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Vacasa Inc
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Vacasa together

I guess you are interested in Vacasa Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Vacasa Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Vacasa (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Vacasa? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$3.73
Expected worth in 1 year
$-36.28
How sure are you?
25.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$-40.01
Return On Investment
-1,481.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$2.70
Expected price per share
$2.07 - $5.62
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Vacasa (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
$2.70
Intrinsic Value Per Share
$-278.41 - $-332.29
Total Value Per Share
$-274.68 - $-328.56

2.2. Growth of Vacasa (5 min.)




Is Vacasa growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$57.8m$772.8m-$619.1m-402.7%

How much money is Vacasa making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$91.5m-$83.2m-$8.3m-9.1%
Net Profit Margin-32.3%-38.1%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Vacasa (5 min.)




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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Vacasa?

Welcome investor! Vacasa's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Vacasa.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Vacasa. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Vacasa is $2.7. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Vacasa.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Vacasa, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $3.73. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-10.00 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $9.83 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Vacasa.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-0.57-21.1%-5.90-218.6%-2.81-104.0%-5.43-201.0%-5.43-201.0%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.76-28.2%-10.00-370.5%9.83364.2%0.238.6%0.238.6%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.76-28.2%-10.00-370.5%9.83364.2%0.238.6%0.238.6%
Usd Price Per Share4.87-5.09-1.49-4.11-4.11-
Price to Earnings Ratio-2.13--0.80--0.07-1.36-1.36-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-6.40--2.24--2.93--1.63--1.63-
Price to Book Ratio1.31-0.87-0.03-0.23-0.23-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-6.40--2.24--2.93--1.63--1.63-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share2.7
Number of shares370
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-10.000.23
Usd Total Gains Per Share-10.000.23
Gains per Quarter (370 shares)-3,701.0186.25
Gains per Year (370 shares)-14,804.05345.01
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-14804-148140345335
20-29608-296180690680
30-44412-44422010351025
40-59216-59226013801370
50-74020-74030017251715
60-88824-88834020702060
70-103628-103638024152405
80-118432-118442027602750
90-133236-133246031053095
100-148041-148050034503440

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share0.04.00.00.0%3.09.00.025.0%3.013.00.018.8%3.013.00.018.8%3.013.00.018.8%
Book Value Change Per Share0.04.00.00.0%3.09.00.025.0%4.010.02.025.0%4.010.02.025.0%4.010.02.025.0%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%0.00.016.00.0%0.00.016.00.0%0.00.016.00.0%
Total Gains per Share0.04.00.00.0%3.09.00.025.0%4.010.02.025.0%4.010.02.025.0%4.010.02.025.0%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Vacasa Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---0.761-10.003+1215%9.833-108%0.233-426%0.233-426%
Book Value Per Share--3.7309.910-62%49.815-93%15.527-76%15.527-76%
Current Ratio--0.8000.714+12%0.768+4%0.8010%0.8010%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.9270.786+18%0.477+95%0.814+14%0.814+14%
Debt To Equity Ratio--29.47317.270+71%1.753+1582%4.972+493%4.972+493%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Eps---0.570-5.903+935%-2.808+392%-5.428+851%-5.428+851%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--4.422-3.335+175%-1.742+139%-0.673+115%-0.673+115%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--9.269-2.350+125%-2.375+126%0.498+1760%0.498+1760%
Gross Profit Margin--5.8742.659+121%4.703+25%1.614+264%1.614+264%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---332.295--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---278.414--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max---11.002--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---10.794--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---50.050--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---47.439--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---109.583--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---100.250--------
Market Cap41890500.000-80%75558050.00078936441.250-4%23160016.250+226%107217935.625-30%107217935.625-30%
Net Profit Margin---0.036-0.323+809%-0.381+973%-0.269+657%-0.269+657%
Operating Margin---0.021-0.141+562%-0.131+516%-0.151+608%-0.151+608%
Operating Ratio--1.0211.141-10%1.131-10%1.157-12%1.157-12%
Pb Ratio0.724-80%1.3060.866+51%0.028+4578%0.227+474%0.227+474%
Pe Ratio-1.183+45%-2.134-0.795-63%-0.069-97%1.357-257%1.357-257%
Price Per Share2.700-80%4.8705.088-4%1.493+226%4.113+18%4.113+18%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio0.153-80%0.2750.044+520%-0.018+106%-0.056+120%-0.056+120%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-3.550+45%-6.403-2.238-65%-2.931-54%-1.633-74%-1.633-74%
Quick Ratio--0.7580.568+33%0.344+121%0.454+67%0.454+67%
Return On Assets---0.011-0.127+1035%-0.064+471%-0.063+463%-0.063+463%
Return On Equity---0.354-1.708+382%-0.202-43%-0.480+36%-0.480+36%
Total Gains Per Share---0.761-10.003+1215%9.833-108%0.233-426%0.233-426%
Usd Book Value--57869000.000153750000.000-62%772885750.000-93%286299312.500-80%286299312.500-80%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---0.761-10.003+1215%9.833-108%0.233-426%0.233-426%
Usd Book Value Per Share--3.7309.910-62%49.815-93%15.527-76%15.527-76%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Eps---0.570-5.903+935%-2.808+392%-5.428+851%-5.428+851%
Usd Free Cash Flow--68614000.000-51747500.000+175%-27029750.000+139%-2540812.500+104%-2540812.500+104%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--4.422-3.335+175%-1.742+139%-0.673+115%-0.673+115%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--9.269-2.350+125%-2.375+126%0.498+1760%0.498+1760%
Usd Market Cap41890500.000-80%75558050.00078936441.250-4%23160016.250+226%107217935.625-30%107217935.625-30%
Usd Price Per Share2.700-80%4.8705.088-4%1.493+226%4.113+18%4.113+18%
Usd Profit---8851000.000-91581000.000+935%-83222500.000+840%-58001562.500+555%-58001562.500+555%
Usd Revenue--248976000.000253741250.000-2%297943750.000-16%246777562.500+1%246777562.500+1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---0.761-10.003+1215%9.833-108%0.233-426%0.233-426%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+22 -12YOY+19 -155Y+18 -1610Y+18 -16

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Vacasa Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-1.183
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.724
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.036
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.021
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.758
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.800
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.927
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than129.473
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.354
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.011
Total2/10 (20.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Vacasa Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5033.679
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.500
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.434
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2003.995
OpenGreater thanClose2.780
Total2/5 (40.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Vacasa Inc

Vacasa, Inc. operates vacation rental management platform in North America, Belize, and Costa Rica. The company enables guests to search, discover, and book its properties on Vacasa.com and its Guest App. Vacasa, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-10-01 20:07:05.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Vacasa earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -3.6% means that $-0.04 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is -3.6%. The company is making a loss. -1
  • The TTM is -32.3%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-3.6%TTM-32.3%+28.8%
TTM-32.3%YOY-38.1%+5.8%
TTM-32.3%5Y-26.9%-5.4%
5Y-26.9%10Y-26.9%0.0%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Vacasa is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • -1.1% Return on Assets means that Vacasa generated $-0.01 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is -1.1%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -12.7%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.1%TTM-12.7%+11.5%
TTM-12.7%YOY-6.4%-6.3%
TTM-12.7%5Y-6.3%-6.4%
5Y-6.3%10Y-6.3%0.0%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Vacasa is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • -35.4% Return on Equity means Vacasa generated $-0.35 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is -35.4%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -170.8%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-35.4%TTM-170.8%+135.4%
TTM-170.8%YOY-20.2%-150.6%
TTM-170.8%5Y-48.0%-122.8%
5Y-48.0%10Y-48.0%0.0%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Vacasa Inc.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Vacasa is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Vacasa makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -2.1% means the company generated $-0.02  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is -2.1%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -14.1%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-2.1%TTM-14.1%+12.0%
TTM-14.1%YOY-13.1%-1.0%
TTM-14.1%5Y-15.1%+1.0%
5Y-15.1%10Y-15.1%0.0%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Vacasa is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Application industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.02 means that the operating costs are $1.02 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.021. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.141. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.021TTM1.141-0.119
TTM1.141YOY1.131+0.010
TTM1.1415Y1.157-0.017
5Y1.15710Y1.1570.000
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Vacasa Inc.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Vacasa is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Application industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.80 means the company has $0.80 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.800. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
  • The TTM is 0.714. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.800TTM0.714+0.086
TTM0.714YOY0.768-0.054
TTM0.7145Y0.801-0.087
5Y0.80110Y0.8010.000
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Vacasa is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.76 means the company can pay off $0.76 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.758. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.568. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.758TTM0.568+0.189
TTM0.568YOY0.344+0.225
TTM0.5685Y0.454+0.115
5Y0.45410Y0.4540.000
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4.5.4. Solvency of Vacasa Inc.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Vacasa assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.93 means that Vacasa assets are financed with 92.7% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 92.7%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.927. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
  • The TTM is 0.786. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.927TTM0.786+0.142
TTM0.786YOY0.477+0.309
TTM0.7865Y0.814-0.028
5Y0.81410Y0.8140.000
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Vacasa is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 2,947.3% means that company has $29.47 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The MRQ is 29.473. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 17.270. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ29.473TTM17.270+12.203
TTM17.270YOY1.753+15.518
TTM17.2705Y4.972+12.298
5Y4.97210Y4.9720.000
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Vacasa generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Vacasa to the Software - Application industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -2.13 means the investor is paying $-2.13 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The EOD is -1.183. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -2.134. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -0.795. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-1.183MRQ-2.134+0.951
MRQ-2.134TTM-0.795-1.339
TTM-0.795YOY-0.069-0.726
TTM-0.7955Y1.357-2.152
5Y1.35710Y1.3570.000
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The EOD is 0.153. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.275. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.044. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.153MRQ0.275-0.123
MRQ0.275TTM0.044+0.231
TTM0.044YOY-0.018+0.062
TTM0.0445Y-0.056+0.100
5Y-0.05610Y-0.0560.000
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Vacasa is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Application industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.31 means the investor is paying $1.31 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Vacasa Inc:

  • The EOD is 0.724. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 1.306. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 0.866. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.724MRQ1.306-0.582
MRQ1.306TTM0.866+0.440
TTM0.866YOY0.028+0.838
TTM0.8665Y0.227+0.638
5Y0.22710Y0.2270.000
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share

4.7 Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Vacasa Inc.

4.8.1. Institutions holding Vacasa Inc

Institutions are holding 74.998% of the shares of Vacasa Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-06-30SILVER LAKE GROUP, L.L.C.20.13330.1862312368000
2024-06-30Oaktree Capital Management LLC8.86530.10641375448978160246.2093
2024-06-30Riverwood Capital Management Ltd7.430212.6034115279000
2024-06-30BlackRock Inc3.16360.0001490828433447755.3842
2024-06-30Vanguard Group Inc2.246803485959980940.1184
2024-06-30Par Capital Management Inc2.05220.0488318405-206595-39.3514
2024-06-30Comprehensive Financial Management LLC1.75530.046727232700
2024-06-30Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP1.53110.023523755600
2024-06-30TPG GP A, LLC1.3780.023921379200
2024-06-30Geode Capital Management, LLC1.13080.0001175444125209249.2465
2024-06-30Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.1.11860.00351735477355373.5574
2024-06-30Palogic Value Management LP1.06350.34061650003264724.6666
2024-06-30StepStone Group LLC0.94920.145414726100
2024-06-30Pathstone Holdings LLC0.94760.003214702168274.8697
2024-06-30Kemnay Advisory Services Inc.0.81530.128112649200
2024-06-30Renaissance Technologies Corp0.42830.0006664541950041.53
2024-06-30Guggenheim Capital LLC0.39870.0021618541370.222
2024-06-30Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc0.3780.00015864037973183.7374
2024-06-30State Street Corp0.296904607128639164.2898
2024-06-30Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts0.2896044925-123577-73.3386
Total 56.372313.66278746130+1505729+17.2%

4.9.2. Funds holding Vacasa Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-08-31Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv1.6030.00012487072294710.1643
2024-08-30iShares Russell 2000 ETF1.18180.000918334911480.6301
2024-08-30iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF0.52910.002282090-275-0.3339
2024-08-31Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr0.36140.00025607700
2024-07-31Fidelity Extended Market Index0.25490.00043954914283.746
2024-08-31Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF0.24380.0012378299762.6484
2024-08-31Schwab US Small-Cap ETF™0.23510.00073646800
2024-08-31Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF0.18580.001628832-561-1.9086
2024-03-31Guggenheim Macro Opportunities Instl0.16240.00262519100
2024-06-30Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company Market0.1450.06532250000
2024-08-31Schwab Small Cap Index0.14380.00122231700
2024-08-30iShares Micro-Cap ETF0.13860.00792149800
2024-06-30US SMID CAP EQ INDEX0.12230.00118969189690
2024-08-31iShares Russell 2000 Small-Cap Idx Instl0.12050.00121869200
2024-03-31Guggenheim Total Return Bond Instl0.11740.00051821900
2024-06-30Russell 2000 Index Non-Lendable Fund E0.11620.001818031180310
2024-08-31Xtrackers Russell 2000 ETF 1C0.07340.00281138200
2024-06-30BlackRock Russell 2000® Index NL F0.0640.0018993699360
2024-05-31Guggenheim Strategic Opp Fund0.06340.0021984100
2024-07-31EQ/2000 Managed Volatility IB0.06240.0011967600
Total 5.92430.0966919153+72599+7.9%

5.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 13.42% of the shares of Vacasa Inc.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-02-16Mossytree Inc.SELL125009.19
2024-02-14Mossytree Inc.SELL125009.24
2024-02-12Mossytree Inc.SELL125009.26
2024-02-09Mossytree Inc.SELL74009.01
2024-02-07Mossytree Inc.SELL74009.05
2024-02-05Mossytree Inc.SELL74008.97
2024-01-23Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.57
2024-01-04Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.82
2024-01-02Mossytree Inc.SELL100008.1
2023-12-28Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.94
2023-12-26Mossytree Inc.SELL50008.1
2023-12-21Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.81
2023-12-19Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.52
2023-12-15Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.27
2023-12-08John BanczakSELL1216.92
2023-12-08Robert Winston GreyberSELL16626.92
2023-12-06Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.81
2023-12-04Mossytree Inc.SELL50008.1
2023-11-30Mossytree Inc.SELL50007.78
2023-11-17Mossytree Inc.SELL4118
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5. Financial Statements




5.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-06-30. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets794,342
Total Liabilities736,473
Total Stockholder Equity24,988
 As reported
Total Liabilities 736,473
Total Stockholder Equity+ 24,988
Total Assets = 794,342

Assets

Total Assets794,342
Total Current Assets500,924
Long-term Assets293,418
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 455,087
Net Receivables 19,740
Other Current Assets 26,097
Total Current Assets  (as reported)500,924
Total Current Assets  (calculated)500,924
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 52,603
Goodwill 171,843
Intangible Assets 19,296
Long-term Assets Other 49,676
Long-term Assets  (as reported)293,418
Long-term Assets  (calculated)293,418
+/-0

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities626,531
Long-term Liabilities109,942
Total Stockholder Equity24,988
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 9,853
Accounts payable 44,278
Other Current Liabilities 415,004
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)626,531
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)469,135
+/- 157,396
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 81,000
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt16,260
Long-term Liabilities Other 11,804
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)109,942
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)109,064
+/- 878
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock5
Retained Earnings -1,335,384
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -1,694
Other Stockholders Equity 1,362,061
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)24,988
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)24,988
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock5
Cash and Short Term Investments 455,087
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 15,017
Current Deferred Revenue157,396
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 794,342
Net Debt -364,234
Net Invested Capital 105,988
Net Working Capital -125,607
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 139,893
Short Long Term Debt Total 90,853



5.2. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-06-302024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-30
> Total Assets 
0
587,252
0
1,587,225
1,354,119
1,636,910
1,806,560
2,035,888
1,640,421
1,305,584
1,412,492
1,529,967
765,600
663,548
653,266
794,342
794,342653,266663,548765,6001,529,9671,412,4921,305,5841,640,4212,035,8881,806,5601,636,9101,354,1191,587,2250587,2520
   > Total Current Assets 
0
311,364
453,565
634,758
350,886
587,450
706,521
851,154
451,968
381,363
508,703
642,315
352,603
265,845
354,093
500,924
500,924354,093265,845352,603642,315508,703381,363451,968851,154706,521587,450350,886634,758453,565311,3640
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
218,484
0
330,700
150,417
353,842
354,767
319,252
150,791
157,810
218,052
280,758
151,291
225,837
311,403
455,087
455,087311,403225,837151,291280,758218,052157,810150,791319,252354,767353,842150,417330,7000218,4840
       Net Receivables 
0
10,161
13,140
38,822
44,299
48,989
44,901
65,536
36,134
17,204
15,470
14,896
11,543
14,242
11,819
19,740
19,74011,81914,24211,54314,89615,47017,20436,13465,53644,90148,98944,29938,82213,14010,1610
       Other Current Assets 
0
10,191
135,149
19,336
21,091
19,325
27,375
26,233
24,011
44,499
28,978
25,922
27,442
25,766
30,871
26,097
26,09730,87125,76627,44225,92228,97844,49924,01126,23327,37519,32521,09119,336135,14910,1910
   > Long-term Assets 
0
275,888
0
952,467
1,003,233
1,049,460
1,100,039
1,184,734
1,188,453
924,221
903,789
887,652
412,997
397,703
299,173
293,418
293,418299,173397,703412,997887,652903,789924,2211,188,4531,184,7341,100,0391,049,4601,003,233952,4670275,8880
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
65,087
62,617
62,618
62,977
67,186
68,709
68,111
67,362
65,543
64,241
62,099
59,422
76,803
54,582
52,603
52,60354,58276,80359,42262,09964,24165,54367,36268,11168,70967,18662,97762,61862,61765,0870
       Goodwill 
0
121,487
0
642,139
709,962
754,506
777,620
830,301
832,887
585,205
582,643
582,942
171,853
171,879
171,855
171,843
171,843171,855171,879171,853582,942582,643585,205832,887830,301777,620754,506709,962642,1390121,4870
       Intangible Assets 
0
77,426
0
230,848
217,204
216,499
207,576
234,277
223,524
214,851
201,533
186,500
125,166
114,464
21,105
19,296
19,29621,105114,464125,166186,500201,533214,851223,524234,277207,576216,499217,204230,848077,4260
       Other Assets 
0
0
11,807
16,862
13,090
11,269
13,205
52,045
64,680
58,622
0
56,111
0
0
0
0
000056,111058,62264,68052,04513,20511,26913,09016,86211,80700
> Total Liabilities 
0
1,164,102
0
2,081,777
1,814,535
618,760
832,273
1,045,411
627,028
585,641
732,924
851,328
485,784
455,902
583,597
736,473
736,473583,597455,902485,784851,328732,924585,641627,0281,045,411832,273618,7601,814,5352,081,77701,164,1020
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
258,230
457,870
730,448
450,440
506,125
702,886
968,684
552,864
530,529
684,553
809,621
448,399
422,823
552,461
626,531
626,531552,461422,823448,399809,621684,553530,529552,864968,684702,886506,125450,440730,448457,870258,2300
       Short-term Debt 
0
131,799
0
434,026
250,650
333,092
10,417
10,188
9,645
9,490
9,282
14,164
8,792
11,970
11,044
9,853
9,85311,04411,9708,79214,1649,2829,4909,64510,18810,417333,092250,650434,0260131,7990
       Accounts payable 
0
15,648
28,859
43,419
36,747
34,786
44,466
57,123
38,803
35,383
40,899
49,129
38,888
30,353
40,123
44,278
44,27840,12330,35338,88849,12940,89935,38338,80357,12344,46634,78636,74743,41928,85915,6480
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
60,791
372,273
80,796
85,389
30,995
485,602
681,886
389,866
360,687
453,257
534,176
297,457
275,283
358,291
415,004
415,004358,291275,283297,457534,176453,257360,687389,866681,886485,60230,99585,38980,796372,27360,7910
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
905,872
0
1,351,329
1,364,095
112,635
129,387
76,727
74,164
55,112
48,371
41,707
37,385
33,079
31,136
109,942
109,94231,13633,07937,38541,70748,37155,11274,16476,727129,387112,6351,364,0951,351,3290905,8720
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
512
250
125
125
125
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000012512512525051200000
       Warrants
0
0
0
0
0
1,770,096
1,766,459
590,163
625,224
306,943
285,393
276,613
0
0
0
0
0000276,613285,393306,943625,224590,1631,766,4591,770,09600000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
23,185
37,671
47,958
112,123
104,957
76,602
74,039
33,281
28,200
22,679
0
0
0
0
000022,67928,20033,28174,03976,602104,957112,12347,95837,67123,18500
> Total Stockholder Equity
0
-576,850
0
-494,552
-460,416
-751,946
974,287
400,314
388,169
413,000
394,175
402,026
186,277
131,053
17,410
24,988
24,98817,410131,053186,277402,026394,175413,000388,169400,314974,287-751,946-460,416-494,5520-576,8500
   Common Stock
0
0
0
0
0
42
42
42
43
44
44
44
5
5
5
5
55554444444342424200000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0000-969,098-965,977-942,185-779,002-787,326-792,368-751,92900000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
0
241
0
980
40
-59
154
-437
-811
2
-529
-536
-863
-720
-1,064
-1,694
-1,694-1,064-720-863-536-5292-811-437154-594098002410
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,188,035
1,167,939
1,355,139
1,360,637
1,371,616
0
0
0
0
00001,371,6161,360,6371,355,1391,167,9391,188,0350000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
-64
575,966
578,238
1,770,058
1,766,459
1,188,035
1,167,939
1,355,139
1,360,637
1,371,616
1,384,387
1,372,618
1,345,002
1,362,061
1,362,0611,345,0021,372,6181,384,3871,371,6161,360,6371,355,1391,167,9391,188,0351,766,4591,770,058578,238575,966-6400



5.3. Balance Sheets

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




5.4. Cash Flows

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




5.5. Income Statements

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


5.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue1,117,950
Cost of Revenue-843,604
Gross Profit274,346274,346
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit274,346
Operating Expense-344,624
Operating Income-70,278-70,278
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development60,800
Selling General Administrative81,612
Selling And Marketing Expenses212,269
Operating Expense344,624354,681
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income6,793
Interest Expense-2,447
Other Finance Cost-45
Net Interest Income4,301
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-70,278
Net Interest Income4,301
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)-526,646386,090
EBIT - interestExpense = -72,725
-297,117
-296,256
Interest Expense2,447
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-70,278-524,199
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)27,051
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-526,646
Tax Provision--392
Net Income From Continuing Ops-753,682-526,254
Net Income-298,703
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses1,188,228
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-456,368-4,301
 

Technical Analysis of Vacasa
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Vacasa. The general trend of Vacasa is BEARISH with 85.7% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Vacasa's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-85.7%) Bearish trend (85.7%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Vacasa Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 4.38 < 4.41 < 5.62.

The bearish price targets are: 2.07 > 2.07.

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Vacasa Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Vacasa Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 1/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -12/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Vacasa Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Vacasa Inc. The current macd is -0.15109504.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Vacasa price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Vacasa. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Vacasa price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartVacasa Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Vacasa Inc. The current adx is 22.38.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Vacasa shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bearish trend could be forming. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Vacasa Inc. The current sar is 3.9275157.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Vacasa Inc. The current rsi is 33.68. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartVacasa Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Vacasa Inc. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 2/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Vacasa price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartVacasa Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Vacasa Inc. The current cci is -151.16478435.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartVacasa Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Vacasa Inc. The current cmo is -50.31871261.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartVacasa Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Vacasa Inc. The current willr is -95.02799932.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Williams %R ChartVacasa Inc Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Vacasa Inc.

Vacasa Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Vacasa Inc. The current atr is 0.33729293.

Vacasa Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartVacasa Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Vacasa Inc. The current obv is -5,006,727.

Vacasa Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartVacasa Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Vacasa Inc. The current mfi is 28.91.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Vacasa Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartVacasa Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Vacasa Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-05-10WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-05-14CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-05-15BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-05-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-05-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-21RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-05-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-05-24RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-05-30SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-06-03MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-04MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-06-05MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-06-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-17CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-06-18DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-06-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-06-21WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-06-24SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-15CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-07-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-18CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-07-19MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-07-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-25BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-07-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-08-02WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-08-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-08DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-08-09DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-13RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-19ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-20DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-08-21MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-22CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-08-23CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-26SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-08-29WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-03CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-09-04CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-09-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-11CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-09-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-23SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-09-25MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Vacasa Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Vacasa Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5033.679
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.500
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.434
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2003.995
OpenGreater thanClose2.780
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke
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