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Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Bagfas together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Bagfas (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Bagfas? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
₺0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
20.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
₺34.82
Expected worth in 1 year
₺122.17
How sure are you?
60.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
₺87.36
Return On Investment
326.2%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
₺26.78
Expected price per share
₺24.40 - ₺34.04
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Bagfas (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

₺26.78

Intrinsic Value Per Share

₺-23.40 - ₺5.10

Total Value Per Share

₺11.41 - ₺39.92

2. Growth of Bagfas (5 min.)




Is Bagfas growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$146.1m$54.4m$91.6m62.7%

How much money is Bagfas making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$46.8m$34m-$80.9m-172.7%
Net Profit Margin-52.3%28.2%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Bagfas (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Agricultural Inputs industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Agricultural Inputs)  


Richest
#93 / 159

Most Revenue
#95 / 159

Most Profit
#152 / 159

Most Efficient
#146 / 159

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Bagfas? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Bagfas's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Bagfas.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Bagfas?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Bagfas. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Bagfas is ₺26.78. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Bagfas.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Bagfas, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is ₺34.82. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is ₺21.84 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is ₺8.12 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is ₺0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Bagfas.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 % of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-0.35-1.3%-0.35-1.3%0.250.9%-0.010.0%0.000.0%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.682.5%0.682.5%0.250.9%0.200.7%0.100.4%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.682.5%0.682.5%0.250.9%0.200.7%0.100.4%
Usd Price Per Share1.02-1.02-1.25-0.79-0.56-
Price to Earnings Ratio-2.95--2.95-4.94--4.11--10.90-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio1.51-1.51-4.94--2.91--14.62-
Price to Book Ratio0.95-0.95-3.09-3.91-3.69-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio1.51-1.51-4.94--2.91--14.62-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share0.832858
Number of shares1200
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.680.20
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.680.20
Gains per Quarter (1200 shares)815.04239.80
Gains per Year (1200 shares)3,260.14959.18
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10326032500959949
2065206510019181908
3097809770028782867
401304113030038373826
501630116290047964785
601956119550057555744
702282122810067146703
802608126070076737662
902934129330086338621
1003260132590095929580

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share0.01.00.00.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%5.05.00.050.0%8.05.00.061.5%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%6.04.00.060.0%7.06.00.053.8%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%0.00.03.00.0%0.00.05.00.0%2.00.08.020.0%3.00.010.023.1%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%6.04.00.060.0%8.05.00.061.5%

Fundamentals of Bagfas

About Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS

Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari A.S. engages in the production and sale of fertilizers in Turkey and internationally. The company offers chemical fertilizers, including ammonium nitrate; calcium ammonium nitrate; di ammonium phosphate; AS; sulphur composite fertilizer; sulphur zinc composite fertilizer; sulphur composite; sulphur trioxide zinc NPK compound; and special formulations. It also provides phosphoric acid, sulfuric acid, and other specialty products. The company also exports its products. Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari A.S. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-05-14 08:43:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Bagfas earns for each ₤1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -52.3% means that ₤-0.52 for each ₤1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is -52.3%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
  • The TTM is -52.3%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-52.3%TTM-52.3%0.0%
TTM-52.3%YOY28.2%-80.5%
TTM-52.3%5Y-2.0%-50.3%
5Y-2.0%10Y0.8%-2.7%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-52.3%3.7%-56.0%
TTM-52.3%3.6%-55.9%
YOY28.2%6.7%+21.5%
5Y-2.0%5.0%-7.0%
10Y0.8%4.3%-3.5%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Bagfas is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • -16.6% Return on Assets means that Bagfas generated ₤-0.17 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is -16.6%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -16.6%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-16.6%TTM-16.6%0.0%
TTM-16.6%YOY23.8%-40.5%
TTM-16.6%5Y3.0%-19.6%
5Y3.0%10Y2.5%+0.4%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-16.6%0.6%-17.2%
TTM-16.6%0.8%-17.4%
YOY23.8%2.1%+21.7%
5Y3.0%1.3%+1.7%
10Y2.5%1.2%+1.3%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Bagfas is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • -32.1% Return on Equity means Bagfas generated ₤-0.32 for each ₤1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is -32.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -32.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-32.1%TTM-32.1%0.0%
TTM-32.1%YOY62.6%-94.6%
TTM-32.1%5Y12.5%-44.5%
5Y12.5%10Y7.5%+4.9%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-32.1%1.8%-33.9%
TTM-32.1%1.6%-33.7%
YOY62.6%4.2%+58.4%
5Y12.5%2.5%+10.0%
10Y7.5%2.6%+4.9%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Bagfas is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Bagfas makes for each ₤1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0% means the company generated ₤0.00  for each ₤1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY22.6%-22.6%
TTM-5Y-5.9%+5.9%
5Y-5.9%10Y0.1%-5.9%
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-8.7%-8.7%
TTM-3.1%-3.1%
YOY22.6%8.8%+13.8%
5Y-5.9%7.2%-13.1%
10Y0.1%5.1%-5.0%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Bagfas is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Agricultural Inputs industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 2.59 means that the operating costs are ₤2.59 for each ₤1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is 2.592. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 2.592. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.592TTM2.5920.000
TTM2.592YOY1.529+1.063
TTM2.5925Y1.748+0.844
5Y1.74810Y1.759-0.012
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.5921.601+0.991
TTM2.5921.614+0.978
YOY1.5291.501+0.028
5Y1.7481.595+0.153
10Y1.7591.290+0.469

1.3. Liquidity of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Bagfas is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Agricultural Inputs industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.27 means the company has ₤1.27 in assets for each ₤1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is 1.267. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.267. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.267TTM1.2670.000
TTM1.267YOY1.517-0.250
TTM1.2675Y1.210+0.058
5Y1.21010Y1.208+0.002
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.2671.578-0.311
TTM1.2671.581-0.314
YOY1.5171.676-0.159
5Y1.2101.766-0.556
10Y1.2081.581-0.373
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Bagfas is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.00 means the company can pay off ₤0.00 for each ₤1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is 0.004. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.004. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.004TTM0.0040.000
TTM0.004YOY0.010-0.007
TTM0.0045Y0.015-0.012
5Y0.01510Y0.064-0.049
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.0040.521-0.517
TTM0.0040.666-0.662
YOY0.0100.704-0.694
5Y0.0150.796-0.781
10Y0.0640.804-0.740

1.4. Solvency of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Bagfas assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.48 means that Bagfas assets are financed with 48.1% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 48.1%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is 0.481. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.481. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.481TTM0.4810.000
TTM0.481YOY0.619-0.138
TTM0.4815Y0.684-0.203
5Y0.68410Y0.650+0.034
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.4810.446+0.035
TTM0.4810.448+0.033
YOY0.6190.459+0.160
5Y0.6840.465+0.219
10Y0.6500.489+0.161
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Bagfas is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 92.8% means that company has ₤0.93 debt for each ₤1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The MRQ is 0.928. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.928. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.928TTM0.9280.000
TTM0.928YOY1.624-0.696
TTM0.9285Y2.609-1.681
5Y2.60910Y2.137+0.473
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9280.785+0.143
TTM0.9280.804+0.124
YOY1.6240.885+0.739
5Y2.6090.968+1.641
10Y2.1371.066+1.071

2. Market Valuation of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every ₤1 in earnings Bagfas generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Bagfas to the Agricultural Inputs industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -2.95 means the investor is paying ₤-2.95 for every ₤1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The EOD is -2.399. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -2.950. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -2.950. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-2.399MRQ-2.950+0.552
MRQ-2.950TTM-2.9500.000
TTM-2.950YOY4.942-7.893
TTM-2.9505Y-4.115+1.164
5Y-4.11510Y-10.902+6.787
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-2.39910.663-13.062
MRQ-2.95010.148-13.098
TTM-2.9507.512-10.462
YOY4.9429.548-4.606
5Y-4.11512.934-17.049
10Y-10.90218.693-29.595
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The EOD is 2,012.719. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 2,475.689. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 2,475.689. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2,012.719MRQ2,475.689-462.970
MRQ2,475.689TTM2,475.6890.000
TTM2,475.689YOY-7.115+2,482.804
TTM2,475.6895Y499.076+1,976.613
5Y499.07610Y250.238+248.839
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2,012.719-2.564+2,015.283
MRQ2,475.689-2.338+2,478.027
TTM2,475.689-0.186+2,475.875
YOY-7.115-0.494-6.621
5Y499.076-0.357+499.433
10Y250.238-0.327+250.565
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Bagfas is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Agricultural Inputs industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.95 means the investor is paying ₤0.95 for each ₤1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS:

  • The EOD is 0.769. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.946. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.946. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.769MRQ0.946-0.177
MRQ0.946TTM0.9460.000
TTM0.946YOY3.092-2.146
TTM0.9465Y3.905-2.959
5Y3.90510Y3.690+0.216
Compared to industry (Agricultural Inputs)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD0.7691.415-0.646
MRQ0.9461.386-0.440
TTM0.9461.501-0.555
YOY3.0922.099+0.993
5Y3.9051.932+1.973
10Y3.6902.594+1.096
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--21.83921.8390%8.124+169%6.425+240%3.316+559%
Book Value Per Share--34.81634.8160%12.977+168%11.778+196%7.465+366%
Current Ratio--1.2671.2670%1.517-16%1.210+5%1.208+5%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.4810.4810%0.619-22%0.684-30%0.650-26%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.9280.9280%1.624-43%2.609-64%2.137-57%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%0.007-100%
Eps---11.165-11.1650%8.117-238%-0.319-97%-0.085-99%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0130.0130%-5.639+42483%0.329-96%0.256-95%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0130.0130%-3.010+22720%0.859-98%0.554-98%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--5.104--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---23.402--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.369--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---1.044--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.217--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---4.282--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--2.196--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---8.751--------
Market Cap3615300000.000-23%4446900000.0004446900000.0000%5416200000.000-18%3439260000.000+29%2417445000.000+84%
Net Profit Margin---0.523-0.5230%0.282-286%-0.020-96%0.008-6707%
Operating Margin----0%0.226-100%-0.0590%0.001-100%
Operating Ratio--2.5922.5920%1.529+70%1.748+48%1.759+47%
Pb Ratio0.769-23%0.9460.9460%3.092-69%3.905-76%3.690-74%
Pe Ratio-2.399+19%-2.950-2.9500%4.942-160%-4.115+39%-10.902+270%
Price Per Share26.780-23%32.94032.9400%40.120-18%25.476+29%17.907+84%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio2012.719-23%2475.6892475.6890%-7.115+100%499.076+396%250.238+889%
Price To Total Gains Ratio1.226-23%1.5081.5080%4.938-69%-2.910+293%-14.620+1069%
Quick Ratio--0.0040.0040%0.010-65%0.015-77%0.064-94%
Return On Assets---0.166-0.1660%0.238-170%0.030-662%0.025-760%
Return On Equity---0.321-0.3210%0.626-151%0.125-358%0.075-527%
Total Gains Per Share--21.83921.8390%8.124+169%6.425+240%3.324+557%
Usd Book Value--146174532.701146174532.7010%54483020.658+168%49450824.562+196%31340705.423+366%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.6790.6790%0.253+169%0.200+240%0.103+559%
Usd Book Value Per Share--1.0831.0830%0.404+168%0.366+196%0.232+366%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%0.000-100%
Usd Eps---0.347-0.3470%0.252-238%-0.010-97%-0.003-99%
Usd Free Cash Flow--55862.66055862.6600%-23676087.962+42483%1379761.999-96%752176.912-93%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0000.0000%-0.175+42483%0.010-96%0.008-95%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0000.0000%-0.094+22720%0.027-98%0.017-98%
Usd Market Cap112435830.000-23%138298590.000138298590.0000%168443820.000-18%106960986.000+29%75182539.500+84%
Usd Price Per Share0.833-23%1.0241.0240%1.248-18%0.792+29%0.557+84%
Usd Profit---46875828.825-46875828.8250%34080721.623-238%-1339826.695-97%-358199.966-99%
Usd Revenue--89626327.39789626327.3970%120876733.404-26%64800563.446+38%39137017.537+129%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.6790.6790%0.253+169%0.200+240%0.103+557%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+17 -165Y+16 -1610Y+16 -19

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-2.399
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.769
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.523
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.004
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.267
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.481
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.928
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.321
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.166
Total4/10 (40.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5060.039
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5025.467
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10024.831
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20026.876
OpenGreater thanClose27.000
Total3/5 (60.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-31
Gross Profit  159,77617,161176,937492,108669,045283,599952,644-1,663,780-711,135
Operating Income  125,18522,659147,844476,197624,041253,927877,968-1,872,437-994,469



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in TRY. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets9,063,177
Total Liabilities4,363,031
Total Stockholder Equity4,700,146
 As reported
Total Liabilities 4,363,031
Total Stockholder Equity+ 4,700,146
Total Assets = 9,063,177

Assets

Total Assets9,063,177
Total Current Assets2,801,774
Long-term Assets6,261,403
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 1,065,829
Short-term Investments 7,491
Net Receivables 394
Inventory 1,262,356
Other Current Assets 50
Total Current Assets  (as reported)2,801,774
Total Current Assets  (calculated)2,336,120
+/- 465,655
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 5,434,409
Intangible Assets 1,835
Long-term Assets Other 0
Long-term Assets  (as reported)6,261,403
Long-term Assets  (calculated)5,436,244
+/- 825,159

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities2,211,022
Long-term Liabilities2,152,009
Total Stockholder Equity4,700,146
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 1,800,223
Accounts payable 227,380
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)2,211,022
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)2,027,604
+/- 183,419
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 1,257,542
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt60,409
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)2,152,009
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)1,317,950
+/- 834,058
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 2,879,291
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)4,700,146
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)2,879,291
+/- 1,820,855
Other
Capital Stock135,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 135,000
Net Debt 1,991,936
Net Invested Capital 7,757,911
Net Working Capital 590,752
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 12,675,269



Balance Sheet

Currency in TRY. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312002-12-312001-12-31
> Total Assets 
83,743,799,000
96,461,454,000
182,795
308,282
219,098
250,291
349,255
327,752
497,696
726,336
1,173,028
1,151,289
1,237,181
1,277,640
1,642,164
1,915,029
3,272,539
4,597,209
9,063,177
9,063,1774,597,2093,272,5391,915,0291,642,1641,277,6401,237,1811,151,2891,173,028726,336497,696327,752349,255250,291219,098308,282182,79596,461,454,00083,743,799,000
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
196,692
295,400
281,317
333,956
236,110
463,566
678,945
1,739,302
2,192,596
2,801,774
2,801,7742,192,5961,739,302678,945463,566236,110333,956281,317295,400196,692000000000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
23,491,038,000
29,449,305,000
53,609
54,568
62,232
99,135
103,206
22,811
67,525
64,942
34,253
76,046
116,020
28,996
189,456
410,684
1,033,598
638,506
1,065,829
1,065,829638,5061,033,598410,684189,45628,996116,02076,04634,25364,94267,52522,811103,20699,13562,23254,56853,60929,449,305,00023,491,038,000
       Short-term Investments 
655,087,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
175
136
245
277
213
206
144
440
4,191
3,743
12,874
7,491
7,49112,8743,7434,191440144206213277245136175000000655,087,000
       Net Receivables 
2,953,444,000
10,204,067,000
16,060
27,068
24,769
19,172
35,511
32,224
24,239
11,799
38,448
17,267
65,849
6,081
13,909
8,491
8,692
1,930
394
3941,9308,6928,49113,9096,08165,84917,26738,44811,79924,23932,22435,51119,17224,76927,06816,06010,204,067,0002,953,444,000
       Other Current Assets 
5,548,668,000
4,802,471,000
14,930
45,317
7,086
22,122
23,702
11,539
5,755
21,945
38,506
29,264
10,089
14,205
11,368
29,073
2,753
4,511
50
504,5112,75329,07311,36814,20510,08929,26438,50621,9455,75511,53923,70222,1227,08645,31714,9304,802,471,0005,548,668,000
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
869,972
903,225
1,041,530
1,178,598
1,236,085
1,533,237
2,404,613
6,261,403
6,261,4032,404,6131,533,2371,236,0851,178,5981,041,530903,225869,97200000000000
       Property Plant Equipment 
20,976,227,000
29,694,705,000
74,107
86,800
90,927
87,059
77,856
101,620
176,430
506,322
676,064
656,649
651,115
691,757
759,708
761,581
946,779
1,071,423
5,434,409
5,434,4091,071,423946,779761,581759,708691,757651,115656,649676,064506,322176,430101,62077,85687,05990,92786,80074,10729,694,705,00020,976,227,000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,774
3,774
3,774
3,774
1,014
2,886
0
0
0
0
00002,8861,0143,7743,7743,7743,774000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
597,000
110
73
35
28
23
22
21
76
436
544
535
547
536
661
513
384
1,835
1,83538451366153654753554443676212223283573110597,0000
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
903,225
1,041,530
1,178,598
0
0
0
0
00001,178,5981,041,530903,225000000000000
> Total Liabilities 
50,185,423,000
47,029,766,000
67,373
125,689
80,128
64,339
111,970
96,429
274,745
443,748
650,174
666,350
763,474
914,624
1,197,257
1,516,732
2,617,462
2,845,344
4,363,031
4,363,0312,845,3442,617,4621,516,7321,197,257914,624763,474666,350650,174443,748274,74596,429111,97064,33980,128125,68967,37347,029,766,00050,185,423,000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
47,959,739,000
43,812,167,000
53,760
110,767
57,680
59,826
101,243
62,717
85,448
115,404
273,905
236,303
302,149
248,403
454,194
538,250
1,771,429
1,445,247
2,211,022
2,211,0221,445,2471,771,429538,250454,194248,403302,149236,303273,905115,40485,44862,717101,24359,82657,680110,76753,76043,812,167,00047,959,739,000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
313,916
51,373
67,483
85,550
97,144
164,266
0
0
0
0
0000164,26697,14485,55067,48351,373313,916000000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
313,916
51,373
67,442
85,550
97,144
164,266
221,142
639,957
1,149,546
1,800,223
1,800,2231,149,546639,957221,142164,26697,14485,55067,44251,373313,916000000000
       Accounts payable 
30,426,444,000
27,382,261,000
36,692
71,733
49,944
46,977
77,374
57,992
76,416
105,696
210,425
160,753
203,302
124,491
279,965
256,253
509,905
184,069
227,380
227,380184,069509,905256,253279,965124,491203,302160,753210,425105,69676,41657,99277,37446,97749,94471,73336,69227,382,261,00030,426,444,000
       Other Current Liabilities 
6,166,349,000
6,736,688,000
10,209
23,542
1,449
12,525
20,869
4,358
5,765
6,103
3,058
4,643
10,181
22,817
3,597
52,508
600,575
100,435
0
0100,435600,57552,5083,59722,81710,1814,6433,0586,1035,7654,35820,86912,5251,44923,54210,2096,736,688,0006,166,349,000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
430,048
461,324
666,221
743,062
978,482
846,033
1,400,096
2,152,009
2,152,0091,400,096846,033978,482743,062666,221461,324430,04800000000000
       Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-313,916
-51,373
-67,355
-85,463
-97,104
-101,878
64,546
61,187
58,324
60,409
60,40958,32461,18764,546-101,878-97,104-85,463-67,355-51,373-313,916000000000
       Long-term Liabilities Other 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
379
149,029
171,635
0
0
0
0
0000171,635149,029379000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
33,558,376,000
49,431,688,000
115,422
182,593
138,970
185,951
237,285
231,323
222,951
282,588
522,854
484,939
473,707
363,016
444,908
398,297
655,077
1,751,866
4,700,146
4,700,1461,751,866655,077398,297444,908363,016473,707484,939522,854282,588222,951231,323237,285185,951138,970182,593115,42249,431,688,00033,558,376,000
   Common Stock
2,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
9,000
9,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
45,000
135,000
135,000
0
0135,000135,00045,00045,00045,00045,00045,00045,00045,0009,0009,0003,0003,0003,0003,0003,0002,000,000,0002,000,000,000
   Retained Earnings 
13,106,754,000
19,026,076,000
52,365
119,536
75,913
122,894
171,793
158,796
151,460
172,824
413,578
375,992
365,781
255,927
337,745
296,537
451,939
1,547,813
2,879,291
2,879,2911,547,813451,939296,537337,745255,927365,781375,992413,578172,824151,460158,796171,793122,89475,913119,53652,36519,026,076,00013,106,754,000
   Capital Surplus 0000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
62,921
62,434
62,104
61,083
60,246
60,320
54,918
60,197
61,111
0
061,11160,19754,91860,32060,24661,08362,10462,43462,921000000000



Balance Sheet

Currency in TRY. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in TRY. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in TRY. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue2,881,875
Cost of Revenue-3,593,011
Gross Profit-711,135-711,135
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit-711,135
Operating Expense-3,876,344
Operating Income-994,469-4,587,479
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative130,817
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense3,876,344130,817
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income9,965
Interest Expense-148,669
Other Finance Cost-11,015
Net Interest Income-149,719
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-994,469
Net Interest Income-149,719
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)-2,164,985-994,469
EBIT - interestExpense = -148,669
-1,507,261
-1,358,593
Interest Expense148,669
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)--2,016,317
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-2,164,985
Tax Provision--657,724
Net Income From Continuing Ops-1,507,261-1,507,261
Net Income-1,507,261
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-149,719
 

Technical Analysis of Bagfas
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Bagfas. The general trend of Bagfas is BEARISH with 42.9% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Bagfas's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-42.9%) Bearish trend (42.9%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 30.60 < 32.16 < 34.04.

The bearish price targets are: 26.42 > 26.42 > 24.40.

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Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 4/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -6/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current macd is 0.49596491.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Bagfas price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Bagfas. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Bagfas price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current adx is 15.54.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Bagfas shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current sar is 25.35.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current rsi is 60.04. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 3/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bear market: Extended price decline in a downtrend, significant pullback. Consider reducing exposure, wait for signs of trend reversal.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 1/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Bagfas price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current cci is 177.34.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI > 100: The CCI is above 100, it indicates that the price is significantly above its average, suggesting a potential overbought condition. +1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current cmo is 27.90.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current willr is -28.31325301.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Bagfas is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Williams %R ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current atr is 1.14058348.

Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current obv is 245,415,877.

Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS. The current mfi is 64.39.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartBagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-29SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-01-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-08MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-10CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-17WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-18BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-25RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-01-26ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-29MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-01-30SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-02-08DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-09CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-12BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-27MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-01DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-03-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-06DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-03-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-12CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-03-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-03-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-25RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-03-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-27SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-01SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-02WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-05RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-15MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-19DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-22CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-04-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-05-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-05-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-13DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-05-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-05-16DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-05-17CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-05-20WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-05-22BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-05-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5060.039
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5025.467
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10024.831
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20026.876
OpenGreater thanClose27.000
Total3/5 (60.0%)
Penke

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