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HelloFresh SE
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze HelloFresh SE together

I guess you are interested in HelloFresh SE. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of HelloFresh SE. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of HelloFresh SE (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of HelloFresh SE? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
€0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
5.1%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
€5.26
Expected worth in 1 year
€4.40
How sure are you?
53.8%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
€-0.87
Return On Investment
-8.2%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
€10.58
Expected price per share
€7.95 - €13.83
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of HelloFresh SE (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
€10.58
Intrinsic Value Per Share
€-4.87 - €-5.85
Total Value Per Share
€0.39 - €-0.59

2.2. Growth of HelloFresh SE (5 min.)




Is HelloFresh SE growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$949.3m$1b-$53m-5.3%

How much money is HelloFresh SE making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$31.3m$16.9m-$48.3m-154.2%
Net Profit Margin-1.5%0.9%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of HelloFresh SE (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Restaurants industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Restaurants)  


Richest
#15 / 173

Most Revenue
#14 / 173

Most Profit
#166 / 173

Most Efficient
#120 / 173
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of HelloFresh SE?

Welcome investor! HelloFresh SE's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of HelloFresh SE.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of HelloFresh SE. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of HelloFresh SE is €10.58. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of HelloFresh SE.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in HelloFresh SE, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is €5.26. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is €-0.22 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is €0.20 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is €0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of HelloFresh SE.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 % of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-0.21-1.9%-0.18-1.7%0.090.9%0.201.9%0.040.4%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.33-3.1%-0.23-2.2%0.212.0%0.212.0%0.141.3%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.070.6%0.010.1%0.010.1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.33-3.1%-0.23-2.2%0.282.6%0.222.1%0.151.4%
Usd Price Per Share9.69-9.12-24.59-38.05-21.84-
Price to Earnings Ratio-11.81--12.53--26.28-37.42-13.03-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-29.47--24.71-100.75-102.98-57.62-
Price to Book Ratio1.75-1.55-4.08-9.54-6.45-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-29.47--24.71-100.75-102.98-57.62-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share11.150262
Number of shares89
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.01
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.230.21
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.230.22
Gains per Quarter (89 shares)-20.3219.65
Gains per Year (89 shares)-81.3078.61
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-81-9157469
20-163-17210148148
30-244-25314221227
40-325-33419295306
50-406-41524369385
60-488-49629443464
70-569-57734517543
80-650-65838590622
90-732-73943664701
100-813-82048738780

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.03.00.025.0%7.05.00.058.3%15.05.00.075.0%16.023.00.041.0%16.023.00.041.0%
Book Value Change Per Share1.03.00.025.0%8.04.00.066.7%16.04.00.080.0%21.015.03.053.8%21.015.03.053.8%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%2.00.010.016.7%2.00.018.010.0%2.00.037.05.1%2.00.037.05.1%
Total Gains per Share1.03.00.025.0%8.04.00.066.7%16.04.00.080.0%21.015.03.053.8%21.015.03.053.8%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of HelloFresh SE compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---0.312-0.217-31%0.198-257%0.197-259%0.135-331%
Book Value Per Share--5.2645.545-5%5.701-8%4.516+17%2.673+97%
Current Ratio--0.7190.788-9%0.925-22%1.262-43%1.427-50%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6310.629+0%0.609+4%0.603+5%0.545+16%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.7021.691+1%1.553+10%1.523+12%1.601+6%
Dividend Per Share----0%0.064-100%0.013-100%0.007-100%
Eps---0.195-0.173-11%0.087-323%0.189-203%0.036-643%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.0260.116-122%0.006-513%0.213-112%0.063-141%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.037-0.132+259%-0.110+200%0.118-131%0.095-139%
Gross Profit Margin--1.000-1.172+217%10.384-90%-6.335+733%-0.873+187%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---5.854--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---4.874--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max---0.121--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---0.118--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---0.717--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---0.678--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---1.742--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---1.587--------
Market Cap1810354464.640+13%1573536829.5681483498877.552+6%4093293988.615-62%6429970111.975-76%3676057663.581-57%
Net Profit Margin---0.018-0.015-18%0.009-312%0.030-160%-0.056+206%
Operating Margin---0.018-0.010-46%0.026-169%0.043-141%-0.048+170%
Operating Ratio--1.0071.0090%0.974+3%0.956+5%1.048-4%
Pb Ratio2.010+13%1.7471.546+13%4.078-57%9.537-82%6.445-73%
Pe Ratio-13.591-15%-11.813-12.530+6%-26.284+122%37.419-132%13.025-191%
Price Per Share10.580+13%9.1968.655+6%23.330-61%36.101-75%20.719-56%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-102.861-15%-89.406-28.045-69%63.414-241%8.650-1134%-8.771-90%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-33.902-15%-29.467-24.715-16%100.752-129%102.980-129%57.621-151%
Quick Ratio--0.3720.439-15%0.586-37%0.958-61%1.189-69%
Return On Assets---0.014-0.012-14%0.006-317%0.025-154%-0.027+98%
Return On Equity---0.037-0.032-13%0.016-335%0.060-162%-0.207+462%
Total Gains Per Share---0.312-0.217-31%0.263-219%0.210-249%0.142-320%
Usd Book Value--949353120.0001002206205.000-5%1055270070.000-10%838862244.000+13%494878201.615+92%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---0.329-0.228-31%0.209-257%0.207-259%0.142-331%
Usd Book Value Per Share--5.5485.844-5%6.009-8%4.759+17%2.817+97%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%0.068-100%0.014-100%0.007-100%
Usd Eps---0.205-0.182-11%0.092-323%0.200-203%0.038-643%
Usd Free Cash Flow---4637160.00020867220.000-122%1080247.500-529%39853228.500-112%12084152.542-138%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.0270.122-122%0.007-513%0.225-112%0.067-141%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.039-0.139+259%-0.116+200%0.124-131%0.100-139%
Usd Market Cap1907932570.284+13%1658350464.6821563459467.052+6%4313922534.601-62%6776545501.011-76%3874197171.648-57%
Usd Price Per Share11.150+13%9.6929.121+6%24.587-61%38.047-75%21.835-56%
Usd Profit---35094868.946-31353524.737-11%16994137.500-307%35880025.553-198%7316119.781-580%
Usd Revenue--1926950760.0002031840157.500-5%2005598047.500-4%1649954223.000+17%964584515.142+100%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---0.329-0.228-31%0.277-219%0.221-249%0.149-320%
 EOD+5 -3MRQTTM+8 -26YOY+5 -315Y+9 -2710Y+14 -22

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of HelloFresh SE based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-13.591
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-12.010
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.018
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.018
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.372
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.719
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.631
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.702
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.037
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.014
Total1/10 (10.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of HelloFresh SE based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5056.135
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5010.217
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1009.301
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2007.766
OpenGreater thanClose10.920
Total5/5 (100.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About HelloFresh SE

HelloFresh SE, together with its subsidiaries, operates as meal kit provider for home industry. The company offers premium meals, protein swaps, double portions, and extra recipes, as well as add-ons, such as soups, snacks, fruit boxes, desserts, ready-to-eat meals, and seasonal boxes. It has operations in the United States, Canada, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Germany, Denmark, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Switzerland, Sweden, Spain, Norway, Italy, and the United Kingdom. The company operates under the HelloFresh brand; and owns the Chefs Plate, Good Chop, The Pets Table, EveryPlate, Factor, Green Chef, and YouFoodz brand names. HelloFresh SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-11-04 03:38:05.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit HelloFresh SE earns for each €1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -1.8% means that €-0.02 for each €1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -1.8%. The company is making a loss. -1
  • The TTM is -1.5%. The company is making a loss. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.8%TTM-1.5%-0.3%
TTM-1.5%YOY0.9%-2.4%
TTM-1.5%5Y3.0%-4.5%
5Y3.0%10Y-5.6%+8.6%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-1.8%2.4%-4.2%
TTM-1.5%2.5%-4.0%
YOY0.9%2.9%-2.0%
5Y3.0%-0.4%+3.4%
10Y-5.6%1.1%-6.7%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient HelloFresh SE is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • -1.4% Return on Assets means that HelloFresh SE generated €-0.01 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -1.4%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -1.2%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.4%TTM-1.2%-0.2%
TTM-1.2%YOY0.6%-1.8%
TTM-1.2%5Y2.5%-3.7%
5Y2.5%10Y-2.7%+5.2%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-1.4%0.8%-2.2%
TTM-1.2%0.9%-2.1%
YOY0.6%1.1%-0.5%
5Y2.5%0.3%+2.2%
10Y-2.7%0.6%-3.3%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient HelloFresh SE is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • -3.7% Return on Equity means HelloFresh SE generated €-0.04 for each €1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -3.7%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -3.2%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-3.7%TTM-3.2%-0.5%
TTM-3.2%YOY1.6%-4.8%
TTM-3.2%5Y6.0%-9.2%
5Y6.0%10Y-20.7%+26.7%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-3.7%2.7%-6.4%
TTM-3.2%2.5%-5.7%
YOY1.6%3.0%-1.4%
5Y6.0%-0.1%+6.1%
10Y-20.7%1.2%-21.9%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of HelloFresh SE.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient HelloFresh SE is operating .

  • Measures how much profit HelloFresh SE makes for each €1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -1.8% means the company generated €-0.02  for each €1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -1.8%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -1.0%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.8%TTM-1.0%-0.8%
TTM-1.0%YOY2.6%-3.5%
TTM-1.0%5Y4.3%-5.3%
5Y4.3%10Y-4.8%+9.1%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-1.8%5.8%-7.6%
TTM-1.0%5.1%-6.1%
YOY2.6%5.1%-2.5%
5Y4.3%2.2%+2.1%
10Y-4.8%3.7%-8.5%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient HelloFresh SE is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.01 means that the operating costs are €1.01 for each €1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 1.007. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.009. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.007TTM1.009-0.001
TTM1.009YOY0.974+0.035
TTM1.0095Y0.956+0.053
5Y0.95610Y1.048-0.092
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0071.017-0.010
TTM1.0091.028-0.019
YOY0.9741.047-0.073
5Y0.9561.094-0.138
10Y1.0481.046+0.002
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4.4.3. Liquidity of HelloFresh SE.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if HelloFresh SE is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.72 means the company has €0.72 in assets for each €1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.719. The company is unable to pay all its short-term debts. -2
  • The TTM is 0.788. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.719TTM0.788-0.068
TTM0.788YOY0.925-0.138
TTM0.7885Y1.262-0.474
5Y1.26210Y1.427-0.165
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7190.719+0.000
TTM0.7880.760+0.028
YOY0.9250.863+0.062
5Y1.2620.908+0.354
10Y1.4271.028+0.399
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if HelloFresh SE is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.37 means the company can pay off €0.37 for each €1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.372. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.439. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.372TTM0.439-0.067
TTM0.439YOY0.586-0.148
TTM0.4395Y0.958-0.519
5Y0.95810Y1.189-0.231
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3720.331+0.041
TTM0.4390.342+0.097
YOY0.5860.514+0.072
5Y0.9580.519+0.439
10Y1.1890.662+0.527
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4.5.4. Solvency of HelloFresh SE.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of HelloFresh SE assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.63 means that HelloFresh SE assets are financed with 63.1% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 63.1%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.631. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.629. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.631TTM0.629+0.002
TTM0.629YOY0.609+0.020
TTM0.6295Y0.603+0.026
5Y0.60310Y0.545+0.058
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6310.697-0.066
TTM0.6290.697-0.068
YOY0.6090.679-0.070
5Y0.6030.676-0.073
10Y0.5450.587-0.042
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if HelloFresh SE is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 170.2% means that company has €1.70 debt for each €1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 1.702. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.691. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.702TTM1.691+0.011
TTM1.691YOY1.553+0.138
TTM1.6915Y1.523+0.167
5Y1.52310Y1.601-0.077
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.7021.686+0.016
TTM1.6911.698-0.007
YOY1.5531.857-0.304
5Y1.5231.909-0.386
10Y1.6011.627-0.026
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every €1 in earnings HelloFresh SE generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -11.81 means the investor is paying €-11.81 for every €1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The EOD is -13.591. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -11.813. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -12.530. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-13.591MRQ-11.813-1.778
MRQ-11.813TTM-12.530+0.716
TTM-12.530YOY-26.284+13.755
TTM-12.5305Y37.419-49.948
5Y37.41910Y13.025+24.393
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-13.59110.171-23.762
MRQ-11.81311.142-22.955
TTM-12.53011.528-24.058
YOY-26.28412.481-38.765
5Y37.41911.104+26.315
10Y13.02518.494-5.469
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The EOD is -102.861. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -89.406. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -28.045. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-102.861MRQ-89.406-13.456
MRQ-89.406TTM-28.045-61.360
TTM-28.045YOY63.414-91.459
TTM-28.0455Y8.650-36.695
5Y8.65010Y-8.771+17.421
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-102.8615.356-108.217
MRQ-89.4066.865-96.271
TTM-28.0455.593-33.638
YOY63.4147.936+55.478
5Y8.6504.332+4.318
10Y-8.7715.754-14.525
3rd party ad coffee SUPPORTERis ad-free.
4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of HelloFresh SE is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.75 means the investor is paying €1.75 for each €1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The EOD is 2.010. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.747. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.546. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.010MRQ1.747+0.263
MRQ1.747TTM1.546+0.201
TTM1.546YOY4.078-2.531
TTM1.5465Y9.537-7.991
5Y9.53710Y6.445+3.091
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.0101.637+0.373
MRQ1.7471.847-0.100
TTM1.5462.027-0.481
YOY4.0782.331+1.747
5Y9.5372.346+7.191
10Y6.4453.103+3.342
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share
3rd party ad coffee SUPPORTERis ad-free.

6. Financial Statements




6.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-09-30. Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets2,439,200
Total Liabilities1,538,400
Total Stockholder Equity903,900
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,538,400
Total Stockholder Equity+ 903,900
Total Assets = 2,439,200

Assets

Total Assets2,439,200
Total Current Assets721,400
Long-term Assets1,717,800
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 355,600
Net Receivables 17,400
Inventory 219,600
Other Current Assets 128,800
Total Current Assets  (as reported)721,400
Total Current Assets  (calculated)721,400
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 1,240,400
Goodwill 272,700
Intangible Assets 127,100
Long-term Assets Other 600
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,717,800
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,640,800
+/- 77,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities1,002,700
Long-term Liabilities535,700
Total Stockholder Equity903,900
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 136,200
Accounts payable 542,400
Other Current Liabilities 219,900
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)1,002,700
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)898,500
+/- 104,200
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)535,700
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 535,700
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock173,200
Retained Earnings 204,900
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 259,700
Other Stockholders Equity 266,100
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)903,900
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)903,900
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 355,600
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 164,300
Current Deferred Revenue104,200
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 2,439,200
Net Debt -169,400
Net Working Capital -281,300
Short Long Term Debt Total 186,200



6.2. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-09-302024-06-302024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-302018-06-302018-03-312017-12-312017-09-302017-06-302017-03-312016-12-312016-09-302016-06-302016-03-312015-12-312015-09-302015-06-302015-03-31
> Total Assets 
0
0
0
158,599
146,800
197,700
176,700
151,720
230,500
204,200
205,400
452,900
457,500
439,200
399,800
396,100
497,800
470,400
529,800
570,200
689,700
1,044,500
1,172,500
1,525,600
1,736,500
1,896,500
2,099,600
2,208,600
2,315,500
2,348,500
2,604,300
2,535,200
2,476,600
2,560,000
2,657,600
2,734,600
2,554,800
2,521,900
2,439,200
2,439,2002,521,9002,554,8002,734,6002,657,6002,560,0002,476,6002,535,2002,604,3002,348,5002,315,5002,208,6002,099,6001,896,5001,736,5001,525,6001,172,5001,044,500689,700570,200529,800470,400497,800396,100399,800439,200457,500452,900205,400204,200230,500151,720176,700197,700146,800158,599000
   > Total Current Assets 
19,760
0
0
137,494
117,700
162,400
128,400
91,283
169,300
143,600
144,500
386,800
379,700
353,100
311,400
252,400
262,100
234,400
258,800
281,500
404,100
748,700
864,900
922,000
1,092,800
1,195,300
1,259,300
1,153,100
1,160,500
1,028,800
1,011,300
912,200
833,400
822,100
857,300
824,900
781,100
769,400
721,400
721,400769,400781,100824,900857,300822,100833,400912,2001,011,3001,028,8001,160,5001,153,1001,259,3001,195,3001,092,800922,000864,900748,700404,100281,500258,800234,400262,100252,400311,400353,100379,700386,800144,500143,600169,30091,283128,400162,400117,700137,4940019,760
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
-19,760
0
0
109,235
82,700
132,600
99,400
57,455
135,500
112,800
106,300
339,900
330,900
307,600
256,600
193,900
189,100
164,400
186,700
193,600
299,800
611,500
722,500
729,000
876,300
933,400
955,100
827,100
795,700
642,200
603,700
504,000
467,200
464,500
466,600
442,600
371,700
381,900
355,600
355,600381,900371,700442,600466,600464,500467,200504,000603,700642,200795,700827,100955,100933,400876,300729,000722,500611,500299,800193,600186,700164,400189,100193,900256,600307,600330,900339,900106,300112,800135,50057,45599,400132,60082,700109,23500-19,760
       Short-term Investments 
39,520
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,319
4,300
2,500
2,300
4,400
3,200
3,800
4,400
5,100
6,600
7,000
7,900
8,900
10,000
9,400
7,300
2,400
7,500
8,900
10,300
8,400
11,300
10,600
10,800
7,900
9,500
15,200
15,800
12,800
16,400
15,700
0
015,70016,40012,80015,80015,2009,5007,90010,80010,60011,3008,40010,3008,9007,5002,4007,3009,40010,0008,9007,9007,0006,6005,1004,4003,8003,2004,4002,3002,5004,3001,31900000039,520
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
11,493
17,200
13,300
10,700
22,194
10,900
8,800
12,900
28,500
13,600
8,400
12,000
28,900
14,200
13,300
13,900
33,100
22,000
26,900
26,400
75,800
14,700
26,300
37,500
93,700
22,000
20,600
17,400
119,800
17,100
18,900
18,600
52,900
17,200
18,400
17,400
17,40018,40017,20052,90018,60018,90017,100119,80017,40020,60022,00093,70037,50026,30014,70075,80026,40026,90022,00033,10013,90013,30014,20028,90012,0008,40013,60028,50012,9008,80010,90022,19410,70013,30017,20011,493000
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
0
11,161
11,300
9,600
9,700
215
10,400
10,100
9,000
200
14,300
14,100
16,300
2,000
22,000
20,000
17,700
1,800
21,800
30,100
31,100
1,100
51,400
60,500
68,800
3,500
85,400
95,900
106,700
13,800
90,100
99,000
129,300
107,000
126,300
125,900
128,800
128,800125,900126,300107,000129,30099,00090,10013,800106,70095,90085,4003,50068,80060,50051,4001,10031,10030,10021,8001,80017,70020,00022,0002,00016,30014,10014,3002009,00010,10010,4002159,7009,60011,30011,161000
   > Long-term Assets 
-19,760
0
0
21,105
29,100
35,300
48,300
60,437
61,200
60,600
60,900
66,100
77,800
86,100
88,400
143,700
235,700
236,000
271,000
288,700
285,600
295,800
307,600
603,600
643,700
701,200
840,300
1,055,500
1,155,000
1,319,700
1,593,000
1,623,000
1,643,200
1,737,900
1,800,300
1,909,700
1,773,700
1,752,500
1,717,800
1,717,8001,752,5001,773,7001,909,7001,800,3001,737,9001,643,2001,623,0001,593,0001,319,7001,155,0001,055,500840,300701,200643,700603,600307,600295,800285,600288,700271,000236,000235,700143,70088,40086,10077,80066,10060,90060,60061,20060,43748,30035,30029,10021,10500-19,760
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
5,829
12,600
15,400
28,500
38,259
38,600
37,400
36,700
37,200
43,900
47,300
52,300
62,400
149,800
149,900
157,900
179,600
179,500
188,300
199,100
263,100
290,900
353,800
480,400
618,600
700,500
844,100
1,088,600
1,165,800
1,182,700
1,273,600
1,319,100
1,298,900
1,298,900
1,269,300
1,240,400
1,240,4001,269,3001,298,9001,298,9001,319,1001,273,6001,182,7001,165,8001,088,600844,100700,500618,600480,400353,800290,900263,100199,100188,300179,500179,600157,900149,900149,80062,40052,30047,30043,90037,20036,70037,40038,60038,25928,50015,40012,6005,829000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
4,608
4,600
4,600
4,600
4,608
4,600
4,600
4,600
4,600
9,200
9,500
9,600
46,900
48,300
48,400
48,600
49,600
47,100
47,700
46,600
206,600
216,400
214,300
218,700
274,100
281,800
292,000
304,900
284,700
278,500
279,200
284,900
276,000
279,000
282,400
272,700
272,700282,400279,000276,000284,900279,200278,500284,700304,900292,000281,800274,100218,700214,300216,400206,60046,60047,70047,10049,60048,60048,40048,30046,9009,6009,5009,2004,6004,6004,6004,6004,6084,6004,6004,6004,608000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14,000
13,400
13,400
400
14,600
19,700
18,300
1,100
22,300
21,800
46,900
42,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000000042,00046,90021,80022,3001,10018,30019,70014,60040013,40013,40014,00000000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
66
300
800
1,200
1,639
2,100
2,900
3,900
4,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
12,300
12,700
13,500
14,700
15,300
15,700
17,300
19,400
58,300
62,200
56,900
59,100
82,600
88,100
98,700
107,500
100,300
103,100
111,300
116,700
114,500
116,900
122,400
127,100
127,100122,400116,900114,500116,700111,300103,100100,300107,50098,70088,10082,60059,10056,90062,20058,30019,40017,30015,70015,30014,70013,50012,70012,3005,6005,6005,6004,6003,9002,9002,1001,6391,20080030066000
       Long-term Assets Other 
-19,760
0
0
10,602
11,600
14,500
14,000
16,543
5,500
16,800
3,400
19,100
4,000
4,500
5,200
24,400
7,600
7,800
9,000
9,300
10,400
9,800
8,000
23,800
8,100
9,400
10,800
400
11,600
10,900
11,000
8,200
9,900
15,600
16,500
800
17,100
800
600
60080017,10080016,50015,6009,9008,20011,00010,90011,60040010,8009,4008,10023,8008,0009,80010,4009,3009,0007,8007,60024,4005,2004,5004,00019,1003,40016,8005,50016,54314,00014,50011,60010,60200-19,760
> Total Liabilities 
0
0
0
60,808
76,200
138,500
141,100
131,141
157,300
147,900
172,400
149,600
180,800
172,800
165,400
159,400
297,700
267,900
302,200
324,900
400,600
612,100
654,000
869,600
1,006,700
1,092,200
1,264,800
1,312,000
1,486,800
1,430,800
1,647,300
1,575,600
1,524,800
1,522,600
1,601,200
1,715,600
1,625,000
1,567,700
1,538,400
1,538,4001,567,7001,625,0001,715,6001,601,2001,522,6001,524,8001,575,6001,647,3001,430,8001,486,8001,312,0001,264,8001,092,2001,006,700869,600654,000612,100400,600324,900302,200267,900297,700159,400165,400172,800180,800149,600172,400147,900157,300131,141141,100138,50076,20060,808000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
60,808
76,200
78,500
79,300
69,165
92,100
82,400
106,700
108,000
139,000
130,200
153,000
144,900
209,300
177,800
201,600
213,800
291,900
352,400
381,900
519,800
649,500
722,100
812,100
825,300
1,021,300
929,300
1,015,500
970,500
927,400
860,800
944,500
913,000
961,100
1,075,600
1,002,700
1,002,7001,075,600961,100913,000944,500860,800927,400970,5001,015,500929,3001,021,300825,300812,100722,100649,500519,800381,900352,400291,900213,800201,600177,800209,300144,900153,000130,200139,000108,000106,70082,40092,10069,16579,30078,50076,20060,808000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,319
4,300
2,500
2,300
4,400
3,200
3,800
4,400
5,100
6,600
7,000
7,900
20,000
10,000
22,500
7,300
28,300
38,900
34,100
84,400
49,500
96,700
63,600
114,500
89,700
97,300
94,100
111,900
109,600
105,800
249,400
136,200
136,200249,400105,800109,600111,90094,10097,30089,700114,50063,60096,70049,50084,40034,10038,90028,3007,30022,50010,00020,0007,9007,0006,6005,1004,4003,8003,2004,4002,3002,5004,3001,3190000000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
46,500
54,000
54,100
29,300
29,900
30,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
148,900
0
0148,9000000000000000000000000030,00029,90029,30054,10054,00046,50000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
45,534
56,600
56,400
54,300
43,126
64,100
54,500
71,800
77,100
99,400
87,000
106,900
105,200
142,700
115,000
132,800
135,900
182,900
219,500
244,700
291,700
412,300
421,700
456,500
440,700
567,800
539,600
592,700
557,600
557,400
503,300
568,900
560,200
602,400
574,100
542,400
542,400574,100602,400560,200568,900503,300557,400557,600592,700539,600567,800440,700456,500421,700412,300291,700244,700219,500182,900135,900132,800115,000142,700105,200106,90087,00099,40077,10071,80054,50064,10043,12654,30056,40056,60045,534000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
15,274
19,600
22,100
25,000
26,039
28,000
27,900
34,900
30,900
39,600
43,200
46,100
39,700
66,600
62,800
68,800
-400
109,000
77,100
137,200
199,800
237,200
51,300
168,500
3,600
224,300
215,200
166,900
220,000
139,700
148,400
128,500
149,600
127,500
124,800
219,900
219,900124,800127,500149,600128,500148,400139,700220,000166,900215,200224,3003,600168,50051,300237,200199,800137,20077,100109,000-40068,80062,80066,60039,70046,10043,20039,60030,90034,90027,90028,00026,03925,00022,10019,60015,274000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
60,000
61,800
61,976
65,200
65,500
65,700
41,600
41,800
42,600
12,400
14,500
88,400
90,100
100,600
111,100
108,700
259,700
272,100
349,800
357,200
370,100
452,700
486,700
465,500
501,500
631,800
605,100
597,400
661,800
656,700
802,600
663,900
492,100
535,700
535,700492,100663,900802,600656,700661,800597,400605,100631,800501,500465,500486,700452,700370,100357,200349,800272,100259,700108,700111,100100,60090,10088,40014,50012,40042,60041,80041,60065,70065,50065,20061,97661,80060,00000000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
87,100
3,200
2,900
2,700
248,100
150,400
274,800
152,600
313,700
153,900
412,200
156,600
469,600
159,400
576,500
567,700
623,800
165,100
0
0
0
0
0000165,100623,800567,700576,500159,400469,600156,600412,200153,900313,700152,600274,800150,400248,1002,7002,9003,20087,10000000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
18,700
11,500
11,600
12,300
11,900
12,600
12,500
14,000
88,000
2,800
3,000
2,700
2,200
11,600
7,900
75,000
204,600
56,400
16,700
74,500
12,500
31,900
36,000
28,600
435,200
39,000
0
0
0
0
0
0000039,000435,20028,60036,00031,90012,50074,50016,70056,400204,60075,0007,90011,6002,2002,7003,0002,80088,00014,00012,50012,60011,90012,30011,60011,50018,70000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
14,630
0
0
87,638
57,000
59,200
35,600
20,609
73,300
56,400
33,200
303,500
276,900
266,600
234,800
237,200
200,700
203,100
227,300
246,100
289,900
433,000
519,300
656,400
730,200
804,600
835,100
895,700
828,100
917,500
957,300
961,700
954,200
1,039,900
1,059,300
1,021,600
932,300
957,000
903,900
903,900957,000932,3001,021,6001,059,3001,039,900954,200961,700957,300917,500828,100895,700835,100804,600730,200656,400519,300433,000289,900246,100227,300203,100200,700237,200234,800266,600276,900303,50033,20056,40073,30020,60935,60059,20057,00087,6380014,630
   Common Stock
0
0
0
125,005
125,000
127,000
127,000
126,983
133,100
133,100
133,100
161,000
161,000
161,600
162,200
164,400
164,600
164,600
164,600
164,600
165,700
166,000
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
171,800
171,900
172,200
172,400
172,700
173,200
173,200
173,200
173,200
173,200173,200173,200173,200172,700172,400172,200171,900171,800173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900166,000165,700164,600164,600164,600164,600164,400162,200161,600161,000161,000133,100133,100133,100126,983127,000127,000125,000125,005000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity000000000000000000000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
15,643
0
0
115,028
116,200
137,500
138,200
-3,701
220,000
31,700
227,500
-9,900
483,600
36,900
489,100
-18,800
506,300
55,500
512,400
-49,800
514,200
54,300
544,900
-87,000
84,300
35,300
42,800
51,200
90,400
110,300
148,100
140,600
154,300
176,900
207,000
211,300
591,200
261,300
259,700
259,700261,300591,200211,300207,000176,900154,300140,600148,100110,30090,40051,20042,80035,30084,300-87,000544,90054,300514,200-49,800512,40055,500506,300-18,800489,10036,900483,600-9,900227,50031,700220,000-3,701138,200137,500116,200115,0280015,643
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
448,300
476,100
472,100
0
0
469,700
469,400
472,800
464,100
470,300
470,000
356,100
359,900
356,200
356,300
0
0
0
0
0000356,300356,200359,900356,100470,000470,300464,100472,800469,400469,70000472,100476,100448,30000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock00000000000-1,300-2,000-2,600-2,800-2,800-3,800-2,700-2,700-2,700-5,300-7,40000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
-1,013
0
0
-10,000
-10,000
-10,000
-10,000
133,525
-10,000
184,400
-10,000
480,400
-10,000
442,100
480,100
503,200
-7,800
505,700
507,100
557,300
511,500
483,200
541,100
626,500
427,800
467,100
467,400
471,500
337,800
344,000
345,900
354,800
358,600
354,900
355,000
324,100
-61,100
284,300
266,100
266,100284,300-61,100324,100355,000354,900358,600354,800345,900344,000337,800471,500467,400467,100427,800626,500541,100483,200511,500557,300507,100505,700-7,800503,200480,100442,100-10,000480,400-10,000184,400-10,000133,525-10,000-10,000-10,000-10,00000-1,013



6.3. Balance Sheets

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.




6.4. Cash Flows

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.




6.5. Income Statements

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.


6.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-12-31. Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue7,596,600
Cost of Revenue-2,896,400
Gross Profit4,700,2004,700,200
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit4,700,200
Operating Expense-4,563,200
Operating Income137,000137,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development132,900
Selling General Administrative121,800
Selling And Marketing Expenses1,328,700
Operating Expense4,563,2001,583,400
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income6,700
Interest Expense-35,300
Other Finance Cost-47,000
Net Interest Income-75,600
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income137,000
Net Interest Income-75,600
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)73,300200,700
EBIT - interestExpense = 101,700
74,600
54,700
Interest Expense35,300
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)137,000108,600
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)357,800
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax73,300
Tax Provision-35,200
Net Income From Continuing Ops46,90038,100
Net Income19,400
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses7,459,600
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-63,70075,600
 

Technical Analysis of HelloFresh SE
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of HelloFresh SE. The general trend of HelloFresh SE is BULLISH with 85.7% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine HelloFresh SE's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (85.7%) Bearish trend (-85.7%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of HelloFresh SE.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 13.73 < 13.77 < 13.83.

The bearish price targets are: 9.9 > 8.45 > 7.95.

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HelloFresh SE Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of HelloFresh SE. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 13/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 12/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

HelloFresh SE Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of HelloFresh SE. The current macd is 0.54758853.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 3/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the HelloFresh SE price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for HelloFresh SE. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the HelloFresh SE price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of HelloFresh SE. The current adx is 41.49.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 3/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 3/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy HelloFresh SE shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bullish trend. The ADX is declining, the bullish trend is weakening. Could be a potential reversal to the downside. +2
HelloFresh SE Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of HelloFresh SE. The current sar is 10.09.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
HelloFresh SE Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of HelloFresh SE. The current rsi is 56.14. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 3/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of HelloFresh SE. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the HelloFresh SE price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of HelloFresh SE. The current cci is 51.48.

HelloFresh SE Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of HelloFresh SE. The current cmo is 4.73574191.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
HelloFresh SE Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of HelloFresh SE. The current willr is -58.77938969.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that HelloFresh SE is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
HelloFresh SE Daily Williams %R ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of HelloFresh SE.

HelloFresh SE Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of HelloFresh SE. The current atr is 0.56990885.

HelloFresh SE Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of HelloFresh SE. The current obv is -59,517,588.

HelloFresh SE Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of HelloFresh SE. The current mfi is 55.14.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
HelloFresh SE Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for HelloFresh SE.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-07-02DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-07-03MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-04CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-09ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-17WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-18MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-07-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-07-25MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-07-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-30WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-08-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-07ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-15BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-16ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-08-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-23RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-08-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-02SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-09-03MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-09-04CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-09-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-10DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-09-11DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-12CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-09-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-19RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-26CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-30RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-03SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-10-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-11CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-15CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-16CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-18CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-10-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-10-25MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-10-29RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-11-08WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-11-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-14RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-11-15ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

HelloFresh SE Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of HelloFresh SE based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5056.135
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5010.217
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1009.301
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2007.766
OpenGreater thanClose10.920
Total5/5 (100.0%)
Penke
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