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Splunk Inc
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Splunk together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Splunk Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Splunk Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Splunk (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Splunk? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
20.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$4.39
Expected worth in 1 year
$24.59
How sure are you?
60.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$20.20
Return On Investment
12.9%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$156.90
Expected price per share
$152.77 - $
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Splunk (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$156.90

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$27.86 - $134.58

Total Value Per Share

$32.25 - $138.97

2. Growth of Splunk (5 min.)




Is Splunk growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$740.6m-$110.5m$851.1m114.9%

How much money is Splunk making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$263.7m-$277.8m$541.5m205.4%
Net Profit Margin6.3%-7.6%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Splunk (5 min.)




What can you expect buying and holding a share of Splunk? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Splunk's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Splunk.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Splunk?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Splunk. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Splunk is $156.90. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Splunk.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Splunk, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $4.39. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $5.05 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-1.98 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Splunk.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps1.561.0%1.561.0%-1.65-1.1%-3.08-2.0%-2.36-1.5%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share5.053.2%5.053.2%-1.98-1.3%-0.93-0.6%-0.030.0%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%1.330.8%0.670.4%
Usd Total Gains Per Share5.053.2%5.053.2%-1.98-1.3%0.410.3%0.640.4%
Usd Price Per Share153.37-153.37-95.77-138.67-106.64-
Price to Earnings Ratio98.01-98.01--58.09--16.81--31.60-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio30.37-30.37--48.43--22.28-28.63-
Price to Book Ratio34.90-34.90--146.06-2.63-7.26-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio30.37-30.37--48.43--22.28-28.63-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share156.9
Number of shares6
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.001.33
Usd Book Value Change Per Share5.05-0.93
Usd Total Gains Per Share5.050.41
Gains per Quarter (6 shares)30.302.43
Gains per Year (6 shares)121.209.73
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1012111132-220
2024223264-4410
3036435396-6720
40485474128-8930
50606595160-11140
60727716192-13350
70848837224-15560
80970958256-17870
9010911079287-20080
10012121200319-22290

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%1.02.00.033.3%1.04.00.020.0%1.09.00.010.0%1.014.00.06.7%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%1.02.00.033.3%2.03.00.040.0%6.04.00.060.0%9.06.00.060.0%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%1.00.02.033.3%2.00.03.040.0%2.00.08.020.0%2.00.013.013.3%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%1.02.00.033.3%2.03.00.040.0%6.04.00.060.0%9.06.00.060.0%

Fundamentals of Splunk

About Splunk Inc

Splunk Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and markets cloud services and licensed software solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers unified security and observability platform, including Splunk Security that helps security leaders fortify their organization's digital resilience by mitigating cyber risk and meeting compliance requirements; and Splunk Observability, which provides visibility across the full stack of infrastructure, applications, and the digital customer experience. It also provides application programming interfaces, software development kits, and other interfaces that enables its network of third-party developers, partners, and customers to build content, including pre-built data inputs, workflows, searches, reports, alerts, custom dashboards, flexible user interface components, custom data visualizations, and integration actions and methods that configures and extends its solutions to accommodate specific use cases. In addition, the company offers adoption and implementation, education, and customer support services. It sells its offerings directly through field and inside sales, and indirectly through various routes to market with various partners. Splunk Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. As of March 18, 2024, Splunk Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Cisco Systems, Inc.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-12 18:57:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a profit.
Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating less efficient.
The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is expensive.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced.

1.1. Profitability of Splunk Inc.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Splunk earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 6.3% means that $0.06 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 6.3%. The company is making a profit. +1
  • The TTM is 6.3%. The company is making a profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ6.3%TTM6.3%0.0%
TTM6.3%YOY-7.6%+13.9%
TTM6.3%5Y-21.3%+27.5%
5Y-21.3%10Y-26.9%+5.6%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Splunk is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • 3.9% Return on Assets means that Splunk generated $0.04 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 3.9%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 3.9%. Using its assets, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ3.9%TTM3.9%0.0%
TTM3.9%YOY-4.4%+8.3%
TTM3.9%5Y-9.0%+13.0%
5Y-9.0%10Y-12.0%+2.9%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Splunk is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • 35.6% Return on Equity means Splunk generated $0.36 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 35.6%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 35.6%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ35.6%TTM35.6%0.0%
TTM35.6%YOY-+35.6%
TTM35.6%5Y-127.9%+163.5%
5Y-127.9%10Y-78.4%-49.5%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Splunk Inc.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Splunk is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Splunk makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 8.5% means the company generated $0.08  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 8.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
  • The TTM is 8.5%. The company is operating less efficient.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.5%TTM8.5%0.0%
TTM8.5%YOY-6.4%+14.9%
TTM8.5%5Y-17.6%+26.1%
5Y-17.6%10Y-24.7%+7.1%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Splunk is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Infrastructure industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.92 means that the operating costs are $0.92 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.915. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
  • The TTM is 0.915. The company is less efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.915TTM0.9150.000
TTM0.915YOY1.064-0.149
TTM0.9155Y1.176-0.261
5Y1.17610Y1.249-0.073

1.3. Liquidity of Splunk Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Splunk is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Infrastructure industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.57 means the company has $1.57 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.567. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.567. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.567TTM1.5670.000
TTM1.567YOY1.275+0.291
TTM1.5675Y1.740-0.174
5Y1.74010Y2.160-0.420
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Splunk is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.64 means the company can pay off $1.64 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.644. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
  • The TTM is 1.644. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.644TTM1.6440.000
TTM1.644YOY1.622+0.022
TTM1.6445Y1.914-0.270
5Y1.91410Y2.718-0.804

1.4. Solvency of Splunk Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Splunk assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.89 means that Splunk assets are financed with 88.9% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 88.9%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.889. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
  • The TTM is 0.889. The company is just able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.889TTM0.8890.000
TTM0.889YOY1.017-0.128
TTM0.8895Y0.846+0.043
5Y0.84610Y0.668+0.178
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Splunk is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 803.0% means that company has $8.03 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The MRQ is 8.030. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
  • The TTM is 8.030. The company is unable to pay all its debts with equity. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.030TTM8.0300.000
TTM8.030YOY-+8.030
TTM8.0305Y7.485+0.544
5Y7.48510Y4.273+3.212

2. Market Valuation of Splunk Inc

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Splunk generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Splunk to the Software - Infrastructure industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 98.01 means the investor is paying $98.01 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The EOD is 100.267. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 98.011. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 98.011. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD100.267MRQ98.011+2.256
MRQ98.011TTM98.0110.000
TTM98.011YOY-58.090+156.101
TTM98.0115Y-16.807+114.818
5Y-16.80710Y-31.600+14.794
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The EOD is 26.829. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 26.225. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 26.225. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD26.829MRQ26.225+0.604
MRQ26.225TTM26.2250.000
TTM26.225YOY37.781-11.555
TTM26.2255Y15.166+11.059
5Y15.16610Y45.086-29.920
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Splunk is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Software - Infrastructure industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 34.90 means the investor is paying $34.90 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Splunk Inc:

  • The EOD is 35.705. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 34.902. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 34.902. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD35.705MRQ34.902+0.803
MRQ34.902TTM34.9020.000
TTM34.902YOY-146.055+180.957
TTM34.9025Y2.627+32.275
5Y2.62710Y7.263-4.636
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Splunk Inc.

3.1. Institutions holding Splunk Inc

Institutions are holding 87.964% of the shares of Splunk Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Vanguard Group Inc9.70880.0545163631263075521.9155
2023-12-31H&F Corporate Investors X, Ltd.7.59461001279982200
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc7.04190.0461118684231439891.2281
2023-12-31PRIMECAP Management Company6.421.305110820268-231200-2.092
2023-12-31HBK INVESTMENTS L P2.74353.677246239133400813278.0486
2023-12-31Fidelity International Ltd2.72120.73414586306212181186.0952
2023-12-31Pentwater Capital Management LP2.40896.93444060000152700060.2842
2023-12-31State Street Corporation2.28920.02863858258223450.5825
2023-12-31NORGES BANK1.47540.066224867111511891155.0944
2023-12-31Geode Capital Management, LLC1.45560.039124532841584196.9032
2023-12-31Millennium Management LLC1.24310.138120950951110212112.7253
2023-12-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts1.11670.0253188211753756739.9812
2023-12-31Qube Research & Technologies1.07190.535718065871361920306.2786
2023-12-31Balyasny Asset Management LLC1.02490.494217273361050975155.3867
2023-12-31Tudor Investment Corp Et AL0.99062.0484166960952030145.2708
2023-12-31Soros Fund Management LLC0.93753.148115800011005039174.8009
2023-12-31Jericho Capital Asset Management LP0.82716.5019139400000
2023-12-31Barclays PLC0.81960.0772138136414369611.6102
2023-12-31Bank of America Corp0.79640.02061342326-492396-26.8376
2023-12-31UBS Asset Mgmt Americas Inc0.79530.08031340411-1128043-45.6984
Total 53.4822125.955190138957+13071891+14.5%

3.2. Funds holding Splunk Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-02-29Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv3.13110.05325277142-10672-0.2018
2023-12-31Vanguard PRIMECAP Inv2.33170.8478392980800
2024-02-29Vanguard Mid Cap Index Institutional2.23450.36743766096-9976-0.2642
2023-12-31Vanguard Capital Opportunity Inv1.61521.97522722200-1000-0.0367
2024-02-29Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr1.36240.35152296119158040.6931
2024-02-29Fidelity Global Technology A-Dis-EUR1.15961.424195437416940.0868
2023-12-31PRIMECAP Odyssey Aggressive Growth1.01053.61021703110-9400-0.5489
2024-02-29BlackRock Event Driven Equity Instl0.93114.343115692541101007.5455
2024-02-29Vanguard Growth Index Investor0.92970.11011566936138170.8896
2023-12-31PRIMECAP Odyssey Growth0.90043.37561517555-87700-5.4633
2024-02-29Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth ETF0.71740.7807120904871700.5966
2023-12-31Fidelity Canadian Large Cap Sr B0.61352.94661034000340003.4
2024-02-29Vanguard Information Technology ETF0.60880.21051026006142871.4122
2024-02-29State St Russell Sm/Mid Cp® Indx NL Cl C0.5620.3542947239217002.3446
2023-12-31The Merger Fund A0.56145.3386946148624048193.7436
2024-02-29Fidelity Extended Market Index0.51680.354787098663930.7394
2024-02-29Fidelity Canadian Large Cp Mlt Ast Bs O0.41534.622970000000
2023-08-31CS (Lux) Robotics Equity SB USD0.3594.242860500000
2023-12-31Blackrock Russ 1000 Eq Idx Composite0.28120.05394739134739130
2023-12-31Man GLG Event Driven Alternative IN USD0.27869.076246951544040.9469
Total 20.520244.439234584449+1208582+3.5%

3.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 0.447% of the shares of Splunk Inc.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-01-09Scott MorganSELL5017152.28
2023-11-14Scott MorganSELL4000151.1
2023-10-09Scott MorganSELL5000146.78
2023-10-02Christian SmithSELL1500146.27
2023-09-21Scott MorganSELL4000144.5
2023-09-18Gary SteeleSELL9600120.08
2023-08-30Elisa SteeleSELL2812120
2023-08-24Elisa SteeleSELL3050112
2023-07-10Scott MorganSELL4996104.19
2023-07-07Gary SteeleSELL9600104.47
2023-07-03Christian SmithSELL1500105.64
2023-07-03Elisa SteeleSELL288105.64

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Splunk Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--5.0505.0500%-1.977+139%-0.925+118%-0.026+101%
Book Value Per Share--4.3944.3940%-0.656+115%5.276-17%5.682-23%
Current Ratio--1.5671.5670%1.275+23%1.740-10%2.160-27%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.8890.8890%1.017-13%0.846+5%0.668+33%
Debt To Equity Ratio--8.0308.0300%-+100%7.485+7%4.273+88%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%1.331-100%0.666-100%
Eps--1.5651.5650%-1.649+205%-3.083+297%-2.364+251%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--5.8485.8480%2.535+131%1.053+456%1.040+462%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.020-0.0200%1.837-101%-0.087+336%1.480-101%
Gross Profit Margin---5.336-5.3360%6.836-178%2.174-345%2.797-291%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--134.579--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--27.858--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--5.279--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--1.497--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--22.115--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--5.646--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--46.493--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--11.021--------
Market Cap26443770355.200+2%25848827656.96025848827656.9600%16140980796.160+60%23371304239.360+11%17972325657.088+44%
Net Profit Margin--0.0630.0630%-0.076+222%-0.213+440%-0.269+531%
Operating Margin--0.0850.0850%-0.064+176%-0.176+308%-0.247+393%
Operating Ratio--0.9150.9150%1.064-14%1.176-22%1.249-27%
Pb Ratio35.705+2%34.90234.9020%-146.055+518%2.627+1228%7.263+381%
Pe Ratio100.267+2%98.01198.0110%-58.090+159%-16.807+117%-31.600+132%
Price Per Share156.900+2%153.370153.3700%95.770+60%138.670+11%106.636+44%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio26.829+2%26.22526.2250%37.781-31%15.166+73%45.086-42%
Price To Total Gains Ratio31.069+2%30.37030.3700%-48.430+259%-22.276+173%28.631+6%
Quick Ratio--1.6441.6440%1.622+1%1.914-14%2.718-40%
Return On Assets--0.0390.0390%-0.044+211%-0.090+329%-0.120+403%
Return On Equity--0.3560.3560%-+100%-1.279+459%-0.784+320%
Total Gains Per Share--5.0505.0500%-1.977+139%0.406+1145%0.639+690%
Usd Book Value--740609000.000740609000.0000%-110513000.000+115%889260200.000-17%957597500.000-23%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--5.0505.0500%-1.977+139%-0.925+118%-0.026+101%
Usd Book Value Per Share--4.3944.3940%-0.656+115%5.276-17%5.682-23%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%1.331-100%0.666-100%
Usd Eps--1.5651.5650%-1.649+205%-3.083+297%-2.364+251%
Usd Free Cash Flow--985646000.000985646000.0000%427228000.000+131%177395000.000+456%175347500.000+462%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--5.8485.8480%2.535+131%1.053+456%1.040+462%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.020-0.0200%1.837-101%-0.087+336%1.480-101%
Usd Market Cap26443770355.200+2%25848827656.96025848827656.9600%16140980796.160+60%23371304239.360+11%17972325657.088+44%
Usd Price Per Share156.900+2%153.370153.3700%95.770+60%138.670+11%106.636+44%
Usd Profit--263733999.000263733999.0000%-277862000.000+205%-519574600.200+297%-398363000.100+251%
Usd Revenue--4215595000.0004215595000.0000%3653708000.000+15%3026255600.000+39%2027434100.000+108%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--5.0505.0500%-1.977+139%0.406+1145%0.639+690%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+27 -75Y+22 -1410Y+21 -15

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Splunk Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15100.267
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-135.705
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.063
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.085
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.644
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.567
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.889
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than18.030
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.356
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.039
Total6/10 (60.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Splunk Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5080.024
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50156.097
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100154.435
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200152.294
OpenGreater thanClose156.950
Total5/5 (100.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2020-01-312021-01-312022-01-312023-01-312024-01-31
Income before Tax  -331,651-569,397-901,048-419,735-1,320,7831,055,332-265,451562,622297,171
Net Income  -336,668-571,312-907,980-431,117-1,339,0971,061,235-277,862541,596263,734
EBIT  -287,137-493,049-780,186-366,643-1,146,829911,323-235,506592,130356,624
EBITDA  -167,741-516,565-684,306-362,734-1,047,040927,085-119,955565,254445,299
Operating Income  -287,137-493,049-780,186-366,643-1,146,829911,323-235,506592,130356,624



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-01-31. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets6,687,356
Total Liabilities5,946,747
Total Stockholder Equity740,609
 As reported
Total Liabilities 5,946,747
Total Stockholder Equity+ 740,609
Total Assets = 6,687,356

Assets

Total Assets6,687,356
Total Current Assets4,006,953
Long-term Assets2,680,403
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 1,643,141
Short-term Investments 360,412
Net Receivables 1,840,928
Other Current Assets 162,472
Total Current Assets  (as reported)4,006,953
Total Current Assets  (calculated)4,006,953
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 216,295
Goodwill 1,416,920
Long-term Assets Other 449,384
Long-term Assets  (as reported)2,680,403
Long-term Assets  (calculated)2,082,599
+/- 597,804

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities2,557,894
Long-term Liabilities3,388,853
Total Stockholder Equity740,609
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 0
Accounts payable 34,715
Other Current Liabilities 542,563
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)2,557,894
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)577,278
+/- 1,980,616
Long-term Liabilities
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)3,388,853
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)0
+/- 3,388,853
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock177
Retained Earnings -3,523,001
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -1,203
Other Stockholders Equity 4,264,636
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)740,609
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)740,609
+/-0
Other
Cash and Short Term Investments 2,003,553
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 167,136
Current Deferred Revenue1,980,616
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 6,687,356
Net Debt 1,618,431
Net Working Capital 1,449,059
Short Long Term Debt Total 3,261,572



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-01-312023-01-312022-01-312021-01-312020-01-312019-01-312018-01-312017-01-312016-01-312015-01-312014-01-312013-01-312012-01-312011-01-312010-01-312009-01-312008-01-312007-01-31
> Total Assets 
6,800
26,600
18,500
21,915
38,791
82,223
390,445
1,040,331
1,247,791
1,536,839
1,718,546
2,139,445
4,500,243
5,439,471
5,868,486
5,790,875
6,343,923
6,687,356
6,687,3566,343,9235,790,8755,868,4865,439,4714,500,2432,139,4451,718,5461,536,8391,247,7911,040,331390,44582,22338,79121,91518,50026,6006,800
   > Total Current Assets 
0
0
0
19,315
35,192
70,355
376,748
992,820
999,833
1,217,269
1,360,373
1,684,035
3,378,463
2,822,815
3,272,380
3,276,887
3,870,684
4,006,953
4,006,9533,870,6843,276,8873,272,3802,822,8153,378,4631,684,0351,360,3731,217,269999,833992,820376,74870,35535,19219,315000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
4,900
23,400
9,600
11,805
19,737
31,599
305,939
897,453
387,315
424,541
421,346
545,947
1,876,165
778,653
1,771,064
1,428,691
690,587
1,643,141
1,643,141690,5871,428,6911,771,064778,6531,876,165545,947421,346424,541387,315897,453305,93931,59919,73711,8059,60023,4004,900
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
462,849
584,498
662,096
619,203
881,220
976,508
87,847
286,337
1,316,347
360,412
360,4121,316,347286,33787,847976,508881,220619,203662,096584,498462,84900000000
       Net Receivables 
0
0
0
6,590
14,148
34,495
63,948
83,348
128,413
181,665
238,281
396,413
469,658
838,743
1,114,199
1,306,666
1,600,591
1,840,928
1,840,9281,600,5911,306,6661,114,199838,743469,658396,413238,281181,665128,41383,34863,94834,49514,1486,590000
       Other Current Assets 
0
0
0
920
1,307
4,261
6,861
12,019
21,256
26,565
38,650
122,472
151,420
228,911
299,270
255,193
291,146
162,472
162,472291,146255,193299,270228,911151,420122,47238,65026,56521,25612,0196,8614,2611,307920000
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
2,600
3,599
11,868
13,697
47,511
247,958
319,570
358,173
455,410
1,121,780
2,616,656
2,596,106
2,513,988
2,445,252
2,680,403
2,680,4032,445,2522,513,9882,596,1062,616,6561,121,780455,410358,173319,570247,95847,51113,69711,8683,5992,600000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
1,762
2,418
8,919
13,205
15,505
50,374
134,995
166,395
160,880
158,276
424,014
539,076
354,098
295,521
216,295
216,295295,521354,098539,076424,014158,276160,880166,395134,99550,37415,50513,2058,9192,4181,762000
       Goodwill 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
19,070
19,070
123,318
124,642
161,382
503,388
1,292,840
1,334,888
1,401,628
1,416,920
1,416,920
1,416,9201,416,9201,401,6281,334,8881,292,840503,388161,382124,642123,31819,07019,0700000000
       Long Term Investments 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
165,082
1,500
5,000
5,375
110,588
504,304
13,728
46,431
41,700
0
041,70046,43113,728504,304110,5885,3755,0001,500165,08200000000
       Intangible Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12,294
10,416
49,482
37,713
48,142
91,622
238,415
206,153
164,769
119,588
0
0119,588164,769206,153238,41591,62248,14237,71349,48210,41612,2940000000
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
838
1,181
2,949
492
642
3,016
10,275
24,423
41,711
193,140
68,093
85,422
547,062
571,523
449,384
449,384571,523547,06285,42268,093193,14041,71124,42310,2753,0166424922,9491,181838000
> Total Liabilities 
0
0
0
57,161
75,294
80,823
152,901
255,423
434,470
677,425
913,385
1,008,124
2,979,786
3,440,042
4,274,481
5,568,104
6,454,436
5,946,747
5,946,7476,454,4365,568,1044,274,4813,440,0422,979,7861,008,124913,385677,425434,470255,423152,90180,82375,29457,161000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
15,377
31,123
69,213
116,959
207,854
346,648
497,766
667,373
730,949
1,045,138
1,312,296
1,524,748
2,098,742
3,035,670
2,557,894
2,557,8943,035,6702,098,7421,524,7481,312,2961,045,138730,949667,373497,766346,648207,854116,95969,21331,12315,377000
       Short-term Debt 
0
0
0
173
173
982
0
0
0
0
0
7,471
0
0
66,374
44,036
775,656
0
0775,65644,03666,374007,47100000982173173000
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
74,779
0
0
0
0
775,656
0
0775,656000074,77900000000000
       Accounts payable 
0
0
0
837
1,442
1,455
1,632
2,079
3,726
4,868
7,503
11,040
20,418
18,938
9,319
59,206
15,299
34,715
34,71515,29959,2069,31918,93820,41811,0407,5034,8683,7262,0791,6321,4551,442837000
       Other Current Liabilities 
0
0
0
3,727
10,008
23,853
35,759
56,619
93,039
145,777
181,163
222,525
351,702
463,981
418,571
610,895
587,030
542,563
542,563587,030610,895418,571463,981351,702222,525181,163145,77793,03956,61935,75923,85310,0083,727000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
41,784
44,171
11,610
35,942
47,569
87,822
179,659
246,012
277,175
1,934,648
2,127,746
2,749,733
3,469,362
3,418,766
3,388,853
3,388,8533,418,7663,469,3622,749,7332,127,7461,934,648277,175246,012179,65987,82247,56935,94211,61044,17141,784000
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,634,474
1,714,630
2,302,635
3,137,731
3,099,289
0
03,099,2893,137,7312,302,6351,714,6301,634,474000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
4,222
12,436
35,942
47,569
87,822
179,659
246,012
277,175
216,774
177,485
116,128
106,075
117,209
0
0117,209106,075116,128177,485216,774277,175246,012179,65987,82247,56935,94212,4364,2220000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
35,144
43,165
54,202
102,382
146,752
269,954
64,766
88,990
69,637
200,876
91,102
0
091,102200,87669,63788,99064,766269,954146,752102,38254,20243,16535,144000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
-9,700
-16,700
-30,800
-35,246
-36,503
1,400
237,544
784,908
813,321
859,414
805,161
1,131,321
1,520,457
1,999,429
1,594,005
222,771
-110,513
740,609
740,609-110,513222,7711,594,0051,999,4291,520,4571,131,321805,161859,414813,321784,908237,5441,400-36,503-35,246-30,800-16,700-9,700
   Common Stock
0
0
0
17
19
80
101
116
123
132
137
143
149
157
163
167
171
177
177171167163157149143137132123116101801917000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0-3,786,735-3,808,548-2,469,451-1,561,471-1,232,044-1,279,887-1,020,784-665,595-386,823-169,707-90,699000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
-19,400
-33,400
-61,600
-2,603
2
-24
-135
58
-837
-3,770
-3,013
156
-2,506
-5,312
-592
-1,199
-6,363
-1,203
-1,203-6,363-1,199-592-5,312-2,506156-3,013-3,770-83758-135-242-2,603-61,600-33,400-19,400
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
0
0
0
328,277
954,441
1,200,858
1,528,647
1,828,821
2,086,893
2,754,858
3,566,055
4,063,885
5,032,351
4,671,776
0
04,671,7765,032,3514,063,8853,566,0552,754,8582,086,8931,828,8211,528,6471,200,858954,441328,277000000
   Treasury Stock0-989,362-1,000,000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
9,700
16,700
30,800
3,957
6,502
55,362
-62,168
954,441
1,200,858
1,528,647
1,828,821
2,086,893
2,754,858
3,566,055
4,063,885
4,032,351
3,682,414
4,264,636
4,264,6363,682,4144,032,3514,063,8853,566,0552,754,8582,086,8931,828,8211,528,6471,200,858954,441-62,16855,3626,5023,95730,80016,7009,700



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2024-01-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue4,215,595
Cost of Revenue-865,507
Gross Profit3,350,0883,350,088
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit3,350,088
Operating Expense-2,993,464
Operating Income356,624356,624
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development918,834
Selling General Administrative508,393
Selling And Marketing Expenses1,671,102
Operating Expense2,993,4643,098,329
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-42,505
Other Finance Cost-42,505
Net Interest Income0
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income356,624
Net Interest Income0
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)297,171416,077
EBIT - interestExpense = 314,119
297,171
306,239
Interest Expense42,505
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)356,624339,676
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)445,299
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax297,171
Tax Provision-0
Net Income From Continuing Ops0297,171
Net Income263,734
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses3,858,971
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-59,4530
 

Technical Analysis of Splunk
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Splunk. The general trend of Splunk is BULLISH with 100.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Splunk's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (100.0%) Bearish trend (-100.0%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Splunk Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: .

The bearish price targets are: 153.88 > 153.12 > 152.77.

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Splunk Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Splunk Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 14/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 14/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Splunk Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Splunk Inc. The current macd is 0.670312.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 2/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Splunk price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Splunk. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Splunk price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartSplunk Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Splunk Inc. The current adx is 67.63.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 3/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 3/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Splunk shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending down: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bullish trend. The ADX is declining, the bullish trend is weakening. Could be a potential reversal to the downside. +2
Splunk Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Splunk Inc. The current sar is 156.14.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Splunk Inc. The current rsi is 80.02. The current phase is Overbought in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/(-13 +13).

  • Overbought in bull market: Short-term excessive buying, potential for pullback. Consider taking profits, be cautious of potential correction. -1
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartSplunk Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Splunk Inc. The current phase is Overbought in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 6/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 6/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH > 80: The STOCH %K is above 80 and overbought. +2
  • STOCH %K line > STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is above the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Splunk price going up in the near term. +2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartSplunk Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Splunk Inc. The current cci is 138.02.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI > 100: The CCI is above 100, it indicates that the price is significantly above its average, suggesting a potential overbought condition. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartSplunk Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Splunk Inc. The current cmo is 59.96.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartSplunk Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Splunk Inc. The current willr is -4.79452055.

The long score for the Williams %R is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR > -20: The Williams %R is above -20. This indicates that the price is in overbought territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the downside. +1
Splunk Inc Daily Williams %R ChartSplunk Inc Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Splunk Inc.

Splunk Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Splunk Inc. The current atr is 0.34946108.

Splunk Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartSplunk Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Splunk Inc. The current obv is 21,324,194.

Splunk Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartSplunk Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Splunk Inc. The current mfi is 68.78.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Splunk Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartSplunk Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Splunk Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-10-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-10-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-10-31STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-01SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-11-02CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-11-03CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-11-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-11-09CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-11-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-14SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-11-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-11-20MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2023-11-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-24STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-11-27MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-29RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2023-11-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-06STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-11STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-12WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-13CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-15BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-20CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-26CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-12-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-02SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-09CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-11SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-19WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-23MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-01-24MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-01-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-29MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-30MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-02STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-09MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-02-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-15WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-23MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-02-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-28CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-01STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-03-04STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-05CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-03-06STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-14SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-15SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Splunk Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Splunk Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5080.024
Ma 20Greater thanMa 50156.097
Ma 50Greater thanMa 100154.435
Ma 100Greater thanMa 200152.294
OpenGreater thanClose156.950
Total5/5 (100.0%)
Penke

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