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Valneva SE
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Valneva together

PenkeI guess you are interested in Valneva SE. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of Valneva SE. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Valneva (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Valneva? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
‚ā¨0.00
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
0.0%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
‚ā¨1.36
Expected worth in 1 year
‚ā¨1.25
How sure are you?
20.8%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
‚ā¨-0.11
Return On Investment
-3.3%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
‚ā¨3.36
Expected price per share
‚ā¨2.965 - ‚ā¨4.927
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Valneva (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

‚ā¨3.36

2. Growth of Valneva (5 min.)




Is Valneva growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$202.6m$182.8m-$4.5m-2.6%

How much money is Valneva making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money-$6.5m-$36.2m$29.7m454.9%
Net Profit Margin-7.2%-62.8%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Valneva (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Biotechnology industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Biotechnology)  


Richest
#262 / 991

Most Revenue
#146 / 991

Most Profit
#493 / 991

Most Efficient
#340 / 991

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Valneva? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Valneva's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Valneva.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Valneva?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Valneva. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Valneva is ‚ā¨3.364. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Valneva.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Valneva, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is ‚ā¨1.36. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is ‚ā¨-0.03 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is ‚ā¨0.13 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is ‚ā¨0.00 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Valneva.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 ‚ā¨% of Price per Share‚ā¨% of Price per Share‚ā¨% of Price per Share‚ā¨% of Price per Share‚ā¨% of Price per Share
Usd Eps0.4513.5%-0.05-1.4%-0.21-6.1%-0.18-5.4%-0.15-4.4%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share0.4714.0%-0.03-0.9%0.134.0%0.020.6%0.030.8%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%0.000.0%
Usd Total Gains Per Share0.4714.0%-0.03-0.9%0.134.0%0.020.6%0.030.8%
Usd Price Per Share3.85-5.41-7.25-8.22-7.47-
Price to Earnings Ratio2.12--5.42--5.70--156.96--134.09-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio8.20--25.07--13.40--395.03--314.95-
Price to Book Ratio2.64-4.33-6.93-7.73-7.18-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio8.20--25.07--13.40--395.03--314.95-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share3.6025076
Number of shares277
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.000.00
Usd Book Value Change Per Share-0.030.02
Usd Total Gains Per Share-0.030.02
Gains per Quarter (277 shares)-8.295.33
Gains per Year (277 shares)-33.1621.34
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
10-33-4302111
20-66-7604332
30-99-10906453
40-133-14208574
50-166-175010795
60-199-2080128116
70-232-2410149137
80-265-2740171158
90-298-3070192179
100-332-3400213200

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.03.00.025.0%3.09.00.025.0%4.016.00.020.0%6.018.00.025.0%7.021.00.025.0%
Book Value Change Per Share1.03.00.025.0%3.05.04.025.0%4.07.09.020.0%5.010.09.020.8%7.012.09.025.0%
Dividend per Share0.00.04.00.0%0.00.012.00.0%0.00.020.00.0%0.00.024.00.0%0.00.028.00.0%
Total Gains per Share1.03.00.025.0%3.05.04.025.0%4.07.09.020.0%5.010.09.020.8%7.012.09.025.0%

Fundamentals of Valneva

About Valneva SE

Valneva SE, a specialty vaccine company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes prophylactic vaccines for infectious diseases with unmet needs. It offers IXIARO, an inactivated Vero cell culture-derived Japanese encephalitis vaccine indicated for active immunization against Japanese encephalitis; DUKORAL, an oral vaccine for the prevention of diarrhea caused by Vibrio cholera and/or heat-labile toxin producing enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli bacterium; IXCHIQ, a single-dose, live-attenuated vaccine for the prevention of disease caused by chikungunya virus; and VLA2001, an inactivated whole-virus COVID-19 vaccine. The company also develops VLA15, a vaccine candidate, which is in Phase III clinical trial against Borrelia, the bacterium that causes Lyme disease; VLA1553, a vaccine candidate, which is in Phase III clinical trial against the chikungunya virus; VLA1554, a vaccine candidate targeting human metapneumovirus; and VLA2112, a vaccine candidate to treat patients with epstein-barr virus. It sells its products in the United States, Canada, Germany, Austria, Nordics, the United Kingdom, France, rest of European countries, and internationally. Valneva SE has collaborations with Pfizer, Inc. to co-develop and commercialize its Lyme disease vaccine; and Instituto Butantan for the development, manufacturing, and marketing of single-shot chikungunya vaccine. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Saint-Herblain, France.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-05-25 23:31:02.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a loss.
Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating very inefficient.
The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is just not able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
Based on the earnings, the company is expensive.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive.

1.1. Profitability of Valneva SE.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit¬†Valneva earns for each €1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 179.9%¬†means that¬†€1.80 for each €1¬†in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 179.9%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is -7.2%. The company is making a loss. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ179.9%TTM-7.2%+187.1%
TTM-7.2%YOY-62.8%+55.6%
TTM-7.2%5Y-21.7%+14.5%
5Y-21.7%10Y-17.7%-4.1%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ179.9%-178.5%+358.4%
TTM-7.2%-223.7%+216.5%
YOY-62.8%-245.1%+182.3%
5Y-21.7%-390.8%+369.1%
10Y-17.7%-503.2%+485.5%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Valneva is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy¬†but always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • 11.7% Return on Assets means that¬†Valneva generated¬†€0.12 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 11.7%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is -1.2%. Using its assets, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ11.7%TTM-1.2%+13.0%
TTM-1.2%YOY-5.0%+3.7%
TTM-1.2%5Y-7.6%+6.4%
5Y-7.6%10Y-6.2%-1.4%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ11.7%-11.6%+23.3%
TTM-1.2%-11.6%+10.4%
YOY-5.0%-10.9%+5.9%
5Y-7.6%-12.9%+5.3%
10Y-6.2%-14.1%+7.9%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Valneva is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • 31.1% Return on Equity means Valneva generated €0.31¬†for each¬†€1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 31.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very efficient in making profit. +2
  • The TTM is -6.1%. Using its investors money, the company is very inefficient in making profit. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ31.1%TTM-6.1%+37.3%
TTM-6.1%YOY-35.3%+29.1%
TTM-6.1%5Y-20.7%+14.6%
5Y-20.7%10Y-17.2%-3.6%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ31.1%-13.9%+45.0%
TTM-6.1%-14.9%+8.8%
YOY-35.3%-13.5%-21.8%
5Y-20.7%-18.2%-2.5%
10Y-17.2%-19.0%+1.8%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of Valneva SE.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Valneva is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Valneva makes for each €1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 0.0%¬†means the company generated €0.00 ¬†for each €1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.0%. The data is not here.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ-TTM-15.9%+15.9%
TTM-15.9%YOY-55.3%+39.3%
TTM-15.9%5Y-20.4%+4.5%
5Y-20.4%10Y-16.0%-4.3%
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ--344.0%+344.0%
TTM-15.9%-235.7%+219.8%
YOY-55.3%-262.3%+207.0%
5Y-20.4%-383.7%+363.3%
10Y-16.0%-485.1%+469.1%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Valneva is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to¬†Biotechnology industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 2.37 means that the operating costs are €2.37 for each €1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 2.367. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
  • The TTM is 2.251. The company is inefficient in keeping operating costs low. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.367TTM2.251+0.116
TTM2.251YOY2.591-0.340
TTM2.2515Y1.380+0.871
5Y1.38010Y1.410-0.030
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.3673.092-0.725
TTM2.2513.353-1.102
YOY2.5913.564-0.973
5Y1.3804.836-3.456
10Y1.4106.187-4.777

1.3. Liquidity of Valneva SE.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Valneva is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to¬†Biotechnology industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 2.64¬†means the company has €2.64 in assets for each €1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 2.638. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
  • The TTM is 1.795. The company is able to pay all its short-term debts. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ2.638TTM1.795+0.843
TTM1.795YOY1.360+0.435
TTM1.7955Y1.933-0.138
5Y1.93310Y2.057-0.124
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ2.6383.776-1.138
TTM1.7954.034-2.239
YOY1.3604.978-3.618
5Y1.9335.984-4.051
10Y2.0576.360-4.303
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Valneva is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but¬†always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.24¬†means the company can pay off €0.24 for each €1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.235. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
  • The TTM is 0.210. The company is just not able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.235TTM0.210+0.025
TTM0.210YOY0.095+0.115
TTM0.2105Y0.199+0.011
5Y0.19910Y0.220-0.020
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.2353.198-2.963
TTM0.2103.631-3.421
YOY0.0954.843-4.748
5Y0.1995.825-5.626
10Y0.2206.378-6.158

1.4. Solvency of Valneva SE.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Valneva assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare¬†Valneva to Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.62¬†means that Valneva assets are¬†financed with 62.4% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 62.4%)¬†is financed by its owners/shareholders.¬†

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 0.624. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
  • The TTM is 0.673. The company is able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.624TTM0.673-0.049
TTM0.673YOY0.734-0.061
TTM0.6735Y0.573+0.099
5Y0.57310Y0.552+0.021
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.6240.336+0.288
TTM0.6730.346+0.327
YOY0.7340.284+0.450
5Y0.5730.367+0.206
10Y0.5520.376+0.176
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Valneva is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but¬†always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 165.7% means that company has €1.66 debt for each €1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The MRQ is 1.657. The company is just able to pay all its debts with equity.
  • The TTM is 2.099. The company is just not able to pay all its debts with equity.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.657TTM2.099-0.441
TTM2.099YOY3.429-1.330
TTM2.0995Y1.675+0.424
5Y1.67510Y1.532+0.142
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.6570.382+1.275
TTM2.0990.421+1.678
YOY3.4290.371+3.058
5Y1.6750.447+1.228
10Y1.5320.476+1.056

2. Market Valuation of Valneva SE

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures¬†how much money you pay¬†for each share for¬†every €1 in earnings Valneva generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but¬†always compare¬†Valneva to the¬†Biotechnology industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 2.12 means the investor is paying €2.12¬†for every €1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The EOD is 1.987. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The MRQ is 2.123. Based on the earnings, the company is cheap. +2
  • The TTM is -5.418. Based on the earnings, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD1.987MRQ2.123-0.136
MRQ2.123TTM-5.418+7.541
TTM-5.418YOY-5.695+0.277
TTM-5.4185Y-156.963+151.544
5Y-156.96310Y-134.085-22.878
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD1.987-2.473+4.460
MRQ2.123-2.865+4.988
TTM-5.418-2.837-2.581
YOY-5.695-3.461-2.234
5Y-156.963-6.135-150.828
10Y-134.085-6.468-127.617
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The EOD is -3.550. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The MRQ is -3.794. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
  • The TTM is -3.425. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is expensive. -2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD-3.550MRQ-3.794+0.244
MRQ-3.794TTM-3.425-0.368
TTM-3.425YOY-3.994+0.569
TTM-3.4255Y-2.241-1.185
5Y-2.24110Y-1.867-0.373
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD-3.550-3.046-0.504
MRQ-3.794-3.513-0.281
TTM-3.425-3.609+0.184
YOY-3.994-4.805+0.811
5Y-2.241-7.882+5.641
10Y-1.867-8.502+6.635
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Valneva is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy¬†(always compare to Biotechnology industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 2.64 means the investor is paying €2.64¬†for each €1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of Valneva SE:

  • The EOD is 2.474. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 2.644. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 4.325. Based on the equity, the company is fair priced.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.474MRQ2.644-0.170
MRQ2.644TTM4.325-1.681
TTM4.325YOY6.931-2.606
TTM4.3255Y7.726-3.401
5Y7.72610Y7.176+0.550
Compared to industry (Biotechnology)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.4742.012+0.462
MRQ2.6442.185+0.459
TTM4.3252.227+2.098
YOY6.9312.447+4.484
5Y7.7263.726+4.000
10Y7.1764.199+2.977
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Summary

3.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of Valneva SE compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--0.438-0.028+106%0.125+250%0.018+2337%0.024+1707%
Book Value Per Share--1.3601.196+14%1.227+11%1.065+28%1.026+33%
Current Ratio--2.6381.795+47%1.360+94%1.933+36%2.057+28%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.6240.673-7%0.734-15%0.573+9%0.552+13%
Debt To Equity Ratio--1.6572.099-21%3.429-52%1.675-1%1.532+8%
Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Eps--0.423-0.044+110%-0.192+145%-0.168+140%-0.138+133%
Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.237-0.399+68%-0.479+102%-0.419+77%-0.419+77%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.290-0.292+0%-0.282-3%-0.283-2%-0.283-2%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Market Cap468110665.088-7%500255006.240702896550.840-29%942274485.328-47%1067901806.506-53%970192054.348-48%
Net Profit Margin--1.799-0.072+104%-0.628+135%-0.217+112%-0.177+110%
Operating Margin----0.1590%-0.5530%-0.2040%-0.1600%
Operating Ratio--2.3672.251+5%2.591-9%1.380+72%1.410+68%
Pb Ratio2.474-7%2.6444.325-39%6.931-62%7.726-66%7.176-63%
Pe Ratio1.987-7%2.123-5.418+355%-5.695+368%-156.963+7493%-134.085+6416%
Price Per Share3.364-7%3.5955.051-29%6.772-47%7.674-53%6.972-48%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio-3.550+6%-3.794-3.425-10%-3.994+5%-2.241-41%-1.867-51%
Price To Total Gains Ratio7.676-7%8.203-25.065+406%-13.403+263%-395.030+4916%-314.948+3939%
Quick Ratio--0.2350.210+12%0.095+147%0.199+18%0.220+7%
Return On Assets--0.117-0.012+111%-0.050+142%-0.076+165%-0.062+153%
Return On Equity--0.311-0.061+120%-0.353+213%-0.207+167%-0.172+155%
Total Gains Per Share--0.438-0.028+106%0.125+250%0.018+2337%0.024+1707%
Usd Book Value--202646407.000178225871.125+14%182807449.050+11%158675520.725+28%152935585.967+33%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--0.469-0.030+106%0.134+250%0.019+2337%0.026+1707%
Usd Book Value Per Share--1.4561.281+14%1.314+11%1.140+28%1.099+33%
Usd Dividend Per Share----0%-0%-0%-0%
Usd Eps--0.453-0.047+110%-0.206+145%-0.180+140%-0.148+133%
Usd Free Cash Flow---35301147.600-59402823.000+68%-71346838.425+102%-28094258.325-20%-23411881.938-34%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share---0.254-0.427+68%-0.513+102%-0.449+77%-0.449+77%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share---0.311-0.313+0%-0.302-3%-0.304-2%-0.304-2%
Usd Market Cap501299711.243-7%535723086.182752731916.295-29%1009081746.338-47%1143616044.587-53%1038978671.001-48%
Usd Price Per Share3.603-7%3.8505.409-29%7.252-47%8.218-53%7.466-48%
Usd Profit--63085648.100-6530615.925+110%-36240594.625+157%-26570903.075+142%-21845333.721+135%
Usd Revenue--35075187.70040950412.825-14%99851519.175-65%34221037.860+2%33685025.638+4%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--0.469-0.030+106%0.134+250%0.019+2337%0.026+1707%
 EOD+3 -5MRQTTM+26 -6YOY+24 -85Y+23 -910Y+22 -10

3.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of Valneva SE based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-151.987
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-12.474
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than01.799
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.000
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than10.235
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than12.638
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.624
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than11.657
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.311
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.117
Total6/10 (60.0%)

3.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Valneva SE based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5036.440
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.885
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.737
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2003.614
OpenGreater thanClose3.498
Total3/5 (60.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2023-03-312023-06-302023-09-302023-12-312024-03-31
Income before Tax  -18,247-2,330-20,577-10,973-31,5503,295-28,25587,17358,918
Net Income  -18,1271,208-16,919-17,306-34,2252,067-32,15891,06758,909
Net Income from Continuing Operations  -18,1271,208-16,919-17,306-34,2252,067-32,15891,06758,909



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2024-03-31. Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets502,829
Total Liabilities313,599
Total Stockholder Equity189,230
 As reported
Total Liabilities 313,599
Total Stockholder Equity+ 189,230
Total Assets = 502,829

Assets

Total Assets502,829
Total Current Assets306,242
Long-term Assets196,588
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 176,640
Net Receivables 27,285
Inventory 48,585
Other Current Assets 53,732
Total Current Assets  (as reported)306,242
Total Current Assets  (calculated)306,242
+/-0
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 155,963
Long-term Assets Other 8,766
Long-term Assets  (as reported)196,588
Long-term Assets  (calculated)164,729
+/- 31,859

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities116,085
Long-term Liabilities197,514
Total Stockholder Equity189,230
Total Current Liabilities
Short Long Term Debt 22,413
Accounts payable 33,506
Other Current Liabilities 371
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)116,085
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)56,290
+/- 59,795
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt 159,035
Capital Lease Obligations Min Short Term Debt30,223
Long-term Liabilities Other 68
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)197,514
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)189,326
+/- 8,188
Total Stockholder Equity
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)189,230
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)0
+/- 189,230
Other
Capital Stock20,892
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 139,153
Net Debt 4,808
Net Invested Capital 370,678
Net Working Capital 190,157
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 155,963



Balance Sheet

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2024-03-312023-12-312023-09-302023-06-302023-03-312022-12-312022-09-302022-06-302022-03-312021-12-312021-09-302021-06-302021-03-312020-12-312020-09-302020-06-302020-03-312019-12-312019-09-302019-06-302019-03-312018-12-312018-09-302018-06-302012-12-312012-09-302012-06-302012-03-31
> Total Assets 
235,157
263,500
252,130
241,173
181,475
175,338
229,907
243,742
249,143
250,649
264,723
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
725,105
698,083
621,344
590,000
542,571
520,539
460,062
502,829
502,829460,062520,539542,571590,000621,344698,083725,105000000000264,723250,649249,143243,742229,907175,338181,475241,173252,130263,500235,157
   > Total Current Assets 
78,861
115,267
102,322
89,748
79,524
74,009
125,972
117,483
121,860
118,932
129,162
142,691
253,446
311,273
308,427
416,981
561,962
585,832
585,832
545,021
503,776
476,535
424,659
389,329
341,480
320,653
262,823
306,242
306,242262,823320,653341,480389,329424,659476,535503,776545,021585,832585,832561,962416,981308,427311,273253,446142,691129,162118,932121,860117,483125,97274,00979,52489,748102,322115,26778,861
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
15,137
50,812
34,034
16,001
37,717
33,040
81,725
68,059
69,944
67,387
64,439
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
336,177
261,042
289,430
254,485
204,411
171,253
126,079
176,640
176,640126,079171,253204,411254,485289,430261,042336,17700000000064,43967,38769,94468,05981,72533,04037,71716,00134,03450,81215,137
       Short-term Investments 
36,068
0
42,290
43,239
0
32
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000000000032043,23942,290036,068
       Net Receivables 
13,404
19,087
12,501
20,455
12,810
8,247
11,259
15,056
14,086
9,898
24,030
16,736
7,524
109,203
19,232
25,100
18,007
44,013
44,013
25,061
16,251
57,732
23,912
27,018
33,669
44,346
41,645
27,285
27,28541,64544,34633,66927,01823,91257,73216,25125,06144,01344,01318,00725,10019,232109,2037,52416,73624,0309,89814,08615,05611,2598,24712,81020,45512,50119,08713,404
       Inventory 
14,252
11,693
13,495
10,052
20,206
22,985
22,727
23,247
24,589
26,986
25,772
28,117
30,494
28,394
26,933
97,400
125,664
124,098
124,098
139,725
95,201
96,462
35,104
38,999
33,353
38,000
44,466
48,585
48,58544,46638,00033,35338,99935,10496,46295,201139,725124,098124,098125,66497,40026,93328,39430,49428,11725,77226,98624,58923,24722,72722,98520,20610,05213,49511,69314,252
   > Long-term Assets 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
221,330
221,548
196,685
200,671
201,091
199,885
197,238
196,588
196,588197,238199,885201,091200,671196,685221,548221,33000000000000000000000
       Property Plant Equipment 
56,837
53,730
53,585
53,694
37,558
37,327
37,997
62,362
63,779
66,517
69,337
66,644
67,647
71,728
78,153
93,622
123,028
173,830
173,830
175,980
169,992
170,659
154,038
158,039
156,100
156,133
156,590
155,963
155,963156,590156,133156,100158,039154,038170,659169,992175,980173,830173,830123,02893,62278,15371,72867,64766,64469,33766,51763,77962,36237,99737,32737,55853,69453,58553,73056,837
       Long Term Investments 
0
33,674
0
0
0
0
1,436
688
1,427
2,384
2,263
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000002,2632,3841,4276881,436000033,6740
       Intangible Assets 
84,094
79,869
81,550
82,838
46,613
45,774
42,833
44,223
43,247
42,435
41,813
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
28,711
0
0
0
25,567
0
025,56700028,7110000000000041,81342,43543,24744,22342,83345,77446,61382,83881,55079,86984,094
       Long-term Assets Other 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17,948
18,294
8,299
8,590
7,932
8,222
8,489
8,766
8,7668,4898,2227,9328,5908,29918,29417,94800000000000000000000
> Total Liabilities 
121,171
138,660
133,331
132,959
89,533
85,611
86,721
104,554
117,419
119,021
129,570
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
631,850
533,100
401,547
385,217
351,864
363,018
331,815
313,599
313,599331,815363,018351,864385,217401,547533,100631,850000000000129,570119,021117,419104,55486,72185,61189,533132,959133,331138,660121,171
   > Total Current Liabilities 
39,132
40,285
38,137
40,861
46,192
41,264
42,944
27,634
39,848
31,547
41,300
45,132
104,723
201,936
175,870
320,357
456,917
368,979
368,979
363,257
436,128
374,211
277,393
263,259
241,043
218,150
158,863
116,085
116,085158,863218,150241,043263,259277,393374,211436,128363,257368,979368,979456,917320,357175,870201,936104,72345,13241,30031,54739,84827,63442,94441,26446,19240,86138,13740,28539,132
       Short-term Debt 
18,405
21,397
18,858
19,015
22,957
20,032
16,664
1,998
1,935
2,029
1,999
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
000000000000000001,9992,0291,9351,99816,66420,03222,95719,01518,85821,39718,405
       Short Long Term Debt 
18,405
21,397
18,858
19,015
22,957
20,032
16,664
1,998
1,935
2,029
1,999
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11,543
12,494
11,580
14,157
21,195
33,811
44,079
22,413
22,41344,07933,81121,19514,15711,58012,49411,5430000000001,9992,0291,9351,99816,66420,03222,95719,01518,85821,39718,405
       Accounts payable 
15,253
14,100
14,683
17,851
11,353
9,189
9,175
10,113
14,994
13,246
8,868
17,491
19,778
13,968
24,898
60,878
71,502
16,035
16,035
66,268
83,704
74,973
14,505
33,520
44,136
94,241
17,564
33,506
33,50617,56494,24144,13633,52014,50574,97383,70466,26816,03516,03571,50260,87824,89813,96819,77817,4918,86813,24614,99410,1139,1759,18911,35317,85114,68314,10015,253
       Other Current Liabilities 
5,472
4,786
4,597
3,995
3,843
4,225
3,447
4,429
12,311
5,448
9,802
9,043
64,488
167,073
116,809
239,152
375,247
273,369
273,369
262,299
322,693
267,590
177,589
5,010
103,532
117
592
371
371592117103,5325,010177,589267,590322,693262,299273,369273,369375,247239,152116,809167,07364,4889,0439,8025,44812,3114,4293,4474,2253,8433,9954,5974,7865,472
   > Long-term Liabilities 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
195,722
158,888
124,154
121,958
110,822
144,868
172,952
197,514
197,514172,952144,868110,822121,958124,154158,888195,72200000000000000000000
       Capital Lease Obligations 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
54,920
55,761
53,574
55,343
53,821
53,645
31,969
30,223
30,22331,96953,64553,82155,34353,57455,76154,92000000000000000000000
       Other Liabilities 
165
0
0
0
4,311
4,032
3,707
4,638
7,548
7,405
7,360
7,439
70,839
70,302
100,105
103,939
109,802
173,379
173,379
165,380
76,733
12,882
0
0
8,723
0
0
0
0008,7230012,88276,733165,380173,379173,379109,802103,939100,10570,30270,8397,4397,3607,4057,5484,6383,7074,0324,311000165
> Total Stockholder Equity
113,986
124,839
118,798
108,214
91,942
89,727
143,186
139,188
131,724
131,628
135,153
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
93,255
164,983
219,797
204,783
190,707
157,521
128,247
189,230
189,230128,247157,521190,707204,783219,797164,98393,255000000000135,153131,628131,724139,188143,18689,72791,942108,214118,798124,839113,986
   Common Stock
64,710
70,031
70,994
72,755
11,638
11,638
13,638
13,638
13,638
13,641
13,642
13,642
13,642
13,643
13,646
13,765
14,986
15,786
15,786
16,170
17,603
17,603
0
0
20,834
0
0
0
00020,8340017,60317,60316,17015,78615,78614,98613,76513,64613,64313,64213,64213,64213,64113,63813,63813,63811,63811,63872,75570,99470,03164,710
   Retained Earnings Total Equity0000000000000000000000000000
   Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income 0000000000000000000000000000
   Capital Surplus 0000000000000000000000000000
   Treasury Stock0000000000000000000000000000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
33,129
30,266
32,376
33,554
0
0
47,340
-1
0
0
47,984
0
-1
7,131
62,713
52,767
63,507
62,673
62,673
52,452
62,643
51,791
65,414
0
61,212
0
0
0
00061,212065,41451,79162,64352,45262,67362,67363,50752,76762,7137,131-1047,98400-147,3400033,55432,37630,26633,129



Balance Sheet

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in EUR. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue153,712
Cost of Revenue-100,875
Gross Profit52,83752,837
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit52,837
Operating Expense-235,824
Operating Income-82,112-182,987
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development59,894
Selling General Administrative96,551
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense235,824156,445
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income1,210
Interest Expense-23,325
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income-22,115
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income-82,112
Net Interest Income-22,115
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)-98,629-87,710
EBIT - interestExpense = -23,325
-101,429
-78,104
Interest Expense23,325
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)--75,304
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax-98,629
Tax Provision-2,800
Net Income From Continuing Ops-101,429-101,429
Net Income-101,429
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net5,59822,115
 

Technical Analysis of Valneva
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Valneva. The general trend of Valneva is BEARISH with 57.1% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Valneva's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (-57.1%) Bearish trend (57.1%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of Valneva SE.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 0/(-1 +1).

  • Between support/resistance: The price is trading between support and resistance lines.

The bullish price targets are: 4.24 < 4.481 < 4.927.

The bearish price targets are: 3.236 > 3.1 > 2.965.

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Valneva SE Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging¬†trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of Valneva SE. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 3/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is -8/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending down: The MA 20 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 20: The price is below the MA 20. -1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending down: The MA 50 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 50: The price is below the MA 50. -1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending down: The MA 100 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 100: The price is below the MA 100. -1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close < MA 200: The price is below the MA 200. -1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

Valneva SE Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a¬†lagging momentum¬†indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of Valneva SE. The current macd is -0.03157484.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 0/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is -4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line < signal line: The MACD line is below the signal line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Valneva price going down in the near term. -2
  • MACD < 0: The MACD is below the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bearish signal for Valneva. This means that the short-term moving average is lower than the long-term moving average, signaling negative momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Valneva price continuing to fall in the near future. It indicates that sellers are gaining control, and there is negativism in the market, leading to potential price decreases. -1
  • Trending down: The MACD line is trending down. This indicates that the short-term moving average is falling faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting negative momentum in the market. This signals that sellers are becoming more active and insecure, leading to potential price decreases as traders anticipate further losses and are willing to sell at lower prices. -1
Valneva SE Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartValneva SE Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of Valneva SE. The current adx is 14.57.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 0/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is -2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI: The +DI line is below the -DI line. This indicates a bearish signal in the market, as the negative directional movement is currently stronger than the positive directional movement, showing that sellers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are pessimistic, expecting further price decreases, and are more willing to sell Valneva shares, leading to potential downward momentum in its price. -1
  • PLUS_ID < MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bearish trend could be forming. -1
Valneva SE Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows¬†the current trend.
  • Shows¬†potential entry signals.
  • Shows¬†¬†potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place¬†trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of Valneva SE. The current sar is 4.18934707.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is -1/(-1 +1).

  • Close < SAR: The price is below the SAR. It's generally considered a bearish signal. -1
Valneva SE Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum¬†indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges¬†between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Valneva SE. The current rsi is 36.44. The current phase is Continuation in bear market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 0/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is -4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bear market: Downtrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to short positions.
  • Trending down: The RSI is trending down. -1
Valneva SE Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartValneva SE Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading¬†momentum¬†indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges¬†between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of Valneva SE. The current phase is Oversold in bear market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 1/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is -4/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH < 50: The STOCH %K is below 50. There are more sellers than buyers. -1
  • STOCH < 20: The STOCH %K is below 20 and oversold. -2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Valneva price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending up: The STOCH %K is trending up. +1
Valneva SE Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartValneva SE Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero,¬†the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of Valneva SE. The current cci is -247.27557298.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI < -100: The CCI is below -100, it indicates that the price is significantly below its average, suggesting a potential oversold condition. -1
Valneva SE Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartValneva SE Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of Valneva SE. The current cmo is -42.95709821.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is -1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO < 0: The CMO is below 0, the momentum of the price is negative, indicating a potential downtrend in the price. -1
Valneva SE Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartValneva SE Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and¬†-100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of Valneva SE. The current willr is -95.63318777.

The long score for the Williams %R is 0/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is -1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR < -80: The Williams %R is below -80. This indicates that the price is in oversold territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the upside. -1
Valneva SE Daily Williams %R ChartValneva SE Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold¬†

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of Valneva SE.

Valneva SE Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of Valneva SE. The current atr is 0.13929532.

Valneva SE Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartValneva SE Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of Valneva SE. The current obv is -32,704.

Valneva SE Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartValneva SE Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of Valneva SE. The current mfi is 55.27.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
Valneva SE Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartValneva SE Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for Valneva SE.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2024-01-25BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-30RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-01-31STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-02CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-02-05RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-02-06MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
2024-02-07SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-14STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-02-20SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-02-21MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-02-22RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-02-23STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-02-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-03-07RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
2024-03-08MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-03-11WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-12DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
2024-03-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-14STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-15STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-19BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-03-20STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-22STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-25CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-26CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-03-27DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-03STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-04DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-04-08STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-12CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-04-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-17DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-18MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-19STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-04-22MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-04-23CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-26CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-04-29STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-05-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-07STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-05-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-09STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-05-13STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-05-14MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-05-15CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-05-16DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-05-21ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-05-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-05-24STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-27MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-05-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-05-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-05-30MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-06-03STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-06-04STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-06-05ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-06-07MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-06-11DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-06-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-06-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-06-14ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

Valneva SE Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of Valneva SE based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5036.440
Ma 20Greater thanMa 503.885
Ma 50Greater thanMa 1003.737
Ma 100Greater thanMa 2003.614
OpenGreater thanClose3.498
Total3/5 (60.0%)
Penke

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