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FSL (Fossil Group Inc) Stock Analysis
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Fossil Group Inc together

I guess you are interested in Fossil Group Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

  • πŸ“Š Fundamental Analysis (FA) – Fossil Group Inc’s Financial Insights
  • πŸ“ˆ Technical Analysis (TA) – Fossil Group Inc’s Price Targets

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Fossil Group Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Fossil Group Inc (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Fossil Group Inc? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
€0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
40.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
€4.37
Expected worth in 1 year
€-6.13
How sure are you?
50.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
€-10.50
Return On Investment
-1,006.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
€1.04
Expected price per share
€0.8832 - €1.134
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Fossil Group Inc (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
€1.04
Intrinsic Value Per Share
€-38.19 - €-12.52
Total Value Per Share
€-33.82 - €-8.15

2.2. Growth of Fossil Group Inc (5 min.)




Is Fossil Group Inc growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$251.7m$402.9m-$151.2m-60.1%

How much money is Fossil Group Inc making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$170.2m-$47.8m-$122.3m-71.9%
Net Profit Margin-11.1%-2.6%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Fossil Group Inc (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Footwear & Accessories industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Footwear & Accessories)  

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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Fossil Group Inc?

Welcome investor! Fossil Group Inc's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Fossil Group Inc.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Fossil Group Inc. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Fossil Group Inc is €1.0425. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Fossil Group Inc.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Fossil Group Inc, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is €4.37. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is €-2.62 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is €-1.08 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is €0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Fossil Group Inc.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 β‚¬% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-3.20-306.9%-3.20-306.9%-0.90-86.3%-1.32-126.7%-0.26-25.3%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-2.84-272.8%-2.84-272.8%-1.17-112.5%-1.27-121.5%0.4745.4%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%29.982,875.8%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-2.84-272.8%-2.84-272.8%-1.17-112.5%-1.27-121.5%30.452,921.2%
Usd Price Per Share1.45-1.45-4.25-6.15-21.53-
Price to Earnings Ratio-0.45--0.45--4.72-0.48--17.03-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-0.51--0.51--3.62-0.96-6.56-
Price to Book Ratio0.31-0.31-0.56-0.74-1.46-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-0.51--0.51--3.62-0.96-6.56-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share1.12954875
Number of shares885
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-2.84-1.27
Usd Total Gains Per Share-2.84-1.27
Gains per Quarter (885 shares)-2,516.48-1,120.95
Gains per Year (885 shares)-10,065.93-4,483.80
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-10066-100760-4484-4494
20-20132-201420-8968-8978
30-30198-302080-13451-13462
40-40264-402740-17935-17946
50-50330-503400-22419-22430
60-60396-604060-26903-26914
70-70462-704720-31387-31398
80-80527-805380-35870-35882
90-90593-906040-40354-40366
100-100659-1006700-44838-44850

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share0.01.00.00.0%1.02.00.033.3%1.04.00.020.0%4.06.00.040.0%4.06.00.040.0%
Book Value Change Per Share0.01.00.00.0%1.02.00.033.3%1.04.00.020.0%4.06.00.040.0%4.06.00.040.0%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%0.00.03.00.0%0.00.05.00.0%4.00.06.040.0%4.00.06.040.0%
Total Gains per Share0.01.00.00.0%1.02.00.033.3%1.04.00.020.0%5.05.00.050.0%5.05.00.050.0%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Fossil Group Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---2.624-2.6240%-1.083-59%-1.169-55%0.437-701%
Book Value Per Share--4.3684.3680%6.992-38%7.162-39%10.697-59%
Current Ratio--2.0752.0750%2.219-7%1.974+5%2.394-13%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.7430.7430%0.675+10%0.693+7%0.643+16%
Debt To Equity Ratio--2.8572.8570%2.072+38%2.284+25%1.890+51%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%27.670-100%
Enterprise Value---599094717.800-599094717.8000%-562193310.000-6%-548036119.940-9%92167273.510-750%
Eps---2.953-2.9530%-0.830-72%-1.219-59%-0.244-92%
Ev To Ebitda Ratio--infinfnan%193.860inf%infnan%nannan%
Ev To Sales Ratio---0.424-0.4240%-0.334-21%-0.319-25%-0.060-86%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---1.203-1.2030%-2.153+79%-0.352-71%0.697-273%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---1.440-1.4400%-1.234-14%-1.293-10%-0.630-56%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---12.518--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---38.187--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max---0.548--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---1.646--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---2.185--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---6.864--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---4.471--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---14.144--------
Market Cap55454745.000-28%71200169.00071200169.0000%208520480.000-66%301785520.200-76%1057180215.700-93%
Net Profit Margin---0.111-0.1110%-0.026-76%-0.041-63%-0.018-84%
Operating Margin----0%0.004-100%0.008-100%0.044-100%
Operating Ratio--1.5881.5880%1.502+6%1.517+5%1.456+9%
Pb Ratio0.239-28%0.3060.3060%0.561-45%0.743-59%1.457-79%
Pe Ratio-0.353+22%-0.453-0.4530%-4.722+942%0.481-194%-17.026+3656%
Price Per Share1.043-28%1.3391.3390%3.920-66%5.673-76%19.874-93%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-0.866+22%-1.112-1.1120%-1.820+64%0.856-230%1.016-210%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-0.397+22%-0.510-0.5100%-3.621+610%0.959-153%6.562-108%
Quick Ratio--0.5490.5490%0.484+13%0.516+6%0.668-18%
Return On Assets---0.174-0.1740%-0.039-78%-0.060-66%-0.029-84%
Return On Equity---0.670-0.6700%-0.119-82%-0.216-68%-0.122-82%
Total Gains Per Share---2.624-2.6240%-1.083-59%-1.169-55%28.106-109%
Usd Book Value--251728471.717251728471.7170%402984746.450-38%412780175.679-39%616510564.192-59%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---2.843-2.8430%-1.173-59%-1.267-55%0.473-701%
Usd Book Value Per Share--4.7324.7320%7.576-38%7.760-39%11.590-59%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%29.980-100%
Usd Enterprise Value---649119126.736-649119126.7360%-609136451.385-6%-593797135.955-9%99863240.848-750%
Usd Eps---3.200-3.2000%-0.899-72%-1.321-59%-0.264-92%
Usd Free Cash Flow---69349375.027-69349375.0270%-124113302.134+79%-20308231.304-71%28114535.825-347%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---1.304-1.3040%-2.333+79%-0.382-71%0.755-273%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---1.560-1.5600%-1.337-14%-1.400-10%-0.683-56%
Usd Market Cap60085216.208-28%77145383.11277145383.1120%225931940.080-66%326984611.137-76%1145454763.711-93%
Usd Price Per Share1.130-28%1.4501.4500%4.247-66%6.147-76%21.534-93%
Usd Profit---170204848.000-170204848.0000%-47890700.000-72%-70287295.100-59%-14062854.850-92%
Usd Revenue--1530318064.0001530318064.0000%1822880400.000-16%1906048993.200-20%2590252480.750-41%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---2.843-2.8430%-1.173-59%-1.267-55%30.453-109%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+7 -305Y+6 -3010Y+3 -35

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Fossil Group Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-0.353
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.239
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.111
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.549
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than12.075
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.743
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than12.857
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.670
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.174
Total3/10 (30.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Fossil Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5035.481
Ma 20Greater thanMa 501.200
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1001.418
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2001.499
OpenGreater thanClose1.043
Total1/5 (20.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Fossil Group Inc

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands, as well as branded products purchased for resell in other branded retail stores. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, TORY BURCH, and Skechers. The company sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department and specialty retail stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, and retail concessions, as well as sells its products on airlines. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2025-03-16 12:03:03.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profitΒ Fossil Group Inc earns for each €1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -11.1%Β means thatΒ €-0.11 for each €1Β in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is -11.1%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
  • The TTM is -11.1%. The company is making a huge loss. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-11.1%TTM-11.1%0.0%
TTM-11.1%YOY-2.6%-8.5%
TTM-11.1%5Y-4.1%-7.0%
5Y-4.1%10Y-1.8%-2.4%
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-11.1%3.5%-14.6%
TTM-11.1%3.5%-14.6%
YOY-2.6%3.8%-6.4%
5Y-4.1%2.3%-6.4%
10Y-1.8%3.5%-5.3%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows howΒ efficientΒ Fossil Group Inc is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthyΒ but always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • -17.4% Return on Assets means thatΒ Fossil Group Inc generatedΒ €-0.17 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is -17.4%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -17.4%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-17.4%TTM-17.4%0.0%
TTM-17.4%YOY-3.9%-13.5%
TTM-17.4%5Y-6.0%-11.4%
5Y-6.0%10Y-2.9%-3.1%
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-17.4%1.7%-19.1%
TTM-17.4%1.7%-19.1%
YOY-3.9%2.0%-5.9%
5Y-6.0%1.5%-7.5%
10Y-2.9%2.3%-5.2%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Fossil Group Inc is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • -67.0% Return on Equity means Fossil Group Inc generated €-0.67Β for eachΒ €1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is -67.0%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -67.0%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-67.0%TTM-67.0%0.0%
TTM-67.0%YOY-11.9%-55.1%
TTM-67.0%5Y-21.6%-45.4%
5Y-21.6%10Y-12.2%-9.3%
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-67.0%4.1%-71.1%
TTM-67.0%3.8%-70.8%
YOY-11.9%3.5%-15.4%
5Y-21.6%2.9%-24.5%
10Y-12.2%3.6%-15.8%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Fossil Group Inc.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

MeasuresΒ how efficient Fossil Group Inc is operatingΒ .

  • Measures how much profit Fossil Group Inc makes for each €1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0%Β means the company generated €0.00 Β for each €1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY0.4%-0.4%
TTM-5Y0.8%-0.8%
5Y0.8%10Y4.4%-3.6%
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-6.8%-6.8%
TTM-6.6%-6.6%
YOY0.4%6.6%-6.2%
5Y0.8%3.6%-2.8%
10Y4.4%5.5%-1.1%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Fossil Group Inc is keepingΒ operating costsΒ low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare toΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.59 means that the operating costs are €1.59 for each €1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.588. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.588. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.588TTM1.5880.000
TTM1.588YOY1.502+0.086
TTM1.5885Y1.517+0.071
5Y1.51710Y1.456+0.061
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.5881.193+0.395
TTM1.5881.124+0.464
YOY1.5021.011+0.491
5Y1.5171.061+0.456
10Y1.4561.019+0.437
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Fossil Group Inc.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Fossil Group Inc is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare toΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 2.08Β means the company has €2.08 in assets for each €1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 2.075. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 2.075. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.075TTM2.0750.000
TTM2.075YOY2.219-0.144
TTM2.0755Y1.974+0.101
5Y1.97410Y2.394-0.420
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.0751.921+0.154
TTM2.0751.938+0.137
YOY2.2191.964+0.255
5Y1.9741.874+0.100
10Y2.3941.971+0.423
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Fossil Group Inc is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only usingΒ theΒ most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy butΒ always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.55Β means the company can pay off €0.55 for each €1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.549. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.549. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.549TTM0.5490.000
TTM0.549YOY0.484+0.065
TTM0.5495Y0.516+0.033
5Y0.51610Y0.668-0.153
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5490.749-0.200
TTM0.5490.840-0.291
YOY0.4840.894-0.410
5Y0.5160.916-0.400
10Y0.6681.028-0.360
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4.5.4. Solvency of Fossil Group Inc.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much %Β of Fossil Group IncΒ assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.74Β means that Fossil Group Inc assets areΒ financed with 74.3% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 74.3%)Β is financed by its owners/shareholders.Β 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.743. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.743. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.743TTM0.7430.000
TTM0.743YOY0.675+0.068
TTM0.7435Y0.693+0.050
5Y0.69310Y0.643+0.050
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7430.415+0.328
TTM0.7430.418+0.325
YOY0.6750.431+0.244
5Y0.6930.467+0.226
10Y0.6430.432+0.211
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures ifΒ Fossil Group Inc is able toΒ pay off its debts by usingΒ shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy butΒ always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 285.7% means that company has €2.86 debt for each €1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 2.857. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 2.857. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.857TTM2.8570.000
TTM2.857YOY2.072+0.785
TTM2.8575Y2.284+0.573
5Y2.28410Y1.890+0.393
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.8570.678+2.179
TTM2.8570.734+2.123
YOY2.0720.807+1.265
5Y2.2840.941+1.343
10Y1.8900.820+1.070
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

MeasuresΒ how much money you payΒ for each share forΒ every €1 in earnings Fossil Group Inc generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced butΒ always compareΒ Fossil Group Inc to theΒ Footwear & Accessories industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -0.45 means the investor is paying €-0.45Β for every €1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The EOD is -0.353. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -0.453. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -0.453. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-0.353MRQ-0.453+0.100
MRQ-0.453TTM-0.4530.000
TTM-0.453YOY-4.722+4.269
TTM-0.4535Y0.481-0.934
5Y0.48110Y-17.026+17.507
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-0.3538.654-9.007
MRQ-0.4536.802-7.255
TTM-0.4537.967-8.420
YOY-4.72211.643-16.365
5Y0.48115.559-15.078
10Y-17.02618.629-35.655
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The EOD is -0.866. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -1.112. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -1.112. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-0.866MRQ-1.112+0.246
MRQ-1.112TTM-1.1120.000
TTM-1.112YOY-1.820+0.708
TTM-1.1125Y0.856-1.969
5Y0.85610Y1.016-0.159
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-0.8664.746-5.612
MRQ-1.1125.380-6.492
TTM-1.1122.953-4.065
YOY-1.8202.995-4.815
5Y0.8563.223-2.367
10Y1.0165.390-4.374
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price ofΒ Fossil Group Inc is to cheap or to expensiveΒ compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthyΒ (always compare to Footwear & Accessories industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.31 means the investor is paying €0.31Β for each €1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Fossil Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 0.239. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.306. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.306. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.239MRQ0.306-0.068
MRQ0.306TTM0.3060.000
TTM0.306YOY0.561-0.254
TTM0.3065Y0.743-0.437
5Y0.74310Y1.457-0.713
Compared to industry (Footwear & Accessories)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD0.2391.245-1.006
MRQ0.3061.399-1.093
TTM0.3061.393-1.087
YOY0.5611.460-0.899
5Y0.7431.513-0.770
10Y1.4571.828-0.371
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets978,030
Total Liabilities726,292
Total Stockholder Equity254,232
 As reported
Total Liabilities 726,292
Total Stockholder Equity+ 254,232
Total Assets = 978,030

Assets

Total Assets978,030
Total Current Assets710,690
Long-term Assets267,340
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 117,197
Net Receivables 187,942
Inventory 262,591
Other Current Assets 23,284
Total Current Assets  (as reported)710,690
Total Current Assets  (calculated)591,014
+/- 119,676
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 208,244
Intangible Assets 11,363
Long-term Assets Other 7,649
Long-term Assets  (as reported)267,340
Long-term Assets  (calculated)227,256
+/- 40,084

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities342,477
Long-term Liabilities383,815
Total Stockholder Equity254,232
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 480
Accounts payable 147,161
Other Current Liabilities 15,880
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)342,477
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)163,521
+/- 178,956
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 206,983
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt181,209
Long-term Liabilities Other 18,081
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)383,815
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)406,273
+/- 22,458
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 18,403
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)254,232
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)18,403
+/- 235,829
Other
Capital Stock525
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 52,487
Net Debt 90,266
Net Invested Capital 461,695
Net Working Capital 368,213
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 592,932



6.2. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-12-312022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-31
> Total Assets 
2,177,460
2,355,661
2,186,897
1,658,372
1,575,198
1,604,732
1,478,500
1,368,700
1,238,100
978,030
978,0301,238,1001,368,7001,478,5001,604,7321,575,1981,658,3722,186,8972,355,6612,177,460
   > Total Current Assets 
1,454,572
1,442,670
1,347,290
1,290,988
1,258,569
1,059,458
990,475
1,022,755
945,300
710,690
710,690945,3001,022,755990,4751,059,4581,258,5691,290,9881,347,2901,442,6701,454,572
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
276,261
289,275
297,330
231,244
403,373
200,218
316,000
250,800
198,700
117,197
117,197198,700250,800316,000200,218403,373231,244297,330289,275276,261
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
2,363
1,679
876
1,530
0
0
0
0
00001,5308761,6792,36300
       Net Receivables 
445,338
421,135
387,916
379,672
335,114
300,325
229,847
318,191
206,133
187,942
187,942206,133318,191229,847300,325335,114379,672387,916421,135445,338
       Inventory 
597,281
625,344
542,487
573,788
377,622
452,278
295,296
346,850
376,028
262,591
262,591376,028346,850295,296452,278377,622573,788542,487625,344597,281
       Other Current Assets 
26,196
28,342
37,919
35,678
53,223
48,137
50,554
43,128
38,326
23,284
23,28438,32643,12850,55448,13753,22335,67837,91928,34226,196
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
839,607
367,384
316,629
545,274
488,000
346,000
292,800
267,340
267,340292,800346,000488,000545,274316,629367,384839,60700
       Property Plant Equipment 
345,606
326,370
273,851
219,742
183,203
439,700
340,800
267,400
236,800
208,244
208,244236,800267,400340,800439,700183,203219,742273,851326,370345,606
       Goodwill 
197,728
359,394
355,263
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000355,263359,394197,728
       Long Term Investments 
1,747
2,707
2,078
500
500
500
327
327
0
0
003273275005005002,0782,7071,747
       Intangible Assets 
123,698
171,289
147,124
86,732
68,267
26,879
17,754
14,301
11,914
11,363
11,36311,91414,30117,75426,87968,26786,732147,124171,289123,698
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
5,870
5,247
9,368
9,646
10,462
15,371
7,212
7,649
7,6497,21215,37110,4629,6469,3685,2475,87000
> Total Liabilities 
1,193,659
1,423,118
1,171,459
1,077,425
986,567
1,100,891
1,038,500
903,300
835,100
726,292
726,292835,100903,3001,038,5001,100,891986,5671,077,4251,171,4591,423,1181,193,659
   > Total Current Liabilities 
446,308
489,529
414,585
509,088
605,803
559,180
558,526
535,647
425,920
342,477
342,477425,920535,647558,526559,180605,803509,088414,585489,529446,308
       Short-term Debt 
17,903
23,132
26,368
2,144
126,427
26,228
0
0
0
0
000026,228126,4272,14426,36823,13217,903
       Short Long Term Debt 
17,903
23,132
26,368
2,144
126,427
26,228
41,600
600
300
480
48030060041,60026,228126,4272,14426,36823,13217,903
       Accounts payable 
159,267
208,083
163,644
204,981
169,561
172,191
178,212
229,877
191,141
147,161
147,161191,141229,877178,212172,191169,561204,981163,644208,083159,267
       Other Current Liabilities 
40,126
22,714
36,218
80,171
123,181
134,846
108,326
89,700
81,172
15,880
15,88081,17289,700108,326134,846123,18180,17136,21822,71440,126
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
756,874
568,337
380,764
541,711
480,000
367,700
409,200
383,815
383,815409,200367,700480,000541,711380,764568,337756,87400
       Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt
-17,903
-23,132
-26,368
-2,144
-126,427
331,299
230,600
174,500
150,200
181,209
181,209150,200174,500230,600331,299-126,427-2,144-26,368-23,132-17,903
       Long-term Liabilities Other 
0
0
72,452
76,206
80,427
40,845
63,500
51,800
42,900
18,081
18,08142,90051,80063,50040,84580,42776,20672,45200
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
62,282
75,165
55,877
1,096
0
0
0
4,578
3,124
0
03,1244,5780001,09655,87775,16562,282
> Total Stockholder Equity
977,860
921,388
1,006,236
576,133
585,543
503,054
440,000
465,400
403,000
254,232
254,232403,000465,400440,000503,054585,543576,1331,006,236921,388977,860
   Common Stock
508
481
483
486
495
505
515
521
518
0
0518521515505495486483481508
   Retained Earnings 
822,093
813,957
887,825
409,653
381,626
299,793
203,698
229,132
175,491
18,403
18,403175,491229,132203,698299,793381,626409,653887,825813,957822,093
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 0000000000
   Capital Surplus 0000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000



6.3. Balance Sheets

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.4. Cash Flows

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Income Statements

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.


6.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue1,412,384
Cost of Revenue-732,803
Gross Profit679,581679,581
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit679,581
Operating Expense-1,509,970
Operating Income-97,586-830,389
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative777,167
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense1,509,970777,167
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income3,184
Interest Expense-21,778
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-18,594
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-97,586
Net Interest Income-18,594
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)-156,137-57,629
EBIT - interestExpense = -21,778
-157,088
-135,310
Interest Expense21,778
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)--134,359
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-156,137
Tax Provision-522
Net Income From Continuing Ops-156,659-156,659
Net Income-157,088
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-39,95718,594
 

Technical Analysis of Fossil Group Inc
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Fossil Group Inc. The general trend of Fossil Group Inc is BEARISH with 71.4% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Fossil Group Inc's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-71.4%) Bearish trend (71.4%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Fossil Group Inc Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

SupportΒ is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
ResistanceΒ is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Fossil Group Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 1.065 < 1.0725 < 1.134.

The bearish price targets are: 1.002 > 0.9646 > 0.8832.

Know someone who trades $FSL? Share this with them.πŸ‘‡

Fossil Group Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart
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2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows theΒ moving averageΒ of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are laggingΒ trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Fossil Group Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 2/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -10/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Fossil Group Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows theΒ momentumΒ of theΒ selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is aΒ lagging momentumΒ indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Fossil Group Inc. The current macd is -0.10639414.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Fossil Group Inc price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Fossil Group Inc. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Fossil Group Inc price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Fossil Group Inc. The current adx is 24.21.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Fossil Group Inc shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bearish trend could be forming. -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • ShowsΒ the current trend.
  • ShowsΒ potential entry signals.
  • ShowsΒ Β potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to placeΒ trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Fossil Group Inc. The current sar is 1.34567357.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentumΒ indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • RangesΒ between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Fossil Group Inc. The current rsi is 35.48. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

ComparesΒ a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • LeadingΒ momentumΒ indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • RangesΒ between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Fossil Group Inc. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Fossil Group Inc price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero,Β the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Fossil Group Inc. The current cci is -116.8489075.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Fossil Group Inc. The current cmo is -32.62794738.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

Β Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
Β 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 andΒ -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Fossil Group Inc. The current willr is -93.22709163.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Williams %R ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversoldΒ 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Fossil Group Inc.

Fossil Group Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Fossil Group Inc. The current atr is 0.05953446.

Fossil Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Β Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Fossil Group Inc. The current obv is -135,615.

Fossil Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Fossil Group Inc. The current mfi is 21.55.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Fossil Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartFossil Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Fossil Group Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-11-07 00:00:00RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-11 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-12 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-14 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-19 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-20 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-22 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-11-25 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-11-26 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-27 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-28 00:00:00ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-11-29 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-02 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-12-03 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-12-04 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-12-05 00:00:00RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-12-09 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-12-10 00:00:00ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-12-11 00:00:00MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-12-12 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-12-16 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-12-17 00:00:00SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-12-20 00:00:00CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-12-23 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-12-27 00:00:00MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-12-30 00:00:00ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-02 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-03 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2025-01-06 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-09 00:00:00SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-01-13 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-14 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-16 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-01-21 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2025-01-22 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-01-23 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-01-24 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-01-27 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-01-28 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2025-01-29 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-01-30 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-01-31 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-02-03 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-02-04 00:00:00CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-02-05 00:00:00DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-02-06 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2025-02-07 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-02-12 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-13 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2025-02-14 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-02-19 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2025-02-20 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-21 00:00:00SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-24 00:00:00BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-02-26 00:00:00ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-04 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-06 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-10 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-03-11 00:00:00STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-12 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-14 00:00:00MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-03-17 00:00:00DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-18 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-19 00:00:00WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-03-21 00:00:00SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-03-24 00:00:00STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-03-25 00:00:00MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-03-26 00:00:00MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-04-01 00:00:00MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Fossil Group Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Fossil Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5035.481
Ma 20Greater thanMa 501.200
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1001.418
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2001.499
OpenGreater thanClose1.043
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke
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