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Incitec Pivot Ltd
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Incitec Pivot Ltd together

I guess you are interested in Incitec Pivot Ltd. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Incitec Pivot Ltd. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Incitec Pivot Ltd (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Incitec Pivot Ltd? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
A$0.72
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
A$3.30
Expected worth in 1 year
A$3.58
How sure are you?
100.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
A$1.36
Return On Investment
43.8%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
A$3.10
Expected price per share
A$2.95 - A$3.3432347938144
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Incitec Pivot Ltd (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
A$3.10
Intrinsic Value Per Share
A$0.56 - A$2.21
Total Value Per Share
A$3.86 - A$5.51

2.2. Growth of Incitec Pivot Ltd (5 min.)




Is Incitec Pivot Ltd growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$4.2b$4.2b$91.5m2.1%

How much money is Incitec Pivot Ltd making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$374.3m$677.6m-$303.2m-81.0%
Net Profit Margin10.4%18.4%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Incitec Pivot Ltd (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Specialty Chemicals industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Specialty Chemicals)  


Richest
#43 / 553

Most Revenue
#25 / 553

Most Profit
#12 / 553

Most Efficient
#105 / 553
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Incitec Pivot Ltd?

Welcome investor! Incitec Pivot Ltd's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Incitec Pivot Ltd. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Incitec Pivot Ltd is A$3.1. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Incitec Pivot Ltd, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is A$3.30. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is A$0.07 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is A$0.47 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is A$0.27 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 A$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.196.2%0.196.2%0.3511.2%0.144.4%0.113.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.051.5%0.051.5%0.3210.2%0.113.4%0.072.3%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.185.8%0.185.8%0.123.9%0.072.3%0.062.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.237.3%0.237.3%0.4414.1%0.185.8%0.134.3%
Usd Price Per Share2.10-2.10-2.35-2.01-2.14-
Price to Earnings Ratio10.91-10.91-6.74-25.85-26.78-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio9.25-9.25-5.35-56.13-45.61-
Price to Book Ratio0.95-0.95-1.09-1.04-1.21-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio9.25-9.25-5.35-56.13-45.61-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share2.07235
Number of shares482
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.180.07
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.050.11
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.230.18
Gains per Quarter (482 shares)109.4486.16
Gains per Year (482 shares)437.75344.63
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
134791428140205335
2694181866280410680
3104227213044206141025
4138936217425598191370
51736453218069910241715
62083543261883912292060
72431634305697914332405
827787243494111916382750
931258153932125918433095
1034729054370139820483440

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%19.02.03.079.2%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%7.03.00.070.0%18.06.00.075.0%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%22.00.02.091.7%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%22.02.00.091.7%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Incitec Pivot Ltd compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.0700.0700%0.473-85%0.159-56%0.107-34%
Book Value Per Share--3.3023.3020%3.232+2%2.904+14%2.677+23%
Current Ratio--3.2533.2530%1.454+124%1.534+112%1.258+159%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.3910.3910%0.421-7%0.436-10%0.452-14%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.6410.6410%0.727-12%0.781-18%0.832-23%
Dividend Per Share--0.2690.2690%0.183+48%0.109+148%0.091+197%
Eps--0.2880.2880%0.521-45%0.206+40%0.172+67%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.1060.1060%0.489-78%0.185-43%0.148-29%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.195-0.1950%0.277-170%0.031-726%0.039-605%
Gross Profit Margin--0.4080.4080%0.691-41%-0.403+199%-0.257+163%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--2.212--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--0.555--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.244--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.126--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--0.715--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--0.320--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--1.167--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--0.449--------
Market Cap5865509900.800-4%6111786783.6806111786783.6800%6831627583.950-11%5784156087.386+6%6110540089.261+0%
Net Profit Margin--0.1040.1040%0.184-44%0.078+32%0.076+37%
Operating Margin--0.0650.0650%0.160-60%0.094-31%0.110-41%
Operating Ratio--0.9350.9350%0.840+11%0.904+4%0.898+4%
Pb Ratio0.939-1%0.9510.9510%1.086-12%1.042-9%1.213-22%
Pe Ratio10.775-1%10.91410.9140%6.739+62%25.849-58%26.776-59%
Price Per Share3.100-1%3.1403.1400%3.510-11%3.002+5%3.202-2%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio29.334-1%29.71229.7120%7.175+314%33.368-11%22.703+31%
Price To Total Gains Ratio9.127-1%9.2459.2450%5.352+73%56.126-84%45.615-80%
Quick Ratio--0.9770.9770%1.106-12%0.935+5%0.830+18%
Return On Assets--0.0530.0530%0.093-43%0.038+38%0.034+56%
Return On Equity--0.0870.0870%0.161-46%0.066+31%0.061+42%
Total Gains Per Share--0.3400.3400%0.656-48%0.267+27%0.198+72%
Usd Book Value--4296248950.0004296248950.0000%4204664450.000+2%3740404570.000+15%3419437665.000+26%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.0470.0470%0.316-85%0.106-56%0.072-34%
Usd Book Value Per Share--2.2072.2070%2.160+2%1.941+14%1.789+23%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.1800.1800%0.122+48%0.073+148%0.061+197%
Usd Eps--0.1920.1920%0.348-45%0.138+40%0.115+67%
Usd Free Cash Flow--137510450.000137510450.0000%636545700.000-78%238855050.000-42%190382115.000-28%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.0710.0710%0.327-78%0.123-43%0.099-29%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.130-0.1300%0.185-170%0.021-726%0.026-605%
Usd Market Cap3921093368.685-4%4085729464.8904085729464.8900%4566943039.871-11%3866708344.418+6%4084896049.671+0%
Usd Price Per Share2.072-1%2.0992.0990%2.346-11%2.007+5%2.141-2%
Usd Profit--374360000.000374360000.0000%677658450.000-45%267212820.000+40%220538150.000+70%
Usd Revenue--3612239750.0003612239750.0000%3691189600.000-2%3098591090.000+17%2740977015.000+32%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.2270.2270%0.438-48%0.179+27%0.132+72%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+11 -255Y+25 -1110Y+24 -12

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Incitec Pivot Ltd based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1510.775
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-10.939
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.104
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.065
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.977
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than13.253
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.391
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.641
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.087
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.053
Total8/10 (80.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Incitec Pivot Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5055.207
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.060
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.057
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2002.986
OpenGreater thanClose3.150
Total5/5 (100.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Incitec Pivot Ltd

Incitec Pivot Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes industrial explosives, industrial chemicals, and fertilizers in Australia, the United States, the Asia Pacific, Turkey, France, and internationally. It offers ammonium nitrate, nitrogen-based fertilizer, ammonia, di/mono-ammonium phosphate, and single super phosphate. The company also manufactures and sells industrial explosives, and related products and services to mining, quarrying, and construction industries. In addition, it offers industrial chemicals to the agriculture and specialist industries. The company was founded in 1831 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-11-04 10:44:02.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is cheap.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Incitec Pivot Ltd earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 10.4% means that $0.10 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 10.4%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 10.4%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ10.4%TTM10.4%0.0%
TTM10.4%YOY18.4%-8.0%
TTM10.4%5Y7.8%+2.5%
5Y7.8%10Y7.6%+0.3%
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ10.4%4.6%+5.8%
TTM10.4%3.8%+6.6%
YOY18.4%4.5%+13.9%
5Y7.8%5.8%+2.0%
10Y7.6%6.0%+1.6%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Incitec Pivot Ltd is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • 5.3% Return on Assets means that Incitec Pivot Ltd generated $0.05 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 5.3%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 5.3%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ5.3%TTM5.3%0.0%
TTM5.3%YOY9.3%-4.0%
TTM5.3%5Y3.8%+1.5%
5Y3.8%10Y3.4%+0.4%
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ5.3%1.2%+4.1%
TTM5.3%1.0%+4.3%
YOY9.3%1.1%+8.2%
5Y3.8%1.4%+2.4%
10Y3.4%1.6%+1.8%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Incitec Pivot Ltd is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • 8.7% Return on Equity means Incitec Pivot Ltd generated $0.09 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 8.7%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 8.7%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.7%TTM8.7%0.0%
TTM8.7%YOY16.1%-7.4%
TTM8.7%5Y6.6%+2.1%
5Y6.6%10Y6.1%+0.5%
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ8.7%2.2%+6.5%
TTM8.7%1.9%+6.8%
YOY16.1%2.1%+14.0%
5Y6.6%2.6%+4.0%
10Y6.1%2.7%+3.4%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Incitec Pivot Ltd is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Incitec Pivot Ltd makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 6.5% means the company generated $0.06  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 6.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 6.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ6.5%TTM6.5%0.0%
TTM6.5%YOY16.0%-9.5%
TTM6.5%5Y9.4%-2.9%
5Y9.4%10Y11.0%-1.6%
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ6.5%8.1%-1.6%
TTM6.5%5.0%+1.5%
YOY16.0%6.1%+9.9%
5Y9.4%7.8%+1.6%
10Y11.0%7.6%+3.4%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Incitec Pivot Ltd is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Chemicals industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.94 means that the operating costs are $0.94 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.935. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.935. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.935TTM0.9350.000
TTM0.935YOY0.840+0.095
TTM0.9355Y0.904+0.032
5Y0.90410Y0.898+0.006
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9351.290-0.355
TTM0.9351.180-0.245
YOY0.8401.075-0.235
5Y0.9041.147-0.243
10Y0.8981.070-0.172
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Incitec Pivot Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Chemicals industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 3.25 means the company has $3.25 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 3.253. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
  • The TTM is 3.253. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.253TTM3.2530.000
TTM3.253YOY1.454+1.799
TTM3.2535Y1.534+1.720
5Y1.53410Y1.258+0.276
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ3.2531.803+1.450
TTM3.2531.867+1.386
YOY1.4541.923-0.469
5Y1.5341.966-0.432
10Y1.2581.887-0.629
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Incitec Pivot Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.98 means the company can pay off $0.98 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.977. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.977. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.977TTM0.9770.000
TTM0.977YOY1.106-0.129
TTM0.9775Y0.935+0.042
5Y0.93510Y0.830+0.105
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.9770.856+0.121
TTM0.9770.904+0.073
YOY1.1061.059+0.047
5Y0.9351.142-0.207
10Y0.8301.169-0.339
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4.5.4. Solvency of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Incitec Pivot Ltd assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.39 means that Incitec Pivot Ltd assets are financed with 39.1% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 39.1%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.391. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.391. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.391TTM0.3910.000
TTM0.391YOY0.421-0.030
TTM0.3915Y0.436-0.045
5Y0.43610Y0.452-0.016
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3910.428-0.037
TTM0.3910.429-0.038
YOY0.4210.426-0.005
5Y0.4360.426+0.010
10Y0.4520.433+0.019
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Incitec Pivot Ltd is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 64.1% means that company has $0.64 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.641. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.641. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.641TTM0.6410.000
TTM0.641YOY0.727-0.086
TTM0.6415Y0.781-0.140
5Y0.78110Y0.832-0.051
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6410.784-0.143
TTM0.6410.767-0.126
YOY0.7270.735-0.008
5Y0.7810.804-0.023
10Y0.8320.8320.000
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Incitec Pivot Ltd generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Incitec Pivot Ltd to the Specialty Chemicals industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 10.91 means the investor is paying $10.91 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The EOD is 10.775. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 10.914. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 10.914. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD10.775MRQ10.914-0.139
MRQ10.914TTM10.9140.000
TTM10.914YOY6.739+4.175
TTM10.9145Y25.849-14.935
5Y25.84910Y26.776-0.927
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD10.77518.458-7.683
MRQ10.91416.180-5.266
TTM10.91415.955-5.041
YOY6.73916.462-9.723
5Y25.84919.414+6.435
10Y26.77623.725+3.051
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The EOD is 29.334. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 29.712. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 29.712. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD29.334MRQ29.712-0.378
MRQ29.712TTM29.7120.000
TTM29.712YOY7.175+22.538
TTM29.7125Y33.368-3.655
5Y33.36810Y22.703+10.665
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD29.3347.711+21.623
MRQ29.7127.144+22.568
TTM29.7123.121+26.591
YOY7.1752.319+4.856
5Y33.3683.326+30.042
10Y22.7032.746+19.957
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Incitec Pivot Ltd is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Chemicals industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 0.95 means the investor is paying $0.95 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Incitec Pivot Ltd:

  • The EOD is 0.939. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 0.951. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 0.951. Based on the equity, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD0.939MRQ0.951-0.012
MRQ0.951TTM0.9510.000
TTM0.951YOY1.086-0.135
TTM0.9515Y1.042-0.091
5Y1.04210Y1.213-0.171
Compared to industry (Specialty Chemicals)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD0.9391.866-0.927
MRQ0.9511.700-0.749
TTM0.9511.792-0.841
YOY1.0861.858-0.772
5Y1.0422.302-1.260
10Y1.2132.748-1.535
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share

4.7 Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

4.8.2. Funds holding Incitec Pivot Ltd

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2021-01-31Price (T.Rowe) International Value Equity Fund1.56-30243355--
2020-10-31Vanguard International Stock Index-Total Intl Stock Indx1.54-29947318--
2020-12-31Oakmark International Small Cap Fund1.13-21882444--
2020-12-31Price (T.Rowe) International Value Equity Trust1-19487224--
2020-12-31Oakmark Global Fund0.97-18878254--
2020-12-31Vanguard Tax Managed Fund-Vanguard Developed Markets Index Fund0.64-12397925--
2021-02-28iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF0.43-8386707--
2021-02-28iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF0.43-8267837--
2021-01-31DFA International Value Series0.34999999-6817226--
2021-01-31DFA International Core Equity Portfolio0.33000002-6415181--
Total 8.38000001016272347100.0%
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5. Financial Statements




5.1. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-09-30. Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets10,545,300
Total Liabilities4,118,600
Total Stockholder Equity6,426,800
 As reported
Total Liabilities 4,118,600
Total Stockholder Equity+ 6,426,800
Total Assets = 10,545,300

Assets

Total Assets10,545,300
Total Current Assets4,253,200
Long-term Assets6,292,100
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 209,500
Short-term Investments 189,900
Net Receivables 687,700
Inventory 817,400
Other Current Assets 2,348,700
Total Current Assets  (as reported)4,253,200
Total Current Assets  (calculated)4,253,200
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 3,400,700
Goodwill 1,985,200
Long Term Investments 404,800
Intangible Assets 2,394,400
Long-term Assets Other -1,941,800
Long-term Assets  (as reported)6,292,100
Long-term Assets  (calculated)6,243,300
+/- 48,800

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities1,307,400
Long-term Liabilities2,811,200
Total Stockholder Equity6,426,800
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 62,400
Short Long Term Debt 21,100
Accounts payable 1,059,300
Other Current Liabilities 174,100
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)1,307,400
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)1,316,900
+/- 9,500
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt Total 1,904,000
Capital Lease Obligations 234,700
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)2,811,200
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)2,138,700
+/- 672,500
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock3,806,200
Retained Earnings 2,475,900
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 144,700
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)6,426,800
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)6,426,800
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock3,806,200
Cash and Short Term Investments 399,400
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 1,946,429
Current Deferred Revenue11,600
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 10,545,300
Net Debt 1,756,900
Net Invested Capital 8,158,500
Net Working Capital 2,945,800
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 6,177,100
Short Long Term Debt Total 1,966,400



5.2. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-09-302022-09-302021-09-302020-09-302019-09-302018-09-302017-09-302016-09-302015-09-302014-09-302013-09-302012-09-302011-09-302010-09-302009-09-302008-09-302007-09-302006-09-302005-09-302004-09-302003-09-302002-09-302001-09-302000-09-30
> Total Assets 
475,667
357,470
336,504
867,146
971,393
856,342
1,303,202
1,639,300
8,185,400
6,631,200
6,309,500
7,001,900
7,013,400
7,683,800
7,970,200
9,196,300
8,679,000
8,821,700
8,954,000
9,379,500
9,291,000
9,390,600
10,863,700
10,545,300
10,545,30010,863,7009,390,6009,291,0009,379,5008,954,0008,821,7008,679,0009,196,3007,970,2007,683,8007,013,4007,001,9006,309,5006,631,2008,185,4001,639,3001,303,202856,342971,393867,146336,504357,470475,667
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
0
350,599
460,930
369,378
595,539
909,000
1,867,000
1,033,900
985,900
1,388,000
1,020,500
1,175,200
833,600
1,343,900
1,141,900
1,453,000
1,471,500
1,550,800
1,529,900
1,819,400
2,654,300
4,253,200
4,253,2002,654,3001,819,4001,529,9001,550,8001,471,5001,453,0001,141,9001,343,900833,6001,175,2001,020,5001,388,000985,9001,033,9001,867,000909,000595,539369,378460,930350,599000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
6,404
1,390
39,283
21,269
83,846
3,351
161,658
218,300
479,700
125,200
48,700
379,700
154,100
270,600
70,500
606,300
427,100
627,900
588,500
576,400
105,600
251,900
264,500
209,500
209,500264,500251,900105,600576,400588,500627,900427,100606,30070,500270,600154,100379,70048,700125,200479,700218,300161,6583,35183,84621,26939,2831,3906,404
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
83,141
12,341
2,019
292,100
30,300
71,200
111,600
40,800
32,200
5,600
16,900
9,100
9,200
404,700
461,700
475,000
449,000
399,900
499,000
189,900
189,900499,000399,900449,000475,000461,700404,7009,2009,10016,9005,60032,20040,800111,60071,20030,300292,1002,01912,34183,1410000
       Net Receivables 
105,055
79,493
48,966
108,988
123,745
75,901
121,445
167,400
625,300
323,000
443,800
451,900
372,900
331,300
265,500
288,800
256,100
337,700
311,500
316,700
373,900
487,600
756,600
687,700
687,700756,600487,600373,900316,700311,500337,700256,100288,800265,500331,300372,900451,900443,800323,000625,300167,400121,44575,901123,745108,98848,96679,493105,055
       Other Current Assets 
3,509
1,729
906
14,699
7,047
6,135
8,885
4,500
56,500
30,700
36,200
4,900
29,400
137,700
63,500
47,500
53,000
98,800
76,600
56,800
127,000
102,300
140,600
2,348,700
2,348,700140,600102,300127,00056,80076,60098,80053,00047,50063,500137,70029,4004,90036,20030,70056,5004,5008,8856,1357,04714,6999061,7293,509
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
516,547
510,463
486,964
707,663
730,300
6,318,400
5,597,300
5,323,600
5,613,900
5,992,900
6,330,300
6,794,900
7,673,500
7,393,200
7,292,700
7,387,000
7,727,200
7,761,100
7,571,200
8,209,400
6,292,100
6,292,1008,209,4007,571,2007,761,1007,727,2007,387,0007,292,7007,393,2007,673,5006,794,9006,330,3005,992,9005,613,9005,323,6005,597,3006,318,400730,300707,663486,964510,463516,547000
       Property Plant Equipment 
192,010
127,825
116,518
296,615
296,132
283,855
478,097
502,100
1,689,200
1,663,400
1,844,100
2,283,300
2,738,500
3,033,500
3,511,400
4,003,600
3,892,700
3,854,800
4,004,300
4,190,000
4,292,800
4,143,400
4,467,900
3,400,700
3,400,7004,467,9004,143,4004,292,8004,190,0004,004,3003,854,8003,892,7004,003,6003,511,4003,033,5002,738,5002,283,3001,844,1001,663,4001,689,200502,100478,097283,855296,132296,615116,518127,825192,010
       Goodwill 
14,959
0
0
185,354
183,809
174,004
183,809
183,800
3,301,400
2,649,300
2,553,500
2,516,600
2,449,800
2,537,800
2,580,500
2,883,200
2,770,200
2,731,700
2,618,400
2,724,500
2,638,100
2,636,800
2,873,000
1,985,200
1,985,2002,873,0002,636,8002,638,1002,724,5002,618,4002,731,7002,770,2002,883,2002,580,5002,537,8002,449,8002,516,6002,553,5002,649,3003,301,400183,800183,809174,004183,809185,3540014,959
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
335,800
513,000
359,600
318,000
316,900
336,100
357,700
326,300
324,800
379,400
404,800
404,800379,400324,800326,300357,700336,100316,900318,000359,600513,000335,8000000000000000
       Intangible Assets 
14,959
0
0
185,354
183,809
174,004
196,210
193,700
554,800
3,153,000
3,002,600
425,700
395,400
423,200
411,800
463,100
412,300
389,300
428,200
455,000
3,019,700
3,000,900
3,281,400
2,394,400
2,394,4003,281,4003,000,9003,019,700455,000428,200389,300412,300463,100411,800423,200395,400425,7003,002,6003,153,000554,800193,700196,210174,004183,809185,3540014,959
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
13,553
10,166
6,574
877
4,300
150,200
36,800
17,800
76,400
87,800
-85,300
-72,500
-58,500
-23,200
-21,600
-17,000
-15,900
-2,612,300
-2,609,700
-2,837,100
-1,941,800
-1,941,800-2,837,100-2,609,700-2,612,300-15,900-17,000-21,600-23,200-58,500-72,500-85,30087,80076,40017,80036,800150,2004,3008776,57410,16613,553000
> Total Liabilities 
326,815
226,254
186,319
293,764
339,874
291,183
923,205
1,104,300
5,030,100
3,250,100
2,698,200
3,295,200
2,982,000
3,464,000
3,563,200
4,508,100
4,102,700
4,062,600
4,209,800
4,691,700
4,087,700
4,022,000
4,574,000
4,118,600
4,118,6004,574,0004,022,0004,087,7004,691,7004,209,8004,062,6004,102,7004,508,1003,563,2003,464,0002,982,0003,295,2002,698,2003,250,1005,030,1001,104,300923,205291,183339,874293,764186,319226,254326,815
   > Total Current Liabilities 
225,150
139,691
125,578
215,007
299,063
261,027
362,191
356,800
3,700,900
1,175,200
914,600
1,163,200
1,092,200
1,160,800
990,100
1,896,200
1,070,200
1,165,000
1,407,400
2,504,100
1,329,500
1,528,400
1,825,300
1,307,400
1,307,4001,825,3001,528,4001,329,5002,504,1001,407,4001,165,0001,070,2001,896,200990,1001,160,8001,092,2001,163,200914,6001,175,2003,700,900356,800362,191261,027299,063215,007125,578139,691225,150
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
40,663
63,055
12,514
12,786
9,100
2,238,800
432,200
108,500
95,700
125,700
33,500
33,900
747,100
11,100
12,100
212,900
1,213,400
62,700
63,800
63,200
62,400
62,40063,20063,80062,7001,213,400212,90012,10011,100747,10033,90033,500125,70095,700108,500432,2002,238,8009,10012,78612,51463,05540,663000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,656,500
9,700
727,000
11,100
12,100
212,900
1,213,400
21,200
18,800
21,100
21,100
21,10021,10018,80021,2001,213,400212,90012,10011,100727,0009,7001,656,5000000000000000
       Accounts payable 
46,320
51,892
46,942
130,899
192,854
200,699
282,598
281,400
785,600
636,700
697,100
630,100
600,700
729,600
823,000
888,500
939,500
1,043,700
1,045,000
1,152,000
1,049,400
1,229,300
1,393,400
1,059,300
1,059,3001,393,4001,229,3001,049,4001,152,0001,045,0001,043,700939,500888,500823,000729,600600,700630,100697,100636,700785,600281,400282,598200,699192,854130,89946,94251,89246,320
       Other Current Liabilities 
12,362
18,830
18,005
37,133
58,634
53,546
53,161
40,300
104,800
12,900
1,700
98,900
137,600
431,200
167,100
1,007,700
130,700
121,300
362,400
1,352,100
195,900
148,500
224,300
174,100
174,100224,300148,500195,9001,352,100362,400121,300130,7001,007,700167,100431,200137,60098,9001,70012,900104,80040,30053,16153,54658,63437,13318,00518,83012,362
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
78,757
40,811
30,156
561,014
747,500
1,329,200
2,074,900
1,783,600
2,132,000
1,889,800
1,623,000
1,709,000
1,850,100
2,278,300
2,212,000
2,161,900
1,443,000
2,758,200
2,493,600
2,748,700
2,811,200
2,811,2002,748,7002,493,6002,758,2001,443,0002,161,9002,212,0002,278,3001,850,1001,709,0001,623,0001,889,8002,132,0001,783,6002,074,9001,329,200747,500561,01430,15640,81178,757000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,806,600
2,278,300
2,212,000
2,161,900
1,443,000
2,055,300
1,847,500
1,894,700
1,904,000
1,904,0001,894,7001,847,5002,055,3001,443,0002,161,9002,212,0002,278,3001,806,600000000000000000
       Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt
0
0
0
-40,663
-63,055
-12,514
-12,786
-9,100
-2,238,800
-432,200
-108,500
-95,700
-125,700
-33,500
-33,900
-747,100
-11,100
-12,100
-212,900
-1,213,400
185,000
178,700
182,700
172,300
172,300182,700178,700185,000-1,213,400-212,900-12,100-11,100-747,100-33,900-33,500-125,700-95,700-108,500-432,200-2,238,800-9,100-12,786-12,514-63,055-40,663000
       Long-term Liabilities Other 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
295,600
182,500
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000182,500295,6000000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
148,852
131,216
150,185
573,382
631,519
565,159
379,997
535,000
3,155,300
3,381,100
3,609,200
3,701,700
4,029,100
4,216,900
4,404,300
4,685,200
4,572,000
4,753,100
4,737,700
4,687,800
5,203,300
5,368,600
6,289,600
6,426,800
6,426,8006,289,6005,368,6005,203,3004,687,8004,737,7004,753,1004,572,0004,685,2004,404,3004,216,9004,029,1003,701,7003,609,2003,381,1003,155,300535,000379,997565,159631,519573,382150,185131,216148,852
   Common Stock
65,596
65,457
65,819
532,445
532,445
532,445
360,797
360,800
2,267,700
3,217,800
3,265,900
3,265,900
3,265,900
3,265,900
3,332,800
3,430,900
3,436,800
3,436,800
3,226,500
3,136,800
3,806,200
3,806,200
3,806,200
3,806,200
3,806,2003,806,2003,806,2003,806,2003,136,8003,226,5003,436,8003,436,8003,430,9003,332,8003,265,9003,265,9003,265,9003,265,9003,217,8002,267,700360,800360,797532,445532,445532,44565,81965,45765,596
   Retained Earnings 
30,295
29,918
48,444
5,015
63,152
-3,208
25,029
156,500
525,400
44,200
336,300
628,600
941,600
1,129,600
1,216,300
1,411,000
1,322,500
1,514,200
1,566,600
1,570,900
1,618,900
1,771,100
2,441,700
2,475,900
2,475,9002,441,7001,771,1001,618,9001,570,9001,566,6001,514,2001,322,5001,411,0001,216,3001,129,600941,600628,600336,30044,200525,400156,50025,029-3,20863,1525,01548,44429,91830,295
   Capital Surplus 000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock000000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8,400
0
0
0
0
-178,600
-144,800
-156,700
-187,300
-197,900
-55,400
-19,900
-221,800
-208,700
41,700
138,100
138,10041,700-208,700-221,800-19,900-55,400-197,900-187,300-156,700-144,800-178,60000008,40000000000



5.3. Balance Sheets

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.




5.4. Cash Flows

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.




5.5. Income Statements

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.


5.6. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2023-09-30. Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue5,403,500
Cost of Revenue-4,401,800
Gross Profit1,001,7001,001,700
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit1,001,700
Operating Expense-651,900
Operating Income349,800349,800
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development30,600
Selling General Administrative923,400
Selling And Marketing Expenses331,700
Operating Expense651,9001,285,700
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income8,500
Interest Expense-150,200
Other Finance Cost-6,200
Net Interest Income-147,900
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income349,800
Net Interest Income-147,900
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)317,400382,200
EBIT - interestExpense = 199,600
600,900
710,200
Interest Expense150,200
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)349,800467,600
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)674,500
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax317,400
Tax Provision-40,900
Net Income From Continuing Ops276,500276,500
Net Income560,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares560,000
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items283,300
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses5,053,700
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-32,400147,900
 

Technical Analysis of Incitec Pivot Ltd
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The general trend of Incitec Pivot Ltd is BULLISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Incitec Pivot Ltd's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (100.0%) Bearish trend (-100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 3.2 < 3.3006477690289 < 3.3432347938144.

The bearish price targets are: 3.145 > 2.95 > 2.95.

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Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 14/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current macd is 0.0055083.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Incitec Pivot Ltd price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Incitec Pivot Ltd. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Incitec Pivot Ltd price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current adx is 19.68.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Incitec Pivot Ltd shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current sar is 2.9491.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current rsi is 55.21. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 3/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 2/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Incitec Pivot Ltd price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current cci is 70.40.

Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current cmo is 14.30.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current willr is -24.3902439.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Incitec Pivot Ltd is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Williams %R ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Incitec Pivot Ltd.

Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current atr is 0.05892181.

Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current obv is -97,686,759.

Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Incitec Pivot Ltd. The current mfi is 39.16.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartIncitec Pivot Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Incitec Pivot Ltd.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-06-25DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-06-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-06-27DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-06-28DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-07-01DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-03SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-07-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-07-10CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-07-11SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-07-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-19CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-07-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-26MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-29DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-07-30STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-31STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-09CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-08-13DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-19CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-08-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-08-26CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-08-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-04SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-06SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-12MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-09-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-16MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-17MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-25WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-09-26BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-09-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-01MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-10-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-10STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-10-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-10-16MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-10-17DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-10-18MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-10-21WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-10-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-10-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-10-30CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-10-31MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-11-05WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-11-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-11-07MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Incitec Pivot Ltd Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Incitec Pivot Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5055.207
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.060
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.057
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2002.986
OpenGreater thanClose3.150
Total5/5 (100.0%)
Penke
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