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Tillys Inc
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Tillys together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Tillys Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Tillys Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Tillys (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Tillys? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
70.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$4.85
Expected worth in 1 year
$0.89
How sure are you?
80.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$-3.96
Return On Investment
-65.3%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$6.07
Expected price per share
$5.345 - $6.87
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Tillys (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$6.07

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$-20.26 - $2.11

Total Value Per Share

$-15.41 - $6.96

2. Growth of Tillys (5 min.)




Is Tillys growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$144.8m$177.2m-$32.3m-22.3%

How much money is Tillys making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$34.4m$9.6m-$44.1m-128.1%
Net Profit Margin-5.5%1.4%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Tillys (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Apparel Retail industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Apparel Retail)  


Richest
#52 / 89

Most Revenue
#55 / 89

Most Profit
#74 / 89

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Tillys? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Tillys's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Tillys.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Tillys?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Tillys. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Tillys is $6.07. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Tillys.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Tillys, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $4.85. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.99 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $0.23 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Tillys.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps-1.16-19.0%-1.16-19.0%0.335.5%0.396.5%0.457.4%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.99-16.3%-0.99-16.3%0.233.8%-0.13-2.1%-0.02-0.3%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%1.0216.8%1.0016.4%0.7712.7%
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.99-16.3%-0.99-16.3%1.2520.6%0.8714.3%0.7512.4%
Usd Price Per Share7.69-7.69-8.68-9.18-10.19-
Price to Earnings Ratio-6.65--6.65-26.09--46.70--11.35-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-7.76--7.76-6.95-4.48-4.72-
Price to Book Ratio1.58-1.58-1.49-1.69-1.81-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio-7.76--7.76-6.95-4.48-4.72-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share6.07
Number of shares164
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.001.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.99-0.13
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.990.87
Gains per Quarter (164 shares)-162.45142.85
Gains per Year (164 shares)-649.80571.40
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-650-660654-83561
20-1300-13101309-1661132
30-1949-19601963-2491703
40-2599-26102618-3322274
50-3249-32603272-4152845
60-3899-39103927-4983416
70-4549-45604581-5813987
80-5198-52105236-6654558
90-5848-58605890-7485129
100-6498-65106545-8315700

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share0.01.00.00.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%8.02.00.080.0%13.02.00.086.7%
Book Value Change Per Share0.01.00.00.0%2.01.00.066.7%3.02.00.060.0%6.04.00.060.0%10.05.00.066.7%
Dividend per Share0.00.01.00.0%2.00.01.066.7%4.00.01.080.0%7.00.03.070.0%11.00.04.073.3%
Total Gains per Share0.01.00.00.0%2.01.00.066.7%4.01.00.080.0%8.02.00.080.0%12.03.00.080.0%

Fundamentals of Tillys

About Tillys Inc

Tilly's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise includes tops, outerwear, bottoms, swim, and dresses; and accessories merchandise comprises backpacks, hydration bottles, hats, sunglasses, small electronics and accessories, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. The company sells its merchandise through its stores and e-commerce website, www.tillys.com. Tilly's, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-26 14:29:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just not able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Tillys Inc.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Tillys earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of -5.5% means that $-0.06 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is -5.5%. The company is making a loss. -1
  • The TTM is -5.5%. The company is making a loss. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-5.5%TTM-5.5%0.0%
TTM-5.5%YOY1.4%-7.0%
TTM-5.5%5Y1.5%-7.1%
5Y1.5%10Y2.0%-0.5%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-5.5%3.5%-9.0%
TTM-5.5%3.2%-8.7%
YOY1.4%4.3%-2.9%
5Y1.5%0.9%+0.6%
10Y2.0%2.0%+0.0%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Tillys is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • -7.1% Return on Assets means that Tillys generated $-0.07 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is -7.1%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -7.1%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-7.1%TTM-7.1%0.0%
TTM-7.1%YOY2.0%-9.1%
TTM-7.1%5Y2.3%-9.4%
5Y2.3%10Y3.7%-1.4%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-7.1%1.2%-8.3%
TTM-7.1%0.8%-7.9%
YOY2.0%1.6%+0.4%
5Y2.3%0.9%+1.4%
10Y3.7%1.5%+2.2%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Tillys is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • -23.8% Return on Equity means Tillys generated $-0.24 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is -23.8%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
  • The TTM is -23.8%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-23.8%TTM-23.8%0.0%
TTM-23.8%YOY5.5%-29.3%
TTM-23.8%5Y6.4%-30.2%
5Y6.4%10Y7.6%-1.2%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-23.8%4.2%-28.0%
TTM-23.8%2.2%-26.0%
YOY5.5%4.5%+1.0%
5Y6.4%1.8%+4.6%
10Y7.6%2.8%+4.8%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Tillys Inc.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Tillys is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Tillys makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of -4.4% means the company generated $-0.04  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is -4.4%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
  • The TTM is -4.4%. The company is operating very inefficient. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-4.4%TTM-4.4%0.0%
TTM-4.4%YOY1.7%-6.1%
TTM-4.4%5Y2.5%-6.9%
5Y2.5%10Y3.3%-0.8%
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ-4.4%6.1%-10.5%
TTM-4.4%3.6%-8.0%
YOY1.7%5.0%-3.3%
5Y2.5%2.8%-0.3%
10Y3.3%3.5%-0.2%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Tillys is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Apparel Retail industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.04 means that the operating costs are $1.04 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.044. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.044. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.044TTM1.0440.000
TTM1.044YOY0.983+0.061
TTM1.0445Y0.975+0.069
5Y0.97510Y0.967+0.008
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0441.056-0.012
TTM1.0441.045-0.001
YOY0.9830.993-0.010
5Y0.9751.035-0.060
10Y0.9671.010-0.043

1.3. Liquidity of Tillys Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Tillys is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Apparel Retail industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.68 means the company has $1.68 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.684. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.684. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.684TTM1.6840.000
TTM1.684YOY1.877-0.193
TTM1.6845Y1.652+0.032
5Y1.65210Y2.143-0.491
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.6841.672+0.012
TTM1.6841.647+0.037
YOY1.8771.683+0.194
5Y1.6521.699-0.047
10Y2.1431.826+0.317
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Tillys is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.43 means the company can pay off $1.43 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.425. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +1
  • The TTM is 1.425. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.425TTM1.4250.000
TTM1.425YOY1.502-0.077
TTM1.4255Y1.563-0.138
5Y1.56310Y2.047-0.484
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.4250.567+0.858
TTM1.4250.567+0.858
YOY1.5020.551+0.951
5Y1.5630.660+0.903
10Y2.0470.717+1.330

1.4. Solvency of Tillys Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Tillys assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.70 means that Tillys assets are financed with 70.4% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 70.4%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.704. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.704. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.704TTM0.7040.000
TTM0.704YOY0.628+0.076
TTM0.7045Y0.675+0.029
5Y0.67510Y0.536+0.139
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7040.575+0.129
TTM0.7040.575+0.129
YOY0.6280.568+0.060
5Y0.6750.568+0.107
10Y0.5360.506+0.030
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Tillys is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 237.4% means that company has $2.37 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The MRQ is 2.374. The company is just not able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 2.374. The company is just not able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.374TTM2.3740.000
TTM2.374YOY1.685+0.688
TTM2.3745Y2.103+0.271
5Y2.10310Y1.384+0.719
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.3741.237+1.137
TTM2.3741.330+1.044
YOY1.6851.248+0.437
5Y2.1031.347+0.756
10Y1.3841.140+0.244

2. Market Valuation of Tillys Inc

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Tillys generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Tillys to the Apparel Retail industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of -6.65 means the investor is paying $-6.65 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The EOD is -5.253. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -6.655. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -6.655. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-5.253MRQ-6.655+1.402
MRQ-6.655TTM-6.6550.000
TTM-6.655YOY26.086-32.740
TTM-6.6555Y-46.704+40.050
5Y-46.70410Y-11.352-35.352
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-5.2534.770-10.023
MRQ-6.6555.742-12.397
TTM-6.6557.143-13.798
YOY26.0868.474+17.612
5Y-46.7047.255-53.959
10Y-11.3529.677-21.029
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The EOD is -8.756. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -11.093. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -11.093. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-8.756MRQ-11.093+2.337
MRQ-11.093TTM-11.0930.000
TTM-11.093YOY-15.915+4.822
TTM-11.0935Y-0.056-11.037
5Y-0.05610Y7.024-7.080
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-8.7564.427-13.183
MRQ-11.0933.772-14.865
TTM-11.0932.428-13.521
YOY-15.9150.882-16.797
5Y-0.0561.573-1.629
10Y7.0242.620+4.404
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Tillys is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Apparel Retail industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 1.58 means the investor is paying $1.58 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Tillys Inc:

  • The EOD is 1.251. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 1.584. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 1.584. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.251MRQ1.584-0.334
MRQ1.584TTM1.5840.000
TTM1.584YOY1.485+0.099
TTM1.5845Y1.690-0.106
5Y1.69010Y1.809-0.119
Compared to industry (Apparel Retail)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.2511.400-0.149
MRQ1.5841.351+0.233
TTM1.5841.391+0.193
YOY1.4851.763-0.278
5Y1.6901.917-0.227
10Y1.8091.926-0.117
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of Tillys Inc.

3.1. Institutions holding Tillys Inc

Institutions are holding 104.021% of the shares of Tillys Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Fund 1 Investments LLC22.10115.850566246032368003.7071
2023-12-31Shay Capital LLC6.42822.904192678542450.2208
2023-12-31Long Focus Capital Management, LLC6.11170.4591183193100
2023-09-30Divisar Capital Management, LLC5.3672.85841608704-196239-10.8723
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc5.14320.00031541618893996.156
2023-12-31Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.4.76360.00311427847389862.807
2023-12-31Vanguard Group Inc4.25010.0002127392074420.5876
2023-12-31Renaissance Technologies Corp3.10470.0109930612-10000-1.0631
2023-12-31Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC2.08890.9588626135-15660-2.44
2023-12-31Geode Capital Management, LLC1.57330.0004471568189794.1934
2023-12-31J. Goldman & Co LP1.57070.143647081110318728.0686
2023-12-31State Street Corporation1.36330.0002408631-5488-1.3252
2023-12-31Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC1.3550.0657406154118162.9964
2023-12-31Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, LLC1.25520.0068376233260817.4485
2023-12-31Northern Trust Corp0.6370.0003190942106375.8994
2023-09-30Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.0.5140.0074154080-2059-1.3187
2023-12-31Western Standard LLC0.44550.6704133543-105084-44.0369
2023-12-31Empowered Funds, LLC0.43860.0249131466118169.8755
2023-12-31Amvescap Plc.0.40610.000212171780627.0934
2023-12-31Citigroup Inc0.37640.000611283233463.0561
Total 69.293613.965820770132+236266+1.1%

3.2. Funds holding Tillys Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2024-02-29Vanguard Total Stock Mkt Idx Inv2.45680.000473752500
2024-03-31Pacific Ridge Capital Ptnrs Micro Cp Val1.78491.075253582016505044.5155
2024-03-28iShares Russell 2000 ETF1.68060.00525045262430.0482
2024-03-31First Eagle Small Cap Opportunity I1.30440.14239157450361.3028
2023-12-31First Eagle US Small Cap Strategy1.16430.1561349534223176.8202
2024-03-31Vanguard Institutional Extnd Mkt Idx Tr1.10610.002233206000
2024-02-29DFA US Small Cap Value I1.04450.0157313558-15200-4.6235
2024-01-31Fidelity Small Cap Index0.72860.006521872300
2024-02-29DFA US Targeted Value I0.7040.012621133800
2024-03-31Adara Smaller Companies0.68240.250320487000
2024-03-28iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF0.66910.0109200851-127-0.0632
2023-12-31Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value N0.5050.089215160000
2023-12-31Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value0.5050.08915160000
2023-12-31Acuitas US Microcap Strategy0.47270.2849141910-980-0.6858
2024-03-29Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF0.46750.009514035900
2024-02-29Fidelity Extended Market Index0.41480.0025124512-603-0.482
2024-03-31State St Russell Sm/Mid Cp® Indx NL Cl C0.41040.001912319600
2024-03-28EA Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value ETF0.38530.063911565700
2024-02-29DFA US Micro Cap I0.33450.010810041300
2024-02-29DFA US Small Cap I0.32140.0048964811077212.5681
Total 17.14232.23365146107+186508+3.6%

3.3. Insider Transactions

Insiders are holding 2.424% of the shares of Tillys Inc.

DateOwnerTypeAmountPricePost Transaction AmountLink
2024-03-18Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY495006.84
2024-03-14Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY238927.13
2024-03-04Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY100007.66
2024-02-29Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY210007.68
2024-02-23Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY240007.3
2024-02-21Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY325006.99
2024-02-13Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY260007.45
2024-02-09Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY235007.47
2024-02-02Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY567787.51
2024-01-31Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY306507.34
2024-01-29Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY180007.42
2024-01-26Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY200007.5
2024-01-24Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY160007.51
2024-01-22Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY30007.57
2024-01-19Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY245007.44
2024-01-17Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY240007.4
2024-01-12Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY155007.39
2024-01-10Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY139007.24
2024-01-08Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY303027.19
2024-01-05Fund 1 Investments, LlcBUY260007.33

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Tillys Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---0.991-0.9910%0.230-531%-0.127-87%-0.016-98%
Book Value Per Share--4.8544.8540%5.844-17%5.418-10%5.648-14%
Current Ratio--1.6841.6840%1.877-10%1.652+2%2.143-21%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.7040.7040%0.628+12%0.675+4%0.536+31%
Debt To Equity Ratio--2.3742.3740%1.685+41%2.103+13%1.384+72%
Dividend Per Share----0%1.020-100%0.998-100%0.769-100%
Eps---1.156-1.1560%0.333-447%0.393-394%0.447-358%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.693-0.6930%-0.545-21%0.427-262%0.632-210%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.686-0.6860%-0.877+28%-0.360-48%0.103-766%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0991.0990%-1.397+227%3.904-72%2.452-55%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--2.109--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---20.263--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.543--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---0.425--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--1.378--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---2.674--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--1.909--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min---6.439--------
Market Cap138096142.000-66%229531120.000229531120.0000%263203640.000-13%277605680.000-17%300007487.000-23%
Net Profit Margin---0.055-0.0550%0.014-485%0.015-463%0.020-371%
Operating Margin---0.044-0.0440%0.017-360%0.025-276%0.033-233%
Operating Ratio--1.0441.0440%0.983+6%0.975+7%0.967+8%
Pb Ratio1.251-27%1.5841.5840%1.485+7%1.690-6%1.809-12%
Pe Ratio-5.253+21%-6.655-6.6550%26.086-126%-46.704+602%-11.352+71%
Price Per Share6.070-27%7.6907.6900%8.680-11%9.178-16%10.185-24%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-8.756+21%-11.093-11.0930%-15.915+43%-0.056-99%7.024-258%
Price To Total Gains Ratio-6.128+21%-7.763-7.7630%6.948-212%4.477-273%4.722-264%
Quick Ratio--1.4251.4250%1.502-5%1.563-9%2.047-30%
Return On Assets---0.071-0.0710%0.020-447%0.023-404%0.037-289%
Return On Equity---0.238-0.2380%0.055-536%0.064-474%0.076-415%
Total Gains Per Share---0.991-0.9910%1.249-179%0.871-214%0.753-232%
Usd Book Value--144869000.000144869000.0000%177211000.000-18%163463200.000-11%166218700.000-13%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share---0.991-0.9910%0.230-531%-0.127-87%-0.016-98%
Usd Book Value Per Share--4.8544.8540%5.844-17%5.418-10%5.648-14%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%1.020-100%0.998-100%0.769-100%
Usd Eps---1.156-1.1560%0.333-447%0.393-394%0.447-358%
Usd Free Cash Flow---20691000.000-20691000.0000%-16538000.000-20%13061800.000-258%18594800.000-211%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.693-0.6930%-0.545-21%0.427-262%0.632-210%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.686-0.6860%-0.877+28%-0.360-48%0.103-766%
Usd Market Cap138096142.000-66%229531120.000229531120.0000%263203640.000-13%277605680.000-17%300007487.000-23%
Usd Price Per Share6.070-27%7.6907.6900%8.680-11%9.178-16%10.185-24%
Usd Profit---34492000.000-34492000.0000%9677000.000-456%12182200.000-383%13358000.000-358%
Usd Revenue--623083000.000623083000.0000%672280000.000-7%644337200.000-3%603530000.000+3%
Usd Total Gains Per Share---0.991-0.9910%1.249-179%0.871-214%0.753-232%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+5 -315Y+4 -3210Y+4 -32

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Tillys Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-15-5.253
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-11.251
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.055
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than0-0.044
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.425
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.684
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.704
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than12.374
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.15-0.238
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.05-0.071
Total3/10 (30.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Tillys Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
OpenGreater thanClose5.920
Total0/1 (0.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2020-02-292021-02-282022-02-282023-02-282024-02-29
Retained Earnings  6,280-1,1455,1352,6197,754-8116,943-34,905-27,962
EBITDA  49,403-33,38816,01588,416104,431-78,84325,588-40,305-14,717



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-02-29. Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets488,748
Total Liabilities343,879
Total Stockholder Equity144,869
 As reported
Total Liabilities 343,879
Total Stockholder Equity+ 144,869
Total Assets = 488,748

Assets

Total Assets488,748
Total Current Assets176,059
Long-term Assets312,689
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 47,027
Short-term Investments 48,021
Net Receivables 5,947
Inventory 63,159
Other Current Assets 11,905
Total Current Assets  (as reported)176,059
Total Current Assets  (calculated)176,059
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 251,888
Long-term Assets Other 1,598
Long-term Assets  (as reported)312,689
Long-term Assets  (calculated)253,486
+/- 59,203

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities104,557
Long-term Liabilities239,322
Total Stockholder Equity144,869
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 51,793
Accounts payable 14,506
Other Current Liabilities 23,301
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)104,557
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)89,600
+/- 14,957
Long-term Liabilities
Capital Lease Obligations 231,591
Long-term Liabilities Other 321
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)239,322
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)231,912
+/- 7,410
Total Stockholder Equity
Common Stock30
Retained Earnings -27,962
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 323
Other Stockholders Equity 172,478
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)144,869
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)144,869
+/-0
Other
Capital Stock30
Cash and Short Term Investments 95,048
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 29,848
Current Deferred Revenue14,957
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 488,748
Net Debt 184,564
Net Invested Capital 144,869
Net Working Capital 71,502
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 499,986
Short Long Term Debt Total 231,591



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-02-292023-02-282022-02-282021-02-282020-02-292019-02-282018-02-282017-02-282016-02-292015-02-282014-02-282013-02-282012-02-292011-02-282010-02-28
> Total Assets 
115,454
130,974
145,682
205,381
232,407
257,551
270,751
290,506
290,111
293,168
546,640
505,473
504,823
475,898
488,748
488,748475,898504,823505,473546,640293,168290,111290,506270,751257,551232,407205,381145,682130,974115,454
   > Total Current Assets 
56,134
71,399
78,842
121,098
126,938
153,284
170,674
195,215
203,054
217,141
208,864
212,156
227,978
202,772
176,059
176,059202,772227,978212,156208,864217,141203,054195,215170,674153,284126,938121,09878,84271,39956,134
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
25,705
29,338
25,091
17,314
25,412
49,789
51,020
78,994
53,202
68,160
70,137
76,184
42,201
73,526
47,027
47,02773,52642,20176,18470,13768,16053,20278,99451,02049,78925,41217,31425,09129,33825,705
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
39,868
34,943
34,957
49,932
54,923
82,750
75,919
69,780
64,955
97,027
39,753
48,021
48,02139,75397,02764,95569,78075,91982,75054,92349,93234,95734,94339,868000
       Net Receivables 
2,648
4,301
6,605
5,934
8,545
4,682
5,397
3,989
4,352
6,082
7,485
8,724
6,705
9,240
5,947
5,9479,2406,7058,7247,4856,0824,3523,9895,3974,6828,5455,9346,6054,3012,648
       Inventory 
24,031
33,503
36,531
46,595
46,266
51,507
51,357
47,768
53,216
55,809
56,901
55,698
65,645
62,117
63,159
63,15962,11765,64555,69856,90155,80953,21647,76851,35751,50746,26646,59536,53133,50324,031
       Other Current Assets 
3,750
4,257
10,615
11,387
11,772
12,349
12,968
9,541
9,534
11,171
4,561
6,595
757
18,136
11,905
11,90518,1367576,5954,56111,1719,5349,54112,96812,34911,77211,38710,6154,2573,750
   > Long-term Assets 
59,320
59,575
66,840
84,283
105,469
104,267
100,077
95,291
87,057
76,027
337,776
293,317
276,845
273,126
312,689
312,689273,126276,845293,317337,77676,02787,05795,291100,077104,267105,46984,28366,84059,57559,320
       Property Plant Equipment 
58,779
58,185
64,077
80,926
100,936
101,335
99,026
89,219
83,321
73,842
329,825
280,520
264,038
263,480
251,888
251,888263,480264,038280,520329,82573,84283,32189,21999,026101,335100,93680,92664,07758,18558,779
       Long-term Assets Other 
541
1,390
2,763
3,357
4,533
2,932
1,051
6,072
3,736
2,185
-78,741
-63,317
1,361
1,377
1,598
1,5981,3771,361-63,317-78,7412,1853,7366,0721,0512,9324,5333,3572,7631,390541
> Total Liabilities 
55,558
68,882
165,332
88,085
91,484
98,865
97,538
101,286
129,686
129,841
386,739
344,851
330,110
298,687
343,879
343,879298,687330,110344,851386,739129,841129,686101,28697,53898,86591,48488,085165,33268,88255,558
   > Total Current Liabilities 
26,495
37,492
130,170
47,207
46,228
55,296
55,812
65,396
95,631
97,259
145,266
133,559
136,167
108,037
104,557
104,557108,037136,167133,559145,26697,25995,63165,39655,81255,29646,22847,207130,17037,49226,495
       Short-term Debt 
590
628
84,669
712
758
806
858
835
2,535
3,381
55,321
54,503
54,037
51,703
51,793
51,79351,70354,03754,50355,3213,3812,53583585880675871284,669628590
       Short Long Term Debt 
0
0
0
0
0
2,500
1,693
835
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00000008351,6932,50000000
       Accounts payable 
10,658
14,717
16,830
18,261
19,645
23,109
16,022
17,584
21,615
24,207
20,562
24,983
28,144
15,956
14,506
14,50615,95628,14424,98320,56224,20721,61517,58416,02223,10919,64518,26116,83014,71710,658
       Other Current Liabilities 
9,057
15,342
20,471
22,781
19,611
24,306
30,758
36,774
60,602
59,298
57,622
40,581
36,890
24,275
23,301
23,30124,27536,89040,58157,62259,29860,60236,77430,75824,30619,61122,78120,47115,3429,057
   > Long-term Liabilities 
29,063
31,390
35,162
40,878
45,256
43,569
41,726
35,890
34,055
32,582
241,473
211,292
193,943
190,650
239,322
239,322190,650193,943211,292241,47332,58234,05535,89041,72643,56945,25640,87835,16231,39029,063
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
3,258
2,500
0
835
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000083502,5003,258000
       Other Liabilities 
0
26,752
30,256
37,620
42,756
41,875
40,891
35,890
34,055
32,582
718
1,351
978
349
0
03499781,35171832,58234,05535,89040,89141,87542,75637,62030,25626,7520
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
37,620
42,756
0
40,891
35,890
31,340
30,825
0
0
0
0
0
0000030,82531,34035,89040,891042,75637,620000
> Total Stockholder Equity
59,896
62,092
-19,650
117,296
140,923
158,686
173,213
189,220
160,425
163,327
159,901
160,622
174,713
177,211
144,869
144,869177,211174,713160,622159,901163,327160,425189,220173,213158,686140,923117,296-19,65062,09259,896
   Common Stock
20
20
20
28
28
28
28
29
29
29
30
30
31
30
30
303031303029292928282828202020
   Retained Earnings 
59,726
61,922
-19,820
-140
17,997
32,072
39,613
51,023
16,398
13,335
6,280
5,135
7,754
6,943
-27,962
-27,9626,9437,7545,1356,28013,33516,39851,02339,61332,07217,997-140-19,82061,92259,726
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 
-49,499
-62,131
-74,700
17
12
21
22
66
14
226
214
20
-1
205
323
323205-120214226146622211217-74,700-62,131-49,499
   Capital Surplus 
0
0
0
117,391
122,886
0
133,550
138,102
143,984
149,737
153,377
0
0
0
0
0000153,377149,737143,984138,102133,5500122,886117,391000
   Treasury Stock000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
49,649
62,281
74,850
117,391
122,886
126,565
133,550
138,102
143,984
149,737
153,377
155,437
166,929
170,033
172,478
172,478170,033166,929155,437153,377149,737143,984138,102133,550126,565122,886117,39174,85062,28149,649



Balance Sheet

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2024-02-29)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue623,083
Cost of Revenue-457,426
Gross Profit165,657165,657
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit165,657
Operating Expense-193,208
Operating Income-27,551-27,551
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development0
Selling General Administrative196,639
Selling And Marketing Expenses3,431
Operating Expense193,208200,070
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income0
Interest Expense-0
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income0
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-27,551
Net Interest Income0
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses0
Income Before Tax (EBT)-25,783-29,319
EBIT - interestExpense = -27,551
-25,783
-34,492
Interest Expense0
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-27,551-25,783
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-14,717
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-25,783
Tax Provision-8,709
Net Income From Continuing Ops-34,492-34,492
Net Income-34,492
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares0
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations0
Extraordinary Items0
Effect of Accounting Charges0
Other Items0
Non Recurring0
Other Operating Expenses650,634
Total Other Income/Expenses Net1,7680
 

Technical Analysis of Tillys
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Tillys. The general trend of Tillys is UNKNOWN with 0.0% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Tillys's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator StateBullish trend Bearish trend
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Tillys Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Around resistance: The price is trading arround resistance levels. This can be considered as a potential exit level. -1

The bullish price targets are: 6.05 < 6.23 < 6.87.

The bearish price targets are: 5.345.

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Tillys Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Tillys Inc. The current mas is .

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Tillys Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartTillys Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Tillys Inc. The current adx is .

Tillys Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartTillys Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartTillys Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartTillys Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartTillys Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Williams %R ChartTillys Inc Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartTillys Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartTillys Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Tillys Inc.

Tillys Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartTillys Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Tillys Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-07WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2023-12-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-12-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-20MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-12-21RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-26SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2023-12-28CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-12-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-03SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-05STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-09MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-01-10MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-16CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-18CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-01-19SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-01-22DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-24DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-01-29CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-01SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-02-09MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-12DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-14CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-20MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-26CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-02-29SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-06CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-03-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-03-11SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-03-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-15CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-18WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-03-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-25STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-26RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-03-27ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-28SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-04-01MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-03MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-04-04CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-04-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-04-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-04-17MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-04-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-04-19RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-04-22SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
2024-04-23MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-24CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Tillys Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Tillys Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
OpenGreater thanClose5.920
Total0/1 (0.0%)
Penke

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