25 XP   0   0   10

Vale S.A
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Vale together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Vale S.A. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Vale S.A. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

Get notifications about Vale S.A

I send you an email if I find something interesting about Vale S.A.

Quick analysis of Vale (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Vale? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
ARS0.80
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
63.2%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
ARS9.18
Expected worth in 1 year
ARS10.72
How sure are you?
84.2%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
ARS670.07
Return On Investment
9.3%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
ARS7,190.50
Expected price per share
ARS5,800 - ARS9,412
How sure are you?
50%
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

1. Valuation of Vale (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

ARS7,190.50

Intrinsic Value Per Share

ARS-1,364.96 - ARS-2,565.75

Total Value Per Share

ARS-1,355.78 - ARS-2,556.57

2. Growth of Vale (5 min.)




Is Vale growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$47.3m$43.6m$3.1m6.8%

How much money is Vale making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$2.3b$5.1b-$2.8b-120.6%
Net Profit Margin22.2%46.2%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Vale (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)  


Richest
#15 / 910

Most Revenue
#9 / 910

Most Profit
#7 / 910
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Vale? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Vale's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Vale.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Vale?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Vale. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Vale is ARS7,191. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Vale.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Vale, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is ARS9.18. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is ARS0.39 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is ARS0.17 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is ARS167.13 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Vale.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 ARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per ShareARS% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.670.0%1.790.0%5.380.1%2.720.0%2.720.0%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.390.0%0.200.0%3.680.1%1.980.0%1.980.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.390.0%0.200.0%3.680.1%1.980.0%1.980.0%
Usd Price Per Share6.62-4.52-2.18-1.91-1.91-
Price to Earnings Ratio2.49-1.14-0.10-0.40-0.40-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio16.81-2,694.91-0.59-655.26-655.26-
Price to Book Ratio601.07-421.31-233.26-196.34-196.34-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio16.81-2,694.91-0.59-655.26-655.26-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share8.6286
Number of shares115
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.201.98
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.000.00
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.201.98
Gains per Quarter (115 shares)23.12228.06
Gains per Year (115 shares)92.47912.22
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
1920829120902
21850174182411814
32771266273612726
43691358364813638
54611450456014550
65541542547225462
76461634638426374
87382726729627286
98302818820828198
109232910912039110

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share4.00.00.0100.0%12.00.00.0100.0%16.03.00.084.2%16.03.00.084.2%16.03.00.084.2%
Book Value Change Per Share3.01.00.075.0%8.04.00.066.7%11.08.00.057.9%11.08.00.057.9%11.08.00.057.9%
Dividend per Share2.00.02.050.0%10.00.02.083.3%12.00.07.063.2%12.00.07.063.2%12.00.07.063.2%
Total Gains per Share4.00.00.0100.0%12.00.00.0100.0%16.03.00.084.2%16.03.00.084.2%16.03.00.084.2%
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

Fundamentals of Vale

About Vale S.A

Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw materials in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Iron Solutions and Energy Transition Materials segments. The Iron Solutions segment produces and extracts iron ore and pellets, manganese, and other ferrous products; and provides related logistic services. The Energy Transition Materials segment produces and extracts nickel used to produce stainless steel, electric vehicles, and metal alloys; and its by-products, such as gold, silver, cobalt, precious metals, platinum, and others, as well as copper used in the construction sector to produce pipes and electrical wires. The company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce and changed its name to Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-02-21 19:23:02.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very efficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is expensive.
Based on the earnings, the company is cheap.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap.
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

1.1. Profitability of Vale S.A.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Vale earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 26.7% means that $0.27 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 26.7%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 22.2%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ26.7%TTM22.2%+4.5%
TTM22.2%YOY46.2%-23.9%
TTM22.2%5Y22.2%+0.0%
5Y22.2%10Y22.2%0.0%
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ26.7%-49.7%+76.4%
TTM22.2%-46.9%+69.1%
YOY46.2%-49.2%+95.4%
5Y22.2%-250.7%+272.9%
10Y22.2%-750.2%+772.4%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Vale is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • 2,682.4% Return on Assets means that Vale generated $26.82 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 2,682.4%. Using its assets, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 2,219.1%. Using its assets, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2,682.4%TTM2,219.1%+463.4%
TTM2,219.1%YOY4,981.1%-2,762.0%
TTM2,219.1%5Y2,525.2%-306.2%
5Y2,525.2%10Y2,525.2%0.0%
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2,682.4%-7.5%+2,689.9%
TTM2,219.1%-7.8%+2,226.9%
YOY4,981.1%-6.8%+4,987.9%
5Y2,525.2%-10.4%+2,535.6%
10Y2,525.2%-14.9%+2,540.1%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Vale is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • 6,283.4% Return on Equity means Vale generated $62.83 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 6,283.4%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is 5,274.3%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ6,283.4%TTM5,274.3%+1,009.1%
TTM5,274.3%YOY12,274.8%-7,000.4%
TTM5,274.3%5Y6,133.8%-859.5%
5Y6,133.8%10Y6,133.8%0.0%
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ6,283.4%-7.9%+6,291.3%
TTM5,274.3%-8.4%+5,282.7%
YOY12,274.8%-7.1%+12,281.9%
5Y6,133.8%-11.2%+6,145.0%
10Y6,133.8%-15.6%+6,149.4%
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Vale S.A.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Vale is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Vale makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0% means the company generated $0.00  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM87.7%-87.7%
TTM87.7%YOY175.2%-87.5%
TTM87.7%5Y141.6%-53.9%
5Y141.6%10Y141.6%0.0%
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ--328.0%+328.0%
TTM87.7%-54.0%+141.7%
YOY175.2%-46.4%+221.6%
5Y141.6%-263.5%+405.1%
10Y141.6%-621.1%+762.7%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Vale is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 1.24 means that the operating costs are $1.24 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 1.242. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 1.250. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.242TTM1.250-0.007
TTM1.250YOY1.062+0.188
TTM1.2505Y1.093+0.157
5Y1.09310Y1.0930.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.2421.959-0.717
TTM1.2501.915-0.665
YOY1.0622.249-1.187
5Y1.0934.385-3.292
10Y1.0938.798-7.705
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

1.3. Liquidity of Vale S.A.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Vale is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.08 means the company has $1.08 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 1.075. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.114. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.075TTM1.114-0.039
TTM1.114YOY1.298-0.184
TTM1.1145Y1.397-0.282
5Y1.39710Y1.3970.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.0752.435-1.360
TTM1.1142.635-1.521
YOY1.2983.631-2.333
5Y1.3974.101-2.704
10Y1.3974.665-3.268
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Vale is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.25 means the company can pay off $0.25 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 0.250. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.299. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.250TTM0.299-0.049
TTM0.299YOY0.265+0.034
TTM0.2995Y0.282+0.016
5Y0.28210Y0.2820.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2500.898-0.648
TTM0.2990.844-0.545
YOY0.2651.027-0.762
5Y0.2821.306-1.024
10Y0.2821.469-1.187
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

1.4. Solvency of Vale S.A.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Vale assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Vale to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.56 means that Vale assets are financed with 55.6% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 55.6%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 0.556. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.560. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.556TTM0.560-0.004
TTM0.560YOY0.581-0.020
TTM0.5605Y0.577-0.016
5Y0.57710Y0.5770.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.5560.180+0.376
TTM0.5600.185+0.375
YOY0.5810.150+0.431
5Y0.5770.208+0.369
10Y0.5770.248+0.329
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Vale is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 130.3% means that company has $1.30 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The MRQ is 1.303. The company is able to pay all its debts with equity. +1
  • The TTM is 1.327. The company is able to pay all its debts with equity. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.303TTM1.327-0.024
TTM1.327YOY1.435-0.108
TTM1.3275Y1.381-0.054
5Y1.38110Y1.3810.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.3030.175+1.128
TTM1.3270.190+1.137
YOY1.4350.150+1.285
5Y1.3810.223+1.158
10Y1.3810.248+1.133
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

2. Market Valuation of Vale S.A

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Vale generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Vale to the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 2.49 means the investor is paying $2.49 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The EOD is 3.240. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 2.486. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 1.144. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD3.240MRQ2.486+0.755
MRQ2.486TTM1.144+1.342
TTM1.144YOY0.103+1.042
TTM1.1445Y0.399+0.745
5Y0.39910Y0.3990.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD3.240-3.736+6.976
MRQ2.486-5.366+7.852
TTM1.144-5.795+6.939
YOY0.103-8.493+8.596
5Y0.399-10.470+10.869
10Y0.399-11.301+11.700
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The EOD is 6.555. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 5.028. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is 11.007. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is cheap. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD6.555MRQ5.028+1.526
MRQ5.028TTM11.007-5.979
TTM11.007YOY3.163+7.844
TTM11.0075Y3.240+7.767
5Y3.24010Y3.2400.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD6.555-4.343+10.898
MRQ5.028-5.918+10.946
TTM11.007-6.787+17.794
YOY3.163-8.933+12.096
5Y3.240-13.233+16.473
10Y3.240-14.532+17.772
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Vale is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 601.07 means the investor is paying $601.07 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Vale S.A:

  • The EOD is 783.541. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is 601.072. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is 421.314. Based on the equity, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD783.541MRQ601.072+182.468
MRQ601.072TTM421.314+179.758
TTM421.314YOY233.258+188.056
TTM421.3145Y196.339+224.975
5Y196.33910Y196.3390.000
Compared to industry (Other Industrial Metals & Mining)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD783.5411.117+782.424
MRQ601.0721.555+599.517
TTM421.3141.598+419.716
YOY233.2582.271+230.987
5Y196.3392.404+193.935
10Y196.3392.931+193.408
2. Total Gains per Share
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Vale S.A compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share---0.0990.386-126%0.166-160%0.483-121%0.483-121%
Book Value Per Share--9.1778.886+3%7.776+18%9.632-5%9.632-5%
Current Ratio--1.0751.114-4%1.298-17%1.397-23%1.397-23%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.5560.560-1%0.581-4%0.577-4%0.577-4%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.3031.327-2%1.435-9%1.381-6%1.381-6%
Dividend Per Share--328.241167.131+96%3069.949-89%1652.091-80%1652.091-80%
Eps--554.7621495.020-63%4480.177-88%2265.619-76%2265.619-76%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--274.251225.490+22%280.557-2%471.786-42%471.786-42%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---143.190-648.678+353%-3987.094+2684%-2488.350+1638%-2488.350+1638%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max---2565.746--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min---1364.956--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--1756.208--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min--1726.206--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--3742.318--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min--3603.701--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--3878.600--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--3732.076--------
Market Cap15402841609856.000-54%23734544318800.00016470196355744.750+44%8476784135219.375+180%7371585515942.211+222%7371585515942.211+222%
Net Profit Margin--0.2670.222+20%0.462-42%0.222+20%0.222+20%
Operating Margin---0.877-100%1.752-100%1.416-100%1.416-100%
Operating Ratio--1.2421.250-1%1.062+17%1.093+14%1.093+14%
Pb Ratio783.541+23%601.072421.314+43%233.258+158%196.339+206%196.339+206%
Pe Ratio3.240+23%2.4861.144+117%0.103+2325%0.399+523%0.399+523%
Price Per Share7190.500+23%5516.0003763.750+47%1817.000+204%1593.211+246%1593.211+246%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio6.555+23%5.02811.007-54%3.163+59%3.240+55%3.240+55%
Price To Total Gains Ratio21.913+23%16.8102694.913-99%0.593+2736%655.260-97%655.260-97%
Quick Ratio--0.2500.299-16%0.265-6%0.282-12%0.282-12%
Return On Assets--26.82422.191+21%49.811-46%25.252+6%25.252+6%
Return On Equity--62.83452.743+19%122.748-49%61.338+2%61.338+2%
Total Gains Per Share--328.141167.517+96%3070.115-89%1652.574-80%1652.574-80%
Usd Book Value--47384400.00046805100.000+1%43634700.000+9%45205578.947+5%45205578.947+5%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.0000.000-126%0.000-160%0.001-121%0.001-121%
Usd Book Value Per Share--0.0110.011+3%0.009+18%0.012-5%0.012-5%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.3940.201+96%3.684-89%1.983-80%1.983-80%
Usd Eps--0.6661.794-63%5.376-88%2.719-76%2.719-76%
Usd Free Cash Flow--1416076080.0001186544490.000+19%1554704070.000-9%2187587160.000-35%2187587160.000-35%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.3290.271+22%0.337-2%0.566-42%0.566-42%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.172-0.778+353%-4.785+2684%-2.986+1638%-2.986+1638%
Usd Market Cap18483409931.827-54%28481453182.56019764235626.894+44%10172140962.263+180%8845902619.131+222%8845902619.131+222%
Usd Price Per Share8.629+23%6.6194.517+47%2.180+204%1.912+246%1.912+246%
Usd Profit--2864473440.0002345565390.000+22%5174182410.000-45%2657787360.000+8%2657787360.000+8%
Usd Revenue--10729654920.00010269834210.000+4%11210938980.000-4%10879672440.000-1%10879672440.000-1%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.3940.201+96%3.684-89%1.983-80%1.983-80%
 EOD+2 -6MRQTTM+24 -11YOY+11 -245Y+12 -2310Y+12 -23

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Vale S.A based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-153.240
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-1783.541
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.267
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.250
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.075
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.556
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.303
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.1562.834
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.0526.824
Total6/10 (60.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Vale S.A based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5034.758
Ma 20Greater thanMa 507,906.375
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1008,153.920
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2007,281.745
OpenGreater thanClose7,307.000
Total3/5 (60.0%)



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2023-09-30. Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets88,989,000
Total Liabilities49,502,000
Total Stockholder Equity37,990,000
 As reported
Total Liabilities 49,502,000
Total Stockholder Equity+ 37,990,000
Total Assets = 88,989,000

Assets

Total Assets88,989,000
Total Current Assets14,673,000
Long-term Assets74,316,000
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 3,967,000
Short-term Investments 60,000
Net Receivables 3,348,000
Inventory 5,114,000
Other Current Assets 403,000
Total Current Assets  (as reported)14,673,000
Total Current Assets  (calculated)12,892,000
+/- 1,781,000
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 47,750,000
Goodwill 3,247,000
Long Term Investments 1,953,000
Intangible Assets 7,336,000
Long-term Assets Other 2,635,000
Long-term Assets  (as reported)74,316,000
Long-term Assets  (calculated)62,921,000
+/- 11,395,000

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities13,644,000
Long-term Liabilities35,858,000
Total Stockholder Equity37,990,000
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 779,000
Accounts payable 5,582,000
Other Current Liabilities 2,005,000
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)13,644,000
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)8,366,000
+/- 5,278,000
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 14,182,000
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt1,480,000
Long-term Liabilities Other 3,720,000
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)35,858,000
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)19,382,000
+/- 16,476,000
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 3,821,000
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)37,990,000
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)3,821,000
+/- 34,169,000
Other
Capital Stock61,614,000
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 4,302,854
Net Debt 10,994,000
Net Invested Capital 52,951,000
Net Working Capital 1,029,000
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 82,341,000



Balance Sheet

Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-31
> Total Assets 
94,150,000
95,732,000
93,896,000
91,713,000
84,582,000
83,147,000
79,981,000
92,007,000
86,984,000
96,716,000
86,880,000
89,442,000
93,149,000
84,358,000
80,611,000
86,894,000
87,547,000
91,517,000
88,989,000
88,989,00091,517,00087,547,00086,894,00080,611,00084,358,00093,149,00089,442,00086,880,00096,716,00086,984,00092,007,00079,981,00083,147,00084,582,00091,713,00093,896,00095,732,00094,150,000
   > Total Current Assets 
15,075,000
15,914,000
18,486,000
17,042,000
19,944,000
111,195,000
98,956,000
126,805,000
132,025,000
127,068,000
108,736,000
124,800,000
92,219,000
83,924,000
75,270,000
81,009,000
14,508,000
74,923,000
14,673,000
14,673,00074,923,00014,508,00081,009,00075,270,00083,924,00092,219,000124,800,000108,736,000127,068,000132,025,000126,805,00098,956,000111,195,00019,944,00017,042,00018,486,00015,914,00015,075,000
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
5,008,000
6,048,000
8,559,000
7,350,000
11,788,000
12,113,000
8,845,000
13,487,000
12,883,000
13,649,000
10,857,000
11,721,000
9,061,000
7,185,000
5,182,000
4,736,000
4,705,000
4,983,000
3,967,000
3,967,0004,983,0004,705,0004,736,0005,182,0007,185,0009,061,00011,721,00010,857,00013,649,00012,883,00013,487,0008,845,00012,113,00011,788,0007,350,0008,559,0006,048,0005,008,000
       Short-term Investments 
12,000
402,000
906,000
826,000
479,000
93,000
125,000
771,000
1,429,000
951,000
1,742,000
184,000
43,000
48,000
42,000
61,000
53,000
46,000
60,000
60,00046,00053,00061,00042,00048,00043,000184,0001,742,000951,0001,429,000771,000125,00093,000479,000826,000906,000402,00012,000
       Net Receivables 
2,453,000
2,983,000
2,297,000
2,529,000
2,096,000
18,050,000
20,765,000
29,599,000
23,527,000
28,124,000
9,231,000
26,649,000
18,740,000
15,145,000
16,263,000
29,176,000
2,687,000
21,535,000
3,348,000
3,348,00021,535,0002,687,00029,176,00016,263,00015,145,00018,740,00026,649,0009,231,00028,124,00023,527,00029,599,00020,765,00018,050,0002,096,0002,529,0002,297,0002,983,0002,453,000
       Inventory 
4,909,000
4,724,000
4,629,000
4,274,000
4,090,000
22,221,000
24,418,000
21,103,000
24,352,000
23,513,000
27,659,000
24,429,000
23,871,000
26,997,000
28,480,000
23,386,000
4,992,000
25,026,000
5,114,000
5,114,00025,026,0004,992,00023,386,00028,480,00026,997,00023,871,00024,429,00027,659,00023,513,00024,352,00021,103,00024,418,00022,221,0004,090,0004,274,0004,629,0004,724,0004,909,000
       Other Current Assets 
483,000
565,000
482,000
382,000
410,000
3,849,000
3,149,000
1,974,000
2,568,000
1,860,000
2,972,000
6,939,000
5,445,000
3,160,000
1,918,000
3,416,000
345,000
4,124,000
403,000
403,0004,124,000345,0003,416,0001,918,0003,160,0005,445,0006,939,0002,972,0001,860,0002,568,0001,974,0003,149,0003,849,000410,000382,000482,000565,000483,000
   > Long-term Assets 
79,075,000
79,818,000
75,410,000
74,671,000
64,638,000
62,840,000
62,437,000
67,604,000
63,811,000
71,313,000
66,889,000
67,082,000
73,684,000
68,336,000
66,689,000
71,368,000
73,039,000
75,970,000
74,316,000
74,316,00075,970,00073,039,00071,368,00066,689,00068,336,00073,684,00067,082,00066,889,00071,313,00063,811,00067,604,00062,437,00062,840,00064,638,00074,671,00075,410,00079,818,00079,075,000
       Property Plant Equipment 
0
0
0
0
0
209,248,000
214,280,000
213,836,000
222,547,000
219,518,000
223,492,000
233,995,000
219,400,000
226,107,000
42,196,000
44,938,000
46,031,000
48,666,000
47,750,000
47,750,00048,666,00046,031,00044,938,00042,196,000226,107,000219,400,000233,995,000223,492,000219,518,000222,547,000213,836,000214,280,000209,248,00000000
       Goodwill 
3,675,000
3,740,000
3,572,000
3,629,000
3,125,000
3,115,000
3,114,000
3,298,000
3,203,000
3,402,000
3,248,000
3,208,000
3,470,000
3,271,000
3,115,000
3,189,000
3,228,000
3,340,000
3,247,000
3,247,0003,340,0003,228,0003,189,0003,115,0003,271,0003,470,0003,208,0003,248,0003,402,0003,203,0003,298,0003,114,0003,115,0003,125,0003,629,0003,572,0003,740,0003,675,000
       Long Term Investments 
4,205,000
6,233,000
5,893,000
3,524,000
2,544,000
2,499,000
2,660,000
2,788,000
2,957,000
3,294,000
2,105,000
1,757,000
1,933,000
1,797,000
1,801,000
1,805,000
1,788,000
1,932,000
1,953,000
1,953,0001,932,0001,788,0001,805,0001,801,0001,797,0001,933,0001,757,0002,105,0003,294,0002,957,0002,788,0002,660,0002,499,0002,544,0003,524,0005,893,0006,233,0004,205,000
       Intangible Assets 
4,865,000
4,902,000
4,736,000
4,870,000
3,771,000
3,591,000
3,500,000
5,998,000
5,458,000
7,595,000
5,665,000
5,803,000
6,797,000
6,177,000
6,229,000
7,049,000
7,220,000
7,661,000
7,336,000
7,336,0007,661,0007,220,0007,049,0006,229,0006,177,0006,797,0005,803,0005,665,0007,595,0005,458,0005,998,0003,500,0003,591,0003,771,0004,870,0004,736,0004,902,0004,865,000
       Long-term Assets Other 
5,421,000
5,402,000
3,449,000
3,780,000
3,142,000
2,800,000
2,786,000
1,957,000
1,850,000
2,152,000
2,025,000
1,987,000
2,594,000
2,295,000
2,257,000
2,311,000
2,546,000
2,679,000
2,635,000
2,635,0002,679,0002,546,0002,311,0002,257,0002,295,0002,594,0001,987,0002,025,0002,152,0001,850,0001,957,0002,786,0002,800,0003,142,0003,780,0003,449,0005,402,0005,421,000
> Total Liabilities 
50,957,000
52,408,000
51,215,000
52,720,000
51,325,000
50,213,000
46,772,000
57,186,000
51,555,000
54,357,000
52,791,000
54,136,000
54,660,000
47,376,000
45,939,000
49,536,000
48,666,000
51,226,000
49,502,000
49,502,00051,226,00048,666,00049,536,00045,939,00047,376,00054,660,00054,136,00052,791,00054,357,00051,555,00057,186,00046,772,00050,213,00051,325,00052,720,00051,215,00052,408,00050,957,000
   > Total Current Liabilities 
12,467,000
12,834,000
13,430,000
13,845,000
11,578,000
61,072,000
60,259,000
75,838,000
67,379,000
71,698,000
87,442,000
84,814,000
69,492,000
63,468,000
70,253,000
72,478,000
12,977,000
65,329,000
13,644,000
13,644,00065,329,00012,977,00072,478,00070,253,00063,468,00069,492,00084,814,00087,442,00071,698,00067,379,00075,838,00060,259,00061,072,00011,578,00013,845,00013,430,00012,834,00012,467,000
       Short-term Debt 
3,816,000
1,287,000
1,332,000
2,194,000
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0000000000000002,194,0001,332,0001,287,0003,816,000
       Short Long Term Debt 
3,816,000
1,287,000
1,332,000
2,194,000
1,796,000
1,732,000
1,770,000
1,861,000
1,717,000
1,180,000
1,477,000
1,030,000
1,103,000
935,000
290,000
489,000
543,000
713,000
779,000
779,000713,000543,000489,000290,000935,0001,103,0001,030,0001,477,0001,180,0001,717,0001,861,0001,770,0001,732,0001,796,0002,194,0001,332,0001,287,0003,816,000
       Accounts payable 
3,331,000
3,907,000
4,251,000
4,107,000
3,009,000
16,068,000
17,478,000
17,496,000
17,733,000
18,893,000
22,282,000
19,393,000
16,327,000
19,193,000
25,600,000
23,278,000
4,464,000
25,252,000
5,582,000
5,582,00025,252,0004,464,00023,278,00025,600,00019,193,00016,327,00019,393,00022,282,00018,893,00017,733,00017,496,00017,478,00016,068,0003,009,0004,107,0004,251,0003,907,0003,331,000
       Other Current Liabilities 
2,743,000
5,440,000
5,076,000
3,490,000
3,704,000
29,045,000
26,616,000
42,067,000
34,969,000
41,917,000
51,243,000
52,727,000
44,607,000
35,340,000
37,759,000
41,797,000
2,111,000
32,173,000
2,005,000
2,005,00032,173,0002,111,00041,797,00037,759,00035,340,00044,607,00052,727,00051,243,00041,917,00034,969,00042,067,00026,616,00029,045,0003,704,0003,490,0005,076,0005,440,0002,743,000
   > Long-term Liabilities 
38,490,000
39,574,000
37,785,000
38,875,000
39,747,000
39,061,000
36,088,000
42,592,000
39,728,000
40,022,000
36,717,000
38,938,000
39,992,000
35,259,000
32,945,000
35,645,000
35,689,000
37,670,000
35,858,000
35,858,00037,670,00035,689,00035,645,00032,945,00035,259,00039,992,00038,938,00036,717,00040,022,00039,728,00042,592,00036,088,00039,061,00039,747,00038,875,00037,785,00039,574,00038,490,000
       Long term Debt 
15,294,000
14,503,000
13,454,000
12,798,000
17,127,000
16,855,000
14,980,000
18,247,000
17,803,000
17,557,000
16,368,000
11,150,000
17,211,000
14,892,000
13,035,000
14,948,000
15,287,000
14,232,000
14,182,000
14,182,00014,232,00015,287,00014,948,00013,035,00014,892,00017,211,00011,150,00016,368,00017,557,00017,803,00018,247,00014,980,00016,855,00017,127,00012,798,00013,454,00014,503,00015,294,000
       Capital Lease Obligations 
1,746,000
1,840,000
1,811,000
1,791,000
1,694,000
1,652,000
0
0
0
0
0
1,602,000
0
1,577,000
1,538,000
1,531,000
1,520,000
1,520,000
1,480,000
1,480,0001,520,0001,520,0001,531,0001,538,0001,577,00001,602,000000001,652,0001,694,0001,791,0001,811,0001,840,0001,746,000
       Other Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
98,248,000
100,208,000
123,204,000
120,465,000
109,829,000
107,410,000
124,901,000
106,755,000
105,092,000
100,150,000
108,019,000
0
106,642,000
0
0106,642,0000108,019,000100,150,000105,092,000106,755,000124,901,000107,410,000109,829,000120,465,000123,204,000100,208,00098,248,00000000
       Long-term Liabilities Other 
4,592,000
11,138,000
10,462,000
12,645,000
10,304,000
9,494,000
9,943,000
12,254,000
10,794,000
10,932,000
9,803,000
11,659,000
9,015,000
7,912,000
7,258,000
6,853,000
6,745,000
3,988,000
3,720,000
3,720,0003,988,0006,745,0006,853,0007,258,0007,912,0009,015,00011,659,0009,803,00010,932,00010,794,00012,254,0009,943,0009,494,00010,304,00012,645,00010,462,00011,138,0004,592,000
       Deferred Long Term Liability 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2,754,000
0
0
0
0
00002,754,00000000000000000
> Total Stockholder Equity
42,380,000
42,582,000
42,007,000
40,067,000
34,403,000
34,136,000
34,499,000
35,744,000
36,409,000
41,661,000
33,322,000
34,472,000
37,635,000
35,500,000
33,202,000
35,867,000
37,346,000
38,812,000
37,990,000
37,990,00038,812,00037,346,00035,867,00033,202,00035,500,00037,635,00034,472,00033,322,00041,661,00036,409,00035,744,00034,499,00034,136,00034,403,00040,067,00042,007,00042,582,00042,380,000
   Common Stock
0
0
0
0
0
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
77,300,000
0
77,300,000
0
077,300,000077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00077,300,00000000
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 0000000000000000000
   Capital Surplus 0000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
0
0
0
0
0
81,261,000
85,677,000
78,339,000
84,964,000
67,271,000
74,981,000
56,671,000
46,462,000
36,818,000
26,998,000
27,274,000
26,570,000
25,903,000
0
025,903,00026,570,00027,274,00026,998,00036,818,00046,462,00056,671,00074,981,00067,271,00084,964,00078,339,00085,677,00081,261,00000000



Balance Sheet

Currency in ARS. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in USD. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue40,671,000
Cost of Revenue-24,353,000
Gross Profit16,318,00016,318,000
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit16,318,000
Operating Expense-26,501,000
Operating Income14,170,000-10,183,000
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development710,000
Selling General Administrative509,000
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense26,501,0001,219,000
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income205,000
Interest Expense-1,011,000
Other Finance Cost-831,000
Net Interest Income-1,637,000
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income14,170,000
Net Interest Income-1,637,000
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)10,908,00015,795,000
EBIT - interestExpense = -1,011,000
9,289,000
10,300,000
Interest Expense1,011,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-11,919,000
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax10,908,000
Tax Provision-1,502,000
Net Income From Continuing Ops9,406,0009,406,000
Net Income9,289,000
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net-1,625,0001,637,000
 

Technical Analysis of Vale
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Vale. The general trend of Vale is BULLISH with 14.3% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Vale's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (14.3%) Bearish trend (-14.3%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Vale S.A.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 8,170 < 9,250 < 9,412.

The bearish price targets are: 6,825 > 5,949 > 5,800.

Tweet this
Vale S.A Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Vale S.A. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 8/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 2/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 < MA 50: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 50. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 200: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 200: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 > MA 200: The MA 100 is higher than the MA 200. +1
  • MA 200 trending up: The MA 200 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Vale S.A Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Vale S.A. The current macd is -306.07741301.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Vale price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Vale. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Vale price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Vale S.A Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartVale S.A Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Vale S.A. The current adx is 28.40.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -4/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Vale shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX > 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is above 25 and indicates a strong bearish trend. The ADX is trending up, so the bearish trend is strengthening.
Vale S.A Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Vale S.A. The current sar is 7,700.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Vale S.A Daily Parabolic SAR Chart
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Vale S.A. The current rsi is 34.76. The current phase is Correction in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 1/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -2/(-13 +13).

  • Correction in bull market: Moderate price decline, potential pause in the uptrend. Reassess the market, wait for signs of stabilization.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
Vale S.A Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartVale S.A Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Vale S.A. The current phase is Oversold in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 1/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Vale price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Vale S.A Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartVale S.A Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Vale S.A. The current cci is -103.61637003.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Vale S.A Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartVale S.A Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Vale S.A. The current cmo is -38.30520961.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Vale S.A Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartVale S.A Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Vale S.A. The current willr is -94.2172524.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Vale S.A Daily Williams %R ChartVale S.A Daily Williams %R Chart
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Vale S.A.

Vale S.A Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Vale S.A. The current atr is 389.82.

Vale S.A Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartVale S.A Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Vale S.A. The current obv is 861,971.

Vale S.A Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartVale S.A Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Vale S.A. The current mfi is 22.74.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 0/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is -1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI < 50: -1
Vale S.A Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartVale S.A Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Vale S.A.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-10-04BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-10-05RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-10-10STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-10-17BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-10-18RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-10-20SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-10-23MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2023-10-26STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-10-27STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-10-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-10-31CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-02SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-11-03MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-08MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-11-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-11-10WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-11-13MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2023-11-14CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2023-11-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2023-11-21WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-11-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-11-23RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2023-11-27MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-11-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-01CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2023-12-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2023-12-05CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2023-12-06STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-07MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-12STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2023-12-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-20MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2023-12-21STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-26SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-27CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2023-12-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-02MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-01-03WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-01-05STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-10RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
2024-01-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-16SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
2024-01-17WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-01-18SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-01-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-23MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-01-24MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-25MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-30STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-31SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-05DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-07STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-02-09BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
2024-02-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-16STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-02-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-23MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-02-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-02-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Vale S.A Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Vale S.A based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5034.758
Ma 20Greater thanMa 507,906.375
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1008,153.920
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2007,281.745
OpenGreater thanClose7,307.000
Total3/5 (60.0%)
Penke

Good job! You gained 25 XP and 0   0   10 . What's next:

  • Share my analysis of Vale with someone you think should read this too:
  • Are you bullish or bearish on Vale? Let me know what you think in the comments.
  • Do you want an email if I find something interesting about Vale? Add an email alert using the form below.
  • Join the community if you want to keep your earnings and track your progress: Join the community
  • Is this analysis useful to you? Support me via But Me a Coffee. I'll analyze the stock market faster for you!

Get notifications about Vale S.A

I send you an email if I find something interesting about Vale S.A.


Comments

How you think about this?

Leave a comment
3rd Party Ad. No recommendation by Penke. PLUS is ad-free.

Stay informed about Vale S.A.

Receive notifications about Vale S.A in your mailbox!