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FGPN (Ambac) Stock Analysis
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Ambac together

I guess you are interested in Ambac Financial Group Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

  • 📊 Fundamental Analysis (FA) – Ambac’s Financial Insights
  • 📈 Technical Analysis (TA) – Ambac’s Price Targets

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Ambac Financial Group Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Ambac (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Ambac? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
€0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
€23.62
Expected worth in 1 year
€18.80
How sure are you?
45.5%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
€-4.83
Return On Investment
-62.7%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
€7.70
Expected price per share
€0 - €9.9
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Ambac (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
€7.70
Intrinsic Value Per Share
€46.87 - €51.99
Total Value Per Share
€70.49 - €75.62

2.2. Growth of Ambac (5 min.)




Is Ambac growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.1b$1.3b$129.7m8.7%

How much money is Ambac making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$138.6m$1.2m-$139.8m-100.9%
Net Profit Margin160.1%-1.9%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Ambac (5 min.)




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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Ambac?

Welcome investor! Ambac's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Ambac.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Ambac. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Ambac is €7.7. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Ambac.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Ambac, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is €23.62. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is €-1.21 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is €0.53 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is €0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Ambac.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 % of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-11.79-153.1%-2.98-38.7%0.131.7%-0.51-6.6%-0.60-7.8%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-13.79-179.1%-1.31-17.1%0.587.5%-0.38-4.9%0.7810.1%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-13.79-179.1%-1.31-17.1%0.587.5%-0.38-4.9%0.7810.1%
Usd Price Per Share12.84-13.03-14.34-13.57-15.21-
Price to Earnings Ratio-0.27--36.66--8.78--3.88--0.89-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-0.93-203.80-56.38-35.66-20.47-
Price to Book Ratio0.50-0.42-0.49-0.52-0.50-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-0.93-203.80-56.38-35.66-20.47-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share8.37837
Number of shares119
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-1.31-0.38
Usd Total Gains Per Share-1.31-0.38
Gains per Quarter (119 shares)-156.31-44.68
Gains per Year (119 shares)-625.26-178.73
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-625-6350-179-189
20-1251-12600-357-368
30-1876-18850-536-547
40-2501-25100-715-726
50-3126-31350-894-905
60-3752-37600-1072-1084
70-4377-43850-1251-1263
80-5002-50100-1430-1442
90-5627-56350-1609-1621
100-6253-62600-1787-1800

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.03.00.025.0%6.06.00.050.0%8.012.00.040.0%12.021.00.036.4%12.021.00.036.4%
Book Value Change Per Share3.01.00.075.0%8.04.00.066.7%10.09.01.050.0%15.017.01.045.5%15.017.01.045.5%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%0.00.020.00.0%0.00.033.00.0%0.00.033.00.0%
Total Gains per Share3.01.00.075.0%8.04.00.066.7%10.09.01.050.0%15.017.01.045.5%15.017.01.045.5%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Ambac Financial Group Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---12.677-1.207-90%0.530-2491%-0.345-97%0.716-1871%
Book Value Per Share--23.62429.246-19%26.937-12%24.323-3%28.402-17%
Current Ratio----0%0.133-100%0.474-100%0.501-100%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.8520.826+3%0.834+2%0.874-3%0.886-4%
Debt To Equity Ratio--8.0095.776+39%5.306+51%8.479-6%9.321-14%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Enterprise Value---5758183301.600-5872448137.900+2%-5641022068.250-2%-7823782913.405+36%-10648819000.876+85%
Eps---10.838-2.736-75%0.119-9189%-0.465-96%-0.555-95%
Ev To Ebitda Ratio--infinfnan%infnan%infnan%infnan%
Ev To Sales Ratio--18.389-6.567+136%-23.621+228%-25.285+238%-27.783+251%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.5380.005-10739%0.994-154%1.222-144%1.222-144%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--3.0430.952+220%-0.084+103%-1.906+163%-1.906+163%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--51.994--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--46.866--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--9.470--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--9.304--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--25.206--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--24.129--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--37.029--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--34.649--------
Market Cap356064940.000-54%548782281.400557532257.850-2%609240985.000-10%577599476.395-5%646992665.155-15%
Net Profit Margin--6.4381.601+302%-0.019+100%0.643+902%0.217+2861%
Operating Margin----0%0.007-100%0.321-100%0.205-100%
Operating Ratio--0.2860.806-65%1.002-71%0.606-53%0.780-63%
Pb Ratio0.326-53%0.4990.422+18%0.489+2%0.523-4%0.504-1%
Pe Ratio-0.178+35%-0.272-36.657+13367%-8.777+3124%-3.877+1324%-0.891+227%
Price Per Share7.700-53%11.80011.975-1%13.175-10%12.470-5%13.979-16%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-3.576+35%-5.481-4.282-22%6.025-191%4.125-233%2.500-319%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-0.607+35%-0.931203.801-100%56.381-102%35.656-103%20.473-105%
Quick Ratio----0%0.198-100%0.799-100%0.831-100%
Return On Assets---0.068-0.017-75%0.000-26778%-0.002-97%-0.002-97%
Return On Equity---0.640-0.161-75%0.001-56927%-0.030-95%-0.028-96%
Total Gains Per Share---12.677-1.207-90%0.530-2491%-0.345-97%0.716-1871%
Usd Book Value--1195477841.6921485076636.798-20%1355374319.221-12%1227016403.109-3%1430980218.537-16%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---13.794-1.314-90%0.577-2491%-0.375-97%0.779-1871%
Usd Book Value Per Share--25.70531.822-19%29.310-12%26.466-3%30.904-17%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Enterprise Value---6265479250.471-6389810818.849+2%-6137996112.463-2%-8513058188.076+36%-11586979954.853+85%
Usd Eps---11.792-2.977-75%0.130-9189%-0.506-96%-0.604-95%
Usd Free Cash Flow---27237016.708190493.123-14398%49998195.000-154%61485880.280-144%37264169.866-173%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.5860.006-10739%1.081-154%1.330-144%1.330-144%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--3.3111.036+220%-0.092+103%-2.074+163%-2.074+163%
Usd Market Cap387434261.214-54%597130000.391606650849.767-2%662915115.779-10%628485990.265-5%703992718.955-15%
Usd Price Per Share8.378-53%12.84013.030-1%14.336-10%13.569-5%15.210-16%
Usd Profit---548429200.991-138607246.098-75%1249954.875-43976%-24071580.985-96%-28336673.979-95%
Usd Revenue---85181924.82259701594.695-243%65747626.425-230%66588346.074-228%95305832.063-189%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---13.794-1.314-90%0.577-2491%-0.375-97%0.779-1871%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+9 -24YOY+7 -295Y+12 -2410Y+12 -24

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Ambac Financial Group Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-0.178
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.326
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than06.438
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.000
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.000
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.852
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than18.009
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.640
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.068
Total3/10 (30.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Ambac Financial Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5021.524
Ma 20Greater thanMa 509.633
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10010.493
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20010.932
OpenGreater thanClose7.700
Total0/5 (0.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Ambac Financial Group Inc

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. operates as a financial services holding company. It operates in two segments: Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance, and Insurance Distribution. The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance business provides specialty property and casualty program insurance with a focus on commercial and personal liability risks. Its Insurance Distribution business includes the specialty property and casualty insurance distribution business, which includes managing general agents, underwriters, insurance broker, and other distribution and underwriting businesses. Ambac Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2025-03-16 08:17:05.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Ambac earns for each €1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 643.8% means that €6.44 for each €1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 643.8%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 160.1%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ643.8%TTM160.1%+483.7%
TTM160.1%YOY-1.9%+162.0%
TTM160.1%5Y64.3%+95.8%
5Y64.3%10Y21.7%+42.5%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Ambac is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • -6.8% Return on Assets means that Ambac generated €-0.07 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is -6.8%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -1.7%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-6.8%TTM-1.7%-5.1%
TTM-1.7%YOY0.0%-1.7%
TTM-1.7%5Y-0.2%-1.5%
5Y-0.2%10Y-0.2%0.0%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Ambac is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • -64.0% Return on Equity means Ambac generated €-0.64 for each €1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is -64.0%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -16.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-64.0%TTM-16.1%-47.9%
TTM-16.1%YOY0.1%-16.2%
TTM-16.1%5Y-3.0%-13.1%
5Y-3.0%10Y-2.8%-0.2%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Ambac Financial Group Inc.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Ambac is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Ambac makes for each €1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0% means the company generated €0.00  for each €1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY0.7%-0.7%
TTM-5Y32.1%-32.1%
5Y32.1%10Y20.5%+11.6%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Ambac is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Insurance - Specialty industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.29 means that the operating costs are €0.29 for each €1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.286. The company is very efficient in keeping operating costs low. +2
  • The TTM is 0.806. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.286TTM0.806-0.521
TTM0.806YOY1.002-0.196
TTM0.8065Y0.606+0.201
5Y0.60610Y0.780-0.174
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Ambac Financial Group Inc.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Ambac is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Insurance - Specialty industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.00 means the company has €0.00 in assets for each €1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.000. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.000
TTM-YOY0.133-0.133
TTM-5Y0.474-0.474
5Y0.47410Y0.501-0.027
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Ambac is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.00 means the company can pay off €0.00 for each €1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.000. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.000
TTM-YOY0.198-0.198
TTM-5Y0.799-0.799
5Y0.79910Y0.831-0.031
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4.5.4. Solvency of Ambac Financial Group Inc.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Ambac assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.85 means that Ambac assets are financed with 85.2% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 85.2%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.852. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
  • The TTM is 0.826. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.852TTM0.826+0.026
TTM0.826YOY0.834-0.008
TTM0.8265Y0.874-0.048
5Y0.87410Y0.886-0.012
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Ambac is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 800.9% means that company has €8.01 debt for each €1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 8.009. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 5.776. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.009TTM5.776+2.233
TTM5.776YOY5.306+0.470
TTM5.7765Y8.479-2.703
5Y8.47910Y9.321-0.841
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every €1 in earnings Ambac generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Ambac to the Insurance - Specialty industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -0.27 means the investor is paying €-0.27 for every €1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The EOD is -0.178. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -0.272. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -36.657. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-0.178MRQ-0.272+0.095
MRQ-0.272TTM-36.657+36.385
TTM-36.657YOY-8.777-27.881
TTM-36.6575Y-3.877-32.781
5Y-3.87710Y-0.891-2.985
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The EOD is -3.576. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -5.481. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -4.282. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-3.576MRQ-5.481+1.904
MRQ-5.481TTM-4.282-1.198
TTM-4.282YOY6.025-10.307
TTM-4.2825Y4.125-8.408
5Y4.12510Y2.500+1.625
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Ambac is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Insurance - Specialty industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.50 means the investor is paying €0.50 for each €1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Ambac Financial Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 0.326. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.499. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.422. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.326MRQ0.499-0.174
MRQ0.499TTM0.422+0.077
TTM0.422YOY0.489-0.066
TTM0.4225Y0.523-0.100
5Y0.52310Y0.504+0.018
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2023-12-312024-03-312024-06-302024-09-302024-12-31
Selling General Administrative  31,2461,83833,08410,10943,1937,35250,545-59,582-9,037
Reconciled Depreciation  8,2713,67611,947-3,6768,2713,67611,947-25,781-13,834
Interest Expense  14,704014,704014,7043,67618,380-56,630-38,250
Net Interest Income  -14,7040-14,7040-14,704-3,676-18,38056,63038,250
Total Revenue 67,08729,40896,495-91995,57610,109105,685-183,970-78,285
Total Operating Expenses  81,791-11,02870,76322,97593,73835,841129,579-151,947-22,368
Total Other Income Expense Net 6,433-9195,5149,19014,704-2,75711,947-30,038-18,091



6.2. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets8,058,378
Total Liabilities6,862,857
Total Stockholder Equity856,906
 As reported
Total Liabilities 6,862,857
Total Stockholder Equity+ 856,906
Total Assets = 8,058,378

Assets

Total Assets8,058,378
Total Current Assets-
Long-term Assets-
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 47,275
Short-term Investments 284,621
Net Receivables 363,413
Total Current Assets  (as reported)0
Total Current Assets  (calculated)695,309
+/- 695,309
Long-term Assets
Goodwill 418,234
Long Term Investments 284,621
Intangible Assets 344,775
Long-term Assets  (as reported)0
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,047,630
+/- 1,047,630

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities-
Long-term Liabilities-
Total Stockholder Equity856,906
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 150,000
Accounts payable 53,002
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)0
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)203,002
+/- 203,002
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)0
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/-0
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 742,185
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)856,906
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)742,185
+/- 114,721
Other
Capital Stock489
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 46,507
Net Debt 102,725
Net Invested Capital 1,006,906



6.3. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-12-312024-09-302024-06-302024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-302018-06-302018-03-312017-12-312017-09-302017-06-302017-03-312016-12-31
> Total Assets 
22,635,702
22,763,560
23,005,443
23,292,583
23,192,374
22,847,966
21,535,223
15,093,464
14,588,711
15,022,899
14,713,066
13,451,104
13,320,000
12,777,000
12,761,000
12,812,000
13,220,000
12,840,000
12,907,000
12,228,000
12,303,000
11,531,000
10,061,000
9,412,000
7,973,000
8,219,000
8,132,000
7,847,000
8,428,320
8,429,000
8,184,000
9,256,000
8,058,378
8,058,3789,256,0008,184,0008,429,0008,428,3207,847,0008,132,0008,219,0007,973,0009,412,00010,061,00011,531,00012,303,00012,228,00012,907,00012,840,00013,220,00012,812,00012,761,00012,777,00013,320,00013,451,10414,713,06615,022,89914,588,71115,093,46421,535,22322,847,96623,192,37423,292,58323,005,44322,763,56022,635,702
   > Total Current Assets 
0
2,075,049
2,146,783
2,461,375
2,628,987
3,047,337
3,175,376
3,641,969
3,606,998
3,569,202
3,456,724
3,475,225
3,464,000
3,639,000
3,710,000
3,541,000
3,346,000
3,124,000
3,158,000
3,092,000
3,140,000
3,056,000
2,700,000
3,113,000
1,663,000
0
1,569,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000001,569,00001,663,0003,113,0002,700,0003,056,0003,140,0003,092,0003,158,0003,124,0003,346,0003,541,0003,710,0003,639,0003,464,0003,475,2253,456,7243,569,2023,606,9983,641,9693,175,3763,047,3372,628,9872,461,3752,146,7832,075,0490
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
95,898
123,777
54,238
107,018
623,703
38,485
44,398
52,505
63,089
21,840
17,514
51,951
24,000
58,000
17,000
37,000
20,000
23,000
13,000
14,000
17,000
60,000
32,000
29,000
30,000
38,000
33,000
33,000
19,223
33,000
24,000
54,000
47,275
47,27554,00024,00033,00019,22333,00033,00038,00030,00029,00032,00060,00017,00014,00013,00023,00020,00037,00017,00058,00024,00051,95117,51421,84063,08952,50544,39838,485623,703107,01854,238123,77795,898
       Short-term Investments 
430,788
347,055
504,006
716,516
557,270
321,119
393,447
562,060
430,331
6,657,041
6,515,190
6,550,354
6,351,000
5,881,000
5,951,000
6,057,000
2,809,000
2,738,000
2,669,000
2,165,000
1,835,000
1,923,000
1,862,000
1,907,000
1,902,000
1,861,000
1,917,000
1,977,000
335,734
2,161,000
2,017,000
2,137,000
284,621
284,6212,137,0002,017,0002,161,000335,7341,977,0001,917,0001,861,0001,902,0001,907,0001,862,0001,923,0001,835,0002,165,0002,669,0002,738,0002,809,0006,057,0005,951,0005,881,0006,351,0006,550,3546,515,1906,657,041430,331562,060393,447321,119557,270716,516504,006347,055430,788
       Net Receivables 
1,378,576
1,369,739
1,315,269
1,374,373
1,240,505
2,498,041
2,547,278
2,494,693
2,478,742
2,430,302
2,453,567
2,523,048
2,456,000
2,611,000
2,625,000
2,568,000
2,526,000
2,432,000
2,442,000
2,440,000
2,415,000
2,031,000
1,978,000
2,217,000
540,000
548,000
415,000
629,000
210,890
653,000
722,000
777,000
363,413
363,413777,000722,000653,000210,890629,000415,000548,000540,0002,217,0001,978,0002,031,0002,415,0002,440,0002,442,0002,432,0002,526,0002,568,0002,625,0002,611,0002,456,0002,523,0482,453,5672,430,3022,478,7422,494,6932,547,2782,498,0411,240,5051,374,3731,315,2691,369,7391,378,576
       Other Current Assets 
0
199,359
197,334
188,417
134,310
129,496
134,267
109,675
224,319
119,565
154,311
160,389
256,000
296,000
279,000
255,000
215,000
199,000
205,000
192,000
218,000
251,000
197,000
212,000
253,000
0
518,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000518,0000253,000212,000197,000251,000218,000192,000205,000199,000215,000255,000279,000296,000256,000160,389154,311119,565224,319109,675134,267129,496134,310188,417197,334199,3590
   > Long-term Assets 000000000000000000000000000000000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13,100
26,529
25,906
25,000
0
0
0
25,000
0
0
0
23,000
0
0
0
21,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000021,00000023,00000025,00000025,00025,90626,52913,100000000000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
46,000
46,000
46,000
46,000
61,000
61,000
61,000
70,000
69,694
70,000
70,000
434,000
418,234
418,234434,00070,00070,00069,69470,00061,00061,00061,00046,00046,00046,00046,00000000000000000000000
       Long Term Investments 
19,539,288
19,848,000
8,499,234
8,210,050
8,003,926
7,253,218
6,671,502
5,983,395
5,897,645
6,657,041
6,515,190
6,550,354
6,351,000
5,881,000
5,951,000
6,057,000
6,163,000
5,974,000
5,984,000
5,482,000
5,290,000
5,406,000
4,506,000
4,131,000
3,928,000
4,009,000
4,001,000
3,953,000
335,734
4,260,000
4,149,000
4,283,000
284,621
284,6214,283,0004,149,0004,260,000335,7343,953,0004,001,0004,009,0003,928,0004,131,0004,506,0005,406,0005,290,0005,482,0005,984,0005,974,0006,163,0006,057,0005,951,0005,881,0006,351,0006,550,3546,515,1906,657,0415,897,6455,983,3956,671,5027,253,2188,003,9268,210,0508,499,23419,848,00019,539,288
       Intangible Assets 
962,080
931,159
912,173
877,972
846,973
833,040
786,208
755,734
718,931
689,255
454,830
433,524
427,000
406,000
392,000
383,000
409,000
391,000
377,000
364,000
362,000
350,000
330,000
318,000
326,000
321,000
317,000
312,000
61,403
293,000
285,000
598,000
344,775
344,775598,000285,000293,00061,403312,000317,000321,000326,000318,000330,000350,000362,000364,000377,000391,000409,000383,000392,000406,000427,000433,524454,830689,255718,931755,734786,208833,040846,973877,972912,173931,159962,080
> Total Liabilities 
20,921,788
21,138,754
21,067,230
21,520,446
21,547,116
20,738,801
19,471,302
13,294,655
12,955,564
13,357,011
13,160,150
11,822,440
11,784,000
11,715,000
11,632,000
11,717,000
12,080,000
11,717,000
11,784,000
11,107,000
11,187,000
10,539,000
9,197,000
8,323,000
6,648,000
6,892,000
6,809,000
6,507,000
6,996,627
6,994,000
6,748,000
7,382,000
6,862,857
6,862,8577,382,0006,748,0006,994,0006,996,6276,507,0006,809,0006,892,0006,648,0008,323,0009,197,00010,539,00011,187,00011,107,00011,784,00011,717,00012,080,00011,717,00011,632,00011,715,00011,784,00011,822,44013,160,15013,357,01112,955,56413,294,65519,471,30220,738,80121,547,11621,520,44621,067,23021,138,75420,921,788
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
8,209,422
8,095,809
8,179,456
8,291,665
5,412,036
5,112,600
4,650,642
4,654,087
4,579,862
4,395,952
4,388,887
4,288,000
4,536,000
4,650,000
4,692,000
4,719,000
4,467,000
4,528,000
4,481,000
4,614,000
4,035,000
3,544,000
3,127,000
2,734,000
0
2,946,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000002,946,00002,734,0003,127,0003,544,0004,035,0004,614,0004,481,0004,528,0004,467,0004,719,0004,692,0004,650,0004,536,0004,288,0004,388,8874,395,9524,579,8624,654,0874,650,6425,112,6005,412,0368,291,6658,179,4568,095,8098,209,4220
       Short-term Debt 
0
14,872,987
15,037,446
2,170,860
2,286,132
2,226,022
2,058,549
1,716,901
1,783,923
1,867,360
1,905,657
1,881,969
1,747,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000000001,747,0001,881,9691,905,6571,867,3601,783,9231,716,9012,058,5492,226,0222,286,1322,170,86015,037,44614,872,9870
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
14,872,987
15,037,446
2,170,860
2,286,132
2,226,022
2,058,549
1,716,901
1,783,923
1,867,360
1,905,657
1,881,969
1,747,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
148,000
150,000
150,000148,0000000000000000000001,747,0001,881,9691,905,6571,867,3601,783,9231,716,9012,058,5492,226,0222,286,1322,170,86015,037,44614,872,9870
       Accounts payable 
480,727
482,050
4,621,817
4,742,878
4,782,891
2,175,552
2,092,928
1,902,790
1,858,991
31,745
30,795
29,950
1,577,000
1,825,000
1,841,000
1,828,000
1,786,000
1,686,000
1,674,000
1,598,000
1,603,000
1,107,000
1,063,000
1,042,000
844,000
38,000
959,000
95,000
29,666
110,000
140,000
165,000
53,002
53,002165,000140,000110,00029,66695,000959,00038,000844,0001,042,0001,063,0001,107,0001,603,0001,598,0001,674,0001,686,0001,786,0001,828,0001,841,0001,825,0001,577,00029,95030,79531,7451,858,9911,902,7902,092,9282,175,5524,782,8914,742,8784,621,817482,050480,727
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
965,555
928,544
844,983
785,069
763,258
723,015
671,423
634,809
592,474
557,769
528,193
518,000
509,000
493,000
469,000
462,000
440,000
424,000
404,000
396,000
395,000
388,000
359,000
372,000
0
394,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000394,0000372,000359,000388,000395,000396,000404,000424,000440,000462,000469,000493,000509,000518,000528,193557,769592,474634,809671,423723,015763,258785,069844,983928,544965,5550
   > Long-term Liabilities 000000000000000000000000000000000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
1,720
1,746
1,866
1,930
33,659
34,804
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000000000000000000034,80433,6591,9301,8661,7461,720
> Total Stockholder Equity
1,713,914
1,624,806
1,674,103
1,508,027
1,381,148
1,845,055
1,799,811
1,757,659
1,591,997
1,621,974
1,492,948
1,568,696
1,477,000
1,002,000
1,069,000
1,035,000
1,080,000
1,063,000
1,063,000
1,061,000
1,038,000
914,000
784,000
1,009,000
1,252,000
1,254,000
1,250,000
1,265,000
1,361,656
1,365,000
1,368,000
1,465,000
856,906
856,9061,465,0001,368,0001,365,0001,361,6561,265,0001,250,0001,254,0001,252,0001,009,000784,000914,0001,038,0001,061,0001,063,0001,063,0001,080,0001,035,0001,069,0001,002,0001,477,0001,568,6961,492,9481,621,9741,591,9971,757,6591,799,8111,845,0551,381,1481,508,0271,674,1031,624,8061,713,914
   Common Stock
452
453
453
453
453
454
454
454
454
456
456
456
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000000000456456456454454454454453453453453452
   Retained Earnings 
1,557,681
1,431,397
1,437,641
1,246,736
1,233,845
1,541,464
1,545,702
1,441,857
1,421,302
1,376,244
1,246,990
1,313,052
1,203,000
917,000
881,000
773,000
759,000
761,000
732,000
746,000
726,000
723,000
728,000
1,068,000
1,245,000
1,206,000
1,191,000
1,257,000
1,246,048
1,266,000
1,265,000
1,235,000
742,185
742,1851,235,0001,265,0001,266,0001,246,0481,257,0001,191,0001,206,0001,245,0001,068,000728,000723,000726,000746,000732,000761,000759,000773,000881,000917,0001,203,0001,313,0521,246,9901,376,2441,421,3021,441,8571,545,7021,541,4641,233,8451,246,7361,437,6411,431,3971,557,681
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 000000000000000000000000000000000
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000000000000000000000000000000000



6.4. Balance Sheets

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Cash Flows

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.6. Income Statements

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


6.7. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2024-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue235,815
Cost of Revenue--
Gross Profit-235,815
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit-
Operating Expense-295,660
Operating Income--295,660
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative129,166
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense295,660129,166
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income-
Interest Expense-9,379
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-9,379
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-
Net Interest Income-9,379
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)-59,845-13,314
EBIT - interestExpense = -9,379
-556,449
-547,070
Interest Expense9,379
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)--50,466
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-59,845
Tax Provision--924
Net Income From Continuing Ops-58,921-58,921
Net Income-556,449
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net13,3149,379
 

Technical Analysis of Ambac
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Ambac. The general trend of Ambac is BEARISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Ambac's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-100.0%) Bearish trend (100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Ambac Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Ambac Financial Group Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 9.5 < 9.9 < 9.9.

The bearish price targets are: .

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Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart
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2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 0/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current macd is -0.89544827.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Ambac price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Ambac. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Ambac price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current adx is 36.04.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Ambac shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bearish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bearish trend is strengthening.
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current sar is 9.29234522.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current rsi is 21.52. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Oversold in bear market: Short-term excessive selling, potential for relief rally. Be cautious, consider taking short-term long positions. +1
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Ambac price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current cci is -96.32398754.

Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current cmo is -60.48845676.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current willr is -96.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Williams %R ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Ambac Financial Group Inc.

Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current atr is 0.24981264.

Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current obv is -19,741.

Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Ambac Financial Group Inc. The current mfi is 34.15.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartAmbac Financial Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Ambac Financial Group Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-10-22 00:00:00RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-24 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-28 00:00:00CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-29 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-10-30 00:00:00MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-10-31 00:00:00SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-11-01 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-04 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-05 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-06 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-07 00:00:00ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-08 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-11 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-12 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-13 00:00:00CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-14 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-11-15 00:00:00RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-18 00:00:00CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-11-19 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-20 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-25 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-27 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-02 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-12-04 00:00:00WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-12-05 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-12-06 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-09 00:00:00SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-12-10 00:00:00CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-12-11 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-12-12 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-12-13 00:00:00SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-19 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-12-20 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-12-27 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-12-30 00:00:00CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-01-02 00:00:00CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-03 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-06 00:00:00CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-01-07 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-08 00:00:00CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-01-09 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-13 00:00:00BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-15 00:00:00ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-21 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-01-23 00:00:00WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-01-28 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-29 00:00:00MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2025-01-30 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2025-02-03 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-02-04 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-02-05 00:00:00CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-02-06 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2025-02-07 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2025-02-10 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-02-11 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-02-13 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-21 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-24 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-02-25 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2025-02-26 00:00:00SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-02-27 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-28 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-03 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-04 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-03-05 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-07 00:00:00MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2025-03-11 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-12 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-13 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Ambac Financial Group Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Ambac Financial Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5021.524
Ma 20Greater thanMa 509.633
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10010.493
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20010.932
OpenGreater thanClose7.700
Total0/5 (0.0%)
Penke
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