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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Buy, Hold or Sell?

Let's analyse Zto together

PenkeI guess you are interested in ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Buy, hold or sell? I don't know! However, I do recommend doing research before doing anything. I will help you with that.

I'm going to help you getting a better view of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. At the end you don't have to ask anyone for trading advice. You can make your own decision, with more confidence, the odds in your favor, backed by data.

You can find me behind Let's Analyse Together in the top-right of each section.

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Quick analysis of Zto (30 sec.)










What can you expect buying and holding a share of Zto? (30 sec.)

How much money do you get?

How much money do you get?
$0.93
When do you have the money?
1 year
How often do you get paid?
88.9%

What is your share worth?

Current worth
$9.34
Expected worth in 1 year
$13.77
How sure are you?
100.0%

+ What do you gain per year?

Total Gains per Share
$5.36
Return On Investment
24.8%

For what price can you sell your share?

Current Price per Share
$21.61
Expected price per share
$18.22 - $22.32
How sure are you?
50%

1. Valuation of Zto (5 min.)




Live pricePrice per Share (EOD)

$21.61

Intrinsic Value Per Share

$1.59 - $4.73

Total Value Per Share

$10.93 - $14.07

2. Growth of Zto (5 min.)




Is Zto growing?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
How rich?$7.5b$6.7b$765.1m10.2%

How much money is Zto making?

Current yearPrevious yearGrowGrow %
Making money$939.6m$656.1m$283.4m30.2%
Net Profit Margin19.2%15.6%--

How much money comes from the company's main activities?

3. Financial Health of Zto (5 min.)




4. Comparing to competitors in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (5 min.)




  Industry Rankings (Integrated Freight & Logistics)  


Richest
#6 / 152

Most Revenue
#20 / 152

Most Profit
#3 / 152

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Zto? (5 min.)

Welcome investor! Zto's management wants to use your money to grow the business. In return you get a share of Zto.

What can you expect buying and holding a share of Zto?

First you should know what it really means to hold a share of Zto. And how you can make/lose money.

Speculation

The Price per Share of Zto is $21.61. The market price reflects what other people think it is worth; not what it's really worth. Your job is to find out if the market price is fair, overpriced, or underpriced. I will help you with that.

If you buy blind, there is a 50% chance of making or losing money by selling the stock in the future. However, we can look at a few things to determine the odds in our favor:

  • The fundamentals: the financial health trends of Zto.
  • The technials: based on market psychology, we can make a calculated estimate of what the price will do in the future. We can do this through technical analysis. We can calculate the probabilities and the expected value (millionaire math). That's called speculation.
  • The book value: what is the market price compared to it's book value.

Investing

If you really want to invest in Zto, you will have to let go of the thought of selling in the future. If you have to sell the share for less than you bought it, it can still be a good investment. Focus on what it means to hold the stock forever:

  • You own a part of the company. The equity of this part can grow or shrink. The current Book Value per Share is $9.34. Based on the TTM, the Book Value Change Per Share is $1.11 per quarter. Based on the YOY, the Book Value Change Per Share is $-0.19 per quarter.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of additional shares.
  • You may receive quarterly/yearly dividend in the form of cash. Based on the TTM the Dividend per Share is $0.23 per quarter.
Based on historical numbers we can estimate the returns while holding a share of Zto.

How much money are you going to get?

 MRQTTMYOY5Y10Y
 $% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share$% of Price per Share
Usd Eps1.175.4%1.175.4%0.803.7%0.894.1%0.612.8%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share1.115.1%1.115.1%-0.19-0.9%1.135.2%1.044.8%
Usd Dividend Per Share0.231.1%0.231.1%0.231.1%0.221.0%0.150.7%
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.346.2%1.346.2%0.040.2%1.366.3%1.195.5%
Usd Price Per Share26.87-26.87-28.22-24.69-16.82-
Price to Earnings Ratio23.01-23.01-35.26-28.55-23.34-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio20.07-20.07-665.78-146.31-110.46-
Price to Book Ratio2.88-2.88-3.43-3.20-2.65-
Price-to-Total Gains Ratio20.07-20.07-665.78-146.31-110.46-

When do you get the money?

Usd Investment
$.00
Usd Price Per Share21.61
Number of shares46
Gains per QuarterTrailing 12 Months5 Year
Usd Dividend Per Share0.230.22
Usd Book Value Change Per Share1.111.13
Usd Total Gains Per Share1.341.36
Gains per Quarter (46 shares)61.6062.36
Gains per Year (46 shares)246.38249.46
YearsReturn on Investment (TTM)Return on Investment (5Y)
 DividendBook Value gainTotal gainsDividendBook Value gainTotal gains
Broker costs---10---10
14320423641208239
28540748282417488
3128611728123625737
4171815974164834986
52141018122020510421235
62561222146624612511484
72991426171228714591733
83421629195832816681982
93851833220436918762231
104272037245041020852480

How sure are you?

Based on the past periods, how sure are you to get value out of your investment.

Linear %
 Trailing 12 Months3Y5 Year10 YearALLTIME
  % % % % %
Earnings Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%9.00.00.0100.0%9.00.00.0100.0%
Book Value Change Per Share1.00.00.0100.0%2.01.00.066.7%4.01.00.080.0%8.01.00.088.9%8.01.00.088.9%
Dividend per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%8.00.01.088.9%8.00.01.088.9%
Total Gains per Share1.00.00.0100.0%3.00.00.0100.0%5.00.00.0100.0%9.00.00.0100.0%9.00.00.0100.0%

Fundamentals of Zto

About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Fundamental data was last updated by Penke on 2024-04-09 02:00:03.

Financial Health

Profitability Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is making a huge profit.
Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit.
Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Operating Efficiency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is operating efficient.
The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low.
Liquidity Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets.
Solvency Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets.
The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity.

Valuation

Valuation Details
 Compared to previous yearCompared to industry
Based on the equity, the company is underpriced.
Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced.

1.1. Profitability of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

1.1. Profitability
1.1.1. Net Profit Margin

Measures how much net profit Zto earns for each $1 of revenue.

  • Above 10% is considered healthy but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • A Net Profit Margin of 19.2% means that $0.19 for each $1 in revenue is generated as profit.

Let's take a look of the Net Profit Margin trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 19.2%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
  • The TTM is 19.2%. The company is making a huge profit. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ19.2%TTM19.2%0.0%
TTM19.2%YOY15.6%+3.6%
TTM19.2%5Y20.5%-1.3%
5Y20.5%10Y20.0%+0.5%
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ19.2%2.7%+16.5%
TTM19.2%3.1%+16.1%
YOY15.6%3.5%+12.1%
5Y20.5%3.0%+17.5%
10Y20.0%2.8%+17.2%
1.1.2. Return on Assets

Shows how efficient Zto is using its assets to generate profit.

  • Above 5% is considered healthy but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • 8.7% Return on Assets means that Zto generated $0.09 profit for each $1 in assets.

Let's take a look of the Return on Assets trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 8.7%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
  • The TTM is 8.7%. Using its assets, the company is efficient in making profit. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ8.7%TTM8.7%0.0%
TTM8.7%YOY7.6%+1.1%
TTM8.7%5Y9.4%-0.7%
5Y9.4%10Y9.9%-0.5%
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ8.7%1.2%+7.5%
TTM8.7%1.4%+7.3%
YOY7.6%2.1%+5.5%
5Y9.4%1.4%+8.0%
10Y9.9%1.6%+8.3%
1.1.3. Return on Equity

Shows how efficient Zto is using its investors money to generate profit.

  • Above 15%-20% is considered healthy but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • 12.6% Return on Equity means Zto generated $0.13 for each $1 the owners (shareholders) invested.

Let's take a look of the Return on Equity trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 12.6%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
  • The TTM is 12.6%. Using its investors money, the company is less efficient in making profit.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ12.6%TTM12.6%0.0%
TTM12.6%YOY9.8%+2.8%
TTM12.6%5Y11.8%+0.8%
5Y11.8%10Y12.6%-0.8%
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ12.6%3.3%+9.3%
TTM12.6%3.6%+9.0%
YOY9.8%5.7%+4.1%
5Y11.8%3.5%+8.3%
10Y12.6%5.0%+7.6%

1.2. Operating Efficiency of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

1.2. Operating Efficiency
1.2.1. Operating Margin

Measures how efficient Zto is operating .

  • Measures how much profit Zto makes for each $1 of sales after paying variable costs (production costs, wages, etc) but before taxes.
  • Above 15% is considered healthy but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • An Operating Margin of 21.9% means the company generated $0.22  for each $1 in revenue (before taxes).

Let's take a look of the Operating Margin trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 21.9%. The company is operating efficient. +1
  • The TTM is 21.9%. The company is operating efficient. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ21.9%TTM21.9%0.0%
TTM21.9%YOY12.0%+9.9%
TTM21.9%5Y18.8%+3.1%
5Y18.8%10Y20.7%-1.9%
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ21.9%2.7%+19.2%
TTM21.9%2.7%+19.2%
YOY12.0%4.9%+7.1%
5Y18.8%4.3%+14.5%
10Y20.7%4.1%+16.6%
1.2.2. Operating Ratio

Measures how efficient Zto is keeping operating costs low.

  • Below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean).
  • An Operation Ratio of 0.78 means that the operating costs are $0.78 for each $1 in net sales.

Let's take a look of the Operating Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.781. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
  • The TTM is 0.781. The company is efficient in keeping operating costs low. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.781TTM0.7810.000
TTM0.781YOY0.819-0.038
TTM0.7815Y0.784-0.002
5Y0.78410Y0.772+0.012
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.7811.635-0.854
TTM0.7811.579-0.798
YOY0.8191.561-0.742
5Y0.7841.566-0.782
10Y0.7721.358-0.586

1.3. Liquidity of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.3.1. Current Ratio

Measures if Zto is able to pay off Short-term Debt.

  • Above 1.5 is considered healthy (always compare to Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean).
  • A Current Ratio of 1.49 means the company has $1.49 in assets for each $1 in short-term debts.

Let's take a look of the Current Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.492. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
  • The TTM is 1.492. The company is just able to pay all its short-term debts.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.492TTM1.4920.000
TTM1.492YOY1.436+0.056
TTM1.4925Y2.491-0.999
5Y2.49110Y2.330+0.161
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.4921.379+0.113
TTM1.4921.370+0.122
YOY1.4361.384+0.052
5Y2.4911.370+1.121
10Y2.3301.269+1.061
1.3.2. Quick Ratio

Measures if Zto is able to pay off Short-term Debt but only using the most liquid assets.

  • Above 1 is considered healthy but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.54 means the company can pay off $1.54 for each $1 in debt (using most liquid assets).

Let's take a look of the Quick Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 1.541. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
  • The TTM is 1.541. The company is very able to pay all its short-term debts with the most liquid assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ1.541TTM1.5410.000
TTM1.541YOY1.354+0.188
TTM1.5415Y3.211-1.670
5Y3.21110Y2.723+0.489
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ1.5410.897+0.644
TTM1.5410.879+0.662
YOY1.3540.956+0.398
5Y3.2110.966+2.245
10Y2.7230.943+1.780

1.4. Solvency of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

1.3. Liquidity
1.4.1. Debt to Asset Ratio

Measures how much % of Zto assets are financed with debt.

  • Below 1 (100%) is considered healthy but always compare Zto to Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • A Debt to Asset Ratio of 0.31 means that Zto assets are financed with 30.6% credit (debt) and the remaining percentage (100% - 30.6%) is financed by its owners/shareholders. 

Let's take a look of the Debt to Asset Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.306. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
  • The TTM is 0.306. The company is very able to pay all its debts by selling its assets. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.306TTM0.3060.000
TTM0.306YOY0.221+0.086
TTM0.3065Y0.199+0.107
5Y0.19910Y0.211-0.012
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.3060.536-0.230
TTM0.3060.536-0.230
YOY0.2210.559-0.338
5Y0.1990.547-0.348
10Y0.2110.543-0.332
1.4.2. Debt to Equity Ratio

Measures if Zto is able to pay off its debts by using shareholders equity.

  • Below 2 is considered healthy but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • A Debt to Equity ratio of 44.5% means that company has $0.45 debt for each $1 in shareholders equity.

Let's take a look of the Debt to Equity Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The MRQ is 0.445. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
  • The TTM is 0.445. The company is very able to pay all its debts with equity. +2
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
MRQ0.445TTM0.4450.000
TTM0.445YOY0.285+0.161
TTM0.4455Y0.258+0.187
5Y0.25810Y0.277-0.020
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
MRQ0.4451.171-0.726
TTM0.4451.166-0.721
YOY0.2851.256-0.971
5Y0.2581.249-0.991
10Y0.2771.264-0.987

2. Market Valuation of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

2.1. Earnings Per Share
2.1. Price to Earnings Ratio

Measures how much money you pay for each share for every $1 in earnings Zto generates.

  • Above 15 is considered overpriced but always compare Zto to the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean.
  • A PE ratio of 23.01 means the investor is paying $23.01 for every $1 in earnings.

Let's take a look of the Price to Earnings Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The EOD is 18.507. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 23.012. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
  • The TTM is 23.012. Based on the earnings, the company is fair priced.
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD18.507MRQ23.012-4.505
MRQ23.012TTM23.0120.000
TTM23.012YOY35.264-12.253
TTM23.0125Y28.553-5.542
5Y28.55310Y23.344+5.209
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD18.50711.429+7.078
MRQ23.01211.627+11.385
TTM23.01211.731+11.281
YOY35.26412.226+23.038
5Y28.55313.801+14.752
10Y23.34418.572+4.772
2.2. Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio

Let's take a look of the Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The EOD is 40.405. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is fair priced.
  • The MRQ is 50.239. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
  • The TTM is 50.239. Based on how much money comes from the company's main activities, the company is overpriced. -1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD40.405MRQ50.239-9.835
MRQ50.239TTM50.2390.000
TTM50.239YOY-79.559+129.799
TTM50.2395Y55.083-4.844
5Y55.08310Y-7.850+62.933
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD40.4055.225+35.180
MRQ50.2395.226+45.013
TTM50.2397.414+42.825
YOY-79.5594.553-84.112
5Y55.0835.305+49.778
10Y-7.8502.725-10.575
2. Book Value per Share
2.3. Price to Book Ratio

Measures if the stock price of Zto is to cheap or to expensive compared to its book value.

  • At or below 1 is considered healthy (always compare to Integrated Freight & Logistics industry mean).
  • A PB ratio of 2.88 means the investor is paying $2.88 for each $1 in book value.

Let's take a look of the Price to Book Ratio trends of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc:

  • The EOD is 2.313. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The MRQ is 2.876. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
  • The TTM is 2.876. Based on the equity, the company is underpriced. +1
Trends
Current periodCompared to+/- 
EOD2.313MRQ2.876-0.563
MRQ2.876TTM2.8760.000
TTM2.876YOY3.427-0.551
TTM2.8765Y3.201-0.325
5Y3.20110Y2.653+0.548
Compared to industry (Integrated Freight & Logistics)
PeriodCompanyIndustry (mean)+/- 
EOD2.3131.435+0.878
MRQ2.8761.663+1.213
TTM2.8761.726+1.150
YOY3.4272.114+1.313
5Y3.2012.027+1.174
10Y2.6532.159+0.494
2. Total Gains per Share

3. Holders & Insider Transactions

Let's take a look at which institutions, funds and insiders are holding shares of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

3.1. Institutions holding ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Institutions are holding 43.516% of the shares of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Amvescap Plc.4.62890.188637249972-4057647-9.823
2023-12-31BlackRock Inc2.49910.01092011049866950.0333
2023-12-31Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.99790.030716077690732621583.7141
2023-12-31Junked Platinum Investment Management Ltd1.775512.345614287877-26872-0.1877
2023-12-31Temasek Holdings Ltd.1.29571.2421042675000
2023-12-31Green Court Capital Management Limited1.244463.366310014230160798619.1285
2023-12-31FMR Inc1.0020.013280629756275048.4393
2023-12-31Wellington Management Company LLP0.97630.03127856737-2813463-26.3675
2023-12-31Capital Research Global Investors0.97410.0417839069-904691-10.3467
2023-12-31Greenwoods Asset Management Hong Kong Ltd.0.8715.32367009372-330071-4.4972
2023-12-31State Street Corporation0.82820.00696664932657660.9966
2023-12-31Serenity Capital Management Pte Ltd.0.752773.8826605698700
2023-12-31Tiger Pacific Capital LP0.632723.072250913964282359.1834
2023-12-31Schroder Investment Management Group0.590.1314747541-3512915-42.5269
2023-12-31JPMorgan Chase & Co0.56490.00934546011-1881382-29.2713
2023-12-31UBS Group AG0.52080.026741906582993195249.9614
2023-12-31Ward Ferry Management (Bvi) Limited0.455710.6139366747700
2023-12-31Aspex Management (HK) Ltd0.45472.2814365867336586730
2023-12-31T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.0.39910.00923211473319707322201.8958
2023-12-31Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts0.38940.00593133203-2682169-46.1221
Total 22.8531192.6322183903521+3702132+2.0%

3.2. Funds holding ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

DateNameTotal SharesTotal AssetsCurrent SharesChange%
2023-12-31Invesco Emerging Markets Equity4.15473.138633433694-3364080-9.1421
2024-02-29Invesco Developing Markets A3.82532.639430782662-754262-2.3917
2024-02-29Fidelity Series Emerging Markets Opps0.68270.4615549400000
2023-12-31American Funds New World A0.48830.15633929717-338697-7.935
2024-03-28iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF0.47750.1054384249500
2024-01-31JHancock International Growth 10.40140.91383230186-536787-14.2498
2023-12-31American Funds Europacific Growth A0.3670.04632953486-468510-13.6911
2023-12-31Capital Group EuroPacific Growth Comp0.3670.04632953486-468510-13.6911
2023-06-30Invesco Emerging Markets Equity Tr - I0.27383.90592203697-236037-9.6747
2023-12-31Invesco Emerging Markets Equity Tr - A0.23812.99791916422-290298-13.1552
2024-02-29FIAM Emerging Markets Opports CIT0.18120.4458145775300
2023-12-31T. Rowe Price Emerging Mkts Equity Trust0.15720.4877126536212653620
2023-12-31T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Eq Tr-A0.15720.4877126536212653620
2023-12-31T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Stock0.15070.4612121270212127020
2024-03-28iShares MSCI China ETF0.13980.48921124707-31603-2.7331
2024-03-28iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF0.1320.1222106240400
2024-01-31DFA Emerging Markets Core Equity I0.13010.0673104700400
2024-03-28iShares Core MSCI EM IMI ETF USD Acc0.12750.1077102606200
2024-02-29JPM Emerging Mkts Opps A (acc) USD0.12290.8294988739-128449-11.4975
2024-03-31JPM GEM Opportunities-Composite0.12290.8782988739-128449-11.4975
Total 12.697318.7878102178679-3002256-2.9%

4. Summary

4.1. Key Performance Indicators

The key performance indicators of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc compared to the Most Recent Quarter (MRQ).

 End of day+/-Most Recent QuarterTrailing 12 Months+/-Year-Over-Year+/-5 Year+/-10 Year+/-
Book Value Change Per Share--1.1071.1070%-0.185+117%1.133-2%1.038+7%
Book Value Per Share--9.3419.3410%8.235+13%7.692+21%5.272+77%
Current Ratio--1.4921.4920%1.436+4%2.491-40%2.330-36%
Debt To Asset Ratio--0.3060.3060%0.221+39%0.199+54%0.211+45%
Debt To Equity Ratio--0.4450.4450%0.285+56%0.258+73%0.277+60%
Dividend Per Share--0.2320.2320%0.228+2%0.223+4%0.149+56%
Eps--1.1681.1680%0.800+46%0.886+32%0.613+91%
Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.5350.5350%-0.355+166%-0.059+111%-0.007+101%
Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.7451.7450%-0.843+148%0.545+220%0.520+236%
Gross Profit Margin--1.0001.0000%1.0000%1.0000%1.0000%
Intrinsic Value_10Y_max--4.732--------
Intrinsic Value_10Y_min--1.585--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_max--0.056--------
Intrinsic Value_1Y_min---0.098--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_max--0.488--------
Intrinsic Value_3Y_min---0.074--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_max--1.303--------
Intrinsic Value_5Y_min--0.192--------
Market Cap17389977071.360-24%21622798885.12021622798885.1200%23139306898.300-7%19951320120.652+8%13580483823.687+59%
Net Profit Margin--0.1920.1920%0.156+23%0.205-6%0.200-4%
Operating Margin--0.2190.2190%0.120+82%0.188+16%0.207+6%
Operating Ratio--0.7810.7810%0.819-5%0.7840%0.772+1%
Pb Ratio2.313-24%2.8762.8760%3.427-16%3.201-10%2.653+8%
Pe Ratio18.507-24%23.01223.0120%35.264-35%28.553-19%23.344-1%
Price Per Share21.610-24%26.87026.8700%28.220-5%24.686+9%16.817+60%
Price To Free Cash Flow Ratio40.405-24%50.23950.2390%-79.559+258%55.083-9%-7.850+116%
Price To Total Gains Ratio16.138-24%20.06720.0670%665.783-97%146.309-86%110.457-82%
Quick Ratio--1.5411.5410%1.354+14%3.211-52%2.723-43%
Return On Assets--0.0870.0870%0.076+14%0.094-8%0.099-12%
Return On Equity--0.1260.1260%0.098+29%0.118+7%0.126+0%
Total Gains Per Share--1.3391.3390%0.042+3059%1.356-1%1.187+13%
Usd Book Value--7517200860.0007517200860.0000%6752006178.000+11%6214766382.000+21%4256635806.000+77%
Usd Book Value Change Per Share--1.1071.1070%-0.185+117%1.133-2%1.038+7%
Usd Book Value Per Share--9.3419.3410%8.235+13%7.692+21%5.272+77%
Usd Dividend Per Share--0.2320.2320%0.228+2%0.223+4%0.149+56%
Usd Eps--1.1681.1680%0.800+46%0.886+32%0.613+91%
Usd Free Cash Flow--430395918.000430395918.0000%-290843832.000+168%-48173398.800+111%-6452098.000+101%
Usd Free Cash Flow Per Share--0.5350.5350%-0.355+166%-0.059+111%-0.007+101%
Usd Free Cash Flow To Equity Per Share--1.7451.7450%-0.843+148%0.545+220%0.520+236%
Usd Market Cap17389977071.360-24%21622798885.12021622798885.1200%23139306898.300-7%19951320120.652+8%13580483823.687+59%
Usd Price Per Share21.610-24%26.87026.8700%28.220-5%24.686+9%16.817+60%
Usd Profit--939649728.000939649728.0000%656166126.000+43%715758141.600+31%504236130.000+86%
Usd Revenue--4882025448.0004882025448.0000%4196005782.000+16%3607638007.200+35%2507772646.667+95%
Usd Total Gains Per Share--1.3391.3390%0.042+3059%1.356-1%1.187+13%
 EOD+4 -4MRQTTM+0 -0YOY+28 -75Y+23 -1210Y+24 -11

4.2. Fundamental Score

Let's check the fundamental score of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc based on Penke's default stock scanner.

Penke's Stock Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
Price to Earnings Ratio (EOD)Between0-1518.507
Price to Book Ratio (EOD)Between0-12.313
Net Profit Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.192
Operating Margin (MRQ)Greater than00.219
Quick Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.541
Current Ratio (MRQ)Greater than11.492
Debt to Asset Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.306
Debt to Equity Ratio (MRQ)Less than10.445
Return on Equity (MRQ)Greater than0.150.126
Return on Assets (MRQ)Greater than0.050.087
Total7/10 (70.0%)

4.3. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5065.301
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5020.345
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10019.972
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20019.196
OpenGreater thanClose21.720
Total4/5 (80.0%)



Reversals in quarterly reports

I have detected a reversal (positive to negative, negative to positive) in the following values of the quarterly reports.

 2018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-31
Net Debt  -637,91221,462-616,451-998,808-1,615,259886,550-728,709926,144197,435



Latest Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet of 2022-12-31. Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.

Summary
Total Assets78,523,586
Total Liabilities24,051,116
Total Stockholder Equity54,028,551
 As reported
Total Liabilities 24,051,116
Total Stockholder Equity+ 54,028,551
Total Assets = 78,523,586

Assets

Total Assets78,523,586
Total Current Assets24,475,027
Long-term Assets54,048,559
Total Current Assets
Cash And Cash Equivalents 11,692,773
Short-term Investments 5,753,483
Net Receivables 2,084,800
Inventory 40,537
Other Current Assets 3,146,378
Total Current Assets  (as reported)24,475,027
Total Current Assets  (calculated)22,717,971
+/- 1,757,056
Long-term Assets
Property Plant Equipment 29,621,710
Goodwill 4,241,541
Long Term Investments 11,273,089
Intangible Assets 5,472,388
Long-term Assets Other 2,689,734
Long-term Assets  (as reported)54,048,559
Long-term Assets  (calculated)53,298,462
+/- 750,097

Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity

Total Current Liabilities16,405,324
Long-term Liabilities7,645,792
Total Stockholder Equity54,028,551
Total Current Liabilities
Short-term Debt 5,824,141
Short Long Term Debt 5,594,423
Accounts payable 2,202,692
Other Current Liabilities 7,003,800
Total Current Liabilities  (as reported)16,405,324
Total Current Liabilities  (calculated)20,625,056
+/- 4,219,732
Long-term Liabilities
Long term Debt Total 6,788,971
Capital Lease Obligations 740,067
Long-term Liabilities  (as reported)7,645,792
Long-term Liabilities  (calculated)7,529,038
+/- 116,754
Total Stockholder Equity
Retained Earnings 29,459,491
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income -86,672
Capital Surplus 26,717,727
Total Stockholder Equity (as reported)54,028,551
Total Stockholder Equity (calculated)56,090,546
+/- 2,061,995
Other
Capital Stock535
Cash And Equivalents11,692,773
Cash and Short Term Investments 17,446,256
Common Stock Shares Outstanding 796,148
Current Deferred Revenue1,374,691
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 78,523,586
Net Debt 1,430,688
Net Invested Capital 66,411,945
Net Tangible Assets 44,314,622
Net Working Capital 8,069,703
Property Plant and Equipment Gross 29,621,710
Short Long Term Debt Total 13,123,461



Balance Sheet

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.

 Trend2022-12-312021-12-312020-12-312019-12-312018-12-312017-12-312016-12-312015-12-312014-12-31
> Total Assets 
4,974,125
10,582,223
23,403,738
25,827,638
39,682,857
45,890,502
59,204,750
62,772,343
78,523,586
78,523,58662,772,34359,204,75045,890,50239,682,85725,827,63823,403,73810,582,2234,974,125
   > Total Current Assets 
752,614
3,438,120
13,186,038
12,377,846
21,234,067
20,098,257
22,324,626
18,666,359
24,475,027
24,475,02718,666,35922,324,62620,098,25721,234,06712,377,84613,186,0383,438,120752,614
       Cash And Cash Equivalents 
163,359
2,452,359
11,287,789
5,425,024
4,622,554
5,270,204
14,212,778
9,721,225
11,692,773
11,692,7739,721,22514,212,7785,270,2044,622,5545,425,02411,287,7892,452,359163,359
       Short-term Investments 
0
0
0
5,224,559
13,599,852
11,113,217
3,690,402
2,845,319
5,753,483
5,753,4832,845,3193,690,40211,113,21713,599,8525,224,559000
       Net Receivables 
278,834
144,234
203,203
361,765
1,121,578
1,261,003
1,311,450
2,178,895
2,084,800
2,084,8002,178,8951,311,4501,261,0031,121,578361,765203,203144,234278,834
       Inventory 
4,950
15,720
33,959
34,231
43,813
43,845
53,070
82,961
40,537
40,53782,96153,07043,84543,81334,23133,95915,7204,950
       Other Current Assets 
305,471
825,807
1,661,087
109,307
256,996
292,680
376,242
462,069
3,146,378
3,146,378462,069376,242292,680256,996109,3071,661,087825,807305,471
   > Long-term Assets 
4,221,511
7,144,103
10,217,700
13,449,792
18,448,790
25,792,245
36,880,124
44,105,984
54,048,559
54,048,55944,105,98436,880,12425,792,24518,448,79013,449,79210,217,7007,144,1034,221,511
       Property Plant Equipment 
925,868
1,752,586
4,065,562
6,473,010
9,035,704
13,372,588
19,441,420
25,827,135
29,621,710
29,621,71025,827,13519,441,42013,372,5889,035,7046,473,0104,065,5621,752,586925,868
       Goodwill 
2,379,182
4,091,219
4,157,111
4,241,541
4,241,541
4,241,541
4,241,541
4,241,541
4,241,541
4,241,5414,241,5414,241,5414,241,5414,241,5414,241,5414,157,1114,091,2192,379,182
       Long Term Investments 
263
212
537,175
610,160
2,207,410
4,055,674
5,066,463
4,944,948
11,273,089
11,273,0894,944,9485,066,4634,055,6742,207,410610,160537,175212263
       Intangible Assets 
416,283
821,131
1,302,869
1,663,332
2,023,403
2,556,889
4,402,505
5,371,183
5,472,388
5,472,3885,371,1834,402,5052,556,8892,023,4031,663,3321,302,869821,131416,283
       Long-term Assets Other 
23,362
20,730
45,953
308,986
622,669
2,108,146
3,007,634
2,786,329
2,689,734
2,689,7342,786,3293,007,6342,108,146622,669308,98645,95320,73023,362
> Total Liabilities 
1,578,422
2,736,002
3,652,991
4,386,321
5,413,308
7,487,105
10,105,052
13,844,762
24,051,116
24,051,11613,844,76210,105,0527,487,1055,413,3084,386,3213,652,9912,736,0021,578,422
   > Total Current Liabilities 
1,531,294
2,650,943
3,522,471
4,146,014
5,141,465
6,680,947
9,347,584
12,996,315
16,405,324
16,405,32412,996,3159,347,5846,680,9475,141,4654,146,0143,522,4712,650,9431,531,294
       Short-term Debt 
250,000
300,000
450,000
250,000
405,683
298,728
2,005,523
3,884,632
5,824,141
5,824,1413,884,6322,005,523298,728405,683250,000450,000300,000250,000
       Short Long Term Debt 
169
0
450,000
250,000
0
0
1,759,129
3,633,637
5,594,423
5,594,4233,633,6371,759,12900250,000450,0000169
       Accounts payable 
152,059
294,199
636,422
889,139
1,311,807
1,475,258
1,635,888
1,957,529
2,202,692
2,202,6921,957,5291,635,8881,475,2581,311,807889,139636,422294,199152,059
       Other Current Liabilities 
908,988
1,757,879
2,206,325
2,747,910
2,987,265
3,696,074
4,586,507
5,927,605
7,003,800
7,003,8005,927,6054,586,5073,696,0742,987,2652,747,9102,206,3251,757,879908,988
   > Long-term Liabilities 
47,128
85,059
130,520
240,307
271,843
806,158
757,468
848,447
7,645,792
7,645,792848,447757,468806,158271,843240,307130,52085,05947,128
       Long term Debt Total 
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6,788,971
6,788,97100000000
       Other Liabilities 
32
48
130,520
240,307
271,843
301,716
254,987
292,356
346,472
346,472292,356254,987301,716271,843240,307130,5204832
> Total Stockholder Equity
3,368,810
7,834,237
19,745,033
21,435,313
34,217,238
38,302,604
48,978,813
48,637,247
54,028,551
54,028,55148,637,24748,978,81338,302,60434,217,23821,435,31319,745,0337,834,2373,368,810
   Common Stock
390
390
471
471
523
517
553
535
535
535535553517523471471390390
   Retained Earnings 
401,440
1,589,420
3,509,707
6,669,369
11,052,395
16,726,540
21,038,753
22,716,799
29,459,491
29,459,49122,716,79921,038,75316,726,54011,052,3956,669,3693,509,7071,589,420401,440
   Capital Surplus 
2,000
4,281,321
15,940,206
15,975,979
24,137,681
22,336,594
30,613,948
28,229,026
26,717,727
26,717,72728,229,02630,613,94822,336,59424,137,68115,975,97915,940,2064,281,3212,000
   Treasury Stock0-2,067,009-2,578,870-1,436,767-1,545,077-914,611000
   Other Stockholders Equity 
2,966,980
4,281,321
15,940,206
15,061,368
22,592,604
20,899,827
28,035,078
26,162,017
24,655,197
24,655,19726,162,01728,035,07820,899,82722,592,60415,061,36815,940,2064,281,3212,966,980



Balance Sheet

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.




Cash Flow

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.




Income Statement

Currency in CNY. All numbers in thousands.


Latest Income Statement (annual, 2023-12-31)

Gross Profit (+$)
totalRevenue37,670,808
Cost of Revenue-26,363,969
Gross Profit11,306,83911,306,839
 
Operating Income (+$)
Gross Profit11,306,839
Operating Expense-27,958,144
Operating Income9,712,664-16,651,305
 
Operating Expense (+$)
Research Development-
Selling General Administrative2,285,755
Selling And Marketing Expenses-
Operating Expense27,958,1442,285,755
 
Net Interest Income (+$)
Interest Income617,150
Interest Expense-303,876
Other Finance Cost-0
Net Interest Income313,274
 
Pretax Income (+$)
Operating Income9,712,664
Net Interest Income313,274
Other Non-Operating Income Expenses-
Income Before Tax (EBT)10,428,9989,309,604
EBIT - interestExpense = -303,876
8,719,309
9,023,185
Interest Expense303,876
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)-10,732,874
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBITDA)-
 
After tax Income (+$)
Income Before Tax10,428,998
Tax Provision-1,802,497
Net Income From Continuing Ops8,673,9298,626,501
Net Income8,719,309
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares-
 
Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations-
Extraordinary Items-
Effect of Accounting Charges-
Other Items-
Non Recurring-
Other Operating Expenses-
Total Other Income/Expenses Net403,060-313,274
 

Technical Analysis of Zto
The psychology behind the price

Technical indicators reflecting market sentiment and the collective psychology of you and other traders. Your emotions and other traders' emotions, such as fear and greed, play a significant role in driving price movements.

General trend

First of all, I'm going to put something in the back of your mind. One of the most stable factors that gives you more confidence as a trader: the general trend of Zto. The general trend of Zto is BULLISH with 42.9% confidence. It is very important for your mental being to use each indicator with this in mind. But beware, also the general trend flips once in a while! You can use moving averages to determine Zto's overall trend. For convenience I use the most commonly used moving averages: 20, 50, 100 & 200. Of course you can use other moving averages or other indicators to determine the trend.

Indicator phases

Some of the indicators I use have 3 zones: overbought, oversold and neutral. Transitions between these zones (market phases) provide valuable trading signals and insights. Expecially with the general trend mind, I use the highlighted phases:

Indicator zone transitionsBullish trend (42.9%) Bearish trend (-42.9%)
Overbought to neutralBullish pullback=Bearish reversal
Upper to lower neutralBullish correction=Bearish continuation
Nuetral to oversoldOversold=Oversold
Oversold to neutralBullish reversal=Bearish correction
Lower to upper neutralBullish continuation=Bearish pullback
Nuetral to overboughtOverbought=Overbought

1. Price Targets

1.1 Support & Resistance

Support and resistance are levels on a price chart that act as barriers or zones where the price of an asset tends to stop, reverse, or experience a significant amount of buying or selling pressure.

Support is a price level at which demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance is a price level at which selling pressure becomes significant enough to prevent the price of an asset from rising further.


Score

Let's take a look at the Support & Resistance of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

The long score for the Support & Resistance is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Support & Resistance is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Around support: The price is currently trading around a support level. This can be considered as a potential entry level. +1

The bullish price targets are: 22.14 < 22.22 < 22.32.

The bearish price targets are: 21.59 > 19.21 > 18.22.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Support & Resistance Chart

2. Trend Indicators

2.1 Moving Averages

Shows the moving average of the selected period.

  • Moving averages are lagging trend indicators.
  • There are many types of moving averages.
  • Moving averages are also used within other indicators.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Averages of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current mas is .

The long score for the Moving Averages is 10/14.
The longshort score for the Moving Averages is 6/(-14 +14).

  • MA 20 trending up: The MA 20 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 20: The price is above the MA 20. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 50: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 50. +1
  • MA 20 > MA 100: The MA 20 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 20 < MA 200: The MA 20 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 50 trending up: The MA 50 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 50: The price is above the MA 50. +1
  • MA 50 > MA 100: The MA 50 is higher than the MA 100. +1
  • MA 50 < MA 200: The MA 50 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 100 trending up: The MA 100 is trending up. +1
  • Close > MA 100: The price is above the MA 100. +1
  • MA 100 < MA 200: The MA 100 is lower than the MA 200. -1
  • MA 200 trending down: The MA 200 is trending down. -1
  • Close > MA 200: The price is above the MA 200. +1

Directionalities and relatives.

Moving AverageAmount of candlesTrendPrice +/-vs. MA 50vs. MA 100vs. MA 200
MA 2020
MA 5050-
MA 100100--
MA 200200---

Explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwW8h0lrQ-I

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Moving Averages Chart
2.2 Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD)

Shows the momentum of the selected period based on two moving averages.

  • MACD is a lagging momentum indicator.
  • Uses two moving averages.
  • Can show buy or sell signals based on momentum.
  • Can show overbought. and oversold. levels.

Score

Let's take a look at the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current macd is 0.23384086.

The long score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/4.
The longshort score for the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is 4/(-4 +4).

  • MACD line > signal line: The MACD line is above the signal line, which indicates a bullish signal in the market. This means that the positive momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that buyers are more active than sellers, and there's a higher probability of the Zto price going up in the near term. +2
  • MACD > 0: The MACD is above the zero line (centerline), it indicates a bullish signal for Zto. This means that the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, signaling positive momentum and suggesting a higher likelihood of the Zto price continuing to rise in the near future. It indicates that buyers are gaining control, and there is optimism in the market, leading to potential price increases. +1
  • Trending up: The MACD line is trending up. This indicates that the short-term moving average is rising faster than the long-term moving average, suggesting positive momentum in the market. This signals that buyers are becoming more active and confident, leading to potential price increases as traders anticipate further gains and are willing to buy at higher prices. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) Chart
2.3 Directional Movement Index (DMI)

The DMI is a collection of 3 indicators: +DI (Plus Direction Indicator), -DI (Minus Direction Indicator) and ADX (Average Directional Index). The ADX helps you determine the strength of a trend.


Score

Let's take a look at the Directional Movement Index (DMI) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current adx is 21.07.

The long score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/7.
The longshort score for the Directional Movement Index (DMI) is 2/(-7 +7).

  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI: The +DI line is above the -DI line. This indicates a bullish signal in the market, as the positive directional movement is currently stronger than the negative directional movement, showing that buyers have the upper hand. Market psychology suggests that traders are optimistic, expecting further price increases, and are more willing to buy Zto shares, leading to potential upward momentum in its price. +1
  • PLUS_ID > MINUS_DI && ADX < 25 && ADX trending up: The ADX is below 25 and indicates a weak or no trend. However, the ADX is rising and a new bullish trend could be forming. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) Chart
2.4 Parabolic SAR

Shows the current trend and potential entry and exit signals.

  • Parabolic SAR (stop and reverse) is a lagging trend indicator.
  • Shows the current trend.
  • Shows potential entry signals.
  • Shows  potential exit signals.
  • Can be used to place trailing stoplosses..

Score

Let's take a look at the Parabolic SAR of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current sar is 19.34.

The long score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Parabolic SAR is 1/(-1 +1).

  • Close > SAR: The price is above the SAR. It's generally considered a bullish signal. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Parabolic SAR Chart

3. Momentum Indicators

3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and change of price movements.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 70 is considered overbought.
  • Below 30 is considered oversold.
  • Above or below 50 can also be used to determine price trend or support and resistance.
  • RSI divergence looks at a deviation between RSI and price movement. Penketrading automatically calculates RSI divergences.
  • Can be used in many different ways

Score

Let's take a look at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current rsi is 65.30. The current phase is Continuation in bull market.

The long score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/13.
The longshort score for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 4/(-13 +13).

  • Continuation in bull market: Uptrend continues after a consolidation or pullback. Hold or add to existing positions.
  • Trending up: The RSI is trending up. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) Chart
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator

Compares a certain price to multiple prices ranging over time.

  • Leading momentum indicator, meaning the signals are instant.
  • Used to determine overbought and oversold areas much like the RSI.
  • Ranges between 0 and 100.
  • Above 80 is considered overbought.
  • Below 20 is considered oversold.
  • Consists of two lines named K and D.
  • K compares the highest high and lowest low on the selected price range.
  • The D line is a moving average of the K line.
  • Can be used to spot divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Stochastic Oscillator of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current phase is Overbought in bull market.

The long score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 3/6.
The longshort score for the Stochastic Oscillator is 0/(-6 +6).

  • STOCH > 50: The STOCH %K is above 50. There are more buyers than sellers. +1
  • STOCH > 80: The STOCH %K is above 80 and overbought. +2
  • STOCH %K line < STOCH %D line: The STOCH %K line is below the STOCH %D line, which indicates a bearish signal in the market. This means that the negative momentum is currently stronger than the average momentum, suggesting that sellers are more active than buyers, and there's a higher probability of the Zto price going down in the near term. -2
  • Trending down: The STOCH %K is trending down. -1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Stochastic Oscillator Chart
3.3 Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

Measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price.

  • Lagging or leading Momentum indicator
  • When the CCI is above zero, the price is above the historical average
  • When the CCI is below zero, the price is below the historical average
  • Used for spotting trends
    • If the CCI moves from negative or near zero to positive 100 that might indicate an uptrend
    • If the CCI moves from positive or near zero to negative -100 that might indicate a downtrend

Score

Let's take a look at the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current cci is 163.35.

The long score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CCI > 100: The CCI is above 100, it indicates that the price is significantly above its average, suggesting a potential overbought condition. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Chart
3.4 Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)

Measures the difference between the sum of recent gains and the sum of recent losses. Then divides the result by the sum of all price movements in that period.

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranges between +100 and -100
  • Considered overbought above +50
  • Considered oversold below -50
  • It's possible to add a moving average that acts as a signal line

Score

Let's take a look at the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current cmo is 44.35.

The long score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) is 1/(-1 +1).

  • CMO > 0: The CMO is above 0, the momentum of the price is positive, indicating a potential uptrend in the price. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Chart
3.5 Williams %R

 Shows the current price relative to the highest high over the last 14 days.
 

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Ranging between 0 and -100
  • Above -20 is considered overbought
  • Below -80 is considered oversold
  • Is prone to give false signals

Score

Let's take a look at the Williams %R of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current willr is -11.43911439.

The long score for the Williams %R is 1/1.
The longshort score for the Williams %R is 1/(-1 +1).

  • WILLR > -20: The Williams %R is above -20. This indicates that the price is in overbought territory, suggesting a potential price correction or trend reversal to the downside. +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Williams %R ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Williams %R Chart

4. Volatility Indicators

4.1 Bollinger Bands

Shows if the price is to high or to low relative to an average.

  • Lagging volatility indicator
  • Uses 3 bands: one upper, one lower and one in the middle
  • Works best when the middle band reflects an intermediate trend (MA20).
  • When the price is moving closer to the upper band, the market might be overbought
  • When the price is moving closer to the lower band, the market might be oversold 

Score

Let's take a look at the Bollinger Bands of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Bollinger Bands Chart
4.2 Average True Range (ATR)
Measures market volatility
  • Leading volatility indicator
  • Can be used to determine stop-loss positions
  • Calculated by:
    • Current high minus the current low
    • Current high minus the previous close
    • Current low minus the previous close
  • The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value

Score

Let's take a look at the Average True Range (ATR) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current atr is 0.57388815.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Average True Range (ATR) Chart

5. Volume Indicators

5.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)

 Measures market volatility

  • Leading momentum indicator
  • Calculation:
    • If the closing price is above the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV + current volume
    • If the closing price is below the previous closing price: OBV = previous OBV - current volume
    • If the closing price is the same as the previous closing price than the OBV is the same.
  • Can be used to confirm price trends
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current obv is -3,427,186.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily On-Balance Volume (OBV) Chart
5.2 Money Flow Index (MFI)

Measures the flow of money in and out of a security

  • Lagging momentum indicator
  • Looks like RSI but uses volume as an extra metric (RSI only considers price)
  • Above 80 is considered overbought
  • Below 20 is considered oversold
  • Can be used with divergences

Score

Let's take a look at the Money Flow Index (MFI) of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. The current mfi is 72.02.

The long score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/2.
The longshort score for the Money Flow Index (MFI) is 1/(-2 +2).

  • MFI > 50: +1
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) ChartZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Money Flow Index (MFI) Chart

6. Summary

6.1. Notifications

TypeNotificationDate
PenkeCurrently no notifications for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

6.2. Trading Signals

Below you will find trading signals as the indicator is commonly used. This doesn't mean you should use it that way. Learn from these, but don't use them blindly. I recommend using at least 4 indicators, 1 from each category: trend, momentum, volatility and volume.

DateIndicatorSignal
2023-12-05CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-12-07CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2023-12-08STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-13STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-12-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-19STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2023-12-21SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-22STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-12-26RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2023-12-27MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2023-12-28CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2023-12-29DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-02DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-03DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
2024-01-04DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-05SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-08CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-10MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-01-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-16STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-01-17STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-01-19MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE20 crossover to downside
2024-01-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-01-25STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-01-29CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-02-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-02STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
2024-02-05SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
RSI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE30 crossover to upside
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE20 crossover to upside
2024-02-06MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-02-08DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-02-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-02-14DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-02-15CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-02-21STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-23STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-02-28STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-02-29STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
2024-03-01STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-04MFI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE80 crossover to upside
2024-03-05RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
MFI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE80 crossover to downside
2024-03-12STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-18STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-03-20STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-03-21SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
RSI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE70 crossover to downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-03-25MACD SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe MACD line crosses below the signal line.
2024-03-27STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-03-28STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
2024-04-01CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-02SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
BB SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed above the lower band.
2024-04-03SAR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the downside
STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-05CMO SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEZero line crossover to downside
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-09STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-11STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
WILLR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-80 crossover to downside
2024-04-12DMI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the downside. The trend is reversing to a down trend.
CCI SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSE-100 crossover to downside
BB LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed below the lower band.
ATR SHORT ENTRY LONG CLOSEPrice closed below (close - ATR).
2024-04-15STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
2024-04-17STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.
2024-04-18STOCH SHORT EXITThe %K line crosses above the %D line.
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-22DMI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe +DI crossed the -DI to the upside. The trend is reversing to an up trend.
CMO LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEZero line crossover to upside
2024-04-24MACD LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe MACD line crosses above the signal line.
SAR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEThe price broke the SAR to the upside.
CCI LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE100 crossover to upside
WILLR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSE-20 crossover to upside
ATR LONG ENTRY SHORT CLOSEPrice closed above (close + ATR).
2024-04-26STOCH LONG EXITThe %K line crosses below the %D line.

6.3. Candlestick Patterns

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Daily Candlestick Chart
DateCandlestick Pattern

6.4. Technical Score

Let's check the technical score of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc based on Penke's default Symbol scanner.

Penke's Symbol Scanner

  
  
IndicatorConditionValue
RsiGreater than5065.301
Ma 20Greater thanMa 5020.345
Ma 50Greater thanMa 10019.972
Ma 100Greater thanMa 20019.196
OpenGreater thanClose21.720
Total4/5 (80.0%)
Penke

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