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Mechel PAO
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Mechel together

I guess you are interested in Mechel PAO. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Mechel PAO. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Mechel (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Mechel? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
₽0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
80.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
₽-149.43
Expected worth in 1 year
₽65.73
How sure are you?
80.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
₽215.15
Return On Investment
196.8%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
₽109.35
Expected price per share
₽100.55 - ₽145.80
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Mechel (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
₽109.35
Intrinsic Value Per Share
₽-37.84 - ₽1,202.43
Total Value Per Share
₽-187.27 - ₽1,053.00

2.2. Growth of Mechel (5 min.)




Is Mechel growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?-$622.9m-$847.2m$224.2m36.0%

How much money is Mechel making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$229.9m$648.3m-$418.4m-182.0%
Net Profit Margin5.5%14.5%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Mechel (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Steel industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Steel)  


Richest
#314 / 314

Most Revenue
#27 / 314

Most Profit
#19 / 314
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Mechel?

Welcome investor! Mechel's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Mechel.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Mechel. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Mechel is ₽109.35. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Mechel.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Mechel, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is ₽-149.43. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is ₽53.79 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is ₽160.64 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is ₽0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Mechel.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 % of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.570.5%0.570.5%1.601.5%0.860.8%0.220.2%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.550.5%0.550.5%1.651.5%0.850.8%-0.22-0.2%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.010.0%0.010.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.550.5%0.550.5%1.651.5%0.860.8%-0.21-0.2%
Usd Price Per Share3.80-3.80-1.47-2.04-1.47-
Price to Earnings Ratio6.68-6.68-0.92-12.78-7.74-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio6.85-6.85-0.89-14.06-8.60-
Price to Book Ratio-2.47--2.47--0.70--0.87--0.51-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio6.85-6.85-0.89-14.06-8.60-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share1.126305
Number of shares887
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.01
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.550.85
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.550.86
Gains per Quarter (887 shares)491.41758.96
Gains per Year (887 shares)1,965.643,035.85
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10196619563430023026
20393139226760056062
305897588810190079098
40786378541341200912134
50982898201681501215170
6011794117862011801418206
7013759137522352101621242
8015725157182682401824278
9017691176843022702127314
10019656196503353002330350

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%18.04.00.081.8%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%7.03.00.070.0%16.06.00.072.7%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%1.00.02.033.3%3.00.02.060.0%8.00.02.080.0%20.00.02.090.9%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%18.04.00.081.8%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Mechel PAO compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--53.78853.7880%160.637-67%82.155-35%-21.356+140%
Book Value Per Share---149.426-149.4260%-203.214+36%-367.351+146%-457.242+206%
Current Ratio--0.6560.6560%0.385+70%0.335+96%0.237+176%
Debt To Asset Ratio--1.2221.2220%1.325-8%1.621-25%1.654-26%
Debt To Equity Ratio----0%-0%-0%-0%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%0.918-100%1.001-100%
Eps--55.14455.1440%155.513-65%83.490-34%21.065+162%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--47.96747.9670%103.714-54%104.345-54%97.474-51%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---42.399-42.3990%13.044-425%-40.530-4%-20.600-51%
Gross Profit Margin---1.818-1.8180%0.065-2891%-2.173+20%-2.215+22%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--1202.427--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---37.843--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--109.375--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--72.680--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--337.100--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--153.433--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--575.042--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--162.395--------
Market Cap9181386417.600-1525%149200480043.600149200480043.6000%57761553180.200+158%80551619027.520+85%58431874327.680+155%
Net Profit Margin--0.0550.0550%0.145-62%0.053+4%-0.076+239%
Operating Margin--0.1700.1700%0.224-24%0.174-2%0.163+4%
Operating Ratio--0.8300.8300%0.776+7%0.827+0%0.841-1%
Pb Ratio-0.732+70%-2.467-2.4670%-0.702-72%-0.865-65%-0.508-79%
Pe Ratio1.983-237%6.6846.6840%0.918+628%12.783-48%7.739-14%
Price Per Share109.350-237%368.600368.6000%142.700+158%198.200+86%142.716+158%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio2.280-237%7.6847.6840%1.376+459%2.525+204%1.940+296%
Price To Total Gains Ratio2.033-237%6.8536.8530%0.888+671%14.061-51%8.603-20%
Quick Ratio--0.2270.2270%0.171+33%0.122+85%0.083+173%
Return On Assets--0.0820.0820%0.249-67%0.095-14%-0.041+150%
Return On Equity----0%-0%-0%-0%
Total Gains Per Share--53.78853.7880%160.637-67%83.073-35%-20.354+138%
Usd Book Value---622985200.000-622985200.0000%-847236800.000+36%-1553829160.000+149%-1949855761.237+213%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.5540.5540%1.655-67%0.846-35%-0.220+140%
Usd Book Value Per Share---1.539-1.5390%-2.093+36%-3.784+146%-4.710+206%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%0.009-100%0.010-100%
Usd Eps--0.5680.5680%1.602-65%0.860-34%0.217+162%
Usd Free Cash Flow--199984800.000199984800.0000%432404300.000-54%439245560.000-54%413856306.577-52%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.4940.4940%1.068-54%1.075-54%1.004-51%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.437-0.4370%0.134-425%-0.417-4%-0.212-51%
Usd Market Cap94568280.101-1525%1536764944.4491536764944.4490%594943997.756+158%829681675.983+85%601848305.575+155%
Usd Price Per Share1.126-237%3.7973.7970%1.470+158%2.041+86%1.470+158%
Usd Profit--229906300.000229906300.0000%648364400.000-65%267740260.000-14%-200718054.140+187%
Usd Revenue--4180605200.0004180605200.0000%4470663500.000-6%3716289440.000+12%3399962826.489+23%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.5540.5540%1.655-67%0.856-35%-0.210+138%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+11 -215Y+14 -2010Y+24 -10

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Mechel PAO based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-151.983
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-1-0.732
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.055
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.170
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.227
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.656
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.222
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.000
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.000
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.082
Total5/10 (50.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Mechel PAO based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5036.499
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50118.225
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100123.076
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200168.818
OpenGreater thanClose111.700
Total1/5 (20.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Mechel PAO

Mechel PAO produces and sells steel products in Russia. The company operates through three segments: Steel, Mining, and Power. It produces and sells coking coal concentrate, anthracite, PCI coal, coke and iron ore concentrate, as well as thermal coal and industrial products; long and shaped products, stainless steel flat products, and high value-added steel products, including hardware and forging; and refractory fireclay products, burnt lime, limestone, and mineral additives. The company offers electricity, power, thermal energy in hot water, thermal energy in steam, blast furnace blast, fresh technical water, chemically purified water, compressed air; resale of energy resources services; and provides agency services for the transmission of thermal energy. In addition, it provides logistic services. The company was formerly known as Mechel OAO and changed its name to Mechel PAO in March 2016. Mechel PAO was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Moscow, Russia.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-10-03 20:58:06.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just not able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is expensive.
Based on the earnings, the company is cheap.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Mechel earns for each руб1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 5.5% means that руб0.05 for each руб1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 5.5%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 5.5%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ5.5%TTM5.5%0.0%
TTM5.5%YOY14.5%-9.0%
TTM5.5%5Y5.3%+0.2%
5Y5.3%10Y-7.6%+12.9%
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ5.5%3.1%+2.4%
TTM5.5%2.4%+3.1%
YOY14.5%2.7%+11.8%
5Y5.3%3.6%+1.7%
10Y-7.6%2.7%-10.3%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Mechel is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • 8.2% Return on Assets means that Mechel generated руб0.08 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 8.2%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 8.2%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.2%TTM8.2%0.0%
TTM8.2%YOY24.9%-16.7%
TTM8.2%5Y9.5%-1.3%
5Y9.5%10Y-4.1%+13.6%
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ8.2%1.0%+7.2%
TTM8.2%0.9%+7.3%
YOY24.9%1.3%+23.6%
5Y9.5%1.4%+8.1%
10Y-4.1%1.0%-5.1%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Mechel is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • 0.0% Return on Equity means Mechel generated руб0.00 for each руб1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY-0.0%
TTM-5Y-0.0%
5Y-10Y-0.0%
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-1.8%-1.8%
TTM-1.6%-1.6%
YOY-2.3%-2.3%
5Y-2.6%-2.6%
10Y-1.9%-1.9%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Mechel PAO.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Mechel is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Mechel makes for each руб1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 17.0% means the company generated руб0.17  for each руб1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 17.0%. The company is operating efficient. +1
  • The TTM is 17.0%. The company is operating efficient. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ17.0%TTM17.0%0.0%
TTM17.0%YOY22.4%-5.4%
TTM17.0%5Y17.4%-0.4%
5Y17.4%10Y16.3%+1.1%
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ17.0%5.4%+11.6%
TTM17.0%4.3%+12.7%
YOY22.4%4.5%+17.9%
5Y17.4%5.0%+12.4%
10Y16.3%4.2%+12.1%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Mechel is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Steel industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.83 means that the operating costs are руб0.83 for each руб1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 0.830. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.830. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.830TTM0.8300.000
TTM0.830YOY0.776+0.054
TTM0.8305Y0.827+0.003
5Y0.82710Y0.841-0.014
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8301.079-0.249
TTM0.8301.120-0.290
YOY0.7761.052-0.276
5Y0.8271.044-0.217
10Y0.8411.065-0.224
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Mechel PAO.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Mechel is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Steel industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.66 means the company has руб0.66 in assets for each руб1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 0.656. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
  • The TTM is 0.656. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.656TTM0.6560.000
TTM0.656YOY0.385+0.271
TTM0.6565Y0.335+0.321
5Y0.33510Y0.237+0.097
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6561.648-0.992
TTM0.6561.720-1.064
YOY0.3851.728-1.343
5Y0.3351.682-1.347
10Y0.2371.510-1.273
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Mechel is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.23 means the company can pay off руб0.23 for each руб1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 0.227. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.227. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.227TTM0.2270.000
TTM0.227YOY0.171+0.056
TTM0.2275Y0.122+0.105
5Y0.12210Y0.083+0.039
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2270.634-0.407
TTM0.2270.664-0.437
YOY0.1710.758-0.587
5Y0.1220.778-0.656
10Y0.0830.734-0.651
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4.5.4. Solvency of Mechel PAO.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Mechel assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to Steel industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 1.22 means that Mechel assets are financed with 122.2% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 122.2%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 1.222. The company is just not able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. -1
  • The TTM is 1.222. The company is just not able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.222TTM1.2220.000
TTM1.222YOY1.325-0.102
TTM1.2225Y1.621-0.399
5Y1.62110Y1.654-0.033
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.2220.440+0.782
TTM1.2220.443+0.779
YOY1.3250.461+0.864
5Y1.6210.473+1.148
10Y1.6540.504+1.150
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Mechel is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 0.0% means that company has руб0.00 debt for each руб1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The MRQ is 0.000. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.000
TTM-YOY-0.000
TTM-5Y-0.000
5Y-10Y-0.000
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-0.785-0.785
TTM-0.806-0.806
YOY-0.857-0.857
5Y-0.929-0.929
10Y-1.117-1.117
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every руб1 in earnings Mechel generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Mechel to the Steel industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 6.68 means the investor is paying руб6.68 for every руб1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The EOD is 1.983. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 6.684. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 6.684. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.983MRQ6.684-4.701
MRQ6.684TTM6.6840.000
TTM6.684YOY0.918+5.767
TTM6.6845Y12.783-6.099
5Y12.78310Y7.739+5.044
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.9838.809-6.826
MRQ6.6848.419-1.735
TTM6.6848.419-1.735
YOY0.9186.620-5.702
5Y12.7838.234+4.549
10Y7.73911.068-3.329
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The EOD is 2.280. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 7.684. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 7.684. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.280MRQ7.684-5.405
MRQ7.684TTM7.6840.000
TTM7.684YOY1.376+6.309
TTM7.6845Y2.525+5.159
5Y2.52510Y1.940+0.585
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.2802.158+0.122
MRQ7.6842.076+5.608
TTM7.6841.271+6.413
YOY1.3761.975-0.599
5Y2.5251.400+1.125
10Y1.9401.077+0.863
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Mechel is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Steel industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of -2.47 means the investor is paying руб-2.47 for each руб1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Mechel PAO:

  • The EOD is -0.732. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -2.467. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -2.467. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-0.732MRQ-2.467+1.735
MRQ-2.467TTM-2.4670.000
TTM-2.467YOY-0.702-1.765
TTM-2.4675Y-0.865-1.601
5Y-0.86510Y-0.508-0.357
Compared to industry (Steel)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-0.7320.880-1.612
MRQ-2.4670.846-3.313
TTM-2.4670.921-3.388
YOY-0.7020.877-1.579
5Y-0.8651.002-1.867
10Y-0.5081.140-1.648
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets271,856,000
Total Liabilities332,340,000
Total Stockholder Equity-77,264,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 332,340,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ -77,264,000
Total Assets = 271,856,000

Assets

Total Assets271,856,000
Total Current Assets119,159,000
Long-term Assets152,697,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 7,227,000
Short-term Investments 102,000
Net Receivables 33,824,000
Inventory 72,377,000
Other Current Assets 5,629,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)119,159,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)119,159,000
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 123,547,000
Goodwill 3,217,000
Intangible Assets 17,320,000
Long-term Assets Other 4,913,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)152,697,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)148,997,000
+/- 3,700,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities181,606,000
Long-term Liabilities150,734,000
Total Stockholder Equity-77,264,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 121,776,000
Accounts payable 21,434,000
Other Current Liabilities 35,688,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)181,606,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)178,898,000
+/- 2,708,000
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)150,734,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 150,734,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock5,003,000
Retained Earnings -107,445,000
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 3,061,000
Other Stockholders Equity 21,277,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)-77,264,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)-78,104,000
+/- 840,000
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 7,329,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 404,776
Current Deferred Revenue2,708,000
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 271,856,000
Net Debt 248,957,000
Net Working Capital -62,447,000
Short Long Term Debt Total 256,184,000



6.2. Balance Sheets Structured

All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-31
> Total Assets 
0
44,298,993
53,956,157
101,891,077
103,462,857
117,099,296
226,701,134
354,873,636
397,267,212
482,595,007
617,582,196
537,524,380
454,932,920
373,179,009
342,072,000
325,465,000
319,127,000
317,625,000
312,505,000
193,840,000
237,530,000
253,113,000
271,856,000
271,856,000253,113,000237,530,000193,840,000312,505,000317,625,000319,127,000325,465,000342,072,000373,179,009454,932,920537,524,380617,582,196482,595,007397,267,212354,873,636226,701,134117,099,296103,462,857101,891,07753,956,15744,298,9930
   > Total Current Assets 
0
16,193,273
20,945,327
58,260,524
39,070,209
43,034,022
54,950,496
81,117,425
74,831,498
128,204,550
194,256,902
126,902,397
93,805,920
85,174,213
63,120,000
63,765,000
67,462,000
72,140,000
66,032,000
68,856,000
114,937,000
118,908,000
119,159,000
119,159,000118,908,000114,937,00068,856,00066,032,00072,140,00067,462,00063,765,00063,120,00085,174,21393,805,920126,902,397194,256,902128,204,55074,831,49881,117,42554,950,49643,034,02239,070,20958,260,52420,945,32716,193,2730
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
180,979
567,735
28,386,730
8,960,108
4,543,204
5,817,094
7,530,258
12,496,491
10,425,208
20,580,884
8,959,842
8,830,155
3,935,520
3,079,000
1,689,000
2,452,000
1,803,000
3,509,000
1,706,000
17,701,000
23,700,000
7,227,000
7,227,00023,700,00017,701,0001,706,0003,509,0001,803,0002,452,0001,689,0003,079,0003,935,5208,830,1558,959,84220,580,88410,425,20812,496,4917,530,2585,817,0944,543,2048,960,10828,386,730567,735180,9790
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
7,131,778
0
0
176,435
0
7,000
143,317
245,051
47,749
45,000
167,000
562,000
508,000
363,000
141,000
100,000
56,000
102,000
102,00056,000100,000141,000363,000508,000562,000167,00045,00047,749245,051143,3177,0000176,435007,131,77800000
       Net Receivables 
0
3,863,340
3,513,530
4,212,050
12,026,734
10,793,314
15,028,351
12,674,191
13,662,771
37,058,709
68,451,041
46,692,587
28,586,353
18,881,268
19,656,000
19,740,000
18,869,000
17,733,000
19,375,000
16,448,000
24,339,000
29,087,000
33,824,000
33,824,00029,087,00024,339,00016,448,00019,375,00017,733,00018,869,00019,740,00019,656,00018,881,26828,586,35346,692,58768,451,04137,058,70913,662,77112,674,19115,028,35110,793,31412,026,7344,212,0503,513,5303,863,3400
       Other Current Assets 
0
1,219,790
869,235
34,543
2,554,037
1,654,397
6,653,154
20,575,261
17,283,323
23,619,796
22,083,139
2,347,357
2,870,996
4,649,361
1,606,000
6,942,000
7,589,000
8,673,000
82,000
8,423,000
10,348,000
5,794,000
5,629,000
5,629,0005,794,00010,348,0008,423,00082,0008,673,0007,589,0006,942,0001,606,0004,649,3612,870,9962,347,35722,083,13923,619,79617,283,32320,575,2616,653,1541,654,3972,554,03734,543869,2351,219,7900
   > Long-term Assets 
0
28,105,721
33,010,829
43,630,552
64,392,648
74,065,273
171,750,638
273,756,211
322,435,714
354,390,457
423,325,294
410,621,983
361,127,000
288,004,796
278,952,000
261,700,000
251,665,000
245,485,000
246,473,000
124,984,000
122,593,000
134,205,000
152,697,000
152,697,000134,205,000122,593,000124,984,000246,473,000245,485,000251,665,000261,700,000278,952,000288,004,796361,127,000410,621,983423,325,294354,390,457322,435,714273,756,211171,750,63874,065,27364,392,64843,630,55233,010,82928,105,7210
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
21,905,392
25,989,299
35,310,857
43,366,721
52,977,673
90,943,445
126,406,266
134,413,304
165,588,466
226,362,017
378,417,245
332,366,461
259,276,168
254,361,000
240,452,000
231,115,000
221,947,000
228,067,000
112,643,000
105,662,000
100,066,000
123,547,000
123,547,000100,066,000105,662,000112,643,000228,067,000221,947,000231,115,000240,452,000254,361,000259,276,168332,366,461378,417,245226,362,017165,588,466134,413,304126,406,26690,943,44552,977,67343,366,72135,310,85725,989,29921,905,3920
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
1,137,490
1,208,457
22,465,753
26,902,783
26,951,156
30,247,329
36,825,022
24,266,312
22,616,343
22,412,842
21,378,000
18,355,000
18,331,000
16,039,000
12,843,000
9,609,000
9,612,000
9,582,000
3,217,000
3,217,0009,582,0009,612,0009,609,00012,843,00016,039,00018,331,00018,355,00021,378,00022,412,84222,616,34324,266,31236,825,02230,247,32926,951,15626,902,78322,465,7531,208,4571,137,4900000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
22,000
22,000
22,000
5,000
478,000
500,000
485,000
537,000
553,000
786,000
1,065,000
0
0
001,065,000786,000553,000537,000485,000500,000478,0005,00022,00022,00022,0000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
2,693,073
4,867,883
5,880,969
7,173,144
7,227,399
52,547,440
101,577,858
155,009,057
152,087,148
151,424,331
540,887
422,887
494,608
38,517,000
36,099,000
880,000
844,000
809,000
774,000
1,072,000
17,914,000
17,320,000
17,320,00017,914,0001,072,000774,000809,000844,000880,00036,099,00038,517,000494,608422,887540,887151,424,331152,087,148155,009,057101,577,85852,547,4407,227,3997,173,1445,880,9694,867,8832,693,0730
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,735,000
2,393,000
854,000
6,118,000
4,201,000
1,172,000
5,913,000
0
0
005,913,0001,172,0004,201,0006,118,000854,0002,393,0002,735,00000000000000000
> Total Liabilities 
0
29,644,939
35,333,506
38,942,242
36,262,177
37,402,301
133,210,176
227,172,529
266,765,797
331,141,600
445,952,177
430,001,387
428,237,096
520,186,855
603,926,000
578,053,000
563,260,000
550,820,000
546,102,000
424,511,000
384,808,000
335,369,000
332,340,000
332,340,000335,369,000384,808,000424,511,000546,102,000550,820,000563,260,000578,053,000603,926,000520,186,855428,237,096430,001,387445,952,177331,141,600266,765,797227,172,529133,210,17637,402,30136,262,17738,942,24235,333,50629,644,9390
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
20,962,435
25,297,210
24,634,071
27,856,962
19,881,275
48,915,708
187,384,575
91,017,759
113,171,601
151,601,548
114,110,538
118,167,643
490,470,789
580,536,000
505,346,000
484,148,000
476,195,000
459,439,000
399,343,000
363,439,000
308,611,000
181,606,000
181,606,000308,611,000363,439,000399,343,000459,439,000476,195,000484,148,000505,346,000580,536,000490,470,789118,167,643114,110,538151,601,548113,171,60191,017,759187,384,57548,915,70819,881,27527,856,96224,634,07125,297,21020,962,4350
       Short-term Debt 
0
9,548,159
10,061,561
9,664,266
11,216,782
4,542,388
28,174,430
152,600,491
59,207,058
65,080,281
87,913,503
48,385,175
52,868,366
386,299,577
505,181,000
444,340,000
430,009,000
418,174,000
391,670,000
322,371,000
290,908,000
250,251,000
121,776,000
121,776,000250,251,000290,908,000322,371,000391,670,000418,174,000430,009,000444,340,000505,181,000386,299,57752,868,36648,385,17587,913,50365,080,28159,207,058152,600,49128,174,4304,542,38811,216,7829,664,26610,061,5619,548,1590
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9,876,000
9,838,000
9,436,000
6,442,000
431,812,000
434,165,000
422,533,000
412,294,000
381,317,000
314,836,000
283,382,000
0
0
00283,382,000314,836,000381,317,000412,294,000422,533,000434,165,000431,812,0006,442,0009,436,0009,838,0009,876,0000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
3,636,828
4,252,324
5,158,809
6,041,747
4,829,329
5,472,509
20,350,510
14,280,640
19,792,998
31,226,992
31,997,083
30,320,849
29,850,141
26,300,000
40,985,000
33,469,000
34,800,000
27,806,000
43,783,000
36,278,000
19,158,000
21,434,000
21,434,00019,158,00036,278,00043,783,00027,806,00034,800,00033,469,00040,985,00026,300,00029,850,14130,320,84931,997,08331,226,99219,792,99814,280,64020,350,5105,472,5094,829,3296,041,7475,158,8094,252,3243,636,8280
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
6,754,059
9,427,002
9,789,944
9,010,114
10,320,501
14,754,103
14,381,094
17,516,832
20,679,845
25,866,383
29,023,511
31,964,486
69,785,273
45,563,000
16,206,000
16,285,000
18,193,000
34,147,000
27,122,000
22,053,000
30,545,000
35,688,000
35,688,00030,545,00022,053,00027,122,00034,147,00018,193,00016,285,00016,206,00045,563,00069,785,27331,964,48629,023,51125,866,38320,679,84517,516,83214,381,09414,754,10310,320,5019,010,1149,789,9449,427,0026,754,0590
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
8,682,504
10,036,296
14,308,171
8,405,215
17,521,027
84,294,467
39,787,954
175,748,038
217,969,999
294,350,629
315,890,849
310,069,453
29,716,066
23,390,000
72,707,000
79,112,000
74,625,000
86,663,000
25,168,000
21,369,000
26,758,000
150,734,000
150,734,00026,758,00021,369,00025,168,00086,663,00074,625,00079,112,00072,707,00023,390,00029,716,066310,069,453315,890,849294,350,629217,969,999175,748,03839,787,95484,294,46717,521,0278,405,21514,308,17110,036,2968,682,5040
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
329,000
18,601,000
23,902,000
18,958,000
21,164,000
24,153,000
17,108,000
15,717,000
0
0
0015,717,00017,108,00024,153,00021,164,00018,958,00023,902,00018,601,000329,0000000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
86,000
83,000
82,000
51,000
152,000
267,000
200,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000200,000267,000152,00051,00082,00083,00086,0000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
0
8,878,171
13,200,767
56,998,031
63,526,856
75,405,883
86,107,827
119,106,786
122,034,698
142,025,874
159,648,252
96,518,254
17,016,607
-155,535,028
-267,802,000
-260,274,000
-253,066,000
-243,041,000
-245,228,000
-244,289,000
-162,943,000
-99,745,000
-77,264,000
-77,264,000-99,745,000-162,943,000-244,289,000-245,228,000-243,041,000-253,066,000-260,274,000-267,802,000-155,535,02817,016,60796,518,254159,648,252142,025,874122,034,698119,106,78686,107,82775,405,88363,526,85656,998,03113,200,7678,878,1710
   Common Stock
0
3,893,386
3,586,324
3,698,255
3,836,860
3,513,907
3,279,948
3,945,009
4,023,113
4,084,033
4,270,721
4,055,498
4,390,234
7,421,179
4,163,000
4,163,000
4,163,000
4,163,000
4,163,000
4,163,000
4,163,000
5,003,000
5,003,000
5,003,0005,003,0004,163,0004,163,0004,163,0004,163,0004,163,0004,163,0004,163,0007,421,1794,390,2344,055,4984,270,7214,084,0334,023,1133,945,0093,279,9483,513,9073,836,8603,698,2553,586,3243,893,3860
   Retained Earnings Total Equity00000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
0
-2,646,615
1,380,030
2,595,208
1,208,361
4,953,902
7,504,594
4,696,442
-5,195,119
-6,148,150
-11,392,694
-9,931,136
-1,565,307
54,051,198
445,000
848,000
1,303,000
1,771,000
-848,000
1,391,000
2,265,000
2,393,000
3,061,000
3,061,0002,393,0002,265,0001,391,000-848,0001,771,0001,303,000848,000445,00054,051,198-1,565,307-9,931,136-11,392,694-6,148,150-5,195,1194,696,4427,504,5944,953,9021,208,3612,595,2081,380,030-2,646,6150
   Capital Surplus 00000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock00000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
5,222,888
2,568,030
8,316,260
9,129,726
10,852,455
10,197,278
12,264,937
26,347,057
26,372,779
27,062,282
25,674,817
27,429,070
46,366,651
28,322,000
28,326,000
24,378,000
24,378,000
24,371,000
22,503,000
22,503,000
21,785,000
21,277,000
21,277,00021,785,00022,503,00022,503,00024,371,00024,378,00024,378,00028,326,00028,322,00046,366,65127,429,07025,674,81727,062,28226,372,77926,347,05712,264,93710,197,27810,852,4559,129,7268,316,2602,568,0305,222,8880



6.3. Balance Sheets

All numbers in thousands.




6.4. Cash Flows

Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Income Statements

All numbers in thousands.


6.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue405,884,000
Cost of Revenue-251,455,000
Gross Profit154,429,000154,429,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit154,429,000
Operating Expense-85,538,000
Operating Income68,891,00068,891,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative18,943,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses62,894,000
Operating Expense85,538,00081,837,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-0
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income0
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income68,891,000
Net Interest Income0
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)24,917,000112,865,000
EBIT - interestExpense = 68,891,000
23,042,000
22,321,000
Interest Expense0
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)68,891,00024,917,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)84,676,000
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax24,917,000
Tax Provision-0
Net Income From Continuing Ops024,917,000
Net Income22,321,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses336,993,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-43,974,0000
 

Technical Analysis of Mechel
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Mechel. The general trend of Mechel is BEARISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Mechel's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-100.0%) Bearish trend (100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Mechel PAO.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 129.35 < 132.55 < 145.80.

The bearish price targets are: 101.60 > 100.55.

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Mechel PAO Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Mechel PAO. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 0/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Mechel PAO Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Mechel PAO. The current macd is -4.00891683.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Mechel price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Mechel. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Mechel price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartMechel PAO Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Mechel PAO. The current adx is 24.95.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Mechel shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
Mechel PAO Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Mechel PAO. The current sar is 124.94.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Mechel PAO. The current rsi is 36.50. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartMechel PAO Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Mechel PAO. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -6/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Mechel price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartMechel PAO Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Mechel PAO. The current cci is -114.2651167.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartMechel PAO Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Mechel PAO. The current cmo is -31.16292427.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartMechel PAO Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Mechel PAO. The current willr is -91.51515152.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Mechel PAO Daily Williams %R ChartMechel PAO Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Mechel PAO.

Mechel PAO Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Mechel PAO. The current atr is 5.59912439.

Mechel PAO Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartMechel PAO Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Mechel PAO. The current obv is -16,795,380.

Mechel PAO Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartMechel PAO Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Mechel PAO. The current mfi is 21.10.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Mechel PAO Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartMechel PAO Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Mechel PAO.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-05-31STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-06-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-04MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-06-05MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-06-07CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-06-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-13SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-18CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-06-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-06-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-01SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-04CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-05CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-07-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-07-10SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-18RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-07-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-29CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-08-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-09MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-08-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-08-13RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-08-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-15MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-08-20MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-08-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-23ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-08-26MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-08-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-28MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-08-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-09-03SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-09-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-09-05RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-09-11RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-09-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-13SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-09-16RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-23SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-25DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-09SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-10-14MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-10-15MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-10-16MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-17CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Mechel PAO Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Mechel PAO based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5036.499
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50118.225
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100123.076
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200168.818
OpenGreater thanClose111.700
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke
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