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Erie Indemnity Company
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Let's analyse Erie Indemnity Company together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Erie Indemnity Company. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Erie Indemnity Company. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Erie Indemnity Company (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Erie Indemnity Company? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$16.83
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$31.56
Expected worth in 1 year
$47.84
How sure are you?
90.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$33.11
Return On Investment
8.7%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$381.74
Expected price per share
$350.73 - $409.97
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Erie Indemnity Company (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$381.74

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$-25.88 - $121.30

Total Value Per Share

$5.69 - $152.86

2. Growth of Erie Indemnity Company (5 min.)




Is Erie Indemnity Company growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.6b$1.4b$214.4m12.9%

How much money is Erie Indemnity Company making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$446m$298.5m$147.4m33.1%
Net Profit Margin13.7%10.5%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Erie Indemnity Company (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Insurance Brokers industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Insurance Brokers)  

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Erie Indemnity Company? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Erie Indemnity Company's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Erie Indemnity Company.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Erie Indemnity Company?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Erie Indemnity Company. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Erie Indemnity Company is $381.74. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Erie Indemnity Company.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Erie Indemnity Company, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $31.56. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $4.07 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $2.02 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $4.21 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Erie Indemnity Company.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps8.472.2%8.472.2%5.671.5%6.271.6%4.911.3%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share4.071.1%4.071.1%2.020.5%2.980.8%-9.65-2.5%
Usd Dividend Per Share4.211.1%4.211.1%3.931.0%4.031.1%3.180.8%
Usd Total Gains Per Share8.282.2%8.282.2%5.941.6%7.011.8%-6.47-1.7%
Usd Price Per Share334.92-334.92-248.72-237.58-174.19-
Price to Earnings Ratio39.55-39.55-43.88-37.85-34.75-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio40.46-40.46-41.87-34.35-28.23-
Price to Book Ratio10.61-10.61-9.05-9.17-7.81-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio40.46-40.46-41.87-34.35-28.23-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share381.74
Number of shares2
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share4.214.03
Usd Book Value Change Per Share4.072.98
Usd Total Gains Per Share8.287.01
Gains per Quarter (2 shares)16.5514.02
Gains per Year (2 shares)66.2256.08
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1343356322446
267651226448102
3101981889772158
413513025412995214
5168163320161119270
6202195386193143326
7236228452226167382
8269260518258191438
9303293584290215494
10337326650322238550

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%31.00.00.0100.0%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%9.01.00.090.0%25.06.00.080.6%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%31.00.00.0100.0%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%9.01.00.090.0%28.03.00.090.3%

Fundamentals of Erie Indemnity Company

About Erie Indemnity Company

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. It provides issuance and renewal services; sales related services, including agent compensation, and sales and advertising support services; underwriting services comprise underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as information technology services. The company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Erie, Pennsylvania.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-11 07:04:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is expensive.
Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced.

1.1. Profitability of Erie Indemnity Company.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Erie Indemnity Company earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 13.7% means that $0.14 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 13.7%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 13.7%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ13.7%TTM13.7%0.0%
TTM13.7%YOY10.5%+3.2%
TTM13.7%5Y11.8%+1.8%
5Y11.8%10Y11.0%+0.9%
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ13.7%7.9%+5.8%
TTM13.7%6.9%+6.8%
YOY10.5%8.8%+1.7%
5Y11.8%8.7%+3.1%
10Y11.0%8.1%+2.9%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Erie Indemnity Company is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • 17.8% Return on Assets means that Erie Indemnity Company generated $0.18 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 17.8%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 17.8%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ17.8%TTM17.8%0.0%
TTM17.8%YOY13.3%+4.4%
TTM17.8%5Y14.8%+3.0%
5Y14.8%10Y12.9%+1.9%
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ17.8%1.6%+16.2%
TTM17.8%0.9%+16.9%
YOY13.3%0.9%+12.4%
5Y14.8%0.9%+13.9%
10Y12.9%1.1%+11.8%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Erie Indemnity Company is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • 26.8% Return on Equity means Erie Indemnity Company generated $0.27 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 26.8%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 26.8%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ26.8%TTM26.8%0.0%
TTM26.8%YOY20.6%+6.2%
TTM26.8%5Y24.5%+2.4%
5Y24.5%10Y24.7%-0.3%
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ26.8%4.8%+22.0%
TTM26.8%4.9%+21.9%
YOY20.6%3.1%+17.5%
5Y24.5%3.3%+21.2%
10Y24.7%3.4%+21.3%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Erie Indemnity Company.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Erie Indemnity Company is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Erie Indemnity Company makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 15.8% means the company generated $0.16  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 15.8%. The company is operating efficient. +1
  • The TTM is 15.8%. The company is operating efficient. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ15.8%TTM15.8%0.0%
TTM15.8%YOY13.3%+2.5%
TTM15.8%5Y-0.1%+15.8%
5Y-0.1%10Y7.8%-7.9%
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ15.8%11.1%+4.7%
TTM15.8%5.4%+10.4%
YOY13.3%9.2%+4.1%
5Y-0.1%8.2%-8.3%
10Y7.8%5.9%+1.9%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Erie Indemnity Company is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Insurance Brokers industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.84 means that the operating costs are $0.84 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 0.842. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.842. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.842TTM0.8420.000
TTM0.842YOY0.001+0.842
TTM0.8425Y0.043+0.800
5Y0.04310Y0.005+0.038
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8420.987-0.145
TTM0.8421.002-0.160
YOY0.0010.998-0.997
5Y0.0430.967-0.924
10Y0.0050.957-0.952

1.3. Liquidity of Erie Indemnity Company.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Erie Indemnity Company is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Insurance Brokers industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.31 means the company has $1.31 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 1.312. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.312. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.312TTM1.3120.000
TTM1.312YOY1.376-0.064
TTM1.3125Y1.536-0.224
5Y1.53610Y1.776-0.240
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.3121.279+0.033
TTM1.3121.343-0.031
YOY1.3761.389-0.013
5Y1.5361.321+0.215
10Y1.7761.431+0.345
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Erie Indemnity Company is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.33 means the company can pay off $1.33 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 1.330. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +1
  • The TTM is 1.330. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.330TTM1.3300.000
TTM1.330YOY1.424-0.094
TTM1.3305Y1.589-0.259
5Y1.58910Y7.541-5.952
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.3301.040+0.290
TTM1.3301.140+0.190
YOY1.4241.131+0.293
5Y1.5891.164+0.425
10Y7.5411.478+6.063

1.4. Solvency of Erie Indemnity Company.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Erie Indemnity Company assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.34 means that Erie Indemnity Company assets are financed with 33.8% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 33.8%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 0.338. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.338. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.338TTM0.3380.000
TTM0.338YOY0.353-0.016
TTM0.3385Y0.394-0.056
5Y0.39410Y0.438-0.045
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3380.621-0.283
TTM0.3380.624-0.286
YOY0.3530.619-0.266
5Y0.3940.594-0.200
10Y0.4380.583-0.145
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Erie Indemnity Company is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 51.0% means that company has $0.51 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The MRQ is 0.510. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.510. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.510TTM0.5100.000
TTM0.510YOY0.546-0.036
TTM0.5105Y0.657-0.148
5Y0.65710Y2.069-1.411
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5101.599-1.089
TTM0.5101.726-1.216
YOY0.5461.910-1.364
5Y0.6571.766-1.109
10Y2.0692.089-0.020

2. Market Valuation of Erie Indemnity Company

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Erie Indemnity Company generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Erie Indemnity Company to the Insurance Brokers industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 39.55 means the investor is paying $39.55 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The EOD is 45.084. Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The MRQ is 39.555. Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The TTM is 39.555. Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD45.084MRQ39.555+5.530
MRQ39.555TTM39.5550.000
TTM39.555YOY43.884-4.329
TTM39.5555Y37.851+1.704
5Y37.85110Y34.752+3.099
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD45.0848.781+36.303
MRQ39.5558.107+31.448
TTM39.5558.594+30.961
YOY43.88412.416+31.468
5Y37.85111.599+26.252
10Y34.75212.121+22.631
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The EOD is 69.693. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The MRQ is 61.145. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The TTM is 61.145. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD69.693MRQ61.145+8.548
MRQ61.145TTM61.1450.000
TTM61.145YOY43.828+17.316
TTM61.1455Y-56.410+117.555
5Y-56.41010Y-9.004-47.406
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD69.69313.285+56.408
MRQ61.14512.850+48.295
TTM61.1452.716+58.429
YOY43.8282.392+41.436
5Y-56.4107.050-63.460
10Y-9.0045.726-14.730
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Erie Indemnity Company is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Insurance Brokers industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 10.61 means the investor is paying $10.61 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Erie Indemnity Company:

  • The EOD is 12.094. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 10.611. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 10.611. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD12.094MRQ10.611+1.483
MRQ10.611TTM10.6110.000
TTM10.611YOY9.046+1.565
TTM10.6115Y9.166+1.444
5Y9.16610Y7.814+1.352
Compared to industry (Insurance Brokers)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD12.0941.966+10.128
MRQ10.6111.997+8.614
TTM10.6112.227+8.384
YOY9.0461.719+7.327
5Y9.1662.608+6.558
10Y7.8142.424+5.390
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Erie Indemnity Company.

3.1. Institutions holding Erie Indemnity Company

Institutions are holding 36.792% of the shares of Erie Indemnity Company.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-09-30PNC Financial Services Group Inc9.39341.23524911771-1686-0.0343
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc4.75940.02132488707-18655-0.744
2023-09-30Vanguard Group Inc4.70460.01782460051488132.0244
2023-12-31Franklin Resources Inc1.55080.12781091110950.1352
2023-09-30State Street Corporation1.33430.011469768527949966.836
2023-09-30Geode Capital Management, LLC0.75480.0138394695178224.7289
2023-12-31UBS Asset Mgmt Americas Inc0.5790.0399302768-9327-2.9885
2023-09-30Bank of New York Mellon Corp0.46990.015924570310550275.2505
2023-12-31Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.0.43080.022225246-4380-1.9074
2023-12-31First Trust Advisors L.P.0.41760.0798218339-21216-8.8564
2023-09-30Northern Trust Corp0.3540.01051850967356365.9563
2023-12-31Apg All Pensions Group0.33640.10417588722501.2958
2023-09-30Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts0.31250.0049163418-23316-12.4862
2023-12-31Amvescap Plc.0.28960.0121151453111966283.5515
2023-09-30Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp0.28334.460314814800
2023-09-30Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc0.25430.01121329956380.482
2023-09-30Legal & General Group PLC0.230.01231202551243711.5352
2023-09-30Amundi0.21210.016711090422552.0755
2023-09-30JPMorgan Chase & Co0.19630.00331026471611318.6204
2023-09-30Goldman Sachs Group Inc0.18860.0058986023330651.0077
Total 27.05176.225214145281+626679+4.4%

3.2. Funds holding Erie Indemnity Company

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-02-29Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv1.530.021800042-1998-0.2491
2024-03-28iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF1.48410.3664776018-493-0.0635
2024-02-29Franklin Rising Dividends Fund A1.27460.9807666500-57478-7.9392
2024-02-29Vanguard Small Cap Index1.25240.189665485461080.9415
2024-02-29Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr0.70580.1472369085-897-0.2424
2024-02-29Vanguard Small Cap Growth Index Inv0.70220.428136719554981.5201
2024-03-28SPDR® S&P Dividend ETF0.6320.630933046000
2024-03-28iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF0.53950.460428211800
2024-02-29SPDR® S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust0.3810.38551992137500.3779
2024-03-28Invesco S&P MidCap Quality ETF0.36851.73121927145640.2935
2024-02-29Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF0.27580.064314421513980.9789
2024-02-29Fidelity Extended Market Index0.26860.14914047511930.8565
2024-02-29State St S&P Midcap® Indx SL Cl II0.22590.381711810000
2024-03-28iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Growth ETF0.18270.406495528-292-0.3047
2024-03-28iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF0.18150.089194914180.019
2024-03-28SPDR® Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF0.17550.3676917531680.1834
2024-03-28ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Arst0.16692.17558727500
2024-02-29Principal MidCap S&P 400 Index SP0.1460.37617633600
2024-03-29Schwab US Mid-Cap ETF™0.13010.23436804300
2024-03-28Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF0.12731.2876655614432.2161
Total 10.750410.8725621394-44018-0.8%

3.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 45.515% of the shares of Erie Indemnity Company.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-02-29J Ralph Borneman JrSELL10000407.38
2023-08-18Marc CiprianiSELL2000282.52

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Erie Indemnity Company compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--4.0704.0700%2.015+102%2.979+37%-9.650+337%
Book Value Per Share--31.56431.5640%27.495+15%25.718+23%32.297-2%
Current Ratio--1.3121.3120%1.376-5%1.536-15%1.776-26%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.3380.3380%0.353-4%0.394-14%0.438-23%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.5100.5100%0.546-7%0.657-22%2.069-75%
Dividend Per Share--4.2084.2080%3.925+7%4.030+4%3.184+32%
Eps--8.4678.4670%5.668+49%6.273+35%4.911+72%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--5.4775.4770%5.675-3%1.068+413%2.009+173%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.2701.2700%-0.036+103%-3.342+363%-1.198+194%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--121.299--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---25.876--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--4.809--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.146--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--20.047--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---1.930--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--42.036--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---6.589--------
Market Cap17632227034.0000%17643823728.12017643823728.1200%13102393008.800+35%12517480770.848+41%9501155726.576+86%
Net Profit Margin--0.1370.1370%0.105+30%0.118+16%0.110+24%
Operating Margin--0.1580.1580%0.133+18%-0.001+100%0.078+102%
Operating Ratio--0.8420.8420%0.001+148041%0.043+1881%0.005+18066%
Pb Ratio12.094+12%10.61110.6110%9.046+17%9.166+16%7.814+36%
Pe Ratio45.084+12%39.55539.5550%43.884-10%37.851+5%34.752+14%
Price Per Share381.740+12%334.920334.9200%248.720+35%237.580+41%174.191+92%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio69.693+12%61.14561.1450%43.828+40%-56.410+192%-9.004+115%
Price To Total Gains Ratio46.118+12%40.46240.4620%41.869-3%34.347+18%28.229+43%
Quick Ratio--1.3301.3300%1.424-7%1.589-16%7.541-82%
Return On Assets--0.1780.1780%0.133+33%0.148+20%0.129+38%
Return On Equity--0.2680.2680%0.206+30%0.245+10%0.247+9%
Total Gains Per Share--8.2778.2770%5.940+39%7.010+18%-6.466+178%
Usd Book Value--1662835000.0001662835000.0000%1448408000.000+15%1355004400.000+23%1817545100.000-9%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--4.0704.0700%2.015+102%2.979+37%-9.650+337%
Usd Book Value Per Share--31.56431.5640%27.495+15%25.718+23%32.297-2%
Usd Dividend Per Share--4.2084.2080%3.925+7%4.030+4%3.184+32%
Usd Eps--8.4678.4670%5.668+49%6.273+35%4.911+72%
Usd Free Cash Flow--288558000.000288558000.0000%298948000.000-3%56227800.000+413%114441800.000+152%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--5.4775.4770%5.675-3%1.068+413%2.009+173%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.2701.2700%-0.036+103%-3.342+363%-1.198+194%
Usd Market Cap17632227034.0000%17643823728.12017643823728.1200%13102393008.800+35%12517480770.848+41%9501155726.576+86%
Usd Price Per Share381.740+12%334.920334.9200%248.720+35%237.580+41%174.191+92%
Usd Profit--446061000.000446061000.0000%298569000.000+49%330523000.000+35%269088200.000+66%
Usd Revenue--3259903000.0003259903000.0000%2840756000.000+15%2777585800.000+17%2716496000.000+20%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--8.2778.2770%5.940+39%7.010+18%-6.466+178%
 EOD+2 -6MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+25 -105Y+28 -710Y+25 -10

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Erie Indemnity Company based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1545.084
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-112.094
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.137
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.158
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.330
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.312
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.338
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.510
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.268
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.178
Total8/10 (80.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Erie Indemnity Company based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5042.305
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50388.068
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100392.383
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200363.170
OpenGreater thanClose385.610
Total3/5 (60.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-31
Other Current Assets  521,855-463,12958,7263,78362,50924,99387,502-948,370-860,868
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income  -116,86838,725-78,14352,855-25,28817,874-7,41417,0899,675
Long-term Assets Other  -1,045,988-241,679-1,287,667-120,963-1,408,6301,394,555-14,075160,650146,575



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets2,510,606
Total Liabilities847,771
Total Stockholder Equity1,662,835
 As reported
Total Liabilities 847,771
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,662,835
Total Assets = 2,510,606

Assets

Total Assets2,510,606
Total Current Assets930,189
Long-term Assets1,541,775
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 144,055
Short-term Investments 82,017
Net Receivables 634,796
Total Current Assets  (as reported)930,189
Total Current Assets  (calculated)860,868
+/- 69,321
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 442,610
Long Term Investments 1,045,494
Other Assets 38,642
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,541,775
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,526,746
+/- 15,029

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities708,977
Long-term Liabilities100,152
Total Stockholder Equity1,662,835
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 533,355
Accounts payable 175,622
Other Current Liabilities -41,210
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)708,977
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)667,767
+/- 41,210
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)100,152
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 100,152
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock2,170
Retained Earnings 2,803,689
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 9,675
Other Stockholders Equity -1,152,699
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,662,835
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)1,662,835
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock2,170
Cash and Short Term Investments 226,072
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 52,681
Current Deferred Revenue41,210
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 2,510,606
Net Debt -144,055
Net Invested Capital 1,662,835
Net Working Capital 221,212



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-312013-12-312012-12-312011-12-312010-12-312009-12-312008-12-312007-12-312006-12-312005-12-312004-12-312003-12-312002-12-312001-12-312000-12-311999-12-311998-12-311997-12-311996-12-311995-12-311994-12-311993-12-31
> Total Assets 
817,200
869,500
1,022,400
1,150,639
1,292,544
1,453,432
1,517,867
1,680,599
1,935,566
2,357,676
2,754,607
2,979,744
3,101,261
3,039,361
2,878,623
2,613,386
2,666,517
14,344,000
14,348,000
15,441,000
16,676,000
17,758,000
1,407,296
1,548,955
1,665,859
1,778,327
2,016,240
2,117,122
2,242,057
2,239,456
2,510,606
2,510,6062,239,4562,242,0572,117,1222,016,2401,778,3271,665,8591,548,9551,407,29617,758,00016,676,00015,441,00014,348,00014,344,0002,666,5172,613,3862,878,6233,039,3613,101,2612,979,7442,754,6072,357,6761,935,5661,680,5991,517,8671,453,4321,292,5441,150,6391,022,400869,500817,200
   > Total Current Assets 
2,600
3,400
5,000
605,000
659,000
662,000
639,000
731,000
929,000
2,000,752
2,350,290
2,523,721
2,605,173
2,511,912
2,267,438
2,055,153
2,086,438
430,000
185,000
400,000
452,000
514,000
635,146
654,010
760,139
1,126,791
838,647
676,238
701,221
691,294
930,189
930,189691,294701,221676,238838,6471,126,791760,139654,010635,146514,000452,000400,000185,000430,0002,086,4382,055,1532,267,4382,511,9122,605,1732,523,7212,350,2902,000,752929,000731,000639,000662,000659,000605,0005,0003,4002,600
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
18,720
53,148
53,580
24,214
38,778
88,213
85,712
87,192
50,061
31,666
60,241
31,070
61,073
76,505
430,000
185,000
400,000
452,000
514,000
182,889
189,072
215,721
266,417
336,739
161,240
183,702
142,090
144,055
144,055142,090183,702161,240336,739266,417215,721189,072182,889514,000452,000400,000185,000430,00076,50561,07331,07060,24131,66650,06187,19285,71288,21338,77824,21453,58053,14818,720000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
441,794
515,105
644,157
700,905
735,992
753,671
902,146
1,068,764
1,177,206
1,238,544
1,087,385
921,676
618,710
701,751
8,137,000
8,429,000
9,159,000
9,557,000
10,446,000
62,067
56,138
71,190
402,339
32,810
17,697
38,396
24,267
82,017
82,01724,26738,39617,69732,810402,33971,19056,13862,06710,446,0009,557,0009,159,0008,429,0008,137,000701,751618,710921,6761,087,3851,238,5441,177,2061,068,764902,146753,671735,992700,905644,157515,105441,794000
       Net Receivables 
2,600
3,400
5,000
602,885
618,919
620,548
626,822
703,990
842,202
1,012,894
1,194,334
1,296,454
1,334,963
1,364,286
1,314,692
1,375,370
1,308,182
1,143,000
1,142,000
1,230,000
1,339,000
1,442,000
385,002
408,800
473,228
458,035
469,098
497,301
479,123
524,937
634,796
634,796524,937479,123497,301469,098458,035473,228408,800385,0021,442,0001,339,0001,230,0001,142,0001,143,0001,308,1821,375,3701,314,6921,364,2861,334,9631,296,4541,194,3341,012,894842,202703,990626,822620,548618,919602,8855,0003,4002,600
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
0
476,863
497,794
492,786
368,181
415,282
505,012
505,012
149,474
139,836
164,371
970,958
954,115
864,426
891,764
201,000
166,000
-9,159,000
-10,896,000
-11,868,749
390,190
11,506
41,743
42,155
521,855
58,726
62,509
87,502
-860,868
-860,86887,50262,50958,726521,85542,15541,74311,506390,190-11,868,749-10,896,000-9,159,000166,000201,000891,764864,426954,115970,958164,371139,836149,474505,012505,012415,282368,181492,786497,794476,863000
   > Long-term Assets 
7,900
7,700
8,200
545,639
633,544
791,000
878,867
949,599
1,006,566
-2,450
1,249,922
1,379,979
1,447,546
1,375,493
1,273,225
981,675
1,050,818
26,000
19,000
37,000
2,000
37,000
772,150
840,592
886,984
926,029
1,045,988
1,287,667
1,408,630
1,381,095
1,541,775
1,541,7751,381,0951,408,6301,287,6671,045,988926,029886,984840,592772,15037,0002,00037,00019,00026,0001,050,818981,6751,273,2251,375,4931,447,5461,379,9791,249,922-2,4501,006,566949,599878,867791,000633,544545,6398,2007,7007,900
       Property Plant Equipment 
7,900
7,700
8,200
9,842
10,130
12,389
15,261
13,856
14,635
14,378
13,868
13,581
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
59,087
69,142
83,149
130,832
221,379
265,341
374,802
413,874
442,610
442,610413,874374,802265,341221,379130,83283,14969,14259,087000000000013,58113,86814,37814,63513,85615,26112,38910,1309,8428,2007,7007,900
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11,815,000
12,074,000
12,814,000
0
14,669,000
651,409
740,312
732,645
381,005
724,666
972,988
966,372
930,931
1,045,494
1,045,494930,931966,372972,988724,666381,005732,645740,312651,40914,669,000012,814,00012,074,00011,815,00000000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,665
2,776
1,317
560
140
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000000000000001405601,3172,7762,66500000000
       Long-term Assets Other 
-7,900
-7,700
-8,200
58,308
65,688
77,482
86,578
89,178
111,981
-1,056,115
-1,249,922
-1,379,979
-1,447,546
-1,375,493
-1,273,225
-981,675
-1,050,818
-11,815,000
-12,074,000
-12,814,000
-13,866,000
-14,669,000
583,842
-840,592
-886,984
-926,029
-1,045,988
-1,287,667
-1,408,630
-14,075
146,575
146,575-14,075-1,408,630-1,287,667-1,045,988-926,029-886,984-840,592583,842-14,669,000-13,866,000-12,814,000-12,074,000-11,815,000-1,050,818-981,675-1,273,225-1,375,493-1,447,546-1,379,979-1,249,922-1,056,115111,98189,17886,57877,48265,68858,308-8,200-7,700-7,900
> Total Liabilities 
2,400
0
0
714,881
753,161
798,209
820,268
901,584
1,070,311
1,370,304
1,590,437
1,712,863
1,822,659
1,877,513
1,827,344
1,821,511
1,764,540
8,010,000
8,055,000
8,650,000
9,126,000
9,775,000
637,793
732,045
808,515
804,655
882,987
929,074
899,579
791,048
847,771
847,771791,048899,579929,074882,987804,655808,515732,045637,7939,775,0009,126,0008,650,0008,055,0008,010,0001,764,5401,821,5111,827,3441,877,5131,822,6591,712,8631,590,4371,370,3041,070,311901,584820,268798,209753,161714,881002,400
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
713,000
746,000
781,000
808,000
894,000
1,057,000
39,139
46,317
49,025
34,885
41,723
41,057
177,541
183,951
7,753,000
7,908,000
8,285,000
8,103,000
400,155
445,699
298,712
332,657
388,588
435,837
451,992
446,096
502,490
708,977
708,977502,490446,096451,992435,837388,588332,657298,712445,699400,1558,103,0008,285,0007,908,0007,753,000183,951177,54141,05741,72334,88549,02546,31739,1391,057,000894,000808,000781,000746,000713,000000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
195,542
210,559
228,124
1,870
1,979
2,031
2,098
300,028
533,355
533,355300,0282,0982,0311,9791,870228,124210,559195,5420000000000000000000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
24,766
74,728
1,870
1,979
2,031
2,098
0
0
002,0982,0311,9791,87074,72824,76600000000000000000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
6,034
17,041
20,253
24,187
30,476
46,164
39,139
46,317
49,025
34,885
41,723
41,057
177,541
183,951
0
0
0
0
0
242,068
298,712
332,657
352,864
397,920
413,044
409,063
465,943
175,622
175,622465,943409,063413,044397,920352,864332,657298,712242,06800000183,951177,54141,05741,72334,88549,02546,31739,13946,16430,47624,18720,25317,0416,034000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
706,966
728,959
760,747
783,813
863,524
1,010,836
-39,139
-46,317
-49,025
-34,885
-41,723
-41,057
-177,541
-183,951
7,753,000
7,908,000
8,285,000
8,103,000
400,155
203,631
-298,712
-332,657
-388,588
-435,837
-451,992
-446,096
-502,490
-41,210
-41,210-502,490-446,096-451,992-435,837-388,588-332,657-298,712203,631400,1558,103,0008,285,0007,908,0007,753,000-183,951-177,541-41,057-41,723-34,885-49,025-46,317-39,1391,010,836863,524783,813760,747728,959706,966000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
2,400
0
0
2,000
7,000
17,000
12,000
8,000
13,000
12,618
27,515
24,122
6,538
8,343
14,598
98,000
58,000
8,010,000
8,055,000
8,650,000
9,126,000
9,775,000
192,094
1,846
3,957
115,733
114,277
112,711
109,420
502,490
100,152
100,152502,490109,420112,711114,277115,7333,9571,846192,0949,775,0009,126,0008,650,0008,055,0008,010,00058,00098,00014,5988,3436,53824,12227,51512,61813,0008,00012,00017,0007,0002,000002,400
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
24,766
74,728
97,860
95,842
93,833
91,734
0
0
0091,73493,83395,84297,86074,72824,76600000000000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
741,734
869,247
1,306,297
1,502,616
1,619,104
1,759,064
1,804,182
1,625,579
283,045
249,736
458,000
560,000
614,000
573,000
786,000
192,094
237,679
223,881
159,728
188,768
207,572
176,982
125,937
0
0125,937176,982207,572188,768159,728223,881237,679192,094786,000573,000614,000560,000458,000249,736283,0451,625,5791,804,1821,759,0641,619,1041,502,6161,306,297869,247741,7340000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
147,000
365,000
0
490,000
16,580
13,233
14,452
13,075
13,734
14,904
14,571
27,799
0
027,79914,57114,90413,73413,07514,45213,23316,580490,0000365,000147,000000000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
210,200
260,900
354,100
435,759
539,383
655,223
697,599
779,015
865,255
987,372
1,164,170
1,266,881
1,278,602
1,161,848
1,051,279
791,875
901,977
912,000
781,000
642,000
734,000
703,000
769,503
816,910
857,344
973,672
1,133,253
1,188,048
1,342,478
1,448,408
1,662,835
1,662,8351,448,4081,342,4781,188,0481,133,253973,672857,344816,910769,503703,000734,000642,000781,000912,000901,977791,8751,051,2791,161,8481,278,6021,266,8811,164,170987,372865,255779,015697,599655,223539,383435,759354,100260,900210,200
   Common Stock
0
0
0
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,170
2,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,0002,0002,0002,0002,0002,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,1702,170000
   Retained Earnings 
195,100
251,700
326,400
408,268
500,359
605,045
715,348
831,552
913,406
1,040,547
1,189,628
1,354,181
1,501,798
1,618,656
1,740,174
1,728,690
1,749,409
1,827,000
1,894,000
1,852,000
1,902,000
1,949,000
1,993,976
2,065,911
2,140,853
2,231,417
2,377,558
2,393,624
2,495,190
2,583,261
2,803,689
2,803,6892,583,2612,495,1902,393,6242,377,5582,231,4172,140,8532,065,9111,993,9761,949,0001,902,0001,852,0001,894,0001,827,0001,749,4091,728,6901,740,1741,618,6561,501,7981,354,1811,189,6281,040,547913,406831,552715,348605,045500,359408,268326,400251,700195,100
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
16,311
16,300
16,470
16,459
16,483
16,487
16,496
16,481
0
016,48116,49616,48716,48316,45916,47016,30016,3110000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000-1,158,910-1,157,625-1,155,668-1,155,846-1,155,108-1,146,000-1,127,000-1,095,000-1,026,000-872,000-814,102-810,961-708,943-472,230-254,877-155,911-101,860-101,860-93,373-85,7190000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
15,100
9,200
27,700
25,320
36,855
48,009
-19,919
-54,707
-50,321
-94,030
-94,030
-148,081
-247,047
-464,400
-701,113
-803,131
-806,272
-864,000
-1,010,000
-1,079,000
-1,111,000
-1,130,000
-1,129,779
-1,129,790
-1,129,620
-1,129,631
-1,129,607
-1,129,603
-1,129,594
-1,129,609
-1,152,699
-1,152,699-1,129,609-1,129,594-1,129,603-1,129,607-1,129,631-1,129,620-1,129,790-1,129,779-1,130,000-1,111,000-1,079,000-1,010,000-864,000-806,272-803,131-701,113-464,400-247,047-148,081-94,030-94,030-50,321-54,707-19,91948,00936,85525,32027,7009,20015,100



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue3,259,903
Cost of Revenue-2,748,684
Gross Profit511,219511,219
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit511,219
Operating Expense--3,199
Operating Income514,418514,418
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative0
Selling And Marketing Expenses0
Operating Expense-3,1990
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-0
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income0
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income514,418
Net Interest Income0
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)561,936466,900
EBIT - interestExpense = 514,418
561,936
446,061
Interest Expense0
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)514,418561,936
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)568,010
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax561,936
Tax Provision-103,350
Net Income From Continuing Ops400,623458,586
Net Income446,061
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses2,745,485
Total Other Income/Expenses Net47,5180
 

Technical Analysis of Erie Indemnity Company
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Erie Indemnity Company. The general trend of Erie Indemnity Company is BULLISH with 42.9% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Erie Indemnity Company's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (42.9%) Bearish trend (-42.9%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Erie Indemnity Company.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 398.94 < 400.29 < 409.97.

The bearish price targets are: 375.66 > 358.66 > 350.73.

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Erie Indemnity Company Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Erie Indemnity Company. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 10/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 6/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Erie Indemnity Company Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current macd is -3.78514139.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 1/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Erie Indemnity Company price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Erie Indemnity Company. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Erie Indemnity Company price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current adx is 26.18.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Erie Indemnity Company shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bearish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bearish trend is strengthening.
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Erie Indemnity Company. The current sar is 389.80.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current rsi is 42.30. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -2/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bull market: Moderate price decline, potential pause in the uptrend. Reassess the market, wait for signs of stabilization.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Erie Indemnity Company. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Erie Indemnity Company price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current cci is -73.43712822.

Erie Indemnity Company Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current cmo is -19.7705094.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Erie Indemnity Company. The current willr is -64.47303855.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Erie Indemnity Company is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Williams %R ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Erie Indemnity Company.

Erie Indemnity Company Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current atr is 8.2673618.

Erie Indemnity Company Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current obv is 8,340,086.

Erie Indemnity Company Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Erie Indemnity Company. The current mfi is 28.21.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Erie Indemnity Company Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartErie Indemnity Company Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Erie Indemnity Company.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-08MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-11BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-14MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2023-12-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-18MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-22CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2023-12-27MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2023-12-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-02MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-01-03MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-01-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-11ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-12SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-16RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-31CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-09MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-13MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-02-14MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-02-16MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-20RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-21MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-02-23CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-28ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-11RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-12WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-14MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-03-18RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-03-22CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-03-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-01CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-04WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-09DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-04-11BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-22SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-04-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-25WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-26SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Erie Indemnity Company Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Erie Indemnity Company based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5042.305
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50388.068
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100392.383
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200363.170
OpenGreater thanClose385.610
Total3/5 (60.0%)
Penke

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