The current rsi is 62.44. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 3/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bear market: Extended price decline in a downtrend, significant pullback. Consider reducing exposure, wait for signs of trend reversal.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Absa Group Ltd. The current phase is Overbought in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH > 80: The STOCH %K is above 80 and overbought. +2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Absa price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Absa Group Ltd. The current cci is 135.06.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI > 100: The CCI is above 100, it indicates that the price is significantly above its average, suggesting a potential overbought condition. +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Absa Group Ltd. The current cmo is 40.43.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Absa Group Ltd. The current willr is -13.2887899.

The long score for the Williams %R is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR > -20: The Williams %R is above -20. This indicates that the price is in overbought territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the downside. +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Williams %R ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Absa Group Ltd.

Absa Group Ltd Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Absa Group Ltd. The current atr is 327.63.

Absa Group Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Absa Group Ltd. The current obv is 180,888,546.

Absa Group Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Absa Group Ltd. The current mfi is 75.74.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Absa Group Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartAbsa Group Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Absa Group Ltd.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-14RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-19RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2023-12-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-27SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2023-12-28MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-02CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-11CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-12WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-16WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-17SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-18SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-19BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-23DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-24CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-26CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-30WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-02CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-14CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-16CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-19WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-28MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-12ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-20SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-27RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-04RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-04-09MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-10CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-04-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-16SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-04-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-22DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-04-23DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-29DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-05-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-05-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Absa Group Ltd Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Absa Group Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5062.443
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5014,214.713
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10014,571.073
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20014,940.274
OpenGreater thanClose14,907.000
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke

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