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Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd together

I guess you are interested in Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.47
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
70.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$2.51
Expected worth in 1 year
$2.34
How sure are you?
80.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$0.29
Return On Investment
18.2%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$1.60
Expected price per share
$1.6 - $1.85
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
$1.60
Intrinsic Value Per Share
$-3.98 - $9.28
Total Value Per Share
$-1.47 - $11.79

2.2. Growth of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd (5 min.)




Is Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$547.2m$572.9m-$25.6m-4.7%

How much money is Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$11.5m$266m-$277.5m-2,413.9%
Net Profit Margin-9.3%57.8%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Oil & Gas E&P industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Oil & Gas E&P)  


Richest
#91 / 341

Most Revenue
#93 / 341

Most Profit
#311 / 341

Most Efficient
#225 / 341
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd?

Welcome investor! Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is $1.6. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $2.51. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.04 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.24 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.12 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-0.05-3.3%-0.05-3.3%1.1974.1%0.3722.9%0.000.1%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.04-2.7%-0.04-2.7%0.2414.9%0.032.1%-0.01-0.5%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.127.3%0.127.3%0.9659.8%0.4125.9%0.2515.6%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.074.6%0.074.6%1.2074.8%0.4528.0%0.2415.0%
Usd Price Per Share1.64-1.64-2.37-2.19-1.68-
Price to Earnings Ratio-31.09--31.09-2.00--3.57--0.65-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio22.47-22.47-1.98-16.97-9.95-
Price to Book Ratio0.65-0.65-0.93-0.94-0.75-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio22.47-22.47-1.98-16.97-9.95-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share1.6
Number of shares625
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.120.41
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.040.03
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.070.45
Gains per Quarter (625 shares)45.61279.64
Gains per Year (625 shares)182.431,118.56
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1291-1091721035831109
2583-21835420711662228
3874-32753631062503347
41166-43671841423334466
51457-54590051774165585
61749-654108262124996704
72040-763126472485827823
82331-872144682836658942
92623-9811628931874910061
102914-109018101035483211180

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share0.01.00.00.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%5.05.00.050.0%6.015.00.028.6%
Book Value Change Per Share0.01.00.00.0%2.01.00.066.7%2.03.00.040.0%4.06.00.040.0%10.011.00.047.6%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%7.00.03.070.0%7.00.014.033.3%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%14.07.00.066.7%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---0.044-0.0440%0.239-118%0.033-231%-0.008-81%
Book Value Per Share--2.5102.5100%2.554-2%2.334+8%2.085+20%
Current Ratio--0.9320.9320%2.349-60%2.795-67%2.617-64%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.2150.2150%0.230-7%0.273-21%0.362-41%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.2740.2740%0.299-8%0.380-28%0.793-65%
Dividend Per Share--0.1170.1170%0.957-88%0.414-72%0.249-53%
Eps---0.053-0.0530%1.186-104%0.366-114%0.002-3211%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.065-0.0650%1.190-105%0.303-121%0.110-159%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.181-0.1810%-0.224+24%-0.1800%0.000-100%
Gross Profit Margin--3.7953.7950%1.000+279%1.559+143%1.279+197%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--9.279--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---3.979--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.639--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---0.018--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--2.141--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---0.385--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--3.911--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---1.110--------
Market Cap346887987.200-3%357506880.000357506880.0000%531659730.000-33%494400077.328-28%380940253.107-6%
Net Profit Margin---0.093-0.0930%0.578-116%0.161-158%-0.689+640%
Operating Margin---0.101-0.1010%0.596-117%0.199-151%-0.021-80%
Operating Ratio--1.1061.1060%0.405+173%0.793+39%1.146-4%
Pb Ratio0.637-2%0.6530.6530%0.928-30%0.945-31%0.753-13%
Pe Ratio-30.329+2%-31.088-31.0880%1.998-1656%-3.574-89%-0.647-98%
Price Per Share1.600-2%1.6401.6400%2.370-31%2.190-25%1.682-2%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-24.802+2%-25.422-25.4220%1.992-1376%-17.128-33%-6.879-73%
Price To Total Gains Ratio21.926-2%22.47522.4750%1.981+1034%16.971+32%9.951+126%
Quick Ratio--0.8020.8020%2.297-65%2.557-69%2.374-66%
Return On Assets---0.016-0.0160%0.357-105%0.109-115%0.026-165%
Return On Equity---0.021-0.0210%0.464-105%0.148-114%-0.041+93%
Total Gains Per Share--0.0730.0730%1.196-94%0.447-84%0.241-70%
Usd Book Value--547237000.000547237000.0000%572925000.000-4%523162000.000+5%467953500.000+17%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---0.044-0.0440%0.239-118%0.033-231%-0.008-81%
Usd Book Value Per Share--2.5102.5100%2.554-2%2.334+8%2.085+20%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.1170.1170%0.957-88%0.414-72%0.249-53%
Usd Eps---0.053-0.0530%1.186-104%0.366-114%0.002-3211%
Usd Free Cash Flow---14063000.000-14063000.0000%266935000.000-105%68109400.000-121%26596800.000-153%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.065-0.0650%1.190-105%0.303-121%0.110-159%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.181-0.1810%-0.224+24%-0.1800%0.000-100%
Usd Market Cap346887987.200-3%357506880.000357506880.0000%531659730.000-33%494400077.328-28%380940253.107-6%
Usd Price Per Share1.600-2%1.6401.6400%2.370-31%2.190-25%1.682-2%
Usd Profit---11500000.000-11500000.0000%266094000.000-104%83075600.000-114%10877800.000-206%
Usd Revenue--123514000.000123514000.0000%460113000.000-73%240041200.000-49%194226600.000-36%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.0730.0730%1.196-94%0.447-84%0.241-70%
 EOD+2 -6MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+10 -265Y+11 -2510Y+14 -22

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-30.329
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.637
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.093
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.101
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.802
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.932
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.215
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.274
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.021
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.016
Total3/10 (30.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5043.413
Ma 20Greater thanMa 501.672
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1001.600
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2001.649
OpenGreater thanClose1.600
Total2/5 (40.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. The company operates Shaikan field that covers an area of approximately 280 square kilometers, which is located north-west of Erbil. It also provides management, support, geological, geophysical, and engineering services. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-11-04 01:49:05.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -9.3% means that $-0.09 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is -9.3%. The company is making a loss. -1
  • The TTM is -9.3%. The company is making a loss. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-9.3%TTM-9.3%0.0%
TTM-9.3%YOY57.8%-67.1%
TTM-9.3%5Y16.1%-25.4%
5Y16.1%10Y-68.9%+85.0%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-9.3%11.5%-20.8%
TTM-9.3%6.6%-15.9%
YOY57.8%17.7%+40.1%
5Y16.1%-16.9%+33.0%
10Y-68.9%-46.7%-22.2%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • -1.6% Return on Assets means that Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd generated $-0.02 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is -1.6%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -1.6%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.6%TTM-1.6%0.0%
TTM-1.6%YOY35.7%-37.4%
TTM-1.6%5Y10.9%-12.5%
5Y10.9%10Y2.6%+8.3%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-1.6%0.2%-1.8%
TTM-1.6%0.1%-1.7%
YOY35.7%1.1%+34.6%
5Y10.9%-1.2%+12.1%
10Y2.6%-2.2%+4.8%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • -2.1% Return on Equity means Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd generated $-0.02 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is -2.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -2.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-2.1%TTM-2.1%0.0%
TTM-2.1%YOY46.4%-48.5%
TTM-2.1%5Y14.8%-16.9%
5Y14.8%10Y-4.1%+18.8%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-2.1%1.3%-3.4%
TTM-2.1%0.6%-2.7%
YOY46.4%3.0%+43.4%
5Y14.8%-2.0%+16.8%
10Y-4.1%-4.1%+0.0%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -10.1% means the company generated $-0.10  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is -10.1%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -10.1%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-10.1%TTM-10.1%0.0%
TTM-10.1%YOY59.6%-69.6%
TTM-10.1%5Y19.9%-30.0%
5Y19.9%10Y-2.1%+22.0%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-10.1%19.2%-29.3%
TTM-10.1%18.7%-28.8%
YOY59.6%22.4%+37.2%
5Y19.9%0.6%+19.3%
10Y-2.1%-14.7%+12.6%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.11 means that the operating costs are $1.11 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.106. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.106. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.106TTM1.1060.000
TTM1.106YOY0.405+0.700
TTM1.1065Y0.793+0.313
5Y0.79310Y1.146-0.353
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1060.913+0.193
TTM1.1060.879+0.227
YOY0.4050.837-0.432
5Y0.7931.014-0.221
10Y1.1461.173-0.027
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.93 means the company has $0.93 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.932. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
  • The TTM is 0.932. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.932TTM0.9320.000
TTM0.932YOY2.349-1.418
TTM0.9325Y2.795-1.863
5Y2.79510Y2.617+0.178
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9321.145-0.213
TTM0.9321.186-0.254
YOY2.3491.238+1.111
5Y2.7951.436+1.359
10Y2.6171.712+0.905
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.80 means the company can pay off $0.80 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.802. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.802. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.802TTM0.8020.000
TTM0.802YOY2.297-1.495
TTM0.8025Y2.557-1.755
5Y2.55710Y2.374+0.183
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8020.761+0.041
TTM0.8020.764+0.038
YOY2.2970.904+1.393
5Y2.5571.018+1.539
10Y2.3741.303+1.071
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4.5.4. Solvency of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.22 means that Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd assets are financed with 21.5% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 21.5%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.215. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.215. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.215TTM0.2150.000
TTM0.215YOY0.230-0.015
TTM0.2155Y0.273-0.058
5Y0.27310Y0.362-0.089
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2150.418-0.203
TTM0.2150.420-0.205
YOY0.2300.429-0.199
5Y0.2730.463-0.190
10Y0.3620.447-0.085
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 27.4% means that company has $0.27 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.274. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.274. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.274TTM0.2740.000
TTM0.274YOY0.299-0.025
TTM0.2745Y0.380-0.106
5Y0.38010Y0.793-0.413
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2740.638-0.364
TTM0.2740.657-0.383
YOY0.2990.611-0.312
5Y0.3800.827-0.447
10Y0.7930.767+0.026
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -31.09 means the investor is paying $-31.09 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The EOD is -30.329. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -31.088. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -31.088. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-30.329MRQ-31.088+0.758
MRQ-31.088TTM-31.0880.000
TTM-31.088YOY1.998-33.086
TTM-31.0885Y-3.574-27.514
5Y-3.57410Y-0.647-2.927
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-30.3291.516-31.845
MRQ-31.0881.902-32.990
TTM-31.088-0.032-31.056
YOY1.9981.494+0.504
5Y-3.574-0.478-3.096
10Y-0.647-1.152+0.505
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The EOD is -24.802. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -25.422. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -25.422. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-24.802MRQ-25.422+0.620
MRQ-25.422TTM-25.4220.000
TTM-25.422YOY1.992-27.414
TTM-25.4225Y-17.128-8.294
5Y-17.12810Y-6.879-10.248
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-24.802-1.174-23.628
MRQ-25.422-1.546-23.876
TTM-25.422-1.505-23.917
YOY1.992-1.260+3.252
5Y-17.128-2.273-14.855
10Y-6.879-3.449-3.430
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.65 means the investor is paying $0.65 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd:

  • The EOD is 0.637. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.653. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.653. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.637MRQ0.653-0.016
MRQ0.653TTM0.6530.000
TTM0.653YOY0.928-0.275
TTM0.6535Y0.945-0.291
5Y0.94510Y0.753+0.191
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD0.6370.922-0.285
MRQ0.6531.093-0.440
TTM0.6531.100-0.447
YOY0.9281.167-0.239
5Y0.9451.210-0.265
10Y0.7531.310-0.557
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-31
Net Working Capital  241,002-86,963154,039102,245256,284-82,814173,470-181,300-7,830
Net Interest Income  -5,107-7,702-12,8091,875-10,9341,927-9,00711,0452,038



6.2. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets697,146
Total Liabilities149,909
Total Stockholder Equity547,237
 As reported
Total Liabilities 149,909
Total Stockholder Equity+ 547,237
Total Assets = 697,146

Assets

Total Assets697,146
Total Current Assets106,728
Long-term Assets590,418
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 81,709
Net Receivables 10,156
Inventory 9,901
Other Current Assets 4,962
Total Current Assets  (as reported)106,728
Total Current Assets  (calculated)106,728
+/- 0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 445,842
Intangible Assets 2,813
Long-term Assets Other 141,763
Long-term Assets  (as reported)590,418
Long-term Assets  (calculated)590,418
+/-0

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities114,558
Long-term Liabilities35,351
Total Stockholder Equity547,237
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 359
Accounts payable 11,953
Other Current Liabilities 102,605
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)114,558
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)114,917
+/- 359
Long-term Liabilities
Capital Lease Obligations 398
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)35,351
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)398
+/- 34,953
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock222,443
Retained Earnings -174,752
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -3,766
Other Stockholders Equity 503,312
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)547,237
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)547,237
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock222,443
Cash and Short Term Investments 81,709
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 217,992
Current Deferred Revenue-359
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 697,146
Net Debt -81,311
Net Invested Capital 547,237
Net Working Capital -7,830
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 1,004,462
Short Long Term Debt Total 398



6.3. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-31
> Total Assets 
30,350
69,599
100,742
176,371
172,106
158,619
117,393
472,664
673,413
925,899
980,815
1,006,282
956,069
640,194
657,295
758,845
733,888
658,510
764,257
744,357
697,146
697,146744,357764,257658,510733,888758,845657,295640,194956,0691,006,282980,815925,899673,413472,664117,393158,619172,106176,371100,74269,59930,350
   > Total Current Assets 
7,908
47,987
58,298
124,037
99,859
47,386
22,517
240,632
301,138
370,589
239,735
135,656
78,712
150,406
239,356
377,665
324,983
223,162
355,084
302,031
106,728
106,728302,031355,084223,162324,983377,665239,356150,40678,712135,656239,735370,589301,138240,63222,51747,38699,859124,03758,29847,9877,908
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
6,975
46,482
51,439
59,329
88,287
33,606
19,155
201,268
208,103
253,713
81,972
87,835
43,641
92,870
160,456
295,566
190,762
147,826
169,866
119,456
81,709
81,709119,456169,866147,826190,762295,566160,45692,87043,64187,83581,972253,713208,103201,26819,15533,60688,28759,32951,43946,4826,975
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
574
10,177
29,528
8,600
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000008,60029,52810,177574000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4,323
0
0
29,957
4,890
12,000
40,576
60,748
67,909
102,375
36,984
177,907
175,805
10,156
10,156175,805177,90736,984102,37567,90960,74840,57612,0004,89029,957004,3230000000
       Inventory 
869
1,285
3,472
4,712
5,525
5,922
574
14,423
17,233
19,783
20,654
22,854
18,544
15,971
17,190
14,190
31,040
36,527
6,018
6,372
9,901
9,9016,3726,01836,52731,04014,19017,19015,97118,54422,85420,65419,78317,23314,4235745,9225,5254,7123,4721,285869
   > Long-term Assets 
22,442
21,612
42,445
52,334
72,247
111,233
94,876
232,032
372,275
555,310
741,080
870,626
877,357
489,788
417,939
381,180
408,905
435,348
409,173
442,326
590,418
590,418442,326409,173435,348408,905381,180417,939489,788877,357870,626741,080555,310372,275232,03294,876111,23372,24752,33442,44521,61222,442
       Property Plant Equipment 
49
43
25,595
26,783
24,096
15,714
3,434
4,102
4,294
548,225
737,193
869,848
876,860
489,379
417,473
380,537
407,602
374,702
404,205
436,443
445,842
445,842436,443404,205374,702407,602380,537417,473489,379876,860869,848737,193548,2254,2944,1023,43415,71424,09626,78325,5954349
       Intangible Assets 
22,393
21,569
16,850
19,955
41,995
95,519
90,482
223,825
360,004
289
207
47
14
99
63
84
454
933
3,583
4,307
2,813
2,8134,3073,5839334548463991447207289360,004223,82590,48295,51941,99519,95516,85021,56922,393
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,680
732
483
310
403
559
849
59,713
1,385
0
0
001,38559,7138495594033104837323,6800000000000
> Total Liabilities 
11,434
2,104
10,676
13,021
38,116
36,219
48,298
45,822
67,339
348,208
418,448
666,677
710,421
186,425
185,409
206,028
213,969
204,485
242,553
171,432
149,909
149,909171,432242,553204,485213,969206,028185,409186,425710,421666,677418,448348,20867,33945,82248,29836,21938,11613,02110,6762,10411,434
   > Total Current Liabilities 
11,434
2,104
10,676
13,021
37,062
18,515
44,641
39,423
59,269
95,669
106,358
119,770
138,550
63,745
64,235
85,633
83,981
69,123
98,800
128,561
114,558
114,558128,56198,80069,12383,98185,63364,23563,745138,550119,770106,35895,66959,26939,42344,64118,51537,06213,02110,6762,10411,434
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
296,725
527,349
0
0
0
0
1,265
5,078
419
385
359
3593854195,0781,2650000527,349296,7250000000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
296,725
527,349
2,038,840
202,806
1,816,580
0
4,361
4,360
0
0
0
0004,3604,36101,816,580202,8062,038,840527,349296,7250000000000
       Accounts payable 
8,373
365
630
1,482
227
420
8,282
13,363
23,450
21,908
14,495
103,985
127,399
2,922
2,687
11,857
6,982
2,212
6,494
3,499
11,953
11,9533,4996,4942,2126,98211,8572,6872,922127,399103,98514,49521,90823,45013,3638,2824202271,4826303658,373
       Other Current Liabilities 
3,061
1,739
10,047
11,538
36,835
18,095
36,359
26,060
35,819
73,761
91,863
15,785
11,151
60,823
61,548
73,776
75,734
61,833
-1
124,677
102,605
102,605124,677-161,83375,73473,77661,54860,82311,15115,78591,86373,76135,81926,06036,35918,09536,83511,53810,0471,7393,061
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
1,054
17,704
3,657
6,399
8,070
252,539
312,090
546,907
571,871
122,680
121,174
120,395
129,988
135,362
143,753
42,871
35,351
35,35142,871143,753135,362129,988120,395121,174122,680571,871546,907312,090252,5398,0706,3993,65717,7041,0540000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
15,365
19,559
27,333
23,794
24,107
22,600
29,807
35,671
43,841
0
0
0043,84135,67129,80722,60024,10723,79427,33319,55915,3650000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
18,916
67,495
90,066
163,350
133,990
122,400
69,095
426,843
606,074
577,691
562,367
339,605
245,648
453,769
471,886
552,817
519,919
454,025
521,704
572,925
547,237
547,237572,925521,704454,025519,919552,817471,886453,769245,648339,605562,367577,691606,074426,84369,095122,400133,990163,35090,06667,49518,916
   Common Stock
24,493
841
1,638
1,853
1,865
2,765
3,986
6,628
7,628
7,847
7,975
8,922
9,781
229,430
229,430
229,430
229,430
211,371
213,731
216,247
222,443
222,443216,247213,731211,371229,430229,430229,430229,4309,7818,9227,9757,8477,6286,6283,9862,7651,8651,8531,63884124,493
   Retained Earnings -174,752-166,729-432,173-593,422-548,216-593,523-675,254-692,090-654,618-532,008-297,409-276,849-225,492-193,414-186,293-89,990-30,953-1,056-47,367-3,403-5,577
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
70,057
135,795
162,553
163,077
209,625
251,402
613,629
823,939
846,693
851,801
862,691
890,485
920,728
920,728
916,910
838,705
836,076
740,146
523,407
503,312
503,312523,407740,146836,076838,705916,910920,728920,728890,485862,691851,801846,693823,939613,629251,402209,625163,077162,553135,79570,0570



6.4. Balance Sheets

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Cash Flows

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.6. Income Statements

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


6.7. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue123,514
Cost of Revenue-115,331
Gross Profit8,1838,183
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit8,183
Operating Expense-21,226
Operating Income-13,043-13,043
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative7,814
Selling And Marketing Expenses32,138
Operating Expense21,22639,952
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income3,803
Interest Expense-1,765
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income2,038
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-13,043
Net Interest Income2,038
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)-11,389-6,144
EBIT - interestExpense = -14,209
-11,389
-9,735
Interest Expense1,765
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-12,444-9,624
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)32,433
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-11,389
Tax Provision-111
Net Income From Continuing Ops-11,500-11,500
Net Income-11,500
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses136,557
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-6,899-2,038
 

Technical Analysis of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The general trend of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is BULLISH with 14.3% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (14.3%) Bearish trend (-14.3%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 1.8442666666667 < 1.85 < 1.85.

The bearish price targets are: 1.6 > 1.6 > 1.6.

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Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 8/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 2/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current macd is 0.00287085.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 1/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current adx is 16.10.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current sar is 1.56630269.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current rsi is 43.41. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -3/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bull market: Moderate price decline, potential pause in the uptrend. Reassess the market, wait for signs of stabilization.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current cci is -147.54829301.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current cmo is -27.38514657.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current willr is -76.19047619.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Williams %R ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current atr is 0.04636108.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current obv is -771,161.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. The current mfi is 35.75.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartGulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-06-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-06-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-06-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-07-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-11DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-18DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-19CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-22ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-29SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-31DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-01MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-08-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-06MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-12MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-08-13WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-22MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-23WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-08-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-09-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-09-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-19MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-09-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-23ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-25DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-26DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-09-27DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-01DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-02MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-10-03DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-10-09ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-10-10MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-10-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-10-16CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-23SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-10-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-28CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-29MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-10-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-11-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-08SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-11-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-12DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5043.413
Ma 20Greater thanMa 501.672
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1001.600
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2001.649
OpenGreater thanClose1.600
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke
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