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Serco Group
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Serco together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Serco Group. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Serco Group. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Serco (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Serco? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
p0.15
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
70.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
p91.61
Expected worth in 1 year
p118.99
How sure are you?
80.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
p39.33
Return On Investment
21.6%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
p181.90
Expected price per share
p171.49 - p193.00
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Serco (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

p181.90

Intrinsic Value Per Share

p202.26 - p550.55

Total Value Per Share

p293.87 - p642.16

2. Growth of Serco (5 min.)




Is Serco growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.2b$1.2b$5.2m0.4%

How much money is Serco making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$252.2m$193.6m$58.5m23.2%
Net Profit Margin4.1%3.4%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Serco (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Specialty Business Services industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Specialty Business Services)  


Richest
#30 / 211

Most Revenue
#8 / 211

Most Profit
#12 / 211

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Serco? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Serco's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Serco.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Serco?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Serco. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Serco is p181.90. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Serco.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Serco, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is p91.61. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is p6.85 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is p3.70 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is p2.99 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Serco.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 p% of Price per Sharep% of Price per Sharep% of Price per Sharep% of Price per Sharep% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.220.1%0.220.1%0.160.1%0.170.1%-0.080.0%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.090.0%0.090.0%0.050.0%0.140.1%-0.010.0%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.040.0%0.040.0%0.030.0%0.030.0%0.020.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.120.1%0.120.1%0.080.0%0.170.1%0.010.0%
Usd Price Per Share2.02-2.02-1.94-1.83-1.65-
Price to Earnings Ratio9.04-9.04-12.15-15.28--139.50-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio16.49-16.49-25.08-13.54-8.23-
Price to Book Ratio1.77-1.77-1.83-2.19--0.13-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio16.49-16.49-25.08-13.54-8.23-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share2.2666559
Number of shares441
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.040.03
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.090.14
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.120.17
Gains per Quarter (441 shares)54.0376.02
Gains per Year (441 shares)216.12304.10
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
16615020652252294
2131301422105503598
3197451638157755902
426360285421010071206
5328752107026212581510
6394903128631515101814
74591053150236717612118
85251204171842020132422
95911354193447222652726
106561505215052525163030

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%6.04.00.060.0%29.04.00.087.9%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%27.06.00.081.8%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%7.00.03.070.0%19.00.014.057.6%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.02.00.080.0%28.05.00.084.8%

Fundamentals of Serco

About Serco Group

Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It offers service design and advisory, resourcing, programmes management, systems integration, case management, engineering, and assets and facilities management services. The company also provides administrative and back office, asylum seeker accommodation or passenger transport services; supports in the decarbonization journeys of customers and society, including installation of ground source heat pumps, solar panels, and energy efficiency upgrades; ecosystem restoration and biodiversity services comprising plantation; reforestation services; and a rage of support services for environmental protection. In addition, it offers marine environmental monitoring as well as a host of other earth observation solutions; a suite of sustainable mobility services in tourism destinations; delivers maritime services that supports pollution response; behavioral and cultural change support services; and performs analysis to complete assessments of contaminated sites. The company serves the United Kingdom and Canadian governments, devolved authorities, and other public sector customers; and federal and civilian agencies, and various state and municipal governments in citizen services, defense, health and other facilities management, justice and immigration, and transport sectors. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-09 04:45:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.

1.1. Profitability of Serco Group.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Serco earns for each 1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 4.1% means that 0.04 for each 1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 4.1%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 4.1%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.1%TTM4.1%0.0%
TTM4.1%YOY3.4%+0.7%
TTM4.1%5Y3.9%+0.2%
5Y3.9%10Y-1.7%+5.6%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.1%2.3%+1.8%
TTM4.1%2.8%+1.3%
YOY3.4%3.4%+0.0%
5Y3.9%2.0%+1.9%
10Y-1.7%2.9%-4.6%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Serco is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • 7.8% Return on Assets means that Serco generated 0.08 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 7.8%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 7.8%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ7.8%TTM7.8%0.0%
TTM7.8%YOY5.7%+2.1%
TTM7.8%5Y6.5%+1.3%
5Y6.5%10Y-3.2%+9.7%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ7.8%0.9%+6.9%
TTM7.8%1.0%+6.8%
YOY5.7%1.4%+4.3%
5Y6.5%0.9%+5.6%
10Y-3.2%1.3%-4.5%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Serco is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • 19.6% Return on Equity means Serco generated 0.20 for each 1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 19.6%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 19.6%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ19.6%TTM19.6%0.0%
TTM19.6%YOY15.1%+4.5%
TTM19.6%5Y18.6%+1.0%
5Y18.6%10Y5.6%+13.0%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ19.6%1.9%+17.7%
TTM19.6%2.6%+17.0%
YOY15.1%3.9%+11.2%
5Y18.6%2.1%+16.5%
10Y5.6%3.0%+2.6%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Serco Group.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Serco is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Serco makes for each 1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 4.5% means the company generated 0.05  for each 1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 4.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 4.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.5%TTM4.5%0.0%
TTM4.5%YOY4.8%-0.3%
TTM4.5%5Y4.7%-0.1%
5Y4.7%10Y-0.8%+5.5%
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.5%6.5%-2.0%
TTM4.5%4.9%-0.4%
YOY4.8%5.2%-0.4%
5Y4.7%4.3%+0.4%
10Y-0.8%5.6%-6.4%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Serco is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Business Services industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.95 means that the operating costs are 0.95 for each 1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 0.955. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.955. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.955TTM0.9550.000
TTM0.955YOY0.954+0.001
TTM0.9555Y0.957-0.002
5Y0.95710Y0.989-0.032
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9551.073-0.118
TTM0.9551.097-0.142
YOY0.9541.014-0.060
5Y0.9571.069-0.112
10Y0.9891.043-0.054

1.3. Liquidity of Serco Group.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Serco is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Business Services industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.87 means the company has 0.87 in assets for each 1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 0.872. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
  • The TTM is 0.872. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.872TTM0.8720.000
TTM0.872YOY0.795+0.077
TTM0.8725Y0.940-0.068
5Y0.94010Y0.984-0.045
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8721.393-0.521
TTM0.8721.393-0.521
YOY0.7951.383-0.588
5Y0.9401.416-0.476
10Y0.9841.441-0.457
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Serco is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.83 means the company can pay off 0.83 for each 1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 0.828. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.828. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.828TTM0.8280.000
TTM0.828YOY0.683+0.146
TTM0.8285Y0.845-0.017
5Y0.84510Y0.775+0.070
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8280.877-0.049
TTM0.8280.889-0.061
YOY0.6830.934-0.251
5Y0.8451.002-0.157
10Y0.7751.030-0.255

1.4. Solvency of Serco Group.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Serco assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Serco to Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.60 means that Serco assets are financed with 60.4% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 60.4%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 0.604. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.604. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.604TTM0.6040.000
TTM0.604YOY0.626-0.022
TTM0.6045Y0.661-0.057
5Y0.66110Y0.750-0.090
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6040.575+0.029
TTM0.6040.569+0.035
YOY0.6260.572+0.054
5Y0.6610.564+0.097
10Y0.7500.560+0.190
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Serco is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 152.5% means that company has 1.52 debt for each 1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The MRQ is 1.525. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.525. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.525TTM1.5250.000
TTM1.525YOY1.673-0.149
TTM1.5255Y2.025-0.501
5Y2.02510Y2.608-0.583
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.5251.208+0.317
TTM1.5251.237+0.288
YOY1.6731.300+0.373
5Y2.0251.299+0.726
10Y2.6081.310+1.298

2. Market Valuation of Serco Group

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every 1 in earnings Serco generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Serco to the Specialty Business Services industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 9.04 means the investor is paying 9.04 for every 1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The EOD is 10.143. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 9.039. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 9.039. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD10.143MRQ9.039+1.104
MRQ9.039TTM9.0390.000
TTM9.039YOY12.148-3.109
TTM9.0395Y15.283-6.244
5Y15.28310Y-139.500+154.782
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD10.14310.455-0.312
MRQ9.03911.225-2.186
TTM9.03910.636-1.597
YOY12.14812.736-0.588
5Y15.28314.758+0.525
10Y-139.50014.191-153.691
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The EOD is 5.655. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 5.040. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 5.040. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD5.655MRQ5.040+0.616
MRQ5.040TTM5.0400.000
TTM5.040YOY6.133-1.093
TTM5.0405Y9.600-4.561
5Y9.60010Y5.118+4.483
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD5.6554.801+0.854
MRQ5.0404.688+0.352
TTM5.0403.423+1.617
YOY6.1335.191+0.942
5Y9.6003.589+6.011
10Y5.1184.941+0.177
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Serco is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Business Services industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.77 means the investor is paying 1.77 for each 1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Serco Group:

  • The EOD is 1.986. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.769. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.769. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.986MRQ1.769+0.216
MRQ1.769TTM1.7690.000
TTM1.769YOY1.833-0.064
TTM1.7695Y2.187-0.418
5Y2.18710Y-0.132+2.319
Compared to industry (Specialty Business Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.9861.705+0.281
MRQ1.7691.917-0.148
TTM1.7691.897-0.128
YOY1.8331.938-0.105
5Y2.1872.073+0.114
10Y-0.1322.136-2.268
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Serco Group compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--6.8466.8460%3.702+85%11.448-40%-0.926+114%
Book Value Per Share--91.60991.6090%84.763+8%71.943+27%47.646+92%
Current Ratio--0.8720.8720%0.795+10%0.940-7%0.984-11%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6040.6040%0.626-3%0.661-9%0.750-19%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.5251.5250%1.673-9%2.025-25%2.608-42%
Dividend Per Share--2.9862.9860%2.494+20%2.387+25%1.918+56%
Eps--17.93417.9340%12.792+40%14.005+28%-6.288+135%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--32.16432.1640%25.338+27%21.403+50%8.611+274%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--4.0324.0320%-10.619+363%6.112-34%-0.816+120%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--550.554--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--202.264--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--33.684--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--11.668--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--117.582--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--42.714--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--221.221--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--81.914--------
Market Cap197625263731.200+7%182946060000.000182946060000.0000%188779920000.000-3%176635066000.000+4%154153604224.960+19%
Net Profit Margin--0.0410.0410%0.034+20%0.039+6%-0.017+142%
Operating Margin--0.0450.0450%0.048-6%0.047-3%-0.008+118%
Operating Ratio--0.9550.9550%0.954+0%0.9570%0.989-3%
Pb Ratio1.986+11%1.7691.7690%1.833-3%2.187-19%-0.132+107%
Pe Ratio10.143+11%9.0399.0390%12.148-26%15.283-41%-139.500+1643%
Price Per Share181.900+11%162.100162.1000%155.400+4%146.700+10%132.650+22%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio5.655+11%5.0405.0400%6.133-18%9.600-48%5.118-2%
Price To Total Gains Ratio18.501+11%16.48716.4870%25.080-34%13.537+22%8.227+100%
Quick Ratio--0.8280.8280%0.683+21%0.845-2%0.775+7%
Return On Assets--0.0780.0780%0.057+37%0.065+19%-0.032+141%
Return On Equity--0.1960.1960%0.151+30%0.186+5%0.056+252%
Total Gains Per Share--9.8329.8320%6.196+59%13.834-29%0.991+892%
Usd Book Value--1288342790.0001288342790.0000%1283109170.000+0%1079097678.000+19%702625946.000+83%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.0850.0850%0.046+85%0.143-40%-0.012+114%
Usd Book Value Per Share--1.1421.1420%1.056+8%0.896+27%0.594+92%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.0370.0370%0.031+20%0.030+25%0.024+56%
Usd Eps--0.2230.2230%0.159+40%0.175+28%-0.078+135%
Usd Free Cash Flow--452334300.000452334300.0000%383549580.000+18%320397232.000+41%131064798.000+245%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.4010.4010%0.316+27%0.267+50%0.107+274%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0500.0500%-0.132+363%0.076-34%-0.010+120%
Usd Market Cap2462608411.354+7%2279690853.6602279690853.6600%2352386583.120-3%2201049557.426+4%1920908062.247+19%
Usd Price Per Share2.267+11%2.0202.0200%1.936+4%1.828+10%1.653+22%
Usd Profit--252210640.000252210640.0000%193643940.000+30%210815198.000+20%-73270680.000+129%
Usd Revenue--6113740430.0006113740430.0000%5649817400.000+8%5233146482.000+17%4602034215.000+33%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.1230.1230%0.077+59%0.172-29%0.012+892%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+29 -65Y+25 -1010Y+31 -4

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Serco Group based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1510.143
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.986
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.041
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.045
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.828
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.872
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.604
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.525
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.196
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.078
Total6/10 (60.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Serco Group based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
OpenGreater thanClose182.300
Total1/1 (100.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets2,610,300
Total Liabilities1,576,400
Total Stockholder Equity1,034,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,576,400
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,034,000
Total Assets = 2,610,300

Assets

Total Assets2,610,300
Total Current Assets782,800
Long-term Assets1,827,500
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 94,400
Net Receivables 649,400
Inventory 24,100
Other Current Assets 14,900
Total Current Assets  (as reported)782,800
Total Current Assets  (calculated)782,800
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 485,200
Goodwill 906,700
Intangible Assets 115,600
Long-term Assets Other 37,400
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,827,500
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,544,900
+/- 282,600

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities897,800
Long-term Liabilities678,600
Total Stockholder Equity1,034,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 191,000
Short Long Term Debt 51,000
Accounts payable 558,000
Other Current Liabilities 113,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)897,800
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)913,000
+/- 15,200
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 155,200
Capital Lease Obligations 453,700
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)678,600
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)608,900
+/- 69,700
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock22,100
Retained Earnings 659,100
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -110,300
Other Stockholders Equity 463,100
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,034,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)1,034,000
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock22,100
Cash and Short Term Investments 94,400
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 1,128,600
Current Deferred Revenue35,800
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 2,610,300
Net Debt 565,500
Net Invested Capital 1,240,200
Net Working Capital -115,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 996,300
Short Long Term Debt Total 659,900



Balance Sheet

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-312000-12-311999-12-311998-12-311997-12-311996-12-311995-12-311994-12-311993-12-311992-12-311991-12-311990-12-311989-12-311988-12-311987-12-311986-12-311985-12-31
> Total Assets 
11,263
13,518
17,621
20,582
24,535
31,186
50,353
71,041
98,235
107,378
140,552
144,327
202,038
277,877
368,893
443,068
585,847
685,327
1,234,185
1,420,500
2,112,200
1,665,300
1,740,400
2,512,100
2,531,500
2,517,000
3,182,100
3,247,100
2,808,900
2,223,900
1,839,500
1,764,600
1,512,800
1,553,600
2,079,400
2,410,300
2,734,000
2,750,200
2,610,300
2,610,3002,750,2002,734,0002,410,3002,079,4001,553,6001,512,8001,764,6001,839,5002,223,9002,808,9003,247,1003,182,1002,517,0002,531,5002,512,1001,740,4001,665,3002,112,2001,420,5001,234,185685,327585,847443,068368,893277,877202,038144,327140,552107,37898,23571,04150,35331,18624,53520,58217,62113,51811,263
   > Total Current Assets 
10,016
11,516
13,741
14,731
17,553
21,920
40,449
52,523
79,068
86,751
112,408
111,605
164,231
219,966
247,509
296,769
346,460
439,492
908,951
617,500
805,900
732,900
806,400
1,031,700
1,107,600
1,138,800
1,129,000
1,143,700
967,100
1,297,200
925,500
759,600
657,500
644,200
726,800
976,100
850,800
814,000
782,800
782,800814,000850,800976,100726,800644,200657,500759,600925,5001,297,200967,1001,143,7001,129,0001,138,8001,107,6001,031,700806,400732,900805,900617,500908,951439,492346,460296,769247,509219,966164,231111,605112,40886,75179,06852,52340,44921,92017,55314,73113,74111,51610,016
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
3,909
1,546
1,845
979
12,767
6,255
23,332
11,768
22,211
10,862
19,618
53,474
58,779
80,098
34,812
71,774
170,888
200,500
240,700
217,900
185,000
250,800
319,400
279,300
254,800
198,600
125,100
180,100
323,600
177,800
112,100
62,500
89,500
335,700
198,400
57,200
94,400
94,40057,200198,400335,70089,50062,500112,100177,800323,600180,100125,100198,600254,800279,300319,400250,800185,000217,900240,700200,500170,88871,77434,81280,09858,77953,47419,61810,86222,21111,76823,3326,25512,7679791,8451,5463,90900
       Short-term Investments 
3,649
2,305
2,438
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
500
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
300
200
-25,700
-23,100
-13,200
-25,100
0
0-25,100-13,200-23,100-25,7002003001000000000000500000000000000000002,4382,3053,649
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
164,768
212,561
236,653
556,479
475,698
466,100
423,500
522,300
635,400
639,500
693,500
720,400
791,900
352,600
444,000
468,500
498,100
474,500
499,700
572,100
569,000
587,300
667,300
649,400
649,400667,300587,300569,000572,100499,700474,500498,100468,500444,000352,600791,900720,400693,500639,500635,400522,300423,500466,100475,698556,479236,653212,561164,768000000000000000
       Inventory 
1,607
2,472
2,700
2,390
1,979
3,920
5,288
8,153
3,935
4,559
4,009
4,393
8,099
9,127
26,830
25,942
35,838
38,744
39,543
26,900
36,400
51,700
46,300
50,200
65,900
65,400
58,800
64,400
49,400
31,200
26,400
22,400
17,400
22,900
18,300
21,400
19,600
22,400
24,100
24,10022,40019,60021,40018,30022,90017,40022,40026,40031,20049,40064,40058,80065,40065,90050,20046,30051,70036,40026,90039,54338,74435,83825,94226,8309,1278,0994,3934,0094,5593,9358,1535,2883,9201,9792,3902,7002,4721,607
   > Long-term Assets 
1,247
2,002
3,880
5,851
6,982
9,266
9,904
18,518
19,167
20,627
28,144
32,722
37,807
57,911
121,384
146,299
239,387
245,835
325,234
803,000
1,306,300
932,400
934,000
1,480,400
1,423,900
1,378,200
2,053,100
2,103,400
1,841,800
926,700
914,000
1,005,000
855,300
909,400
1,352,600
1,434,200
1,883,200
1,936,200
1,827,500
1,827,5001,936,2001,883,2001,434,2001,352,600909,400855,3001,005,000914,000926,7001,841,8002,103,4002,053,1001,378,2001,423,9001,480,400934,000932,4001,306,300803,000325,234245,835239,387146,299121,38457,91137,80732,72228,14420,62719,16718,5189,9049,2666,9825,8513,8802,0021,247
       Property Plant Equipment 
1,247
2,002
3,880
5,838
6,962
9,118
9,151
15,625
17,377
18,162
24,829
27,974
28,994
23,962
36,508
40,269
48,724
62,479
77,398
79,537
103,000
93,600
95,100
115,400
129,200
135,400
194,800
190,600
176,800
38,400
73,200
69,300
65,200
64,800
392,600
441,700
472,200
482,300
485,200
485,200482,300472,200441,700392,60064,80065,20069,30073,20038,400176,800190,600194,800135,400129,200115,40095,10093,600103,00079,53777,39862,47948,72440,26936,50823,96228,99427,97424,82918,16217,37715,6259,1519,1186,9625,8383,8802,0021,247
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
68,662
141,170
165,515
221,876
208,188
544,500
528,500
542,100
963,200
898,400
899,500
1,259,000
1,312,300
1,270,800
541,500
509,900
577,900
551,300
579,600
671,200
669,600
852,700
945,000
906,700
906,700945,000852,700669,600671,200579,600551,300577,900509,900541,5001,270,8001,312,3001,259,000899,500898,400963,200542,100528,500544,500208,188221,876165,515141,17068,662000000000000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,700
5,500
17,200
15,000
29,700
30,500
33,000
0
0
0
0
000033,00030,50029,70015,00017,2005,5008,7000000000000000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
23,332
66,854
68,662
141,170
-18,042
222,950
252,400
107,800
126,100
139,400
192,700
164,400
145,000
184,900
226,900
185,700
118,800
89,800
83,600
66,700
67,300
96,500
80,600
144,000
158,000
115,600
115,600158,000144,00080,60096,50067,30066,70083,60089,800118,800185,700226,900184,900145,000164,400192,700139,400126,100107,800252,400222,950-18,042141,17068,66266,85423,3320000000000000
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9,680
18,983
18,207
0
6,275
551,000
184,200
157,400
206,800
231,900
207,200
420,700
379,700
198,100
254,200
247,500
276,600
165,500
174,600
162,400
214,200
396,700
329,200
0
0329,200396,700214,200162,400174,600165,500276,600247,500254,200198,100379,700420,700207,200231,900206,800157,400184,200551,0006,275018,20718,9839,680000000000000000
> Total Liabilities 
6,154
7,485
15,545
15,328
17,987
26,062
37,195
59,134
87,880
95,016
123,034
118,052
175,358
205,684
277,265
334,143
456,776
435,677
953,375
1,251,300
1,852,200
1,305,400
1,241,900
1,826,800
1,839,400
1,675,700
2,178,300
2,118,200
1,713,000
2,290,100
1,557,400
1,365,800
1,205,600
1,166,800
1,536,500
1,695,300
1,725,600
1,720,500
1,576,400
1,576,4001,720,5001,725,6001,695,3001,536,5001,166,8001,205,6001,365,8001,557,4002,290,1001,713,0002,118,2002,178,3001,675,7001,839,4001,826,8001,241,9001,305,4001,852,2001,251,300953,375435,677456,776334,143277,265205,684175,358118,052123,03495,01687,88059,13437,19526,06217,98715,32815,5457,4856,154
   > Total Current Liabilities 
4,947
5,915
8,034
13,128
14,497
20,546
30,189
45,354
75,804
79,688
105,632
101,848
121,616
153,001
204,127
260,944
362,957
313,556
357,051
477,300
628,500
631,700
708,100
821,200
907,900
994,000
1,061,600
997,800
768,000
1,091,300
914,500
745,300
678,100
674,600
775,500
868,200
877,300
1,024,200
897,800
897,8001,024,200877,300868,200775,500674,600678,100745,300914,5001,091,300768,000997,8001,061,600994,000907,900821,200708,100631,700628,500477,300357,051313,556362,957260,944204,127153,001121,616101,848105,63279,68875,80445,35430,18920,54614,49713,1288,0345,9154,947
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
218
2,360
2,415
674
1,945
6,325
10,085
2,366
3,844
9,889
4,694
12,144
25,913
36,982
73,833
7,594
10,371
54,500
73,000
66,200
21,200
41,300
116,700
166,600
216,900
64,600
52,200
43,900
132,200
9,700
40,300
27,600
140,700
199,000
191,200
188,900
191,000
191,000188,900191,200199,000140,70027,60040,3009,700132,20043,90052,20064,600216,900166,600116,70041,30021,20066,20073,00054,50010,3717,59473,83336,98225,91312,1444,6949,8893,8442,36610,0856,3251,9456742,4152,36021800
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
876,400
43,900
132,200
9,700
31,800
21,900
56,100
89,700
64,900
44,500
51,000
51,00044,50064,90089,70056,10021,90031,8009,700132,20043,900876,4000000000000000000000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
56,902
58,034
74,377
81,335
76,886
124,300
127,600
173,700
225,000
197,700
203,800
217,700
193,900
169,900
99,800
93,600
84,700
78,400
67,400
489,000
99,600
89,200
108,300
558,000
558,000108,30089,20099,600489,00067,40078,40084,70093,60099,800169,900193,900217,700203,800197,700225,000173,700127,600124,30076,88681,33574,37758,03456,902000000000000000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
167,060
231,090
231,585
265,345
284,503
431,200
437,900
513,200
553,400
593,500
623,600
627,000
728,500
531,000
938,000
369,800
346,400
559,400
550,400
79,000
527,300
535,600
666,500
113,000
113,000666,500535,600527,30079,000550,400559,400346,400369,800938,000531,000728,500627,000623,600593,500553,400513,200437,900431,200284,503265,345231,585231,090167,060000000000000000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
1,207
1,570
7,511
2,200
3,490
5,516
7,006
13,780
12,076
15,328
17,402
16,204
53,742
52,683
73,138
73,199
93,819
122,121
596,324
774,000
1,223,700
673,700
533,800
1,005,600
931,500
681,700
1,116,700
1,120,400
945,000
1,198,800
642,900
620,500
527,500
492,200
761,000
827,100
848,300
696,300
678,600
678,600696,300848,300827,100761,000492,200527,500620,500642,9001,198,800945,0001,120,4001,116,700681,700931,5001,005,600533,800673,7001,223,700774,000596,324122,12193,81973,19973,13852,68353,74216,20417,40215,32812,07613,7807,0065,5163,4902,2007,5111,5701,207
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
23,829
23,003
25,808
28,640
29,756
368,700
296,200
185,700
251,100
361,300
293,200
422,600
384,200
101,400
419,300
365,200
314,400
321,900
265,500
226,800
234,700
232,200
176,300
0
0176,300232,200234,700226,800265,500321,900314,400365,200419,300101,400384,200422,600293,200361,300251,100185,700296,200368,70029,75628,64025,80823,00323,829000000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
44,600
31,700
23,600
17,400
13,000
7,400
2,600
500
0
1,600
0
01,60005002,6007,40013,00017,40023,60031,70044,6000000000000000000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
108,925
129,877
267,857
280,810
304,419
257,900
358,000
497,200
685,200
692,000
841,300
1,003,800
1,127,600
1,095,200
-68,000
280,600
397,400
305,900
385,400
541,400
713,300
1,006,700
1,028,200
1,034,000
1,034,0001,028,2001,006,700713,300541,400385,400305,900397,400280,600-68,0001,095,2001,127,6001,003,800841,300692,000685,200497,200358,000257,900304,419280,810267,857129,877108,925000000000000000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7,877
7,903
8,697
8,697
8,707
9,400
9,500
9,700
9,700
9,800
9,900
9,900
10,000
10,000
11,000
22,000
22,000
22,000
22,000
24,500
24,700
24,400
24,400
22,100
22,10024,40024,40024,70024,50022,00022,00022,00022,00011,00010,00010,0009,9009,9009,8009,7009,7009,5009,4008,7078,6978,6977,9037,877000000000000000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity000000000000000000000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -110,300-31,000-22,400-74,800-107,500-143,800-167,300-176,300-170,300-127,200-189,000-207,200-210,800-220,300-190,500-177,600-146,100-122,200-126,100-105,400-91,481-79,709-66,817-63,732-58,810-32,991-27,178-20,47600000000000
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
327,900
327,900
327,900
462,900
463,100
0
0
0
000463,100462,900327,900327,900327,9000000000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000-4,400-18,700-46,100-52,100-59,800-64,500-70,500-58,800-48,200-27,500-13,000-19,700-15,100-16,400-16,40000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-113,100
-36,400
-78,000
16,500
367,500
396,100
351,000
386,200
439,500
333,200
463,100
463,100333,200439,500386,200351,000396,100367,50016,500-78,000-36,400-113,1000000000000000000000000000000



Balance Sheet

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue4,906,300
Cost of Revenue-4,408,800
Gross Profit497,500497,500
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit497,500
Operating Expense-275,800
Operating Income221,700221,700
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development2,900
Selling General Administrative275,800
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense275,800278,700
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income7,000
Interest Expense-31,600
Other Finance Cost-800
Net Interest Income-23,800
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income221,700
Net Interest Income-23,800
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)218,000225,400
EBIT - interestExpense = 190,100
247,000
234,000
Interest Expense31,600
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)221,700249,600
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)396,200
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax218,000
Tax Provision-44,600
Net Income From Continuing Ops202,400173,400
Net Income202,400
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses4,684,600
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-3,70023,800
 

Technical Analysis of Serco
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Serco. The general trend of Serco is UNKNOWN with 0.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Serco's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator StateBullish trend Bearish trend
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Serco Group.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 177.40 < 189.00 < 193.00.

The bearish price targets are: 176.20 > 175.70 > 171.49.

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Serco Group Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Serco Group. The current mas is .

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Serco Group Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartSerco Group Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Serco Group. The current adx is .

Serco Group Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartSerco Group Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartSerco Group Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartSerco Group Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartSerco Group Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Williams %R ChartSerco Group Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartSerco Group Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartSerco Group Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Serco Group.

Serco Group Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartSerco Group Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Serco Group.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-12-12CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-14SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-20CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-22CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-03MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-08DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-01-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-23WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-24BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-01-26SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-31RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-08MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-12MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-13RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-14MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-16WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-20RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-23SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-26MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-01MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-03-04RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-03-11CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-20CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-22CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-03-26MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-03-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-02MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-05CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-08SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-04-09WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-15DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-17DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-04-18DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Serco Group Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Serco Group based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
OpenGreater thanClose182.300
Total1/1 (100.0%)
Penke

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