25 XP   0   0   10

Luckin Coffee
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Luckin Coffee together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Luckin Coffee. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Luckin Coffee. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

Get notifications about Luckin Coffee

I send you an email if I find something interesting about Luckin Coffee.

Quick analysis of Luckin Coffee (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Luckin Coffee? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$0.50
Expected worth in 1 year
$-1.20
How sure are you?
37.5%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$-1.71
Return On Investment
-7.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$21.67
Expected price per share
$16.26 - $26.18
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Luckin Coffee (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$21.67

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$51.99 - $62.68

Total Value Per Share

$52.49 - $63.18

2. Growth of Luckin Coffee (5 min.)




Is Luckin Coffee growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.1b$685.3m$376.7m35.5%

How much money is Luckin Coffee making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$88.9m$35.6m$53.3m59.9%
Net Profit Margin9.6%6.1%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Luckin Coffee (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Restaurants industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Restaurants)  


Richest
#11 / 181

Most Revenue
#25 / 181

Most Profit
#14 / 181

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Luckin Coffee? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Luckin Coffee's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Luckin Coffee.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Luckin Coffee?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Luckin Coffee. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Luckin Coffee is $21.67. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Luckin Coffee.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Luckin Coffee, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $0.50. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.43 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.11 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Luckin Coffee.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.020.1%0.221.0%0.160.7%-0.11-0.5%-0.13-0.6%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.000.0%-0.43-2.0%0.110.5%-0.02-0.1%0.020.1%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.000.0%-0.43-2.0%0.110.5%-0.02-0.1%0.020.1%
Usd Price Per Share24.44-27.31-19.58-18.78-14.86-
Price to Earnings Ratio334.31-185.23-51.36-39.28-31.10-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio33.39-34.53--10.42--10.42-
Price to Book Ratio48.71-30.28-8.90-12.39-9.81-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio33.39-34.53--10.42--10.42-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share21.665
Number of shares46
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.43-0.02
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.43-0.02
Gains per Quarter (46 shares)-19.62-0.95
Gains per Year (46 shares)-78.49-3.81
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-78-880-4-14
20-157-1660-8-18
30-235-2440-11-22
40-314-3220-15-26
50-392-4000-19-30
60-471-4780-23-34
70-549-5560-27-38
80-628-6340-30-42
90-706-7120-34-46
100-785-7900-38-50

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%9.03.00.075.0%9.010.00.047.4%9.015.00.037.5%9.015.00.037.5%
Book Value Change Per Share2.01.01.050.0%6.05.01.050.0%8.08.03.042.1%9.09.06.037.5%9.09.06.037.5%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%0.00.019.00.0%0.00.024.00.0%0.00.024.00.0%
Total Gains per Share2.01.01.050.0%6.05.01.050.0%8.08.03.042.1%9.09.06.037.5%9.09.06.037.5%

Fundamentals of Luckin Coffee

About Luckin Coffee

Luckin Coffee Inc. offers retail services of freshly brewed drinks, and pre-made food and beverage items in the People's Republic of China. It offers hot and iced freshly brewed coffee, such as Americano, Latte, Cappuccino, Macchiato, Flat White, and Mocha, as well as specialty coffee based on market and seasonal trends; coconut milk latte products; tea drinks; pre-made beverages; and pre-made food items, such as pastries, sandwiches, and snacks. In addition, the company offers Luckin Pop premium instant coffee and inspirational cups through mobile apps and e-commerce platforms. It operates pick-up stores, relax stores, and delivery kitchens under the Luckin brand, as well as Luckin mobile app, Weixin mini-program, and other third-party platforms for third-party payment channels. Further, the company offers technical and consultation services; and manufactures materials for products. Luckin Coffee Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-22 20:43:05.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is expensive.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Luckin Coffee.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Luckin Coffee earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 4.2% means that $0.04 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 4.2%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 9.6%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.2%TTM9.6%-5.4%
TTM9.6%YOY6.1%+3.5%
TTM9.6%5Y-179.8%+189.3%
5Y-179.8%10Y-215.5%+35.7%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.2%2.3%+1.9%
TTM9.6%2.6%+7.0%
YOY6.1%1.5%+4.6%
5Y-179.8%-0.6%-179.2%
10Y-215.5%0.5%-216.0%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Luckin Coffee is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • 1.6% Return on Assets means that Luckin Coffee generated $0.02 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 1.6%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 4.0%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.6%TTM4.0%-2.4%
TTM4.0%YOY2.3%+1.7%
TTM4.0%5Y-4.5%+8.6%
5Y-4.5%10Y-5.2%+0.7%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.6%0.8%+0.8%
TTM4.0%1.0%+3.0%
YOY2.3%0.8%+1.5%
5Y-4.5%0.2%-4.7%
10Y-5.2%0.7%-5.9%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Luckin Coffee is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • 3.6% Return on Equity means Luckin Coffee generated $0.04 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 3.6%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 8.7%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.6%TTM8.7%-5.1%
TTM8.7%YOY4.8%+3.9%
TTM8.7%5Y-11.5%+20.2%
5Y-11.5%10Y-11.6%+0.1%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ3.6%2.4%+1.2%
TTM8.7%3.1%+5.6%
YOY4.8%1.9%+2.9%
5Y-11.5%-0.4%-11.1%
10Y-11.6%1.7%-13.3%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Luckin Coffee.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Luckin Coffee is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Luckin Coffee makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 3.8% means the company generated $0.04  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 3.8%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 9.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.8%TTM9.5%-5.7%
TTM9.5%YOY13.6%-4.1%
TTM9.5%5Y-132.8%+142.3%
5Y-132.8%10Y-176.2%+43.4%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ3.8%4.6%-0.8%
TTM9.5%4.0%+5.5%
YOY13.6%2.8%+10.8%
5Y-132.8%1.8%-134.6%
10Y-176.2%2.9%-179.1%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Luckin Coffee is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.97 means that the operating costs are $0.97 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 0.969. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 1.117. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.969TTM1.117-0.147
TTM1.117YOY0.865+0.252
TTM1.1175Y2.353-1.236
5Y2.35310Y2.779-0.426
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9691.261-0.292
TTM1.1171.234-0.117
YOY0.8651.210-0.345
5Y2.3531.169+1.184
10Y2.7791.083+1.696

1.3. Liquidity of Luckin Coffee.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Luckin Coffee is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.39 means the company has $1.39 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 1.391. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.567. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.391TTM1.567-0.176
TTM1.567YOY2.101-0.534
TTM1.5675Y2.381-0.814
5Y2.38110Y2.102+0.279
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.3910.759+0.632
TTM1.5670.759+0.808
YOY2.1010.907+1.194
5Y2.3810.939+1.442
10Y2.1021.025+1.077
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Luckin Coffee is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.00 means the company can pay off $1.00 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 1.001. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
  • The TTM is 0.970. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.001TTM0.970+0.031
TTM0.970YOY1.435-0.465
TTM0.9705Y2.048-1.079
5Y2.04810Y1.810+0.239
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0010.346+0.655
TTM0.9700.344+0.626
YOY1.4350.484+0.951
5Y2.0480.523+1.525
10Y1.8100.555+1.255

1.4. Solvency of Luckin Coffee.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Luckin Coffee assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.56 means that Luckin Coffee assets are financed with 55.5% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 55.5%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 0.555. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.544. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.555TTM0.544+0.011
TTM0.544YOY0.539+0.006
TTM0.5445Y0.528+0.016
5Y0.52810Y0.447+0.081
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5550.700-0.145
TTM0.5440.699-0.155
YOY0.5390.683-0.144
5Y0.5280.666-0.138
10Y0.4470.604-0.157
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Luckin Coffee is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 124.8% means that company has $1.25 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The MRQ is 1.248. The company is able to pay all its debts with equity. +1
  • The TTM is 1.196. The company is able to pay all its debts with equity. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.248TTM1.196+0.052
TTM1.196YOY1.178+0.018
TTM1.1965Y1.322-0.125
5Y1.32210Y1.091+0.231
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.2481.856-0.608
TTM1.1961.905-0.709
YOY1.1781.766-0.588
5Y1.3221.891-0.569
10Y1.0911.712-0.621

2. Market Valuation of Luckin Coffee

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Luckin Coffee generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Luckin Coffee to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 334.31 means the investor is paying $334.31 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The EOD is 296.354. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 334.314. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 185.232. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD296.354MRQ334.314-37.959
MRQ334.314TTM185.232+149.082
TTM185.232YOY51.359+133.873
TTM185.2325Y39.285+145.947
5Y39.28510Y31.101+8.184
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD296.35410.487+285.867
MRQ334.31411.305+323.009
TTM185.23212.126+173.106
YOY51.35911.025+40.334
5Y39.28511.854+27.431
10Y31.10118.507+12.594
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The EOD is -94.783. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -106.923. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -28.160. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-94.783MRQ-106.923+12.140
MRQ-106.923TTM-28.160-78.764
TTM-28.160YOY0.410-28.569
TTM-28.1605Y34.875-63.035
5Y34.87510Y27.609+7.266
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-94.7836.258-101.041
MRQ-106.9236.946-113.869
TTM-28.1607.696-35.856
YOY0.4104.061-3.651
5Y34.8754.589+30.286
10Y27.6094.124+23.485
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Luckin Coffee is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 48.71 means the investor is paying $48.71 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Luckin Coffee:

  • The EOD is 43.184. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 48.715. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 30.278. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD43.184MRQ48.715-5.531
MRQ48.715TTM30.278+18.437
TTM30.278YOY8.898+21.381
TTM30.2785Y12.393+17.886
5Y12.39310Y9.811+2.582
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD43.1841.768+41.416
MRQ48.7152.177+46.538
TTM30.2782.176+28.102
YOY8.8982.511+6.387
5Y12.3932.282+10.111
10Y9.8113.111+6.700
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Luckin Coffee.

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Luckin Coffee compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share----0.4270%0.106-100%-0.0210%0.021-100%
Book Value Per Share--0.5021.829-73%2.177-77%2.120-76%1.764-72%
Current Ratio--1.3911.567-11%2.101-34%2.381-42%2.102-34%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.5550.544+2%0.539+3%0.528+5%0.447+24%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.2481.196+4%1.178+6%1.322-6%1.091+14%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Eps--0.0180.224-92%0.159-88%-0.106+678%-0.128+803%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.0570.229-125%0.016-455%-0.191+234%-0.199+248%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.0570.229-125%1.234-105%0.281-120%0.257-122%
Gross Profit Margin---0.3470.356-197%-1.121+224%0.381-191%0.599-158%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--62.677--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--51.991--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.848--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.830--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--6.689--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--6.302--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--17.521--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--15.906--------
Market Cap6084008976.640-799%54698159320.48033499183850.929+63%6171096171.945+786%10868180419.883+403%8603976165.740+536%
Net Profit Margin--0.0420.096-56%0.061-31%-1.798+4385%-2.155+5236%
Operating Margin--0.0380.095-60%0.136-72%-1.328+3627%-1.762+4779%
Operating Ratio--0.9691.117-13%0.865+12%2.353-59%2.779-65%
Pb Ratio43.184-13%48.71530.278+61%8.898+447%12.393+293%9.811+397%
Pe Ratio296.354-13%334.314185.232+80%51.359+551%39.285+751%31.101+975%
Price Per Share21.665-13%24.44027.305-10%19.583+25%18.775+30%14.864+64%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-94.783+11%-106.923-28.160-74%0.410-26205%34.875-407%27.609-487%
Quick Ratio--1.0010.970+3%1.435-30%2.048-51%1.810-45%
Return On Assets--0.0160.040-60%0.023-31%-0.045+379%-0.052+419%
Return On Equity--0.0360.087-58%0.048-24%-0.115+416%-0.116+417%
Total Gains Per Share----0.4270%0.106-100%-0.0210%0.021-100%
Usd Book Value--1122823890.0001062131800.500+6%685386315.000+64%729600305.684+54%601587229.500+87%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share----0.4270%0.106-100%-0.0210%0.021-100%
Usd Book Value Per Share--0.5021.829-73%2.177-77%2.120-76%1.764-72%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Eps--0.0180.224-92%0.159-88%-0.106+678%-0.128+803%
Usd Free Cash Flow---127890948.000-64019994.000-50%5603007.000-2383%-77462080.105-39%-74584250.500-42%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.0570.229-125%0.016-455%-0.191+234%-0.199+248%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.0570.229-125%1.234-105%0.281-120%0.257-122%
Usd Market Cap6084008976.640-799%54698159320.48033499183850.929+63%6171096171.945+786%10868180419.883+403%8603976165.740+536%
Usd Price Per Share21.665-13%24.44027.305-10%19.583+25%18.775+30%14.864+64%
Usd Profit--40903338.00088993336.500-54%35646366.000+15%-47959470.474+217%-50450796.125+223%
Usd Revenue--974965998.000949833645.000+3%528716329.500+84%410520308.211+137%332580672.750+193%
Usd Total Gains Per Share----0.4270%0.106-100%-0.0210%0.021-100%
 EOD+3 -4MRQTTM+8 -21YOY+8 -255Y+17 -1210Y+16 -17

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Luckin Coffee based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15296.354
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-143.184
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.042
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.038
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.001
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.391
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.555
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.248
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.036
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.016
Total5/10 (50.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Luckin Coffee based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5040.648
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5023.466
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10023.235
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20024.209
OpenGreater thanClose21.450
Total1/5 (20.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-03-31. Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets18,291,978
Total Liabilities10,155,573
Total Stockholder Equity8,136,405
 As reported
Total Liabilities 10,155,573
Total Stockholder Equity+ 8,136,405
Total Assets = 18,291,978

Assets

Total Assets18,291,978
Total Current Assets7,599,554
Long-term Assets10,692,424
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 2,925,709
Short-term Investments 564,019
Net Receivables 1,412,029
Inventory 2,204,000
Other Current Assets 19,496
Total Current Assets  (as reported)7,599,554
Total Current Assets  (calculated)7,125,253
+/- 474,301
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 9,710,001
Intangible Assets 31,950
Long-term Assets Other 450,391
Long-term Assets  (as reported)10,692,424
Long-term Assets  (calculated)10,192,342
+/- 500,082

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities5,462,678
Long-term Liabilities4,692,895
Total Stockholder Equity8,136,405
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 1,851,310
Accounts payable 814,655
Other Current Liabilities 2,673,291
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)5,462,678
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)5,339,256
+/- 123,422
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)4,692,895
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 4,692,895
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock25
Retained Earnings -8,705,759
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 565,148
Other Stockholders Equity 16,276,991
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)8,136,405
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)8,136,405
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 3,489,728
Current Deferred Revenue123,422
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 18,291,978
Net Debt 2,040,456
Short Long Term Debt Total 4,966,165



Balance Sheet

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-302018-06-302018-03-31
> Total Assets 
0
0
0
3,485,076
2,900,715
8,160,805
8,029,031
9,762,261
0
0
9,322,399
9,762,261
9,322,399
9,330,394
10,920,049
12,312,490
10,499,027
10,149,921
11,892,193
10,480,397
14,020,325
17,171,093
18,291,978
18,291,978
18,291,97818,291,97817,171,09314,020,32510,480,39711,892,19310,149,92110,499,02712,312,49010,920,0499,330,3949,322,3999,762,2619,322,399009,762,2618,029,0318,160,8052,900,7153,485,076000
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
0
2,428,676
1,782,471
6,800,091
6,354,506
7,552,384
0
0
6,420,197
7,552,384
6,420,197
6,713,215
6,932,498
8,383,350
6,605,419
6,091,948
7,008,517
6,037,054
7,848,194
8,690,643
7,599,554
7,599,554
7,599,5547,599,5548,690,6437,848,1946,037,0547,008,5176,091,9486,605,4198,383,3506,932,4986,713,2156,420,1977,552,3846,420,197007,552,3846,354,5066,800,0911,782,4712,428,676000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
1,630,983
1,158,841
3,988,751
4,513,899
4,865,824
0
0
4,806,023
4,865,824
4,806,023
5,032,033
4,941,496
6,477,636
4,397,042
3,934,203
4,091,922
3,534,304
4,671,951
4,037,848
2,925,709
2,925,709
2,925,7092,925,7094,037,8484,671,9513,534,3044,091,9223,934,2034,397,0426,477,6364,941,4965,032,0334,806,0234,865,8244,806,023004,865,8244,513,8993,988,7511,158,8411,630,983000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
130,000
0
2,062,410
1,030,000
500,000
0
0
250,000
500,000
250,000
0
0
0
0
0
250,000
250,000
393,508
1,445,784
564,019
564,019
564,019564,0191,445,784393,508250,000250,00000000250,000500,000250,00000500,0001,030,0002,062,4100130,000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
340,730
248,106
6,950
22,502
477,498
0
0
655,604
477,498
655,604
73,864
183,027
210,167
221,322
219,573
243,738
210,704
286,439
361,211
294,828
1,412,029
1,412,029294,828361,211286,439210,704243,738219,573221,322210,167183,02773,864655,604477,498655,60400477,49822,5026,950248,106340,730000
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
0
9,610
14,695
510,329
574,880
46,699
0
0
61,607
46,699
61,607
1,175,719
1,150,952
88,507
1,205,840
1,236,146
1,066,106
1,077,719
1,043,838
1,214,039
19,496
19,496
19,49619,4961,214,0391,043,8381,077,7191,066,1061,236,1461,205,84088,5071,150,9521,175,71961,60746,69961,6070046,699574,880510,32914,6959,610000
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
1,056,400
1,118,244
1,360,714
1,674,525
2,209,877
0
0
2,902,202
2,209,877
2,902,202
2,617,179
3,987,551
3,929,140
3,893,608
4,057,973
4,883,676
4,443,343
6,172,131
8,480,450
10,692,424
10,692,424
10,692,42410,692,4248,480,4506,172,1314,443,3434,883,6764,057,9733,893,6083,929,1403,987,5512,617,1792,902,2022,209,8772,902,202002,209,8771,674,5251,360,7141,118,2441,056,400000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
904,992
966,021
1,063,987
1,238,169
2,039,366
0
0
2,096,176
2,039,366
2,096,176
1,818,026
3,096,551
3,042,835
3,065,991
3,396,123
4,288,110
3,871,375
5,334,707
7,204,992
9,710,001
9,710,001
9,710,0019,710,0017,204,9925,334,7073,871,3754,288,1103,396,1233,065,9913,042,8353,096,5511,818,0262,096,1762,039,3662,096,176002,039,3661,238,1691,063,987966,021904,992000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
150,000
150,000
150,000
0
0150,000150,000150,00000000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38,896
0
0
38,754
38,896
38,754
0
6,947
6,947
0
0
26,081
26,081
0
0
31,950
31,950
31,95031,9500026,08126,081006,9476,947038,75438,89638,7540038,8960000000
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
152,223
296,727
429,044
271,468
0
0
0
837,129
837,129
799,153
879,358
891,000
827,617
661,850
571,968
0
0
1,125,458
0
0
001,125,45800571,968661,850827,617891,000879,358799,153837,129837,129000271,468429,044296,727152,2230000
> Total Liabilities 
0
0
0
1,134,328
1,079,813
1,338,873
1,595,079
4,619,734
0
0
6,597,515
4,619,734
6,597,515
6,762,367
6,595,456
8,681,353
6,237,237
5,260,585
6,226,296
5,431,150
7,289,281
9,388,518
10,155,573
10,155,573
10,155,57310,155,5739,388,5187,289,2815,431,1506,226,2965,260,5856,237,2378,681,3536,595,4566,762,3676,597,5154,619,7346,597,515004,619,7341,595,0791,338,8731,079,8131,134,328000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
780,890
848,303
1,209,325
1,502,069
4,309,379
0
0
1,000,986
4,309,379
1,000,986
5,602,555
3,622,094
6,591,633
3,119,138
2,852,077
3,478,226
2,828,836
4,131,886
5,482,003
5,462,678
5,462,678
5,462,6785,462,6785,482,0034,131,8862,828,8363,478,2262,852,0773,119,1386,591,6333,622,0945,602,5551,000,9864,309,3791,000,986004,309,3791,502,0691,209,325848,303780,890000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
189,451
322,483
351,724
266,744
368,344
0
0
514,794
368,344
514,794
4,172,102
615,184
3,529,458
692,961
778,350
963,905
880,873
1,150,495
1,479,975
0
1,851,310
1,851,31001,479,9751,150,495880,873963,905778,350692,9613,529,458615,1844,172,102514,794368,344514,79400368,344266,744351,724322,483189,451000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
290,340
236,969
0
0
0
0
0
2,970,036
4,172,102
2,931,396
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000002,931,3964,172,1022,970,03600000236,969290,34000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
176,704
178,389
258,928
351,627
538,087
0
0
209,695
538,087
209,695
298,315
469,366
293,700
524,620
402,282
672,407
441,376
676,069
1,006,528
814,655
814,655
814,655814,6551,006,528676,069441,376672,407402,282524,620293,700469,366298,315209,695538,087209,69500538,087351,627258,928178,389176,704000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
36,475
46,638
598,673
883,698
3,258,024
0
0
188,323
3,258,024
188,323
1,057,750
2,456,015
2,672,263
1,818,638
1,567,431
1,740,323
1,409,221
2,197,451
2,861,056
294,673
2,673,291
2,673,291294,6732,861,0562,197,4511,409,2211,740,3231,567,4311,818,6382,672,2632,456,0151,057,750188,3233,258,024188,323003,258,024883,698598,67346,63836,475000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
353,438
231,510
129,548
93,010
310,355
0
0
5,596,529
310,355
5,596,529
1,159,812
2,973,362
2,089,720
3,118,099
2,408,508
2,748,070
2,602,314
3,157,395
3,906,515
4,692,895
4,692,895
4,692,8954,692,8953,906,5153,157,3952,602,3142,748,0702,408,5083,118,0992,089,7202,973,3621,159,8125,596,529310,3555,596,52900310,35593,010129,548231,510353,438000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
78,784
52,550
93,010
0
0
0
0
1,162,188
1,162,188
1,159,812
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000001,159,8121,162,1881,162,188000093,01052,55078,7840000
> Total Stockholder Equity
0
0
0
2,350,748
1,820,902
6,821,932
6,433,952
5,060,124
0
0
2,656,366
5,060,124
2,656,366
2,568,027
4,324,593
3,631,137
4,261,790
4,889,336
5,665,897
5,049,247
6,731,044
7,782,575
8,136,405
8,136,405
8,136,4058,136,4057,782,5756,731,0445,049,2475,665,8974,889,3364,261,7903,631,1374,324,5932,568,0272,656,3665,060,1242,656,366005,060,1246,433,9526,821,9321,820,9022,350,748000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
21
21
21
21
21
0
0
22
21
22
22
24
23
24
24
25
25
25
25
0
25
250252525252424232422222122002121212121000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity000000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
0
0
0
-2,076
-13,998
-4,373
98,748
77,778
0
0
364,657
77,778
364,657
307,631
357,875
361,748
308,778
406,948
432,628
432,961
435,606
435,347
0
565,148
565,1480435,347435,606432,961432,628406,948308,778361,748357,875307,631364,65777,778364,6570077,77898,748-4,373-13,998-2,076000
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
5,599,508
5,685,467
11,860,217
11,900,972
11,845,920
0
0
14,744,569
11,845,920
14,744,569
14,948,312
15,715,485
15,037,992
14,238,446
14,346,950
14,511,532
14,459,366
14,574,997
14,638,756
0
16,276,991
16,276,991014,638,75614,574,99714,459,36614,511,53214,346,95014,238,44615,037,99215,715,48514,948,31214,744,56911,845,92014,744,5690011,845,92011,900,97211,860,2175,685,4675,599,508000



Balance Sheet

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue24,903,166
Cost of Revenue-16,901,572
Gross Profit8,001,5948,001,594
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit8,001,594
Operating Expense-4,889,577
Operating Income3,025,6183,112,017
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development338,823
Selling General Administrative648,952
Selling And Marketing Expenses1,286,523
Operating Expense4,889,5772,274,298
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income108,682
Interest Expense-0
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income108,682
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income3,025,618
Net Interest Income108,682
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)3,107,3593,138,958
EBIT - interestExpense = 3,282,982
3,107,359
2,847,933
Interest Expense0
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)3,282,9823,107,359
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)5,286,779
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax3,107,359
Tax Provision-259,426
Net Income From Continuing Ops2,847,9332,847,933
Net Income2,847,933
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses21,791,149
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-113,340-108,682
 

Technical Analysis of Luckin Coffee
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Luckin Coffee. The general trend of Luckin Coffee is BEARISH with 85.7% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Luckin Coffee's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-85.7%) Bearish trend (85.7%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Luckin Coffee.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 22.43 < 26.15 < 26.18.

The bearish price targets are: 19.35 > 17.77 > 16.26.

Tweet this
Luckin Coffee Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Luckin Coffee. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 1/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -12/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Luckin Coffee Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Luckin Coffee. The current macd is -0.63148533.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Luckin Coffee price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Luckin Coffee. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Luckin Coffee price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Luckin Coffee Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Luckin Coffee. The current adx is 20.35.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Luckin Coffee shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bearish trend could be forming. -1
Luckin Coffee Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Luckin Coffee. The current sar is 23.11.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Luckin Coffee Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Luckin Coffee. The current rsi is 40.65. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Luckin Coffee Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Luckin Coffee. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Luckin Coffee price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Luckin Coffee Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Luckin Coffee. The current cci is -95.09211558.

Luckin Coffee Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Luckin Coffee. The current cmo is -24.12242815.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Luckin Coffee Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Luckin Coffee. The current willr is -85.36345776.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Luckin Coffee Daily Williams %R ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Luckin Coffee.

Luckin Coffee Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Luckin Coffee. The current atr is 1.10073364.

Luckin Coffee Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Luckin Coffee. The current obv is 52,245,227.

Luckin Coffee Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Luckin Coffee. The current mfi is 23.44.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Luckin Coffee Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartLuckin Coffee Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Luckin Coffee.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-12-06WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-07BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-13MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-12-15RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-18MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-12-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-22WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-27CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-12-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-29MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-01-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-03MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-09BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-10RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-17MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-23MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-24SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-01-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-30CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-31MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-02-02RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-06MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-08CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-14CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-16DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-21CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-23DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-02-26DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-02-27CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-28DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-29MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-03-01DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-04SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-03-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-15SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-03-18CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-21ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-05WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-04-08CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-04-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-10SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-11MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-15DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-04-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-23WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Luckin Coffee Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Luckin Coffee based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5040.648
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5023.466
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10023.235
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20024.209
OpenGreater thanClose21.450
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke

Good job! You gained 25 XP and 0   0   10 . What's next:

  • Share my analysis of Luckin Coffee with someone you think should read this too:
  • Are you bullish or bearish on Luckin Coffee? Let me know what you think in the comments.
  • Do you want an email if I find something interesting about Luckin Coffee? Add an email alert using the form below.
  • Join the community if you want to keep your earnings and track your progress: Join the community
  • Is this analysis useful to you? Support me via But Me a Coffee. I'll analyze the stock market faster for you!

Get notifications about Luckin Coffee

I send you an email if I find something interesting about Luckin Coffee.


Comments

How you think about this?

Leave a comment

Stay informed about Luckin Coffee.

Receive notifications about Luckin Coffee in your mailbox!