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Cresud SA
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Cresud together

I guess you are interested in Cresud SA. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Cresud SA. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Cresud (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Cresud? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
ARS0.29
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
ARS809.53
Expected worth in 1 year
ARS2,661.37
How sure are you?
87.5%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
ARS2,145.87
Return On Investment
175.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
ARS1,220.00
Expected price per share
ARS1,150 - ARS1,269
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Cresud (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
ARS1,220.00
Intrinsic Value Per Share
ARS3.41 - ARS320.24
Total Value Per Share
ARS812.94 - ARS1,129.77

2.2. Growth of Cresud (5 min.)




Is Cresud growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$483m$206.7m$276.2m57.2%

How much money is Cresud making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$43.8m$37m$6.7m15.5%
Net Profit Margin23.0%38.7%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Cresud (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Conglomerates industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Conglomerates)  


Richest
#122 / 243

Most Revenue
#121 / 243

Most Profit
#63 / 243
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Cresud?

Welcome investor! Cresud's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Cresud.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Cresud. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Cresud is ARS1,220. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Cresud.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Cresud, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is ARS809.53. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is ARS462.96 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is ARS169.10 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is ARS73.51 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Cresud.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 ARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.070.0%0.070.0%0.130.0%0.020.0%0.010.0%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.460.0%0.460.0%0.170.0%0.140.0%0.100.0%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.070.0%0.070.0%0.030.0%0.030.0%0.020.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.540.0%0.540.0%0.200.0%0.160.0%0.120.0%
Usd Price Per Share0.40-0.40-0.13-0.14-0.10-
Price to Earnings Ratio5.67-5.67-0.96-1.31--2.18-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio0.75-0.75-0.65--1.92--0.92-
Price to Book Ratio0.50-0.50-0.37-0.38-0.43-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio0.75-0.75-0.65--1.92--0.92-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share1.22
Number of shares819
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.070.03
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.460.14
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.540.16
Gains per Quarter (819 shares)439.37133.17
Gains per Year (819 shares)1,757.47532.68
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
12411517174785448523
2482303335041708951056
37224550526125513431589
49636067701834017912122
512047583877542522382655
6144591001053251026863188
71686106171228959531343721
81926121331404668035824254
92167136501580376540294787
102408151671756085044775320

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%5.03.00.062.5%5.03.00.062.5%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%4.01.00.080.0%7.01.00.087.5%7.01.00.087.5%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.00.00.0100.0%8.00.00.0100.0%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%4.01.00.080.0%7.01.00.087.5%7.01.00.087.5%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Cresud SA compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--462.961462.9610%169.097+174%136.659+239%101.191+358%
Book Value Per Share--809.529809.5290%346.569+134%337.491+140%240.203+237%
Current Ratio--1.0781.0780%0.766+41%1.176-8%1.250-14%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.5480.5480%0.609-10%0.698-21%0.748-27%
Debt To Equity Ratio--2.7962.7960%3.918-29%12.253-77%29.245-90%
Dividend Per Share--73.50773.5070%28.109+162%25.942+183%17.503+320%
Eps--70.76570.7650%133.999-47%15.813+348%12.038+488%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--29.17229.1720%29.614-1%25.736+13%20.009+46%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---122.909-122.9090%-104.125-15%-171.989+40%-104.462-15%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--320.244--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--3.414--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--27.167--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--17.754--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--85.378--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--38.578--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--148.113--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--43.061--------
Market Cap727943509760.000+67%239445680710.400239445680710.4000%76613071027.200+213%84453392565.820+184%59924824355.638+300%
Net Profit Margin--0.2300.2300%0.387-40%0.025+810%0.032+623%
Operating Margin--0.1210.1210%0.037+228%-0.027+123%0.024+406%
Operating Ratio--1.4911.4910%1.320+13%1.403+6%1.466+2%
Pb Ratio1.507+67%0.4960.4960%0.370+34%0.379+31%0.432+15%
Pe Ratio17.240+67%5.6715.6710%0.958+492%1.310+333%-2.183+138%
Price Per Share1220.000+67%401.300401.3000%128.400+213%141.540+184%100.431+300%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio41.821+67%13.75713.7570%4.336+217%6.125+125%5.136+168%
Price To Total Gains Ratio2.274+67%0.7480.7480%0.651+15%-1.917+356%-0.919+223%
Quick Ratio--0.6100.6100%0.286+113%0.442+38%0.489+25%
Return On Assets--0.0410.0410%0.070-41%0.009+379%0.007+465%
Return On Equity--0.2090.2090%0.451-54%-0.137+166%-0.169+181%
Total Gains Per Share--536.468536.4680%197.206+172%162.601+230%118.694+352%
Usd Book Value--483026000.000483026000.0000%206789000.000+134%201372200.000+140%143323375.000+237%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.4630.4630%0.169+174%0.137+239%0.101+358%
Usd Book Value Per Share--0.8100.8100%0.347+134%0.337+140%0.240+237%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.0740.0740%0.028+162%0.026+183%0.018+320%
Usd Eps--0.0710.0710%0.134-47%0.016+348%0.012+488%
Usd Free Cash Flow--17406000.00017406000.0000%17670000.000-1%15355800.000+13%11938625.000+46%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0290.0290%0.030-1%0.026+13%0.020+46%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.123-0.1230%-0.104-15%-0.172+40%-0.104-15%
Usd Market Cap727943509.760+67%239445680.710239445680.7100%76613071.027+213%84453392.566+184%59924824.356+300%
Usd Price Per Share1.220+67%0.4010.4010%0.128+213%0.142+184%0.100+300%
Usd Profit--43870000.00043870000.0000%37088000.000+18%10713800.000+309%7429250.000+491%
Usd Revenue--190405000.000190405000.0000%95850000.000+99%106517400.000+79%85609375.000+122%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.5360.5360%0.197+172%0.163+230%0.119+352%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+20 -155Y+29 -610Y+27 -8

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Cresud SA based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1517.240
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.507
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.230
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.121
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.610
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.078
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.548
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than12.796
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.209
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.041
Total5/10 (50.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Cresud SA based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5061.835
Ma 20Greater thanMa 501,131.362
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1001,113.445
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2001,074.907
OpenGreater thanClose1,260.000
Total5/5 (100.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Cresud SA

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban Properties and Investments segments. It is also involved in the management, development, and ownership of shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels; sale of grain derivatives, such as flour and oil; production and sale of crops, such as soybean, sugarcane, wheat, corn, oilseed, and sunflower, as well as sorghum and peanuts; and breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to slaughterhouses and supermarkets. In addition, it leases its farms to third parties for agriculture, cattle breeding, and seed production; and offers agricultural services. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-11-03 00:28:03.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is cheap.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Cresud earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 23.0% means that $0.23 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 23.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 23.0%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ23.0%TTM23.0%0.0%
TTM23.0%YOY38.7%-15.7%
TTM23.0%5Y2.5%+20.5%
5Y2.5%10Y3.2%-0.7%
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ23.0%4.3%+18.7%
TTM23.0%4.2%+18.8%
YOY38.7%3.7%+35.0%
5Y2.5%3.1%-0.6%
10Y3.2%3.6%-0.4%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Cresud is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • 4.1% Return on Assets means that Cresud generated $0.04 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 4.1%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 4.1%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.1%TTM4.1%0.0%
TTM4.1%YOY7.0%-2.9%
TTM4.1%5Y0.9%+3.2%
5Y0.9%10Y0.7%+0.1%
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.1%0.7%+3.4%
TTM4.1%0.8%+3.3%
YOY7.0%0.7%+6.3%
5Y0.9%0.7%+0.2%
10Y0.7%0.7%+0.0%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Cresud is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • 20.9% Return on Equity means Cresud generated $0.21 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 20.9%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 20.9%. Using its investors money, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ20.9%TTM20.9%0.0%
TTM20.9%YOY45.1%-24.1%
TTM20.9%5Y-13.7%+34.6%
5Y-13.7%10Y-16.9%+3.2%
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ20.9%2.2%+18.7%
TTM20.9%1.9%+19.0%
YOY45.1%2.2%+42.9%
5Y-13.7%1.9%-15.6%
10Y-16.9%2.1%-19.0%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Cresud SA.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Cresud is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Cresud makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 12.1% means the company generated $0.12  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 12.1%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 12.1%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ12.1%TTM12.1%0.0%
TTM12.1%YOY3.7%+8.4%
TTM12.1%5Y-2.7%+14.8%
5Y-2.7%10Y2.4%-5.1%
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ12.1%8.0%+4.1%
TTM12.1%6.7%+5.4%
YOY3.7%5.2%-1.5%
5Y-2.7%4.7%-7.4%
10Y2.4%5.4%-3.0%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Cresud is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Conglomerates industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.49 means that the operating costs are $1.49 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 1.491. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.491. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.491TTM1.4910.000
TTM1.491YOY1.320+0.171
TTM1.4915Y1.403+0.088
5Y1.40310Y1.466-0.063
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.4911.322+0.169
TTM1.4911.239+0.252
YOY1.3201.133+0.187
5Y1.4031.085+0.318
10Y1.4661.057+0.409
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Cresud SA.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Cresud is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Conglomerates industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.08 means the company has $1.08 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 1.078. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.078. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.078TTM1.0780.000
TTM1.078YOY0.766+0.312
TTM1.0785Y1.176-0.099
5Y1.17610Y1.250-0.074
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0781.484-0.406
TTM1.0781.503-0.425
YOY0.7661.483-0.717
5Y1.1761.566-0.390
10Y1.2501.546-0.296
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Cresud is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.61 means the company can pay off $0.61 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 0.610. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.610. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.610TTM0.6100.000
TTM0.610YOY0.286+0.324
TTM0.6105Y0.442+0.168
5Y0.44210Y0.489-0.047
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6100.754-0.144
TTM0.6100.748-0.138
YOY0.2860.817-0.531
5Y0.4420.891-0.449
10Y0.4890.933-0.444
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4.5.4. Solvency of Cresud SA.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Cresud assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to Conglomerates industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.55 means that Cresud assets are financed with 54.8% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 54.8%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 0.548. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.548. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.548TTM0.5480.000
TTM0.548YOY0.609-0.061
TTM0.5485Y0.698-0.150
5Y0.69810Y0.748-0.050
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5480.534+0.014
TTM0.5480.538+0.010
YOY0.6090.558+0.051
5Y0.6980.557+0.141
10Y0.7480.562+0.186
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Cresud is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 279.6% means that company has $2.80 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The MRQ is 2.796. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 2.796. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.796TTM2.7960.000
TTM2.796YOY3.918-1.121
TTM2.7965Y12.253-9.456
5Y12.25310Y29.245-16.992
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.7961.222+1.574
TTM2.7961.246+1.550
YOY3.9181.332+2.586
5Y12.2531.522+10.731
10Y29.2451.523+27.722
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Cresud generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Cresud to the Conglomerates industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 5.67 means the investor is paying $5.67 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The EOD is 17.240. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 5.671. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 5.671. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD17.240MRQ5.671+11.569
MRQ5.671TTM5.6710.000
TTM5.671YOY0.958+4.713
TTM5.6715Y1.310+4.360
5Y1.31010Y-2.183+3.493
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD17.2409.030+8.210
MRQ5.6718.887-3.216
TTM5.6717.911-2.240
YOY0.9588.856-7.898
5Y1.3108.070-6.760
10Y-2.18315.434-17.617
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The EOD is 41.821. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 13.757. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 13.757. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD41.821MRQ13.757+28.065
MRQ13.757TTM13.7570.000
TTM13.757YOY4.336+9.421
TTM13.7575Y6.125+7.631
5Y6.12510Y5.136+0.990
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD41.8212.674+39.147
MRQ13.7572.385+11.372
TTM13.7570.446+13.311
YOY4.3361.905+2.431
5Y6.1250.777+5.348
10Y5.1360.246+4.890
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Cresud is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Conglomerates industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.50 means the investor is paying $0.50 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Cresud SA:

  • The EOD is 1.507. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 0.496. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.496. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.507MRQ0.496+1.011
MRQ0.496TTM0.4960.000
TTM0.496YOY0.370+0.125
TTM0.4965Y0.379+0.117
5Y0.37910Y0.432-0.053
Compared to industry (Conglomerates)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.5070.938+0.569
MRQ0.4960.893-0.397
TTM0.4960.900-0.404
YOY0.3700.973-0.603
5Y0.3791.149-0.770
10Y0.4321.383-0.951
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-06-302020-06-302021-06-302022-06-302023-06-30
Tax Provision  1,830,0006,277,0008,107,00019,833,00027,940,000-25,963,0001,977,000-74,698,000-72,721,000
Income Tax Expense  820,00018,773,00019,593,00079,179,00098,772,000-94,510,0004,262,000-78,541,000-74,279,000



6.2. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-06-30. Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets1,069,353,000
Total Liabilities586,327,000
Total Stockholder Equity209,674,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 586,327,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 209,674,000
Total Assets = 1,069,353,000

Assets

Total Assets1,069,353,000
Total Current Assets214,938,000
Long-term Assets854,415,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 38,936,000
Short-term Investments 43,821,000
Net Receivables 77,821,000
Inventory 47,054,000
Other Current Assets 6,162,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)214,938,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)213,794,000
+/- 1,144,000
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 164,292,000
Goodwill 1,315,000
Long Term Investments 41,745,000
Intangible Assets 8,652,000
Other Assets 629,106,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)854,415,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)845,110,000
+/- 9,305,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities199,467,000
Long-term Liabilities391,310,000
Total Stockholder Equity209,674,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 102,701,000
Accounts payable 80,383,000
Other Current Liabilities 3,764,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)199,467,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)186,848,000
+/- 12,619,000
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 159,351,000
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt23,663,000
Other Liabilities 212,566,000
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)391,310,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)395,580,000
+/- 4,270,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock586,000
Retained Earnings 38,855,000
Other Stockholders Equity 103,306,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)209,674,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)142,747,000
+/- 66,927,000
Other
Capital Stock586,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 591,821
Net Debt 223,116,000
Net Invested Capital 471,726,000
Net Tangible Assets 198,061,000
Net Working Capital 19,921,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 205,490,000



6.3. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-06-302022-06-302021-06-302020-06-302019-06-302018-06-302017-06-302016-06-30
> Total Assets 
166,001,000
241,446,000
353,770,000
507,989,000
686,940,000
339,172,000
529,227,000
1,069,353,000
1,069,353,000529,227,000339,172,000686,940,000507,989,000353,770,000241,446,000166,001,000
   > Total Current Assets 
45,121,000
68,360,000
159,473,000
218,757,000
346,997,000
114,757,000
243,580,000
214,938,000
214,938,000243,580,000114,757,000346,997,000218,757,000159,473,00068,360,00045,121,000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
14,096,000
25,363,000
38,650,000
62,484,000
100,926,000
27,529,000
34,911,000
38,936,000
38,936,00034,911,00027,529,000100,926,00062,484,00038,650,00025,363,00014,096,000
       Short-term Investments 
9,673,000
11,853,000
30,112,000
43,240,000
21,569,000
1,414,000
19,272,000
43,821,000
43,821,00019,272,0001,414,00021,569,00043,240,00030,112,00011,853,0009,673,000
       Net Receivables 
11,262,000
18,676,000
27,399,000
39,011,000
65,663,000
37,262,000
71,823,000
77,821,000
77,821,00071,823,00037,262,00065,663,00039,011,00027,399,00018,676,00011,262,000
       Inventory 
3,900,000
6,844,000
10,190,000
10,721,000
21,267,000
28,726,000
49,208,000
47,054,000
47,054,00049,208,00028,726,00021,267,00010,721,00010,190,0006,844,0003,900,000
       Other Current Assets 
455,000
3,287,000
14,927,000
17,921,000
75,620,000
1,038,000
6,036,000
6,162,000
6,162,0006,036,0001,038,00075,620,00017,921,00014,927,0003,287,000455,000
   > Long-term Assets 
120,880,000
173,086,000
251,336,000
354,930,000
455,917,000
269,191,000
416,239,000
854,415,000
854,415,000416,239,000269,191,000455,917,000354,930,000251,336,000173,086,000120,880,000
       Property Plant Equipment 
27,298,000
31,821,000
37,842,000
55,911,000
88,152,000
44,372,000
66,228,000
164,292,000
164,292,00066,228,00044,372,00088,152,00055,911,00037,842,00031,821,00027,298,000
       Goodwill 
2,238,000
2,806,000
3,121,000
4,710,000
5,821,000
386,000
605,000
1,315,000
1,315,000605,000386,0005,821,0004,710,0003,121,0002,806,0002,238,000
       Long Term Investments 
18,760,000
16,224,000
34,239,000
38,462,000
78,643,000
14,319,000
21,822,000
41,745,000
41,745,00021,822,00014,319,00078,643,00038,462,00034,239,00016,224,00018,760,000
       Intangible Assets 
9,576,000
9,637,000
9,242,000
13,494,000
22,371,000
2,604,000
3,677,000
8,652,000
8,652,0003,677,0002,604,00022,371,00013,494,0009,242,0009,637,0009,576,000
       Other Assets 
92,574,000
112,598,000
285,270,000
370,377,000
398,689,000
334,954,000
691,749,000
629,106,000
629,106,000691,749,000334,954,000398,689,000370,377,000285,270,000112,598,00092,574,000
> Total Liabilities 
150,769,000
192,273,000
278,449,000
418,989,000
564,787,000
233,279,000
322,438,000
586,327,000
586,327,000322,438,000233,279,000564,787,000418,989,000278,449,000192,273,000150,769,000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
45,599,000
51,191,000
88,952,000
128,063,000
259,637,000
115,488,000
318,149,000
199,467,000
199,467,000318,149,000115,488,000259,637,000128,063,00088,952,00051,191,00045,599,000
       Short-term Debt 
23,488,000
23,287,000
32,083,000
56,243,000
0
0
0
0
000056,243,00032,083,00023,287,00023,488,000
       Short Long Term Debt 
23,488,000
23,287,000
32,083,000
56,243,000
98,389,000
45,435,000
95,267,000
102,701,000
102,701,00095,267,00045,435,00098,389,00056,243,00032,083,00023,287,00023,488,000
       Accounts payable 
11,180,000
21,970,000
28,027,000
32,299,000
53,806,000
32,116,000
66,662,000
80,383,000
80,383,00066,662,00032,116,00053,806,00032,299,00028,027,00021,970,00011,180,000
       Other Current Liabilities 
147,000
3,680,000
8,107,000
11,578,000
42,511,000
3,818,000
35,856,000
3,764,000
3,764,00035,856,0003,818,00042,511,00011,578,0008,107,0003,680,000147,000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
105,170,000
141,082,000
221,395,000
329,387,000
391,926,000
162,852,000
174,859,000
391,310,000
391,310,000174,859,000162,852,000391,926,000329,387,000221,395,000141,082,000105,170,000
       Long term Debt 
93,808,000
112,025,000
187,462,000
278,062,000
320,418,000
73,233,000
46,164,000
159,351,000
159,351,00046,164,00073,233,000320,418,000278,062,000187,462,000112,025,00093,808,000
       Capital Lease Obligations 
0
0
0
0
20,855,000
6,160,000
9,347,000
23,663,000
23,663,0009,347,0006,160,00020,855,0000000
       Other Liabilities 
23,044,000
29,057,000
53,621,000
73,356,000
84,583,000
139,471,000
262,223,000
212,566,000
212,566,000262,223,000139,471,00084,583,00073,356,00053,621,00029,057,00023,044,000
> Total Stockholder Equity
1,021,000
16,405,000
20,925,000
16,820,000
25,159,000
32,446,000
82,303,000
209,674,000
209,674,00082,303,00032,446,00025,159,00016,820,00020,925,00016,405,0001,021,000
   Common Stock
495,000
499,000
482,000
486,000
499,000
589,000
590,000
586,000
586,000590,000589,000499,000486,000482,000499,000495,000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity00000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 00000000
   Capital Surplus 00000000
   Treasury Stock00000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
1,372,000
2,588,000
12,348,000
47,893,000
16,694,000
34,413,000
61,743,000
103,306,000
103,306,00061,743,00034,413,00016,694,00047,893,00012,348,0002,588,0001,372,000



6.4. Balance Sheets

Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Cash Flows

Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.




6.6. Income Statements

Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.


6.7. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-06-30. Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue190,405,000
Cost of Revenue-119,134,000
Gross Profit71,271,00071,271,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit71,271,000
Operating Expense-164,770,000
Operating Income25,635,000-93,499,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative31,698,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense164,770,00031,698,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income2,199,000
Interest Expense-22,463,000
Other Finance Cost-3,758,000
Net Interest Income-24,022,000
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income25,635,000
Net Interest Income-24,022,000
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)5,458,00021,790,000
EBIT - interestExpense = 553,000
-30,409,000
66,333,000
Interest Expense22,463,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)23,016,00027,921,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)0
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax5,458,000
Tax Provision--72,721,000
Net Income From Continuing Ops78,179,00078,179,000
Net Income43,870,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares42,224,000
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses7,433,000
Total Other Income/Expenses Net3,845,00024,022,000
 

Technical Analysis of Cresud
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Cresud. The general trend of Cresud is BULLISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Cresud's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (100.0%) Bearish trend (-100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Cresud SA.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Around resistance: The price is trading arround resistance levels. This can be considered as a potential exit level. -1

The bullish price targets are: 1,269.

The bearish price targets are: 1,170 > 1,155 > 1,150.

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Cresud SA Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Cresud SA. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 14/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Cresud SA Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Cresud SA. The current macd is 34.90.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Cresud price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Cresud. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Cresud price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Cresud SA Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartCresud SA Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Cresud SA. The current adx is 18.81.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Cresud shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Cresud SA Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Cresud SA. The current sar is 1,103.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Cresud SA Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Cresud SA. The current rsi is 61.84. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 3/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Cresud SA Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartCresud SA Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Cresud SA. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 1/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Cresud price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Cresud SA Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartCresud SA Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Cresud SA. The current cci is 127.94.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI > 100: The CCI is above 100, it indicates that the price is significantly above its average, suggesting a potential overbought condition. +1
Cresud SA Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartCresud SA Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Cresud SA. The current cmo is 27.26.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Cresud SA Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartCresud SA Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Cresud SA. The current willr is -29.07530718.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Cresud is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Cresud SA Daily Williams %R ChartCresud SA Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Cresud SA.

Cresud SA Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Cresud SA. The current atr is 59.27.

Cresud SA Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartCresud SA Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Cresud SA. The current obv is 27,904,651.

Cresud SA Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartCresud SA Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Cresud SA. The current mfi is 71.25.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Cresud SA Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartCresud SA Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Cresud SA.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-07-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-07-15MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-07-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-07-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-25CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-29ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-30BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-08-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-09MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-13CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-08-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-21CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-08-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-29CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-30DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-09-02WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-06ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-10SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-11CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-12SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-24MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-27SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-09-30DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-01CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-02DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-08DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-09DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-10-10SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-14MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-10-15MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-16DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-10-18WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-24DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-10-25SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-10-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-29MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-10-30MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-31SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-11-01SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-11-04CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-11-05MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-11-06BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-11-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-11-08MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-11-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-13CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-11-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Cresud SA Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Cresud SA based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5061.835
Ma 20Greater thanMa 501,131.362
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1001,113.445
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2001,074.907
OpenGreater thanClose1,260.000
Total5/5 (100.0%)
Penke
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