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GEG (The GEO Group Inc) Stock Analysis
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze The GEO Group Inc together

I guess you are interested in The GEO Group Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

  • πŸ“Š Fundamental Analysis (FA) – The GEO Group Inc’s Financial Insights
  • πŸ“ˆ Technical Analysis (TA) – The GEO Group Inc’s Price Targets

I'm going to help you getting a better view of The GEO Group Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of The GEO Group Inc (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of The GEO Group Inc? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
€0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
48.3%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
€8.45
Expected worth in 1 year
€9.07
How sure are you?
93.1%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
€0.62
Return On Investment
4.7%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
€13.02
Expected price per share
€12.49 - €17.07
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of The GEO Group Inc (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
€13.02
Intrinsic Value Per Share
€0.28 - €-0.10
Total Value Per Share
€8.73 - €8.35

2.2. Growth of The GEO Group Inc (5 min.)




Is The GEO Group Inc growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.3b$1.2b$58.2m4.3%

How much money is The GEO Group Inc making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$22.6m$9.9m$12.6m55.9%
Net Profit Margin3.7%1.7%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of The GEO Group Inc (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Security & Protection Services industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Security & Protection Services)  

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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of The GEO Group Inc?

Welcome investor! The GEO Group Inc's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of The GEO Group Inc.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of The GEO Group Inc. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of The GEO Group Inc is €13.02. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of The GEO Group Inc.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in The GEO Group Inc, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is €8.45. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is €0.15 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is €0.07 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is €0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of The GEO Group Inc.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY3Y5Y10Y
 β‚¬% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share€% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.211.6%0.161.2%0.070.5%0.141.1%0.161.2%0.191.5%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.282.2%0.181.4%0.090.7%0.181.4%0.151.2%0.342.6%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.050.4%0.161.2%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.282.2%0.181.4%0.090.7%0.181.4%0.201.5%0.503.8%
Usd Price Per Share23.40-24.59-12.50-15.45-12.42-14.45-
Price to Earnings Ratio28.44-43.08-8.63-21.02-15.80-16.45-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio83.06-227.43-33.55-97.79-67.52-67.09-
Price to Book Ratio2.40-2.59-1.38-1.69-1.47-1.83-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio83.06-227.43-33.55-97.79-67.52-67.09-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share15.0310235
Number of shares66
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.05
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.180.15
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.180.20
Gains per Quarter (66 shares)11.7613.23
Gains per Year (66 shares)47.0452.94
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
104737124143
209484248296
3014113137122149
4018817849163202
5023522561204255
6028227273245308
7032931985285361
8037636697326414
90423413110367467
100470460122408520

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.01.00.091.7%18.02.00.090.0%27.02.00.093.1%27.02.00.093.1%
Book Value Change Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.01.00.091.7%16.04.00.080.0%17.012.00.058.6%17.012.00.058.6%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%5.00.015.025.0%14.00.015.048.3%14.00.015.048.3%
Total Gains per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.01.00.091.7%18.02.00.090.0%27.02.00.093.1%27.02.00.093.1%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of The GEO Group Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-3Y+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.2440.154+58%0.074+231%0.159+54%0.134+82%0.291-16%
Book Value Per Share--8.4518.215+3%7.859+8%7.758+9%7.057+20%6.801+24%
Current Ratio--0.8981.190-25%1.244-28%1.232-27%1.572-43%1.446-38%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6230.631-1%0.652-4%0.655-5%0.706-12%0.723-14%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.6491.710-4%1.869-12%1.912-14%2.582-36%2.773-41%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%0.040-100%0.137-100%
Enterprise Value--893240165.8001024757672.556-13%-548309681.706+161%-194265284.072+122%-948223267.241+206%-806781752.801+190%
Eps--0.1780.138+29%0.061+192%0.125+42%0.135+32%0.165+8%
Ev To Sales Ratio--0.4050.483-16%-0.262+165%-0.094+123%-0.479+218%-0.402+199%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0140.200-93%0.316-95%0.250-94%0.296-95%0.326-96%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.0870.058+50%-0.017+119%-0.294+439%-0.023+127%-0.011+113%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---0.100----------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--0.281----------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.854----------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.839----------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.907----------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--1.834----------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--2.166----------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--2.067----------
Market Cap1842073014.225-56%2867491299.9003013802708.156-5%1532289125.644+87%1893367517.611+51%1522523237.209+88%1770637077.682+62%
Net Profit Margin--0.0460.037+24%0.017+177%0.037+25%0.041+11%0.048-4%
Operating Margin----0%-0%0.041-100%0.069-100%0.094-100%
Operating Ratio--0.8870.884+0%1.047-15%1.100-19%1.298-32%1.378-36%
Pb Ratio1.540-56%2.3972.589-7%1.375+74%1.694+42%1.475+63%1.827+31%
Pe Ratio18.271-56%28.44243.085-34%8.633+229%21.019+35%15.799+80%16.447+73%
Price Per Share13.015-56%20.26021.294-5%10.826+87%13.377+51%10.757+88%12.510+62%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio225.642-56%351.249-20.236+106%25.568+1274%62.419+463%38.325+816%26.719+1215%
Price To Total Gains Ratio53.355-56%83.055227.435-63%33.553+148%97.792-15%67.518+23%67.094+24%
Quick Ratio--0.6950.905-23%0.887-22%0.912-24%0.904-23%0.893-22%
Return On Assets--0.0080.006+28%0.003+199%0.006+32%0.006+31%0.007+15%
Return On Equity--0.0210.017+25%0.008+172%0.018+17%0.022-4%0.027-21%
Total Gains Per Share--0.2440.154+58%0.074+231%0.159+54%0.174+40%0.429-43%
Usd Book Value--1381458555.4321342767475.594+3%1284541100.542+8%1268037806.614+9%1153483442.824+20%1111600782.533+24%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.2820.178+58%0.085+231%0.183+54%0.154+82%0.337-16%
Usd Book Value Per Share--9.7619.487+3%9.076+8%8.959+9%8.150+20%7.854+24%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%0.046-100%0.158-100%
Usd Enterprise Value--1031603067.4821183492636.035-13%-633242851.403+161%-224356976.575+122%-1095103051.337+206%-931752246.310+190%
Usd Eps--0.2060.160+29%0.070+192%0.145+42%0.156+32%0.190+8%
Usd Free Cash Flow--2357065.78432753414.122-93%51701442.947-95%40802222.092-94%48421351.402-95%40404782.838-94%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0170.231-93%0.365-95%0.288-94%0.342-95%0.376-96%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.1000.067+50%-0.019+119%-0.339+439%-0.027+127%-0.013+113%
Usd Market Cap2127410124.128-56%3311665702.2553480640747.650-5%1769640711.206+87%2186650146.089+51%1758362086.652+88%2044908761.015+62%
Usd Price Per Share15.031-56%23.39824.592-5%12.503+87%15.450+51%12.424+88%14.448+62%
Usd Profit--29108812.40422619881.303+29%9976778.444+192%22319372.916+30%24416631.449+19%28515451.016+2%
Usd Revenue--636186755.477612932356.465+4%605997912.930+5%609604513.587+4%593430362.179+7%596758482.651+7%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.2820.178+58%0.085+231%0.183+54%0.201+40%0.495-43%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+21 -14YOY+26 -93Y+25 -115Y+25 -1310Y+20 -18

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of The GEO Group Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1518.271
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.540
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.046
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.695
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.898
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.623
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.649
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.021
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.008
Total2/10 (20.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of The GEO Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5028.309
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5014.481
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10016.437
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20018.342
OpenGreater thanClose13.415
Total1/5 (20.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About The GEO Group Inc

The GEO Group, Inc. owns, leases, operates, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services; Reentry Services; and International Services. It also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and secure transportation services, as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2025-11-03 17:18:05.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profitΒ The GEO Group Inc earns for each €1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 4.6%Β means thatΒ €0.05 for each €1Β in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 4.6%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 3.7%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ4.6%TTM3.7%+0.9%
TTM3.7%YOY1.7%+2.0%
TTM3.7%5Y4.1%-0.4%
5Y4.1%10Y4.8%-0.7%
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ4.6%1.0%+3.6%
TTM3.7%2.1%+1.6%
YOY1.7%1.5%+0.2%
3Y3.7%1.2%+2.5%
5Y4.1%2.2%+1.9%
10Y4.8%1.4%+3.4%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows howΒ efficientΒ The GEO Group Inc is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthyΒ but always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • 0.8% Return on Assets means thatΒ The GEO Group Inc generatedΒ €0.01 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.8%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 0.6%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.8%TTM0.6%+0.2%
TTM0.6%YOY0.3%+0.4%
TTM0.6%5Y0.6%+0.0%
5Y0.6%10Y0.7%-0.1%
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8%0.2%+0.6%
TTM0.6%0.6%+0.0%
YOY0.3%0.7%-0.4%
3Y0.6%0.5%+0.1%
5Y0.6%0.6%+0.0%
10Y0.7%0.9%-0.2%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient The GEO Group Inc is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • 2.1% Return on Equity means The GEO Group Inc generated €0.02Β for eachΒ €1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 2.1%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
  • The TTM is 1.7%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.1%TTM1.7%+0.4%
TTM1.7%YOY0.8%+0.9%
TTM1.7%5Y2.2%-0.5%
5Y2.2%10Y2.7%-0.5%
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.1%0.8%+1.3%
TTM1.7%1.3%+0.4%
YOY0.8%1.3%-0.5%
3Y1.8%1.5%+0.3%
5Y2.2%1.1%+1.1%
10Y2.7%1.3%+1.4%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of The GEO Group Inc.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

MeasuresΒ how efficient The GEO Group Inc is operatingΒ .

  • Measures how much profit The GEO Group Inc makes for each €1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0%Β means the company generated €0.00 Β for each €1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-0.0%
TTM-YOY-0.0%
TTM-5Y6.9%-6.9%
5Y6.9%10Y9.4%-2.5%
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-3.2%-3.2%
TTM-3.7%-3.7%
YOY-3.4%-3.4%
3Y4.1%2.3%+1.8%
5Y6.9%3.9%+3.0%
10Y9.4%2.8%+6.6%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient The GEO Group Inc is keepingΒ operating costsΒ low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare toΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.89 means that the operating costs are €0.89 for each €1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.887. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.884. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.887TTM0.884+0.002
TTM0.884YOY1.047-0.163
TTM0.8845Y1.298-0.413
5Y1.29810Y1.378-0.080
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8871.298-0.411
TTM0.8841.252-0.368
YOY1.0471.041+0.006
3Y1.1001.165-0.065
5Y1.2981.125+0.173
10Y1.3781.120+0.258
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4.4.3. Liquidity of The GEO Group Inc.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if The GEO Group Inc is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare toΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.90Β means the company has €0.90 in assets for each €1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.898. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
  • The TTM is 1.190. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.898TTM1.190-0.292
TTM1.190YOY1.244-0.054
TTM1.1905Y1.572-0.382
5Y1.57210Y1.446+0.127
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.8982.083-1.185
TTM1.1902.066-0.876
YOY1.2442.027-0.783
3Y1.2322.109-0.877
5Y1.5722.292-0.720
10Y1.4462.358-0.912
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if The GEO Group Inc is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only usingΒ theΒ most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy butΒ always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69Β means the company can pay off €0.69 for each €1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.695. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.905. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.695TTM0.905-0.210
TTM0.905YOY0.887+0.018
TTM0.9055Y0.904+0.001
5Y0.90410Y0.893+0.010
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6951.126-0.431
TTM0.9051.229-0.324
YOY0.8871.298-0.411
3Y0.9121.265-0.353
5Y0.9041.425-0.521
10Y0.8931.503-0.610
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4.5.4. Solvency of The GEO Group Inc.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much %Β of The GEO Group IncΒ assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.62Β means that The GEO Group Inc assets areΒ financed with 62.3% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 62.3%)Β is financed by its owners/shareholders.Β 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.623. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.631. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.623TTM0.631-0.008
TTM0.631YOY0.652-0.020
TTM0.6315Y0.706-0.075
5Y0.70610Y0.723-0.017
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6230.399+0.224
TTM0.6310.423+0.208
YOY0.6520.417+0.235
3Y0.6550.432+0.223
5Y0.7060.429+0.277
10Y0.7230.421+0.302
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures ifΒ The GEO Group Inc is able toΒ pay off its debts by usingΒ shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy butΒ always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 164.9% means that company has €1.65 debt for each €1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.649. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.710. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.649TTM1.710-0.061
TTM1.710YOY1.869-0.160
TTM1.7105Y2.582-0.872
5Y2.58210Y2.773-0.191
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.6490.573+1.076
TTM1.7100.668+1.042
YOY1.8690.602+1.267
3Y1.9120.720+1.192
5Y2.5820.731+1.851
10Y2.7730.774+1.999
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

MeasuresΒ how much money you payΒ for each share forΒ every €1 in earnings The GEO Group Inc generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced butΒ always compareΒ The GEO Group Inc to theΒ Security & Protection Services industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 28.44 means the investor is paying €28.44Β for every €1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 18.271. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 28.442. Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The TTM is 43.085. Based on the earnings, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD18.271MRQ28.442-10.171
MRQ28.442TTM43.085-14.643
TTM43.085YOY8.633+34.452
TTM43.0855Y15.799+27.285
5Y15.79910Y16.447-0.648
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD18.2716.232+12.039
MRQ28.4426.450+21.992
TTM43.0859.511+33.574
YOY8.6339.300-0.667
3Y21.01911.263+9.756
5Y15.79913.228+2.571
10Y16.44715.109+1.338
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 225.642. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 351.249. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -20.236. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD225.642MRQ351.249-125.607
MRQ351.249TTM-20.236+371.485
TTM-20.236YOY25.568-45.805
TTM-20.2365Y38.325-58.561
5Y38.32510Y26.719+11.606
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD225.6422.739+222.903
MRQ351.2493.527+347.722
TTM-20.2362.616-22.852
YOY25.5681.866+23.702
3Y62.4196.490+55.929
5Y38.3257.705+30.620
10Y26.7194.178+22.541
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price ofΒ The GEO Group Inc is to cheap or to expensiveΒ compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthyΒ (always compare to Security & Protection Services industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 2.40 means the investor is paying €2.40Β for each €1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of The GEO Group Inc:

  • The EOD is 1.540. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 2.397. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 2.589. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.540MRQ2.397-0.857
MRQ2.397TTM2.589-0.192
TTM2.589YOY1.375+1.214
TTM2.5895Y1.475+1.114
5Y1.47510Y1.827-0.352
Compared to industry (Security & Protection Services)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.5401.847-0.307
MRQ2.3971.948+0.449
TTM2.5891.946+0.643
YOY1.3751.736-0.361
3Y1.6941.775-0.081
5Y1.4752.078-0.603
10Y1.8272.797-0.970
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share

2.4. Latest News of The GEO Group Inc

Does The GEO Group Inc still have the same value as the quarterly reports suggest? Recent changes may be an indication that the value of the company is changing. Read the news from The GEO Group Inc to keep up to date. Note: the news is often already included in the price.

DateTitleRead
2025-10-19
09:08
GEO Expands Southeast Footprint with New Florida Detention ContractRead
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6. Financial Statements




6.1. Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2024-06-302024-09-302024-12-312025-03-312025-06-30
Net Working Capital  87,932-50,82037,112101,393138,506-39,28199,225-148,571-49,346



6.2. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2025-06-30. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets3,661,419
Total Liabilities2,279,999
Total Stockholder Equity1,383,022
 As reported
Total Liabilities 2,279,999
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,383,022
Total Assets = 3,661,419

Assets

Total Assets3,661,419
Total Current Assets504,050
Long-term Assets3,157,369
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 67,861
Net Receivables 389,738
Other Current Assets 46,451
Total Current Assets  (as reported)504,050
Total Current Assets  (calculated)504,050
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 1,908,875
Goodwill 756,021
Intangible Assets 121,955
Long-term Assets Other 360,996
Long-term Assets  (as reported)3,157,369
Long-term Assets  (calculated)3,147,847
+/- 9,522

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities561,038
Long-term Liabilities1,718,961
Total Stockholder Equity1,383,022
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 220,801
Accounts payable 70,012
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)561,038
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)290,813
+/- 270,225
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 1,475,375
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt88,175
Long-term Liabilities Other 99,974
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)1,718,961
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)1,663,524
+/- 55,437
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 88,546
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,383,022
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)88,546
+/- 1,294,476
Other
Capital Stock1,413
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 141,246
Net Debt 1,628,315
Net Invested Capital 3,079,198
Net Working Capital -56,988
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 1,908,875



6.3. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2025-06-302025-03-312024-12-312024-09-302024-06-302024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-302018-06-30
> Total Assets 
4,206,570
4,242,339
4,247,463
4,384,066
4,308,138
4,282,879
4,317,534
4,187,847
4,242,712
4,247,835
4,460,126
4,427,447
4,563,609
4,588,796
4,537,408
4,608,884
4,555,323
3,704,508
3,760,383
3,701,984
3,671,889
3,724,383
3,696,406
3,684,510
3,643,988
3,633,292
3,632,080
3,632,465
3,661,419
3,661,4193,632,4653,632,0803,633,2923,643,9883,684,5103,696,4063,724,3833,671,8893,701,9843,760,3833,704,5084,555,3234,608,8844,537,4084,588,7964,563,6094,427,4474,460,1264,247,8354,242,7124,187,8474,317,5344,282,8794,308,1384,384,0664,247,4634,242,3394,206,570
   > Total Current Assets 
547,100
571,555
591,107
604,613
532,884
517,599
547,778
476,526
510,320
500,073
711,323
700,963
868,640
932,989
943,908
1,022,815
1,023,413
515,727
555,008
501,248
451,976
538,659
528,505
531,490
490,413
484,498
500,179
503,366
504,050
504,050503,366500,179484,498490,413531,490528,505538,659451,976501,248555,008515,7271,023,4131,022,815943,908932,989868,640700,963711,323500,073510,320476,526547,778517,599532,884604,613591,107571,555547,100
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
65,451
66,007
31,255
67,728
21,561
54,030
32,463
32,414
75,734
53,676
283,524
289,391
483,048
537,070
506,491
598,508
587,861
91,645
95,073
110,916
48,716
141,020
93,971
126,497
46,299
70,635
76,896
64,822
67,861
67,86164,82276,89670,63546,299126,49793,971141,02048,716110,91695,07391,645587,861598,508506,491537,070483,048289,391283,52453,67675,73432,41432,46354,03021,56167,72831,25566,00765,451
       Net Receivables 
387,166
413,030
467,161
423,596
394,720
377,984
445,481
380,139
367,108
385,775
368,951
353,174
320,251
334,036
382,880
358,648
379,097
383,694
427,699
349,337
350,961
356,501
390,023
356,717
384,072
367,504
376,013
384,227
389,738
389,738384,227376,013367,504384,072356,717390,023356,501350,961349,337427,699383,694379,097358,648382,880334,036320,251353,174368,951385,775367,108380,139445,481377,984394,720423,596467,161413,030387,166
       Other Current Assets 
94,483
92,518
92,691
97,284
102,659
77,392
69,834
63,973
67,478
60,622
58,848
58,398
65,341
30,201
20,161
23,795
21,134
40,388
43,536
40,995
52,299
41,138
44,511
48,276
53,802
46,359
44,485
50,660
46,451
46,45150,66044,48546,35953,80248,27644,51141,13852,29940,99543,53640,38821,13423,79520,16130,20165,34158,39858,84860,62267,47863,97369,83477,392102,65997,28492,69192,51894,483
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
3,779,453
3,775,254
3,765,280
3,769,756
3,711,321
3,732,392
3,747,762
3,748,803
3,726,484
3,694,969
3,655,807
3,593,500
3,586,069
3,531,910
3,188,781
3,205,375
3,200,736
3,219,913
3,185,724
3,167,901
3,153,020
3,153,575
3,148,794
3,131,901
3,129,099
3,157,369
3,157,3693,129,0993,131,9013,148,7943,153,5753,153,0203,167,9013,185,7243,219,9133,200,7363,205,3753,188,7813,531,9103,586,0693,593,5003,655,8073,694,9693,726,4843,748,8033,747,7623,732,3923,711,3213,769,7563,765,2803,775,2543,779,453000
       Property Plant Equipment 
2,124,553
2,148,005
2,158,610
2,283,992
2,280,241
2,281,216
2,266,249
2,265,995
2,253,527
2,248,243
2,246,922
2,239,327
2,194,558
2,173,479
2,150,032
0
2,113,608
2,107,798
2,092,971
2,058,153
2,072,855
2,058,076
2,046,482
2,026,330
2,014,906
2,007,272
1,995,017
1,991,001
1,908,875
1,908,8751,991,0011,995,0172,007,2722,014,9062,026,3302,046,4822,058,0762,072,8552,058,1532,092,9712,107,7982,113,60802,150,0322,173,4792,194,5582,239,3272,246,9222,248,2432,253,5272,265,9952,266,2492,281,2162,280,2412,283,9922,158,6102,148,0052,124,553
       Goodwill 
776,379
776,368
776,359
776,361
776,357
776,341
776,356
776,306
776,349
776,364
755,250
755,244
755,239
755,222
755,225
755,238
755,203
755,179
755,199
755,192
755,189
755,178
755,199
756,019
756,027
756,042
756,001
756,004
756,021
756,021756,004756,001756,042756,027756,019755,199755,178755,189755,192755,199755,179755,203755,238755,225755,222755,239755,244755,250776,364776,349776,306776,356776,341776,357776,361776,359776,368776,379
       Long Term Investments 
19,300
16,700
18,200
17,700
19,000
18,200
18,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000000000018,00018,20019,00017,70018,20016,70019,300
       Intangible Assets 
243,549
237,947
232,360
226,782
221,222
215,607
210,070
204,387
198,826
193,265
187,747
182,481
177,514
172,794
166,124
158,695
154,978
151,272
147,688
144,243
140,971
138,271
135,886
133,516
131,208
128,902
126,576
124,265
121,955
121,955124,265126,576128,902131,208133,516135,886138,271140,971144,243147,688151,272154,978158,695166,124172,794177,514182,481187,747193,265198,826204,387210,070215,607221,222226,782232,360237,947243,549
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
93,696
102,302
109,182
120,156
108,536
111,448
124,725
125,633
123,115
148,225
151,553
155,048
172,422
163,970
174,532
201,512
235,143
242,893
226,194
221,783
228,604
242,883
248,027
244,785
248,307
360,996
360,996248,307244,785248,027242,883228,604221,783226,194242,893235,143201,512174,532163,970172,422155,048151,553148,225123,115125,633124,725111,448108,536120,156109,182102,30293,696000
> Total Liabilities 
3,113,633
3,161,927
3,207,559
3,357,162
3,286,600
3,275,875
3,321,486
3,230,391
3,298,417
3,315,551
3,548,044
3,487,274
3,578,541
3,571,090
3,562,392
3,588,049
3,485,491
2,593,928
2,595,295
2,502,935
2,439,518
2,465,834
2,406,092
2,375,889
2,363,451
2,318,754
2,298,666
2,290,917
2,279,999
2,279,9992,290,9172,298,6662,318,7542,363,4512,375,8892,406,0922,465,8342,439,5182,502,9352,595,2952,593,9283,485,4913,588,0493,562,3923,571,0903,578,5413,487,2743,548,0443,315,5513,298,4173,230,3913,321,4863,275,8753,286,6003,357,1623,207,5593,161,9273,113,633
   > Total Current Liabilities 
373,777
673,483
694,583
708,785
409,652
408,605
395,928
385,319
400,921
421,877
411,296
423,056
385,732
420,605
378,842
408,371
389,205
427,425
437,212
396,098
347,208
433,326
437,464
420,929
388,863
441,638
340,223
388,774
561,038
561,038388,774340,223441,638388,863420,929437,464433,326347,208396,098437,212427,425389,205408,371378,842420,605385,732423,056411,296421,877400,921385,319395,928408,605409,652708,785694,583673,483373,777
       Short-term Debt 
23,698
338,685
330,538
332,864
25,866
23,417
24,208
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000000000024,20823,41725,866332,864330,538338,68523,698
       Short Long Term Debt 
23,698
338,685
330,538
332,864
25,866
23,417
24,208
23,625
24,577
25,073
26,180
27,135
27,240
24,697
18,568
17,206
16,695
44,702
44,722
44,033
29,377
63,307
55,882
43,400
24,442
55,109
1,612
25,622
220,801
220,80125,6221,61255,10924,44243,40055,88263,30729,37744,03344,72244,70216,69517,20618,56824,69727,24027,13526,18025,07324,57723,62524,20823,41725,866332,864330,538338,68523,698
       Accounts payable 
90,327
82,284
93,032
93,458
91,257
96,263
99,232
92,887
86,155
91,955
85,861
84,469
75,329
67,411
64,073
80,313
79,569
71,408
79,312
78,851
73,076
66,758
65,655
67,822
76,287
64,532
67,837
65,047
70,012
70,01265,04767,83764,53276,28767,82265,65566,75873,07678,85179,31271,40879,56980,31364,07367,41175,32984,46985,86191,95586,15592,88799,23296,26391,25793,45893,03282,28490,327
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
52,150
0
0
0
44,117
0
0
0
50,361
0
0
0
39,338
0
0
0
36,273
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
27,976
0
0
0027,976000000036,27300039,33800050,36100044,11700052,15000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
2,648,377
2,876,948
2,867,270
2,925,558
2,845,072
2,897,496
2,893,674
3,136,748
3,064,218
3,192,809
3,150,485
3,183,550
3,179,678
3,096,286
2,166,503
2,158,083
2,106,837
2,092,310
2,032,508
1,968,628
1,954,960
1,974,588
1,877,116
1,958,443
1,902,143
1,718,961
1,718,9611,902,1431,958,4431,877,1161,974,5881,954,9601,968,6282,032,5082,092,3102,106,8372,158,0832,166,5033,096,2863,179,6783,183,5503,150,4853,192,8093,064,2183,136,7482,893,6742,897,4962,845,0722,925,5582,867,2702,876,9482,648,377000
       Capital Lease Obligations 
0
0
0
141,627
138,700
131,469
126,453
128,845
128,864
127,564
133,443
134,604
129,183
128,799
120,173
116,467
115,855
102,344
97,665
93,328
114,833
112,095
106,754
101,702
99,492
100,640
98,973
93,896
88,175
88,17593,89698,973100,64099,492101,702106,754112,095114,83393,32897,665102,344115,855116,467120,173128,799129,183134,604133,443127,564128,864128,845126,453131,469138,700141,627000
       Long-term Liabilities Other 
0
0
0
79,734
81,812
88,159
88,526
82,591
104,601
121,525
115,555
114,521
117,273
95,789
87,073
82,500
77,936
81,593
74,008
76,232
79,763
79,797
83,643
85,609
87,869
90,594
95,410
96,330
99,974
99,97496,33095,41090,59487,86985,60983,64379,79779,76376,23274,00881,59377,93682,50087,07395,789117,273114,521115,555121,525104,60182,59188,52688,15981,81279,734000
> Total Stockholder Equity
1,093,435
1,080,981
1,040,503
1,027,559
1,022,266
1,007,794
996,830
958,346
945,250
933,283
913,102
941,256
986,181
1,018,880
975,016
1,022,085
1,071,113
1,110,580
1,165,088
1,200,358
1,232,371
1,259,903
1,291,768
1,310,072
1,282,053
1,316,113
1,334,936
1,343,098
1,383,022
1,383,0221,343,0981,334,9361,316,1131,282,0531,310,0721,291,7681,259,9031,232,3711,200,3581,165,0881,110,5801,071,1131,022,085975,0161,018,880986,181941,256913,102933,283945,250958,346996,8301,007,7941,022,2661,027,5591,040,5031,080,9811,093,435
   Common Stock
1,248
1,248
1,248
1,254
1,254
1,255
1,254
1,262
1,262
1,262
1,262
1,272
1,273
1,273
1,273
1,289
1,289
1,290
1,289
0
1,303
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000001,30301,2891,2901,2891,2891,2731,2731,2731,2721,2621,2621,2621,2621,2541,2551,2541,2541,2481,2481,248
   Retained Earnings 
0
0
0
-71,076
-87,339
-99,607
-119,779
-152,301
-174,038
-193,345
-222,892
-202,834
-160,875
-126,165
-175,960
-137,741
-84,105
-45,766
-4,236
23,767
53,338
77,857
103,089
125,757
-1,931
24,389
39,880
59,438
88,546
88,54659,43839,88024,389-1,931125,757103,08977,85753,33823,767-4,236-45,766-84,105-137,741-175,960-126,165-160,875-202,834-222,892-193,345-174,038-152,301-119,779-99,607-87,339-71,076000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 00000000000000000000000000000
   Capital Surplus 00000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock00000000000000000000000000000



6.4. Balance Sheets

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Cash Flows

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




6.6. Income Statements

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


6.7. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2024-12-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue2,423,702
Cost of Revenue--
Gross Profit-2,423,702
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit-
Operating Expense-2,113,727
Operating Income309,975-2,113,727
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative213,028
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense2,113,727213,028
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income8,787
Interest Expense-190,624
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-181,837
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income309,975
Net Interest Income-181,837
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)38,594399,519
EBIT - interestExpense = -190,624
31,966
222,590
Interest Expense190,624
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-229,218
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax38,594
Tax Provision-9,401
Net Income From Continuing Ops31,89629,193
Net Income31,966
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-89,544181,837
 

Technical Analysis of The GEO Group Inc
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of The GEO Group Inc. The general trend of The GEO Group Inc is BEARISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine The GEO Group Inc's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-100.0%) Bearish trend (100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. The GEO Group Inc Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

SupportΒ is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
ResistanceΒ is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of The GEO Group Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 14.17 < 15.21 < 17.07.

The bearish price targets are: 12.96 > 12.60 > 12.49.

Know someone who trades $GEG? Share this with them.πŸ‘‡

The GEO Group Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart
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2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows theΒ moving averageΒ of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are laggingΒ trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of The GEO Group Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 0/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

The GEO Group Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows theΒ momentumΒ of theΒ selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is aΒ lagging momentumΒ indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of The GEO Group Inc. The current macd is -0.76134019.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the The GEO Group Inc price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for The GEO Group Inc. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the The GEO Group Inc price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of The GEO Group Inc. The current adx is 28.80.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell The GEO Group Inc shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bearish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bearish trend is strengthening.
The GEO Group Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • ShowsΒ the current trend.
  • ShowsΒ potential entry signals.
  • ShowsΒ Β potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to placeΒ trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of The GEO Group Inc. The current sar is 14.94.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentumΒ indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • RangesΒ between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of The GEO Group Inc. The current rsi is 28.31. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/(-13 +13).

  • Oversold in bear market: Short-term excessive selling, potential for relief rally. Be cautious, consider taking short-term long positions. +1
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

ComparesΒ a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • LeadingΒ momentumΒ indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • RangesΒ between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of The GEO Group Inc. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -6/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the The GEO Group Inc price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero,Β the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of The GEO Group Inc. The current cci is -313.20892792.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of The GEO Group Inc. The current cmo is -49.26348643.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

Β Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
Β 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 andΒ -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of The GEO Group Inc. The current willr is -91.07883817.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Williams %R ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversoldΒ 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of The GEO Group Inc.

The GEO Group Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of The GEO Group Inc. The current atr is 0.53611389.

The GEO Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Β Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of The GEO Group Inc. The current obv is 101,912.

The GEO Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of The GEO Group Inc. The current mfi is 36.63.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
The GEO Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartThe GEO Group Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for The GEO Group Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2025-06-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-06-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-06-27RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2025-06-30MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2025-07-01MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2025-07-03DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-07-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2025-07-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-07-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-07-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-07-15SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-07-18DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-07-21MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-07-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-07-25MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-07-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-07-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2025-08-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-08-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-08-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-08-12RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2025-08-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-08-25WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-08-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-08-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2025-08-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-09-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-09-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-09-08CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-09-09SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-09-11DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-09-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-09-17CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-09-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2025-09-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2025-09-23SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2025-09-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-09-25DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-09-29MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-09-30CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2025-10-01MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2025-10-02MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-10-06BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-10-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-10-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-10-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2025-10-16ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-10-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-10-21SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2025-10-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-10-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-10-24MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2025-10-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-10-30SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2025-10-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-11-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2025-11-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2025-11-06STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2025-11-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

The GEO Group Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of The GEO Group Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5028.309
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5014.481
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10016.437
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20018.342
OpenGreater thanClose13.415
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke
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