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Swatch Group AG
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Swatch Group AG together

I guess you are interested in Swatch Group AG. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Swatch Group AG. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Swatch Group AG (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Swatch Group AG? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
£29.49
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
£233.12
Expected worth in 1 year
£248.86
How sure are you?
80.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
£39.40
Return On Investment
23.6%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
£166.80
Expected price per share
£148.80 - £168.10
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Swatch Group AG (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
£166.80
Intrinsic Value Per Share
£-108.66 - £29.64
Total Value Per Share
£124.45 - £262.75

2.2. Growth of Swatch Group AG (5 min.)




Is Swatch Group AG growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$15.2b$15b$258m1.7%

How much money is Swatch Group AG making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$1b$1b$77.2m7.1%
Net Profit Margin11.0%10.8%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Swatch Group AG (5 min.)




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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Swatch Group AG?

Welcome investor! Swatch Group AG's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Swatch Group AG.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Swatch Group AG. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Swatch Group AG is £166.80. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Swatch Group AG.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Swatch Group AG, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is £233.12. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is £3.94 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is £8.48 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is £5.91 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Swatch Group AG.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 £% of Price per Share£% of Price per Share£% of Price per Share£% of Price per Share£% of Price per Share
Usd Eps20.6012.4%20.6012.4%19.1311.5%14.798.9%17.7810.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share4.912.9%4.912.9%10.576.3%4.672.8%7.074.2%
Usd Dividend Per Share7.374.4%7.374.4%6.764.1%6.994.2%8.074.8%
Usd Total Gains Per Share12.287.4%12.287.4%17.3310.4%11.667.0%15.159.1%
Usd Price Per Share285.94-285.94-328.31-317.88-299.47-
Price to Earnings Ratio13.88-13.88-17.16--36.05--11.25-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio23.28-23.28-18.94-5.98-10.61-
Price to Book Ratio0.98-0.98-1.15-1.15-1.15-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio23.28-23.28-18.94-5.98-10.61-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share207.94956
Number of shares4
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share7.376.99
Usd Book Value Change Per Share4.914.67
Usd Total Gains Per Share12.2811.66
Gains per Quarter (4 shares)49.1346.62
Gains per Year (4 shares)196.50186.49
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
11187918711275176
2236157384224149362
3354236581335224548
4472314778447299734
5590393975559373920
670847111726714481106
782655013697835231292
894462815668955971478
91062707176310066721664
101180785196011187471850

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%9.01.00.090.0%26.01.00.096.3%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%8.02.00.080.0%24.03.00.088.9%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%27.00.00.0100.0%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%8.02.00.080.0%24.03.00.088.9%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Swatch Group AG compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--3.9373.9370%8.482-54%3.743+5%5.675-31%
Book Value Per Share--233.116233.1160%229.180+2%222.018+5%209.848+11%
Current Ratio--8.6088.6080%9.230-7%7.964+8%7.473+15%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.1390.1390%0.133+4%0.147-6%0.154-10%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.1620.1620%0.154+5%0.173-7%0.184-12%
Dividend Per Share--5.9145.9140%5.420+9%5.606+5%6.474-9%
Enterprise Value--12136482752.00012136482752.0000%14550496512.400-17%13503711660.880-10%15682595996.250-23%
Eps--16.52616.5260%15.347+8%11.867+39%14.260+16%
Ev To Ebitda Ratio--7.8717.8710%9.510-17%12.681-38%12.434-37%
Ev To Sales Ratio--1.5391.5390%1.940-21%1.877-18%2.079-26%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---2.187-2.1870%7.322-130%10.471-121%11.741-119%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---8.406-8.4060%1.616-620%3.902-315%3.015-379%
Gross Profit Margin---0.386-0.3860%-0.341-12%2.949-113%1.214-132%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--29.637--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---108.663--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--9.872--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--3.534--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--24.402--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---1.810--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--32.589--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---20.735--------
Market Cap8770877760.000-38%12060482752.00012060482752.0000%13847496512.400-13%13407711660.880-10%12724216607.000-5%
Net Profit Margin--0.1100.1100%0.108+2%0.080+37%0.096+15%
Operating Margin--0.1510.1510%0.155-2%0.116+30%0.132+14%
Operating Ratio--0.8490.8490%0.857-1%0.889-4%0.872-3%
Pb Ratio0.716-38%0.9840.9840%1.149-14%1.151-14%1.146-14%
Pe Ratio10.093-38%13.87913.8790%17.159-19%-36.047+360%-11.255+181%
Price Per Share166.800-38%229.360229.3600%263.345-13%254.981-10%240.210-5%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-76.269+27%-104.874-104.8740%35.968-392%-3.462-97%6.648-1678%
Price To Total Gains Ratio16.932-38%23.28323.2830%18.943+23%5.979+289%10.610+119%
Quick Ratio--2.5272.5270%3.177-20%2.540-1%2.334+8%
Return On Assets--0.0610.0610%0.058+5%0.045+36%0.058+6%
Return On Equity--0.0710.0710%0.067+6%0.053+35%0.069+4%
Total Gains Per Share--9.8519.8510%13.902-29%9.349+5%12.149-19%
Usd Book Value--15282048600.00015282048600.0000%15023981700.000+2%14554474480.000+5%13880348458.522+10%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--4.9084.9080%10.574-54%4.666+5%7.075-31%
Usd Book Value Per Share--290.626290.6260%285.718+2%276.789+5%261.617+11%
Usd Dividend Per Share--7.3747.3740%6.757+9%6.989+5%8.071-9%
Usd Enterprise Value--15130553046.91815130553046.9180%18140104002.009-17%16835077327.619-10%19551492428.525-23%
Usd Eps--20.60320.6030%19.133+8%14.794+39%17.778+16%
Usd Free Cash Flow---143370500.000-143370500.0000%479979500.000-130%686433020.000-121%778314810.000-118%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---2.727-2.7270%9.128-130%13.054-121%14.638-119%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---10.479-10.4790%2.015-620%4.865-315%3.759-379%
Usd Market Cap10934653303.392-38%15035803846.91815035803846.9180%17263673902.009-13%16715394127.619-10%15863280843.947-5%
Usd Price Per Share207.950-38%285.943285.9430%328.312-13%317.885-10%299.470-5%
Usd Profit--1083382300.0001083382300.0000%1006086900.000+8%777940800.000+39%946716565.067+14%
Usd Revenue--9833969600.0009833969600.0000%9349003300.000+5%9110384920.000+8%9464546284.102+4%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--12.28112.2810%17.331-29%11.655+5%15.146-19%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+18 -225Y+25 -1510Y+20 -20

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Swatch Group AG based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1510.093
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.716
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.110
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.151
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than12.527
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than18.608
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.139
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.162
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.071
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.061
Total9/10 (90.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Swatch Group AG based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5057.482
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50161.343
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100161.514
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200166.319
OpenGreater thanClose166.800
Total1/5 (20.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Swatch Group AG

The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide. The company operates through Watches & Jewelry and Electronic Systems segments. The Watches & Jewelry segment designs, produces, and commercializes watches and jewelry. The Electronic Systems segment engages in the design, production, and commercialization of electronic components, as well as sports timing activities. It is also involved in the provision of assembly, research and development, administration, polishing, logistics and distribution, and customer services; and hard material products, microelectronics, watch cases and crowns, miniature low-frequency quartz crystals, thin wires, miniature batteries, watch dials, watch hands, bracelets, sports timing technology and equipment, precision parts, and assembly electronic components. In addition, the company engages in retail, communication, real estate, real estate management, finance, reinsurance, and art center businesses. It offers its watch and jewelry products primarily under the Breguet, Harry Winston, Blancpain, Glashütte Original, Jaquet Droz, Léon Hatot, Omega, Longines, Rado, Union Glashütte, Tissot, Balmain, Certina, Mido, Hamilton, Swatch, and Flik Flak brands. The Swatch Group AG was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Biel/Bienne, Switzerland.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2025-01-23 07:24:03.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Swatch Group AG earns for each £1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 11.0% means that £0.11 for each £1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 11.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 11.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ11.0%TTM11.0%0.0%
TTM11.0%YOY10.8%+0.3%
TTM11.0%5Y8.0%+3.0%
5Y8.0%10Y9.6%-1.5%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Swatch Group AG is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • 6.1% Return on Assets means that Swatch Group AG generated £0.06 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 6.1%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 6.1%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ6.1%TTM6.1%0.0%
TTM6.1%YOY5.8%+0.3%
TTM6.1%5Y4.5%+1.6%
5Y4.5%10Y5.8%-1.3%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Swatch Group AG is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • 7.1% Return on Equity means Swatch Group AG generated £0.07 for each £1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 7.1%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 7.1%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ7.1%TTM7.1%0.0%
TTM7.1%YOY6.7%+0.4%
TTM7.1%5Y5.3%+1.8%
5Y5.3%10Y6.9%-1.6%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Swatch Group AG.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Swatch Group AG is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Swatch Group AG makes for each £1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 15.1% means the company generated £0.15  for each £1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 15.1%. The company is operating efficient. +1
  • The TTM is 15.1%. The company is operating efficient. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ15.1%TTM15.1%0.0%
TTM15.1%YOY15.5%-0.4%
TTM15.1%5Y11.6%+3.5%
5Y11.6%10Y13.2%-1.6%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Swatch Group AG is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to  industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.85 means that the operating costs are £0.85 for each £1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 0.849. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.849. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.849TTM0.8490.000
TTM0.849YOY0.857-0.008
TTM0.8495Y0.889-0.040
5Y0.88910Y0.872+0.017
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Swatch Group AG.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Swatch Group AG is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to  industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 8.61 means the company has £8.61 in assets for each £1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 8.608. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
  • The TTM is 8.608. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.608TTM8.6080.000
TTM8.608YOY9.230-0.622
TTM8.6085Y7.964+0.644
5Y7.96410Y7.473+0.491
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Swatch Group AG is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.53 means the company can pay off £2.53 for each £1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 2.527. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
  • The TTM is 2.527. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.527TTM2.5270.000
TTM2.527YOY3.177-0.650
TTM2.5275Y2.540-0.013
5Y2.54010Y2.334+0.206
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4.5.4. Solvency of Swatch Group AG.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Swatch Group AG assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.14 means that Swatch Group AG assets are financed with 13.9% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 13.9%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 0.139. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.139. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.139TTM0.1390.000
TTM0.139YOY0.133+0.006
TTM0.1395Y0.147-0.008
5Y0.14710Y0.154-0.007
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Swatch Group AG is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 16.2% means that company has £0.16 debt for each £1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The MRQ is 0.162. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.162. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.162TTM0.1620.000
TTM0.162YOY0.154+0.008
TTM0.1625Y0.173-0.011
5Y0.17310Y0.184-0.011
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every £1 in earnings Swatch Group AG generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Swatch Group AG to the  industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 13.88 means the investor is paying £13.88 for every £1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The EOD is 10.093. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 13.879. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 13.879. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD10.093MRQ13.879-3.786
MRQ13.879TTM13.8790.000
TTM13.879YOY17.159-3.281
TTM13.8795Y-36.047+49.925
5Y-36.04710Y-11.255-24.792
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The EOD is -76.269. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -104.874. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -104.874. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-76.269MRQ-104.874+28.605
MRQ-104.874TTM-104.8740.000
TTM-104.874YOY35.968-140.841
TTM-104.8745Y-3.462-101.412
5Y-3.46210Y6.648-10.110
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Swatch Group AG is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.98 means the investor is paying £0.98 for each £1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Swatch Group AG:

  • The EOD is 0.716. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.984. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.984. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.716MRQ0.984-0.268
MRQ0.984TTM0.9840.000
TTM0.984YOY1.149-0.165
TTM0.9845Y1.151-0.167
5Y1.15110Y1.146+0.005
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets14,229,000
Total Liabilities1,971,000
Total Stockholder Equity12,197,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,971,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 12,197,000
Total Assets = 14,229,000

Assets

Total Assets14,229,000
Total Current Assets10,502,000
Long-term Assets3,727,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 1,683,000
Short-term Investments 364,000
Net Receivables 672,000
Inventory 7,309,000
Other Current Assets 474,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)10,502,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)10,502,000
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 2,958,000
Intangible Assets 92,000
Long-term Assets Other 664,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)3,727,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)3,714,000
+/- 13,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities1,220,000
Long-term Liabilities751,000
Total Stockholder Equity12,197,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 75,000
Accounts payable 317,000
Other Current Liabilities 828,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)1,220,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)1,220,000
+/-0
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)751,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 751,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock118,000
Retained Earnings 15,416,000
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -3,223,000
Other Stockholders Equity -114,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)12,197,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)12,197,000
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 2,047,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 51,888
Current Deferred Revenue57,000
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 14,229,000
Net Debt -1,606,000
Short Long Term Debt Total 77,000



6.2. Balance Sheets Structured

All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-312000-12-311999-12-311998-12-311997-12-31
> Total Assets 
3,633,000
4,166,000
4,478,000
4,662,000
4,660,000
4,783,000
5,615,000
6,011,000
6,588,000
6,904,000
7,447,000
7,235,000
7,706,000
8,614,000
9,805,000
10,430,000
11,639,000
12,747,000
13,270,000
13,106,000
13,479,000
13,661,000
13,692,000
12,897,000
13,678,000
13,893,000
14,229,000
14,229,00013,893,00013,678,00012,897,00013,692,00013,661,00013,479,00013,106,00013,270,00012,747,00011,639,00010,430,0009,805,0008,614,0007,706,0007,235,0007,447,0006,904,0006,588,0006,011,0005,615,0004,783,0004,660,0004,662,0004,478,0004,166,0003,633,000
   > Total Current Assets 
2,667,000
3,152,000
3,416,000
3,570,000
3,211,000
3,292,000
4,093,000
4,400,000
4,957,000
5,153,000
5,479,000
4,987,000
5,414,000
6,235,000
7,096,000
7,827,000
8,673,000
8,946,000
9,269,000
9,045,000
9,458,000
9,458,000
9,555,000
9,238,000
10,107,000
10,393,000
10,502,000
10,502,00010,393,00010,107,0009,238,0009,555,0009,458,0009,458,0009,045,0009,269,0008,946,0008,673,0007,827,0007,096,0006,235,0005,414,0004,987,0005,479,0005,153,0004,957,0004,400,0004,093,0003,292,0003,211,0003,570,0003,416,0003,152,0002,667,000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
0
286,000
463,000
1,294,000
1,375,000
1,871,000
1,669,000
1,286,000
680,000
1,098,000
1,827,000
1,616,000
1,520,000
908,000
1,202,000
1,280,000
1,136,000
1,291,000
944,000
1,239,000
1,585,000
1,979,000
2,176,000
1,683,000
1,683,0002,176,0001,979,0001,585,0001,239,000944,0001,291,0001,136,0001,280,0001,202,000908,0001,520,0001,616,0001,827,0001,098,000680,0001,286,0001,669,0001,871,0001,375,0001,294,000463,000286,0000000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
584,000
396,000
321,000
426,000
307,000
507,000
656,000
546,000
547,000
542,000
-31,000
447,000
325,000
263,000
376,000
323,000
332,000
291,000
224,000
206,000
672,000
369,000
364,000
364,000369,000672,000206,000224,000291,000332,000323,000376,000263,000325,000447,000-31,000542,000547,000546,000656,000507,000307,000426,000321,000396,000584,0000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
977,000
988,000
996,000
0
0
0
881,000
740,000
785,000
728,000
1,471,000
1,060,000
1,073,000
1,108,000
991,000
903,000
1,076,000
893,000
838,000
685,000
710,000
663,000
672,000
672,000663,000710,000685,000838,000893,0001,076,000903,000991,0001,108,0001,073,0001,060,0001,471,000728,000785,000740,000881,000000996,000988,000977,0000000
       Inventory 
273,000
294,000
285,000
377,000
1,361,000
1,442,000
1,481,000
1,615,000
1,724,000
1,877,000
2,273,000
2,738,000
2,743,000
2,869,000
3,671,000
4,407,000
5,426,000
5,943,000
6,151,000
6,259,000
6,318,000
6,917,000
6,852,000
6,315,000
6,389,000
6,873,000
7,309,000
7,309,0006,873,0006,389,0006,315,0006,852,0006,917,0006,318,0006,259,0006,151,0005,943,0005,426,0004,407,0003,671,0002,869,0002,743,0002,738,0002,273,0001,877,0001,724,0001,615,0001,481,0001,442,0001,361,000377,000285,000294,000273,000
       Other Current Assets 
1,691,000
2,100,000
2,261,000
2,255,000
980,000
3,000
1,000
984,000
1,055,000
1,100,000
383,000
283,000
241,000
269,000
338,000
393,000
941,000
430,000
471,000
424,000
441,000
413,000
402,000
447,000
357,000
312,000
474,000
474,000312,000357,000447,000402,000413,000441,000424,000471,000430,000941,000393,000338,000269,000241,000283,000383,0001,100,0001,055,000984,0001,0003,000980,0002,255,0002,261,0002,100,0001,691,000
   > Long-term Assets 
966,000
1,014,000
1,062,000
1,092,000
1,449,000
1,491,000
1,522,000
1,611,000
1,631,000
1,751,000
1,968,000
2,248,000
2,292,000
2,379,000
2,709,000
2,094,000
2,316,000
3,092,000
3,191,000
3,235,000
3,275,000
3,207,000
4,137,000
3,659,000
3,571,000
3,500,000
3,727,000
3,727,0003,500,0003,571,0003,659,0004,137,0003,207,0003,275,0003,235,0003,191,0003,092,0002,316,0002,094,0002,709,0002,379,0002,292,0002,248,0001,968,0001,751,0001,631,0001,611,0001,522,0001,491,0001,449,0001,092,0001,062,0001,014,000966,000
       Property Plant Equipment 
762,000
879,000
928,000
1,003,000
1,053,000
1,072,000
1,085,000
1,161,000
1,153,000
1,205,000
1,357,000
1,465,000
1,460,000
1,488,000
1,665,000
1,811,000
2,138,000
2,902,000
3,012,000
3,066,000
3,101,000
3,047,000
3,134,000
2,882,000
2,715,000
2,623,000
2,958,000
2,958,0002,623,0002,715,0002,882,0003,134,0003,047,0003,101,0003,066,0003,012,0002,902,0002,138,0001,811,0001,665,0001,488,0001,460,0001,465,0001,357,0001,205,0001,153,0001,161,0001,085,0001,072,0001,053,0001,003,000928,000879,000762,000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
462,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000462,000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
35,000
28,000
43,000
23,000
269,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
320,000
317,000
0
63,000
102,000
109,000
105,000
98,000
104,000
101,000
114,000
95,000
105,000
111,000
92,000
92,000111,000105,00095,000114,000101,000104,00098,000105,000109,000102,00063,0000317,000320,0000000000269,00023,00043,00028,00035,000
       Long-term Assets Other 
169,000
107,000
91,000
66,000
11,000
16,000
16,000
453,000
330,000
532,000
760,000
698,000
711,000
186,000
253,000
-2,094,000
-2,316,000
-3,092,000
-3,191,000
-3,235,000
-3,275,000
-3,207,000
844,000
653,000
730,000
747,000
664,000
664,000747,000730,000653,000844,000-3,207,000-3,275,000-3,235,000-3,191,000-3,092,000-2,316,000-2,094,000253,000186,000711,000698,000760,000532,000330,000453,00016,00016,00011,00066,00091,000107,000169,000
> Total Liabilities 
820,000
1,180,000
1,606,000
1,324,000
1,380,000
1,227,000
1,599,000
1,735,000
1,985,000
1,937,000
2,118,000
1,784,000
1,725,000
1,513,000
1,734,000
1,857,000
2,065,000
2,073,000
2,028,000
2,033,000
2,190,000
2,387,000
2,199,000
1,932,000
2,073,000
1,842,000
1,971,000
1,971,0001,842,0002,073,0001,932,0002,199,0002,387,0002,190,0002,033,0002,028,0002,073,0002,065,0001,857,0001,734,0001,513,0001,725,0001,784,0002,118,0001,937,0001,985,0001,735,0001,599,0001,227,0001,380,0001,324,0001,606,0001,180,000820,000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
537,000
697,000
674,000
846,000
957,000
831,000
831,000
932,000
1,164,000
976,000
1,189,000
902,000
1,241,000
1,020,000
1,151,000
1,204,000
1,338,000
1,308,000
1,222,000
1,207,000
1,373,000
1,549,000
1,361,000
1,212,000
1,377,000
1,126,000
1,220,000
1,220,0001,126,0001,377,0001,212,0001,361,0001,549,0001,373,0001,207,0001,222,0001,308,0001,338,0001,204,0001,151,0001,020,0001,241,000902,0001,189,000976,0001,164,000932,000831,000831,000957,000846,000674,000697,000537,000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
293,000
199,000
204,000
224,000
329,000
72,000
0
0
0
31,000
18,000
73,000
7,000
6,000
13,000
124,000
16,000
202,000
101,000
92,000
98,000
8,000
75,000
75,0008,00098,00092,000101,000202,00016,000124,00013,0006,0007,00073,00018,00031,00000072,000329,000224,000204,000199,000293,0000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
240,000
245,000
303,000
246,000
238,000
291,000
400,000
320,000
383,000
371,000
367,000
316,000
354,000
393,000
313,000
281,000
313,000
298,000
317,000
317,000298,000313,000281,000313,000393,000354,000316,000367,000371,000383,000320,000400,000291,000238,000246,000303,000245,000240,00000000000
       Other Current Liabilities 
537,000
697,000
674,000
846,000
664,000
632,000
627,000
708,000
595,000
659,000
886,000
656,000
1,003,000
479,000
545,000
884,000
948,000
931,000
842,000
891,000
1,003,000
1,156,000
947,000
839,000
966,000
820,000
828,000
828,000820,000966,000839,000947,0001,156,0001,003,000891,000842,000931,000948,000884,000545,000479,0001,003,000656,000886,000659,000595,000708,000627,000632,000664,000846,000674,000697,000537,000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
283,000
483,000
932,000
478,000
423,000
396,000
768,000
803,000
821,000
961,000
929,000
882,000
484,000
493,000
583,000
60,000
44,000
38,000
34,000
31,000
26,000
22,000
838,000
720,000
696,000
716,000
751,000
751,000716,000696,000720,000838,00022,00026,00031,00034,00038,00044,00060,000583,000493,000484,000882,000929,000961,000821,000803,000768,000396,000423,000478,000932,000483,000283,000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
791,000
816,000
818,000
717,000
694,000
714,000
0
0714,000694,000717,000818,000816,000791,00000000000000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
43,000
45,000
36,000
49,000
39,000
35,000
0
035,00039,00049,00036,00045,00043,00000000000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
2,795,000
2,974,000
2,846,000
3,302,000
3,261,000
3,541,000
4,006,000
4,261,000
4,580,000
4,958,000
5,310,000
5,436,000
5,965,000
7,087,000
8,054,000
8,554,000
9,508,000
10,583,000
11,140,000
10,987,000
11,201,000
11,185,000
11,405,000
10,897,000
11,540,000
11,985,000
12,197,000
12,197,00011,985,00011,540,00010,897,00011,405,00011,185,00011,201,00010,987,00011,140,00010,583,0009,508,0008,554,0008,054,0007,087,0005,965,0005,436,0005,310,0004,958,0004,580,0004,261,0004,006,0003,541,0003,261,0003,302,0002,846,0002,974,0002,795,000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
312,000
140,000
137,000
137,000
137,000
135,000
132,000
129,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
125,000
118,000
118,000
118,000
118,000
118,000
118,000118,000118,000118,000118,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000125,000129,000132,000135,000137,000137,000137,000140,000312,000000
   Retained Earnings 
1,587,000
1,208,000
1,551,000
1,806,000
3,436,000
3,580,000
4,060,000
4,549,000
4,838,000
5,279,000
5,812,000
5,844,000
6,389,000
7,328,000
8,556,000
10,008,000
12,254,000
13,256,000
13,856,000
14,027,000
14,403,000
14,854,000
14,087,000
13,752,000
14,336,000
14,858,000
15,416,000
15,416,00014,858,00014,336,00013,752,00014,087,00014,854,00014,403,00014,027,00013,856,00013,256,00012,254,00010,008,0008,556,0007,328,0006,389,0005,844,0005,812,0005,279,0004,838,0004,549,0004,060,0003,580,0003,436,0001,806,0001,551,0001,208,0001,587,000
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000-141,000-195,000-1,251,000-863,000-660,0000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
1,208,000
1,766,000
1,295,000
1,184,000
-565,000
-369,000
-369,000
-425,000
-393,000
-453,000
-631,000
-533,000
-549,000
-293,000
-627,000
-1,579,000
-2,871,000
-2,798,000
-2,841,000
-3,165,000
-3,327,000
-3,794,000
-195,000
-141,000
-131,000
-123,000
-114,000
-114,000-123,000-131,000-141,000-195,000-3,794,000-3,327,000-3,165,000-2,841,000-2,798,000-2,871,000-1,579,000-627,000-293,000-549,000-533,000-631,000-453,000-393,000-425,000-369,000-369,000-565,0001,184,0001,295,0001,766,0001,208,000



6.3. Balance Sheets

All numbers in thousands.




6.4. Cash Flows

Currency in GBP. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Income Statements

All numbers in thousands.


6.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue7,888,000
Cost of Revenue-1,177,000
Gross Profit6,711,0006,711,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit6,711,000
Operating Expense-5,520,000
Operating Income1,191,0001,191,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development298,000
Selling General Administrative782,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses1,204,000
Operating Expense5,520,0002,284,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income-
Interest Expense-4,000
Other Finance Cost-4,000
Net Interest Income-
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income1,191,000
Net Interest Income-
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)1,152,0001,230,000
EBIT - interestExpense = 1,187,000
1,131,000
873,000
Interest Expense4,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)1,191,0001,156,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)1,542,000
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax1,152,000
Tax Provision--
Net Income From Continuing Ops-1,152,000
Net Income869,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses6,697,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-39,0000
 

Technical Analysis of Swatch Group AG
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Swatch Group AG. The general trend of Swatch Group AG is BEARISH with 28.6% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Swatch Group AG's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-28.6%) Bearish trend (28.6%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Swatch Group AG.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Around resistance: The price is trading arround resistance levels. This can be considered as a potential exit level. -1

The bullish price targets are: 166.80 < 166.95 < 168.10.

The bearish price targets are: 154.40 > 154.05 > 148.80.

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Swatch Group AG Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Swatch Group AG. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 5/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -4/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Swatch Group AG Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Swatch Group AG. The current macd is 0.63022866.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Swatch Group AG price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Swatch Group AG. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Swatch Group AG price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Swatch Group AG. The current adx is 17.79.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Swatch Group AG shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Swatch Group AG. The current sar is 155.88.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Swatch Group AG. The current rsi is 57.48. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bear market: Extended price decline in a downtrend, significant pullback. Consider reducing exposure, wait for signs of trend reversal.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Swatch Group AG. The current phase is Overbought in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 6/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 6/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH > 80: The STOCH %K is above 80 and overbought. +2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Swatch Group AG price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Swatch Group AG. The current cci is 68.35.

Swatch Group AG Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Swatch Group AG. The current cmo is 21.90.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Swatch Group AG. The current willr is -19.74110032.

The long score for the Williams %R is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR > -20: The Williams %R is above -20. This indicates that the price is in overbought territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the downside. +1
Swatch Group AG Daily Williams %R ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Swatch Group AG.

Swatch Group AG Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Swatch Group AG. The current atr is 6.11009534.

Swatch Group AG Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Swatch Group AG. The current obv is -2,089,312.

Swatch Group AG Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Swatch Group AG. The current mfi is 37.14.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Swatch Group AG Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartSwatch Group AG Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Swatch Group AG.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-09-05MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-09-06STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-09ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-19SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-09-20SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-23MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-09-24RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-09-25MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-09-26DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-27CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-10-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-08ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-09WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-10-14SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-15MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-10-16MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-10-21DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-10-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-24SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-10-25MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-30ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-31MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-11-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-04CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-11-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-11-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-20WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-11-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-11-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-12-03MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-12-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-12-05SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-12-06CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-12-09DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-12-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-12-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-12-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-12-19SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-12-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-12-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-12-30DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2025-01-03DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-06MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-01-07MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-01-16MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-01-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-01-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Swatch Group AG Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Swatch Group AG based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5057.482
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50161.343
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100161.514
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200166.319
OpenGreater thanClose166.800
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke
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