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Adecoagro SA
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Adecoagro together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Adecoagro SA. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Adecoagro SA. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Adecoagro (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Adecoagro? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$1.27
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
50.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$10.54
Expected worth in 1 year
$16.43
How sure are you?
40.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$7.16
Return On Investment
65.0%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$11.02
Expected price per share
$9.71 - $12.51
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Adecoagro (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$11.02

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$8.75 - $20.64

Total Value Per Share

$19.29 - $31.18

2. Growth of Adecoagro (5 min.)




Is Adecoagro growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.1b$1b$115.8m10.0%

How much money is Adecoagro making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$108.1m$130.6m-$22.5m-20.8%
Net Profit Margin8.0%11.6%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Adecoagro (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Farm Products industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Farm Products)  


Richest
#29 / 243

Most Revenue
#29 / 243

Most Profit
#17 / 243

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Adecoagro? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Adecoagro's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Adecoagro.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Adecoagro?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Adecoagro. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Adecoagro is $11.02. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Adecoagro.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Adecoagro, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $10.54. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $1.47 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.88 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.32 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Adecoagro.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.988.9%0.988.9%1.1310.3%0.383.4%0.191.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share1.4713.4%1.4713.4%0.888.0%1.059.5%0.222.0%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.322.9%0.322.9%0.302.7%0.242.2%0.121.1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.7916.2%1.7916.2%1.1810.7%1.2911.7%0.343.1%
Usd Price Per Share8.29-8.29-7.68-7.62-8.72-
Price to Earnings Ratio8.47-8.47-6.80-130.71-93.92-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio4.63-4.63-6.51--7.17--10.97-
Price to Book Ratio0.79-0.79-0.85-0.83-1.32-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio4.63-4.63-6.51--7.17--10.97-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share11.02
Number of shares90
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.320.24
Usd Book Value Change Per Share1.471.05
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.791.29
Gains per Quarter (90 shares)161.11116.51
Gains per Year (90 shares)644.46466.04
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
111453063488379456
222810611278175757922
33421591192226311361388
44562121256635015141854
55702652321043818932320
66853182385452522712786
77993713449861326503252
89134243514270030283718
910274773578678834074184
1011415304643087537854650

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%3.02.00.060.0%6.04.00.060.0%9.07.00.056.3%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%4.06.00.040.0%8.08.00.050.0%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.00.01.080.0%5.00.05.050.0%5.00.011.031.3%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%4.06.00.040.0%8.08.00.050.0%

Fundamentals of Adecoagro

About Adecoagro SA

Adecoagro S.A. operates as an agro-industrial company in South America. The company mainly operates through three segments: Farming; Sugar, Ethanol and Energy; and Land Transformation. It engages in farming crops, rice and other agricultural products, dairy operations, and land transformation activities, as well as sugar, ethanol, and energy production activities. The company is involved in the planting, harvesting, and sale of grains, oilseeds, and fibers, including wheat, corn, soybeans, peanuts, cotton, sunflowers, and others; provision of grain warehousing/conditioning, handling, and drying services to third parties; and purchase and sale of crops produced by third parties. It also plants, harvests, processes, and markets rice; and produces and sells raw milk, UHT, cheese, and powder milk. In addition, the company engages in the cultivating and transforming of sugarcane into ethanol, sugar, and electricity. Further, it is involved in the identification and acquisition of underdeveloped and undermanaged farmland, and the realization of value through the strategic disposition of assets. Adecoagro S.A. was founded in 2002 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-13 04:27:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.

1.1. Profitability of Adecoagro SA.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Adecoagro earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 8.0% means that $0.08 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 8.0%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 8.0%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.0%TTM8.0%0.0%
TTM8.0%YOY11.6%-3.6%
TTM8.0%5Y3.3%+4.7%
5Y3.3%10Y1.7%+1.7%
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ8.0%1.6%+6.4%
TTM8.0%2.0%+6.0%
YOY11.6%3.4%+8.2%
5Y3.3%2.2%+1.1%
10Y1.7%2.7%-1.0%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Adecoagro is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • 3.5% Return on Assets means that Adecoagro generated $0.03 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 3.5%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 3.5%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.5%TTM3.5%0.0%
TTM3.5%YOY5.1%-1.6%
TTM3.5%5Y1.5%+2.0%
5Y1.5%10Y0.8%+0.7%
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ3.5%0.5%+3.0%
TTM3.5%0.9%+2.6%
YOY5.1%1.3%+3.8%
5Y1.5%1.0%+0.5%
10Y0.8%1.1%-0.3%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Adecoagro is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • 9.6% Return on Equity means Adecoagro generated $0.10 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 9.6%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 9.6%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ9.6%TTM9.6%0.0%
TTM9.6%YOY12.9%-3.3%
TTM9.6%5Y4.1%+5.5%
5Y4.1%10Y2.3%+1.8%
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ9.6%1.4%+8.2%
TTM9.6%2.0%+7.6%
YOY12.9%2.6%+10.3%
5Y4.1%2.0%+2.1%
10Y2.3%2.2%+0.1%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Adecoagro SA.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Adecoagro is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Adecoagro makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 18.5% means the company generated $0.19  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 18.5%. The company is operating efficient. +1
  • The TTM is 18.5%. The company is operating efficient. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ18.5%TTM18.5%0.0%
TTM18.5%YOY24.7%-6.2%
TTM18.5%5Y21.5%-3.0%
5Y21.5%10Y16.4%+5.2%
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ18.5%3.4%+15.1%
TTM18.5%3.3%+15.2%
YOY24.7%4.9%+19.8%
5Y21.5%4.2%+17.3%
10Y16.4%3.8%+12.6%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Adecoagro is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Farm Products industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.82 means that the operating costs are $0.82 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 0.821. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.821. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.821TTM0.8210.000
TTM0.821YOY0.753+0.069
TTM0.8215Y0.830-0.009
5Y0.83010Y0.861-0.031
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8211.602-0.781
TTM0.8211.568-0.747
YOY0.7531.492-0.739
5Y0.8301.531-0.701
10Y0.8611.314-0.453

1.3. Liquidity of Adecoagro SA.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Adecoagro is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Farm Products industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.66 means the company has $1.66 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 1.663. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.663. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.663TTM1.6630.000
TTM1.663YOY2.131-0.468
TTM1.6635Y2.018-0.354
5Y2.01810Y1.901+0.117
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.6631.541+0.122
TTM1.6631.596+0.067
YOY2.1311.704+0.427
5Y2.0181.683+0.335
10Y1.9011.527+0.374
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Adecoagro is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.75 means the company can pay off $0.75 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 0.751. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.751. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.751TTM0.7510.000
TTM0.751YOY0.967-0.216
TTM0.7515Y1.228-0.478
5Y1.22810Y1.261-0.032
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7510.415+0.336
TTM0.7510.457+0.294
YOY0.9670.548+0.419
5Y1.2280.574+0.654
10Y1.2610.576+0.685

1.4. Solvency of Adecoagro SA.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Adecoagro assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to Farm Products industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.63 means that Adecoagro assets are financed with 62.6% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 62.6%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 0.626. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.626. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.626TTM0.6260.000
TTM0.626YOY0.594+0.031
TTM0.6265Y0.587+0.038
5Y0.58710Y0.571+0.016
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6260.495+0.131
TTM0.6260.482+0.144
YOY0.5940.488+0.106
5Y0.5870.488+0.099
10Y0.5710.486+0.085
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Adecoagro is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 172.7% means that company has $1.73 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The MRQ is 1.727. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.727. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.727TTM1.7270.000
TTM1.727YOY1.517+0.211
TTM1.7275Y1.499+0.228
5Y1.49910Y1.387+0.112
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.7270.912+0.815
TTM1.7270.939+0.788
YOY1.5170.958+0.559
5Y1.4991.021+0.478
10Y1.3871.047+0.340

2. Market Valuation of Adecoagro SA

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Adecoagro generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Adecoagro to the Farm Products industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 8.47 means the investor is paying $8.47 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The EOD is 11.255. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 8.466. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 8.466. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD11.255MRQ8.466+2.788
MRQ8.466TTM8.4660.000
TTM8.466YOY6.795+1.671
TTM8.4665Y130.713-122.246
5Y130.71310Y93.925+36.788
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD11.2555.695+5.560
MRQ8.4666.438+2.028
TTM8.4668.342+0.124
YOY6.7957.122-0.327
5Y130.71311.169+119.544
10Y93.92513.600+80.325
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The EOD is 8.705. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 6.549. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 6.549. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD8.705MRQ6.549+2.157
MRQ6.549TTM6.5490.000
TTM6.549YOY6.545+0.003
TTM6.5495Y75.979-69.431
5Y75.97910Y66.012+9.967
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD8.7050.675+8.030
MRQ6.5490.993+5.556
TTM6.549-0.084+6.633
YOY6.545-0.547+7.092
5Y75.979-2.073+78.052
10Y66.012-1.739+67.751
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Adecoagro is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Farm Products industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.79 means the investor is paying $0.79 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Adecoagro SA:

  • The EOD is 1.046. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 0.787. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.787. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.046MRQ0.787+0.259
MRQ0.787TTM0.7870.000
TTM0.787YOY0.847-0.061
TTM0.7875Y0.832-0.045
5Y0.83210Y1.322-0.490
Compared to industry (Farm Products)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.0461.247-0.201
MRQ0.7871.369-0.582
TTM0.7871.342-0.555
YOY0.8471.672-0.825
5Y0.8321.625-0.793
10Y1.3221.928-0.606
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Adecoagro SA.

3.1. Institutions holding Adecoagro SA

Institutions are holding 73.848% of the shares of Adecoagro SA.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-09-30Route One Investment Co, LP12.30495.23591304384400
2023-12-31Jennison Associates LLC5.06710.044453713682556844.998
2023-12-31PGGM Investments4.24510.7603450000000
2023-12-31Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., LLC3.19470.16593386585-1766982-34.2866
2023-12-31Herr Investment Group LLC1.9181.311220332101578568.4174
2023-12-31Westwood Global Investments LLC1.83210.95531942086-335000-14.7118
2023-12-31Discovery Capital Management LLC1.54472.748916374981317608411.8941
2023-12-31Helikon Investments Ltd1.21911.4042129227014259512.4031
2023-12-31Millennium Management LLC0.95350.0049101074618479422.3735
2023-12-31JPMorgan Chase & Co0.9460.0011100278344306179.1573
2023-12-31abrdn PLC0.82010.0209869367-136572-13.5766
2023-12-31Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.80690.0019855355-2088244-70.9419
2023-12-31Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc0.75340.0023798665-32056-3.8588
2023-12-31Goldman Sachs Group Inc0.6560.0007695378456746191.4018
2023-12-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts0.63660.0007674869467568225.5503
2023-12-31Amundi0.62190.0033659227-26088-3.8067
2023-12-31Amvescap Plc.0.59140.0017626931-210132-25.1035
2023-12-31Mirae Asset Global Investments (Korea) Co Ltd0.41760.0144267116760860.9344
2023-12-31Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd0.40540.02224297896769218.6944
2023-12-31Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC0.37640.028839896916187168.2718
Total 39.310912.724641671611-771991-1.9%

3.2. Funds holding Adecoagro SA

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-03-31Jennison SMid Cap Core Equity3.02961.0978321158045109216.341
2024-02-29PGIM Jennison Small Company A2.62250.8965278000400
2023-12-31GMO Resources III1.23990.69451314369-186767-12.4417
2023-12-31GMO Resources Composite1.23990.69451314369-539676-29.108
2024-03-29Schwab Fundamental US Small Company ETF0.60540.084864179900
2023-12-31GMO Climate Change Investment A GBP Acc0.55690.7692590388-32828-5.2675
2024-03-28Global X MSCI Argentina ETF0.54453.470357722500
2023-12-31GMO Climate Change III0.52820.7483559872-25617-4.3753
2023-12-31GMO Climate Change Composite0.52820.7483559872-256802-31.4449
2023-12-31JENNISON SMALL/MID CAP EQUITY 30.51721.0275482626178312.7
2024-02-29Sun Life Real Assets Private Pool F0.46770.3863495838424009.3508
2023-12-31Newton Global Natural Resources0.43010.484455926-1248338-73.2479
2023-12-31Jennison U.S. Small Cap Equity Fund 40.40460.8438428923214765.2709
2024-03-28Invesco Food & Beverage ETF0.31352.787833228700
2024-03-28Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF0.2850.139830210300
2024-03-29iShares Global Agriculture ETF Comm0.21061.035822321200
2024-03-31Empower Jennison Small Cap Core Eq SP0.20130.779621339400
2024-02-29PGIM Jennison Blend A0.19860.202521055232901.5874
2023-12-31antea R0.19810.428621000000
2024-01-31WPG Partners Select Small Cap Value Ins0.15281.78521619836847673.2309
Total 14.274619.104615131958-1641511-10.8%

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Adecoagro SA compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--1.4731.4730%0.876+68%1.051+40%0.216+583%
Book Value Per Share--10.53610.5360%9.063+16%9.193+15%7.441+42%
Current Ratio--1.6631.6630%2.131-22%2.018-18%1.901-13%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6260.6260%0.594+5%0.587+7%0.571+10%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.7271.7270%1.517+14%1.499+15%1.387+25%
Dividend Per Share--0.3170.3170%0.303+5%0.243+30%0.123+158%
Eps--0.9790.9790%1.130-13%0.379+158%0.186+425%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--1.2661.2660%1.173+8%0.724+75%0.237+433%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.0521.0520%-1.449+238%-0.035+103%-0.011+101%
Gross Profit Margin--0.1540.1540%0.100+55%-78.941+51275%-47.162+30674%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--20.641--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--8.752--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--1.265--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.403--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--4.412--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--1.628--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--8.298--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--3.302--------
Market Cap1168186120.000+22%915547600.000915547600.0000%887915520.000+3%881089832.000+4%1042070858.000-12%
Net Profit Margin--0.0800.0800%0.116-31%0.033+140%0.017+375%
Operating Margin--0.1850.1850%0.247-25%0.215-14%0.164+13%
Operating Ratio--0.8210.8210%0.753+9%0.830-1%0.861-5%
Pb Ratio1.046+25%0.7870.7870%0.847-7%0.832-5%1.322-40%
Pe Ratio11.255+25%8.4668.4660%6.795+25%130.713-94%93.925-91%
Price Per Share11.020+25%8.2908.2900%7.680+8%7.620+9%8.721-5%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio8.705+25%6.5496.5490%6.545+0%75.979-91%66.012-90%
Price To Total Gains Ratio6.156+25%4.6314.6310%6.514-29%-7.174+255%-10.967+337%
Quick Ratio--0.7510.7510%0.967-22%1.228-39%1.261-40%
Return On Assets--0.0350.0350%0.051-31%0.015+131%0.008+326%
Return On Equity--0.0960.0960%0.129-26%0.041+136%0.023+323%
Total Gains Per Share--1.7901.7900%1.179+52%1.295+38%0.339+428%
Usd Book Value--1163643000.0001163643000.0000%1047830000.000+11%1062445000.000+10%879649300.000+32%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--1.4731.4730%0.876+68%1.051+40%0.216+583%
Usd Book Value Per Share--10.53610.5360%9.063+16%9.193+15%7.441+42%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.3170.3170%0.303+5%0.243+30%0.123+158%
Usd Eps--0.9790.9790%1.130-13%0.379+158%0.186+425%
Usd Free Cash Flow--139804000.000139804000.0000%135657000.000+3%82821200.000+69%26282300.000+432%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--1.2661.2660%1.173+8%0.724+75%0.237+433%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.0521.0520%-1.449+238%-0.035+103%-0.011+101%
Usd Market Cap1168186120.000+22%915547600.000915547600.0000%887915520.000+3%881089832.000+4%1042070858.000-12%
Usd Price Per Share11.020+25%8.2908.2900%7.680+8%7.620+9%8.721-5%
Usd Profit--108138000.000108138000.0000%130669000.000-17%43119400.000+151%22143100.000+388%
Usd Revenue--1347724000.0001347724000.0000%1124352000.000+20%994043400.000+36%881453400.000+53%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--1.7901.7900%1.179+52%1.295+38%0.339+428%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+20 -165Y+30 -610Y+29 -7

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Adecoagro SA based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1511.255
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.046
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.080
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.185
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.751
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.663
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.626
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.727
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.096
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.035
Total5/10 (50.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Adecoagro SA based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.013
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5011.020
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10010.439
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20010.640
OpenGreater thanClose10.780
Total2/5 (40.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2022-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets3,108,855
Total Liabilities1,945,212
Total Stockholder Equity1,126,091
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,945,212
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,126,091
Total Assets = 3,108,855

Assets

Total Assets3,108,855
Total Current Assets1,023,022
Long-term Assets2,085,833
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 230,653
Short-term Investments 98,571
Net Receivables 132,614
Inventory 509,844
Total Current Assets  (as reported)1,023,022
Total Current Assets  (calculated)971,682
+/- 51,340
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 1,925,536
Goodwill 18,544
Intangible Assets 17,576
Other Assets 94,694
Long-term Assets  (as reported)2,085,833
Long-term Assets  (calculated)2,056,350
+/- 29,483

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities615,028
Long-term Liabilities1,330,184
Total Stockholder Equity1,126,091
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 334,200
Short Long Term Debt 279,769
Accounts payable 197,302
Other Current Liabilities 47,777
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)615,028
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)859,048
+/- 244,020
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 727,983
Capital Lease Obligations 337,980
Other Liabilities 322,827
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)1,330,184
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)1,388,790
+/- 58,606
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock167,073
Retained Earnings 202,342
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -50,493
Other Stockholders Equity 807,169
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,126,091
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)1,126,091
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock167,073
Cash and Short Term Investments 230,653
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 110,440
Current Deferred Revenue35,749
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 3,108,855
Net Debt 1,115,079
Net Invested Capital 2,133,843
Net Tangible Assets 1,089,971
Net Working Capital 407,994
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 3,544,314
Short Long Term Debt Total 1,345,732



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-31
> Total Assets 
945,047
1,028,234
1,269,174
1,340,851
1,700,695
1,777,955
1,711,476
1,639,322
1,370,705
1,455,766
1,607,201
2,277,372
2,521,307
2,482,236
2,582,401
3,108,855
3,108,8552,582,4012,482,2362,521,3072,277,3721,607,2011,455,7661,370,7051,639,3221,711,4761,777,9551,700,6951,340,8511,269,1741,028,234945,047
   > Total Current Assets 
254,454
282,775
299,126
330,061
629,854
528,360
552,759
446,394
472,722
568,160
689,452
660,834
649,066
766,569
761,798
1,023,022
1,023,022761,798766,569649,066660,834689,452568,160472,722446,394552,759528,360629,854330,061299,126282,775254,454
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
70,686
93,360
74,806
70,269
330,546
218,809
232,147
113,795
198,894
158,568
269,195
273,635
290,276
336,282
199,766
230,653
230,653199,766336,282290,276273,635269,195158,568198,894113,795232,147218,809330,54670,26974,80693,36070,686
       Short-term Investments 
0
3,683
1,028
2,342
27,883
80,800
66,785
13,030
13,030
150,837
150,837
76,091
165,575
0
0
98,571
98,57100165,57576,091150,837150,83713,03013,03066,78580,80027,8832,3421,0283,6830
       Net Receivables 
79,158
75,928
106,212
110,906
117,207
111,573
110,752
139,596
128,909
124,229
101,665
104,420
100,377
117,448
145,849
132,614
132,614145,849117,448100,377104,420101,665124,229128,909139,596110,752111,573117,207110,906106,21275,92879,158
       Inventory 
58,036
61,221
57,902
57,170
96,147
168,491
175,330
160,107
123,968
248,642
265,637
222,219
229,923
284,429
415,347
509,844
509,844415,347284,429229,923222,219265,637248,642123,968160,107175,330168,49196,14757,17057,90261,22158,036
       Other Current Assets 
46,574
52,266
60,206
83,417
51,627
73,170
66,941
55,188
46,265
24
30
8
94
45
8
149,911
149,911845948302446,26555,18866,94173,17051,62783,41760,20652,26646,574
   > Long-term Assets 
690,593
745,459
970,048
1,010,790
1,070,841
1,249,595
1,158,717
1,192,928
897,983
887,606
917,749
1,616,538
1,872,241
1,715,667
1,820,603
2,085,833
2,085,8331,820,6031,715,6671,872,2411,616,538917,749887,606897,9831,192,9281,158,7171,249,5951,070,8411,010,790970,048745,459690,593
       Property Plant Equipment 
538,017
571,419
682,878
751,992
759,696
880,897
790,520
776,905
540,218
802,608
820,931
1,480,439
1,731,273
1,567,986
1,683,399
1,925,536
1,925,5361,683,3991,567,9861,731,2731,480,439820,931802,608540,218776,905790,520880,897759,696751,992682,878571,419538,017
       Goodwill 
0
16,621
19,953
26,494
34,886
31,100
24,869
20,172
13,510
13,405
12,412
21,350
20,020
14,482
16,626
18,544
18,54416,62614,48220,02021,35012,41213,40513,51020,17224,86931,10034,88626,49419,95316,6210
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,179
2,752
26,591
0
24,378
0
0
0
0
0
0000024,378026,5912,7523,179000000
       Intangible Assets 
23,215
18,108
21,859
28,653
1,869
1,780
2,472
3,606
3,151
3,847
4,780
6,559
13,659
12,448
14,711
17,576
17,57614,71112,44813,6596,5594,7803,8473,1513,6062,4721,7801,86928,65321,85918,10823,215
       Long-term Assets Other 
111,428
129,711
192,446
134,994
233,010
285,936
289,309
343,896
255,761
12,362
15,002
15,362
16,933
17,722
20,426
63,810
63,81020,42617,72216,93315,36215,00212,362255,761343,896289,309285,936233,010134,994192,446129,711111,428
> Total Liabilities 
328,182
389,806
512,018
617,749
605,826
751,912
857,127
868,937
827,975
784,093
962,070
1,169,227
1,492,424
1,518,512
1,534,571
1,945,212
1,945,2121,534,5711,518,5121,492,4241,169,227962,070784,093827,975868,937857,127751,912605,826617,749512,018389,806328,182
   > Total Current Liabilities 
145,748
283,379
190,305
238,013
296,221
314,295
280,638
332,257
323,769
332,477
282,408
277,846
364,400
359,166
357,426
615,028
615,028357,426359,166364,400277,846282,408332,477323,769332,257280,638314,295296,221238,013190,305283,379145,748
       Short-term Debt 
97,835
224,214
103,647
138,800
157,296
184,884
147,967
207,182
239,688
205,092
154,898
143,632
229,892
193,963
157,300
334,200
334,200157,300193,963229,892143,632154,898205,092239,688207,182147,967184,884157,296138,800103,647224,21497,835
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
660,131
207,182
239,468
205,013
154,831
143,432
188,078
157,626
112,164
279,769
279,769112,164157,626188,078143,432154,831205,013239,468207,182660,131000000
       Accounts payable 
33,404
46,670
62,098
64,269
68,672
88,123
84,009
70,269
47,035
77,325
82,824
94,483
90,594
110,662
168,746
197,302
197,302168,746110,66290,59494,48382,82477,32547,03570,26984,00988,12368,67264,26962,09846,67033,404
       Other Current Liabilities 
1,714
4,983
14,259
8,920
68,532
36,759
45,762
49,170
34,208
42,302
37,964
35,918
40,934
49,786
22,675
47,777
47,77722,67549,78640,93435,91837,96442,30234,20849,17045,76236,75968,5328,92014,2594,9831,714
   > Long-term Liabilities 
182,434
106,427
321,713
379,736
309,605
437,617
576,489
536,680
504,206
451,616
679,662
891,381
1,128,024
1,159,346
1,177,145
1,330,184
1,330,1841,177,1451,159,3461,128,024891,381679,662451,616504,206536,680576,489437,617309,605379,736321,713106,427182,434
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
663,060
718,484
954,772
0
0
0
000954,772718,484663,0600000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
7,701
11,534
17,569
13,207
7,979
6,702
5,721
20,555
21,312
16,602
172,897
173,252
186,447
269,940
322,827
322,827269,940186,447173,252172,89716,60221,31220,5555,7216,7027,97913,20717,56911,5347,7010
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
39,635
15,636
14,689
10,457
0
0
0
0
0
0000010,45714,68915,63639,6350000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
567,674
593,019
757,076
708,532
1,079,876
1,025,978
854,304
762,796
535,395
664,091
639,714
1,063,636
988,269
925,041
1,011,719
1,126,091
1,126,0911,011,719925,041988,2691,063,636639,714664,091535,395762,796854,3041,025,9781,079,876708,532757,076593,019567,674
   Common Stock
476,125
628,188
697,289
120,000
180,800
183,331
183,573
183,573
183,573
183,573
183,573
183,573
183,573
183,573
183,573
167,073
167,073183,573183,573183,573183,573183,573183,573183,573183,573183,573183,331180,800120,000697,289628,188476,125
   Retained Earnings 
64,661
45,327
45,062
257
57,497
67,647
43,018
45,644
62,923
50,998
60,984
237,188
206,669
8,671
115,735
202,342
202,342115,7358,671206,669237,18860,98450,99862,92345,64443,01867,64757,49725745,06245,32764,661
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
21,512
-89,774
2,567
11,273
-99,728
-183,278
-327,750
-413,360
-663,470
-523,089
-524,662
-265,078
-311,120
-177,183
-137,813
-50,493
-50,493-137,813-177,183-311,120-265,078-524,662-523,089-663,470-413,360-327,750-183,278-99,72811,2732,567-89,77421,512
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
908,934
900,503
901,739
0
0
0
000901,739900,503908,9340000000000
   Treasury Stock000-7,946-8,741-6,967-1,859-1,936-2,840-961-6-40000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
5,376
9,278
12,158
577,002
940,781
958,278
955,463
946,939
952,369
952,609
919,819
907,953
909,147
909,980
850,224
807,169
807,169850,224909,980909,147907,953919,819952,609952,369946,939955,463958,278940,781577,00212,1589,2785,376



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue1,406,549
Cost of Revenue-912,859
Gross Profit493,690493,690
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit493,690
Operating Expense-1,153,560
Operating Income252,989-659,870
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative186,593
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense1,153,560186,593
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income4,755
Interest Expense-89,597
Other Finance Cost-58,677
Net Interest Income-26,165
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income252,989
Net Interest Income-26,165
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)201,911277,902
EBIT - interestExpense = -89,597
146,993
236,590
Interest Expense89,597
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-291,508
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax201,911
Tax Provision-54,667
Net Income From Continuing Ops147,244147,244
Net Income146,993
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-24,91326,165
 

Technical Analysis of Adecoagro
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Adecoagro. The general trend of Adecoagro is BULLISH with 28.6% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Adecoagro's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (28.6%) Bearish trend (-28.6%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Adecoagro SA.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 11.95 < 12.51.

The bearish price targets are: 10.65 > 10.24 > 9.71.

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Adecoagro SA Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Adecoagro SA. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 9/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 4/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Adecoagro SA Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Adecoagro SA. The current macd is 0.11520794.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 1/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Adecoagro price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Adecoagro. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Adecoagro price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Adecoagro SA Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Adecoagro SA. The current adx is 16.47.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Adecoagro shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
Adecoagro SA Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Adecoagro SA. The current sar is 11.67.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Adecoagro SA Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Adecoagro SA. The current rsi is 54.01. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Adecoagro SA Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Adecoagro SA. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Adecoagro price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Adecoagro SA Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Adecoagro SA. The current cci is -29.03019989.

Adecoagro SA Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Adecoagro SA. The current cmo is 5.43128255.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Adecoagro SA Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Adecoagro SA. The current willr is -69.92481203.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Adecoagro is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Adecoagro SA Daily Williams %R ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Adecoagro SA.

Adecoagro SA Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Adecoagro SA. The current atr is 0.29441356.

Adecoagro SA Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Adecoagro SA. The current obv is 7,268,405.

Adecoagro SA Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Adecoagro SA. The current mfi is 62.34.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Adecoagro SA Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartAdecoagro SA Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Adecoagro SA.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-04CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-08DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-11MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-12-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-13DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-12-15DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-19CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-10CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-16CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-17WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-22BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-23MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-30MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-01-31SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-02WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-08SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-02-13BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-20MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-02-22CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-23CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-29WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-01SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-03-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-05CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-12DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-03-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-03-15DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-20DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-03-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-04-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-04-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-04-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-12SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-04-15MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-19DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Adecoagro SA Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Adecoagro SA based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.013
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5011.020
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10010.439
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20010.640
OpenGreater thanClose10.780
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke

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