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Bavarian Nordic
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Bavarian Nordic together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Bavarian Nordic. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Bavarian Nordic. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Bavarian Nordic (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Bavarian Nordic? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
kr0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
kr132.66
Expected worth in 1 year
kr296.36
How sure are you?
70.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
kr163.70
Return On Investment
107.4%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
kr152.40
Expected price per share
kr125.55 - kr181.80
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Bavarian Nordic (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

kr152.40

Intrinsic Value Per Share

kr-97.10 - kr14.50

Total Value Per Share

kr35.56 - kr147.16

2. Growth of Bavarian Nordic (5 min.)




Is Bavarian Nordic growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.4b$1b$456.4m30.9%

How much money is Bavarian Nordic making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$211m-$49.7m$260.8m123.5%
Net Profit Margin20.9%-11.0%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Bavarian Nordic (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Biotechnology industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Biotechnology)  


Richest
#42 / 1007

Most Revenue
#54 / 1007

Most Profit
#45 / 1007

Most Efficient
#85 / 1007

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Bavarian Nordic? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Bavarian Nordic's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Bavarian Nordic.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Bavarian Nordic?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Bavarian Nordic. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Bavarian Nordic is kr152.40. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Bavarian Nordic.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Bavarian Nordic, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is kr132.66. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is kr40.93 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is kr-2.88 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is kr0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Bavarian Nordic.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 kr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Sharekr% of Price per Share
Usd Eps2.711.8%2.711.8%-0.64-0.4%0.220.1%0.100.1%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share5.863.8%5.863.8%-0.41-0.3%3.002.0%1.721.1%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share5.863.8%5.863.8%-0.41-0.3%3.002.0%1.721.1%
Usd Price Per Share25.39-25.39-30.54-28.11-27.14-
Price to Earnings Ratio9.38-9.38--47.88--12.31-133.51-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio4.34-4.34--74.03--18.00-22.50-
Price to Book Ratio1.34-1.34-2.33-3.03-5.80-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio4.34-4.34--74.03--18.00-22.50-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share21.80844
Number of shares45
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share5.863.00
Usd Total Gains Per Share5.863.00
Gains per Quarter (45 shares)263.54134.82
Gains per Year (45 shares)1,054.17539.28
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10105410440539529
2021082098010791068
3031633152016181607
4042174206021572146
5052715260026962685
6063256314032363224
7073797368037753763
8084338422043144302
9094889476048534841
1001054210530053935380

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%1.02.00.033.3%2.03.00.040.0%6.04.00.060.0%8.015.01.033.3%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%7.03.00.070.0%15.09.00.062.5%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%0.00.03.00.0%0.00.05.00.0%0.00.010.00.0%0.00.024.00.0%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%7.03.00.070.0%15.09.00.062.5%

Fundamentals of Bavarian Nordic

About Bavarian Nordic

Bavarian Nordic A/S develops, manufactures, and commercializes life-saving vaccines. The company offers non-replicating smallpox and monkeypox vaccines under the IMVAMUNE, IMVANEX, and JYNNEOS names; rabies vaccine for human use under the Rabipur/RabAvert name; tick-borne encephalitis vaccine under the Encepur name; and Ebola vaccine under the MVABEA name. It is also developing MVA-BN for the treatment of smallpox; MVA-BN RSV, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of respiratory syncytial virus; ABNCoV2 that has completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2. The company has license and collaboration agreement with AdaptVac; and license agreements with National Cancer Institute and Public Health Service. It operates in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Spain, Australia, Switzerland, Sweden, Chile, Taiwan, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, Belgium, and internationally. Bavarian Nordic A/S was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Hellerup, Denmark.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-19 10:43:06.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced.

1.1. Profitability of Bavarian Nordic.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Bavarian Nordic earns for each kr1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 20.9% means that kr0.21 for each kr1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 20.9%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 20.9%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ20.9%TTM20.9%0.0%
TTM20.9%YOY-11.0%+31.9%
TTM20.9%5Y-10.4%+31.3%
5Y-10.4%10Y-10.0%-0.4%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ20.9%-207.2%+228.1%
TTM20.9%-218.5%+239.4%
YOY-11.0%-282.4%+271.4%
5Y-10.4%-432.2%+421.8%
10Y-10.0%-593.8%+583.8%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Bavarian Nordic is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • 10.3% Return on Assets means that Bavarian Nordic generated kr0.10 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 10.3%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 10.3%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ10.3%TTM10.3%0.0%
TTM10.3%YOY-2.8%+13.1%
TTM10.3%5Y0.4%+9.9%
5Y0.4%10Y0.1%+0.3%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ10.3%-13.2%+23.5%
TTM10.3%-12.6%+22.9%
YOY-2.8%-11.5%+8.7%
5Y0.4%-13.7%+14.1%
10Y0.1%-15.5%+15.6%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Bavarian Nordic is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • 14.3% Return on Equity means Bavarian Nordic generated kr0.14 for each kr1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 14.3%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 14.3%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ14.3%TTM14.3%0.0%
TTM14.3%YOY-4.9%+19.1%
TTM14.3%5Y-2.0%+16.2%
5Y-2.0%10Y-1.1%-0.8%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ14.3%-16.7%+31.0%
TTM14.3%-15.8%+30.1%
YOY-4.9%-14.4%+9.5%
5Y-2.0%-19.0%+17.0%
10Y-1.1%-19.9%+18.8%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Bavarian Nordic.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Bavarian Nordic is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Bavarian Nordic makes for each kr1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0% means the company generated kr0.00  for each kr1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY-2.2%+2.2%
TTM-5Y-8.5%+8.5%
5Y-8.5%10Y-7.0%-1.5%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ--286.5%+286.5%
TTM--229.1%+229.1%
YOY-2.2%-288.4%+286.2%
5Y-8.5%-480.7%+472.2%
10Y-7.0%-624.7%+617.7%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Bavarian Nordic is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Biotechnology industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.14 means that the operating costs are kr1.14 for each kr1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 1.135. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.135. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.135TTM1.1350.000
TTM1.135YOY1.483-0.347
TTM1.1355Y1.215-0.079
5Y1.21510Y1.148+0.067
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1353.231-2.096
TTM1.1353.307-2.172
YOY1.4833.774-2.291
5Y1.2155.667-4.452
10Y1.1487.558-6.410

1.3. Liquidity of Bavarian Nordic.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Bavarian Nordic is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Biotechnology industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.94 means the company has kr1.94 in assets for each kr1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 1.938. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.938. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.938TTM1.9380.000
TTM1.938YOY1.961-0.023
TTM1.9385Y1.842+0.096
5Y1.84210Y3.332-1.490
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.9383.890-1.952
TTM1.9384.182-2.244
YOY1.9615.343-3.382
5Y1.8426.135-4.293
10Y3.3326.453-3.121
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Bavarian Nordic is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 means the company can pay off kr0.78 for each kr1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 0.778. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.778. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.778TTM0.7780.000
TTM0.778YOY1.221-0.443
TTM0.7785Y1.912-1.134
5Y1.91210Y4.926-3.014
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7783.528-2.750
TTM0.7784.059-3.281
YOY1.2215.390-4.169
5Y1.9126.138-4.226
10Y4.9266.488-1.562

1.4. Solvency of Bavarian Nordic.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Bavarian Nordic assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.28 means that Bavarian Nordic assets are financed with 28.0% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 28.0%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 0.280. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.280. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.280TTM0.2800.000
TTM0.280YOY0.423-0.143
TTM0.2805Y0.454-0.174
5Y0.45410Y0.371+0.083
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2800.339-0.059
TTM0.2800.337-0.057
YOY0.4230.273+0.150
5Y0.4540.368+0.086
10Y0.3710.391-0.020
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Bavarian Nordic is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 38.8% means that company has kr0.39 debt for each kr1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The MRQ is 0.388. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.388. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.388TTM0.3880.000
TTM0.388YOY0.733-0.345
TTM0.3885Y1.066-0.677
5Y1.06610Y0.738+0.328
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3880.388+0.000
TTM0.3880.403-0.015
YOY0.7330.342+0.391
5Y1.0660.432+0.634
10Y0.7380.461+0.277

2. Market Valuation of Bavarian Nordic

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every kr1 in earnings Bavarian Nordic generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Bavarian Nordic to the Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 9.38 means the investor is paying kr9.38 for every kr1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The EOD is 8.052. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 9.376. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 9.376. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD8.052MRQ9.376-1.324
MRQ9.376TTM9.3760.000
TTM9.376YOY-47.882+57.258
TTM9.3765Y-12.310+21.686
5Y-12.31010Y133.512-145.822
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD8.052-2.249+10.301
MRQ9.376-2.553+11.929
TTM9.376-2.669+12.045
YOY-47.882-4.107-43.775
5Y-12.310-6.247-6.063
10Y133.512-6.499+140.011
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The EOD is 83.770. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The MRQ is 97.539. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The TTM is 97.539. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD83.770MRQ97.539-13.769
MRQ97.539TTM97.5390.000
TTM97.539YOY-14.320+111.860
TTM97.5395Y-8.656+106.196
5Y-8.65610Y66.672-75.328
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD83.770-2.858+86.628
MRQ97.539-3.288+100.827
TTM97.539-3.552+101.091
YOY-14.320-5.560-8.760
5Y-8.656-8.326-0.330
10Y66.672-8.881+75.553
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Bavarian Nordic is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Biotechnology industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.34 means the investor is paying kr1.34 for each kr1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Bavarian Nordic:

  • The EOD is 1.149. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.338. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.338. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.149MRQ1.338-0.189
MRQ1.338TTM1.3380.000
TTM1.338YOY2.326-0.989
TTM1.3385Y3.030-1.692
5Y3.03010Y5.803-2.773
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.1491.929-0.780
MRQ1.3382.090-0.752
TTM1.3382.091-0.753
YOY2.3262.881-0.555
5Y3.0303.545-0.515
10Y5.8033.936+1.867
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Bavarian Nordic compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--40.92640.9260%-2.883+107%20.936+95%12.013+241%
Book Value Per Share--132.658132.6580%91.732+45%81.146+63%52.503+153%
Current Ratio--1.9381.9380%1.961-1%1.842+5%3.332-42%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.2800.2800%0.423-34%0.454-38%0.371-25%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.3880.3880%0.733-47%1.066-64%0.738-47%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Eps--18.92618.9260%-4.457+124%1.524+1142%0.679+2688%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--1.8191.8190%-14.902+919%-14.160+878%-6.963+483%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.8191.8190%-6.745+471%2.830-36%3.789-52%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%0.907+10%0.570+75%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--14.502--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---97.097--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max---5.160--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---13.177--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---10.464--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---36.840--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---9.691--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---57.307--------
Market Cap11878680230.400-16%13831187643.00013831187643.0000%16633270086.400-17%15312558825.461-10%14782507014.243-6%
Net Profit Margin--0.2090.2090%-0.110+153%-0.104+150%-0.100+148%
Operating Margin----0%-0.0220%-0.0850%-0.0700%
Operating Ratio--1.1351.1350%1.483-23%1.215-7%1.148-1%
Pb Ratio1.149-16%1.3381.3380%2.326-42%3.030-56%5.803-77%
Pe Ratio8.052-16%9.3769.3760%-47.882+611%-12.310+231%133.512-93%
Price Per Share152.400-16%177.450177.4500%213.400-17%196.456-10%189.655-6%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio83.770-16%97.53997.5390%-14.320+115%-8.656+109%66.672+46%
Price To Total Gains Ratio3.724-16%4.3364.3360%-74.031+1807%-17.995+515%22.496-81%
Quick Ratio--0.7780.7780%1.221-36%1.912-59%4.926-84%
Return On Assets--0.1030.1030%-0.028+127%0.004+2637%0.001+8117%
Return On Equity--0.1430.1430%-0.049+134%-0.020+114%-0.011+108%
Total Gains Per Share--40.92640.9260%-2.883+107%20.936+95%12.013+241%
Usd Book Value--1479644269.2001479644269.2000%1023163139.700+45%905090156.280+63%585609975.990+153%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--5.8575.8570%-0.412+107%2.996+95%1.719+241%
Usd Book Value Per Share--18.98318.9830%13.127+45%11.612+63%7.513+153%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Eps--2.7082.7080%-0.638+124%0.218+1142%0.097+2688%
Usd Free Cash Flow--20291723.10020291723.1000%-166213798.200+919%-157936350.420+878%-77664205.080+483%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.2600.2600%-2.132+919%-2.026+878%-0.996+483%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.2600.2600%-0.965+471%0.405-36%0.542-52%
Usd Market Cap1699839140.970-16%1979242951.7131979242951.7130%2380220949.364-17%2191227167.924-10%2115376753.738-6%
Usd Price Per Share21.808-16%25.39325.3930%30.538-17%28.113-10%27.140-6%
Usd Profit--211099545.900211099545.9000%-49710364.200+124%16993869.120+1142%7572250.980+2688%
Usd Revenue--1010620854.0001010620854.0000%450878478.300+124%418592656.980+141%282490347.150+258%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--5.8575.8570%-0.412+107%2.996+95%1.719+241%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+25 -75Y+25 -810Y+24 -9

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Bavarian Nordic based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-158.052
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.149
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.209
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.778
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.938
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.280
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.388
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.143
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.103
Total6/10 (60.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Bavarian Nordic based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5049.408
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50150.770
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100157.749
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200162.012
OpenGreater thanClose153.500
Total2/5 (40.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in DKK. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets14,353,213
Total Liabilities4,013,281
Total Stockholder Equity10,339,932
 As reported
Total Liabilities 4,013,281
Total Stockholder Equity+ 10,339,932
Total Assets = 14,353,213

Assets

Total Assets14,353,213
Total Current Assets5,403,051
Long-term Assets8,950,162
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 1,477,234
Short-term Investments 390,247
Net Receivables 1,778,104
Inventory 1,643,736
Total Current Assets  (as reported)5,403,051
Total Current Assets  (calculated)5,289,321
+/- 113,730
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 2,452,685
Intangible Assets 6,481,736
Long-term Assets  (as reported)8,950,162
Long-term Assets  (calculated)8,934,421
+/- 15,741

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities2,787,869
Long-term Liabilities1,225,412
Total Stockholder Equity10,339,932
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 1,913
Accounts payable 954,142
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)2,787,869
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)956,055
+/- 1,831,814
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 15,135
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt128,254
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)1,225,412
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)143,389
+/- 1,082,023
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 9,330,002
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)10,339,932
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)9,330,002
+/- 1,009,930
Other
Capital Stock780,978
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 77,944
Net Invested Capital 10,356,980
Net Working Capital 2,615,182
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 3,182,911



Balance Sheet

Currency in DKK. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-312000-12-31
> Total Assets 
83,692
61,874
317,701
429,169
602,101
928,564
954,420
1,732,050
1,694,261
1,271,104
1,467,128
1,976,587
1,539,181
1,452,206
1,887,268
1,989,263
2,823,698
3,152,671
3,060,936
7,047,068
8,759,064
12,089,269
12,391,246
14,353,213
14,353,21312,391,24612,089,2698,759,0647,047,0683,060,9363,152,6712,823,6981,989,2631,887,2681,452,2061,539,1811,976,5871,467,1281,271,1041,694,2611,732,050954,420928,564602,101429,169317,70161,87483,692
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
206,157
358,176
310,258
456,204
386,186
1,193,229
1,100,021
555,981
637,940
1,111,359
894,921
900,369
1,319,123
1,404,258
2,282,567
2,770,485
2,508,256
654,874
2,381,047
4,753,639
4,484,580
5,403,051
5,403,0514,484,5804,753,6392,381,047654,8742,508,2562,770,4852,282,5671,404,2581,319,123900,369894,9211,111,359637,940555,9811,100,0211,193,229386,186456,204310,258358,176206,15700
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
41,092
27,097
94,142
199,758
80,694
290,585
101,366
688,783
569,778
80,954
266,783
272,107
353,545
346,799
398,357
374,063
853,596
282,521
266,658
297,545
285,487
591,820
575,407
1,477,234
1,477,234575,407591,820285,487297,545266,658282,521853,596374,063398,357346,799353,545272,107266,78380,954569,778688,783101,366290,58580,694199,75894,14227,09741,092
       Short-term Investments 
31,977
20,818
15,044
88,756
112,573
113,522
231,322
224,804
373,537
104,045
88,871
311,919
196,359
185,282
581,350
692,722
1,061,248
2,311,912
2,050,556
174,819
1,384,120
3,124,795
2,269,759
390,247
390,2472,269,7593,124,7951,384,120174,8192,050,5562,311,9121,061,248692,722581,350185,282196,359311,91988,871104,045373,537224,804231,322113,522112,57388,75615,04420,81831,977
       Net Receivables 
926
1,817
64,605
58,034
73,697
39,001
31,756
161,334
42,713
46,478
51,291
206,189
68,137
122,731
206,212
161,753
158,293
47,708
52,572
69,029
176,020
447,950
523,145
1,778,104
1,778,104523,145447,950176,02069,02952,57247,708158,293161,753206,212122,73168,137206,18951,29146,47842,713161,33431,75639,00173,69758,03464,6051,817926
       Inventory 
0
2,358
61,930
497
40,997
9,629
12,882
11,621
62,201
246,468
121,452
218,925
229,201
233,651
121,847
161,071
217,052
134,047
100,888
100,762
521,082
480,043
919,072
1,643,736
1,643,736919,072480,043521,082100,762100,888134,047217,052161,071121,847233,651229,201218,925121,452246,46862,20111,62112,8829,62940,99749761,9302,3580
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
111,544
70,993
291,843
472,360
568,234
538,821
594,240
715,123
829,188
865,228
644,260
551,837
568,145
585,005
541,131
382,186
552,680
6,392,194
6,378,017
7,335,630
7,906,666
8,950,162
8,950,1627,906,6667,335,6306,378,0176,392,194552,680382,186541,131585,005568,145551,837644,260865,228829,188715,123594,240538,821568,234472,360291,84370,993111,54400
       Property Plant Equipment 
7,617
8,947
10,182
29,080
207,488
346,087
408,057
379,233
340,392
354,485
360,815
348,780
320,534
322,746
336,573
325,760
326,336
347,978
518,808
906,494
1,083,143
1,488,511
1,751,406
2,452,685
2,452,6851,751,4061,488,5111,083,143906,494518,808347,978326,336325,760336,573322,746320,534348,780360,815354,485340,392379,233408,057346,087207,48829,08010,1828,9477,617
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,445
0
0
0
0
00001,4450000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
90
0
1,233
5,421
9,500
18,730
12,969
24,363
87,229
126,800
133,585
131,926
148,485
104,629
109,194
108,189
83,019
32,992
32,500
5,484,255
5,290,752
5,803,956
5,942,637
6,481,736
6,481,7365,942,6375,803,9565,290,7525,484,25532,50032,99283,019108,189109,194104,629148,485131,926133,585126,80087,22924,36312,96918,7309,5005,4211,233090
       Other Assets 
0
289
100,129
41,492
74,855
107,543
146,972
135,058
166,418
275,694
334,417
384,522
175,241
124,462
122,378
151,056
131,776
1,216
1,372
1,445
4,122
43,163
212,623
0
0212,62343,1634,1221,4451,3721,216131,776151,056122,378124,462175,241384,522334,417275,694166,418135,058146,972107,54374,85541,492100,1292890
> Total Liabilities 
21,367
17,731
121,262
82,168
286,711
298,460
263,021
514,387
679,133
566,890
656,693
768,987
539,505
475,916
635,174
646,784
806,461
646,374
880,308
5,181,613
3,864,711
4,714,602
5,241,259
4,013,281
4,013,2815,241,2594,714,6023,864,7115,181,613880,308646,374806,461646,784635,174475,916539,505768,987656,693566,890679,133514,387263,021298,460286,71182,168121,26217,73121,367
   > Total Current Liabilities 
17,809
17,634
116,669
77,201
240,604
86,260
112,425
379,714
626,473
453,866
550,184
663,578
485,262
389,252
583,278
590,234
751,798
246,614
482,695
2,047,221
952,310
1,908,558
2,287,340
2,787,869
2,787,8692,287,3401,908,558952,3102,047,221482,695246,614751,798590,234583,278389,252485,262663,578550,184453,866626,473379,714112,42586,260240,60477,201116,66917,63417,809
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
623
645
0
48,795
51,739
15,161
0
0
8,996
9,002
52,397
8,481
1,885
1,969
2,136
2,152
248,877
1,388,967
22,596
895,639
0
0
00895,63922,5961,388,967248,8772,1522,1361,9691,8858,48152,3979,0028,9960015,16151,73948,795064562300
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
80,315
1,885
1,969
2,136
2,152
248,877
1,375,116
2,174
874,373
1,105,583
1,913
1,9131,105,583874,3732,1741,375,116248,8772,1522,1361,9691,88580,3150000000000000
       Accounts payable 
5,959
6,398
89,148
49,751
85,389
28,698
19,689
21,588
63,825
48,020
50,085
84,401
104,167
113,510
58,666
69,574
71,958
82,901
93,962
112,088
345,320
263,611
605,928
954,142
954,142605,928263,611345,320112,08893,96282,90171,95869,57458,666113,510104,16784,40150,08548,02063,82521,58819,68928,69885,38949,75189,1486,3985,959
       Other Current Liabilities 
11,850
7,353
26,898
26,805
155,215
8,767
40,997
342,965
562,648
405,846
491,103
570,175
328,698
267,261
522,727
518,691
677,704
161,561
139,856
546,166
584,394
749,308
435,088
0
0435,088749,308584,394546,166139,856161,561677,704518,691522,727267,261328,698570,175491,103405,846562,648342,96540,9978,767155,21526,80526,8987,35311,850
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
4,593
4,967
46,107
212,200
150,596
134,673
52,660
113,024
106,509
105,409
54,243
86,664
51,896
56,550
54,663
399,760
397,613
3,134,392
2,912,401
2,806,044
2,953,919
1,225,412
1,225,4122,953,9192,806,0442,912,4013,134,392397,613399,76054,66356,55051,89686,66454,243105,409106,509113,02452,660134,673150,596212,20046,1074,9674,59300
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
1,036
2,063
6,860
4,282
1,620
0
1
11,099
8,708
15,256
17,262
14,830
18,603
25,226
24,949
0
0
2,691,400
2,464,932
2,729,601
2,891,077
0
02,891,0772,729,6012,464,9322,691,4000024,94925,22618,60314,83017,26215,2568,70811,099101,6204,2826,8602,0631,03600
> Total Stockholder Equity
62,325
44,143
196,439
347,001
315,390
628,229
686,759
1,216,971
1,011,420
704,214
810,435
1,207,600
999,676
976,290
1,252,094
1,342,479
2,017,237
2,506,297
2,180,628
1,865,455
4,894,353
7,374,667
7,149,987
10,339,932
10,339,9327,149,9877,374,6674,894,3531,865,4552,180,6282,506,2972,017,2371,342,4791,252,094976,290999,6761,207,600810,435704,2141,011,4201,216,971686,759628,229315,390347,001196,43944,14362,325
   Common Stock
27,342
33,553
45,145
45,145
46,395
57,971
63,762
78,156
78,156
79,517
129,620
260,944
260,944
260,944
276,712
280,197
313,539
322,451
323,106
323,891
584,501
704,684
707,354
0
0707,354704,684584,501323,891323,106322,451313,539280,197276,712260,944260,944260,944129,62079,51778,15678,15663,76257,97146,39545,14545,14533,55327,342
   Retained Earnings Total Equity000000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 000000000000000000000000
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000000-233-1110000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
396,167
396,167
0
0
-1,220
92,754
33,810
34,013
29,407
23,623
683,032
63,325
3,061
-4,276
-28,200
26,963
60,400
81,557
63,493
81,075
143,521
0
0143,52181,07563,49381,55760,40026,963-28,200-4,2763,06163,325683,03223,62329,40734,01333,81092,754-1,22000396,167396,16700



Balance Sheet

Currency in DKK. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in DKK. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in DKK. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue7,062,340
Cost of Revenue-2,459,294
Gross Profit4,603,0464,603,046
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit4,603,046
Operating Expense-5,559,801
Operating Income1,502,539-956,755
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development2,228,080
Selling General Administrative872,427
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense5,559,8013,100,507
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income40,214
Interest Expense-105,519
Other Finance Cost-2,290
Net Interest Income-63,015
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income1,502,539
Net Interest Income-63,015
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)1,482,9431,502,539
EBIT - interestExpense = -105,519
1,475,189
1,580,708
Interest Expense105,519
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)01,588,462
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)0
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax1,482,943
Tax Provision-7,754
Net Income From Continuing Ops1,475,1891,475,189
Net Income1,475,189
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses0
Total Other Income/Expenses Net063,015
 

Technical Analysis of Bavarian Nordic
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Bavarian Nordic. The general trend of Bavarian Nordic is BEARISH with 57.1% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Bavarian Nordic's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-57.1%) Bearish trend (57.1%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Bavarian Nordic.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 166.05 < 175.75 < 181.80.

The bearish price targets are: 143.40 > 125.55.

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Bavarian Nordic Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Bavarian Nordic. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 3/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -8/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Bavarian Nordic Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Bavarian Nordic. The current macd is -1.7184052.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 3/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Bavarian Nordic price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Bavarian Nordic. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Bavarian Nordic price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Bavarian Nordic. The current adx is 9.25680365.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Bavarian Nordic shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Bavarian Nordic. The current sar is 144.17.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Bavarian Nordic. The current rsi is 49.41. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Bavarian Nordic. The current phase is Correction in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 1/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Bavarian Nordic price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Bavarian Nordic. The current cci is 48.12.

Bavarian Nordic Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Bavarian Nordic. The current cmo is 5.16547124.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Bavarian Nordic. The current willr is -38.35616438.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Bavarian Nordic is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Bavarian Nordic Daily Williams %R ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Bavarian Nordic.

Bavarian Nordic Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Bavarian Nordic. The current atr is 4.54226404.

Bavarian Nordic Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Bavarian Nordic. The current obv is 25,811,352.

Bavarian Nordic Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Bavarian Nordic. The current mfi is 52.66.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Bavarian Nordic Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartBavarian Nordic Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Bavarian Nordic.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2023-12-11MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-12SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2023-12-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-14SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-18RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2023-12-20MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-12-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-22SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-04CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-02-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-07SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-02-08MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-02-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-14SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-02-15DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-16CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-19BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-22BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-26WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-28SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-02-29MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-05CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-06DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-07CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-08MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-03-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-14CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-18MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-03-19DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-03-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-25WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-26SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-03-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-02DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-03MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-04-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-08CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-12DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-16DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-24MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-04-25MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-29MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-30DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-05-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Bavarian Nordic Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Bavarian Nordic based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5049.408
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50150.770
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100157.749
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200162.012
OpenGreater thanClose153.500
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke

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