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NOVATEK
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Novatek together

I guess you are interested in NOVATEK. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of NOVATEK. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Novatek (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Novatek? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
₽0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
88.9%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
₽869.82
Expected worth in 1 year
₽1,801.73
How sure are you?
100.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
₽931.92
Return On Investment
101.8%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
₽915.80
Expected price per share
₽835.00 - ₽1,043
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Novatek (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
₽915.80
Intrinsic Value Per Share
₽904.35 - ₽3,077.39
Total Value Per Share
₽1,774.17 - ₽3,947.21

2.2. Growth of Novatek (5 min.)




Is Novatek growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$26b???

How much money is Novatek making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$4.6b???
Net Profit Margin33.8%?--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Novatek (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Oil & Gas E&P industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Oil & Gas E&P)  


Richest
#9 / 341

Most Revenue
#4 / 341

Most Profit
#1 / 341
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Novatek?

Welcome investor! Novatek's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Novatek.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Novatek. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Novatek is ₽915.80. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Novatek.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Novatek, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is ₽869.82. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is ₽232.98 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is ₽0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Novatek.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 % of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share
Usd Eps1.550.2%1.550.2%1.520.2%0.930.1%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share2.330.3%2.330.3%1.440.2%0.830.1%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.280.0%0.200.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share2.330.3%2.330.3%1.720.2%1.030.1%
Usd Price Per Share14.64-14.64-14.26-10.37-
Price to Earnings Ratio9.47-9.47-20.39-20.44-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio6.29-6.29-20.20-19.59-
Price to Book Ratio1.68-1.68-2.24-2.96-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio6.29-6.29-20.20-19.59-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share9.158
Number of shares109
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.28
Usd Book Value Change Per Share2.331.44
Usd Total Gains Per Share2.331.72
Gains per Quarter (109 shares)253.95187.48
Gains per Year (109 shares)1,015.79749.92
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1010161006122627740
202032202224512551490
303047303836718822240
404063405449025102990
505079507061231373740
606095608673537654490
707111710285743925240
808126811898050205990
9091429134110256476740
1001015810150122562747490

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.00.00.0100.0%4.00.00.0100.0%9.00.00.0100.0%18.00.00.0100.0%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.00.00.0100.0%3.01.00.075.0%8.01.00.088.9%17.01.00.094.4%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%1.00.01.050.0%3.00.01.075.0%8.00.01.088.9%17.00.01.094.4%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.00.00.0100.0%4.00.00.0100.0%9.00.00.0100.0%18.00.00.0100.0%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of NOVATEK compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--232.979232.9790%--143.910+62%82.964+181%
Book Value Per Share--869.817869.8170%--651.387+34%404.960+115%
Current Ratio--1.8641.8640%--2.464-24%1.996-7%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.1910.1910%--0.197-3%0.288-34%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.2370.2370%--0.249-5%0.452-48%
Dividend Per Share----0%--28.091-100%19.860-100%
Eps--154.570154.5700%--152.194+2%93.037+66%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--144.650144.6500%--67.450+114%51.151+183%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--81.64481.6440%--15.471+428%14.137+478%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%--0.997+0%0.996+0%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--3077.389--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--904.350--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--153.989--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--61.728--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--580.336--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--211.593--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--1148.540--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--388.941--------
Market Cap2743379740569.600-60%4386771448012.8004386771448012.8000%--4283282712003.200+2%3119742873112.533+41%
Net Profit Margin--0.3380.3380%--0.453-25%0.335+1%
Operating Margin--0.4330.4330%--0.344+26%0.318+36%
Operating Ratio--0.7320.7320%--0.778-6%0.737-1%
Pb Ratio1.053-60%1.6841.6840%--2.243-25%2.961-43%
Pe Ratio5.925-60%9.4749.4740%--20.391-54%20.439-54%
Price Per Share915.800-60%1464.4001464.4000%--1426.400+3%1036.978+41%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio6.331-60%10.12410.1240%---71.775+809%-20.919+307%
Price To Total Gains Ratio3.931-60%6.2866.2860%--20.199-69%19.589-68%
Quick Ratio--1.2481.2480%--2.566-51%1.822-31%
Return On Assets--0.1440.1440%--0.196-27%0.164-12%
Return On Equity--0.1790.1790%--0.244-27%0.226-21%
Total Gains Per Share--232.979232.9790%--172.000+35%102.824+127%
Usd Book Value--26056320000.00026056320000.0000%--19556510000.000+33%12175414444.444+114%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--2.3302.3300%--1.439+62%0.830+181%
Usd Book Value Per Share--8.6988.6980%--6.514+34%4.050+115%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%--0.281-100%0.199-100%
Usd Eps--1.5461.5460%--1.522+2%0.930+66%
Usd Free Cash Flow--4333160000.0004333160000.0000%--2023632500.000+114%1538268888.889+182%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--1.4471.4470%--0.674+114%0.512+183%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.8160.8160%--0.155+428%0.141+478%
Usd Market Cap27433797405.696-60%43867714480.12843867714480.1280%--42832827120.032+2%31197428731.125+41%
Usd Price Per Share9.158-60%14.64414.6440%--14.264+3%10.370+41%
Usd Profit--4630310000.0004630310000.0000%--4573167500.000+1%2798758888.889+65%
Usd Revenue--13715080000.00013715080000.0000%--10257117500.000+34%7653590000.000+79%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--2.3302.3300%--1.720+35%1.028+127%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+0 -05Y+26 -1010Y+27 -9

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of NOVATEK based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-155.925
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.053
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.338
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.433
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.248
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.864
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.191
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.237
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.179
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.144
Total9/10 (90.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of NOVATEK based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5049.191
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50904.080
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100942.956
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200971.742
OpenGreater thanClose895.600
Total0/5 (0.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About NOVATEK

PAO NOVATEK, an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, processing, marketing, and export of natural gas and liquid hydrocarbons. The company principally holds interests in reserves located in the Yamal-Nenets Autonomous Region, Western Siberia. It sells natural gas, stable gas condensate, gas condensate refined products, liquefied petroleum gas, crude oil, naphtha, diesel fuel, jet fuel, methanol, and petrol. The company also provides transportation, geological and geophysical research, and rent and other services. The company was formerly known as OAO NOVATEK and changed its name to PAO NOVATEK in October 2016. PAO NOVATEK was founded in 1994 and is based in Tarko-Sale, Russia.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-11-06 04:00:04.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very efficient.
The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Novatek earns for each руб1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 33.8% means that руб0.34 for each руб1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 33.8%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 33.8%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ33.8%TTM33.8%0.0%
TTM33.8%5Y45.3%-11.5%
5Y45.3%10Y33.5%+11.7%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ33.8%11.5%+22.3%
TTM33.8%6.6%+27.2%
5Y45.3%-16.9%+62.2%
10Y33.5%-46.7%+80.2%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Novatek is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • 14.4% Return on Assets means that Novatek generated руб0.14 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 14.4%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 14.4%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ14.4%TTM14.4%0.0%
TTM14.4%5Y19.6%-5.2%
5Y19.6%10Y16.4%+3.2%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ14.4%0.2%+14.2%
TTM14.4%0.1%+14.3%
5Y19.6%-1.2%+20.8%
10Y16.4%-2.2%+18.6%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Novatek is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • 17.9% Return on Equity means Novatek generated руб0.18 for each руб1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 17.9%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 17.9%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ17.9%TTM17.9%0.0%
TTM17.9%5Y24.4%-6.5%
5Y24.4%10Y22.6%+1.7%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ17.9%1.3%+16.6%
TTM17.9%0.6%+17.3%
5Y24.4%-2.0%+26.4%
10Y22.6%-4.1%+26.7%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of NOVATEK.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Novatek is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Novatek makes for each руб1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 43.3% means the company generated руб0.43  for each руб1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 43.3%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
  • The TTM is 43.3%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ43.3%TTM43.3%0.0%
TTM43.3%5Y34.4%+8.9%
5Y34.4%10Y31.8%+2.6%
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ43.3%19.2%+24.1%
TTM43.3%18.7%+24.6%
5Y34.4%0.6%+33.8%
10Y31.8%-14.7%+46.5%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Novatek is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.73 means that the operating costs are руб0.73 for each руб1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 0.732. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
  • The TTM is 0.732. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.732TTM0.7320.000
TTM0.7325Y0.778-0.046
5Y0.77810Y0.737+0.041
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7320.913-0.181
TTM0.7320.879-0.147
5Y0.7781.014-0.236
10Y0.7371.173-0.436
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4.4.3. Liquidity of NOVATEK.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Novatek is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.86 means the company has руб1.86 in assets for each руб1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 1.864. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.864. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.864TTM1.8640.000
TTM1.8645Y2.464-0.600
5Y2.46410Y1.996+0.468
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.8641.145+0.719
TTM1.8641.186+0.678
5Y2.4641.436+1.028
10Y1.9961.712+0.284
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Novatek is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.25 means the company can pay off руб1.25 for each руб1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 1.248. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
  • The TTM is 1.248. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.248TTM1.2480.000
TTM1.2485Y2.566-1.318
5Y2.56610Y1.822+0.745
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.2480.761+0.487
TTM1.2480.764+0.484
5Y2.5661.018+1.548
10Y1.8221.303+0.519
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4.5.4. Solvency of NOVATEK.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Novatek assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.19 means that Novatek assets are financed with 19.1% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 19.1%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 0.191. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.191. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.191TTM0.1910.000
TTM0.1915Y0.197-0.007
5Y0.19710Y0.288-0.091
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.1910.418-0.227
TTM0.1910.420-0.229
5Y0.1970.463-0.266
10Y0.2880.447-0.159
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Novatek is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 23.7% means that company has руб0.24 debt for each руб1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The MRQ is 0.237. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.237. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.237TTM0.2370.000
TTM0.2375Y0.249-0.012
5Y0.24910Y0.452-0.204
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2370.638-0.401
TTM0.2370.657-0.420
5Y0.2490.827-0.578
10Y0.4520.767-0.315
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every руб1 in earnings Novatek generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Novatek to the Oil & Gas E&P industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 9.47 means the investor is paying руб9.47 for every руб1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The EOD is 5.925. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 9.474. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 9.474. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD5.925MRQ9.474-3.549
MRQ9.474TTM9.4740.000
TTM9.4745Y20.391-10.917
5Y20.39110Y20.439-0.048
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD5.9251.516+4.409
MRQ9.4741.902+7.572
TTM9.474-0.032+9.506
5Y20.391-0.478+20.869
10Y20.439-1.152+21.591
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The EOD is 6.331. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 10.124. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 10.124. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD6.331MRQ10.124-3.793
MRQ10.124TTM10.1240.000
TTM10.1245Y-71.775+81.898
5Y-71.77510Y-20.919-50.856
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD6.331-1.174+7.505
MRQ10.124-1.546+11.670
TTM10.124-1.505+11.629
5Y-71.775-2.273-69.502
10Y-20.919-3.449-17.470
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Novatek is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Oil & Gas E&P industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.68 means the investor is paying руб1.68 for each руб1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of NOVATEK:

  • The EOD is 1.053. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.684. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.684. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.053MRQ1.684-0.631
MRQ1.684TTM1.6840.000
TTM1.6845Y2.243-0.560
5Y2.24310Y2.961-0.718
Compared to industry (Oil & Gas E&P)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.0530.922+0.131
MRQ1.6841.093+0.591
TTM1.6841.100+0.584
5Y2.2431.210+1.033
10Y2.9611.310+1.651
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets3,219,153,000
Total Liabilities613,521,000
Total Stockholder Equity2,593,541,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 613,521,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 2,593,541,000
Total Assets = 3,219,153,000

Assets

Total Assets3,219,153,000
Total Current Assets562,218,000
Long-term Assets2,656,935,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 157,661,000
Net Receivables 218,739,000
Inventory 39,198,000
Other Current Assets 146,620,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)562,218,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)562,218,000
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 1,159,138,000
Long-term Assets Other 879,731,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)2,656,935,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)2,038,869,000
+/- 618,066,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities301,605,000
Long-term Liabilities311,916,000
Total Stockholder Equity2,593,541,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 19,003,000
Short Long Term Debt 4,185,000
Accounts payable 217,423,000
Other Current Liabilities 65,179,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)301,605,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)305,790,000
+/- 4,185,000
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 162,720,000
Capital Lease Obligations 57,456,000
Long-term Liabilities Other 6,581,000
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)311,916,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)226,757,000
+/- 85,159,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock2,593,541,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)2,593,541,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)2,593,541,000
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 157,661,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 2,988,300
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 3,219,153,000
Net Debt 66,700,000
Net Invested Capital 2,760,446,000
Net Working Capital 260,613,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 1,642,475,000
Short Long Term Debt Total 224,361,000



6.2. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-31
> Total Assets 
78,761,999
84,326,026
103,974,991
139,906,973
193,638,994
285,173,012
383,432,032
463,133,000
597,995,000
699,139,000
880,024,000
963,834,000
1,044,162,000
1,216,370,000
2,012,867,000
2,059,178,000
2,457,664,000
3,219,153,000
3,219,153,0002,457,664,0002,059,178,0002,012,867,0001,216,370,0001,044,162,000963,834,000880,024,000699,139,000597,995,000463,133,000383,432,032285,173,012193,638,994139,906,973103,974,99184,326,02678,761,999
   > Total Current Assets 
11,921,974
15,487,028
17,037,979
26,328,987
27,374,974
29,565,005
58,316,032
58,243,000
82,426,000
126,591,000
128,472,000
132,760,000
153,436,000
293,320,000
496,496,000
362,934,000
577,067,000
562,218,000
562,218,000577,067,000362,934,000496,496,000293,320,000153,436,000132,760,000128,472,000126,591,00082,426,00058,243,00058,316,03229,565,00527,374,97426,328,98717,037,97915,487,02811,921,974
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
2,956,006
5,668,012
3,981,999
10,991,989
10,532,000
10,238,005
23,831,008
18,420,000
7,889,000
41,318,000
29,187,000
48,301,000
65,943,000
41,472,000
53,240,000
119,707,000
45,920,000
157,661,000
157,661,00045,920,000119,707,00053,240,00041,472,00065,943,00048,301,00029,187,00041,318,0007,889,00018,420,00023,831,00810,238,00510,532,00010,991,9893,981,9995,668,0122,956,006
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
17,000
10,000
36,000
2,000
6,477,000
0
0
27,788,000
84,374,000
64,192,000
60,442,000
0
060,442,00064,192,00084,374,00027,788,000006,477,0002,00036,00010,00017,000000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
0
25,108,000
18,829,000
56,718,000
55,893,000
35,221,000
58,086,000
60,735,000
115,932,000
345,083,000
166,449,000
449,003,000
218,739,000
218,739,000449,003,000166,449,000345,083,000115,932,00060,735,00058,086,00035,221,00055,893,00056,718,00018,829,00025,108,000000000
       Inventory 
1,417,991
1,815,012
1,793,993
2,156,015
1,789,990
1,868,000
1,683,008
3,091,000
5,953,000
7,024,000
8,226,000
9,044,000
11,084,000
17,251,000
12,263,000
10,723,000
17,681,000
39,198,000
39,198,00017,681,00010,723,00012,263,00017,251,00011,084,0009,044,0008,226,0007,024,0005,953,0003,091,0001,683,0081,868,0001,789,9902,156,0151,793,9931,815,0121,417,991
       Other Current Assets 
7,547,978
8,004,005
11,261,988
13,180,982
15,052,983
17,459,000
32,802,016
36,722,000
68,548,000
78,247,000
84,582,000
75,415,000
76,409,000
206,809,000
1,536,000
1,863,000
4,021,000
146,620,000
146,620,0004,021,0001,863,0001,536,000206,809,00076,409,00075,415,00084,582,00078,247,00068,548,00036,722,00032,802,01617,459,00015,052,98313,180,98211,261,9888,004,0057,547,978
   > Long-term Assets 
66,840,025
68,838,997
86,937,012
113,577,986
166,264,020
255,608,007
325,116,000
404,890,000
515,569,000
572,548,000
751,552,000
831,074,000
890,726,000
923,050,000
1,516,371,000
1,696,244,000
1,880,597,000
2,656,935,000
2,656,935,0001,880,597,0001,696,244,0001,516,371,000923,050,000890,726,000831,074,000751,552,000572,548,000515,569,000404,890,000325,116,000255,608,007166,264,020113,577,98686,937,01268,838,99766,840,025
       Property Plant Equipment 
65,675,017
66,734,011
82,668,999
108,714,005
161,448,019
185,573,007
166,784,000
197,376,000
243,688,000
291,726,000
331,712,000
331,795,000
360,051,000
408,201,000
556,798,000
729,407,000
870,541,000
1,159,138,000
1,159,138,000870,541,000729,407,000556,798,000408,201,000360,051,000331,795,000331,712,000291,726,000243,688,000197,376,000166,784,000185,573,007161,448,019108,714,00582,668,99966,734,01165,675,017
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,990,000
1,796,000
1,567,000
1,510,000
1,665,000
2,119,000
2,644,000
2,820,000
0
0
002,820,0002,644,0002,119,0001,665,0001,510,0001,567,0001,796,0001,990,00000000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
123,029,000
189,139,000
210,073,000
166,238,000
154,735,000
259,663,000
285,336,000
244,507,000
585,348,000
0
0
0
000585,348,000244,507,000285,336,000259,663,000154,735,000166,238,000210,073,000189,139,000123,029,000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,567,000
1,510,000
1,665,000
2,119,000
2,644,000
2,820,000
2,896,000
0
02,896,0002,820,0002,644,0002,119,0001,665,0001,510,0001,567,0000000000000
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
32,739,000
239,544,000
250,228,000
283,749,000
415,651,000
579,787,000
342,276,000
0
0342,276,000579,787,000415,651,000283,749,000250,228,000239,544,00032,739,0000000000000
> Total Liabilities 
21,212,980
15,650,036
22,162,981
43,266,965
60,199,053
117,386,997
141,750,048
171,832,000
224,938,000
312,015,000
451,853,000
306,114,000
268,503,000
329,775,000
345,791,000
420,751,000
546,195,000
613,521,000
613,521,000546,195,000420,751,000345,791,000329,775,000268,503,000306,114,000451,853,000312,015,000224,938,000171,832,000141,750,048117,386,99760,199,05343,266,96522,162,98115,650,03621,212,980
   > Total Current Liabilities 
10,431,986
5,098,038
12,074,975
14,504,003
23,597,021
57,440,996
50,114,048
55,130,000
59,873,000
81,208,000
169,675,000
108,791,000
83,958,000
107,023,000
117,113,000
159,996,000
388,783,000
301,605,000
301,605,000388,783,000159,996,000117,113,000107,023,00083,958,000108,791,000169,675,00081,208,00059,873,00055,130,00050,114,04857,440,99623,597,02114,504,00312,074,9755,098,03810,431,986
       Short-term Debt 
8,201,991
2,564,999
6,559,989
6,341,997
13,826,995
25,151,998
20,298,016
34,682,000
24,026,000
40,980,000
106,655,000
55,469,000
15,822,000
4,445,000
15,193,000
56,950,000
116,618,000
19,003,000
19,003,000116,618,00056,950,00015,193,0004,445,00015,822,00055,469,000106,655,00040,980,00024,026,00034,682,00020,298,01625,151,99813,826,9956,341,9976,559,9892,564,9998,201,991
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
95,478,000
132,487,000
165,621,000
245,679,000
77,269,000
55,469,000
14,302,000
2,120,000
12,246,000
53,152,000
113,029,000
4,185,000
4,185,000113,029,00053,152,00012,246,0002,120,00014,302,00055,469,00077,269,000245,679,000165,621,000132,487,00095,478,000000000
       Accounts payable 
1,261,005
677,013
1,326,989
3,863,013
2,483,013
2,194,013
5,187,008
9,959,000
14,372,000
16,347,000
23,989,000
25,828,000
30,936,000
52,314,000
50,048,000
55,149,000
91,680,000
217,423,000
217,423,00091,680,00055,149,00050,048,00052,314,00030,936,00025,828,00023,989,00016,347,00014,372,0009,959,0005,187,0082,194,0132,483,0133,863,0131,326,989677,0131,261,005
       Other Current Liabilities 
923,005
1,808,035
3,543,002
2,694,989
4,856,008
26,284,984
24,018,016
10,489,000
6,888,000
14,231,000
24,546,000
12,634,000
18,065,000
31,808,000
10,583,000
3,966,000
14,028,000
65,179,000
65,179,00014,028,0003,966,00010,583,00031,808,00018,065,00012,634,00024,546,00014,231,0006,888,00010,489,00024,018,01626,284,9844,856,0082,694,9893,543,0021,808,035923,005
   > Long-term Liabilities 
10,780,994
10,551,998
10,088,005
28,762,962
36,602,032
59,946,002
91,636,000
116,702,000
165,065,000
230,807,000
282,178,000
197,323,000
184,545,000
222,752,000
228,678,000
260,755,000
157,412,000
311,916,000
311,916,000157,412,000260,755,000228,678,000222,752,000184,545,000197,323,000282,178,000230,807,000165,065,000116,702,00091,636,00059,946,00236,602,03228,762,96210,088,00510,551,99810,780,994
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
252,050,000
161,296,000
147,224,000
177,516,000
147,368,000
175,658,000
70,440,000
0
070,440,000175,658,000147,368,000177,516,000147,224,000161,296,000252,050,0000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
30,128,000
36,027,000
37,321,000
45,236,000
81,310,000
85,097,000
86,972,000
0
086,972,00085,097,00081,310,00045,236,00037,321,00036,027,00030,128,0000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
57,268,014
68,319,990
81,334,983
96,069,003
114,300,954
147,119,015
241,012,992
290,050,000
370,198,000
384,755,000
426,079,000
648,350,000
757,839,000
868,254,000
1,647,509,000
1,619,964,000
1,894,402,000
2,593,541,000
2,593,541,0001,894,402,0001,619,964,0001,647,509,000868,254,000757,839,000648,350,000426,079,000384,755,000370,198,000290,050,000241,012,992147,119,015114,300,95496,069,00381,334,98368,319,99057,268,014
   Common Stock
393,011
392,987
393,006
392,985
393,004
393,007
392,992
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
393,000
2,593,541,000
2,593,541,000393,000393,000393,000393,000393,000393,000393,000393,000393,000393,000392,992393,007393,004392,985393,006392,987393,011
   Retained Earnings 
21,488,985
32,229,020
45,067,998
60,315,999
78,393,006
110,809,985
203,871,008
253,606,000
334,614,000
352,462,000
399,861,000
618,680,000
732,168,000
843,094,000
1,618,696,000
1,600,391,000
1,881,186,000
0
01,881,186,0001,600,391,0001,618,696,000843,094,000732,168,000618,680,000399,861,000352,462,000334,614,000253,606,000203,871,008110,809,98578,393,00660,315,99945,067,99832,229,02021,488,985
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
2,992,019
-7,980,997
0
-16,085,991
-21,710,984
-28,095,983
-37,254,016
-48,370,000
-61,125,000
-77,070,000
-96,529,000
-130,735,000
-175,153,000
-212,790,000
9,431,000
8,269,000
14,819,000
0
014,819,0008,269,0009,431,000-212,790,000-175,153,000-130,735,000-96,529,000-77,070,000-61,125,000-48,370,000-37,254,016-28,095,983-21,710,984-16,085,9910-7,980,9972,992,019
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
31,297,000
31,297,000
31,297,000
31,297,000
31,297,000
31,297,000
31,297,000
0
031,297,00031,297,00031,297,00031,297,00031,297,00031,297,00031,297,0000000000000
   Treasury Stock0-33,293,000-20,386,000-12,308,000-10,445,000-8,353,000-6,913,000-5,997,0000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
32,393,999
43,678,980
35,873,979
51,446,009
57,225,929
64,012,005
74,003,008
84,421,000
96,316,000
108,970,000
122,354,000
160,012,000
200,431,000
237,557,000
18,989,000
10,911,000
-1,996,000
0
0-1,996,00010,911,00018,989,000237,557,000200,431,000160,012,000122,354,000108,970,00096,316,00084,421,00074,003,00864,012,00557,225,92951,446,00935,873,97943,678,98032,393,999



6.3. Balance Sheets

Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.




6.4. Cash Flows

Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Income Statements

Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.


6.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. Currency in RUB. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue1,371,508,000
Cost of Revenue-791,081,000
Gross Profit580,427,000580,427,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit580,427,000
Operating Expense-212,879,000
Operating Income367,132,000367,548,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative52,049,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense212,879,00052,049,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income46,895,000
Interest Expense-2,430,000
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income44,465,000
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income367,132,000
Net Interest Income44,465,000
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)573,522,000160,742,000
EBIT - interestExpense = 591,165,000
567,066,000
465,461,000
Interest Expense2,430,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)593,595,000575,952,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)668,921,000
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax573,522,000
Tax Provision-104,035,000
Net Income From Continuing Ops469,487,000469,487,000
Net Income463,031,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses1,003,960,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net206,390,000-44,465,000
 

Technical Analysis of Novatek
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Novatek. The general trend of Novatek is BEARISH with 85.7% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Novatek's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-85.7%) Bearish trend (85.7%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of NOVATEK.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 991.80 < 1,020 < 1,043.

The bearish price targets are: 841.73 > 835.00.

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NOVATEK Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of NOVATEK. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 1/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -12/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

NOVATEK Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of NOVATEK. The current macd is -7.85009715.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 3/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Novatek price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Novatek. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Novatek price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
NOVATEK Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartNOVATEK Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of NOVATEK. The current adx is 17.09.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Novatek shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
NOVATEK Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of NOVATEK. The current sar is 877.83.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
NOVATEK Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of NOVATEK. The current rsi is 49.19. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
NOVATEK Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartNOVATEK Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of NOVATEK. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Novatek price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
NOVATEK Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartNOVATEK Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of NOVATEK. The current cci is 11.13.

NOVATEK Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartNOVATEK Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of NOVATEK. The current cmo is 2.45073626.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
NOVATEK Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartNOVATEK Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of NOVATEK. The current willr is -33.7704918.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Novatek is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
NOVATEK Daily Williams %R ChartNOVATEK Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of NOVATEK.

NOVATEK Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of NOVATEK. The current atr is 30.38.

NOVATEK Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartNOVATEK Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of NOVATEK. The current obv is -43,365,027.

NOVATEK Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartNOVATEK Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of NOVATEK. The current mfi is 54.96.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
NOVATEK Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartNOVATEK Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for NOVATEK.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-07-02ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-09DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-10WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-12MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-15CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-07-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-18CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-07-19MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-07-22DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-07-25DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-29CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-31MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-08-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-14DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-08-15CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-08-16DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-20MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-21CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-08-22ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-23BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-26RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-08-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-02CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-09-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-06SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-09MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-09-10DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-09-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-09-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-16DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-09-17BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-20CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-03MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-10-04DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-09DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-10-10DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-14DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-10-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-22DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-10-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-28ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-30RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-10-31STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-06SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-11-07CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-11-08MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-11-11WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-11-13DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-14CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

NOVATEK Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of NOVATEK based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5049.191
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50904.080
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100942.956
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200971.742
OpenGreater thanClose895.600
Total0/5 (0.0%)
Penke
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