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Nick Scali Ltd
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyze Nick Scali Ltd together

I guess you are interested in Nick Scali Ltd. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Nick Scali Ltd. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

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1. Quick Overview

1.1. Quick analysis of Nick Scali Ltd (30 sec.)










1.2. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Nick Scali Ltd? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
A$1.81
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
100.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
A$3.02
Expected worth in 1 year
A$6.68
How sure are you?
100.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
A$6.32
Return On Investment
39.8%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
A$15.86
Expected price per share
A$15.54 - A$
How sure are you?
50%
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2. Detailed Analysis

2.1. Valuation of Nick Scali Ltd (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)
A$15.86
Intrinsic Value Per Share
A$1.61 - A$17.02
Total Value Per Share
A$4.64 - A$20.05

2.2. Growth of Nick Scali Ltd (5 min.)




Is Nick Scali Ltd growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$175.2m$122.3m$52.9m30.2%

How much money is Nick Scali Ltd making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$54.8m$68.7m-$13.9m-25.4%
Net Profit Margin17.2%19.9%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

2.3. Financial Health of Nick Scali Ltd (5 min.)




2.4. Comparing to competitors in the Specialty Retail industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Specialty Retail)  


Richest
#82 / 185

Most Revenue
#73 / 185

Most Profit
#31 / 185
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3. Summary and Key Metrics

3.1. What can you expect buying and holding a share of Nick Scali Ltd?

Welcome investor! Nick Scali Ltd's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Nick Scali Ltd.

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Nick Scali Ltd. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Nick Scali Ltd is A$15.86. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Nick Scali Ltd.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Nick Scali Ltd, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is A$3.02. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is A$0.91 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is A$0.46 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is A$0.67 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Nick Scali Ltd.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 A$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per ShareA$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.644.1%0.644.1%0.815.1%0.613.9%0.442.7%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.623.9%0.623.9%0.312.0%0.281.7%0.171.1%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.452.9%0.452.9%0.483.1%0.402.5%0.301.9%
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.076.8%1.076.8%0.805.0%0.684.3%0.473.0%
Usd Price Per Share9.39-9.39-6.19-6.71-5.22-
Price to Earnings Ratio14.60-14.60-7.68-11.33-13.05-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio8.75-8.75-7.79-11.55-13.14-
Price to Book Ratio4.57-4.57-4.32-5.99-6.41-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio8.75-8.75-7.79-11.55-13.14-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share10.783214
Number of shares92
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.450.40
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.620.28
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.070.68
Gains per Quarter (92 shares)98.7662.49
Gains per Year (92 shares)395.03249.95
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1166229385149101240
2333457780297203490
34996861175446304740
46669141570594405990
5832114319657435071240
6999137223608926081490
711651600275510407091740
813321829315011898111990
914982057354513389122240
10166422863940148610132490

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%21.00.02.091.3%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%4.01.00.080.0%9.01.00.090.0%21.02.00.091.3%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%21.00.02.091.3%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%10.00.00.0100.0%23.00.00.0100.0%
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3.2. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Nick Scali Ltd compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.9140.9140%0.457+100%0.405+126%0.255+258%
Book Value Per Share--3.0243.0240%2.111+43%1.802+68%1.304+132%
Current Ratio--1.1441.1440%1.112+3%1.060+8%1.245-8%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6340.6340%0.704-10%0.728-13%0.620+2%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.7341.7340%2.377-27%2.831-39%1.939-11%
Dividend Per Share--0.6650.6650%0.713-7%0.594+12%0.437+52%
Eps--0.9460.9460%1.186-20%0.899+5%0.641+48%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--1.1531.1530%1.467-21%1.255-8%0.740+56%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.3350.3350%0.641-48%0.409-18%0.204+64%
Gross Profit Margin--0.6750.6750%0.702-4%0.683-1%0.530+27%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--17.021--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--1.613--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--1.373--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--0.600--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--4.379--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--1.434--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--7.690--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--1.857--------
Market Cap1351758965.440+13%1177036022.2401177036022.2400%776451713.440+52%841738432.704+40%654912729.536+80%
Net Profit Margin--0.1720.1720%0.199-14%0.185-7%0.165+5%
Operating Margin--0.2720.2720%0.299-9%0.285-5%0.247+10%
Operating Ratio--0.7280.7280%0.696+5%0.715+2%0.757-4%
Pb Ratio5.244+13%4.5664.5660%4.316+6%5.992-24%6.407-29%
Pe Ratio16.769+13%14.60114.6010%7.681+90%11.333+29%13.047+12%
Price Per Share15.860+13%13.81013.8100%9.110+52%9.876+40%7.684+80%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio13.755+13%11.97711.9770%6.211+93%7.923+51%22.989-48%
Price To Total Gains Ratio10.045+13%8.7478.7470%7.785+12%11.550-24%13.135-33%
Quick Ratio--1.0611.0610%0.975+9%1.000+6%0.941+13%
Return On Assets--0.1140.1140%0.166-31%0.142-20%0.185-38%
Return On Equity--0.3130.3130%0.562-44%0.541-42%0.504-38%
Total Gains Per Share--1.5791.5790%1.170+35%0.999+58%0.692+128%
Usd Book Value--175263942.100175263942.1000%122322848.700+43%104440798.800+68%75557966.900+132%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.6210.6210%0.311+100%0.275+126%0.174+258%
Usd Book Value Per Share--2.0562.0560%1.435+43%1.225+68%0.887+132%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.4520.4520%0.485-7%0.404+12%0.297+52%
Usd Eps--0.6430.6430%0.806-20%0.611+5%0.436+48%
Usd Free Cash Flow--66817852.40066817852.4000%84995658.800-21%72745492.560-8%42875173.900+56%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.7840.7840%0.997-21%0.854-8%0.503+56%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--0.2280.2280%0.436-48%0.278-18%0.139+64%
Usd Market Cap919060920.603+13%800266791.521800266791.5210%527909519.968+52%572297960.395+40%445275164.812+80%
Usd Price Per Share10.783+13%9.3899.3890%6.194+52%6.715+40%5.224+80%
Usd Profit--54808098.80054808098.8000%68725651.800-20%52071229.340+5%37155923.090+48%
Usd Revenue--318321701.100318321701.1000%345200867.700-8%279083856.220+14%215044075.220+48%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--1.0731.0730%0.796+35%0.679+58%0.471+128%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+15 -215Y+21 -1510Y+29 -7

3.3 Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Nick Scali Ltd based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1516.769
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-15.244
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.172
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.272
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.061
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.144
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.634
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.734
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.313
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.114
Total7/10 (70.0%)

3.4 Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Nick Scali Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.057
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5015.656
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10015.159
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20014.400
OpenGreater thanClose15.720
Total4/5 (80.0%)

4. In-depth Analysis

4.1 About Nick Scali Ltd

Nick Scali Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in sourcing and retailing of household furniture and related accessories in Australia, the United Kingdom, and New Zealand. It offers sofas and armchairs; TV and entertainment units; coffee, side, and console and hallway tables; dinning tables and chairs, and buffet tables and sideboards; mattresses, bed frames, bedside tables, tallboy, and dressers; and rugs, mirrors, and lighting. The company provides its products through a network of stores, as well as online. Nick Scali Limited was incorporated in 1962 and is based in North Ryde, Australia.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-09-23 22:51:04.

4.2 In-depth Summary

4.2.1. Financial Health Summary

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very efficient.
The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.

4.2.2. Valuation Summary

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.
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4.3 Financial Health

4.3.1. Profitability

4.3.1 Profitability
4.3.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Nick Scali Ltd earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 17.2% means that $0.17 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 17.2%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 17.2%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ17.2%TTM17.2%0.0%
TTM17.2%YOY19.9%-2.7%
TTM17.2%5Y18.5%-1.3%
5Y18.5%10Y16.5%+2.1%
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ17.2%2.3%+14.9%
TTM17.2%1.8%+15.4%
YOY19.9%2.5%+17.4%
5Y18.5%1.9%+16.6%
10Y16.5%2.5%+14.0%
4.3.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Nick Scali Ltd is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • 11.4% Return on Assets means that Nick Scali Ltd generated $0.11 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 11.4%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 11.4%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ11.4%TTM11.4%0.0%
TTM11.4%YOY16.6%-5.2%
TTM11.4%5Y14.2%-2.8%
5Y14.2%10Y18.5%-4.3%
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ11.4%0.9%+10.5%
TTM11.4%0.7%+10.7%
YOY16.6%1.1%+15.5%
5Y14.2%0.9%+13.3%
10Y18.5%1.1%+17.4%
4.3.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Nick Scali Ltd is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • 31.3% Return on Equity means Nick Scali Ltd generated $0.31 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 31.3%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 31.3%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ31.3%TTM31.3%0.0%
TTM31.3%YOY56.2%-24.9%
TTM31.3%5Y54.1%-22.8%
5Y54.1%10Y50.4%+3.7%
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ31.3%2.2%+29.1%
TTM31.3%2.2%+29.1%
YOY56.2%2.8%+53.4%
5Y54.1%3.0%+51.1%
10Y50.4%3.0%+47.4%
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4.3.2. Operating Efficiency of Nick Scali Ltd.

4.3.2. Operating Efficiency
4.3.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Nick Scali Ltd is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Nick Scali Ltd makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 27.2% means the company generated $0.27  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 27.2%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
  • The TTM is 27.2%. The company is operating very efficient. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ27.2%TTM27.2%0.0%
TTM27.2%YOY29.9%-2.7%
TTM27.2%5Y28.5%-1.3%
5Y28.5%10Y24.7%+3.9%
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ27.2%4.0%+23.2%
TTM27.2%3.6%+23.6%
YOY29.9%3.6%+26.3%
5Y28.5%3.8%+24.7%
10Y24.7%3.6%+21.1%
4.3.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Nick Scali Ltd is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Retail industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.73 means that the operating costs are $0.73 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.728. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
  • The TTM is 0.728. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.728TTM0.7280.000
TTM0.728YOY0.696+0.031
TTM0.7285Y0.715+0.013
5Y0.71510Y0.757-0.042
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7281.222-0.494
TTM0.7281.157-0.429
YOY0.6961.006-0.310
5Y0.7151.055-0.340
10Y0.7571.005-0.248
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4.4.3. Liquidity of Nick Scali Ltd.

4.4.3. Liquidity
4.4.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Nick Scali Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Retail industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.14 means the company has $1.14 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.144. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.144. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.144TTM1.1440.000
TTM1.144YOY1.112+0.033
TTM1.1445Y1.060+0.084
5Y1.06010Y1.245-0.185
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.1441.296-0.152
TTM1.1441.330-0.186
YOY1.1121.379-0.267
5Y1.0601.317-0.257
10Y1.2451.372-0.127
4.4.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Nick Scali Ltd is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.06 means the company can pay off $1.06 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.061. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
  • The TTM is 1.061. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.061TTM1.0610.000
TTM1.061YOY0.975+0.086
TTM1.0615Y1.000+0.061
5Y1.00010Y0.941+0.059
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0610.364+0.697
TTM1.0610.427+0.634
YOY0.9750.508+0.467
5Y1.0000.556+0.444
10Y0.9410.567+0.374
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4.5.4. Solvency of Nick Scali Ltd.

4.5.4. Solvency
4.5.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Nick Scali Ltd assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.63 means that Nick Scali Ltd assets are financed with 63.4% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 63.4%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 0.634. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.634. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.634TTM0.6340.000
TTM0.634YOY0.704-0.070
TTM0.6345Y0.728-0.094
5Y0.72810Y0.620+0.109
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6340.598+0.036
TTM0.6340.604+0.030
YOY0.7040.590+0.114
5Y0.7280.605+0.123
10Y0.6200.571+0.049
4.5.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Nick Scali Ltd is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 173.4% means that company has $1.73 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The MRQ is 1.734. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 1.734. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.734TTM1.7340.000
TTM1.734YOY2.377-0.643
TTM1.7345Y2.831-1.096
5Y2.83110Y1.939+0.892
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.7341.441+0.293
TTM1.7341.485+0.249
YOY2.3771.445+0.932
5Y2.8311.587+1.244
10Y1.9391.481+0.458
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4.6. Market Valuation

4.6.1. Earnings Per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Nick Scali Ltd generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Nick Scali Ltd to the Specialty Retail industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 14.60 means the investor is paying $14.60 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The EOD is 16.769. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 14.601. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 14.601. Based on the earnings, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD16.769MRQ14.601+2.167
MRQ14.601TTM14.6010.000
TTM14.601YOY7.681+6.920
TTM14.6015Y11.333+3.269
5Y11.33310Y13.047-1.714
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD16.76911.244+5.525
MRQ14.60110.663+3.938
TTM14.6019.507+5.094
YOY7.6819.180-1.499
5Y11.33311.313+0.020
10Y13.04713.178-0.131
4.6.2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The EOD is 13.755. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 11.977. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 11.977. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD13.755MRQ11.977+1.778
MRQ11.977TTM11.9770.000
TTM11.977YOY6.211+5.766
TTM11.9775Y7.923+4.054
5Y7.92310Y22.989-15.066
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD13.7553.581+10.174
MRQ11.9773.568+8.409
TTM11.9772.238+9.739
YOY6.2113.525+2.686
5Y7.9232.046+5.877
10Y22.9893.531+19.458
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4.6.2. Book Value per Share
4.6.2.1. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Nick Scali Ltd is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Specialty Retail industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 4.57 means the investor is paying $4.57 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Nick Scali Ltd:

  • The EOD is 5.244. Based on the equity, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The MRQ is 4.566. Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
  • The TTM is 4.566. Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD5.244MRQ4.566+0.678
MRQ4.566TTM4.5660.000
TTM4.566YOY4.316+0.250
TTM4.5665Y5.992-1.426
5Y5.99210Y6.407-0.415
Compared to industry (Specialty Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD5.2441.578+3.666
MRQ4.5661.508+3.058
TTM4.5661.601+2.965
YOY4.3161.517+2.799
5Y5.9921.976+4.016
10Y6.4072.186+4.221
4.6.2. Total Gains per Share

4.7 Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Nick Scali Ltd.

4.8.2. Funds holding Nick Scali Ltd

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2021-01-31DFA Asia Pacific Small Company Series0.49-400543--
2021-02-28iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF0.38-306672--
2021-02-28iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF0.38-305724--
2021-02-28WisdomTree Tr-WisdomTree International Small Cap Dividend Fd0.32-262476--
2021-01-31DFA International Core Equity Portfolio0.31-254036--
2020-12-31Segall Bryant & Hamill International Small Cap Fund0.15-124552--
2020-12-31College Retirement Equities Fund-Stock Account0.090000004-73891--
2021-01-31Mainstay MacKay International Opportunities Fund0.08-66789--
2021-01-31Old Westbury Small & Mid Cap Strategies Fund0.07-59561--
2021-01-31DFA International Vector Equity Port0.059999997-48096--
Total 2.3300000010190234000.0%
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5. Financial Statements




5.1. Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2020-06-302021-06-302022-06-302023-06-302024-06-30
Long-term Assets Other  -253,781-18,442-272,223-185,089-457,3124,541-452,771492,15939,388



5.2. Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-06-30. Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets704,882
Total Liabilities447,103
Total Stockholder Equity257,779
 As reported
Total Liabilities 447,103
Total Stockholder Equity+ 257,779
Total Assets = 704,882

Assets

Total Assets704,882
Total Current Assets176,281
Long-term Assets528,601
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 61,331
Short-term Investments 50,000
Net Receivables 2,102
Inventory 58,046
Other Current Assets 4,802
Total Current Assets  (as reported)176,281
Total Current Assets  (calculated)176,281
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 365,249
Goodwill 118,172
Intangible Assets 39,388
Other Assets 0
Long-term Assets  (as reported)528,601
Long-term Assets  (calculated)522,809
+/- 5,792

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities154,031
Long-term Liabilities293,072
Total Stockholder Equity257,779
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 39,987
Short Long Term Debt 2,300
Accounts payable 26,396
Other Current Liabilities 86,835
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)154,031
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)155,518
+/- 1,487
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 69,387
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt208,698
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)293,072
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)278,085
+/- 14,987
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock58,211
Retained Earnings 200,270
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -702
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)257,779
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)257,779
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock58,211
Cash and Short Term Investments 111,331
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 81,647
Current Deferred Revenue813
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 704,882
Net Debt 259,041
Net Invested Capital 329,466
Net Working Capital 22,250
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 408,656
Short Long Term Debt Total 320,372



5.3. Balance Sheets Structured

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-06-302023-06-302022-06-302021-06-302020-06-302019-06-302018-06-302017-06-302016-06-302015-06-302014-06-302013-06-302012-06-302011-06-302010-06-302009-06-302008-06-302007-06-302006-06-302005-06-302004-06-302003-06-302002-06-30
> Total Assets 
20,302
22,107
17,390
24,646
24,432
29,618
28,326
32,171
41,075
48,355
53,906
74,164
80,426
96,337
121,471
139,116
171,321
172,579
364,794
436,823
616,395
607,640
704,882
704,882607,640616,395436,823364,794172,579171,321139,116121,47196,33780,42674,16453,90648,35541,07532,17128,32629,61824,43224,64617,39022,10720,302
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
15,538
19,039
18,599
22,900
21,450
24,623
32,919
30,865
35,751
48,545
55,180
58,865
63,269
69,786
77,055
77,537
103,972
159,266
154,826
149,376
176,281
176,281149,376154,826159,266103,97277,53777,05569,78663,26958,86555,18048,54535,75130,86532,91924,62321,45022,90018,59919,03915,53800
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
3,949
8,547
8,581
6,684
6,292
7,846
7,451
11,498
17,312
17,552
20,691
26,441
35,903
33,680
37,038
39,944
36,585
36,284
63,037
106,892
74,620
89,251
61,331
61,33189,25174,620106,89263,03736,28436,58539,94437,03833,68035,90326,44120,69117,55217,31211,4987,4517,8466,2926,6848,5818,5473,949
       Short-term Investments 
14
12
0
1
1
46
24
0
696
6
1
1
8
561
44
95
1,453
25,684
44,984
56,847
40,000
40,000
50,000
50,00040,00040,00056,84744,98425,6841,45395445618116696024461101214
       Net Receivables 
117
203
240
2,176
944
797
623
639
610
757
808
6,397
164
235
197
196
1,863
1,108
2,571
1,694
3,550
1,763
2,102
2,1021,7633,5501,6942,5711,1081,8631961972351646,3978087576106396237979442,176240203117
       Other Current Assets 
481
59
294
291
378
1,019
611
877
430
303
602
1,137
92
177
143
506
2,432
2,548
2,091
3,947
6,131
3,807
4,802
4,8023,8076,1313,9472,0912,5482,432506143177921,1376023034308776111,01937829129459481
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
1,852
5,607
5,833
6,718
6,876
7,548
8,156
17,490
18,155
25,619
25,246
37,472
58,202
69,330
94,266
95,042
260,822
277,557
461,569
458,264
528,601
528,601458,264461,569277,557260,82295,04294,26669,33058,20237,47225,24625,61918,15517,4908,1567,5486,8766,7185,8335,6071,85200
       Property Plant Equipment 
9,039
1,619
1,556
2,888
3,136
3,965
3,991
4,388
4,662
13,707
14,573
22,047
22,868
35,094
55,493
66,847
91,888
92,664
251,403
269,532
327,887
322,998
365,249
365,249322,998327,887269,532251,40392,66491,88866,84755,49335,09422,86822,04714,57313,7074,6624,3883,9913,9653,1362,8881,5561,6199,039
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
2,100
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
90,589
90,589
118,172
118,17290,58990,5892,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,100000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,378
2,691
129,425
129,773
39,388
39,388129,773129,4252,6912,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,3782,378000
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-24,425
-25,246
-37,472
58,202
69,330
94,266
95,042
-253,781
-272,223
-457,312
-452,771
39,388
39,388-452,771-457,312-272,223-253,78195,04294,26669,33058,202-37,472-25,246-24,42500000000000
> Total Liabilities 
13,586
14,901
9,926
12,341
10,501
13,098
12,500
13,747
19,645
22,720
26,553
37,830
40,296
50,111
63,677
68,732
87,658
87,396
289,380
322,797
475,467
427,727
447,103
447,103427,727475,467322,797289,38087,39687,65868,73263,67750,11140,29637,83026,55322,72019,64513,74712,50013,09810,50112,3419,92614,90113,586
   > Total Current Liabilities 
8,739
14,841
9,839
12,088
10,415
13,045
12,361
13,536
19,359
18,987
22,744
28,478
31,153
35,565
40,384
45,370
68,678
61,169
98,177
135,960
190,278
134,360
154,031
154,031134,360190,278135,96098,17761,16968,67845,37040,38435,56531,15328,47822,74418,98719,35913,53612,36113,04510,41512,0889,83914,8418,739
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
2,185
6
0
46
1,291
0
696
6
1
1
8
561
44
95
20,362
13,600
25,734
42,809
56,300
37,863
39,987
39,98737,86356,30042,80925,73413,60020,3629544561811669601,29146062,18500
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,762
12,062
21,162
21,162
20,362
13,600
2,300
15,500
20,100
2,300
2,300
2,3002,30020,10015,5002,30013,60020,36221,16221,16212,0626,762000000000000
       Accounts payable 
3,884
3,944
1,155
1,321
1,347
2,596
2,982
2,887
4,873
4,712
4,528
5,548
6,138
7,112
6,248
7,603
11,578
11,194
11,027
11,542
17,516
10,132
26,396
26,39610,13217,51611,54211,02711,19411,5787,6036,2487,1126,1385,5484,5284,7124,8732,8872,9822,5961,3471,3211,1553,9443,884
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
232
250
393
623
91
77
163
207
408
979
1,209
1,379
1,250
1,338
3,125
2,953
3,405
3,222
3,593
6,260
86,169
86,835
86,83586,1696,2603,5933,2223,4052,9533,1251,3381,2501,3791,20997940820716377916233932502320
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
87
253
86
53
139
211
286
3,733
3,809
9,352
9,143
14,546
23,293
23,362
18,980
26,227
191,203
186,837
285,189
293,367
293,072
293,072293,367285,189186,837191,20326,22718,98023,36223,29314,5469,1439,3523,8093,73328621113953862538700
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
21,162
21,162
13,300
20,062
189,131
184,171
273,298
280,302
0
0280,302273,298184,171189,13120,06213,30021,16221,16200000000000000
       Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt
0
0
-2,185
-6
0
-46
-1,291
0
-696
-6
-1
-1
-8
-561
-44
-95
-20,362
-13,600
155,469
150,509
181,636
188,615
208,698
208,698188,615181,636150,509155,469-13,600-20,362-95-44-561-8-1-1-6-6960-1,291-460-6-2,18500
> Total Stockholder Equity
6,715
7,206
7,464
12,305
13,931
16,520
15,826
18,424
21,430
25,635
27,353
36,334
40,130
46,226
57,794
70,384
83,663
85,183
75,414
114,026
140,928
179,913
257,779
257,779179,913140,928114,02675,41485,18383,66370,38457,79446,22640,13036,33427,35325,63521,43018,42415,82616,52013,93112,3057,4647,2066,715
   Common Stock
12
12
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
3,364
58,211
58,2113,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3643,3641212
   Retained Earnings 
50
1,606
4,022
8,863
10,489
13,078
12,384
15,176
17,926
22,244
23,978
32,285
36,801
42,538
54,918
67,044
78,863
81,289
76,088
109,704
136,026
176,358
200,270
200,270176,358136,026109,70476,08881,28978,86367,04454,91842,53836,80132,28523,97822,24417,92615,17612,38413,07810,4898,8634,0221,60650
   Capital Surplus 00000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock00000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-35
324
-706
-24
1,436
530
-4,038
958
1,538
-179,722
0
0-179,7221,538958-4,0385301,436-24-706324-35000000000000



5.4. Balance Sheets

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.




5.5. Cash Flows

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.




5.6. Income Statements

Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.


5.7. Latest Income Statement

Income Statement (annual), 2024-06-30. Currency in AUD. All numbers in thousands.

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue468,189
Cost of Revenue-279,337
Gross Profit188,852188,852
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit188,852
Operating Expense-61,290
Operating Income127,562127,562
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative95,475
Selling And Marketing Expenses26,168
Operating Expense61,290121,643
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income3,400
Interest Expense-15,102
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-11,702
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income127,562
Net Interest Income-11,702
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)116,434138,690
EBIT - interestExpense = 112,460
116,434
95,714
Interest Expense15,102
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)127,562131,536
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)172,972
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax116,434
Tax Provision-35,822
Net Income From Continuing Ops80,61280,612
Net Income80,612
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses340,627
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-11,12811,702
 

Technical Analysis of Nick Scali Ltd
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Nick Scali Ltd. The general trend of Nick Scali Ltd is BULLISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Nick Scali Ltd's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (100.0%) Bearish trend (-100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Nick Scali Ltd.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: .

The bearish price targets are: 15.71 > 15.71 > 15.54.

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Nick Scali Ltd Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Nick Scali Ltd. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 14/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Nick Scali Ltd Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current macd is 0.35412195.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 1/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -2/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Nick Scali Ltd price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Nick Scali Ltd. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Nick Scali Ltd price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current adx is 24.56.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 1/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Nick Scali Ltd shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. Also, the ADX is declining so there is no trend indication.
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Nick Scali Ltd. The current sar is 16.73.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
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3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current rsi is 54.06. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 3/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 2/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Nick Scali Ltd. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Nick Scali Ltd price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current cci is 19.99.

Nick Scali Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current cmo is -0.15095598.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Nick Scali Ltd. The current willr is -51.83832371.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 0/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR between -80 and -20: The Williams %R is between -80 and -20. This indicates that Nick Scali Ltd is trading in a neutral price range, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting a balanced market condition without any extreme price signals.
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Williams %R ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Williams %R Chart
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4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Nick Scali Ltd.

Nick Scali Ltd Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current atr is 0.40864833.

Nick Scali Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
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5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current obv is 3,842,756.

Nick Scali Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Nick Scali Ltd. The current mfi is 81.26.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 2/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 2/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
  • MFI > 80: +1
Nick Scali Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartNick Scali Ltd Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
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6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Nick Scali Ltd.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-05-20SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-05-22CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-05-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-28WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-05-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-05-31MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-06-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-05WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-06-06MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-07CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-06-11DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-06-12DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-06-17MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-06-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-19MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-06-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-06-24CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-06-25CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-06-26CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-06-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-01MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-07-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-07-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-12MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-07-19CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-07-23ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-07-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-07-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-07-31BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-08-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-02RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-08-06CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-08-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-09DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-08-12SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-08-13SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-14CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-08-16SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-08-20DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-08-21DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-08-22DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-08-23MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-08-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-02MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-09-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-09-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-09-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-09-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-09-12DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-09-18MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-09-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-09-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-09-25ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-09-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-10-02RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-10-04MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Nick Scali Ltd Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Nick Scali Ltd based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5054.057
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5015.656
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10015.159
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20014.400
OpenGreater thanClose15.720
Total4/5 (80.0%)
Penke
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