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CERT (Certara) Stock Analysis
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Certara together

I guess you are interested in Certara Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

  • πŸ“Š Fundamental Analysis (FA) – Certara’s Financial Insights
  • πŸ“ˆ Technical Analysis (TA) – Certara’s Price Targets

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Certara Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Certara (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Certara? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
4.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$6.68
Expected worth in 1 year
$6.87
How sure are you?
68.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$0.18
Return On Investment
1.7%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$11.09
Expected price per share
$8.635 - $15.27
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Certara (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
$11.09
Intrinsic Value Per Share
$6.33 - $7.42
Total Value Per Share
$13.01 - $14.10

2.2. Growth of Certara (5 min.)




Is Certara growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1b$1b-$2.5m-0.2%

How much money is Certara making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$656.2k-$15.3m$14.6m2,239.0%
Net Profit Margin-1.0%-17.8%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Certara (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Health Information Services industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Health Information Services)  


Richest
#6 / 98

Most Revenue
#26 / 98

Most Profit
#46 / 98
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Certara?

Welcome investor! Certara's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Certara.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Certara. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Certara is $11.09. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Certara.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Certara, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $6.68. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.05 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.05 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Certara.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY3Y5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.030.3%0.000.0%-0.09-0.9%-0.03-0.2%-0.03-0.3%-0.03-0.3%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.161.4%0.050.4%-0.05-0.4%0.020.2%0.181.6%0.272.4%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.161.4%0.050.4%-0.05-0.4%0.020.2%0.181.6%0.272.4%
Usd Price Per Share9.90-11.53-17.06-15.77-18.08-14.46-
Price to Earnings Ratio84.66--60.19--16.81--71.48--35.95--28.76-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio62.68-94.14--0.85--11,958.72--7,853.04--7,853.04-
Price to Book Ratio1.48-1.77-2.60-2.41-2.98-2.39-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio62.68-94.14--0.85--11,958.72--7,853.04--7,853.04-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share11.09
Number of shares90
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.050.18
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.050.18
Gains per Quarter (90 shares)4.1516.46
Gains per Year (90 shares)16.6065.82
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1017706656
2033240131122
3050410197188
4066580263254
5083751329320
60100921394386
701161091460452
801331261526518
901491431591584
1001661601657650

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share2.02.00.050.0%6.06.00.050.0%10.010.00.050.0%12.013.00.048.0%12.013.00.048.0%
Book Value Change Per Share3.01.00.075.0%8.04.00.066.7%16.04.00.080.0%17.04.04.068.0%17.04.04.068.0%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%1.00.019.05.0%1.00.024.04.0%1.00.024.04.0%
Total Gains per Share3.01.00.075.0%8.04.00.066.7%16.04.00.080.0%17.04.04.068.0%17.04.04.068.0%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Certara Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-3Y+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.1580.046+243%-0.047+130%0.018+757%0.183-13%0.267-41%
Book Value Per Share--6.6836.533+2%6.549+2%6.553+2%5.946+12%4.999+34%
Current Ratio--2.7772.593+7%3.205-13%3.143-12%3.545-22%2.891-4%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.3050.318-4%0.315-3%0.313-2%0.338-10%0.313-2%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.4400.467-6%0.460-4%0.456-4%0.530-17%0.513-14%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%0.000-100%0.000-100%
Enterprise Value--1308470600.0001579321185.000-17%2522599120.000-48%2297134291.667-43%3024461633.333-57%3024461633.333-57%
Eps--0.029-0.004+114%-0.095+424%-0.026+188%-0.034+218%-0.029+201%
Ev To Ebitda Ratio--537.139134.147+300%31.230+1620%65.387+721%60.881+782%60.881+782%
Ev To Sales Ratio--3.0864.043-24%6.990-56%6.372-52%9.500-68%9.500-68%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.1030.138-25%0.094+10%0.118-13%0.098+5%0.089+16%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0170.100-83%0.065-74%0.093-82%0.179-91%0.156-89%
Gross Profit Margin---1.6812.140-179%1.351-224%1.807-193%1.261-233%1.160-245%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--7.420----------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--6.331----------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.513----------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.504----------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.718----------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--1.637----------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--3.134----------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--2.894----------
Market Cap1799175060.000+11%1606116600.0001870152435.000-14%2766900870.000-42%2558565375.000-37%2933190720.000-45%2346552576.000-32%
Net Profit Margin--0.045-0.010+122%-0.178+497%-0.049+210%-0.076+269%-0.067+249%
Operating Margin---0.002-0.019+651%-0.118+4630%-0.005+96%-0.006+146%0.018-114%
Operating Ratio--0.7960.935-15%0.991-20%0.943-16%0.976-18%0.961-17%
Pb Ratio1.659+11%1.4811.768-16%2.603-43%2.406-38%2.983-50%2.386-38%
Pe Ratio94.833+11%84.657-60.190+171%-16.808+120%-71.480+184%-35.954+142%-28.764+134%
Price Per Share11.090+11%9.90011.528-14%17.055-42%15.771-37%18.080-45%14.464-32%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio26.850+11%23.96951.140-53%280.602-91%129.351-81%117.244-80%93.795-74%
Price To Total Gains Ratio70.217+11%62.68394.139-33%-0.850+101%-11958.722+19178%-7853.035+12628%-7853.035+12628%
Quick Ratio--2.5222.445+3%3.115-19%3.014-16%3.366-25%2.745-8%
Return On Assets--0.0030.000+115%-0.010+430%-0.003+191%-0.004+231%-0.003+211%
Return On Equity--0.004-0.001+116%-0.015+435%-0.004+192%-0.006+235%-0.005+217%
Total Gains Per Share--0.1580.046+243%-0.047+130%0.018+757%0.183-14%0.268-41%
Usd Book Value--1084279000.0001059935250.000+2%1062530750.000+2%1063113250.000+2%964628500.000+12%811066640.000+34%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.1580.046+243%-0.047+130%0.018+757%0.183-13%0.267-41%
Usd Book Value Per Share--6.6836.533+2%6.549+2%6.553+2%5.946+12%4.999+34%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%0.000-100%0.000-100%
Usd Enterprise Value--1308470600.0001579321185.000-17%2522599120.000-48%2297134291.667-43%3024461633.333-57%3024461633.333-57%
Usd Eps--0.029-0.004+114%-0.095+424%-0.026+188%-0.034+218%-0.029+201%
Usd Free Cash Flow--16752000.00022363500.000-25%15231250.000+10%19209083.333-13%15974450.000+5%14400680.000+16%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.1030.138-25%0.094+10%0.118-13%0.098+5%0.089+16%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0170.100-83%0.065-74%0.093-82%0.179-91%0.156-89%
Usd Market Cap1799175060.000+11%1606116600.0001870152435.000-14%2766900870.000-42%2558565375.000-37%2933190720.000-45%2346552576.000-32%
Usd Price Per Share11.090+11%9.90011.528-14%17.055-42%15.771-37%18.080-45%14.464-32%
Usd Profit--4743000.000-656250.000+114%-15349500.000+424%-4178666.667+188%-5582150.000+218%-4780920.000+201%
Usd Revenue--106004000.00098624500.000+7%90172500.000+18%91631833.333+16%82665900.000+28%76771120.000+38%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.1580.046+243%-0.047+130%0.018+757%0.183-14%0.268-41%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+24 -14YOY+26 -123Y+23 -155Y+22 -1810Y+21 -19

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Certara Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1594.833
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.659
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.045
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.002
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than12.522
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than12.777
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.305
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.440
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.004
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.003
Total5/10 (50.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Certara Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5046.012
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5011.094
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10011.559
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20011.693
OpenGreater thanClose11.330
Total2/5 (40.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Certara Inc

Certara, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology-enabled services and software products for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access in the United States and internationally. It offers solutions for model-informed drug development, as well as biosimulation solutions to predict pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics; Simcyp simulator, a mechanistic biosimulation platform for physiologically based pharmacokinetic simulation; Simcyp Discovery for scientists working on pre-investigational new drug and translational stages; Simcyp Biopharmaceutics for formulation scientists; and Simcyp Secondary Intelligence that integrates toxicology with quantitative analysis of large networks of molecular and functional biological changes. The company also provides Phoenix WinNonlin, a platform for non-compartmental analysis; Phoenix Hosted, which offers a secured and validated Certara Amazon Web Services workspace; Phoenix NLME, a population modeling and simulation software; and Pirana Modeling Workbench, which provides modelers with a structure to facilitate the iterative processes. In addition, it offers Chemaxon JChem engines, a chemical search engine; Chemaxon Compound Registration, which supports a streamlined lead optimization process workflow; Chemaxon Design Hub, a design and tracking platform for drug discovery teams and their external collaborators; Certara D360 software, a scientific informatics system for small molecule and biologics discovery research; and Chemaxon Marvin, a chemical drawing tool. Further, the company provides pinnacle 21, a cloud-based platform for clinical data automation, standardization, and validation; Pinnacle 21 Data Exchange to define data standards and specifications; Metadata Repository that enables study design using controlled and standardized data; CoAuthor software, which creates and assembles regulatory submissions and medical publications; and GlobalSubmit, a submissions management software. Certara I

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2025-07-10 23:41:06.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is not making a profit/loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profitΒ Certara earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 4.5%Β means thatΒ $0.04 for each $1Β in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 4.5%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is -1.0%. The company is not making a profit/loss.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.5%TTM-1.0%+5.4%
TTM-1.0%YOY-17.8%+16.8%
TTM-1.0%5Y-7.6%+6.6%
5Y-7.6%10Y-6.7%-0.9%
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.5%-10.0%+14.5%
TTM-1.0%-16.3%+15.3%
YOY-17.8%-12.4%-5.4%
3Y-4.9%-23.4%+18.5%
5Y-7.6%-20.4%+12.8%
10Y-6.7%-30.3%+23.6%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows howΒ efficientΒ Certara is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthyΒ but always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • 0.3% Return on Assets means thatΒ Certara generatedΒ $0.00 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.3%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 0.0%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.3%TTM0.0%+0.3%
TTM0.0%YOY-1.0%+1.0%
TTM0.0%5Y-0.4%+0.4%
5Y-0.4%10Y-0.3%-0.1%
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3%-2.7%+3.0%
TTM0.0%-4.4%+4.4%
YOY-1.0%-3.7%+2.7%
3Y-0.3%-5.6%+5.3%
5Y-0.4%-5.0%+4.6%
10Y-0.3%-5.5%+5.2%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Certara is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • 0.4% Return on Equity means Certara generated $0.00Β for eachΒ $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.4%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is -0.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.4%TTM-0.1%+0.5%
TTM-0.1%YOY-1.5%+1.4%
TTM-0.1%5Y-0.6%+0.5%
5Y-0.6%10Y-0.5%-0.1%
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.4%-1.7%+2.1%
TTM-0.1%-3.2%+3.1%
YOY-1.5%-3.2%+1.7%
3Y-0.4%-6.7%+6.3%
5Y-0.6%-8.0%+7.4%
10Y-0.5%-9.5%+9.0%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Certara Inc.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

MeasuresΒ how efficient Certara is operatingΒ .

  • Measures how much profit Certara makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -0.2%Β means the company generated $0.00 Β for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is -0.2%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -1.9%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-0.2%TTM-1.9%+1.6%
TTM-1.9%YOY-11.8%+9.9%
TTM-1.9%5Y-0.6%-1.3%
5Y-0.6%10Y1.8%-2.4%
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-0.2%-14.2%+14.0%
TTM-1.9%-11.5%+9.6%
YOY-11.8%-9.5%-2.3%
3Y-0.5%-12.5%+12.0%
5Y-0.6%-10.6%+10.0%
10Y1.8%-24.8%+26.6%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Certara is keepingΒ operating costsΒ low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare toΒ Health Information Services industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.80 means that the operating costs are $0.80 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.796. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
  • The TTM is 0.935. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.796TTM0.935-0.139
TTM0.935YOY0.991-0.056
TTM0.9355Y0.976-0.041
5Y0.97610Y0.961+0.016
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7961.326-0.530
TTM0.9351.334-0.399
YOY0.9911.343-0.352
3Y0.9431.348-0.405
5Y0.9761.342-0.366
10Y0.9611.304-0.343
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Certara Inc.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Certara is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare toΒ Health Information Services industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 2.78Β means the company has $2.78 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 2.777. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 2.593. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.777TTM2.593+0.184
TTM2.593YOY3.205-0.611
TTM2.5935Y3.545-0.951
5Y3.54510Y2.891+0.653
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.7771.682+1.095
TTM2.5931.562+1.031
YOY3.2051.806+1.399
3Y3.1431.960+1.183
5Y3.5452.666+0.879
10Y2.8912.526+0.365
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Certara is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only usingΒ theΒ most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy butΒ always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.52Β means the company can pay off $2.52 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 2.522. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
  • The TTM is 2.445. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.522TTM2.445+0.076
TTM2.445YOY3.115-0.670
TTM2.4455Y3.366-0.920
5Y3.36610Y2.745+0.621
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.5221.037+1.485
TTM2.4451.061+1.384
YOY3.1151.276+1.839
3Y3.0141.445+1.569
5Y3.3662.069+1.297
10Y2.7452.129+0.616
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4.5.4. Solvency of Certara Inc.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much %Β of CertaraΒ assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compareΒ Certara to Health Information Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.31Β means that Certara assets areΒ financed with 30.5% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 30.5%)Β is financed by its owners/shareholders.Β 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.305. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.318. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.305TTM0.318-0.013
TTM0.318YOY0.315+0.003
TTM0.3185Y0.338-0.020
5Y0.33810Y0.313+0.026
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3050.409-0.104
TTM0.3180.406-0.088
YOY0.3150.375-0.060
3Y0.3130.395-0.082
5Y0.3380.400-0.062
10Y0.3130.405-0.092
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures ifΒ Certara is able toΒ pay off its debts by usingΒ shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy butΒ always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 44.0% means that company has $0.44 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.440. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.467. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.440TTM0.467-0.027
TTM0.467YOY0.460+0.007
TTM0.4675Y0.530-0.063
5Y0.53010Y0.513+0.017
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.4400.609-0.169
TTM0.4670.608-0.141
YOY0.4600.571-0.111
3Y0.4560.610-0.154
5Y0.5300.629-0.099
10Y0.5130.636-0.123
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

MeasuresΒ how much money you payΒ for each share forΒ every $1 in earnings Certara generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced butΒ always compareΒ Certara to theΒ Health Information Services industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 84.66 means the investor is paying $84.66Β for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The EOD is 94.833. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 84.657. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -60.190. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD94.833MRQ84.657+10.176
MRQ84.657TTM-60.190+144.847
TTM-60.190YOY-16.808-43.382
TTM-60.1905Y-35.954-24.236
5Y-35.95410Y-28.764-7.191
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD94.833-1.386+96.219
MRQ84.657-1.651+86.308
TTM-60.190-1.178-59.012
YOY-16.808-1.951-14.857
3Y-71.480-2.941-68.539
5Y-35.954-3.176-32.778
10Y-28.764-2.268-26.496
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The EOD is 26.850. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 23.969. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 51.140. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD26.850MRQ23.969+2.881
MRQ23.969TTM51.140-27.171
TTM51.140YOY280.602-229.462
TTM51.1405Y117.244-66.104
5Y117.24410Y93.795+23.449
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD26.850-0.381+27.231
MRQ23.969-0.527+24.496
TTM51.140-1.238+52.378
YOY280.602-1.936+282.538
3Y129.351-4.509+133.860
5Y117.244-6.383+123.627
10Y93.795-4.202+97.997
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price ofΒ Certara is to cheap or to expensiveΒ compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthyΒ (always compare to Health Information Services industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.48 means the investor is paying $1.48Β for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Certara Inc:

  • The EOD is 1.659. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.481. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.768. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.659MRQ1.481+0.178
MRQ1.481TTM1.768-0.286
TTM1.768YOY2.603-0.836
TTM1.7685Y2.983-1.215
5Y2.98310Y2.386+0.597
Compared to industry (Health Information Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.6591.821-0.162
MRQ1.4811.731-0.250
TTM1.7681.754+0.014
YOY2.6032.524+0.079
3Y2.4062.550-0.144
5Y2.9833.440-0.457
10Y2.3864.256-1.870
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share

2.4. Latest News of Certara Inc

Does Certara Inc still have the same value as the quarterly reports suggest? Recent changes may be an indication that the value of the company is changing. Read the news from Certara Inc to keep up to date. Note: the news is often already included in the price.

DateTitleRead
2025-07-08
14:00
Certara Announces Expansion of Clinical Technology Collaboration with MerckRead
2025-06-28
15:10
10 Under-the-Radar Healthcare Stocks With Incredible Growth PotentialRead
2025-06-28
15:10
10 Under-the-Radar Healthcare Stocks With Incredible Growth PotentialRead
2025-06-18
11:27
JMP analyst maintains Simulations Plus stock rating amid forecast cutsRead
2025-06-15
10:05
Is AI changing FDA-biopharma dynamics?Read

4.7 Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Certara Inc.

4.8.1. Institutions holding Certara Inc

Institutions are holding 100.9% of the shares of Certara Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2025-03-31BlackRock Inc8.23150.002813354305-471289-3.4088
2025-03-31Vanguard Group Inc7.67350.002212449051119620.0962
2025-03-31Wasatch Advisors LP5.72550.513192886523526543.9464
2025-03-31Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.4.88410.01957923647461400.5857
2025-03-31ArrowMark Colorado Holdings, LLC (ArrowMark Partners)4.6241.20277501661128838320.736
2025-03-31Geneva Capital Management3.4961.048856716892130893.9037
2025-03-31Teacher Retirement System Of Texas2.79160.18714528931-29020-0.6367
2025-03-31Ameriprise Financial Inc2.64780.0115429556651591113.6497
2025-03-31Brown Brothers Harriman & Co2.35380.2641381861300
2025-03-31State Street Corp2.23850.00153631588-150017-3.967
2025-03-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts1.58780.00182575960121930589.8758
2025-03-31Capital World Investors1.33150.0035216007921600790
2025-03-31Riverbridge Partners LLC1.26270.32542048519-116228-5.3691
2025-03-31Deerfield Management Co1.24670.3954202261620226160
2025-03-31Geode Capital Management, LLC1.24550.001620206111257926.6387
2025-03-31ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP1.15160.1829186825278446672.382
2025-03-31Massachusetts Financial Services Company1.1190.0061815345-2268595-55.5492
2025-03-31Daventry Group, LP1.11117.715818025271604749.7728
2025-03-31Mackenzie Investments1.10540.02521793327-1559149-46.5074
2025-03-31Glenmede Trust Co NA0.9090.07841474698-32196-2.1366
Total 56.736611.989392045637+4274377+4.6%

4.9.2. Funds holding Certara Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2025-05-31iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF4.04410.0971656093600
2025-03-31Wasatch Core Growth3.23051.2078524093900
2025-05-31Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv2.39630.0024388763037990.0978
2025-03-31Vanguard Explorer Inv2.19880.1779356719458636919.6714
2025-05-31Vanguard Small Cap Index1.87560.02323042806112100.3698
2025-04-30CT (Lux) American Smaller Com 9U USD1.58581.82372572666694302.7736
2025-03-31American Funds SMALLCAP World A1.33150.0312216007921600790
2025-05-31Nationwide Geneva Small Cap Gr Instl Svc1.15381.348818717891010955.7093
2025-05-31Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr1.06350.01791725369122410.7145
2025-05-31Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index Inv1.03340.05381676538-16884-0.997
2025-04-30CT American Smaller Coms(US) InstAccGBP0.93261.80681513001105990.7055
2025-04-30DFA US Targeted Value I0.87540.16591420154-70250-4.7135
2025-03-31Canada Life US Small-Mid Cap Growth F0.84040.8067136340000
2025-03-31Glenmede Small Cap Equity0.81831.18521327601-21364-1.5837
2025-03-31Glenmede Small Cap Equity Adv0.81831.18521327601-21364-1.5837
2025-03-31Meridian Growth Legacy0.74251.4399120462321000921.1146
2025-04-30DFA US Small Cap Value I0.69750.111511315692160.0191
2025-05-30Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF0.67070.1211088171-711-0.0653
2025-04-30MFS New Discovery I0.66920.7811085609-102774-8.6482
2025-05-31iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF0.6590.2019106907500
Total 27.637212.588944836750+2931700+6.5%

5.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 2.483% of the shares of Certara Inc.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-10-07Patrick F SmithSELL540911.03
2024-09-09Leif E PedersenSELL5122411.29
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5. Financial Statements




5.1. Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2024-03-312024-06-302024-09-302024-12-312025-03-31
Net Debt  81,9785,97687,954-14,50473,45059,264132,714-298,966-166,252



5.2. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2025-03-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets1,561,011
Total Liabilities476,732
Total Stockholder Equity1,084,279
 As reported
Total Liabilities 476,732
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,084,279
Total Assets = 1,561,011

Assets

Total Assets1,561,011
Total Current Assets300,175
Long-term Assets1,260,836
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 179,086
Net Receivables 93,438
Other Current Assets 27,651
Total Current Assets  (as reported)300,175
Total Current Assets  (calculated)300,175
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 15,119
Goodwill 764,338
Intangible Assets 475,405
Long-term Assets Other 2,013
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,260,836
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,256,875
+/- 3,961

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities108,079
Long-term Liabilities368,653
Total Stockholder Equity1,084,279
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 3,000
Short Long Term Debt 3,000
Accounts payable 5,068
Other Current Liabilities 27,976
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)108,079
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)39,044
+/- 69,035
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 291,798
Capital Lease Obligations 9,834
Long-term Liabilities Other 24,860
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)368,653
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)326,492
+/- 42,161
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock1,625
Retained Earnings -123,538
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -5,268
Other Stockholders Equity 1,211,460
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,084,279
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)1,084,279
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock1,625
Cash and Short Term Investments 179,086
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 161,350
Current Deferred Revenue72,035
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 1,561,011
Net Debt -166,252
Net Invested Capital 1,379,077
Net Working Capital 192,096
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 15,119
Short Long Term Debt Total 12,834



5.3. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2025-03-312024-12-312024-09-302024-06-302024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-31
> Total Assets 
0
0
0
1,037,069
0
1,056,384
1,020,380
1,269,400
1,262,624
1,265,335
1,414,789
1,511,730
1,507,026
1,501,749
1,508,693
1,572,922
1,566,757
1,572,220
1,526,821
1,563,140
1,542,378
1,539,613
1,543,229
1,575,104
1,561,011
1,561,0111,575,1041,543,2291,539,6131,542,3781,563,1401,526,8211,572,2201,566,7571,572,9221,508,6931,501,7491,507,0261,511,7301,414,7891,265,3351,262,6241,269,4001,020,3801,056,38401,037,069000
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
0
87,523
29,256
121,591
92,798
346,584
347,561
344,808
504,849
274,727
275,186
286,019
305,092
342,252
348,254
353,044
369,777
340,201
328,457
337,076
350,609
310,852
300,175
300,175310,852350,609337,076328,457340,201369,777353,044348,254342,252305,092286,019275,186274,727504,849344,808347,561346,58492,798121,59129,25687,523000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
29,256
-29,256
55,669
29,937
271,382
272,988
267,757
416,850
185,797
184,315
194,755
210,509
236,586
244,135
245,190
272,312
234,951
224,776
224,599
233,023
179,183
179,086
179,086179,183233,023224,599224,776234,951272,312245,190244,135236,586210,509194,755184,315185,797416,850267,757272,988271,38229,93755,669-29,25629,256000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
58,512
0
0
0
0
0
0
57
181
680
3,429
4,638
4,261
5,667
5,880
4,473
5,033
5,026
0
0
0
0005,0265,0334,4735,8805,6674,2614,6383,4296801815700000058,5120000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
52,356
0
51,690
48,830
54,091
54,402
56,586
62,859
78,306
80,366
78,246
80,547
88,805
82,404
89,099
83,199
93,256
89,149
98,046
95,956
119,084
93,438
93,438119,08495,95698,04689,14993,25683,19989,09982,40488,80580,54778,24680,36678,30662,85956,58654,40254,09148,83051,690052,356000
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
0
5,911
0
14,232
14,031
21,111
20,171
20,465
25,140
10,624
10,505
13,018
14,036
16,861
17,454
18,755
14,266
11,994
14,532
14,431
21,630
12,585
27,651
27,65112,58521,63014,43114,53211,99414,26618,75517,45416,86114,03613,01810,50510,62425,14020,46520,17121,11114,03114,23205,911000
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
949,546
-29,256
934,793
927,582
922,816
915,063
920,527
909,940
1,237,003
1,231,840
1,215,730
1,203,601
1,230,670
1,218,503
1,219,176
1,157,044
1,222,939
1,213,921
1,202,537
1,192,620
1,264,252
1,260,836
1,260,8361,264,2521,192,6201,202,5371,213,9211,222,9391,157,0441,219,1761,218,5031,230,6701,203,6011,215,7301,231,8401,237,003909,940920,527915,063922,816927,582934,793-29,256949,546000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
4,623
0
4,780
4,355
3,872
3,505
3,069
3,005
15,569
16,558
15,052
14,090
16,827
15,722
14,532
11,853
12,274
17,138
16,932
14,624
16,008
15,119
15,11916,00814,62416,93217,13812,27411,85314,53215,72216,82714,09015,05216,55815,5693,0053,0693,5053,8724,3554,78004,623000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
514,996
0
513,380
515,587
518,592
519,226
524,265
522,814
703,371
704,788
700,800
696,921
717,743
718,841
721,853
673,159
716,333
715,620
715,524
718,483
757,038
764,338
764,338757,038718,483715,524715,620716,333673,159721,853718,841717,743696,921700,800704,788703,371522,814524,265519,226518,592515,587513,3800514,996000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
427,998
0
411,408
404,255
396,445
388,225
387,942
378,985
511,823
504,310
493,051
481,536
486,782
476,554
473,805
463,112
487,043
473,687
463,155
453,225
485,214
475,405
475,405485,214453,225463,155473,687487,043463,112473,805476,554486,782481,536493,051504,310511,823378,985387,942388,225396,445404,255411,4080427,998000
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
1,929
0
0
0
3,907
4,107
5,251
5,136
6,240
6,184
6,827
11,054
5,582
7,386
5,463
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000005,4637,3865,58211,0546,8276,1846,2405,1365,2514,1073,9070001,929000
> Total Liabilities 
0
0
0
545,021
0
564,194
522,842
447,268
435,357
430,825
443,469
469,881
458,621
453,368
454,295
493,261
481,702
475,046
475,070
516,300
488,020
496,212
489,824
516,448
476,732
476,732516,448489,824496,212488,020516,300475,070475,046481,702493,261454,295453,368458,621469,881443,469430,825435,357447,268522,842564,1940545,021000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
63,002
0
56,981
60,341
75,345
63,372
59,249
69,634
92,225
81,617
81,545
76,530
103,158
93,816
102,896
105,427
130,023
100,629
129,123
122,705
146,088
108,079
108,079146,088122,705129,123100,629130,023105,427102,89693,816103,15876,53081,54581,61792,22569,63459,24963,37275,34560,34156,981063,002000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
4,258
0
5,701
6,117
5,230
5,238
3,588
3,596
8,353
8,163
7,793
6,542
8,013
12,636
7,665
7,466
7,395
11,682
31,693
3,000
8,306
3,000
3,0008,3063,00031,69311,6827,3957,4667,66512,6368,0136,5427,7938,1638,3533,5963,5885,2385,2306,1175,70104,258000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
4,210
0
0
3,153
4,680
4,680
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,020
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,0003,0003,0003,0003,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0203,0204,6804,6803,153004,210000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
4,917
0
4,030
5,436
6,394
6,593
5,549
11,260
7,458
6,255
5,243
3,002
7,533
4,326
3,789
5,256
5,171
3,733
4,801
2,494
3,502
5,068
5,0683,5022,4944,8013,7335,1715,2563,7894,3267,5333,0025,2436,2557,45811,2605,5496,5936,3945,4364,03004,917000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
27,536
0
47,250
48,788
32,147
21,739
20,992
26,791
29,520
17,948
19,486
24,711
33,180
21,503
32,117
37,056
55,769
27,092
56,102
56,175
56,021
27,976
27,97656,02156,17556,10227,09255,76937,05632,11721,50333,18024,71119,48617,94829,52026,79120,99221,73932,14748,78847,250027,536000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
482,019
0
507,213
462,501
371,923
371,985
371,576
373,835
377,656
377,004
371,823
377,765
390,103
387,886
372,150
369,643
386,277
387,391
367,089
367,119
370,360
368,653
368,653370,360367,119367,089387,391386,277369,643372,150387,886390,103377,765371,823377,004377,656373,835371,576371,985371,923462,501507,2130482,019000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
83,297
0
0
0
76,439
77,620
78,780
81,552
77,654
76,348
72,660
78,828
89,982
89,096
74,761
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000074,76189,09689,98278,82872,66076,34877,65481,55278,78077,62076,43900083,297000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
937
868
797
729
0
590
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000005900729797868937000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
0
0
0
492,048
492,048
492,190
497,538
822,132
827,267
834,510
971,320
1,041,849
1,048,405
1,048,381
1,054,398
1,079,661
1,085,055
1,097,174
1,051,751
1,046,840
1,054,358
1,043,401
1,053,405
1,058,656
1,084,279
1,084,2791,058,6561,053,4051,043,4011,054,3581,046,8401,051,7511,097,1741,085,0551,079,6611,054,3981,048,3811,048,4051,041,849971,320834,510827,267822,132497,538492,190492,048492,048000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
1,324
0
0
1,324
1,529
1,529
1,529
1,574
1,596
1,596
1,600
1,599
1,596
1,601
1,601
1,602
1,603
1,607
1,618
1,618
1,620
1,625
1,6251,6201,6181,6181,6071,6031,6021,6011,6011,5961,5991,6001,5961,5961,5741,5291,5291,5291,324001,324000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0000000-54,809-59,515-60,873-70,047-73,983-73,394-75,604-65,905-64,143-61,28600000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
0
0
0
-5,497
492,048
-10,228
-6,514
-1,587
-2,655
-85
-2,930
-3,926
-7,046
-13,718
-17,928
-8,230
-7,320
-3,173
-7,714
-7,593
-7,036
-8,328
-5,013
-13,424
-5,268
-5,268-13,424-5,013-8,328-7,036-7,593-7,714-3,173-7,320-8,230-17,928-13,718-7,046-3,926-2,930-85-2,655-1,587-6,514-10,228492,048-5,497000
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
889,679
897,209
1,038,581
1,119,821
1,127,334
1,136,831
1,143,638
1,150,168
1,158,708
1,162,317
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000001,162,3171,158,7081,150,1681,143,6381,136,8311,127,3341,119,8211,038,581897,209889,67900000000
   Treasury Stock000000000000-85-3800000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
509,162
0
511,536
511,943
884,528
889,679
897,209
1,038,581
1,119,783
1,127,249
1,134,482
1,140,774
1,147,168
1,150,289
1,153,555
1,161,637
1,169,060
1,180,700
1,183,598
1,191,658
1,198,741
1,211,460
1,211,4601,198,7411,191,6581,183,5981,180,7001,169,0601,161,6371,153,5551,150,2891,147,1681,140,7741,134,4821,127,2491,119,7831,038,581897,209889,679884,528511,943511,5360509,162000



5.4. Balance Sheets

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




5.5. Cash Flows

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




5.6. Income Statements

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


5.7. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2024-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue385,148
Cost of Revenue-154,516
Gross Profit230,632230,632
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit230,632
Operating Expense-232,363
Operating Income-1,731-1,731
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development37,105
Selling General Administrative94,221
Selling And Marketing Expenses47,444
Operating Expense232,363178,770
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-21,520
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-21,520
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-1,731
Net Interest Income-21,520
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)-17,18413,722
EBIT - interestExpense = -17,184
-17,184
9,469
Interest Expense21,520
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)4,3364,336
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)72,369
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-17,184
Tax Provision--5,133
Net Income From Continuing Ops-12,051-12,051
Net Income-12,051
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses333,286
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-15,45321,520
 

Technical Analysis of Certara
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Certara. The general trend of Certara is BEARISH with 71.4% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Certara's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-71.4%) Bearish trend (71.4%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Certara Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

SupportΒ is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
ResistanceΒ is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Certara Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 11.98 < 12.41 < 15.27.

The bearish price targets are: 10.23 > 8.635.

Know someone who trades $CERT? Share this with them.πŸ‘‡

Certara Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart
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2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows theΒ moving averageΒ of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are laggingΒ trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Certara Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 2/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -10/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Certara Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows theΒ momentumΒ of theΒ selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is aΒ lagging momentumΒ indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Certara Inc. The current macd is -0.04533191.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Certara price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Certara. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Certara price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Certara Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartCertara Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Certara Inc. The current adx is 12.11.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Certara shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
Certara Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • ShowsΒ the current trend.
  • ShowsΒ potential entry signals.
  • ShowsΒ Β potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to placeΒ trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Certara Inc. The current sar is 10.91.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Certara Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentumΒ indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • RangesΒ between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Certara Inc. The current rsi is 46.01. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Certara Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartCertara Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

ComparesΒ a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • LeadingΒ momentumΒ indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • RangesΒ between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Certara Inc. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Certara price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Certara Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartCertara Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero,Β the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Certara Inc. The current cci is 19.18.

Certara Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartCertara Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Certara Inc. The current cmo is -10.327671.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Certara Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartCertara Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

Β Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
Β 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 andΒ -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Certara Inc. The current willr is -50.92115803.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Certara is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Certara Inc Daily Williams %R ChartCertara Inc Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversoldΒ 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Certara Inc.

Certara Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Certara Inc. The current atr is 0.48181958.

Certara Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartCertara Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Β Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Certara Inc. The current obv is -22,827,211.

Certara Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartCertara Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Certara Inc. The current mfi is 71.84.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Certara Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartCertara Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Certara Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2025-02-20SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-02-21CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2025-02-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-02-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-02-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-02-28BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2025-03-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-03-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-06DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-03-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-03-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-03-14RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-17SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2025-03-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-03-20CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-03-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-03-26CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-03-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-04-02RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2025-04-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-04-04MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-04-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-04-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2025-04-09RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-04-10MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2025-04-11DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-04-14ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-04-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-04-16RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2025-04-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-04-23RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-04-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-05-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-05-02MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-05-06DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-05-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-05-09CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-05-13MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-05-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-05-15CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2025-05-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-05-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-05-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-05-23WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-05-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-06-02CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-06-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-06-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2025-06-05DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-06-06DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2025-06-09DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-06-10CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2025-06-11WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2025-06-12DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-06-13CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-06-16MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2025-06-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-06-26MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-06-27DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2025-07-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-07-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-07-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-07-07DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-07-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2025-07-09DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2025-07-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Certara Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Certara Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5046.012
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5011.094
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10011.559
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20011.693
OpenGreater thanClose11.330
Total2/5 (40.0%)
Penke
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