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Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ)
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Avanza together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Avanza (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Avanza? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
kr2.76
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
kr37.09
Expected worth in 1 year
kr59.50
How sure are you?
100.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
kr52.30
Return On Investment
21.3%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
kr246.00
Expected price per share
kr224.20 - kr262.86
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Avanza (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

kr246.00

Intrinsic Value Per Share

kr-248.92 - kr246.74

Total Value Per Share

kr-211.83 - kr283.83

2. Growth of Avanza (5 min.)




Is Avanza growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$539.4m$457.9m$81.4m15.1%

How much money is Avanza making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$183.3m$154.1m$29.2m15.9%
Net Profit Margin42.0%56.1%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Avanza (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Banks - Regional industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Banks - Regional)  

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Avanza? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Avanza's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Avanza.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Avanza?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Avanza. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Avanza is kr246.00. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Avanza.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Avanza, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is kr37.09. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is kr5.60 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is kr1.63 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is kr7.47 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Avanza.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 kr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Share
Usd Eps1.170.5%1.170.5%0.980.4%0.880.4%0.550.2%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.520.2%0.520.2%0.150.1%0.490.2%0.300.1%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.690.3%0.690.3%0.840.3%0.460.2%0.310.1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.210.5%1.210.5%0.990.4%0.950.4%0.600.2%
Usd Price Per Share21.60-21.60-20.68-20.72-26.66-
Price to Earnings Ratio18.52-18.52-21.10-25.41-90.76-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio17.86-17.86-20.83-22.33-75.28-
Price to Book Ratio6.30-6.30-7.10-8.80-26.77-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio17.86-17.86-20.83-22.33-75.28-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share22.755
Number of shares43
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.690.46
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.520.49
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.210.95
Gains per Quarter (43 shares)52.0140.73
Gains per Year (43 shares)208.04162.91
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1119891987885153
2238178406157169316
3357267614235254479
4476357822313339642
55944461030391423805
67135351238470508968
783262414465485921131
895171316546266771294
9107080218627057621457
10118989120707838461620

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%21.01.00.095.5%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%20.02.00.090.9%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%20.00.02.090.9%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%22.00.00.0100.0%

Fundamentals of Avanza

About Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ)

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, offers a range of savings, pension, and mortgages products in Sweden. The company offers share and fund, investment savings, endowment insurance, savings, endowment child insurance, external deposit, and pension insurance accounts, as well as occupational pensions and individual pension plans. It also trades in equities, funds, and other securities; and provides external and green mortgages, private banking mortgages, margin loans, and stock lending products. In addition, the company offers decision support services and others; and publishes topical news and independent advice on the financial website, Placera, as well as on the weekly financial magazine, Börsveckan. It primarily serves individual and professional investors, and corporate customers, such as entrepreneurs, asset managers, and occupational pension customers. Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-05-01 09:50:04.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very efficient.
The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is overpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced.

1.1. Profitability of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Avanza earns for each kr1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 42.0% means that kr0.42 for each kr1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 42.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 42.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ42.0%TTM42.0%0.0%
TTM42.0%YOY56.1%-14.0%
TTM42.0%5Y50.9%-8.8%
5Y50.9%10Y45.4%+5.5%
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ42.0%38.5%+3.5%
TTM42.0%29.6%+12.4%
YOY56.1%26.3%+29.8%
5Y50.9%23.6%+27.3%
10Y45.4%20.4%+25.0%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Avanza is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • 0.7% Return on Assets means that Avanza generated kr0.01 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 0.7%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 0.7%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.7%TTM0.7%0.0%
TTM0.7%YOY0.7%+0.0%
TTM0.7%5Y0.6%+0.1%
5Y0.6%10Y0.5%+0.1%
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7%0.3%+0.4%
TTM0.7%0.2%+0.5%
YOY0.7%0.2%+0.5%
5Y0.6%0.2%+0.4%
10Y0.5%0.2%+0.3%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Avanza is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • 34.0% Return on Equity means Avanza generated kr0.34 for each kr1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 34.0%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 34.0%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ34.0%TTM34.0%0.0%
TTM34.0%YOY33.6%+0.3%
TTM34.0%5Y35.2%-1.3%
5Y35.2%10Y32.4%+2.8%
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ34.0%3.1%+30.9%
TTM34.0%2.5%+31.5%
YOY33.6%2.7%+30.9%
5Y35.2%2.5%+32.7%
10Y32.4%2.8%+29.6%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Avanza is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Avanza makes for each kr1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 48.6% means the company generated kr0.49  for each kr1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 48.6%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
  • The TTM is 48.6%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ48.6%TTM48.6%0.0%
TTM48.6%YOY70.2%-21.6%
TTM48.6%5Y60.7%-12.1%
5Y60.7%10Y58.1%+2.6%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Avanza is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Banks - Regional industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.51 means that the operating costs are kr0.51 for each kr1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 0.514. The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low. +2
  • The TTM is 0.514. The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.514TTM0.5140.000
TTM0.514YOY0.533-0.019
TTM0.5145Y0.567-0.054
5Y0.56710Y0.656-0.089

1.3. Liquidity of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Avanza is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Banks - Regional industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 246.57 means the company has kr246.57 in assets for each kr1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 246.571. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
  • The TTM is 246.571. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ246.571TTM246.5710.000
TTM246.571YOY291.650-45.079
TTM246.5715Y168.665+77.906
5Y168.66510Y126.557+42.108
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
TTM246.5710.124+246.447
YOY291.6500.167+291.483
5Y168.6650.207+168.458
10Y126.5570.131+126.426
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Avanza is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 260.40 means the company can pay off kr260.40 for each kr1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 260.400. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
  • The TTM is 260.400. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ260.400TTM260.4000.000
TTM260.400YOY291.650-31.250
TTM260.4005Y171.431+88.969
5Y171.43110Y127.940+43.491

1.4. Solvency of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Avanza assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.98 means that Avanza assets are financed with 97.9% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 97.9%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 0.979. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
  • The TTM is 0.979. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.979TTM0.9790.000
TTM0.979YOY0.9790.000
TTM0.9795Y0.983-0.003
5Y0.98310Y0.985-0.002
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9790.915+0.064
TTM0.9790.916+0.063
YOY0.9790.918+0.061
5Y0.9830.919+0.064
10Y0.9850.926+0.059
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Avanza is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 4,743.2% means that company has kr47.43 debt for each kr1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The MRQ is 47.432. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 47.432. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ47.432TTM47.4320.000
TTM47.432YOY47.695-0.264
TTM47.4325Y59.245-11.814
5Y59.24510Y68.482-9.237
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ47.43210.799+36.633
TTM47.43210.909+36.523
YOY47.69511.266+36.429
5Y59.24511.324+47.921
10Y68.48212.886+55.596

2. Market Valuation of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ)

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every kr1 in earnings Avanza generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Avanza to the Banks - Regional industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 18.52 means the investor is paying kr18.52 for every kr1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The EOD is 19.516. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 18.524. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The TTM is 18.524. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD19.516MRQ18.524+0.992
MRQ18.524TTM18.5240.000
TTM18.524YOY21.103-2.579
TTM18.5245Y25.405-6.881
5Y25.40510Y90.755-65.350
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD19.5163.506+16.010
MRQ18.5243.418+15.106
TTM18.5244.741+13.783
YOY21.1036.901+14.202
5Y25.4059.496+15.909
10Y90.7559.770+80.985
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The EOD is 25.498. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 24.202. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 24.202. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD25.498MRQ24.202+1.296
MRQ24.202TTM24.2020.000
TTM24.202YOY4.623+19.579
TTM24.2025Y10.563+13.639
5Y10.56310Y18.912-8.349
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD25.498-2.421+27.919
MRQ24.202-2.360+26.562
TTM24.202-1.072+25.274
YOY4.6236.461-1.838
5Y10.5630.248+10.315
10Y18.9120.032+18.880
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Avanza is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Banks - Regional industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 6.30 means the investor is paying kr6.30 for each kr1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ):

  • The EOD is 6.632. Based on the equity, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The MRQ is 6.295. Based on the equity, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The TTM is 6.295. Based on the equity, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD6.632MRQ6.295+0.337
MRQ6.295TTM6.2950.000
TTM6.295YOY7.101-0.806
TTM6.2955Y8.796-2.501
5Y8.79610Y26.771-17.976
Compared to industry (Banks - Regional)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD6.6320.431+6.201
MRQ6.2950.420+5.875
TTM6.2950.439+5.856
YOY7.1010.594+6.507
5Y8.7960.763+8.033
10Y26.7710.991+25.780
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--5.6035.6030%1.632+243%5.319+5%3.204+75%
Book Value Per Share--37.09137.0910%31.488+18%26.195+42%17.121+117%
Current Ratio--246.571246.5710%291.650-15%168.665+46%126.557+95%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.9790.9790%0.9790%0.9830%0.985-1%
Debt To Equity Ratio--47.43247.4320%47.695-1%59.245-20%68.482-31%
Dividend Per Share--7.4737.4730%9.101-18%4.920+52%3.331+124%
Eps--12.60512.6050%10.595+19%9.507+33%5.893+114%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--9.6489.6480%48.366-80%28.791-66%22.712-58%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--49.89949.8990%39.698+26%33.796+48%24.739+102%
Gross Profit Margin--0.9460.9460%0.983-4%0.972-3%0.9500%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--246.741--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---248.919--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--27.989--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--10.807--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--81.607--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--1.698--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--132.228--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---41.065--------
Market Cap38680300032.000+5%36714837632.00036714837632.0000%35158191411.200+4%35238811936.680+4%45327708698.580-19%
Net Profit Margin--0.4200.4200%0.561-25%0.509-17%0.454-7%
Operating Margin--0.4860.4860%0.702-31%0.607-20%0.581-16%
Operating Ratio--0.5140.5140%0.533-4%0.567-9%0.656-22%
Pb Ratio6.632+5%6.2956.2950%7.101-11%8.796-28%26.771-76%
Pe Ratio19.516+5%18.52418.5240%21.103-12%25.405-27%90.755-80%
Price Per Share246.000+5%233.500233.5000%223.600+4%224.020+4%288.230-19%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio25.498+5%24.20224.2020%4.623+424%10.563+129%18.912+28%
Price To Total Gains Ratio18.813+5%17.85717.8570%20.834-14%22.335-20%75.275-76%
Quick Ratio--260.400260.4000%291.650-11%171.431+52%127.940+104%
Return On Assets--0.0070.0070%0.007+2%0.006+14%0.005+42%
Return On Equity--0.3400.3400%0.336+1%0.352-4%0.324+5%
Total Gains Per Share--13.07613.0760%10.733+22%10.240+28%6.535+100%
Usd Book Value--539460000.000539460000.0000%457967500.000+18%381118500.000+42%249074750.000+117%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.5180.5180%0.151+243%0.492+5%0.296+75%
Usd Book Value Per Share--3.4313.4310%2.913+18%2.423+42%1.584+117%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.6910.6910%0.842-18%0.455+52%0.308+124%
Usd Eps--1.1661.1660%0.980+19%0.879+33%0.545+114%
Usd Free Cash Flow--140322500.000140322500.0000%703462500.000-80%418858500.000-66%330391500.000-58%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.8920.8920%4.474-80%2.663-66%2.101-58%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--4.6164.6160%3.672+26%3.126+48%2.288+102%
Usd Market Cap3577927752.960+5%3396122480.9603396122480.9600%3252132705.536+4%3259590104.143+4%4192813054.619-19%
Usd Price Per Share22.755+5%21.59921.5990%20.683+4%20.722+4%26.661-19%
Usd Profit--183335000.000183335000.0000%154105000.000+19%138324500.000+33%86062000.000+113%
Usd Revenue--436137500.000436137500.0000%274910000.000+59%268823500.000+62%176693500.000+147%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--1.2101.2100%0.993+22%0.947+28%0.604+100%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+23 -135Y+26 -1010Y+25 -11

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1519.516
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-16.632
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.420
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.486
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than1260.400
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than1246.571
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.979
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than147.432
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.340
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.007
Total6/10 (60.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5065.508
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50235.110
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100223.255
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200216.598
OpenGreater thanClose243.000
Total4/5 (80.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-31
Total Other Income Expense Net -25,00024,000-1,000-11,000-12,000-135,000-147,000149,0002,000



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in SEK. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets282,453,000
Total Liabilities276,621,000
Total Stockholder Equity5,832,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 276,621,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 5,832,000
Total Assets = 282,453,000

Assets

Total Assets282,453,000
Total Current Assets8,630,000
Long-term Assets273,823,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 8,630,000
Net Receivables 484,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)8,630,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)9,114,000
+/- 484,000
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 154,000
Goodwill 23,000
Long Term Investments 36,048,000
Intangible Assets 64,000
Other Assets 282,453,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)273,823,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)318,742,000
+/- 44,919,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities35,000
Long-term Liabilities276,621,000
Total Stockholder Equity5,832,000
Total Current Liabilities
Accounts payable 35,000
Other Current Liabilities -35,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)35,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 35,000
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)276,621,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 276,621,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock79,000
Retained Earnings 5,040,000
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 12,000
Other Stockholders Equity 701,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)5,832,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)5,832,000
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock79,000
Cash and Short Term Investments 8,630,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 156,838
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 282,453,000
Net Debt -8,538,000
Net Working Capital 8,595,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 264,000
Short Long Term Debt Total 92,000



Balance Sheet

Currency in SEK. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-31
> Total Assets 
904,261
1,376,594
1,698,728
4,504,734
8,721,000
14,449,000
15,597,000
27,795,000
40,243,000
39,581,000
45,206,000
56,635,000
67,296,000
88,621,000
100,616,000
116,120,000
122,138,000
155,942,000
204,775,000
279,082,000
241,091,000
282,453,000
282,453,000241,091,000279,082,000204,775,000155,942,000122,138,000116,120,000100,616,00088,621,00067,296,00056,635,00045,206,00039,581,00040,243,00027,795,00015,597,00014,449,0008,721,0004,504,7341,698,7281,376,594904,261
   > Total Current Assets 
864,819
1,345,604
1,673,614
4,471,863
8,669,000
14,403,000
15,542,000
27,745,000
39,889,000
39,521,000
290,000
463,000
290,000
540,000
344,000
465,000
3,447,000
1,673,000
2,024,000
3,706,000
5,833,000
8,630,000
8,630,0005,833,0003,706,0002,024,0001,673,0003,447,000465,000344,000540,000290,000463,000290,00039,521,00039,889,00027,745,00015,542,00014,403,0008,669,0004,471,8631,673,6141,345,604864,819
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12,588
3,783,000
1,599,000
1,453,000
1,681,000
2,907,000
1,340,000
1,428,000
2,939,000
4,915,000
8,630,000
8,630,0004,915,0002,939,0001,428,0001,340,0002,907,0001,681,0001,453,0001,599,0003,783,00012,58800000000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
290,000
463,000
290,000
540,000
344,000
465,000
540,000
333,000
596,000
767,000
918,000
484,000
484,000918,000767,000596,000333,000540,000465,000344,000540,000290,000463,000290,0000000000000
       Other Current Assets 
864,819
1,345,604
1,673,614
4,471,863
8,669,000
14,403,000
15,542,000
27,745,000
39,889,000
39,521,000
0
55,973,000
60,864,000
75,923,000
86,943,000
101,095,000
101,492,000
-4,059,000
-3,339,000
-7,608,000
-5,680,000
-9,114,000
-9,114,000-5,680,000-7,608,000-3,339,000-4,059,000101,492,000101,095,00086,943,00075,923,00060,864,00055,973,000039,521,00039,889,00027,745,00015,542,00014,403,0008,669,0004,471,8631,673,6141,345,604864,819
   > Long-term Assets 
39,442
30,990
25,114
32,871
52,000
46,000
55,000
50,000
354,000
60,000
40,000
199,000
6,142,000
12,158,000
13,329,000
14,560,000
17,199,000
18,398,000
26,360,000
28,902,000
33,082,000
273,823,000
273,823,00033,082,00028,902,00026,360,00018,398,00017,199,00014,560,00013,329,00012,158,0006,142,000199,00040,00060,000354,00050,00055,00046,00052,00032,87125,11430,99039,442
       Property Plant Equipment 
5,649
5,706
6,862
7,190
12,000
11,000
8,000
7,000
14,000
26,000
17,000
11,000
12,000
20,000
18,000
30,000
40,000
111,000
217,000
181,000
147,000
154,000
154,000147,000181,000217,000111,00040,00030,00018,00020,00012,00011,00017,00026,00014,0007,0008,00011,00012,0007,1906,8625,7065,649
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
26,000
26,000
0
0
0
0
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,000
23,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,00023,000000026,00026,0000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,104,000
12,100,000
13,249,000
14,442,000
17,075,000
18,211,000
26,061,000
28,614,000
32,828,000
36,048,000
36,048,00032,828,00028,614,00026,061,00018,211,00017,075,00014,442,00013,249,00012,100,0006,104,000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
32,479
23,907
18,044
25,013
7,000
8,000
35,000
31,000
26,000
24,000
0
0
3,000
15,000
39,000
65,000
61,000
53,000
59,000
84,000
84,000
64,000
64,00084,00084,00059,00053,00061,00065,00039,00015,0003,0000024,00026,00031,00035,0008,0007,00025,01318,04423,90732,479
> Total Liabilities 
712,221
1,148,235
1,431,697
4,150,973
8,232,000
13,876,000
14,969,000
27,102,000
39,430,000
38,706,000
44,378,000
55,841,000
66,481,000
87,495,000
99,308,000
114,693,000
120,488,000
153,997,000
201,603,000
274,381,000
236,140,000
276,621,000
276,621,000236,140,000274,381,000201,603,000153,997,000120,488,000114,693,00099,308,00087,495,00066,481,00055,841,00044,378,00038,706,00039,430,00027,102,00014,969,00013,876,0008,232,0004,150,9731,431,6971,148,235712,221
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,159,000
0
12,000
18,000
6,000
11,000
12,000
15,000
13,000
14,000
29,000
32,000
20,000
35,000
35,00020,00032,00029,00014,00013,00015,00012,00011,0006,00018,00012,000010,159,00000000000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
99,000
99,000
99,000
33,317,000
36,400,000
43,987,000
53,659,000
54,308,000
0
054,308,00053,659,00043,987,00036,400,00033,317,00099,00099,00099,0000000000000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
99,000
99,000
99,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000099,00099,00099,0000000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,159,000
0
12,000
18,000
6,000
11,000
12,000
15,000
13,000
14,000
29,000
32,000
20,000
35,000
35,00020,00032,00029,00014,00013,00015,00012,00011,0006,00018,00012,000010,159,00000000000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
99,000
99,000
99,000
100,000
186,000
171,000
122,000
20,000
276,621,000
276,621,00020,000122,000171,000186,000100,00099,00099,00099,0000000000000000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
99,000
99,000
100,000
186,000
125,000
122,000
83,000
0
083,000122,000125,000186,000100,00099,00099,00000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17,699,000
24,108,000
30,650,000
39,239,000
43,029,000
59,854,000
82,181,000
122,170,000
102,096,000
0
0102,096,000122,170,00082,181,00059,854,00043,029,00039,239,00030,650,00024,108,00017,699,000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
191,776
228,329
267,000
353,761
489,000
573,000
628,000
693,000
813,000
875,000
828,000
794,000
815,000
1,126,000
1,308,000
1,427,000
1,650,000
1,945,000
3,172,000
4,701,000
4,951,000
5,832,000
5,832,0004,951,0004,701,0003,172,0001,945,0001,650,0001,427,0001,308,0001,126,000815,000794,000828,000875,000813,000693,000628,000573,000489,000353,761267,000228,329191,776
   Common Stock
66,557
66,557
66,557
68,664
69,000
69,000
69,000
69,000
70,000
71,000
72,000
72,000
72,000
73,000
75,000
75,000
76,000
77,000
77,000
78,000
78,000
79,000
79,00078,00078,00077,00077,00076,00075,00075,00073,00072,00072,00072,00071,00070,00069,00069,00069,00069,00068,66466,55766,55766,557
   Retained Earnings 
13,447
36,319
65,295
163,883
297,000
496,000
402,000
464,000
515,000
615,000
461,000
393,000
473,000
686,000
776,000
910,000
1,096,000
1,196,000
2,372,000
3,989,000
4,229,000
5,040,000
5,040,0004,229,0003,989,0002,372,0001,196,0001,096,000910,000776,000686,000473,000393,000461,000615,000515,000464,000402,000496,000297,000163,88365,29536,31913,447
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
457,000
442,000
484,000
663,000
564,000
477,000
579,000
0
0579,000477,000564,000663,000484,000442,000457,00000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
111,772
125,453
135,148
121,214
123,000
8,000
157,000
160,000
228,000
189,000
295,000
329,000
270,000
367,000
457,000
442,000
478,000
663,000
564,000
477,000
579,000
701,000
701,000579,000477,000564,000663,000478,000442,000457,000367,000270,000329,000295,000189,000228,000160,000157,0008,000123,000121,214135,148125,453111,772



Balance Sheet

Currency in SEK. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in SEK. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in SEK. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue4,715,000
Cost of Revenue-1,366,000
Gross Profit3,349,0003,349,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit3,349,000
Operating Expense-1,057,000
Operating Income2,292,0002,292,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative225,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses107,000
Operating Expense1,057,000332,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income2,224,000
Interest Expense-966,000
Other Finance Cost-250,000
Net Interest Income1,508,000
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income2,292,000
Net Interest Income1,508,000
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)2,292,0002,290,000
EBIT - interestExpense = 1,326,000
2,292,000
2,948,000
Interest Expense966,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)2,292,0003,258,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)2,380,000
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax2,292,000
Tax Provision-308,000
Net Income From Continuing Ops1,977,0001,984,000
Net Income1,982,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses2,423,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net2,000-1,508,000
 

Technical Analysis of Avanza
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Avanza. The general trend of Avanza is BULLISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Avanza's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (100.0%) Bearish trend (-100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 262.86.

The bearish price targets are: 244.30 > 243.73 > 224.20.

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Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 14/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current macd is 5.2958806.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Avanza price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Avanza. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Avanza price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current adx is 34.67.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 4/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Avanza shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bullish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bullish trend is strengthening.
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current sar is 225.72.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current rsi is 65.51. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current phase is Overbought in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 5/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH > 80: The STOCH %K is above 80 and overbought. +2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Avanza price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current cci is 162.10.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI > 100: The CCI is above 100, it indicates that the price is significantly above its average, suggesting a potential overbought condition. +1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current cmo is 36.34.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current willr is -7.62711864.

The long score for the Williams %R is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR > -20: The Williams %R is above -20. This indicates that the price is in overbought territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the downside. +1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Williams %R ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current atr is 6.97962039.

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current obv is -3,513,718.

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ). The current mfi is 46.74.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartAvanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ).

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-12RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-13ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-15RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-21MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-02SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-03CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-04SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-08SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-11SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-12DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-19DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-22SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-29DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-02WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-04ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-05RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-11CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-12MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-13DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-18CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-21DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-26MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-03-28WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-04-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-04CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-04-11RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-04-12ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-04-15SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-04-17MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-25CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-26SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-29MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-04-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-05-03BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5065.508
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50235.110
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100223.255
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200216.598
OpenGreater thanClose243.000
Total4/5 (80.0%)
Penke

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