25 XP   0   0   10

HelloFresh SE
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse HelloFresh SE together

PenkeI guess you are interested in HelloFresh SE. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of HelloFresh SE. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

Get notifications about HelloFresh SE

I send you an email if I find something interesting about HelloFresh SE.

Quick analysis of HelloFresh SE (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of HelloFresh SE? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
€0.28
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
6.5%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
€6.11
Expected worth in 1 year
€6.88
How sure are you?
67.7%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
€1.03
Return On Investment
15.6%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
€6.59
Expected price per share
€6.13 - €13.73
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of HelloFresh SE (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

€6.59

Intrinsic Value Per Share

€-27.11 - €-32.91

Total Value Per Share

€-21.00 - €-26.80

2. Growth of HelloFresh SE (5 min.)




Is HelloFresh SE growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$1.1b$973.5m$109.5m10.1%

How much money is HelloFresh SE making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$17.4m$37.9m-$20.5m-117.7%
Net Profit Margin0.9%1.9%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of HelloFresh SE (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Restaurants industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Restaurants)  


Richest
#11 / 184

Most Revenue
#13 / 184

Most Profit
#38 / 184

Most Efficient
#110 / 184

What can you expect buying and holding a share of HelloFresh SE? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! HelloFresh SE's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of HelloFresh SE.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of HelloFresh SE?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of HelloFresh SE. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of HelloFresh SE is €6.592. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of HelloFresh SE.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in HelloFresh SE, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is €6.11. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is €0.19 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is €0.20 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is €0.06 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of HelloFresh SE.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 % of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-0.07-1.1%0.091.4%0.213.2%0.233.5%0.101.5%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.396.0%0.213.2%0.223.3%0.263.9%0.213.2%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.071.0%0.000.0%0.010.2%0.010.1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.396.0%0.284.2%0.223.3%0.274.1%0.223.4%
Usd Price Per Share30.59-25.24-43.57-39.17-26.99-
Price to Earnings Ratio-110.16--26.41-131.67-33.86-17.97-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio77.77-109.86-46.76-190.71-143.80-
Price to Book Ratio4.63-4.10-8.04-10.74-7.95-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio77.77-109.86-46.76-190.71-143.80-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share7.1305664
Number of shares140
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.070.01
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.210.26
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.280.27
Gains per Quarter (140 shares)38.8437.92
Gains per Year (140 shares)155.36151.68
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1391171458144142
27723330015288294
311635045523432446
415546761031576598
519358376539720750
623270092046864902
727181710755410081054
831093312306211521206
9348105013857012951358
10387116715407714391510

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share2.02.00.050.0%10.02.00.083.3%15.05.00.075.0%15.016.00.048.4%15.016.00.048.4%
Book Value Change Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.01.00.091.7%18.02.00.090.0%21.07.03.067.7%21.07.03.067.7%
Dividend per Share2.00.02.050.0%2.00.010.016.7%2.00.018.010.0%2.00.029.06.5%2.00.029.06.5%
Total Gains per Share4.00.00.0100.0%11.01.00.091.7%18.02.00.090.0%21.07.03.067.7%21.07.03.067.7%

Fundamentals of HelloFresh SE

About HelloFresh SE

HelloFresh SE, together with its subsidiaries, delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. The company offers premium meals, double portions, and others, as well as add-ons, such as soups, snacks, fruit boxes, desserts, ready-to-eat meals, and seasonal boxes. The company has operations in the United States, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Germany, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom. It operates under the HelloFresh brand; and owns the Chefs Plate, EveryPlate, Factor75, Green Chef, and YouFoodz brand names. HelloFresh SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-03-09 23:38:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is not making a profit/loss.
Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced.

1.1. Profitability of HelloFresh SE.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit HelloFresh SE earns for each €1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -0.6% means that €-0.01 for each €1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -0.6%. The company is not making a profit/loss.
  • The TTM is 0.9%. The company is not making a profit/loss.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-0.6%TTM0.9%-1.5%
TTM0.9%YOY1.9%-1.1%
TTM0.9%5Y2.9%-2.1%
5Y2.9%10Y-2.4%+5.3%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-0.6%2.6%-3.2%
TTM0.9%2.7%-1.8%
YOY1.9%1.6%+0.3%
5Y2.9%-0.6%+3.5%
10Y-2.4%0.8%-3.2%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient HelloFresh SE is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • -0.4% Return on Assets means that HelloFresh SE generated €0.00 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -0.4%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is 0.6%. Using its assets, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-0.4%TTM0.6%-1.0%
TTM0.6%YOY1.5%-0.9%
TTM0.6%5Y2.4%-1.8%
5Y2.4%10Y-0.7%+3.1%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-0.4%0.8%-1.2%
TTM0.6%0.9%-0.3%
YOY1.5%0.8%+0.7%
5Y2.4%0.2%+2.2%
10Y-0.7%0.7%-1.4%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient HelloFresh SE is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • -1.0% Return on Equity means HelloFresh SE generated €-0.01 for each €1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -1.0%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is 1.6%. Using its investors money, the company is inefficient in making profit. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-1.0%TTM1.6%-2.6%
TTM1.6%YOY3.9%-2.4%
TTM1.6%5Y5.8%-4.2%
5Y5.8%10Y-5.2%+10.9%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-1.0%2.5%-3.5%
TTM1.6%2.9%-1.3%
YOY3.9%1.8%+2.1%
5Y5.8%-0.3%+6.1%
10Y-5.2%1.8%-7.0%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of HelloFresh SE.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient HelloFresh SE is operating .

  • Measures how much profit HelloFresh SE makes for each €1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -0.2% means the company generated €0.00  for each €1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is -0.2%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is 1.9%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-0.2%TTM1.9%-2.1%
TTM1.9%YOY3.4%-1.5%
TTM1.9%5Y4.1%-2.2%
5Y4.1%10Y-1.4%+5.5%
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-0.2%5.5%-5.7%
TTM1.9%4.0%-2.1%
YOY3.4%3.2%+0.2%
5Y4.1%2.4%+1.7%
10Y-1.4%3.4%-4.8%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient HelloFresh SE is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.01 means that the operating costs are €1.01 for each €1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 1.007. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 0.974. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.007TTM0.974+0.033
TTM0.974YOY0.970+0.004
TTM0.9745Y0.959+0.014
5Y0.95910Y1.013-0.054
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0071.228-0.221
TTM0.9741.234-0.260
YOY0.9701.204-0.234
5Y0.9591.175-0.216
10Y1.0131.063-0.050

1.3. Liquidity of HelloFresh SE.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if HelloFresh SE is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 0.91 means the company has €0.91 in assets for each €1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.908. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
  • The TTM is 0.925. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.908TTM0.925-0.018
TTM0.925YOY1.159-0.234
TTM0.9255Y1.384-0.459
5Y1.38410Y1.452-0.067
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9080.760+0.148
TTM0.9250.758+0.167
YOY1.1590.900+0.259
5Y1.3840.951+0.433
10Y1.4521.008+0.444
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if HelloFresh SE is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.55 means the company can pay off €0.55 for each €1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.547. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.586. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.547TTM0.586-0.039
TTM0.586YOY0.820-0.233
TTM0.5865Y1.099-0.512
5Y1.09910Y1.208-0.110
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5470.349+0.198
TTM0.5860.353+0.233
YOY0.8200.488+0.332
5Y1.0990.525+0.574
10Y1.2080.560+0.648

1.4. Solvency of HelloFresh SE.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of HelloFresh SE assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.60 means that HelloFresh SE assets are financed with 60.2% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 60.2%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.602. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.609. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.602TTM0.609-0.006
TTM0.609YOY0.619-0.011
TTM0.6095Y0.584+0.025
5Y0.58410Y0.526+0.057
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6020.699-0.097
TTM0.6090.689-0.080
YOY0.6190.677-0.058
5Y0.5840.660-0.076
10Y0.5260.600-0.074
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if HelloFresh SE is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 151.2% means that company has €1.51 debt for each €1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The MRQ is 1.512. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.553. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.512TTM1.553-0.041
TTM1.553YOY1.635-0.082
TTM1.5535Y1.425+0.128
5Y1.42510Y1.527-0.101
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.5121.836-0.324
TTM1.5531.880-0.327
YOY1.6351.700-0.065
5Y1.4251.826-0.401
10Y1.5271.712-0.185

2. Market Valuation of HelloFresh SE

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every €1 in earnings HelloFresh SE generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare HelloFresh SE to the Restaurants industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -110.16 means the investor is paying €-110.16 for every €1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The EOD is -25.679. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -110.164. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -26.414. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-25.679MRQ-110.164+84.485
MRQ-110.164TTM-26.414-83.750
TTM-26.414YOY131.674-158.088
TTM-26.4145Y33.855-60.269
5Y33.85510Y17.975+15.880
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-25.67910.913-36.592
MRQ-110.16411.016-121.180
TTM-26.41412.815-39.229
YOY131.67411.539+120.135
5Y33.85511.930+21.925
10Y17.97518.996-1.021
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The EOD is 43.852. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 188.126. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 63.669. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD43.852MRQ188.126-144.274
MRQ188.126TTM63.669+124.458
TTM63.669YOY-17.651+81.319
TTM63.6695Y-16.137+79.805
5Y-16.13710Y-7.530-8.606
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD43.8527.767+36.085
MRQ188.1268.356+179.770
TTM63.6697.696+55.973
YOY-17.6514.687-22.338
5Y-16.1373.775-19.912
10Y-7.5303.439-10.969
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of HelloFresh SE is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Restaurants industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 4.63 means the investor is paying €4.63 for each €1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of HelloFresh SE:

  • The EOD is 1.079. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 4.630. Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
  • The TTM is 4.095. Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.079MRQ4.630-3.551
MRQ4.630TTM4.095+0.535
TTM4.095YOY8.044-3.948
TTM4.0955Y10.738-6.642
5Y10.73810Y7.950+2.787
Compared to industry (Restaurants)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.0791.981-0.902
MRQ4.6302.188+2.442
TTM4.0952.252+1.843
YOY8.0442.456+5.588
5Y10.7382.318+8.420
10Y7.9503.127+4.823
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of HelloFresh SE compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.3640.193+89%0.199+82%0.238+53%0.197+85%
Book Value Per Share--6.1085.677+8%5.041+21%3.648+67%2.589+136%
Current Ratio--0.9080.925-2%1.159-22%1.384-34%1.452-37%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6020.609-1%0.619-3%0.584+3%0.526+14%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.5121.553-3%1.635-8%1.425+6%1.527-1%
Dividend Per Share---0.064-100%-0%0.013-100%0.008-100%
Eps---0.0640.087-173%0.197-133%0.214-130%0.089-172%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0380.007+475%-0.153+507%0.182-79%0.078-52%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.016-0.110+603%-0.411+2536%0.131-112%0.164-110%
Gross Profit Margin--32.74810.384+215%-36.576+212%-3.936+112%-1.227+104%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---32.913--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---27.110--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.002--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.004--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max---2.508--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---2.344--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max---8.051--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---7.257--------
Market Cap1140145780.736-329%4891280746.2404110850402.880+19%7153508250.000-32%6469294589.349-24%4448756067.168+10%
Net Profit Margin---0.0060.009-172%0.019-132%0.029-121%-0.024+282%
Operating Margin---0.0020.019-110%0.034-106%0.041-105%-0.014+615%
Operating Ratio--1.0070.974+3%0.970+4%0.959+5%1.013-1%
Pb Ratio1.079-329%4.6304.095+13%8.044-42%10.738-57%7.950-42%
Pe Ratio-25.679+77%-110.164-26.414-76%131.674-184%33.855-425%17.975-713%
Price Per Share6.592-329%28.28023.330+21%40.275-30%36.209-22%24.949+13%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio43.852-329%188.12663.669+195%-17.651+109%-16.137+109%-7.530+104%
Price To Total Gains Ratio18.129-329%77.774109.860-29%46.758+66%190.713-59%143.804-46%
Quick Ratio--0.5470.586-7%0.820-33%1.099-50%1.208-55%
Return On Assets---0.0040.006-166%0.015-127%0.024-117%-0.007+63%
Return On Equity---0.0100.016-167%0.039-127%0.058-118%-0.052+394%
Total Gains Per Share--0.3640.256+42%0.199+82%0.250+45%0.205+77%
Usd Book Value--1142707880.0001083106210.000+6%973530000.000+17%702147695.500+63%497099736.268+130%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.3930.208+89%0.216+82%0.257+53%0.213+85%
Usd Book Value Per Share--6.6076.141+8%5.453+21%3.946+67%2.800+136%
Usd Dividend Per Share---0.069-100%-0%0.014-100%0.009-100%
Usd Eps---0.0690.095-173%0.213-133%0.231-130%0.096-172%
Usd Free Cash Flow--7031050.0001108742.500+534%-28935475.000+512%35274237.000-80%15335121.326-54%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0410.007+475%-0.166+507%0.197-79%0.084-52%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.017-0.119+603%-0.445+2536%0.141-112%0.177-110%
Usd Market Cap1233295691.022-329%5290898383.2084446706880.795+19%7737949874.025-32%6997835957.299-24%4812219437.856+10%
Usd Price Per Share7.131-329%30.59025.236+21%43.565-30%39.167-22%26.987+13%
Usd Profit---12006870.00017442412.500-169%37967670.000-132%41521054.500-129%17568796.932-168%
Usd Revenue--1951386800.0002058502142.500-5%1977536897.500-1%1366122198.000+43%965790331.819+102%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.3930.277+42%0.216+82%0.271+45%0.222+77%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+19 -17YOY+19 -155Y+12 -2410Y+20 -16

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of HelloFresh SE based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-25.679
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.079
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.006
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.002
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.547
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.908
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.602
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.512
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.010
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.004
Total1/10 (10.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of HelloFresh SE based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5029.616
Ma 20Greater thanMa 508.103
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10010.754
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20012.957
OpenGreater thanClose6.626
Total1/5 (20.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2022-09-302022-12-312023-03-312023-06-302023-09-30
Total Other Income Expense Net -7,000-3,100-10,1001,200-8,9005,600-3,3004,000700



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-09-30. Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets2,657,600
Total Liabilities1,601,200
Total Stockholder Equity1,059,300
 As reported
Total Liabilities 1,601,200
Total Stockholder Equity+ 1,059,300
Total Assets = 2,657,600

Assets

Total Assets2,657,600
Total Current Assets857,300
Long-term Assets1,800,300
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 466,600
Short-term Investments 15,800
Net Receivables 18,600
Inventory 227,000
Other Current Assets 129,300
Total Current Assets  (as reported)857,300
Total Current Assets  (calculated)857,300
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 1,319,100
Goodwill 284,900
Intangible Assets 116,700
Other Assets 58,300
Long-term Assets  (as reported)1,800,300
Long-term Assets  (calculated)1,779,000
+/- 21,300

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities944,500
Long-term Liabilities656,700
Total Stockholder Equity1,059,300
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 111,900
Accounts payable 568,900
Other Current Liabilities 128,500
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)944,500
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)809,300
+/- 135,200
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt Total 165,100
Long term Debt 165,100
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)656,700
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)330,200
+/- 326,500
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock172,700
Retained Earnings 324,600
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 207,000
Capital Surplus 356,300
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)1,059,300
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)1,060,600
+/- 1,300
Other
Capital Stock172,700
Cash And Equivalents466,600
Cash and Short Term Investments 482,400
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 172,300
Current Deferred Revenue135,200
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 2,657,600
Net Debt -301,500
Net Invested Capital 1,224,400
Net Working Capital -87,200
Short Long Term Debt Total 165,100



Balance Sheet

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-302018-06-302018-03-312017-12-312017-09-302017-06-302017-03-312016-12-312016-09-302016-06-302016-03-31
> Total Assets 
0
0
0
151,720
230,500
204,200
205,400
452,900
457,500
439,200
399,800
396,100
497,800
470,400
529,800
570,200
689,700
1,044,500
1,172,500
1,525,600
1,736,500
1,896,500
2,099,600
2,208,600
2,315,500
2,348,500
2,604,300
2,535,200
2,476,600
2,560,000
2,657,600
2,657,6002,560,0002,476,6002,535,2002,604,3002,348,5002,315,5002,208,6002,099,6001,896,5001,736,5001,525,6001,172,5001,044,500689,700570,200529,800470,400497,800396,100399,800439,200457,500452,900205,400204,200230,500151,720000
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
0
91,283
169,300
143,600
144,500
386,800
379,700
353,100
311,400
252,400
262,100
234,400
258,800
281,500
404,100
748,700
864,900
922,000
1,092,800
1,195,300
1,259,300
1,153,100
1,160,500
1,028,800
1,011,300
912,200
833,400
822,100
857,300
857,300822,100833,400912,2001,011,3001,028,8001,160,5001,153,1001,259,3001,195,3001,092,800922,000864,900748,700404,100281,500258,800234,400262,100252,400311,400353,100379,700386,800144,500143,600169,30091,283000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
0
0
0
57,455
135,500
112,800
106,300
339,900
330,900
307,600
256,600
193,900
189,100
164,400
186,700
193,600
299,800
611,500
722,500
729,000
876,300
933,400
955,100
827,100
795,700
642,200
603,700
504,000
467,200
464,500
466,600
466,600464,500467,200504,000603,700642,200795,700827,100955,100933,400876,300729,000722,500611,500299,800193,600186,700164,400189,100193,900256,600307,600330,900339,900106,300112,800135,50057,455000
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
1,319
4,300
2,500
2,300
4,400
3,200
3,800
4,400
5,100
6,600
7,000
7,900
8,900
10,000
9,400
7,300
2,400
7,500
8,900
10,300
8,400
11,300
10,600
10,800
7,900
9,500
15,200
15,800
15,80015,2009,5007,90010,80010,60011,3008,40010,3008,9007,5002,4007,3009,40010,0008,9007,9007,0006,6005,1004,4003,8003,2004,4002,3002,5004,3001,319000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
0
10,900
8,800
12,900
20,600
13,600
8,400
12,000
18,500
14,200
13,300
13,900
19,700
22,000
26,900
26,400
53,000
14,700
26,300
37,500
52,800
22,000
20,600
17,400
119,800
17,100
18,900
18,600
18,60018,90017,100119,80017,40020,60022,00052,80037,50026,30014,70053,00026,40026,90022,00019,70013,90013,30014,20018,50012,0008,40013,60020,60012,9008,80010,9000000
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
0
22,409
21,300
18,900
21,900
28,700
27,900
22,500
28,300
30,900
36,200
33,300
31,600
34,900
43,800
57,000
57,500
76,900
66,100
86,800
106,300
97,200
85,400
95,900
106,700
13,800
90,100
99,000
129,300
129,30099,00090,10013,800106,70095,90085,40097,200106,30086,80066,10076,90057,50057,00043,80034,90031,60033,30036,20030,90028,30022,50027,90028,70021,90018,90021,30022,409000
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
60,437
61,200
60,600
60,900
66,100
77,800
86,100
88,400
143,700
235,700
236,000
271,000
288,700
285,600
295,800
307,600
603,600
643,700
701,200
840,300
1,055,500
1,155,000
1,319,700
1,593,000
1,623,000
1,643,200
1,737,900
1,800,300
1,800,3001,737,9001,643,2001,623,0001,593,0001,319,7001,155,0001,055,500840,300701,200643,700603,600307,600295,800285,600288,700271,000236,000235,700143,70088,40086,10077,80066,10060,90060,60061,20060,437000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
38,259
38,600
37,400
36,700
37,200
43,900
47,300
52,300
62,400
149,800
149,900
157,900
179,600
179,500
188,300
199,100
263,100
290,900
353,800
480,400
618,600
700,500
844,100
1,088,600
1,165,800
1,182,700
1,273,600
1,319,100
1,319,1001,273,6001,182,7001,165,8001,088,600844,100700,500618,600480,400353,800290,900263,100199,100188,300179,500179,600157,900149,900149,80062,40052,30047,30043,90037,20036,70037,40038,60038,259000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
4,608
4,600
4,600
4,600
4,600
9,200
9,500
9,600
46,900
48,300
48,400
48,600
49,600
47,100
47,700
46,600
206,600
216,400
214,300
218,700
274,100
281,800
292,000
304,900
284,700
278,500
279,200
284,900
284,900279,200278,500284,700304,900292,000281,800274,100218,700214,300216,400206,60046,60047,70047,10049,60048,60048,40048,30046,9009,6009,5009,2004,6004,6004,6004,6004,608000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
14,000
13,400
13,400
400
14,600
19,700
18,300
1,100
22,300
21,800
46,900
42,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000000042,00046,90021,80022,3001,10018,30019,70014,60040013,40013,40014,0000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
1,639
2,100
2,900
3,900
4,600
5,600
5,600
5,600
12,300
12,700
13,500
14,700
15,300
15,700
17,300
19,400
58,300
62,200
56,900
59,100
82,600
88,100
98,700
107,500
100,300
103,100
111,300
116,700
116,700111,300103,100100,300107,50098,70088,10082,60059,10056,90062,20058,30019,40017,30015,70015,30014,70013,50012,70012,3005,6005,6005,6004,6003,9002,9002,1001,639000
       Other Assets 
0
0
0
0
1,900
2,200
2,300
19,300
4,500
4,000
2,600
21,000
2,600
2,400
2,900
2,300
2,500
1,100
2,700
45,800
66,100
69,000
76,000
80,200
84,600
84,900
92,000
51,900
58,500
53,100
58,300
58,30053,10058,50051,90092,00084,90084,60080,20076,00069,00066,10045,8002,7001,1002,5002,3002,9002,4002,60021,0002,6004,0004,50019,3002,3002,2001,9000000
> Total Liabilities 
0
0
0
131,141
157,300
147,900
172,400
149,600
180,800
172,800
165,400
159,400
297,700
267,900
302,200
324,900
400,600
612,100
654,000
869,600
1,006,700
1,092,200
1,264,800
1,312,000
1,486,800
1,430,800
1,647,300
1,575,600
1,524,800
1,522,600
1,601,200
1,601,2001,522,6001,524,8001,575,6001,647,3001,430,8001,486,8001,312,0001,264,8001,092,2001,006,700869,600654,000612,100400,600324,900302,200267,900297,700159,400165,400172,800180,800149,600172,400147,900157,300131,141000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
69,165
92,100
82,400
106,700
108,000
139,000
130,200
153,000
144,900
209,300
177,800
201,600
213,800
291,900
352,400
381,900
519,800
649,500
722,100
812,100
825,300
1,021,300
929,300
1,015,500
970,500
927,400
860,800
944,500
944,500860,800927,400970,5001,015,500929,3001,021,300825,300812,100722,100649,500519,800381,900352,400291,900213,800201,600177,800209,300144,900153,000130,200139,000108,000106,70082,40092,10069,165000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
1,319
4,300
2,500
2,300
4,400
3,200
3,800
4,400
5,100
6,600
7,000
7,900
20,000
10,000
22,500
7,300
28,300
0
34,100
0
49,500
0
63,600
0
89,700
97,300
94,100
111,900
111,90094,10097,30089,700063,600049,500034,100028,3007,30022,50010,00020,0007,9007,0006,6005,1004,4003,8003,2004,4002,3002,5004,3001,319000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
46,500
54,000
54,100
29,300
29,900
30,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000000000000000000030,00029,90029,30054,10054,00046,5000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
43,126
64,100
54,500
71,800
77,100
99,400
87,000
106,900
105,200
142,700
115,000
132,800
135,900
182,900
219,500
244,700
291,700
412,300
421,700
456,500
440,700
567,800
539,600
592,700
557,600
557,400
503,300
568,900
568,900503,300557,400557,600592,700539,600567,800440,700456,500421,700412,300291,700244,700219,500182,900135,900132,800115,000142,700105,200106,90087,00099,40077,10071,80054,50064,10043,126000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
26,039
28,000
27,900
34,900
30,900
39,600
43,200
46,100
39,700
66,600
62,800
68,800
57,900
109,000
110,400
137,200
199,800
237,200
266,300
264,500
236,900
453,500
326,100
422,800
220,000
139,700
148,400
128,500
128,500148,400139,700220,000422,800326,100453,500236,900264,500266,300237,200199,800137,200110,400109,00057,90068,80062,80066,60039,70046,10043,20039,60030,90034,90027,90028,00026,039000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
61,976
65,200
65,500
65,700
41,600
41,800
42,600
12,400
14,500
88,400
90,100
100,600
111,100
108,700
259,700
272,100
349,800
357,200
370,100
452,700
486,700
465,500
501,500
631,800
605,100
597,400
661,800
656,700
656,700661,800597,400605,100631,800501,500465,500486,700452,700370,100357,200349,800272,100259,700108,700111,100100,60090,10088,40014,50012,40042,60041,80041,60065,70065,50065,20061,976000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
87,100
3,200
2,900
2,700
248,100
150,400
274,800
152,600
313,700
153,900
412,200
156,600
469,600
159,400
576,500
567,700
623,800
165,100
165,100623,800567,700576,500159,400469,600156,600412,200153,900313,700152,600274,800150,400248,1002,7002,9003,20087,1000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
18,700
11,500
11,600
12,300
11,900
12,600
12,500
14,000
88,000
2,800
3,000
2,700
2,200
11,600
7,900
75,000
204,600
56,400
16,700
74,500
12,500
31,900
36,000
28,600
435,200
39,000
0
039,000435,20028,60036,00031,90012,50074,50016,70056,400204,60075,0007,90011,6002,2002,7003,0002,80088,00014,00012,50012,60011,90012,30011,60011,50018,7000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
0
0
0
20,609
73,300
56,400
33,200
303,500
276,900
266,600
234,800
237,200
200,700
203,100
227,300
246,100
289,900
433,000
519,300
656,400
730,200
804,600
835,100
895,700
828,100
917,500
957,300
961,700
954,200
1,039,900
1,059,300
1,059,3001,039,900954,200961,700957,300917,500828,100895,700835,100804,600730,200656,400519,300433,000289,900246,100227,300203,100200,700237,200234,800266,600276,900303,50033,20056,40073,30020,609000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
126,983
133,100
133,100
133,100
161,000
161,000
161,600
162,200
164,400
164,600
164,600
164,600
164,600
165,700
166,000
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
173,900
171,800
171,900
172,200
172,400
172,700
172,700172,400172,200171,900171,800173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900173,900166,000165,700164,600164,600164,600164,600164,400162,200161,600161,000161,000133,100133,100133,100126,983000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0000000000000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
0
0
0
-3,701
0
0
0
-9,900
0
0
0
-18,800
0
0
0
-49,800
0
0
0
-87,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
140,600
154,300
176,900
207,000
207,000176,900154,300140,6000000000-87,000000-49,800000-18,800000-9,900000-3,701000
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
448,300
476,100
472,100
0
0
469,700
469,400
472,800
464,100
470,300
470,000
356,100
359,900
356,200
356,300
356,300356,200359,900356,100470,000470,300464,100472,800469,400469,70000472,100476,100448,3000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000-1,300-2,000-2,600-2,800-2,800-3,800-2,700-2,700-2,700-5,300-7,4000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
133,525
210,000
216,100
217,500
480,400
473,600
479,000
480,100
503,200
498,500
505,700
507,100
557,300
511,500
537,500
541,100
626,500
512,100
502,400
510,200
522,700
428,200
454,300
494,000
354,800
358,600
354,900
355,000
355,000354,900358,600354,800494,000454,300428,200522,700510,200502,400512,100626,500541,100537,500511,500557,300507,100505,700498,500503,200480,100479,000473,600480,400217,500216,100210,000133,525000



Balance Sheet

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue7,612,100
Cost of Revenue-2,647,700
Gross Profit4,964,4004,964,400
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit4,964,400
Operating Expense-7,440,590
Operating Income171,510-2,476,190
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative1,466,290
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense7,440,5901,466,290
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income6,700
Interest Expense-36,200
Other Finance Cost-46,100
Net Interest Income-75,600
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income171,510
Net Interest Income-75,600
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)82,100171,510
EBIT - interestExpense = -36,200
48,400
84,600
Interest Expense36,200
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-118,300
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax82,100
Tax Provision-35,200
Net Income From Continuing Ops46,90046,900
Net Income48,400
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-75,600
 

Technical Analysis of HelloFresh SE
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of HelloFresh SE. The general trend of HelloFresh SE is BEARISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine HelloFresh SE's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-100.0%) Bearish trend (100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of HelloFresh SE.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 7.798 < 10.92 < 13.73.

The bearish price targets are: 6.13.

Tweet this
HelloFresh SE Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of HelloFresh SE. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 0/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 100: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 100: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 100. -1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

HelloFresh SE Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of HelloFresh SE. The current macd is -1.37757985.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 3/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the HelloFresh SE price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for HelloFresh SE. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the HelloFresh SE price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
HelloFresh SE Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of HelloFresh SE. The current adx is 36.87.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell HelloFresh SE shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bearish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bearish trend is strengthening.
HelloFresh SE Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of HelloFresh SE. The current sar is 11.85.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of HelloFresh SE. The current rsi is 29.62. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/(-13 +13).

  • Oversold in bear market: Short-term excessive selling, potential for relief rally. Be cautious, consider taking short-term long positions. +1
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of HelloFresh SE. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -6/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the HelloFresh SE price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of HelloFresh SE. The current cci is -53.85412736.

HelloFresh SE Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of HelloFresh SE. The current cmo is -45.03445578.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of HelloFresh SE. The current willr is -89.86587183.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
HelloFresh SE Daily Williams %R ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of HelloFresh SE.

HelloFresh SE Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of HelloFresh SE. The current atr is 0.63971841.

HelloFresh SE Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of HelloFresh SE. The current obv is -60,118,658.

HelloFresh SE Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of HelloFresh SE. The current mfi is 64.99.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
HelloFresh SE Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartHelloFresh SE Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for HelloFresh SE.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-11-09MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-11-13CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-11-14RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-11-15MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2023-11-16MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-11-17MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-11-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-11-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-11-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-11-24MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-11-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-11-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-04MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2023-12-05RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2023-12-07SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2023-12-08CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-12ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-12-13SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2023-12-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-08MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-09MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-11WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-16MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-01-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-01-19BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-01-23MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-01-24CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-26WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-01SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-02-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-06DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-08CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-09CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-13DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-15DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-19DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-21MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-22MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-02-23CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-26MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-28DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-01DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
2024-03-04CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-05MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-08SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-15RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-20RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-26RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-28MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

HelloFresh SE Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of HelloFresh SE based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5029.616
Ma 20Greater thanMa 508.103
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10010.754
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20012.957
OpenGreater thanClose6.626
Total1/5 (20.0%)
Penke

Good job! You gained 25 XP and 0   0   10 . What's next:

  • Share my analysis of HelloFresh SE with someone you think should read this too:
  • Are you bullish or bearish on HelloFresh SE? Let me know what you think in the comments.
  • Do you want an email if I find something interesting about HelloFresh SE? Add an email alert using the form below.
  • Join the community if you want to keep your earnings and track your progress: Join the community
  • Is this analysis useful to you? Support me via But Me a Coffee. I'll analyze the stock market faster for you!

Get notifications about HelloFresh SE

I send you an email if I find something interesting about HelloFresh SE.


Comments

How you think about this?

Leave a comment

Stay informed about HelloFresh SE.

Receive notifications about HelloFresh SE in your mailbox!